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FM1 Assignment
Ashlesh Mangrulkar
B18014 (Section A)
08-OCTOBER-2018
5. Information on market ‘Events’ that can affect the short term and long
term outlook
An event can significantly affect the volatility of stock price and its value.
Market events such as regulations announced by the Govt. or change in
treasury rates ( esp. in case of banks) or company events such as new
product launches, annual/quarterly earnings report or sector -specific
regulation need to be studied. Past financial performance might be soft
indicator of future performance but any analysis on predicted maturity
price should take events into account. For example, higher dividend in
one quarter might affect the stock price bullishly but also result in
increased volatility of asset value. Events can be categorized as market-
wide or stock-price events.
Options Strategy
The Fund has conventionally favored higher investment in dividend paying
firms. The same will be followed here. The aim is to increase risk adjusted
performance of the fund, and increase income through call writing to
support its cash dividend payout policy.
Stock Price
Strike Price
Profit/Loss
Bull Buy Write
Spread Strike 1 Strike 2
Stock Price 60 65
50 -0.15
55 -0.15
57.74 -0.15
60 -0.15
62.5 2.35
65 4.85
68 4.85
Strike Price 2
Profit/Loss
The Fund is operating on some rigid criteria which have been set by its board of
directors. It seeks to supplement its income by trading in options.
The recommendations are :
1. The Fund doesn’t have significant expertise when it comes to options
trading, and hence for different stocks under its portfolio it will have to
devise a separate strategy for each stock based on its business
fundamentals. It will have to invest in developing the intellectual capital
to develop some level of expertise in this regard. In case of Facebook,
Inc. it is a volatile stock compared to JPMorgan Chase & Co. which was
offering dividends regularly to its shareholders.
2. To prevent return of capital, the Fund can effectively change its dividend
payout criteria, w.r.t market performance. Rather than forcible sticking
to a fixed payout plan, it can tie it with market performance, thus
rewarding shareholders when markets perform above expectations.
3. Since the stock price is trading below NAV, the Fund is inclined to take
bold steps to improve its performance, but such a knee-jerk reaction is
undesirable. It could try to improve its performance by changing its
investment model of 75%-25%. In case of IPOs though no dividend is
paid, the Fund can take advantage of the market movements in its favor.
4. The Fund can benchmark its performance with other closed end Mutual
Funds that are operating in the same market and compare the returns it
offers w.r.t to them. It can adopt their best practices.