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Actual Rates
Tax Rate 30%
Projected Financials
2014
Balance Sheet Check OK
Cash Flow Check OK
Net Income Check OK
Notes:
Enter or change values in each of the Orange Input Fields, then
view the results on the respective statement tabs.
The Year fields will update the years throughout the different tabs.
Income Statement
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(Common Size - % of Revenue)
2011 2012 2013
Revenue 100% 100% 100%
Cost of Goods Sold 64% 71% 64%
Gross Profit 36% 29% 36%
SG&A 22% 21% 24%
EBITDA 14% 8% 11%
Depreciation & Amortization 3% 3% 3%
EBIT 11% 5% 9%
Interest Expense 2% 1% 1%
Income Before Tax 10% 4% 7%
Income Tax Expense 3% 1% 2%
Net Income 7% 3% 5%
Income Statement
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(Y-o-Y Change)
2011-2012 2012-2013
Revenue 37.3% 21.6%
Cost of Goods Sold 50.6% 10.8%
Gross Profit 13.2% 47.6%
SG&A 34.5% 39.1%
EBITDA (20.2%) 70.1%
Depreciation & Amortization 38.7% 25.1%
EBIT (33.6%) 91.6%
Interest Expense 16.4% 11.9%
Income Before Tax (41.6%) 117.1%
Income Tax Expense (41.6%) 116.9%
Net Income (41.7%) 117.2%
Earnings Per Share (41.7%) 117.2%
Balance Check field verifies that the Total Assets is equal to the Total
Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity fields and it turns Red and says Error if it
doesn't balance.
Statement of Cash Flows
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Indirect Method
($millions)
For the Years Ended December 31,
2012 2013
Cash flows from Operating Activities Source
Net Income $1,340 $2,910 Income Statement
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to Net Cash
Flow
Noncash Adjustments
+ Depreciation and Amortization $1,207 $1,510 Income Statement
Changes in Working Capital
Decrease (Increase) in A/R ($75) ($999) −Δ Balance Sheet
Decrease (Increase) in Inventory (700) (1,476) −Δ Balance Sheet
Decrease (Increase) in Other Current Assets (1,401) 699 −Δ Balance Sheet
Increase (Decrease) in A/P 1,236 1,483 Δ Balance Sheet
Increase (Decrease) in Accrued
26 543 Δ Balance Sheet
Expenses
Increase (Decrease) in Income
1,040 (963) Δ Balance Sheet
Taxes and Other
Net Cash Flow From Operating Activities $2,673 $3,707
Cash flows from Investing Activities
CapEx Spend ($3,026) ($4,858) −Δ Balance Sheet
Changes in LT Assets & Liabilities
Decrease (Increase) in Other Noncurrent Assets ($418) ($171) −Δ Balance Sheet
Increase (Decrease) in Deferred Income Taxes
691 416 Δ Balance Sheet
and Other
Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities ($2,753) ($4,613)
Cash flows from Financing Activities
Increase (Decrease) in Long-Term
$3,163 $4,448 Δ Balance Sheet
Debt [Source (Use) of Cash]
Less Dividends Paid (250) (250) Inputs
Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities $2,913 $4,198
Summary PY Balance
Beginning Cash $682 $3,515 Balance Sheet Cash
Ending Cash 3,515 6,807
Minimum Cash Balance 250 250 Inputs
Excesss (Required) Cash $3,265 $6,557
Ending Cash vs. Cash on Balance Sheet Check $3,515 $6,807
Check Sum OK OK
Notes:
Do not make any changes on this tab. Change either the CashFlowInputs Tab or the inputs tabs for the
IncomeInputs or BalanceInputs tabs to change this data.
The Check Sum Checks Ending Cash against Cash on the Balance Sheet for that Year and Should be OK and
not in Error. To get this to balance, change various CashFlowInputs values until it balances. Note that the
inputs on that page are a simplification of the real statements of cash flow, which have more
variables such as bad debt expense and so on, but these statements are simplified and omit many of
these considerations.The Check Sum Checks Ending Cash against Cash on the Balance Sheet for that Year
and Should be OK and not in Error. To get this to balance, change various values on the CashFlowInputs tab
until it balances.
CashFlowInputs refers to the the CashFlowInputs tab. This information would be available from supporting
schedules or the organization's other accounting information.
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Financial Ratios 2011 2012 2013
Inputs for Financial Ratios and Calculations
Days 365
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) 10% 10% 10%
ShopNow! Current Stock Price per Share $50 $50 $50
Financial Ratios and Calculations For Part I, Domain B
Chapter 8, Topic 1: Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio 1.59 1.71 2.11
Quick Ratio 0.84 0.93 1.31
Alternate Quick Ratio 0.84 0.93 1.31
Cash Ratio 0.10 0.38 0.69
Chapter 8, Topic 2: Leverage Ratios
Debt to Total Assets 39% 40% 42%
Total debt $10,046 $13,209 $17,657
Total Liabilities to Total Assets 67% 71% 71%
Debt to Equity 118% 138% 144%
Alternate Debt to Equity 118% 138% 144%
Long-Term Debt to Equity 108% 127% 139%
% Change in EBIT -34% 92%
% Change in Revenue 37% 22%
Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL) -0.90 4.25
% Change in EPS -42% 117%
Degree of Financial Leverage (DFL) 1.24 1.28
% Change in Net Income -42% 117%
Degree of Total Leverage -1.12 5.43
Interest Coverage 7.25 4.13 7.08
Cash Coverage 8.91 6.11 9.29
Chapter 8, Topic 3: Activity Ratios
Average A/R Turnover 9.2 10.1
Average A/R $5,046 $5,583
Days' Sales Outstanding 40 36
Average Inventory $4,634 $5,722
Average Inventory Turnover 7.0 6.3
Days' Inventory Outstanding 52 58
Average A/P $4,833 $6,193
Average A/P Turnover 6.8 5.8
Days' Payables Outstanding 54 63
Cash Conversion Cycle 38 32
Average Asset Turnover 1.57 1.51
Average Fixed Assets (Net PP&E) $14,686 $17,269
Average Fixed Asset Turnover 3.15 3.25
Average Current Assets $13,245 $18,283
Average Current Liabilties $7,043 $8,726
Average Working Capital Turnover 7.45 5.88
Chapter 8, Topic 4: Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin 35.6% 29.4% 35.7%
EBITDA Margin 13.9% 8.1% 11.3%
EBIT Margin 11.3% 5.5% 8.6%
Effective Tax Rate 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Pretax Profit Margin 9.7% 4.1% 7.4%
Profit Margin 6.8% 2.9% 5.2%
Return on Average Assets 4.6% 7.8%
Return on Average Equity 14.8% 26.7%
Average Total Asset Turnover 1.57 1.51
Average Equity Multiplier 3.25 3.41
Return on Average Equity (DuPont Equation) 15% 27%
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) 11% 15%
Basic Earnings Per Share (EPS) $2.30 $1.34 $2.91
NOPAT $2,665 $1,768 $3,389
Capital Employed (Debt + Equity) $18,543 $22,796 $29,904
Average Capital Employed $20,670 $26,350
Economic Profit (Economic Value Added (EVA))
(Average Capital Employed) ($299) $754
Net Investment in Capital Employed $4,253 $7,108
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ($353) ($1,151)
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) $75 ($672)
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) $2,810 $3,297
Chapter 8, Topic 5: Market Ratios
Dividend Yield 0.50% 0.50%
Earnings Yield 2.68% 5.82%
Price to Earnings 37 17
Price To Book 5.88 5.22 4.08
Alternate Price to Book 5.88 5.22 4.08
Price to Sales 1.49 1.08 0.89
Price to Cash Flow 18.71 13.49
Price to EBITDA 10.69 13.39 7.87
Projected Financials
Financial Projection Input Assumptions Balance Sheet Check
($millions) Cash Flow Check
Net Income Check
Assumptions Actual Performance
Income Statement 2014 2011 2012 2013
Revenue Growth Rate 30.0% n/a 37.3% 21.6%
Gross Profit (% of Revenue) 35.7% 35.6% 29.4% 35.7%
SG&A (% of Revenue) 25.4% 21.7% 21.3% 24.4%
Depreciation Rate (% of Gross PPE) 6.9% 6.4% 6.9%
Long-Term Debt Interest Rate 5.2% 6.1% 5.2%
Tax Rate (% of Income Before Tax) 30% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Balance Sheet 2014 2011 2012 2013
Average A/R Turnover Ratio 10.1 9.2 10.1
Average Inventory Turnover Ratio 6.3 7.0 6.3
Other Current Assets $1,468 $2,167 $1,468
Gross PP&E Growth Rate (% of Revenue) 8.6% 6.5% 8.6%
Other NonCurrent Assets $1,813 $1,642 $1,813
Avaerage A/P Turnover Ratio 5.8 6.8 5.8
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt $606 $1,016 $606
Average Accrued Expenses Turnover Ratio 29.5 30.3 29.5
Taxes Payable and Other/Tax Expense 29.19% 29.17% 230.78% 29.19%
Deferred Income Taxes and Other $2,412 $1,996 $2,412
Additional Paid-In Capital $1,130 $1,130 $1,130
Dividends/Share $0.25 $0.25 $0.25
Cash Flow Assumptions
Dividends Paid ($250) ($250)
Minimum Cash Balance $250 $250
2014
Notes:
OK Enter or change values in each of the Orange Input Fields, then view the results
OK on the ProjectedIncome, ProjectedBalanceSheet and ProjectedCashFlows tabs.
OK
Turnover rates are calculated using average rates: (CY+PY)/2 rather than using ending
values.
CY: Current Year
PY: Prior Year
Other Current Assets: Enter a value or assume no change from the prior year.
Other Noncurrent Assets: Enter a value or assume no change from the prior year.
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt is taken from the Footnotes for the most recent
Deleted year's
Accumulated
Actuals.depreciation
It is not directly related to long-term debt as some debt may be retired
and new debt may be added. As the footnotes do not exist for this example, enter a
value that is not wildly different from prior years.
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt: Enter a value or assume no change from the
prior year.
Additional Paid-In Capital: Enter a value or assume no change from the prior year.
hen view the results
edCashFlows tabs.
The Balance Check field checks that Total Assets and Total
Liablities and Shareholders' Equity are equal. If not "Error" appears.
Otherwise "OK" appears.
haded cells in the Change in Balance Sheet column are those cells
sed in the Pro Form Statement of Cash Flows.
Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows Notes:
Do not make any changes o
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Indirect Method The Check Sum Checks Endin
be OK and not in Error. To ge
($millions) balances. Note that the inp
For the years ended December 31, cash flow, which have mor
2013 2014 Source statements are simplified
Cash flows from Operating Activities Ending Cash against Cash on
Net Income $2,910 $3,358 Income Statement To get this to balance, chang
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to Net
Cash Flow CapEx: Capital Expenditures
Noncash Adjustments Increase (Decrease) in Long-
+ Depreciation and Amortization $1,510 $1,845 Income Statement Debt.
Changes in Working Capital
Decrease (Increase) in A/R ($999) ($1,175) −Δ Balance Sheet
Decrease (Increase) in Inventory (1,476) (979) −Δ Balance Sheet
Decrease (Increase) in Other Current Assets 699 0 −Δ Balance Sheet
Increase (Decrease) in A/P 1,483 1,116 Δ Balance Sheet
Increase (Decrease) in Accrued Expenses 543 259 Δ Balance Sheet
The Check Sum Checks Ending Cash against Cash on the Balance Sheet for that Year and Should
be OK and not in Error. To get this to balance, change various CashFlowInputs values until it
balances. Note that the inputs on that page are a simplification of the real statements of
cash flow, which have more variables such as bad debt expense and so on, but these
statements are simplified and omit many of these considerations.The Check Sum Checks
Ending Cash against Cash on the Balance Sheet for that Year and Should be OK and not in Error.
To get this to balance, change various values on the CashFlowInputs tab until it balances.
Increase (Decrease) in Long-Term Debt is the Current Portion of Long-Term Debt + Long-Term
Debt.
Pro Forma Income Statement
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($millions)
For the years ended December 31,
2013 2014 2014 2014
Actual -2%Forecast Forecast +2% Forecast
Revenue $56,206 $71,944 $73,068 $74,192
Cost of Goods Sold $36,161 $46,286 $47,009 $47,733
Gross Profit $20,045 $25,658 $26,059 $26,459
SG&A $13,694 $18,248 $18,533 $18,818
EBITDA $6,351 $7,410 $7,526 $7,641
Depreciation &
Amortization $1,510 $1,845 $1,845 $1,845
EBIT $4,841 $5,564 $5,680 $5,796
Interest Expense $684 $883 $883 $883
Income Before Tax $4,157 $4,681 $4,797 $4,913
Income Tax Expense $1,247 $1,404 $1,439 $1,474
Net Income $2,910 $3,277 $3,358 $3,439
Earnings Per Share $2.91 $3.28 $3.36 $3.44
Shares Issued and
Outstanding 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
% Change: 2013-2014
2013 2014 2014 2014
Actual -2%Forecast Forecast +2% Forecast
Revenue $56,206 28.0% 30.0% 32.0%
Cost of Goods Sold $36,161 28.0% 30.0% 32.0%
Gross Profit $20,045 28.0% 30.0% 32.0%
SG&A $13,694 33.3% 35.3% 37.4%
EBITDA $6,351 16.7% 18.5% 20.3%
Depreciation &
Amortization $1,510 22.2% 22.2% 22.2%
EBIT $4,841 14.9% 17.3% 19.7%
Interest Expense $684 29.1% 29.1% 29.1%
Income Before Tax $4,157 12.6% 15.4% 18.2%
Income Tax Expense $1,247 12.6% 15.4% 18.2%
Net Income $2,910 12.6% 15.4% 18.2%
Earnings Per Share $2.91 12.6% 15.4% 18.2%
Shares Issued and
Outstanding 1,000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pro Forma Income Statement
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(all numbers in millions)
For the years ended December 31,
2013 2014 2014 2014
Actual Worst Case Base Case Best Case
Revenue $56,206 $50,585 $68,346 $73,068
Cost of Goods Sold $36,161 32,545 43,972 45,302
Gross Profit $20,045 $18,041 $24,375 $27,766
SG&A $13,694 12,325 16,677 17,802
EBITDA $6,351 $5,716 $7,698 $9,964
Depreciation &
Amortization $1,510 1,845 1,845 1,845
EBIT $4,841 $3,870 $5,853 $8,118
Interest Expense $684 597 883 1,074
Income Before Tax $4,157 $3,274 $4,970 $7,044
% Change: 2013-2014
2013 2014 2014 2014
Actual Worst Case Base Case Best Case
Revenue $56,206 -10.0% 21.6% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold $36,161 -10.0% 21.6% 25.3%
Gross Profit $20,045 -10.0% 21.6% 38.5%
SG&A $13,694 -10.0% 21.8% 30.0%
EBITDA $6,351 -10.0% 21.2% 56.9%
Depreciation &
Amortization $1,510 22.2% 22.2% 22.2%
EBIT $4,841 -20.0% 20.9% 67.7%
Interest Expense $684 -12.8% 29.1% 57.0%
Income Before Tax $4,157 -21.2% 19.6% 69.4%