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Data Validasi Model 18042019
Data Validasi Model 18042019
Harga (Rp. Data Aktual Harga Petani Harga Data Aktual Harga Pengepuharga
Bulan Bulan Bulan
1 550 1 1,300 1
2 625 2 1,200 2
3 550 3 1,100 3
4 575 4 1,300 4
5 600 5 1,250 5
6 600 6 1,350 6
7 600 7 1,150 7
8 600 8 1,200 8
9 650 9 1,300 9
10 700 10 1,250 10
11 750 11 1,300 11
12 800 12 1,350 12
13 800 13 1,600 13
14 700 14 1,650 14
15 600 15 1,500 15
16 650 16 1,600 16
17 700 17 1,450 17
18 750 18 1,400 18
19 700 19 1,300 19
20 750 20 1,350 20
21 700 21 1,400 21
22 750 22 1,500 22
23 750 23 1,500 23
24 775 24 1,700 24
25 900 25 1,800 25
26 800 26 1,800 26
27 850 27 1,900 27
28 900 28 1,750 28
29 800 29 1,850 29
30 850 30 1,800 30
31 800 31 1,900 31
32 850 32 1,750 32
33 900 33 1,700 33
34 900 34 1,750 34
35 900 35 1,800 35
36 950 36 2,000 36
37 1000 37 2,200 37
38 1200 38 2,100 38
39 1100 39 2,000 39
40 1000 40 2,000 40
41 1200 41 2,000 41
42 1300 42 1,850 42
43 1000 43 1,900 43
44 1100 44 1,900 44
45 1000 45 1,800 45
46 1100 46 1,900 46
47 1200 47 1,900 47
48 1200 48 2,000 48
sum 40025 sum 78,350 sum
average 807.3863636364 average 1,632 average
Tabel 9 Pendapatan Petani Tabel 10 Pendapatan pengepul Tabel 11 pendapatan Industri sari
Bulan Data Aktual Hasil Simulasi Bulan Data Aktual Hasil Simulasi Bulan
1 1,760,000 1,760,000 1 4,160,000 4,160,000 1
2 2,156,250 1,770,560 2 4,140,000 4,184,960 2
3 2,048,750 1,781,183 3 4,097,500 4,210,070 3
4 2,012,500 1,791,870 4 4,550,000 4,235,330 4
5 2,055,000 1,802,622 5 4,281,250 4,260,742 5
6 1,935,000 1,813,437 6 4,353,750 4,286,307 6
7 1,950,000 1,824,318 7 3,737,500 4,312,024 7
8 2,079,000 1,835,264 8 4,158,000 4,337,897 8
9 2,388,750 1,846,276 9 4,777,500 4,363,924 9
10 2,362,500 1,857,353 10 4,218,750 4,390,108 10
11 2,437,500 1,868,497 11 4,225,000 4,416,448 11
12 2,480,000 1,879,708 12 4,185,000 4,442,947 12
13 2,480,000 1,890,987 13 4,960,000 4,469,605 13
14 2,275,000 1,902,332 14 5,115,000 4,496,422 14
15 1,992,000 1,913,746 15 4,980,000 4,523,401 15
16 2,307,500 1,925,229 16 5,680,000 4,550,541 16
17 2,205,000 1,936,780 17 4,567,500 4,577,844 17
18 2,287,500 1,948,401 18 4,270,000 4,605,311 18
19 2,107,000 1,960,091 19 3,913,000 4,632,943 19
20 2,475,000 1,971,852 20 4,455,000 4,660,741 20
21 2,502,500 1,983,683 21 5,005,000 4,688,705 21
22 2,625,000 1,995,585 22 5,250,000 4,716,838 22
23 2,606,250 2,007,559 23 5,212,500 4,745,139 23
24 2,518,750 2,019,604 24 5,525,000 4,773,609 24
25 2,835,000 2,031,722 25 5,670,000 4,802,251 25
26 3,000,000 2,043,912 26 6,750,000 4,831,065 26
27 3,272,500 2,056,175 27 7,315,000 4,860,051 27
28 3,240,000 2,068,512 28 6,300,000 4,889,211 28
29 2,960,000 2,080,924 29 6,845,000 4,918,547 29
30 3,038,750 2,093,409 30 6,435,000 4,948,058 30
31 2,720,000 2,105,970 31 6,460,000 4,977,746 31
32 2,826,250 2,118,605 32 5,818,750 5,007,613 32
33 2,880,000 2,131,317 33 5,440,000 5,037,658 33
34 3,195,000 2,144,105 34 6,212,500 5,067,884 34
35 3,375,000 2,156,970 35 6,750,000 5,098,292 35
36 3,329,750 2,169,911 36 7,010,000 5,128,881 36
37 3,350,000 2,182,931 37 7,370,000 5,159,655 37
38 4,500,000 2,196,028 38 7,875,000 5,190,613 38
39 4,400,000 2,209,205 39 8,000,000 5,221,756 39
40 4,100,000 2,222,460 40 8,200,000 5,253,087 40
41 4,440,000 2,235,795 41 7,400,000 5,284,605 41
42 4,966,000 2,249,209 42 7,067,000 5,316,313 42
43 3,600,000 2,262,705 43 6,840,000 5,348,211 43
44 3,520,000 2,276,281 44 6,080,000 5,380,300 44
45 3,300,000 2,289,939 45 5,940,000 5,412,582 45
46 4,015,000 2,303,678 46 6,935,000 5,445,057 46
47 4,440,000 2,317,500 47 7,030,000 5,477,728 47
48 4,560,000 2,331,405 48 7,600,000 5,510,594 48
2,914,792 2,032,617 5,690,844 4,804,367
AME 30.27 AME 15.58 AME Grafik Pe
6,000,000
5,000,000
Grafik Pen
9,000,000
Jumlah
8,000,000
4,000,000 Grafik Pend
Jumlah
7,000,000
35,000,000
3,000,000
6,000,000
30,000,000
5,000,000 Grafik Pendapa
Jumlah
2,000,000
25,000,000
25,000,000
4,000,000
1,000,000
3,000,000
20,000,000
20,000,000
Jumlah 2,000,000 0
15,000,000
1,000,000 1
15,000,000
3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17
10,000,000 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 Data
15 Akt
17
10,000,000
5,000,000
0
5,000,000 Data Aktu
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17
0 Data Akt
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Data Aktual
Tabel 3 Harga idustri Sari Tabel 4 harga industri Sirup Tabel 5 Harga Retailer
Data Aktual Harga Industri Sari Harga Data Aktual Harga Industri Sirup Harga
Bulan Bulan
20,000 1 32,000 1
20,000 2 30,000 2
20,000 3 30,000 3
20,000 4 30,000 4
20,000 5 30,000 5
20,000 6 30,000 6
20,000 7 30,000 7
20,000 8 30,000 8
20,000 9 30,000 9
20,000 10 30,000 10
20,000 11 30,000 11
20,000 12 30,000 12
22,000 13 32,000 13
22,000 14 32,000 14
22,000 15 32,000 15
22,000 16 32,000 16
22,000 17 32,000 17
22,000 18 32,000 18
23,000 19 32,000 19
23,000 20 32,000 20
23,000 21 32,000 21
23,000 22 32,000 22
23,000 23 32,000 23
23,000 24 32,000 24
25,000 25 35,000 25
26,000 26 35,000 26
24,000 27 35,000 27
25,000 28 35,000 28
25,000 29 35,000 29
25,000 30 35,000 30
25,000 31 35,000 31
25,000 32 35,000 32
25,000 33 35,000 33
25,000 34 35,000 34
25,000 35 35,000 35
25,000 36 35,000 36
28,000 37 40,000 37
28,000 38 40,000 38
28,000 39 40,000 39
28,000 40 40,000 40
28,000 41 40,000 41
28,000 42 40,000 42
28,000 43 40,000 43
28,000 44 40,000 44
28,000 45 40,000 45
28,000 46 40,000 46
28,000 47 40,000 47
28,000 48 40,000 48
1,146,000 sum 1,646,000 Sum
23,875 Average 34,292 Average
JumlahSari
431 402 2 15,093,750
Grafik P
1200
3,500
Produksi
Produksi Sirup
466 405 3 16,296,875 3,000
1000 Grafik Pro
438 407 4 15,312,500 600
2,500
428 410 5 14,984,375 800
2,000
500 Gra
403 412 6 14,109,375 30,000,000
1,500
600
406 415 7 14,218,750 400
Retailer
1,000
25,000,000
433 417 8 15,159,375 400
300 500
20,000,000
459 420 9 16,078,125 200-
422 422 10 14,765,625 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
200 15,000,000
0
406 425 11 14,218,750 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
100 10,000,000
388 427 12 13,562,500
388 430 13 15,500,000 0 5,000,000
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21
388 432 14 15,500,000 0
415 435 15 16,600,000 1 4 7 10 13 16
444 438 16 17,750,000
394 440 17 15,750,000
381 443 18 15,250,000
376 445 19 15,050,000
413 448 20 16,500,000
447 451 21 17,875,000 Grafik Hasil Simula
4,500
438 454 22 17,500,000
4,000
434 456 23 17,375,000 Grafik Hasil Simul
1,200
3,500
Jumlah Jumlah
1,000
500 Graifk Hasil Simulasi P
447 476 30 20,109,375 16,000,000
400400
25,000,000
425 479 31 19,125,000 14,000,000
JumlahJumlah
0
300200 1 4 Grafik
7 10 13 Hasil
416 482 32 18,703,125 12,000,000
20,000,000 16 19 Simulasi
22 25 28 3
6,000,000
400 484 33 18,000,000 10,000,000 Bulan
200 0
444 487 34 19,968,750 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 Simul
5,000,000
8,000,000
15,000,000
Grafik Hasil 25 28 3
2,500,000
JumlahJumlah
Pendapatan Petani
18,625,000 16,192,576 3 13,968,750 12,954,061
Peng ep ul
17,500,000 16,289,731 4 13,125,000 13,031,785
17,125,000 16,387,470 5 12,843,750 13,109,976 Gra
6,000,000
S irudapatan
5,000,000
16,250,000 16,584,709 7 12,187,500 13,267,768 Gr
p
17,325,000 16,684,218 8 12,993,750 13,347,374 4,000,000
9,000,000
Pe n d a p a ta n In d u striPen
8,000,000
18,375,000 16,784,323 9 13,781,250 13,427,458 3,000,000
7,000,000
16,875,000 16,885,029 10 12,656,250 13,508,023 6,000,000
2,000,000 Grafi
35,000,000
16,250,000 16,986,339 11 12,187,500 13,589,071 5,000,000
1,000,000
15,500,000 17,088,257 12 11,625,000 13,670,606 4,000,000
30,000,000
3,000,000
17,050,000 17,190,787 13 12,400,000 13,752,629 0
25,000,000
Graf
2,000,000
25,000,000
17,050,000 17,293,931 14 12,400,000 13,835,145 20,000,000
1,000,000
18,260,000 17,397,695 15 13,280,000 13,918,156 20,000,000
15,000,0000
19,525,000 17,502,081 16 14,200,000 14,001,665 15,000,000
10,000,000
17,325,000 17,607,094 17 12,600,000 14,085,675
5,000,000
10,000,000
16,775,000 17,712,736 18 12,200,000 14,170,189
0
17,307,500 17,819,013 19 12,040,000 14,255,210 5,000,000
5,000,000
Grafik Pendapatan Pengepul
9,000,000
Jumlah
8,000,000
4,000,000
7,000,000
,000,000
Grafik Pendapatan Industri Sari
3,000,000
6,000,000
,000,000
5,000,000
2,000,000
Grafik Pendapatan Industri Sirup
5,000,000
,000,000
4,000,000
1,000,000
3,000,000
,000,000
0,000,000
2,000,000 0
,000,000
1,000,000 1
5,000,000
3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
,000,000 0 Bulan
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 Data 17 19 21 23 Hasil
15 Aktual 25 Simulasi
27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
0,000,000
,000,000
Bulan
0
5,000,000 Data Aktual Hasil Simulasi
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
0
Bulan
Data Aktual Hasil Simulasi
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
Bulan
Data Aktual Hasil Simulasi
Tabel 5 Harga Retailer
Data Aktual Harga Retailer Garfik Harga Petani
1400
Harga Pengepul
Harga Petani
35,000 Grafik Harga Pengepul
Sari
1200 2,500
35,000 Harga Industri
Sirup
35,000 1000 2,000 Grafik Harga Industri Sari
35,000 30,000
Industri
35,000 800
1,500
25,000
Retailer
45,000
20,000
35,000 60,000
1,000
40,000
35,000 15,000
400
35,000
50,000
35,000 500
30,000
10,000
35,000 40,000
200
25,000
20,000 -
35,000 30,000
5,000
0
15,000
35,000 1 -3
10,000 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23Bulan
25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49
20,000
40,000 5,000 Data Aktual Harga Pengepul
Bulan
Data Aktual Harga Petani
Bulan
40,000 10,000 -
Data Aktual Harga Industri Sari
40,000
- Bulan
40,000 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 Aktual
Data 25 28Harga31 34 37 40 43 46 49
40,000 Industri Sirup
Bulan
40,000 Data Aktual Harga Retailer
40,000
40,000
40,000
40,000
40,000
40,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
Jumlah Produksi
1000 3,000
lah
Jumlah Produksi
Grafik Produksi Petan
4,500
50,000
4,000
50,000 Grafik Produksi Sari
1200 3,500
50,000
2,040,000 1000 3,000
Jumlah
Grafik Produksi Sirup
42,500 600 800 2,500
2,000
500
Jumlah
600 1,500
Garfik Produksi Petani 400
400 1,000
Grafik Produksi Sari 300
200
500
0
200
Grafik Produksi Sirup 0 1 4 7 1 0 13 16 19 22 2 5 2 8 31 34 37
Bulan
100 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
Grafik Retailer 0
Bulan
00,000
1 3 5 7 9 Data Aktual Hasil
7 9Simu1
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 2 2 3
00,000 Bulan
00,000 Data Aktual Hasil Simulasi
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
00,000
3 5 7 3Bulan
9 11 13 15 17 19 21 2Data
25Aktual
27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
00,000
Bulan
00,000 Data Aktual
5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 Data Bulan
19 Aktual
22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
Bulan
Data Aktual Retailer
Grafik
7 10 13 Hasil
16 19 Simulasi
22 25 28 31 Pendapatan
34 37 40 43 46Pengepul
Bulan
7 Grafik Hasil Simulasi Pendapatan Petani
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
0
Bulan
0
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
0 Bulan
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
0 Bulan
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
Bulan
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
Bulan
0
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
0 Bulan
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
Bulan
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
Bulan
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
Bulan
Pendapatan Petani
Peng ep ul
5,000,000
Grafik Pendapatan Pengepul
p
4,000,000
9,000,000
Pe n d a p a ta n In d u striPen
8,000,000
3,000,000
7,000,000
6,000,000
2,000,000 Grafik Pendapatan Industri Sari
35,000,000
5,000,000
1,000,000
4,000,000
30,000,000
3,000,000
0
25,000,000
2,000,000 Grafik Pendapatan Industri Sirup
25,000,000
20,000,000
1,000,000 Bulan
20,000,000
15,000,0000 Data Aktual
15,000,000
10,000,000 Bulan
Data Aktual
5,000,000
10,000,000
0
5,000,000
0 Bulan
Bulan
Data Aktual
45 47 49
Data Aktual
Grafik Produksi Petani
Data Aktual
Grafik Produksi Sirup Hasil Simulasi
2 5 2 8 31 34 37 4 0 4 3 4 6
13 16 19 22Bulan
13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
Bulan
Data Aktual Hasil
7 9Simulasi
15 17 19 21 23 25 2 2 1 33 3 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
Bulan
Data Aktual Hasil Simulasi