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The advantage of this implied ERP is that it is market driven and current and it does not require any
for the valuation is th
GENERIC INDEX
YEAR - 2019
level of the NIFTY 10741.35
current dividend yield 0.0134
expected growth rate in earnings for next 5 years for market 0.08
current long term bond rate 0.0655
risk premium 0.0491
expected growth rate in the long term 0.0655
1 2
Expected Dividends = 155.4488172 167.8847226
Expected Terminal Value =
Present Value = 140.0818394 136.3326904
Intrinsic Value of Index = 3693.510607
Implied equity risk premium
s that does not require historical data or corrections for country risk, but does assume that the overall stock m
does not require any historical data. Thus, it can be used to estimate implied equity risk premium in any mark
r the valuation is the right one and the availability reliability of the inputs in the model.
3 4 5
181.3155004 195.8207404 211.4863996
4589.38409
130.9416523 126.8768926 2790.774826
3 4 5
181.3155004 195.8207404 211.4863996
5098.161964
132.6838836 129.1327335 3155.27946
risk premium
rrections for country risk, but does assume that the overall stock market is correctly priced.
can be used to estimate implied equity risk premium in any market. It is, however, bounded by whether the
lability reliability of the inputs in the model.
1 2
Expected Dividends = 489.59424 528.7617792
Expected Terminal Value =
Present Value = 441.1951338 429.3869916
Intrinsic Value of Index = 15556.90783
d.
ed by whether the model used
3 4 5
571.0627215 616.7477393 666.0875584
14454.507
412.4076328 399.605458 8789.692354
3 4 5
571.0627215 616.7477393 666.0875584
21506.55435
417.8948823 406.7103477 13861.72047
Date Open Adj Close TCS Return NIFTY Open NIFTY Adj Close NIFTY return
8/1/2014 1288.5 1092.338 7662.5 7954.350098
9/1/2014 1262.5 1184.757 0.08460736 7990.350098 7964.799805 0.00131371
10/1/2014 1374.5 1126.935 -0.0488056 7960.5 8322.200195 0.044872489
11/1/2014 1322.5 1148.244 0.01890867 8348.150391 8588.25 0.031968686
12/1/2014 1321.5 1109.84 -0.0334457 8605.099609 8282.700195 -0.03557766
1/1/2015 1277.18 1077.822 -0.0288488 8288.700195 8808.900391 0.06353003
2/1/2015 1241.05 1161.863 0.0779731 8802.5 8844.599609 0.00405263
3/1/2015 1337.55 1110.962 -0.0438104 8953.849609 8491 -0.03997915
4/1/2015 1282.5 1075.885 -0.0315736 8483.700195 8181.5 -0.03645036
5/1/2015 1233.32 1138.676 0.05836279 8230.049805 8433.650391 0.03081958
6/1/2015 1305.12 2226.406 0.95525874 8417.25 8368.5 -0.00772505
7/1/2015 1282.5 1115.339 -0.4990408 8376.25 8532.849609 0.019639076
8/1/2015 1254.95 1144.806 0.0264197 8510.650391 7948.950195 -0.06842959
9/1/2015 1283.5 1154.829 0.00875537 7907.950195 7948.899902 -6.327E-06
10/1/2015 1300 2253.382 0.95126929 7992.049805 8065.799805 0.014706425
11/1/2015 1248.5 1064.803 -0.5274643 8054.549805 7935.25 -0.0161856
12/1/2015 1182.5 1098.099 0.03126964 7958.149902 7946.350098 0.001398834
1/1/2016 1216.05 1076.49 -0.0196787 7924.549805 7563.549805 -0.0481731
2/1/2016 1196 987.0331 -0.0831008 7589.5 6987.049805 -0.07622082
3/1/2016 1091.25 1138.198 0.15315062 7038.25 7738.399902 0.10753467
4/1/2016 1252.53 1144.531 0.00556439 7718.049805 7849.799805 0.014395728
5/1/2016 1265.03 1164.906 0.01780183 7822.700195 8160.100098 0.039529708
6/1/2016 1288.95 1153.914 -0.0094363 8179.200195 8287.75 0.015643178
7/1/2016 1276.55 1209.39 0.04807667 8313.049805 8638.5 0.042321499
8/1/2016 1310 1166.477 -0.0354832 8654.299805 8786.200195 0.017097898
9/1/2016 1264.5 1126.848 -0.0339734 8793.599609 8611.150391 -0.01992327
10/1/2016 1220 1113.867 -0.0115193 8666.150391 8638 0.003118005
11/1/2016 1197 1062.693 -0.045943 8653.150391 8224.5 -0.04786988
12/1/2016 1145 1102.452 0.03741313 8244 8185.799805 -0.00470548
1/1/2017 1182.5 1040.821 -0.0559032 8210.099609 8561.299805 0.045872121
2/1/2017 1112.18 1157.836 0.11242534 8570.349609 8879.599609 0.037178911
3/1/2017 1242 1141.218 -0.014352 8904.400391 9173.75 0.033126538
4/1/2017 1217.5 1066.579 -0.0654027 9220.599609 9304.049805 0.014203549
5/1/2017 1136.05 1194.385 0.11982772 9339.849609 9621.25 0.034092702
6/1/2017 1265 1109.889 -0.0707446 9603.549805 9520.900391 -0.01043
7/1/2017 1182 1197.219 0.07868351 9587.950195 10077.099609 0.058418762
8/1/2017 1247.03 1205.289 0.00674088 10101.049805 9917.900391 -0.01579812
9/1/2017 1237.5 1176.44 -0.0239352 9937.650391 9788.599609 -0.01303711
10/1/2017 1218.5 1262.996 0.07357431 9893.299805 10335.299805 0.055850706
11/1/2017 1311 1278.593 0.01234895 10390.349609 10226.549805 -0.01052219
12/1/2017 1318.5 1310.705 0.02511554 10263.700195 10530.700195 0.029741252
1/1/2018 1344.9 1510.369 0.15233283 10477.549805 11027.700195 0.047195342
2/1/2018 1560 2963.419 0.96204993 11044.549805 10492.849609 -0.04850065
3/1/2018 1520.5 1389.561 -0.5310952 10479.950195 10113.700195 -0.03613407
4/1/2018 1422.5 1722.211 0.2393921 10151.650391 10739.349609 0.061861574
5/1/2018 1765.7 1701.826 -0.0118366 10783.849609 10736.150391 -0.0002979
6/1/2018 1758 1816.68 0.06748875 10738.450195 10714.299805 -0.00203523
7/1/2018 1829.95 1909.177 0.05091496 10732.349609 11356.5 0.059938606
8/1/2018 1951 2047.983 0.07270472 11359.799805 11680.5 0.028529917
9/1/2018 2080.05 2152.737 0.0511501 11751.799805 10930.450195 -0.06421384
10/1/2018 2186 1909.427 -0.1130236 10930.900391 10386.599609 -0.04975555
11/1/2018 1940.1 1946.04 0.01917456 10441.700195 10876.75 0.04719065
12/1/2018 1980.1 1869.95 -0.0390997 10930.700195 10862.549805 -0.00130555
1/1/2019 1905 1989.491 0.06392751 10868.849609 10830.950195 -0.00290904
2/1/2019 2005 1963.72 -0.0129538 10851.349609 10792.5 -0.00355003
3/1/2019 1990 1979.703 0.00813916 10842.650391 11623.900391 0.077035014
4/1/2019 2010 2231.619 0.12724941 11665.200195 11748.150391 0.010689183
5/1/2019 2254.95 2174.12 -0.0257654 11725.549805 11922.799805 0.01486612
6/1/2019 2207.8 2204.206 0.01383799 11953.75 11788.849609 -0.01123479
7/1/2019 2239.65 2200.26 -0.0017903 11839.900391 11118 -0.05690543
8/1/2019 2206 2214.9 0.00665393 11060.200195 10741.349609 -0.03387753
CAPM Parameters
Beta 0.4454862659
R-square 0.004817235
Intercept 0.0361067988
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.0694063039
R Square 0.004817235
Adjusted R Square -0.0123410885
Standard Error 0.2523895035
Observations 60
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.017884 0.0178840371 0.280752 0.5982312797
Residual 58 3.694627 0.0637004615
Total 59 3.712511
regression
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Regressi
SUMMARY OUTPUT REGRESSION 0.25
0.2
regression analysis 0.15
Multiple R 0.3734902502 0.1
R Square 0.139494967 0.05
Adjusted R Square 0.1246586734 0
-0.1 -0.05 0
Standard Error 0.0622002455 -0.05
Observations 60 -0.1
-0.15
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.0363761988 0.036376 9.4022786359 0.0032889286
Residual 58 0.2243944911 0.003869
Total 59 0.2607706899
Regression
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
-0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.069186
R Square 0.004787
Adjusted R Square -0.01237
Standard Error 0.252393
Observations 60
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.017771 0.017771 0.278962 0.5993976638
Residual 58 3.69474 0.063702
Total 59 3.712511
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 0.036048 0.032961 1.093646 0.278632 -0.029931327 0.102027564
X Variable 1 0.445471 0.843427 0.528168 0.599398 -1.242831446 2.133774387
25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.373906
R Square 0.139806
Adjusted R Square 0.124975
Standard Error 0.062189
Observations 60
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.036457 0.036457 9.426628 0.003252
Residual 58 0.224313 0.003867
Total 59 0.260771
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
Intercept 0.013543 0.008122 1.66754 0.100798 -0.00271 0.029800239 -0.002714057
X Variable 1 0.63806 0.207818 3.070281 0.003252 0.222067 1.054053005 0.2220669013
31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
Ni fty IT return
Upper 95.0%
0.029800239
1.054053005