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Abstract
The movement of people in space implies the consumption of resources such as time, space, money and energy, as well as the
production of negative externalities such as accidents, pollution and congestion. Some of these effects have been analyzed on an
aggregate level by comparing regions in the world, a set of selected cities and different geographical areas in a particular city.
The analysis of data on a more disaggregate level that considers the differences in the cause and continuance of negative transport
externalities among social classes and groups living in a particular city in the developing world is rare.
This paper uses the São Paulo Metropolitan Region (SPMR) 1997 origin–destination (OD) survey to investigate such phenom-
enon by taking advantage of the fact that data are divided according to six levels of household income. Results refer to mobility
patterns in workable days.
The main conclusions are that although people at the lowest income level spend a high share of their income on transport, they
have a very low overall mobility and contribute almost nothing to transport externalities. At the other extreme, the two highest
income groups that use cars intensively invest much more time, space and money to travel around and so contribute to transport
externalities 8.4–15.2 times more than the lowest income group. Such large differences challenge current transport policies in devel-
oping countries and call both for a reassessment of assumptions and principles as well as for opposition to the propagation of myths
that have sustained such inequitable policies.
Ó 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
0966-6923/$ - see front matter Ó 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2004.10.007
330 E.A. de Vasconcellos / Journal of Transport Geography 13 (2005) 329–339
both in developed countries (Newman and Kenworthy, (office parking) or imposed on others (congestion, pollu-
1999; Whitelegg, 1997; Litman, 1996) and in developing tion) (Baumol and Oates, 1988; Litman, 1996; Verhoef,
ones (Vasconcellos, 2001). 1994). For a more precise scientific definition:
This paper uses data from the São Paulo Metropoli-
An external effect exists when an actorÕs (the receptorÕs)
tan Region (SPMR) origin–destination (OD) survey
utility (or profit) function contains a variable whose
conducted in 1997 to investigate such phenomenon
actual value depends on the behavior of another actor
(CMSP, 1998). 1 In order to carry out the 1997 OD sur-
(the supplier), who does not take these effects of his
vey, the metropolitan area was divided into 389 traffic
behavior into account in his decision making process
zones and 30,000 households were statistically selected
(Verhoef, 1994, p. 274).
and visited, to interview household members about their
travel behavior on the previous working day. In this As Baumol and Oates have pointed out (1988), such a
paper, specific attention is given to how social and eco- definition excludes cases in which someone deliberately
nomic differences among people translate into differ- does something to affect someone else, that is, external-
ences in mobility, consumption patterns and the ity is seen as an unintended effect. Such a characteristic
production of externalities. Analysis is limited to passen- is stressed even further by saying that an externality ex-
ger transportation, be it walking or using bicycles, ists whether or not payment for the effect is imposed on
motorcycles, public transport and automobiles. the decision maker.
The term ‘‘transport metabolism’’ was selected to The comprehension of such externalities has evolved
represent the complex interaction that occurs in the pro- over time, since perceived transport impacts have also
cess of transport-related consumption of resources and become clearer (Bovy, 1990; Button, 1993; Miller and
production of externalities. Results are treated both on Moffet, 1993). It is important to emphasize that the nat-
an aggregate basis as well as according to the six income ure and consequences of such externalities are different
strata adopted by the survey (see Table 4). Results are in the case of developing countries vis à vis developed
represented through: ones, from where most studies originate.
The list of external effects may be quite long, ranging
time consumption; from congestion/pollution to waste disposal. Moreover,
consumption of resources from the built environment, there is controversy as to what is an ÔexternalÕ transport
such as road space; benefit or cost (Verhoef, 1994). Some effects are direct—
natural resource consumption, such as energy and fuel; congestion, pollution—while others are indirect—such
effects on congestion, pollution and traffic accidents. as visual annoyance. In most cases three main impacts
have been considered: congestion, pollution and acci-
The paper is divided into five parts. The first part dents, both in terms of their visibility as well as their tan-
summarizes the paperÕs objectives. Part 2 provides a gen- gible nature. Pedestrians hit by cars, drivers delayed by
eral discussion on transport externalities and comments others and people breathing polluted air are suffering
on recent assessment reports for these externalities. Part externalities often without any sort of compensating
3 provides general data on transport, mobility and exter- mechanism.
nalities in the SPMR in 1997. Part 4 analyzes the data The identification of externalities has to be followed
according to the social perspective proposed by the by their measurement. Some effects are relatively easy
paper. It investigates ‘‘transport metabolism’’ by to measure, such as excess time imposed by congestion
relating consumption, externalities and income groups. on buses using a particular road, while others are diffi-
Part 5 summarizes conclusions. cult to measure, such as the health effects of accident
and pollution, or the impact of traffic flows on peopleÕs
quality of life. Some of the most important external ef-
2. Transport externalities fects are discussed below.
times that of a two-wheeler (Vivier, 1999). Comprehen- in comparison with road capacity and increases expo-
sive city-wide surveys reflect how road public assets are nentially as traffic flow increases (TRB, 1985; Button,
divided among citizens: in Brazilian large cities, people 1993). If the costs of travelling along a particular road
using automobiles—the minority—are taking from are examined, it is possible to split those experienced
70% to 80% of road space (IPEA/ANTP, 1998). by a particular driver and those imposed by him/her
Road space must also be considered in relation to its on the others. The costs of making the trip (personal
impact on peopleÕs life: social relations may be severely time, fuel) may be called the average social cost of the
affected by traffic flows—the ‘‘barrier effect’’—and peo- journey (ASC) that increases as traffic flow increases.
ple may be forced to reorganize their travelling routes The cost imposed on others may be called marginal
and adopt ‘‘preventive behavior’’ to adapt to new condi- social cost (MSC) that also increases exponentially
tions (Appleyard, 1981; Hillman, 1988). Children and according to growing traffic flow, in an exponential
youngsters are especially affected by this externality way (Maddison et al., 1996).
while socializing. The significance of congestion stems from two sorts
of concerns. First, equity, since people using roads cause
2.1.2. Pollution delays to others. Second, the environment, as congestion
On a global scale, transport contributes to high per- with motorized vehicles implies higher energy consump-
centages of total emissions, with industrialized countries tion and pollutant emission. A specific analysis of con-
playing a major role in atmospheric pollution. Con- gestion that is relevant for developing countries is that
versely, developing countries contribute in a minor of how bus traffic is affected by automobile traffic. Traf-
quantity, due to their much lower level of motorization fic congestion may also severely hamper pedestrians.
(World Bank, 1997). Large cities in the developing Long signal cycles imply higher red times for crossing
world such as São Paulo and Mexico City already pro- flows, and so increased waiting time for pedestrians.
duce enormous quantities of pollutants. Urban air pol-
lution affects everybody, regardless of social or 2.1.4. Traffic accidents
economic conditions, however it is important to empha- Traffic accidents are a major public health problem
size that most of it is produced by motor vehicles, espe- all over the world. It is estimated that 1.2 million road
cially private transport (World Bank, 1997). traffic deaths occur and about 50 million people are in-
The negative effects of transport pollution on human jured in the world every year (WHO, 2004), most of
health have long been recognized. At the local level, them in developing countries. From a public health per-
there is increasing evidence that HC, NOX and SO2 spective, traffic fatalities have become increasingly more
and suspended fine particulate matter (SPM) are the significant among overall fatalities and are affecting
most health threatening pollutants (provided lead has mainly the most vulnerable users.
been eliminated) (Gwilliam, 2000). There is a growing Traffic accidents are a very complex phenomenon,
concern on the impact of SPM on the death of elderly involving technological, political, psychological and
and people with respiratory diseases (Saldiva, 1998). social determinants. Their inclusion as a transport exter-
nality has been debated for a long time. I will use the
2.1.3. Congestion above definition from Verhoef and the current condi-
There is much literature on the analysis of travel time tions in developing countries to perform my analysis.
on urban roads, which seeks to give a clear definition of Traffic accidents occur in built environments that are
congestion (ITE, 1976; TTI, 1996). The most used con- man-made environments. Both the way the city is con-
cept is the ‘‘engineering’’ one, based on the extra travel structed, and the way in which circulation infrastructure
time that comes out of a comparison between ÔidealÕ and is formed, have a direct effect on the nature of traffic
actual values. The definition of the former considers conflicts and hence the probability of traffic accidents.
road physical and operational characteristics, such as In developing countries, highly complex urban built
geometric features, traffic signal density and the vol- environments have been organized in the last four dec-
ume-to-capacity ratio. The actual values are measured ades, leading to a high risk of traffic accidents, especially
on the road. Another more ‘‘economic’’ concept is re- for those travelling in most vulnerable conditions. Street
lated to the cost a user imposes on others while travel- systems have been either constructed or adapted to
ling, and the correspondent search for an ‘‘equilibrium allow for greater vehicle mobility in space, implying rela-
point’’, that would represent the idea of ‘‘optimum’’ tively high average speeds. Most of the adapted streets
congestion. do not have proper sidewalks, or do not have sidewalks
Technically, the congestion phenomenon—and an at all, forcing pedestrians to share space with vehicles.
externality—occurs because vehicles entering a traffic New roads usually cross high density pedestrian areas,
stream on a particular road increase relative travel time changing a once pedestrian-friendly environment into
(minutes per kilometer) of vehicles already travelling on a new, automobile-friendly one. Urban social networks
the road. Such an impact is low when traffic flow is small are disrupted and remaining pedestrian movements have
332 E.A. de Vasconcellos / Journal of Transport Geography 13 (2005) 329–339
to face heavy traffic. Further, traffic management tech- ties in the world (1989) that eventually evolved towards
niques, especially one-way streets and signal coordina- a study encompassing both developed and developing
tion, tend to allow for higher speeds, further countries (1999), which formed the basis for the UITP
restraining pedestrian movements. Finally, deficient document on 100 large cities in the world (UITP,
enforcement and judicial procedures mean that most 2001). Such studies have clearly demonstrated that
traffic offenders remain free of penalties, including urban physical patterns and motorized vehicle types
drunk drivers who kill pedestrians or cyclists. The actual used, determine a cityÕs energy consumption and pollu-
result of this sort of spatial occupation reveals a hidden tant emission patterns. Dispersed, high income and auto-
feature of the built environment in developing countries: mobile-based cities expend much more fuel and generate
it is inherently dangerous for the majority of the popula- much more pollution than compact, low or high income,
tion, which depends on non-motorized modes, as modes transit-based cities.
per se or to provide access to public transportation. For Another study analyzed the relationship between
instance, in São Paulo, 1621 pedestrians were killed in mobility and sustainable development and explored
traffic accidents in 1986, compared to 271 in New York the economic, environmental and social aspects of the
and 43 in Tokyo (CET, 2000). Despite some social dif- issue, using detailed data from the city of Lyon, France
ferences, and different vehicle fleets, the figures are (Nicolas et al., 2001). Its main objective was to compare
self-explanatory. As stated by Sachs (1992, p192) ‘‘space environmental impacts as related to the geographical
conformed to speed destroys space conformed to the areas of Lyon (center, middle and peripheral), to the
pedestrians.’’ type of family structure and income, and to the type
Such a critical assessment has to be conducted in of transport mode used by them.
order to overcome some misleading ways of explaining This present study seeks to add to these two paths a
traffic accidents in developing countries. First, to blame third dimension: how the production of transport exter-
pedestrians and cyclists for negative accident statistics is nalities is related to the large income disparities of
to blame the victims. Second, in viewing accidents as households in a large city of a developing country.
externalities, is to assume that people choose freely to Therefore, each main externality is analyzed according
travel and counterbalance benefits to risks (therefore to six income groups and the final effect is demonstrated.
accepting the risks) and to omit that people in develop-
ing countries travel in inadequate conditions because
they have no alternative. Moreover, while travelling they 3. The São Paulo Metropolitan Region: 1997 transport
cannot properly protect themselves from a savage trav- conditions
elling environment. In addition, the fact that some driv-
ers (actually very few in developing countries) pay 3.1. General characteristics
insurance for their cars does not disqualify traffic acci-
dents as externalities (Baumol and Oates, 1988). It is The São Paulo Metropolitan Region (SPMR) is the
clear that some pedestrians behave unsafely or walk largest in Brazil and in South America, with an esti-
under drunk conditions however an automobile-domi- mated population of 16.8 million in 1997. It is formed
nated environment and all the correspondent difficulties by 39 cities, with the city of São Paulo being the largest
to use streets as a pedestrian or cyclist have created a and most important in economic and political terms,
space in which the most vulnerable roles are in danger having a population of about 10 million people. The re-
most of the time and are forced out of roads by the most gion has experienced intense growth in the last decades:
powerful roles (automobile drivers). This is a clear, deci- from 1970 to 1997 the population doubled and the
sive and overwhelming externality. motorized vehicle fleet multiplied by six, with 3.7 million
cars registered in 1997. The region has consolidated it-
2.2. Comprehensive analyses self as the most important economic and political region
in the country, with the tertiary sector corresponding to
On the one hand, literature on each of the aforemen- 70% of jobs. Average income, although high for Brazil-
tioned externalities is quite extensive. On the other hand, ian standards, is relatively low (about U$280), with 58%
comprehensive studies combining several externalities of people earning less than U$350 a month (and highly
are less common, especially in the case of developing skewed towards the upper strata). The region has also
countries. Some studies have combined a series of exter- experienced increasing transportation problems, most
nalities and managed to unveil the comprehensive rela- of them related to the sharp increase in the use of private
tionship among them, when seen together in a specific transportation and the corresponding decrease in public
physical space. Two excellent recent examples may be transportation use: the percentage of congested main
mentioned. roads in the afternoon peak is currently 80% and aver-
First, there is the study conducted by Newman and age bus and auto speeds are very low (12 km/h and
Kenworthy on transport and externalities in wealthy ci- 17 km/h, respectively). Atmospheric pollutant concen-
E.A. de Vasconcellos / Journal of Transport Geography 13 (2005) 329–339 333
Table 3
Mobility, income and motorization, SPMR, 1997
Monthly family income (R$) Autos/person Mobility (trips/person/day) Immobility (% of people) Working trips
% total trips % total travel time
<250 0.06 1.16 55 16.3 24.4
250–500 0.07 1.47 46 35.5 52.7
500–1000 0.12 1.76 38 40.4 59.2
1000–1800 0.18 2.07 30 43.5 60.1
1800–3600 0.32 2.34 28 44.4 59.7
>3600 0.50 2.64 24 42.4 56.8
Table 7
Energy consumed by transport mode, SPMR, 1997
Mode Daily consumption Consumption per passenger
GEP/day (million) % GEP/pass Ratio (auto = 100) GEP/pass km Ratio (auto = 100)
Auto 7196 78.1 709 100 73.1 100
Busa 1431 15.5 175 25 14.6 20
Metro 357b 3.9 210b 30 23.4b 32
Train 236b 2.6 395b 56 18.8b 26
Total 9219 100.0 447 / 41.1 /
a
Diesel and trolley buses.
b
Total energy (traction and facilities such as stations and offices); energy for traction is about 70–80% of total energy.
Table 11
Passenger transport metabolism, main mode, SPMR, 1997
Figure Daily quantity (main mode)
Walking Public Private Total
Trips (main mode) 10,812,241 10,467,286 10,153,705 31,432,232
Travel time (h) 2,722,000 10,587,000 4,569,000 17,878,000
Distance (pass km) 10,890,000 138,701,290 98,603,050 248,195,240
Energy (103 GEP) (–) 2,023,000 7,196,000 9,219,000
Fuel (l) (–) 1,596,000a 8,645,093b 10,241,093
Pollutants (kg) (–) 150,300c 2,236,000d 2,386,300
Accidents (–)e 49f 694g 743
Traffic fatalities (–)e 1.2f 6.1g 7.3
a
Diesel buses only.
b
Automobiles only (gasoline and alcohol).
c
Pollutants: CO, NOx, HC and PM, emitted by diesel buses only.
d
Pollutants: CO, NOx and HC, emitted by autos only.
e
Assuming that pedestrians are victims of accidents, caused by vehicles.
f
Buses.
g
Bicycles, motorcycles, automobiles.
Table 12
Average consumption per main mode, per trip, SPMR, 1997
Figure Consumption/trip (main mode)
Walking Public Private Total Rate priv/pub
Travel time (min) 15.1 60.7 27.0 34.1 0.4
Distance (km) 1.0 13.3 9.7 7.9 0.7
Energy (GEP) (–) 193.3 708.7 447.1 3.7
Fuel (l) (–) 0.15 0.85 0.50 5.6
Pollutants (g) (–) 0.01 0.22 0.12 15.3
Accidents/million trips (–) 4.7 68.4 36.0a 14.6
Fatalities/million trips (–) 0.1 1.3 0.4a 12.1
a
Motorized trips only.
100.0
foot In Table 13, a time budget was obtained by multiply-
90.0
80.0 public ing the number of trips in each income level by average
70.0 private travel times of 15.1 min (walking) 60.7 min (public trans-
60.0
port) and 27 min (automobile). A space budget was esti-
Data (%)
Table 13
Family investments in mobility, SPMR, 1997
Monthly family People 106 Household data
income (R$)
Mobility Trips/day Time budget (min/day) Dynamic Space Expenses with transport
budget (km/day)
R$/month % of average income
0–250 1.7 3.3 100.2 32.6 37.2 29.8
250–500 2.7 4.9 166.1 56.8 65.7 17.5
500–1000 4.6 6.5 228.9 94.3 109.8 14.6
1000–1800 3.6 8.4 299.2 151.5 179.7 12.8
1800–3600 2.6 9.2 315.3 216.1 256.4 9.5
3600 or more 1.4 10.2 326.0 300.3 355.7 9.9
All 16.8 6.9 235.4 133.4 154.3 14.9
time
distance
come. Table 14 and Fig. 3 show how travel times, dy-
8 namic distance, energy use, fuel use, pollution and
expenses
accidents vary with family income.
6
With traffic accidents, involvement of motorized
4 modes was estimated by multiplying the number of trips
in each mode by the relative danger of that mode, of
2 0.37 accidents per million pass km (public transport)
and 8.08 accidents per million pass km (automobiles)
0 (data from the city of São Paulo).
0 - 250 251 - 501 – 1,001 – 1,801 – 3,601 or The effects of such changes in time and space con-
500 1,000 1,800 3,600 more
sumption among income levels are significant. Follo-
Household monthly income (R$)
wing increasing orders of magnitude, energy
Fig. 2. Investments in mobility according to income, SPMR, 1997. consumption rises according to a ratio of 1:9, fuel con-
sumption to a ratio of 1:11, pollutant emission to a ratio
of 1:14 and traffic accidents to a ratio of 1:15. It can be
investing public money in more roads is democratic and observed that the worsening of externalities occurs
equitable, often voiced as ‘‘they benefit everybody’’. mainly from the fourth income level onwards, when
This increase implies more people travelling in the automobiles start to be widely used.
household and the use of more expensive modes. There-
fore overall expenses are multiplied by almost 10, how-
ever, the percentage of income spent with transport 4.3. Transport metabolism, social diversity and equity
decreases instead, from 30% in the lower income level
to 10% in the highest. Travel time budget per household The analysis of household consumption budgets of
is multiplied by about three. space and time reveals five distinct social groups:
Table 14
Transport metabolism, consumption and externalities, SPMR, 1997
Monthly family income (R$) Rates
Time Dynamic distancea Energy Fuel Pollutants Accidents
0–250 1 1 1 1 1 1
251–500 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7
501–1000 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.2
1001–1800 3.0 3.9 4.1 4.6 5.2 5.6
1801–3600 3.1 5.9 6.5 7.6 9.1 10.0
3601 or more 3.3 8.4 9.2 11.1 13.8 15.2
a
Aerial distances between the centers of origin and destination zones, magnified by a factor of 1.3 and by the area occupied per person, per mode
(see text).
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