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Philippines has become one of the hotspots for foreign property buyers in Asia.
With favorable demographics and an increasing middle class, Metro Manila has
undoubtedly seen the biggest interest. Corporations also move elsewhere,
setting up o ces in places like Cebu and Davao, where operating costs are
lower.
In this article, I explain how Philippines property market has performed the past
years. I’ll also share my predictions for market performance in 2019.
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These companies don’t only buy or rent o ce space in business areas like
Makati, but also buy residential properties for their employees. O shore gaming
rms had a big impact on the exceptionally low vacancy rates in Manila’s central
business district, despite the increase in supply.
In addition to Manila, these rms move to other cities like Cebu, having an
impact on the local real estate markets.
2017 – 10.4%
2016 – 9.95%
2015 – 13.43%
2014 – 7.11%
2013 – 14.37%
Overall, prices increased by 5.7% on average nationally in 2017, where we saw Recent Posts
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The high demand is mainly driven by expats, local professionals and Chinese Search...
investors
The vacancy rate for condominiums was around 11%, while it’s expected to
remain at around 12% during coming years
Based on recent gures, as well as previous trends, many believe that Manila
might be one of the best locations to invest in real estate in Southeast Asia.
There are few countries in the world that had a growth rate of 6-7% in the last
decade. The rapidly growing economy is driving the real estate sector, with
increasingly more Chinese investors and companies operating in the Philippines.
The o shore gaming industry is one of the key drivers of the real estate market,
both in the o ce and residential sector. In 2018, the gross gaming revenue
increased by 9.4%, which represents a ourishing industry backed by Chinese
investors and gaming companies.
This is probably not the case, at least if you look back at the time of the Asian
Financial Crisis in 1997.
At that time, the property market went through a sharp decline. But if you
compare the current prices adjusted by in ation, the current prices are still 20%
lower. Looking historically, the market is still far from its historic peak.
In 2017 and 2018, we didn’t see a big increase in rents for residential properties,
and Colliers predicts a 1-3% increase in rents by 2020, at most.
According to JLL, around 2.1 million square meters of o ce space will be added
until 2020, where a majority will be dedicated to Makati, Pasig, and Taguig.
8.600 condominium units will be provided quarterly from 2019 to 2021, while
the condominium vacancy rate will remain at around 12-13% during this time
period.
The increase in rents will stay the same with only a marginal increase until 2021.
Note: 1 USD = 49 Pesos in Jan 2018 | One USD = 54 Pesos in Oct 2018
With a depreciating peso, and with the increase in foreign remittance, many
families now have the purchasing power to buy and invest in the residential
property market.
Summary
According to market statistics, previous trends, reports by leading real estate
agencies like Colliers and JLL, Philippines remains an attractive spot for real
estate investments in 2019.
Prices are increasing, the demand is high, and the market is growing with a
sustainable pace, which is predicted to remain the same for the coming two to
three years.
The key drivers are: increased interest from foreign companies (that need
housing for their employees), Chinese investors, an increased purchasing power
among locals, and increasingly more remittance of money from overseas.
Yields are comparatively high and it’s generally easy to do business. You also
have the option to apply for a number of long-term visas, allowing you to stay
inde nitely, with low requirements.
It’s always hard to predict the future, but with the information on hand, it seems
like Philippines will perform fairly well in 2019. If you want to know more about
investing in condos in Manila, I also recommend you to read my separate guide.
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