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P
akistan, once a water-surplus country, is
now a water deficit country. The rainfall forecasting methods, and a much wider
is neither sufficient nor regular, to meet application of conjunctive water-use approach
the growing needs of water. About 70 per cent and propagation of high-efficiency irrigation
of the annual rainfall occurs in the months of systems. Institutional reforms for better co-
July to September. The surface water ordination and a wider formulation of a
resources of Pakistan mainly consist of flows national water-policy are other priority areas
of the Indus River and its tributaries, which under the medium-term strategic plan. Long-
bring in about 138 million acre feet (MAF) of term strategies include formulation of a
water annually. The Indus River alone regulatory framework on groundwater
provides 65% of the total river flows, while the abstraction, construction of large storage
share of Jhelum and Chenab is 17 and 19% dams, better flood and drought-forecasting
respectively. The months of peak-flow are mechanisms and resolving water-distribution
June to August during the monsoon season. problems between provinces. It is
The flow during the Kharif (Summer) is 84% recommended that a National Commission on
and during Rabi (Winter) season is 16%. The Water, supported by an experts panel, be
alluvial plains of Pakistan are blessed with created to steer the formulation of the
extensive unconfined aquifer, with a potential strategies and ensure the implementation of
of over 50 MAF, which is being exploited to an the strategies proposed.
extent of about 38 MAF by over 562,000
private and 10,000 public tubewells. In INTRODUCTION
Balochistan (outside the Indus Basin), out of a
W
total available potential of about 0.9 MAF of ater is essential for sustaining quality
groundwater, over 0.5 MAF are already being of life on earth. This finite commodity
utilized, thereby leaving a balance of about 0.4 has a direct bearing on almost all
MAF that can still be utilized, though some sectors of economy. In Pakistan its importance
aquifers are already over exploited. The Indus is more than ordinary due to the agrarian
River System, as such, will not be able to nature of the economy. The share of
continue self-reliance in agricultural agricultural sector in the Gross Domestic
production. Due to enormous amounts of Product (GDP) of Pakistan is about 24 %.
sediments brought in by the feeding rivers, the Since agriculture is the major user of water,
three major reservoirs – Tarbela, Mangla and therefore sustainability of agriculture depends
Chashma – will lose their storage capacity, by on the timely and adequate availability of
25% by the end of the year 2010, which will water. The increasing pressures of population
further aggravate the water-availability and industrialisation have already placed
situation. greater demands on water, with an ever-
increasing number and intensity of local and
This paper takes stock of the present situation regional conflicts over its availability and use.
of water-resources, present needs and future Historically, the high aridity index of the
requirements, the challenges imposed, and country is adding further to the significance of
suggests short, medium, and long-term water in developmental activities in Pakistan.
strategies to cope with the situation.
The suggested short-term strategies include Though, once a water-surplus country with
starting a mass-awareness campaign, huge water-resources of the Indus River
propagation of high-efficiency irrigation System, Pakistan is now a water-deficit
systems, changes in cropping-patterns, country. At present, the annual per capita
identification of feasible surface-water storage water- availability in Pakistan is about 1,100
3 3
sites and dams, and activation of water-user cubic meter (m ); below 1,000 m , countries
organizations. The medium-term strategies begin experiencing chronic water stress
suggest giving priority to lining of distributaries, (Population Action International, 1993). Table-
minors and watercourses in saline 1 gives the comparison of per-capita water-
*For Correspondence: Chairman, Pakistan Council of Research in Water Resources, No.3, St.17, F-6/2, Islamabad, Pakistan. 33
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
Table - 1: Per Capita Water-Availability surface water, rainfall, and groundwater. The
3
in Selected Countries (m ) extent of availability of these resources is
location-specific. A brief description of water-
resources of Pakistan is given in the following
COUNTRY 1955 1990 2025 sections.
China 4,597 2,427 1,818
Mexico 11,396 4,226 2,597 Surface Water-Resources
Philippines 13,507 5,173 3,072
Surface water-resources of Pakistan are
Iraq 18,441 6,029 2,356 mainly based on the flows of the Indus River
USA 14,934 9,913 7,695 and its tributaries. The Indus River has a total
Pakistan 2,490 1,672 837 length of 2900 kilometres (Km) and the
drainage-area is about 966,000 sq. Km. Five
Source: Population Action International, 1993
major tributaries joining its eastern side are
Jhelum, Chenab, Ravi, Beas and Sutlej;
availability in some selected countries of the besides, three minor tributaries are the Soan,
World, including Pakistan. Harow, and Siran, which drain in mountainous
areas. A number of small tributaries also join
The situation in Pakistan indicates that the the Indus towards its western side. The
country is nearing conditions of chronic water- biggest of such tributaries is River Kabul.
stress. Meanwhile, the gap between demand
and supply of water has increased to levels Rivers in Pakistan have individual flow
creating unrest among the federating units. characteristics, but all of them generally start
The extended drought during recent years to rise in the spring and early summer, with the
reduced fresh-water supplies of the country, monsoon rains and snow melting on the
which has highlighted the importance of mountains and have a combined peak
development of new sources and adopting discharge in July and August. The flows are
water-conservation measures for extremely minimum during winters e.g., during the period
judicious use of the finite quantity of water. November to February, mean monthly flows
are only about one tenth of those in summer.
WATER-RESOURCES Besides the major rivers, there are numerous
small rivers and streams, which are only
Figure-1 is a map of Pakistan showing the seasonal with flow depending on rain fall and
river system with dams and barrages and the carry practically no water during the winter
irrigated areas. months. and carry practically no water during
the winter months. The 77-year record of the
The water-resources of Pakistan include Indus River (1922-23 to 1999-2000) indicates
that the watersheds of the Indus River yield
34
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
about 138.7 MAF of water annually, see Pakistan is limited to the three western rivers,
Table-2. namely Indus, Jhelum and Chenab, while India
is entitled to divert flows of Ravi, Beas and
Sutlej. This treaty also provided for the
Table – 2(a) construction of a number of link canals,
Province Water Development barrages and dams on the Indus and its two
Potential (MAF) tributaries, Jhelum and Chenab, transferring at
least 20 MAF of water for the irrigation of
Punjab 2.7 areas that were cut off from irrigation-systems
NWFP 7.3 of rivers Ravi, Sutlej and Beas after the Indus
Balochistan 7.86 Basin Treaty.
Sindh 0.78
During the current century, the Indus Basin
has developed the largest contiguous
It is worth mentioning that the Indus River irrigation-system in the world. The system
alone provides 65% of total river flows, while includes Indus River and its major tributaries,
the share of Jhelum and Chenab is 17 and 19 3 major reservoirs (Tarbela, Mangla and
% respectively. The months of peak-flow are Chashma), 19 barrages/headworks, 12 link
June to August, which is the monsoons period canals, 45 canal commands and some 99,000
in the sub-continent. Flows for Kharif and Rabi watercourses. The total length of the canal-
crop seasons are 84 and 16 % respectively. system is, 58,450 Km, with 88,600
Thus, it becomes all the more important to watercourses, farm channels and field ditches
store as much water as possible during the running another 160,000 Km in length.
high-flow period, for use during low-flow
period. Under such circumstances, the Hill torrents in the hilly areas of the country
availability and integrated management of provide another source of surface water, which
storage-reservoirs in the country becomes has not been developed to its full potential.
very important. There are 14 distinguishable hill-torrent areas
in all the four provinces of Pakistan, with a
After the Indus Basin Treaty between India total potential of about 19 MAF at about 1,200
and Pakistan (1960), the availability of water to
600,000
Number of Tubewells
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Year
35
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
P
26 MAF. The present contribution of rain to akistan is a country, which is required to
crops in the irrigated areas is estimated at double its annual food production every
about 6 MAF. 15 years, in order to maintain its status-
quo in meeting requirements of food. This
36
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
target, on the surface, may not look so m3 per person, a drop of over 60% in sixty-
demanding, as the country is bestowed with year periods. Average canal-water supplies to
enough fertile and productive lands and the Indus Basin canal commands are around
sufficient freshwater-resources. Despite the 104 MAF. Out of this, around 38 MAF are
availability of these basic resources, available during the Rabi-season. The
unfortunately the country has to import large shortage of water during the current Rabi-
quantities of food commodities every year. season (2001-2002) would be over 40 per cent
With the current population of about 140 from that of the normal year. This shortage of
million people growing at the rate of almost water not only affected the Rabi-season crops
2.5% per annum, the country would have to (area and productivity) but would also affect
feed 120 million additional mouths by the year the plantation of cotton crop, especially in the
2025. Table-3 shows the production and Sindh province, as the crop is planted much
water-requirements of some major crops earlier than in Punjab.
needed to maintain self-sufficiency in these
food grains, which may be compared with The key issues related to water availability
Table-2. include the following:
Annual and seasonal variability in
Domestic and Industrial Needs availability of surface water and impact of
global warming
Table - 4 shows the domestic present and Seawater intrusion due to low flows below
future domestic requirements, based on a per- Kotri, resulting in ecosystem degradation
160 3000
140
2500
120
2000
100
80 1500
60
1000
40
500
20
0 0
1940- 41 1950- 51 1960- 61 1971- 72 1980- 81 1990- 91 2000- 01
YEA R S
37
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
Salt-water intrusion, due to up-welling from thousands of livestock heads died due to
underlying saline aquifer damage to the rangelands and fodder crops.
Deteriorating performance of public The catastrophe exposed the serious
tubewells, resulting in increased pumping limitations in our water-development,
costs management, and utilization systems and
1400
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
1200
Annual Rainfall in mm
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Sibi
Lahore
Rohri
Peshawar
Multan
D.I. Khan
Kohat
Jacobabad
Sargodha
Hyderabad
Nawabshah
Station
peak-year (Figure-4). The effect of the measles, malaria, school drop-outs, and
continued low rainfalls over most of the permanent dislocation of families have been
country since the last three years has resulted observed. The drought has also been
in low river flows and drought conditions. Not responsible for seawater intrusion in deltaic
only precious human lives were lost, but also areas, migration of cattle due to worsening
38
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
state of range and wetlands, and depletion further shows rising trend in 17 canal-
and deterioration of groundwater reservoirs. commands with various rising levels. The rise
The effect on agricultural crops has been in water-table seems to be high for those
tremendous: the total loss is estimated to be canal-commands that have higher water
about Rs. 50 billion, including the total loss of allowance. Most of these canals are in Lower
crops in 3 Million hectares of Barani (rain-fed) Indus Basin where heavy investment in
areas. drainage has been done during the past 15
years. The reasons could be very low rate of
Inadequate Storage and Sedimentation groundwater-use, floods during the summer nd
mis-management of water. However, the
Sedimentation in the three major reservoirs – overall picture shows depletion of carelessly
Tarbela, Mangla, and Chashma – is going to used groundwater resources, which would be
decrease their storage capacities by over 40% cared for till it is too late. It also indicates that
by the end of the year 2010. In this situation, there is a need to find appropriate water-
their capability to continue supplies to the allowance for canals, which will be required for
irrigation-system need to be re-assessed and the sustainability of groundwater. If surface
appropriate solutions found. The estimated canal supplies are not increased, the
loss of the storage-capacity of the three major groundwater will not be available in future.
reservoirs till 2010 is given in Table-5.
Waterlogging and salinity in Pakistan emerged
Groundwater Over-draft and Water logging as a consequence of the mismanagement of
and Salinity irrigated agriculture, flat topography, seepage
from unlined earthen canals, inadequate
The continued abstraction of groundwater has provision of drainage and the use of poor-
resulted in over-pumping and consequent quality drainage-effluent. The menace still
lowering of water table in many areas. persists and the situation is becoming serious
Prominent areas among these are Lahore, due to the problem of disposal of drainage-
parts of Balochistan and some densely effluent. From 1978 to 1998, the area with
populated urban areas of the Punjab and water-table above 1.5 m ranged from 9.0 to
Sindh. Efforts to recharge the depleting 18.3%, and similar variations were observed
aquifers need to be undertaken immediately. between 1.5 and 3.0 m and below 3.0 m
(Table-6).
Figure-5 shows the water-table in canal
commands as bars, to illustrate rising or The magnitude of the salinity/sodicity
lowering trend. It is clear from the figure that, problems can be gauged from the fact that, at
in 26 canal commands, water-table is fulling, one stage, the area of productive land being
with various degrees of depletion. Depletion is lost due to salinity was at a rate of about
generally in those canal-commands where 40,000 ha per year. A countrywide survey
water-allowance is lower and crops are heavily conducted by WAPDA during 1977-1979
dependent on tubewell irrigation. The figure showed the true status of soil-salinity in the
canal commands. In this, covering 16.72 Mha,
6
Watertable Trend (Ft.)
4
R IS IN G
26 N os of c anal C om m ands
-2
D E P L E T IN G 17 N os of c anal C om m ands
-4
-6
39
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
both surface and profile salinity/sodicity was percentage of the water is lost through
established through chemical analysis. About seepage and evaporation. A number of studies
25% of the area was affected by surface- have been conducted to estimate water-losses
salinity. Province-wise position of surface- in earthen canals, and watercourses.
salinity is shown in Table-7. Comparisons with Conveyance- losses in canals and
past surveys have indicated that the land watercourses are around 25 per cent and 30
affected by surface-salinity decreased from per cent, respectively. The application losses
42% in the early 1960's to about 25% in 1977- in fields are around 25-40 per cent. These
79 (WAPDA, 1980), primarily due to increased losses are high, due to application of old
irrigation-water supply from surface and irrigation-practices by the farmers. The overall
groundwater sources and management irrigation-efficiency in the irrigated areas is
measures taken by the Government of estimated to be hardly 30%. Similarly, in
Pakistan. Balochistan, where groundwater is a precious
and depleting resource, irrigation to apple
Low System-Efficiency and Productivity orchards exceeds the requirements by over
100%. This is a huge loss of water, even
As the irrigation system of Pakistan consists of through part of it is recoverable by pumping in
the perennial rivers, a network of inundation fresh- water areas only, but a major part is lost
and link canals, distributaries, watercourses to saline aquifers and due to high evaporation.
and irrigated fields, an appreciable
40
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
A
implementation of legislative measures and three-pronged approach towards
standards has been the root cause of the formulation of strategies to meet the
deterioration in water-quality observed over growing scarcity of water needs is
the year. The issue is becoming very serious, proposed. The general approach involves:
as many aquifers and open water-bodies, like
lakes, rivers and streams, are being a. Tapping of existing un-utilised resources
increasingly contaminated by pollution from and development of new and unexplored
industrial, agricultural and municipal wastes. water-resources.
According to estimates, pollution in River Ravi, b. Management of water-resources, to
due to sewage disposal from the city of achieve the goal of maximum production
Lahore, claims the lives of over 5,000 tonnes per unit of water used.
of fish every year. c. Improving the institutional set-up and
better governance of water-resources
On the basis of data available from monitoring institutions and infrastructure.
studies undertaken in the Salinity Control and
Reclamation Projects (SCARP) has indicated Based on the above approach, the following
a general deterioration of groundwater quality, strategies are suggested. These strategies are
though little change has been observed in grouped as short-term, medium-term and long-
surface water quality. Table-8 shows the term.
41
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
42
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
43
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
most of the country should be developed and suggested strategies need to be implemented
the most economical methods adopted on our in an organized and coordinated way, through
reservoirs. concerted efforts including better water-
management at the field level and good-
Formulating A National Water-Policy: Despite governance and institutional arrangements.
heavy dependence on water for its economy, The following overall recommendations are
the country still does not have a national put-forth for implementation of the proposed
water-policy. This policy will be formed to form strategies.
the basis for future planning, development,
and utilisation of water-resources. The present i) A focal-point organization at the federal-
document with little more work can provide the level should be identified. This
essential elements of such a policy. organization is suggested to be the
Pakistan Council of Research in Water-
Long-Term Strategies (Time Frame – Resources, which has the mandate to
beyond 7 years) undertake Research and Development
activities in water-resources at the national
Regulatory Framework On Groundwater: level. The Council may be given the
Uncontrolled abstraction of groundwater has additional mandate to provide the
played havoc in terms of quantity and quality necessary coordination between the
in the arid areas of Balochistan and parts of various federal and provincial planning
Punjab and Sindh. This needs to be checked and executing agencies, besides providing
through a stringent regulatory framework on the advisory role for implementing the
groundwater-abstraction. proposed strategy.
Construction Of Storage Reservoirs: This ii) The planning and execution of mega-
policy/strategy on construction of storage projects in the water-sector would continue
dams, wherever feasible, should continue to to be done by WAPDA. The WAPDA
be vigorously followed on long-term basis. continue to be the key organization for
Sites with the possible inter-provincial conflicts implementing the component related with
should be given priority. the operation and maintenance of existing
storage reservoirs and development of
Improved Forecasting Of Droughts And additional main reservoirs in the Indus
Floods: The forecasting mechanisms for floods River System.
and droughts should be strengthened and
improved, for saving precious life and iii) The provincial governments and its
property. various Research and Development
departments and agencies, like the On-
Resolving Water-Distribution Issues: The Farm Water Management Project, the
mechanism of water-distribution among extension directorates of the Agricultural
provinces and on the field in the irrigated Department, will play a major role in the
areas should be resolved amicably, to suit the execution of the activities related with
ground situations. high-efficiency irrigation systems and
lining of minors and watercourses, etc.
Continuation Of Activities Suggested Under The Irrigation Department will look after
Medium-Term Strategies: A number of the execution of water-development
activities under the medium-term strategies projects of local and regional level like
will be continued during the long-term strategic small dams and reservoirs, karez
plan. These are: undertaking the watershed- management, harnessing spring-water,
management activities, rejuvenating aquifers, groundwater regulation, and stream-flow
propagation of high-efficiency irrigation diversions, etc.
systems, etc.
P
akistan’s water-resources have been
diminishing at an alarming rate, as can previous paragraphs. This committee
be concluded from the above-stated should consist of representatives of the
facts. The quality of water is also deteriorating key institutions of four ministries viz.
with time. To improve the situation, the PCRWR, Federal Flood Commission,
44
Water-Resources in Pakistan: Challenges and Future Strategies
REFERENCES
Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1999-2000, Ministry of Food and Agricultural and Livestock,
Government of Pakistan.
Annual Report 1997-98, WAPDA.
Apportionment of Indus Water Accord, Report 2001, Irrigation & Power Department, Government
of Punjab by M.H. Siddiqui.
Drought Situation in Pakistan, Web Site of Sustainable Development Networking Programme,
(web site of Sustainable Development Network of Pakistan).
Irrigated Agriculture of Pakistan by Dr. Nazir Ahmad.
Issues and Opportunities, Discussion paper prepared for the Interdepartmental Water-Resources
Policy Group, Asian Development Bank, August 1995.
Ministry of Water and Power, Report on Future Strategy to Deal with Present Water Crisis.
National Water Management Strategy, Need for Immediate Implementation by Dr. Shahid Ahmad.
Papers published in the Proceeding of National Workshop on Water-Resources Achievements &
Issues in 20th Century & Challenges for the next Millennium, Pakistan Council of Research in
Water-Resources, June 1999.
Sustaining Water – Population and the Future of Renewable Water Supplies, Population Action
Welfare, 1993.
Three years Development Programme (2001-04), Planning Commission February 26, 2001,
Government of Pakistan.
Various Technical Reports by WAPDA & IRSA.
WSIP. (1990) Water Sector Investment Planning Study. Federal Planning Cell/ Consultants,
Lahore – Pakistan.
45