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new england

The
journal of medicine
established in 1812 September 19, 2019 vol. 381  no. 12

Antithrombotic Therapy for Atrial Fibrillation with Stable


Coronary Disease
Satoshi Yasuda, M.D., Ph.D., Koichi Kaikita, M.D., Ph.D., Masaharu Akao, M.D., Ph.D., Junya Ako, M.D., Ph.D.,
Tetsuya Matoba, M.D., Ph.D., Masato Nakamura, M.D., Ph.D., Katsumi Miyauchi, M.D., Ph.D.,
Nobuhisa Hagiwara, M.D., Ph.D., Kazuo Kimura, M.D., Ph.D., Atsushi Hirayama, M.D., Ph.D.,
Kunihiko Matsui, M.D., M.P.H., and Hisao Ogawa, M.D., Ph.D., for the AFIRE Investigators*​​

a bs t r ac t

BACKGROUND
There are limited data from randomized trials evaluating the use of antithrom- From the National Cerebral and Cardio-
botic therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease. vascular Center, Suita (S.Y., H.O.), the
Department of Cardiology, Osaka Police
Hospital, Osaka (A.H.), the Department
METHODS of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate
In a multicenter, open-label trial conducted in Japan, we randomly assigned 2236 School of Medical Sciences, Kumamoto
patients with atrial fibrillation who had undergone percutaneous coronary inter- University (K. Kaikita), and the Depart-
ment of General Medicine, Kumamoto
vention (PCI) or coronary-artery bypass grafting (CABG) more than 1 year earlier University Hospital (K. Matsui), Kuma-
or who had angiographically confirmed coronary artery disease not requiring re- moto, the Department of Cardiology, Na-
vascularization to receive monotherapy with rivaroxaban (a non–vitamin K antago- tional Hospital Organization Kyoto Medi-
cal Center, Kyoto (M.A.), the Department
nist oral anticoagulant) or combination therapy with rivaroxaban plus a single of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kitasato Uni-
antiplatelet agent. The primary efficacy end point was a composite of stroke, versity School of Medicine, Sagamihara
systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revascular- (J.A.), the Department of Cardiovascular
Medicine, Kyushu University Hospital,
ization, or death from any cause; this end point was analyzed for noninferiority Fukuoka (T.M.), the Division of Cardio-
with a noninferiority margin of 1.46. The primary safety end point was major vascular Medicine, Toho University Ohashi
bleeding, according to the criteria of the International Society on Thrombosis and Medical Center (M.N.), the Department
of Cardiology, Juntendo University School
Hemostasis; this end point was analyzed for superiority. of Medicine (K. Miyauchi), and the De-
partment of Cardiology, Tokyo Women’s
RESULTS Medical University (N.H.), Tokyo, and
The trial was stopped early because of increased mortality in the combination- the Cardiovascular Center, Yokohama City
therapy group. Rivaroxaban monotherapy was noninferior to combination therapy University Medical Center, Yokohama
(K. Kimura) — all in Japan. Address re-
for the primary efficacy end point, with event rates of 4.14% and 5.75% per patient- print requests to Dr. Yasuda at the Japan
year, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55 to 0.95; Cardiovascular Research Foundation, Na-
P<0.001 for noninferiority). Rivaroxaban monotherapy was superior to combina- tional Cerebral and Cardiovascular Cen-
ter, 6-1 Kishibe-Shimmachi, Suita, Osaka
tion therapy for the primary safety end point, with event rates of 1.62% and 2.76% 565-8565, Japan, or at ­yasuda​.­satoshi​.­hp@​
per patient-year, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.89; P = 0.01 for ­ncvc​.­go​.­jp.
superiority). *A full list of the AFIRE investigators and
committee members is provided in the
CONCLUSIONS Supplementary Appendix, available at
NEJM.org.
As antithrombotic therapy, rivaroxaban monotherapy was noninferior to combina-
tion therapy for efficacy and superior for safety in patients with atrial fibrillation This article was published on September 2,
2019, at NEJM.org.
and stable coronary artery disease. (Funded by the Japan Cardiovascular Research
N Engl J Med 2019;381:1103-13.
Foundation; AFIRE UMIN Clinical Trials Registry number, UMIN000016612; and DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1904143
ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02642419.) Copyright © 2019 Massachusetts Medical Society.

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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e

T
he use of dual antiplatelet ther­ cause of the premature termination of enroll-
apy (a P2Y12 inhibitor plus aspirin) after ment.12 In the AFIRE (Atrial Fibrillation and
percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) Ischemic Events with Rivaroxaban in Patients
reduces the risk of ischemic or atherothrombotic with Stable Coronary Artery Disease) trial, we
events, including stent thrombosis, recurrent aimed to investigate whether monotherapy with
myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death.1 rivaroxaban (a non–vitamin K antagonist oral
Approximately 5 to 7% of patients with coronary anticoagulant) is noninferior to combination
artery disease who are undergoing PCI have an therapy with rivaroxaban plus an antiplatelet
indication for long-term oral anticoagulant ther- agent in patients with atrial fibrillation and
apy.2 The use of antiplatelet agents in combina- stable coronary artery disease more than 1 year
tion with anticoagulation results in an increased after revascularization or in those with angio-
risk of bleeding events, as shown recently in a graphically confirmed coronary artery disease
nationwide Danish cohort study.3 As a conse- not requiring revascularization.13
quence, the selection of the most effective anti-
thrombotic treatment for patients with atrial fi- Me thods
brillation and stable coronary artery disease is a
clinical challenge requiring careful assessment Trial Design and Oversight
of the risks of ischemia and bleeding in each AFIRE was a multicenter, randomized, open-
patient.2 label, parallel-group trial. Details regarding the
During the past few years, research has fo- trial design have been described previously.13
cused on the treatment of patients with atrial fi- Funding was provided by the Japan Cardiovascu-
brillation within the first 12 months after PCI.4-7 lar Research Foundation under a contract with
On the basis of these studies, current guidelines Bayer Yakuhin. The company had no role in the
recommend triple therapy (an oral anticoagulant design of the trial, in the collection or analysis
plus aspirin and a P2Y12 inhibitor) for as short a of the data, in the interpretation of the trial re-
duration as possible for the immediate anti- sults, or in the writing of the manuscript. Under
thrombotic treatment of patients with atrial fi- the guidance of the authors, Mebix, a contract
brillation who have undergone PCI and for whom research organization, provided assistance in the
the ischemic risk outweighs the risk of bleed- selection of the participating centers, supervision
ing.8-10 Such treatment is followed by combina- or monitoring of the centers, collection and stor-
tion therapy with an oral anticoagulant plus a age of trial data, data analysis, interpretation of
P2Y12 inhibitor for 4 to 6 weeks8 or up to 12 the trial results, and preparation of the manu-
months in selected patients.9,10 After 12 months script. The trial was designed and led by an
of combination therapy, or in patients with executive steering committee.
atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery dis- The trial was conducted in accordance with
ease not requiring intervention, current guide- the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and
lines recommend monotherapy with an oral anti- was approved by the institutional review board
coagulant.9,10 However, this approach has yet to of the National Cerebral and Cardiovascular
be supported by evidence from randomized, Center, Japan, along with the institutional re-
controlled trials. Furthermore, substantial num- view boards of all participating institutions.
bers of patients in this situation continue to be Data were reviewed by an independent data and
treated with combination therapy, which indi- safety monitoring committee. The authors vouch
cates a gap between guidelines and clinical for the completeness and accuracy of the data
practice.11 and all analyses, and for the fidelity of the trial
One previous randomized, controlled trial has to the protocol, available with the full text of
evaluated the efficacy and safety of monotherapy this article at NEJM.org.
with an oral anticoagulant as compared with
combination therapy with an oral anticoagulant Trial Population and Eligibility Criteria
plus a single antiplatelet agent in patients with Men and women who were 20 years of age or
atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery dis- older and had received a diagnosis of atrial fi-
ease more than 1 year after stenting, but this brillation and stable coronary artery disease were
trial was underpowered and inconclusive be- enrolled in Japan. During screening, we evalu-

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Antithrombotic Ther apy for AF in Stable Coronary Disease

ated the patients on a CHADS2 scale, which ditional assessments for routine clinical care as
ranges from 0 to 6, with a higher score indicat- needed. The follow-up period was planned to be
ing a greater risk of stroke; congestive heart at least 24 months and up to 45 months.
failure, hypertension, diabetes, and an age of
75 years or older are each assigned 1 point, and End Points
prior stroke or transient ischemic attack is as- The primary efficacy end point was the compos-
signed 2 points. The patients were required to ite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial in-
have a score of at least 1 on the scale. The pa- farction, unstable angina requiring revascular-
tients were also required to meet at least one of ization, or death from any cause. Originally, the
the following criteria: a history of PCI, including end point included only death from cardiovascu-
angioplasty with or without stenting, at least 1 year lar causes, but this composite was changed to
before enrollment; a history of angiographically include death from any cause in August 2015.
confirmed coronary artery disease (with stenosis The primary safety end point was major bleed-
of ≥50%) not requiring revascularization; or a ing, as defined according to the criteria of the
history of coronary-artery bypass grafting International Society on Thrombosis and Hemo-
(CABG) at least 1 year before enrollment. Key stasis.
exclusion criteria were a history of stent throm- Secondary end points were the individual com-
bosis, coexisting active tumor, and poorly con- ponents of the primary end point; death from
trolled hypertension. All the patients provided any cause; a composite of ischemic cardiovascu-
written informed consent. lar events or death (death from any cause, myo-
cardial infarction, unstable angina requiring re-
Other Risk Evaluations vascularization, stroke, transient ischemic attack,
To further evaluate the risk of stroke, we used systemic arterial embolism, venous thromboem-
the CHA2DS2-VASc scale, which has been associ- bolism, revascularization, or stent thrombosis);
ated with improved stratification among low- net adverse clinical events (death from any cause,
risk patients. Patients are evaluated on the basis myocardial infarction, stroke, and major bleed-
of the five criteria of the CHADS2 scale plus ing); and any bleeding events. The definitions of
three additional criteria: the presence of vascular cardiovascular and bleeding events are provided
disease, an age of 64 to 74 years, and sex. This in Table S1 in the Supplementary Appendix. Blind-
score ranges from 0 to 9, with 2 points for an ed adjudication of the end points was conducted
age of 75 years or older; higher scores indicate a by an independent clinical events committee.
greater risk. We also evaluated the risk of major
bleeding on the HAS-BLED scale, which ranges Statistical Analysis
from 0 to 9, with higher scores indicating a The trial was powered to assess the noninferior-
greater risk of bleeding. ity of rivaroxaban monotherapy, as compared with
combination therapy, for the primary efficacy
Treatment end point. The calculation of the trial sample
We randomly assigned the patients in a 1:1 ratio size is provided in the Supplementary Appendix.
to receive either monotherapy with rivaroxaban We estimated that the enrollment of 2200 pa-
(10 mg once daily for patients with a creatinine tients and the occurrence of at least 219 primary
clearance of 15 to 49 ml per minute or 15 mg efficacy end points were required.
once daily for patients with a creatinine clear- The primary efficacy analysis was based on
ance of ≥50 ml per minute) or combination the modified intention-to-treat approach. This
therapy with rivaroxaban at the previously stated population included all the patients who had
doses plus an antiplatelet agent (either aspirin or undergone randomization after the exclusion of
a P2Y12 inhibitor, according to the discretion of patients who had a technical reason for not par-
the treating physician). Details regarding the ticipating in the trial. We used the Kaplan–Meier
randomization procedure and the administration method to estimate cumulative event rates, with
of the trial drugs are provided in the Supplemen- incidence rates in each treatment group shown as
tary Appendix, available at NEJM.org. Trial follow- percentages per patient-year. A Cox proportional-
up assessments were planned at baseline, at hazards model was used to compare outcomes
6 months, and at the end of the trial, with ad- between the two groups, with the results ex-

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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e

pressed as a hazard ratio with a 95% confidence Early Termination of the Trial
interval. We used a one-sided alpha level of 0.025 The evaluation of the patients was planned to
to analyze the noninferiority of rivaroxaban mono- continue until September 2018. However, because
therapy, as compared with combination therapy, of a higher risk of death from any cause in the
with a noninferiority margin of 1.46. combination-therapy group, the independent data
If noninferiority was shown for the primary and safety monitoring committee recommended
efficacy end point, a closed testing procedure early termination of the trial in July 2018. All the
was to be conducted to determine superiority for patients were contacted and a final follow-up
the primary safety end point. The primary analy- assessment was scheduled. The trial database
sis of the safety end points was performed in the was locked in January 2019. The median treat-
safety population, which included the patients ment duration was 23.0 months (interquartile
who had undergone randomization and received range, 15.8 to 31.0), and the median follow-up
at least one dose of a trial drug during the follow- period was 24.1 months (interquartile range,
up period. 17.3 to 31.5).
An assessment of superiority for the primary
efficacy end point, which was not prespecified Primary Efficacy and Safety End Points
before the database lock, was performed after In the modified intention-to-treat population,
the demonstration of noninferiority for efficacy the primary efficacy end-point event occurred in
and superiority for the primary safety end point. 89 patients receiving monotherapy and in 121
Secondary end points are reported with hazard patients receiving combination therapy, corre-
ratios and 95% confidence intervals. The confi- sponding to incidence rates of 4.14% and 5.75%
dence intervals have not been adjusted for multi- per patient-year, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.72;
ple comparisons, so inferences drawn from these 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55 to 0.95;
intervals may not be reproducible. All the statisti- P<0.001 for noninferiority) (Table 2 and Fig. 2A).
cal analyses were performed with the use of SAS The incidence of the primary safety end point
software, version 9.4 for Windows (SAS Institute). was lower in the monotherapy group than in the
combination-therapy group (1.62% vs. 2.76% per
patient-year; hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.39 to
R e sult s
0.89; P = 0.01) (Table 2 and Fig. 2B).
Patients In the assessment of superiority for the pri-
From February 23, 2015, to September 30, 2017, mary efficacy end point (which was not a pre-
a total of 2240 patients were enrolled at 294 specified analysis), the P value was 0.02. The
centers; of these patients, 2236 underwent ran- results of the analyses in the safety population
domization, and 2215 patients (1107 in the mono- and the per-protocol population were consistent
therapy group and 1108 in the combination- with the findings in the modified intention-to-
therapy group) were included in the modified treat analysis (Tables S4 and S5 in the Supple-
intention-to-treat population (Fig. 1). At baseline, mentary Appendix). A sensitivity analysis using
the characteristics of the patients were similar in the original efficacy end point also showed con-
the two treatment groups (Table 1, and Table S2 sistent results (Table S6 in the Supplementary
in the Supplementary Appendix). The mean age Appendix).
was 74 years, and 79% of the patients were men.
A total of 1564 patients (70.6%) had undergone Secondary End Points
previous PCI, and 252 (11.4%) had undergone The incidence of individual components of the
previous CABG. The median CHADS2 score was primary end point in the two groups are pro-
2, the median CHA2DS2-VASc score was 4, and vided in Table 2. All-cause mortality was lower
the median HAS-BLED score was 2. Among the among patients receiving monotherapy than
patients in the combination-therapy group, 778 among those receiving combination therapy, with
(70.2%) received aspirin, and 297 (26.8%) re- rates of 1.85% and 3.37% per patient-year, respec-
ceived a P2Y12 inhibitor (Table S3 in the Supple- tively (hazard ratio, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.81).
mentary Appendix). This was due to lower incidences of both cardio-

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Antithrombotic Ther apy for AF in Stable Coronary Disease

2240 Patients with atrial fibrillation


and stable coronary artery disease
were assessed for eligibility and
signed the consent form

4 Did not meet eligibility


criteria and were excluded

2236 Underwent randomization

1118 Were assigned to the 1118 Were assigned to the


rivaroxaban monotherapy group combination-therapy group

11 Were excluded
10 Were excluded
2 Had a protocol violation
5 Had incomplete registration
2 Had incomplete registration
5 Withdrew from the trial
7 Withdrew from the trial
(consent for data use
(consent for data use
withdrawn)
withdrawn)

1107 Were included in the modified 1108 Were included in the modified
intention-to-treat analysis intention-to-treat analysis

8 Were excluded because 9 Were excluded because


treatment was never initiated treatment was never initiated

1099 Were included in the safety 1099 Were included in the safety
analysis analysis

15 Were excluded 24 Were excluded


9 Did not meet eligibility 10 Did not meet eligibility
criteria criteria
6 Had a protocol violation 14 Had a protocol violation

1084 Were included in the 1075 Were included in the


per-protocol analysis per-protocol analysis

79 Discontinued trial 107 Discontinued trial


26 Were lost to follow-up 18 Were lost to follow-up
15 Withdrew from the trial but 20 Withdrew from the trial but
provided consent for the provided consent for the
use of data already collected use of data already collected
38 Died 69 Died

1005 Completed trial follow-up 968 Completed trial follow-up

Figure 1. Enrollment, Randomization, and Follow-up.


Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive monotherapy with rivaroxaban or combination therapy with
rivaroxaban plus an antiplatelet agent (either aspirin or a P2Y12 inhibitor). Randomization was performed after ad-
justment for the following factors with the use of a minimization algorithm: age, sex, history of percutaneous coro-
nary intervention, history of stroke, concomitant heart failure, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus.

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Table 1. Characteristics of the Patients at Baseline (Modified Intention-to-Treat Population).*

Rivaroxaban Monotherapy Combination Therapy


Characteristic (N = 1107) (N = 1108)
Age — yr 74.3±8.3 74.4±8.2
<75 yr — no. (%) 525 (47.4) 527 (47.6)
≥75 yr — no. (%) 582 (52.6) 581 (52.4)
Male sex — no. (%) 875 (79.0) 876 (79.1)
Body-mass index† 24.5±3.7 24.5±3.7
Current smoker — no. (%) 146 (13.2) 146 (13.2)
Diabetes — no. (%) 461 (41.6) 466 (42.1)
Previous stroke — no. (%) 148 (13.4) 175 (15.8)
Previous myocardial infarction — no. (%) 384 (34.7) 393 (35.5)
Previous PCI — no. (%) 781 (70.6) 783 (70.7)
Type of stent — no./total no. (%)
Drug-eluting 500/723 (69.2) 477/721 (66.2)
Bare-metal 171/723 (23.7) 171/721 (23.7)
Both types 19/723 (2.6) 36/721 (5.0)
Unknown 33/723 (4.6) 37/721 (5.1)
Previous CABG — no. (%) 125 (11.3) 127 (11.5)
Type of atrial fibrillation — no. (%)
Paroxysmal 596 (53.8) 580 (52.3)
Persistent 164 (14.8) 175 (15.8)
Permanent 347 (31.3) 353 (31.9)
Creatinine clearance
Mean — ml/min 62.8±25.7 61.7±24.0
Distribution — no./total no. (%)
<30 ml/min 54/1053 (5.1) 60/1039 (5.8)
30 to <50 ml/min 300/1053 (28.5) 293/1039 (28.2)
≥50 ml/min 699/1053 (66.4) 686/1039 (66.0)

* Plus–minus values are means ±SD. There were no significant differences between the two groups in the characteristics
listed. CABG denotes coronary-artery bypass grafting, and PCI percutaneous coronary intervention.
† The body-mass index is the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters. Data are missing for 75
patients in the monotherapy group and 86 patients in the combination-therapy group.

vascular death, which occurred in 1.17% of the 13 patients) (Table S7 in the Supplementary
patients in the monotherapy group and in 1.99% Appendix).
of those in the combination-therapy group per The incidence of the composite end point of
patient-year (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.36 to ischemic cardiovascular events or death was
0.96), and noncardiovascular death, which oc- lower in the monotherapy group than in the
curred in 0.68% and 1.39% per patient-year, combination-therapy group, with rates of 5.37%
respectively (hazard ratio, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.27 and 6.77% per patient-year, respectively (hazard
to 0.92). The most frequent causes of death ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.62 to 1.02). The occurrence
were heart failure (6 patients in the monother- of net adverse clinical events, which was the com-
apy group and 10 in the combination-therapy posite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction,
group), stroke (2 vs. 10 patients), and cancer (6 vs. stroke, or major bleeding, was lower in the mono-

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Antithrombotic Ther apy for AF in Stable Coronary Disease

Table 2. Primary and Secondary Efficacy and Safety End Points.*

Rivaroxaban Combination
Monotherapy Therapy Hazard Ratio P
End Point (N = 1107) (N = 1108) (95% CI) Value†

no. of patients (% per patient-yr)


Primary efficacy end point
Cardiovascular events or death from any cause 89 (4.14) 121 (5.75) 0.72 (0.55–0.95) <0.001
Secondary efficacy end points
Cardiovascular events
Ischemic stroke 21 (0.96) 28 (1.31) 0.73 (0.42–1.29)
Hemorrhagic stroke 4 (0.18) 13 (0.60) 0.30 (0.10–0.92)
Myocardial infarction 13 (0.59) 8 (0.37) 1.60 (0.67–3.87)
Unstable angina requiring revascularization 13 (0.59) 18 (0.84) 0.71 (0.35–1.44)
Systemic embolism 2 (0.09) 1 (0.05) 1.97 (0.18–21.73)
Death 41 (1.85) 73 (3.37) 0.55 (0.38–0.81)
Cardiovascular 26 (1.17) 43 (1.99) 0.59 (0.36–0.96)
Noncardiovascular 15 (0.68) 30 (1.39) 0.49 (0.27–0.92)
Ischemic cardiovascular events or death‡ 114 (5.37) 141 (6.77) 0.80 (0.62–1.02)
Net adverse clinical events§ 84 (3.90) 131 (6.28) 0.62 (0.47–0.82)
Primary safety end point
Major bleeding¶ 35 (1.62) 58 (2.76) 0.59 (0.39–0.89) 0.01
Secondary safety end points
Any bleeding 146 (7.22) 238 (12.72) 0.58 (0.47–0.71)
Nonmajor bleeding 121 (5.89) 198 (10.31) 0.58 (0.46–0.72)

* The primary and secondary efficacy analyses were performed in the modified intention-to-treat population, which included all the patients
who had undergone randomization after the exclusion of patients who had technical reasons for not participating in the trial. The primary
and secondary safety analyses were performed in the population that included all the patients who had undergone randomization and re-
ceived at least one dose of a trial drug during the follow-up period (1099 patients in the monotherapy group and 1099 in the combination-
therapy group). The 95% confidence intervals have not been adjusted for multiple comparisons.
† In the primary efficacy analysis, the P value for noninferiority was calculated at a one-sided alpha level of 0.025 with a noninferiority margin
of 1.46. Since noninferiority was shown for the primary efficacy end point, a closed testing procedure was conducted to determine superiori-
ty for the primary safety end point.
‡ The category of ischemic cardiovascular events or death is a composite of death from any cause, myocardial infarction, unstable angina re-
quiring revascularization, stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic arterial embolism, venous thromboembolism, revascularization, or
stent thrombosis.
§ The category of net adverse clinical events is a composite of death from any cause, myocardial infarction, stroke, or major bleeding.
¶ Major and nonmajor bleeding events were classified according to the criteria of the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis.

therapy group than in the combination-therapy plementary Appendix. There were two fatal bleed-
group, with rates of 3.90% and 6.28% per patient- ing events in each group (Table S9 in the Supple-
year, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.62; 95% CI, mentary Appendix). Investigator-reported data
0.47 to 0.82). There was a lower incidence of regarding adverse events are provided in Tables
nonmajor bleeding events in patients receiving S10 and S11 in the Supplementary Appendix.
monotherapy than in those receiving combina-
tion therapy, with rates of 5.89% and 10.31% per Selected Subgroup Analyses
patient-year, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% With respect to the primary efficacy end point,
CI, 0.46 to 0.72). Detailed information regarding the effect of monotherapy, as compared with
bleeding sites is provided in Table S8 in the Sup- combination therapy, was generally consistent

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A Primary Efficacy End Point Discussion


20
100 Hazard ratio, 0.72 (95% CI, 0.55–0.95)
In the AFIRE trial, we evaluated the use of
Cumulative Incidence of Event (%)
90 P<0.001 for noninferiority

80
15
Combination therapy
monotherapy with a non–vitamin K antagonist
70 oral anticoagulant for antithrombotic treatment
10
60 in patients with atrial fibrillation and stable
Rivaroxaban
50 5 monotherapy coronary artery disease more than 1 year after
40 revascularization or in those with angiographi-
30 0 cally confirmed coronary artery disease not re-
20 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 quiring revascularization. The trial met its pri-
10 mary objective of showing the noninferiority of
0 rivaroxaban monotherapy, as compared with
0 6 12 18 24 30 36
combination therapy with rivaroxaban plus anti-
Months
platelet therapy, for the composite of cardiovas-
No. at Risk
Combination 1108 1057 962 754 499 292 80
cular events or death from any cause. In an
therapy analysis that was not prespecified, monotherapy
Rivaroxaban 1107 1071 984 774 518 309 89
monotherapy
was superior to combination therapy for this
same end point. The trial also met its primary
B Primary Safety End Point safety end point, with use of monotherapy as-
10
100 9
Hazard ratio, 0.59 (95% CI, 0.39–0.89) sociated with a significantly lower rate of major
Cumulative Incidence of Event (%)

P=0.01 for superiority


90 8 bleeding events.
Combination therapy
80 7 The trial was based on the concept that an
6
70 5 antithrombotic regimen for patients with both
60 4 atrial fibrillation and coronary artery disease
3 Rivaroxaban
50
2 monotherapy
should be less intensive than would be required
40 1 if the regimens for both conditions were com-
30 0
0 6 12 18 24 30 36
bined. This concept was studied in PIONEER
20
AF-PCI,5 RE-DUAL PCI (Randomized Evaluation
10
of Dual Antithrombotic Therapy with Dabiga-
0
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 tran versus Triple Therapy with Warfarin in Pa-
Months tients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Under-
No. at Risk going Percutaneous Coronary Intervention),6 and
Combination 1099 1055 962 750 506 294 80 AUGUSTUS,7 which assessed the efficacy and safe­
therapy
Rivaroxaban 1099 1074 994 786 526 312 89
ty of triple therapy versus the two-agent combi-
monotherapy nation of an anticoagulant plus a P2Y12 inhibitor
in patients with atrial fibrillation up to 1 year
Figure 2. Primary Efficacy and Safety End Points. after PCI. All three of these trials were consis-
Panel A shows the primary efficacy end point — a composite of stroke, tent in showing that two-agent combination ther-
systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revas- apy was at least as effective as triple therapy and
cularization, or death from any cause — in the monotherapy group and the
was associated with a reduced risk of bleeding
combination-therapy group. Panel B shows the primary safety end point
of major bleeding, as defined by the criteria of the International Society on events. These trials have shaped current guide-
Thrombosis and Hemostasis. The inset graphs show the same data on an lines and consensus documents, which recom-
expanded y axis. mend combination therapy with an anticoagulant
plus a P2Y12 inhibitor for up to 1 year after PCI in
patients with atrial fibrillation.8,10,14 After 1 year
across all prespecified subgroups, including those following PCI, guidelines in western countries
defined according to sex, age, stroke and bleed- recommend oral anticoagulant monotherapy.9,10
ing risk scores, and renal function (Fig. 3). A This recommendation was based on the findings
similar consistency of effect was seen with re- of a national Danish cohort study.3,15 However,
spect to major bleeding events (Fig. S1 in the this recommendation has yet to be supported by
Supplementary Appendix). evidence from randomized clinical trials.

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Antithrombotic Ther apy for AF in Stable Coronary Disease

Rivaroxaban Combination
Subgroup Monotherapy Therapy Hazard Ratio (95% CI)
no. of events/total no. (% per patient-yr)
Total 89/1107 (4.1) 121/1108 (5.8) 0.72 (0.55–0.95)
Sex
Male 66/875 (3.9) 95/876 (5.7) 0.68 (0.50–0.93)
Female 23/232 (5.1) 26/232 (5.9) 0.90 (0.51–1.58)
Age
<75 yr 33/525 (3.2) 37/527 (3.6) 0.89 (0.56–1.42)
≥75 yr 56/582 (5.0) 84/581 (7.8) 0.64 (0.46–0.91)
Type of atrial fibrillation
Paroxysmal 37/596 (3.2) 48/580 (4.3) 0.74 (0.48–1.14)
Persistent 13/164 (4.3) 26/175 (8.4) 0.51 (0.26–1.00)
Permanent 39/347 (5.7) 47/353 (6.9) 0.85 (0.55–1.30)
Diabetes mellitus
Yes 45/461 (5.1) 65/466 (7.5) 0.68 (0.46–0.99)
No 44/646 (3.5) 56/642 (4.5) 0.77 (0.52–1.14)
Creatinine clearance
<30 ml/min 11/54 (11.8) 14/60 (14.0) 0.87 (0.39–1.94)
30 to <50 ml/min 39/300 (6.9) 43/293 (8.3) 0.83 (0.54–1.29)
≥50 ml/min 36/699 (2.6) 61/686 (4.5) 0.57 (0.38–0.87)
Rivaroxaban dose
10 mg once daily 52/497 (5.5) 72/513 (7.5) 0.73 (0.51–1.05)
15 mg once daily 35/599 (2.9) 48/585 (4.2) 0.70 (0.45–1.08)
Use of PPI
Yes 54/663 (4.2) 82/694 (6.3) 0.68 (0.48–0.95)
No 35/444 (4.0) 39/414 (4.8) 0.83 (0.53–1.32)
Previous PCI or CABG
Yes 63/847 (3.8) 100/850 (6.2) 0.62 (0.45–0.85)
No 26/260 (5.1) 21/258 (4.3) 1.19 (0.67–2.11)
Type of stent
Drug-eluting 38/500 (3.9) 48/477 (5.3) 0.75 (0.49–1.15)
Bare-metal 13/171 (3.8) 25/171 (7.4) 0.52 (0.27–1.02)
Both types 5/19 (15.0) 6/36 (10.0) 1.49 (0.45–4.88)
CHADS2 score
1 9/230 (2.0) 13/241 (2.8) 0.72 (0.31–1.68)
2–6 80/874 (4.7) 108/865 (6.6) 0.72 (0.54–0.96)
CHA2DS2-VASc score
0–3 22/429 (2.6) 31/436 (3.6) 0.71 (0.41–1.23)
≥4 67/678 (5.2) 90/672 (7.2) 0.72 (0.52–0.99)
HAS-BLED score
0 or 1 16/224 (3.6) 17/193 (4.6) 0.79 (0.40–1.56)
2 42/562 (3.8) 71/583 (6.2) 0.62 (0.42–0.91)
3–5 28/283 (5.2) 32/290 (6.1) 0.86 (0.52–1.42)
0.1 1.0 10.0

Monotherapy Combination
Better Therapy
Better

Figure 3. Primary Efficacy End Point, According to Subgroup.


Shown is the hazard ratio for the primary efficacy end point (a composite of cardiovascular events or death from
any cause) in the two trial groups, according to subgroup. The 95% confidence intervals (CIs) have not been adjusted
for multiple comparisons. CABG denotes coronary-artery bypass grafting, PCI percutaneous coronary intervention,
and PPI proton-pump inhibitor. The CHADS2 scale ranges from 0 to 6, with higher scores indicating a greater risk
of stroke. The CHA 2DS2-VASc scale includes the factors on the CHADS2 scale plus the presence of vascular disease, an
age of 64 to 74 years, and sex; the scale ranges from 0 to 9, with higher scores indicating a greater risk. The HAS-BLED
scale ranges from 0 to 9, with higher scores indicating a greater risk of bleeding. The highest HAS-BLED score in this
trial was 5.

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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e

In one randomized clinical trial, OAC-ALONE discretion of the treating physicians, a factor
(Optimizing Antithrombotic Care in Patients with that makes it uncertain whether the benefit of
Atrial Fibrillation and Coronary Stent),12 investi- rivaroxaban monotherapy applies equally to the
gators evaluated the use of oral anticoagulant two combination regimens. The early termination
monotherapy in patients with atrial fibrillation of the trial because of an increased risk of death
and stable coronary artery disease at more than from any cause in the combination-therapy group
1 year after stenting. However, only one quarter of may overestimate the efficacy data. Finally, the
the patients who were enrolled in OAC-ALONE reductions in the rate of ischemic events and
were treated with non–vitamin K antagonist oral death from any cause with rivaroxaban mono-
anticoagulants, in contrast to the AFIRE trial, in therapy were unanticipated and are difficult to
which all the patients received rivaroxaban. Fur- explain on the basis of the biologic effects of
thermore, OAC-ALONE was underpowered and antithrombotic therapy; these findings may be due
inconclusive because of premature termination to the play of chance.
of enrollment. In conclusion, the AFIRE trial evaluated anti-
The AFIRE trial completed enrollment as thrombotic regimens in patients with atrial fibril-
planned and had appropriate statistical power to lation and stable coronary artery disease more
examine the use of monotherapy with a non– than 1 year after revascularization or in those
vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant in this with angiographically confirmed coronary artery
population.13 These anticoagulants have several disease not requiring revascularization. We found
advantages over warfarin, including an improved that rivaroxaban monotherapy was noninferior to
efficacy and safety profile, a predictable anti- combination therapy with rivaroxaban plus anti-
coagulant effect without the need for routine platelet therapy with respect to cardiovascular
coagulation monitoring, and lower risks of food events and death from any cause and superior
and drug interactions, intracranial hemorrhage, with respect to major bleeding.
and death.16,17 Our results support the general con-
Supported by the Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation
cept that rivaroxaban monotherapy without anti- through a contract with Bayer Yakuhin.
platelet therapy is the better approach in this popu- Dr. Yasuda reports receiving grant support from Takeda and
lation on the basis of both efficacy and safety. Abbott and lecture fees from Daiichi Sankyo and Bristol-Myers
Squibb; Dr. Kaikita, receiving grant support from Bayer Yakuhin,
Some limitations of our trial should be noted. Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, and SBI Pharma; Dr. Akao,
The open-label design had the potential to intro- receiving lecture fees from Bristol-Myers Squibb and Nippon
duce bias; however, all the events for which Boehringer Ingelheim and grant support and lecture fees from
Bayer Yakuhin and Daiichi Sankyo; Dr. Ako, receiving lecture fees
medical attention was sought were adjudicated from Bayer Yakuhin and Sanofi and grant support and lecture fees
by the members of an independent committee from Daiichi Sankyo; Dr. Matoba, receiving lecture fees from
who were unaware of trial-group assignments. Nippon Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi Sankyo, AstraZeneca, and
Bayer Yakuhin; Dr. Nakamura, receiving grant support and
There were relatively high rates of withdrawal of honoraria from Bayer Yakuhin, Daiichi Sankyo, Sanofi, and Nip-
consent and loss of patients to follow-up. How- pon Boehringer Ingelheim and honoraria from Bristol-Myers
ever, these values were within the 5% rate of Squibb; Dr. Miyauchi, receiving lecture fees from Amgen Astel-
las BioPharma, Astellas Pharma, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Bayer
discontinuation that was anticipated (Table S12 Yakuhin, Sanofi, Takeda, Daiichi Sankyo, Nippon Boehringer
in the Supplementary Appendix) and were con- Ingelheim, and Bristol-Myers Squibb; Dr. Hagiwara, receiving
sistent between the two groups. The trial popu- grant support and lecture fees from Bayer Yakuhin and Nippon
Boehringer Ingelheim, lecture fees from Bristol-Myers Squibb,
lation received the rivaroxaban dose approved in and grant support from Daiichi Sankyo and Pfizer Japan; Dr.
Japan (10 mg or 15 mg once daily, according to Kimura, receiving lecture fees from Bristol-Myers Squibb and
the patient’s creatinine clearance)18 rather than Nippon Boehringer Ingelheim, grant support, lecture fees, and
advisory fees from Bayer Yakuhin, and grant support and lecture
the globally approved once-daily dose of 20 mg. fees from Daiichi Sankyo and Sanofi; Dr. Hirayama, receiving
However, pharmacokinetic modeling has shown lecture fees from Sanofi, Astellas Pharma, Sumitomo Dainip-
that the level of rivaroxaban in blood samples pon Pharma, AstraZeneca, Nippon Boehringer Ingelheim, and
Amgen Astellas BioPharma, grant support and lecture fees from
obtained from Japanese patients who were tak- Bristol-Myers Squibb, Daiichi Sankyo, and Bayer Yakuhin, lecture
ing rivaroxaban at the 15-mg dose was similar to and consulting fees from Toa Eiyo, grant support from Pfizer
the level in white patients who were taking the Japan, serving as an endowed chair for Boston Scientific Japan,
Hokushin Medical, Abbott Japan, Active Medical, Fukuda Den-
20-mg dose.19 The choice of antiplatelet regimen, shi, Medtronic Japan, Japan Lifeline, and Kurihara Medical In-
either aspirin or a P2Y12 inhibitor, was at the strument, and receiving lecture fees and serving as an endowed

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Copyright © 2019 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
Antithrombotic Ther apy for AF in Stable Coronary Disease

chair for Otsuka Pharma; and Dr. Ogawa, receiving lecture fees A data sharing statement provided by the authors is available
from Towa Pharmaceutical and honoraria from Novartis Pharma. with the full text of this article at NEJM.org.
No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was We thank Cindy Jenner of Chameleon Communications Inter-
reported. national for providing editorial assistance with an earlier version
Disclosure forms provided by the authors are available with of the manuscript and the staff members of Mebix for their assis-
the full text of this article at NEJM.org. tance in the management of data collection, storage, and analysis.

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