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VIETNAM AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY REPORT Q1/2019

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Abbreviations

OICA Organisation Internationale des Constructeurs d'Automobiles (International Organisation of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers)

GDVC General Department of Vietnam Customs

GSO General Statistics Office

MOIT Ministry of Industry and Trade

UN Comtrade United Nations International Trade Statistics Database

VAMA Vietnam Automobile Manufacturer Association

VAMI Vietnam Association of Mechanical Industry

VIRAC Vietnam Industry Research And Consultancy

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Content

Executive summary 4 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics 50

1. Business environment 6 2.2.2 Industry value chain 56

1.1 Macroeconomics 6 2.2.3 Industry position 58

1.2 Legal barrier 11 2.2.4 Spare parts 60

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements 23 2.2.5 Production 63

2. Industry overview 27 2.2.6 Consumption 69

2.1 World automobile market 27 2.2.7 Import 79

2.1.1 Spare parts 27 2.2.8 Automobile prices 83

2.1.2 Production 30 2.2.9 Distribution system 88

2.1.3 Consumption 33 3. Risks and Challenges 92

2.1.4 Import - export 39 4. Driving forces 100

2.1.5 Top typical countries 42 5. Planning and forecast 105

2.1.6 Top typical brands 46 6. Enterprises 112

2.2 Vietnam automobile market 50

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Executive summary

2017 continued to show the growth of the


world automobile market.

The world’s auto production workshops are


still located in three traditional areas where the The atutomobile industry in Vietnam today is
car industry was born early, are North America, largely stopped at simple assembly.
Western Europe and East Asia.

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In 2018, domestic automobile production and
In 2017, the world’s atutomobile consumption
assembly is extimated to reach xxx thousands
was estimated at xx.x millions of units,
of cars
increased by x.x% compared to 2016

Automobile exports in the world in 2017 has


continued to fall sharply and plunged the most
since 2012, when the total export value
reached only $ xxx.xx billion.

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Executive summary

The most popular brand accounting for the


highest proportion in the last 5 years in
Vietnam was still Toyota Vios with the sales
figure of xx,xxx units in 2018, approximately
xx.x units per day.

According to the Vietnam Association of


Automobile Manufacturers (VAMA), in 2018,

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the whole automobile market achieved sales of
xxx.x thousand vehicles (including travel cars,
trucks, passenger cars/buses and some other
vehicles), icreased by x.x% over the same
period in 2017.

In addition to the risks of policies, politics and


exchange rates, the industry faces challenges
such as: capitals, technologies, human
resources, supporting industries, government
policies, infrastructure and environmental
pollution…

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Content

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

1.2 Legal barrier

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomics

In 2018, GDP is estimated to reach x.xx%, the highest figure since 2008. GDP growth by quarters, 2015 – 2018

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Monthly CPI fluctuations, 1/2015 – 12/2018 Consumer price index (CPI) in the first six months of 2018 fluctuated
on a upward trend

Source: VIRAC, GSO

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1. Business environment

1.1. Macroeconomics

GDP per capita, 2013 - 2018


USD

• Until 2018, GDP per capita was estimated at xx.x million VND
(equivalent to x,xxx USD), a rise by xxx USD compared to 2017

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Source: VIRAC, GSO
Consumer Confidence Index, 2014- Q2/ 2018
According to the Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index, the consumer
confidence index of Vietnam the Q2/2018 was xxx points – decreased
by 4 points compared to previous quarter.

Source: VIRAC, GSO

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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomics

Market interest rates have been stable since 2015. Lending interest rate and mobilizing interest rate, 2012-2018
%

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Source: VIRAC, SBV
VND/USD exchange rate, 2011 - 2018
The VND/USD exchange rate was stable in 2018

Source: VIRAC, GSO

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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomics

Level of urbanization, 2010 - 2017

The increasing proportion of people living in urban areas has contributed


to the expansion of the auto market.

Source: VIRAC, GSO

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Disposable income and household expenditures, 2008 – 2017f
Increase in income and purchasing power: VND million

Source: VIRAC, GSO

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Content

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

1.2 Legal barrier

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

Strengthening the quality control of motorized vehicles: Draft Law on Corporate Income Tax:

Regulation of maintenance of means of transport

Maintenance cycle
Type of car

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Source: VIRAC summarized Circular53/2014/TT-BCTVT

Vehicle load control:

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

To change the regulations on prices of special consumption tax calculation for imported automobiles of under 24 seats.

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

The draft import tax applies to automobile parts

Menu of goods Commodity code details Tax rate

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Source: VIRAC

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

Modification of import tax on complete cars from some countries Roadmap to apply special consumption tax on cars

From 1/7/2016 From


Segment Current SCT
- 31/12/2018 1/1/2018
1

2
3

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4

Source: VIRAC summarized Circular165/2014/TT-BTC

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

According to Decision No. 49/2011 / QD-TT, from 01/01/2017, assembled and imported motors and cars must meet the emission standard of 4 level
(Euro 4).

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

Decree No. 116/2017 / ND-CP, dated 17/10/2017 stipulating the conditions for production, assembly, import and business of automobiles warranty
and maintenance services of various types and effective from signed date.

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

General regulations on car import and business:

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

Conditions for car maintenance and warranty:

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

On 16/11/2017, Decree No. 125/2017 / ND-CP was promulgated on amending and supplementing a number of articles of the Government's Decree No.
122/2016 / ND-CP dated 01/09/2016 about export tariffs, preferential import tariffs, list of commodities and absolute tariffs, mixed taxes, import tax
outside tariff quotas.

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

The Ministry of Transport has issued Circular No. 03/2018 / TT-BGTVT guiding the implementation of Decree 116 on technical safety and quality
control and environmental protection for imported cars.

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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal barrier

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Content

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

1.2 Legal barrier

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

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1. Business environment
1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

Roadmap of WTO tariff reductions for imported complete cars and


WTO – Increasing competition in the industry.
auto components

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3

a)

b)

c)

Source: VIRAC

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1. Business environment
1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

AFTA, ASEAN + 3 – Vietnam is in danger of becoming a consumption market for foreign car.

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AFTA 2008 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Tax rate (%)

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1. Business environment
1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.1 Spare parts

Import of world car components, 2010 - 2017e Import structure of automobile components and
USD billion accessories, 2017e
Proportion
Country Ranking
(%)

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Source: VIRAC, UN Comtrade Source: VIRAC, UN Comtrade

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.1 Spare parts

Export structure of automobile components and


accessries, 2017e
Proportion
Country Ranking
(%)

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.2 Production

Million Units
Production of cars in the world, 2010 - 2017 2017 continues to show the growth of world’s
automobile market.

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Source: VIRAC, OICA


Structure of world production by vehicle, 2017

Source: VIRAC, OICA

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.2 Production

Production structure by region, 2016 - 2017

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Source: VIRAC, OICA

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

World car consumption by type, 2010 - 2017 Global car consumption in 2017 were xx.x million vehicles,
increased by x.x% compared to 2016
Million Units

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Source: VIRAC, OICA

Top 10 World’s best-selling cars , 2017

Million Units

Source: VIRAC, OICA

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.13 Consumption

Consumption of car in the world, 2013 - 2017


Million Units

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Source: VIRAC, OICA

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

Car consumption of ASEAN Automotive Federation members (AAF), 2017


Thousand Units

Source: VIRAC, OICA

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

The number of vehicles used in the world, 2010 - 2015e

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Source: VIRAC, OICA
Structure of vehicle usage by area, 2015

Source: VIRAC, OICA

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

Number of vehicles per 1,000 people in some typical countries, 2015

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* Average automobile ownership: 182 units/ 1,000 people


Source: VIRAC, OICA

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.4 Import - export

Exporting cars in the world, 2010 – 2017e


Million Units

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Source: VIRAC, UN Comtrade


Automobile exports in the world in 2017 has continued to fall sharply and plunged the most since 2012, when the total export value reached xxx.x
billions USD

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.4 Import - export

Structure of automobile exports by country, 2017e Import structure of cars by country, 2017e

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Source: VIRAC, UN Comtrade Source: VIRAC, UN Comtrade

Top largest exporters of automobiles are Germany, Japan, Mexico, Canada...

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.5 Top typical countries

China - The world's largest car consumption market Top the largest automobile consumption countries by volume, 2017

Place Country 2016 2017

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4

US - The market has continued to grow for 7 years


8

10

Source: VIRAC, OICA

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.5 Top typical countries

Japan – Growing after 3 continuous years of decline

Germany - Europe's largest automobile market and considered the birthplace of the automobile industry

India - Emerging markets.

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UK

Brazil

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.5 Top typical countries

France

Italia

Canada – Strong growth thanks to exports benefited from increased demand in the US

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.6 Top typical brands

Volkswagen (VW for short)


Top 10 leading producers in the world, 2016

Unit: Thousand Units

Toyota Môtôr Corporation

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Renault-Nissan

Hyundai-Kia

Source: VIRAC, OICA

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.6 Top typical brands

General Môtôrs Corporation

Ford

FCA

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Honda Motor

Psa

Suzuki

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2. Industry overview
2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.6 Top typical brands

Top ten world’s most-priced cars published by Brand Finance, 2017


Billion USD

Source: VIRAC, Brand Finance

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

Market segments

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

Number of businesses, 2010-2017 Number of employees, 2010-2017

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Source: VIRAC, GSO Source: VIRAC, GSO

The number of enterprises operating in automobile assembly sector in 2017 was xx enterprises, increased by xx.x% in comparison with 2016.

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

Sales of automobile manufacturing and assembly, Sales of automobile wholesaling and retailing, 2010 –

VND billion 2010 – 2017 VND billion 2017

Source: VIRAC, GSO Source: VIRAC, GSO

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

Vehicle consumption structure by business, 2018

Truong Hai continues to be the largest company of market share holder,


with xx.x% of total car consumption in the country.

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Source: VIRAC, VAMA

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

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The form of car assembly by the degree of complexity increases:

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.1 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.3 Industry value chain

Value chain of Vietnam automobile industry

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Source: VIRAC, OICA, VAMA

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.2 Industry position

Industry position of Vietnamese cars compared to the world by volume, 2017

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Source: VIRAC, OICA, GSO

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.4 Spare parts

Million Car accessories output, 2013-9M/2018


units

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Source: VIRAC, GSO

Structure of car accessories, 9M/2018

Nguồn: VIRAC, GSO

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.4 Spare parts

The automobile industry in Vietnam today is largely stopped at simple Import of car accessories, 2010 – 2018
USD billion
assembly.

Content is intentionally removed for demo purpose Source: VIRAC, GDVC

Localization rate of some countries in the region, 2017

Source: VIRAC, VAMA

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.4 Spare parts

According to General Department of Customs, in 2018, Vietnam Import of auomobile spare parts by countries, 2016-2018
spent x.xxx billion USD on importing car components USD million

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Import structure of automobile spare parts, 2018

Source: VIRAC, VAMA

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

According to GSO, in 2018, total assembled and manufactured cars reached Production and assembly of automobiles in Vietnam, 2010 – 2018
xxx thousand cars, increased by x.x compared to 2017 Thousand units

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Production output of THACO, 2010 - 2016 Source: VIRAC, GSO, VAMA

Thousand units

Source: VIRAC, THACO

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

Thousand units

Production, assembly structure by vehicle type, 2011 –2018

Source: VIRAC, GSO

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In the car assembly structure in Vietnam, passenger cars always maintain a high proportion compared to trucks

Source: VIRAC, Ford

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

Investmen expenses for research and development


Assembly and production value chain of Truong Hai Auto
At present, Vietnam's automobile industry has almost no
investment in research and development (R&D).
Supplier Relevant units R&D Centre Factory

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Source: VIRAC, THACO

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

1 year- journey of Vinfast car manufactures

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Source: VIRAC, THACO

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

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Source: VIRAC, THACO

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Automobile consumption in Vietnam, 2006-2018


Thousand units

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According to the Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association, in 2018, the whole automobile market achieved sales of xx.x thousand vehicles
(including travel cars, trucks, passenger cars/buses and some types of cars. other vehicles), decreased by x.x% over the same period in 2017.

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Thousand units Consumption of cars by vehicle type, 1/2017 – 12/2018

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According to 12/2018 report of the Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association (VAMA), in 12/2018, sales of the whole market reached xx,xxx
vehicles, increased x.x% compared to 11/2018 and xx.x% compared to 12/2017

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Thousand units Consumption output by car origin, 1/2017 – 12/2018

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

The trend of car development in Vietnam is against the other countries in Trends of automobile industry development in some Southeast Asian
the region. countries, 2011 - 2016

Source: VIRAC, OICA, VAMA

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Proportion of car ownership below 9 seats in some countries


Unit in region, 2017

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Number of cars per 100 households by urban and rural areas,


Unit 2004 – 2016e

Source: VIRAC, GSO

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2. . Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Top 10 best selling cars /2018


Thousand units

Nguồn: VIRAC, VAMA

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Consumption structure of VAMA members by region , 2016-2018 Consumption vehicles of VAMA members by region, 2018
Thousand Units Thousand units

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Source: VIRAC, VAMA Source: VIRAC, VAMA

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Vehicle consumption structure by business, 2017 Vehicle consumption structure by business, 2018

Source: VIRAC, VAMA Source: VIRAC, VAMA

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Competitive Analysis between Truong Hai and Toyota Vietnam by the end of 2018

Truong Hai Toyota

Distribution scale

Sales in 9M/2018

Brands

Marketing strategy

Promotion
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Human resource training

Product advantage

Strength

Weakness

Direct competitive products

Source: VIRAC

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.7 Import

Import of automobiles in complete units, 2011-2018


Thousand units

Source: VIRAC, GDVC

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According to the General Department of Customs, in 9/2018, the numbers of imported complete car in Viet Nam reached xx.x units.

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.7 Import

Import complete cars from some big countries, 2017 - 2018


Structure of complete cars import by
Thousand units country, 2018

Source: VIRAC, GDVC

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.7 Import

Top brands of above 2 billions cars


Top markets of above 2 billions cars impored in Viet Nam, 2017
units
impored in Viet Nam, 2017

No Brand Number

Source: VIRAC, GDVC 6

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9 purpose
10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18
Source: VIRAC, GDVC

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

USD thousand Vietnam Automobile prices comparing to other countries, 2017

Source: VIRAC

Special consumption tax by car segment, 2018

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Source: VIRAC, MOIT

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

Vehicle prices according to the cost structure of the consumer

Content is intentionally removed for demo purpose Source: VIRAC

List of taxes applicable on a car in Vietnam: Fees to be paid when cars are on the road:

87
2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

Price movements of some major vehicles, 6/2014 - 12/2018


VND million

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Source: VIRAC

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

Imported car prices from ASEAN before 1/1/2018, assuming an original price of 100
Former tariff, prior to 1/1/2018
Car type Corporate
(Capacity) Original price Import tariff SC tariff VAT income tax Local price

Source: VIRAC

Imported car prices from ASEAN after 1/1/2018, assuming an original price of 100
Former tariff, prior to 1/1/2018
Corporate
Original Import income Deduction
Car type (Capacity) price tariff SC tariff VAT tax Local price level

Source: VIRAC
Content

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.9 Distribution

Automobile brands in Vietnam often invest their own distribution system or


cooperate with dealers to bring their products to customers.

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.9 Distribution

In 2017, the volatile auto market also affected the business of retail distribution.

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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.9 Distribution

On June 28 in Hanoi, VinFast and General Motors (GM) US signed a new strategic cooperation agreement in Vietnam. Accordingly, VinFast acquires
GM's production and distribution of Vietnam.

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Content

3. Risks and Challenges

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3. Risks and Challenges

Risk factors

Policy risk

Political risk

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Exchange rate risk


VND/USD exchange rate, 2011-9/2018

Source: VIRAC, Yahoo Finance

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3. Risks and Challenges

The car manufacturing and assembly industry faces many challenges

Low localization rate

Direct competitors Content is intentionally removed for demo purpose

Potential opponents

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3. Risks and Challenges

Capital and technology

Low human resources

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Business information system

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3. Risks and Challenges

Government policies

Traffic confrastructure

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Oil price movement World crude oil price, 2011 – 9/2018


US Dollars/barrel

Source: VIRAC, World Bank

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3. Risks and Challenges

Impact on environmental pollution Structure by source of CO2 emission to the environment

Content is intentionally removed for demo purpose Source: VIRAC, World Resources Institute

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3. Risks and Challenges

The challenge coming from integration

Market dominance of imported cars

The transfer of the production and assembly of cars to Thailand

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3. Risks and Challenges

Five Forces Model

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4. Driving forces

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4. Driving forces

Prospect of automobile consumption in Vietnam

Demand for automobile consumption in Vietnam continues to grow relatively when compared with other markets in the region.

Roadmap for tax reduction:

Infrastructure - traffic is improving:


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Economic development

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4. Driving forces

Size and quality of population Population pyramid, 2016

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Low and stable interest rates and growth in consumer lending are Source: VIRAC, GSO
driving forces for automobile industry growth.
Outstanding consumer loans, 2012 - 2017
VND trillion

Source: VIRAC, NFSC

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4. Driving forces

Structure of population by stratification (expenditure), 2013 – 2020f

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Increase of income an purchasing power Source: VIRAC, GSO

Disposable income and household expenditures, 2012 – 2017f

Source: VIRAC, NFSC

105
4. Driving forces

Car market share is still very large

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Content

5. Planning and forecast

107
5. Planning and forecast
5.1 Planning

Decision No. 1211/QD-TTg approving the development plan of Vietnam's Expected volume of domestic assembled vehicles
automobile industry to 2020 with a vision to 2030. compared to total domestic demand (%)

2020 2025 Năm 2030

Content is intentionally removed for demo purpose Source: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTg

Estimated vehicle output and growth rate of the year


Expected to export complete vehicles and spare parts

Production output of domestic Target Unit 2020 2030


Growth rate (%/year)
vehicles (pcs)

2020 2025 2030 to 2015 2016-2020 2021-2030

Source: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTg Source: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTg

108
5. Planning and forecast
5.1 Planning

Rate of localization by value over years

2020 2025 2030


Supporting industry objectives:

Content is intentionally removed for demo purpose Source: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTg

Development orientation

109
5. Planning and forecast
5.1 Planning

For dedicated cars:

For supporting industry:

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Other strategy orientation

110
5. Planning and forecast
5.2 Forecast – 5.2.1 World forecast

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2018 is about to mark technological transforms and regional market
changes.

111
5. Planning and forecast
5.2 Forecast – 5.2.2 Domestic forecast

By the end of 2017, car makers was competitively offering cheap prices and high-end vehicles are expected to bloom in 2018.

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Trucks and specialized vehicles segments have huge potentials to develop in 2018 thanks to:

112
5. Planning and forecast
5.2 Forecast – 5.2.2 Domestic forecast

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Forecast of car consumption in Vietnam, 2016 - 2020f
Thousand Units

Source: VIRAC

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Content

6. Enterprise

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6. Enterprise

Overview of Truong Hai Auto Some typical models of Truong Hai Auto

Vina mazda Kia motors Peugeuot

Mazda 3 Kia morning Peugeot 208

Mazda 6 Kia Cerato Peugeot 408

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Mazda Cx5
removed
Kia Sorento
for demo purpose
Peugeot
3008

THACO - Truck THACO - Bus

Truck Couch

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6. Enterprise

Business strategy of Truong Hai Auto Sales and share of Truong Hai Auto, 2013 – 2018

Unit
Currently, business strategy of Truong Hai is applied separately for different
product lines:

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Source: VIRAC

Some financial indicators of Truong Hai Auto Evaluating Truong Hai Auto

In 2017, THACO recorded revenue growth in most of its business


Indicator (VND billion) 2015 2016 2017 operations, except for its major revenue - car sales. THACO has completed
its charter capital increase to VND xx,xxx billion.

Source: VIRAC

116
6. Enterprise

Overview of Toyota and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

Camry Corolla

Fortuner Innova

Vios Hiace

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Sales (volume) and market share of Toyota Vietnam 2013 – 2018 The strategy of Toyota Vietnam
Unit

Source: VIRAC

* Sales does not include Lexus 117


6. Enterprise

Overview of Lexus and its subsidiaries in Vietnam Typical models

Lexus is the exclusive luxury car brand of Toyota Motor Corporation


Lexus LS 460L Lexus LX 570

Lexus GS 350 Lexus GX 460

Lexus ES 350 Lexus RX 350

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Sales (output) of Lexus Vietnam2014 – 2018 Strategy of Lexus Vietnam


Unit

Source: VIRAC

118
6. Enterprise

Overview of Ford and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

Ecosport Transit

Fiesta Ranger

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Sales (volume) and market share of Ford Vietnam 2013 – 2018 Ford Vietnam’s strategy
Unit
Competitive strategy

Investment strategy on people

Source: VIRAC

119
6. Doanh nghiệp

Overview of GM and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

Chevrolet Chevrolet
Spark Colorado

Chevrolet Chevrolet
Orlando Cruze

Sales (volume) and market share of GM Vietnam 2013 – 2018 GM Vietnam’s strategy
Chiếc

Nguồn: VIRAC

120
6. Enterprise

Overview of Honda and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

City CR-V

Civic Accord

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Sales (volume) and market share of Honda Vietnam 2013 –2018 Honda Vietnam's strategy
Unit

Source: VIRAC

121
6. Enterprise

Overview of Mercedes-Benz and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

C – Class A – Class

E – Class GLE/GLS

S – Class V - Class

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Sales (volume) of Mercedes - Benz Vietnam 2013 – 2018 Strategy of Mercedes - Benz Vietnam

Unit

Source: VIRAC

122
6. Enterprise

Overview of Isuzu and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

N-series F-series

Q-series Đầu kéo

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Sales (volume) and market share of Isuzu Vietnam 2013 – 2018 Isuzu Vietnam’s strategy

Unit Isuzu's brand strategy and customer acquisition service:

Source: VIRAC

123
6. Enterprise

Overview of Hino Motors and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

Light truck Medium truck

Heavy truck

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Sales (volume) and market share of Hino Motor Vietnam 2013 –2018 The strategy of Hino Motors Vietnam

Unit Competing by quality:

Marketing strategy:

Growth prospects:

Source: VIRAC

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REPORT DISCLAIMER

REPORT DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared in good faith on the basis of information available at the date of publication without any independent verification.
VIRAC has produced this report for private circulation to professional clients only. All information and statistical data herein have been obtained from
sources we believe to be reliable and made to ensure the accuracy of the contents of the pages of the report at the time of preparation. Such information
has not been independently verified and VIRAC makes no representation or warranty, whether express or implied, of any kind with respect to the
document and its contents, information and materials. The content found in this report is proprietary to VIRAC and is provided solely for your personal
and non-commercial use. You agree that you will not use this report for any purpose that is unlawful and that you will not reproduce the report or
redistribute it outside your organisation, or place it on a website for public access without the express written permission of VIRAC.

SHOULD YOU NEED ANY ASSISTANCE, PLEASE CONTACT US:

VIETNAM INDUSTRY RESEARCH AND CONSULTANT (VIRAC JSC.,)

6th Floor, Anh Minh Building, 36 Hoang Cau, O Cho Dua, Dong Da, Hanoi, Vietnam

Website: http://virac.com.vn/

Email: viracresearch@virac.com.vn | Tel: +84 463289520

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