rooted in more fundamental differences. This, in turn, gives us a better
sense of whether European polycentrism and competitive fragmentation were highly contingent or sustained by powerful structural conditions. In this chapter and in chapters 8 and 9, I argue that the latter is true. Ideally, we would like to observe particular features that were most pronounced in East Asia—the most “empire-friendly” part of the Old World—weakest in, or even absent from, post-Roman Europe, and of intermediate strength in other subcontinental regions, including rele- vant portions of the New World. In practice, the comprehensive survey that is needed to systematically define, document, and assess a wide set of criteria could easily fill an entire book. In the following, I therefore focus in the first instance on a more straightforward juxtaposition of Europe and East Asia, employing the Chinese imperial tradition as a counterpoint to medieval and European state formation. However, this contrast appeared only after the fall of Rome, and that is what made it a divergence. Up till then, Europe and East Asia had shared convergent trends that appeared to put them on similar tracks. This, of course, makes their subsequent and rather sudden divergence all the more remarkable and worth investigating. It also helps us pin- point the most significant variables that drove this process, and to do so at different levels of causation.2 I develop my argument in two stages. In this chapter, I cover the ancient convergence and subsequent divergence between Europe and China, and the specific historical circumstances—or proximate causes—associated with the post-ancient disjuncture. I then explore more fundamental features that acted upon t hese historical processes: geography and ecology (chapter 8) and cultural traits (chapter 9). I ex- pand my comparison by introducing material from South and Southeast Asia and the M iddle East whenever it is expedient, but in less detail, in order to test the broader relevance of putative key variables such as fiscal arrangements, proximity to the steppe, and cultural homogeneity. In the summary of my findings at the end of chapter 9, I argue that the most important outcomes—enduring fragmentation in post- Roman Europe and serial empire formation elsewhere—were substan- tially overdetermined. Notwithstanding Rome’s early success, Europe