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Media mint
the Wall STREET JOURNAL.
120,000
trillion by 2014, according to a report by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (Ficci) and 109,100
KPMG, marking a recovery from last year’s slowdown. The study, released at Ficci’s annual media and entertainment
100,000
conference Frames in Mumbai on Tuesday, says the television industry is expected to expand 15% to touch almost
Rs52,100 crore in 2014, with growth driven by an increase in subscription and advertising revenue. Print, meanwhile, is
80,000
projected to grow 9% over the next five years to reach Rs26,900 crore by 2014, after last year’s marginal 2% increase.
Television will be advertising’s mainstay. It “covers over 50% of the population while print reaches only 30%”, said 65,200
57,900 58,700
60,000
Rajesh Jain, executive director at KPMG and head of its media and entertainment practice. “Also, growth in television 51,600
44,300
is led by fragmentation and the entry of new players. For instance, the entry of television channel Star Jalsa expanded
40,000
the Bengali market by 30%.” Advertising is also being diverted into fresh avenues. “DTH (direct to home) has over 16
million subscribers now, Internet is growing in excess of 29% and we have 4.7 million users of Facebook in India alone,”
20,000
Jain said. “All this is ushering in a huge growth in ad spends.” The film industry will do better with a 9% growth rate
over the next five years against the 5% growth of the last three years. The report projects 16% expansion in the radio
0
and music industries. Radio reforms are expected to improve profitability and stimulate foreign investment. 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010P 2014P
*taken for calendar years; numbers have been rounded off to the nearest decimal
Growth rate of the industry (Rs crore) TV industry size (Rs crore) Growth in out of home listenership (across four markets tracked by RAM)
Domestic Overseas Home Cable and Ancillary Subscription revenues Average audience (in 000s)
revenue streams Advertisement revenues 2008 2009
theatrical theatrical video satellite rights
14,000 1,000
60,000
900
12,000 52,100 800
50,000
10,000 700
40,000 600
8,000 500
30,000 25,700 28,900 400
6,000
21,100 24,100 300
4,000 20,000 18,300 200
100
2,000 10,000 0
0 Early Morning Mid- Afternoon Evening Night
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010P 2014P 0 morning morning
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010P 2014P
Note: Previous year figures have been regrouped to exclude the rental market due to lack of accurate data
PRINT 160
Analog Digital DTH IPTV*
MUSIC
140 Mean 4.3 4.4 4.4
100%
120
Among those who have 80%
Comparison of advertising volumes by language
100 60%
(million column cm) purchased full-track
2008 volumes 2009 volumes 80 music downloads 40%
Growth (%)
59.5 in the last 12 months— 20%
English
58.6 -1.50% 60
top three countries 0%
48.3
Hindi
54.8 13.50% 40 1-2 3 4-5 US UK India
On a scale of 1-5; 1 means not at all satisfied and 5 means very satisfied
Vernacular 69.6
69.5 -0.10% 20 Overall level of satisfaction with the experience of full-track music downloading in the last 12 months
30,000
26,900 GAMING “Rich” physical media
Sales value of music
25,000
19,000 Performance royalty charges / TV shows
20,000
16,000 17,200 17,500
15,000 13,900 Mobile Console PC and online
Mobile phone/
10,000
Size of the Indian gaming industry (Rs crore) Internet-based
Audio cassettes CDs
inexpensive CDs music subscription/
4,000
downloads/ringtones
5,000 3,200
3,000
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010P 2014P 2,000 Devotional Old film Non-film / classical, New Indian / New film
980 Low etc. Western pop
1,000 650 790
300 440
ANIMATION 0
AD INDUSTRY
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010P 2014P