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NYSE: MGA
BUY
RATING SINCE 04/06/2016
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F TARGET PRICE $55.41
Annual Dividend Rate Annual Dividend Yield Beta Market Capitalization 52-Week Range Price as of 7/13/2017
$1.10 2.29% 1.43 $18.3 Billion $36.27-$48.27 $47.97
Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Sub-Industry: Auto Parts & Equipment Source: S&P
Weekly Price: (US$) SMA (50) SMA (100) 1 Year 2 Years
MGA BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
Magna International Inc. designs, develops, and 58
manufactures automotive systems, assemblies, TARGET
TARGET
TARGETPRICE
TARGET PRICE
PRICE$55.41
$55.41
$55.41 55
modules, and components in North America, 53
Europe, Asia, and South America.
50
STOCK PERFORMANCE (%) 48
3 Mo. 1 Yr. 3 Yr (Ann) 45
Price Change 21.19 29.61 -4.47 43
40
GROWTH (%)
Last Qtr 12 Mo. 3 Yr CAGR 38
Revenues 5.30 10.98 1.86 35
Net Income 19.10 4.16 10.26 33
EPS 25.40 13.25 16.05 Rating History
BUY BUY
RETURN ON EQUITY (%)
Volume in Millions
MGA Ind Avg S&P 500 40
Q1 2017 20.54 26.26 13.16
Q1 2016 20.97 29.09 11.83 20
Q1 2015 23.09 31.85 13.71
0
2015 2016 2017
P/E COMPARISON COMPUSTAT for Price and Volume, TheStreet Ratings, Inc. for Rating History
RECOMMENDATION
We rate MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC (MGA) a BUY. This is driven by a number of strengths, which we
believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance
opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its
revenue growth, solid stock price performance, growth in earnings per share, increase in net income and
attractive valuation levels. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had somewhat
disappointing return on equity.
8.77 19.66 24.41
MGA Ind Avg S&P 500 HIGHLIGHTS
MGA's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 3.9%. Since the same quarter one year
prior, revenues slightly increased by 5.3%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost
EPS ANALYSIS¹ ($) the earnings per share.
Powered by its strong earnings growth of 25.40% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by
29.61% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Regarding the
stock's future course, although almost any stock can fall in a broad market decline, MGA should continue to
move higher despite the fact that it has already enjoyed a very nice gain in the past year.
MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC has improved earnings per share by 25.4% in the most recent quarter
Q1 1.10
Q2 1.29
Q3 1.13
Q4 1.19
Q1 1.22
Q2 1.41
Q3 1.29
Q4 1.24
Q1 1.53
compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per
share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year,
2015 2016 2017 MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC increased its bottom line by earning $5.16 versus $4.71 in the prior year. This
NA = not available NM = not meaningful
year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($5.75 versus $5.16).
1 Compustat fiscal year convention is used for all fundamental
data items. The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the Auto
Components industry average, but is less than that of the S&P 500. The net income increased by 19.1% when
compared to the same quarter one year prior, going from $492.00 million to $586.00 million.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 1
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NYSE: MGA
LCII
operational factories, generating annual revenue of about $200 billion. The industry is cyclical and highly
FA
concentrated. Key players include Johnson Control (JCI), Visteon (VC), Magna International (MGA), and
VO
The various product categories include specialized interchangeable components and systems engineered for
MGA BWA specific applications, which are usually sold under long-term contracts since they require significant
GNTX research and development. Tire producers are considered hybrids because they often cater to original
ALV DLPH equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and to the after-market.
Revenue Growth (TTM)
DORM
TEN Overall demand for auto parts is driven by new car sales, which in turn is influenced by interest rates and the
replacement market. Since most expenditure remains constant, profitability depends on two factors, product
UN
LEA DAN
FA
specialization and operational capacity utilization. In order to compete with large companies, smaller
VO
-2.5%
companies need to focus on a limited number of product lines and cater to niche markets with technically
RA
B
superior products. The industry’s structure is complex, with smaller companies (referred to as "tier 2" and "tier
LE
5% VC 40% 3" suppliers) selling parts to larger suppliers, referred to as "tier 1" suppliers. The tier 1 suppliers in turn sell
EBITDA Margin (TTM) component assemblies or modules to automobile assemblers such as General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor
Companies with higher EBITDA margins and Company (F).
revenue growth rates are outperforming companies
with lower EBITDA margins and revenue growth The next few years pose significant challenges to auto suppliers in North America. Demand for automotive
rates. Companies for this scatter plot have a market components has declined in recent years along with OEM sales. Production volumes for Detroit’s big three
capitalization between $2.5 Billion and $24.6 Billion. automakers have dropped by an annual average of 2% over the past decade. Such declines amplify the
Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. adverse impact of existing operational shortcomings. Intense competition from suppliers in China, India and
other low-cost countries is pressurizing margins at a time when prices for key inputs such as steel and
*EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and
Amortization. aluminum have reached historical highs. Even large suppliers are strained to pass along these cost increases
to automakers.
REVENUE GROWTH AND EARNINGS YIELD
Since 2001, about one-third of the region’s 25 largest auto suppliers (by revenues) have filed for bankruptcy
20%
LCII protection and many continue to struggle. Suppliers are trying hard to boost operational efficiencies, but are
limited by their bargaining power on prices with OEMs.
FA
VO
RA
BL
DORM
TEN GNTX GENTEX CORP 18.11 5,202 14.37 1,726.89 364.87
DAN DANA INC 23.55 3,404 5.12 6,078.00 670.00
UN
LEA DAN
FA
RA
0%
VC 20% DORM DORMAN PRODUCTS INC 76.09 2,610 23.78 873.08 110.57
LCII LCI INDUSTRIES 101.20 2,520 18.53 1,754.44 136.86
Earnings Yield (TTM)
DLPH DELPHI AUTOMOTIVE PLC 91.78 24,587 21.44 16,902.00 1,167.00
Companies that exhibit both a high earnings yield
and high revenue growth are generally more LEA LEAR CORP 149.04 10,267 10.36 18,893.20 1,032.50
attractive than companies with low revenue growth ALV AUTOLIV INC 115.73 10,222 17.72 10,251.70 577.80
and low earnings yield. Companies for this scatter The peer group comparison is based on Major Auto Parts & Equipment companies of comparable size.
plot have revenue growth rates between -1.9% and
19.8%. Companies with NA or NM values do not
appear.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 2
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NYSE: MGA
TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both
price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to
perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates. While our model is
quantitative, it utilizes both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include
expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company
earnings. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company
cash flows.
Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown
as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e.how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits; the level of
acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings
growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as
compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared
to its stock's performance. These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted,
and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of
selecting stocks.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 3
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NYSE: MGA
During the same period, stockholders' equity ("net worth") has increased by 9.39% from the same quarter last
1.47 5.75 E 6.51 E year. Overall, the key liquidity measurements indicate that the company is in a position in which financial
Q2 FY17 2017(E) 2018(E) difficulties could develop in the future.
STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the
INCOME STATEMENT next 12-months. To learn more visit www.TheStreetRatings.com.
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Net Sales ($mil) 9,372.00 8,900.00
EBITDA ($mil) 1,035.00 889.00
EBIT ($mil) 761.00 643.00
Net Income ($mil) 586.00 492.00
BALANCE SHEET
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Cash & Equiv. ($mil) 1,028.00 625.00
Total Assets ($mil) 23,573.00 22,380.00
Total Debt ($mil) 3,034.00 3,161.00
Equity ($mil) 10,343.00 9,455.00
PROFITABILITY
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Gross Profit Margin 15.48% 14.39%
EBITDA Margin 11.04% 9.98%
Operating Margin 8.12% 7.22%
Sales Turnover 1.57 1.49
Return on Assets 9.01% 9.11%
Return on Equity 20.54% 20.97%
DEBT
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Current Ratio 1.21 1.19
Debt/Capital 0.23 0.25
Interest Expense 19.00 23.00
Interest Coverage 40.05 27.96
SHARE DATA
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Shares outstanding (mil) 380 397
Div / share 0.28 0.25
EPS 1.53 1.22
Book value / share 27.20 23.84
Institutional Own % NA NA
Avg Daily Volume 1,638,350 1,307,857
2 Sum of quarterly figures may not match annual estimates due to
use of median consensus estimates.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 4
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NYSE: MGA
HOLD: $35.51
BUY: $40.99
Price/Earnings 1 2 3 4 5 Price/CashFlow 1 2 3 4 5
$50 premium discount premium discount
MGA 8.77 Peers 19.66 MGA 5.17 Peers 11.98
$40 • Discount. A lower P/E ratio than its peers can • Discount. The P/CF ratio, a stock’s price divided by
signify a less expensive stock or lower growth the company's cash flow from operations, is useful
expectations. for comparing companies with different capital
2015 2016 • MGA is trading at a significant discount to its peers. requirements or financing structures.
• MGA is trading at a significant discount to its peers.
DISCLAIMER:
TheStreet Ratings
14 Wall Street, 15th Floor The opinions and information contained herein have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but
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This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 5
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.