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GRD Journals- Global Research and Development Journal for Engineering | Volume 4 | Issue 10 | September 2019

ISSN: 2455-5703

Factor of Safety and Reliability Analysis of Rock


Slope using GEO5 Software
Md. Khaja Moniuddin Sharankumar Mathada
Assistant Professor Assistant Professor
Department of Civil Engineering Department of Civil Engineering
BKIT Bhalki, India BKIT Bhalki, India

Dr. Vageesha S. Mathada Abhijith H T


Assistant Professor PG Student
Department of Civil Engineering Department of Civil Engineering
BKIT Bhalki, India BKIT Bhalki, India

Abstract
The entire earth consist of so many varieties of rock minerals which compositely for an entire rock mass which may be natural or
artificial rock slopes which are at the level of the ground itself or it may be a deepest cuts or the hill slopes above the ground level.
The factor of safety plays a major role in rock slope analysis. Due to the uncertainty involved in the calculation of rock parameters
the application of factor of safety is widely used in analysis. Theses factor of safety are determined here by using Geo5 demo
version software based on the uncertainty involved in the various rock parameters. The simple reliability analysis will provides the
means of combined effect of uncertainty involved in calculations. The additional parameters such as standard deviation, mean,
reliability index are used to determine the probability of failure of the rock slope. This probability of failure will helps to determine
the reliability of the rock slope which in turn gives the idea of the stability of rock slope for any future recommendations regarding
the actions for their stability.
Keywords- Standard Deviation, Mean, Reliability Index, Probability of Failure

I. INTRODUCTION
Here we use the Geo5 software for the analysis of the analysis of the factor of safety of the rock slope. The software uses the
Mohr’s coulombs criterion for calculation of the FS of the slope, the mode of failure considered is the plane slip surface. The input
parameters such as the unit weight, cohesion, angle of internal friction are used to determine the FS of rock slope. The reliability
analysis mainly refers the percentage of probability of failure of the rock slope from results provided by the software. They take
into account the various uncertainty in the input parameters and helps in selecting the correct factor of safety. The reliability
analysis is carried by using the three sigma rule, in which the variance the each parameters are taken into account and then the
varied values as been used in determination of factor of safety. The variation which provides the minimum factor of safety is
considered as critical. If this factor of safety is well within the required factor of safety then the rock slope is considered as stable.
If not then the anchors as used to strengthen the rock (any other method of strengthening can also be used).

A. Geo5 Software
– Both Analytical methods and Finite Element method are available in the software
– A large number of problems such as stability of slopes, reinforced soil structures, rock slope stability, spread footings, plates,
beams, cantilever walls, gravity walls, abutments, gabions, pile foundations, sheeting design and analysis, earth pressure,
settlement analysis, etc. can be solved using this software.
– It empowers design and analysis of rock stability with plane, polygonal slip surface and stepped slip surface.
– Any method of failure criterion such as Mohr’s Coulomb , Barton Bandis and Hoek –Brown can be used for analysis

II. METHODOLOGY

A. Factor of Safety
The factor of safety is the constant which is imposed by standard laws, such that the slope should confirm or exceed this number
for the stable of the slope for a long period of life.
Resisting force
Factor of safety =
Driving force

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Factor of Safety and Reliability Analysis of Rock Slope using GEO5 Software
(GRDJE/ Volume 4 / Issue 10 / 009)

B. Mohr’s Coulomb Model

Fig. 1: Mohr’s Coulomb Model

– The software makes use of the Mohr’s Coulomb Model for determining the factor of safety.
– Mohr’s coulomb model describe the shear strength of rocks and soils at different effective stress

C. Uncertainties of the Variables


– It is the measure depression of frequency distribution or probability distribution.
– These Coefficient of variation are given by Harr and Kulhaway based on three sigma rule
– Three sigma rule is given by Dia and wang(1992).
– According 3-σ rule 99.73% of the values of the normally distributed parameters fall within standard deviation average.
Table 1: Coefficient of variance chosen for analysis
Parameters COV
Unit weight(kN/m3 ) 10
Angle of Internal friction(ϕ)degree 10
Cohesion(C) in kPa 20

D. Reliability Analysis
– Level I method: Modelled by single habitual value.
– Level II method: Modelled by the mean value, standard deviation and the coefficients of correlation between variables.
– Level III method: Modelled by their combined distribution function and the probability of failure is determined to estimate of
reliability.
– Level IV method: Outcome (cost) of collapse are also taken in to consideration.
The probabilistic strategies of reliability analysis include the following
1) Monte Carlo Simulation Method (MCS)
2) First-Order Second-Moment Method (FOSM)
3) First and Second Order Reliability Method (FORM, SORM)
4) Point Estimation Methods

1) Monte Carlo Simulation Method (MCS)


One of the mean to evaluate the probability of failure of slopes is the utilization of Monte Carlo Simulation method. In this regard
distinct values of the constituent random uncertainties are generated according to their probability distribution, and the productivity
is calculated, then, for each produced set. The procedure is iterated several times to derive a rough, distinct probability density
function of the performance function. This method is simple but time consuming.

2) First-Order Second-Moment Method (FOSM)


The First Order Second-Moment Method is a notable option to Monte Corlo Simulation method, developed by Cornel (1971). It
comprises on a primary sequence Taylor series estimation of the average (mean) and deviation (variance) of the performance
function. Fractional by-products of this later calculated at the average values are so required An. easy way of this technique called
as the Mean value First Order Second Moment method (MFOSM) was advocated and employed by Hassen et. al. (1999), to find
the risky slip circle with minimum reliability index in a probabilistic analysis of slope stability.
The approximation of the derivatives is a numerical difficulty of the FOSM method; additionally it is known to loose
precision as FOS winds up non-linear and as the variance coefficient of the component expands, which is unluckily a frequent
occurrence in the field of geotechnical engineering.

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Factor of Safety and Reliability Analysis of Rock Slope using GEO5 Software
(GRDJE/ Volume 4 / Issue 10 / 009)

3) First and Second Order Reliability Method (FORM, SORM)


The most regularly used methods in geotechnical engineering field are the First and Second Order Reliability Methods; the Hasofer-
Lind reliability index yielding is the base for these methods, therefore an invariant type of the reliability method.
The First Order Reliability method (FORM) involves fitting a tangent hyper plane to the surface of the limit state at the design
point, as illustrated in Fig. Hence the notable step in this method is the search for the design point p*. Several algorithms are
suggested for the resolution of this issue.
The Second-Order reliability method (SORM) involves fitting of a hyper-paraboloid to the surface of the limit state at the
design point permitting the consideration of its curvature. As shown in Fig. 3a. The hyper-paraboloid is identical to the hyper plane
distant of βs from the source (origin) of the normalized space.
The SORM have the same drawback as in the previous method regarding the difficulty in approximation of partial
derivatives.

4) Point Estimation Methods


This category of techniques involves approximation of integrals which describe the moments relating to the use of statistics of the
performance function through a collection of well-defined rules and regulations.

Fig. 2 (a): Cornel Fig. 2 (b): Hasofer-Lind


Reliability Index

III. PROBLEM
The problem taken from the manual provided by the Geo 5 software has been used as an example for the reliability analysis .The
geotechnical parameters of the rock mass were determined on the basis geological and archival investigations
Unit weight of rock = 26 KN/m3
Effective angle of friction ϕ' = 430
Effective cohesion C' = 423 KPa

Fig. 3: Cross section of side rock hill cutting

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Factor of Safety and Reliability Analysis of Rock Slope using GEO5 Software
(GRDJE/ Volume 4 / Issue 10 / 009)

The average unconfined compressive strength (determined by Schmidt hammer) = 60 MPa. The active height suggested by the
geologist is 10.57 in hydrological survey no underground water flows were observed.

A. Results
After analysing the above mentioned problem, the following are the results obtained.

Chart 1: FOS Distribution Chart

Fig. 4: Slip surface minimum FOS

Fig. 5: Most probable slip surface zone

The various factor of safety given by the software for various uncertainties applied for the rock parameters a number of slip surface
has been obtained for each variations. The slip surface for the minimum FOS is obtained for the combination of unit weight varied
by 3σ times and cohesion and internal friction varied -3σ times. The min FOS this combination is 9.65. Similarly for the maximum
FOS is obtained when γ varied 3σ and c varied -3σ and varied 3σ with a FOS of 124.51.

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Factor of Safety and Reliability Analysis of Rock Slope using GEO5 Software
(GRDJE/ Volume 4 / Issue 10 / 009)

IV. CONCLUSIONS
1) From the reliability analysis carried out using the Geo5 software for various variances of the parameters such as cohesion, unit
weight and angle of internal friction, we obtain a various number of results for various combinations.
2) From the results it has been clear that the lowest factor of safety occurs when the parameters γ varied 3σ times, ϕ varied -3σ,
and C-varied -3σ, and provides FS=9.65>>>1.5.
3) The most probable slip surface zone will occurs in the ordinates of (0,5), (5.54,6.84), (8.34,8.94), (0,5).
4) Hence it shows that the rock is stable for long time and does not need any further action to increase its stability.
5) The probability of failure of for the given rock slope is 0.0090956 and it lies between the 0.003 and 0.01 and the reliability is
99.090% it indicates rock slope is reliable and good in performance no need for the further actions to increase its stability.

REFERENCES
[1] Michael Duncan et all (April 2000): “Factor of safety and reliability in Geotechnical Engineering”
[2] Harr and Kulhaway, et all (2000): “Probabilistic Back Analysis of Geotechnical Systems”
[3] Vageesha Salkani Mathada (2014): “Spacial Distribution of Risk and Reliability in Slopes”
[4] C.Huang and X.P.Zhou et all (2017):“Two-Dimensional Stability Assessment to Rock Slopes Based on Random Field
[5] D K Baidya and A. GuhaRay (2017): “Geotechnical Engineering Reliability Aspects”
[6] R.K.Sharma, Vishal Kumar, N. Sharma, (2012): “Slope stability analysis using software GEO5 and C programming”.(International Conference on Chemical,
Ecology and Environmental Sciences’ march 2012 Bangkok)

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