Richard Suttmeier is the Chief Market Strategist at www.ValuEngine.com.

ValuEngine is a fundamentally-based quant research firm in Newtown, PA. ValuEngine

covers over 7,000 stocks every day.

A variety of newsletters and portfolios containing Suttmeier's detailed research, stock picks,
and commentary can be found at http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl

November 19, 2010 – On the Road Again with GM, but Ford rates a SELL

The 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage rose to 4.39 from 4.17 last week. I thought QE2 was supposed
to bring down rates to help Main Street USA create jobs? The yield on the 10-Year note appears
stuck between my annual value level at 2.999 and my annual pivot at 2.813. Gold trades
between its 50-day simple moving average at $1333.6 and my monthly pivot at $1373.0. Crude
oil is back above its 50-day at $81.04 with my semiannual pivot at $83.94. The euro remains
oversold and tested its 50-day at 1.3695 overnight. The Dow is between its 50-day at 10,995 and
my annual pivot at 11,235. In the ValuEngine Morning Briefing my “Stock of the Day” is Ford,
which is fitting following Thursday’s successful IPO for General Motors.
10-Year Note – (2.906) Annual and daily levels are 2.999 and 3.032 with my annual pivot at 2.813,
and weekly, monthly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels at 2.441, 2.380, 2.265 and 2.249.

Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

Comex Gold – ($1353.5) Daily, quarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are $1325.5, $1306.4,
$1260.8, $1218.7 and $1115.2 with monthly and weekly risky levels at $1373.0 and $1424.1.

Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

Nymex Crude Oil – ($82.26) Monthly and annual value levels are $78.51 and $77.05 with daily and
semiannual pivots at $81.48 and $83.94, and weekly, semiannual and annual risky levels at $91.33,
$96.53 and $97.29.

Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

The Euro – (1.3642) Daily, quarterly and monthly value levels are 1.3365, 1.3318 and 1.2709 with
weekly and semiannual risky levels at 1.4618 and 1.4733.

Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

Daily Dow: (11,181) Daily, monthly, semiannual, annual and quarterly value levels are 10,988, 10,848,
10,558, 10,379 and 8,523 with annual, semiannual, and weekly risky levels at 11,235, 11,296, and
11,579.

Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

 ValuEngine Stock of the Day
Ford Motor (F)
Ford Motor (F) – is rated a SELL according to ValuEngine with fair value at $12.32, which makes the
stock 30.8% overvalued. Ford Motor Company produces cars and trucks. The company and its
subsidiaries also engage in other businesses, including manufacturing automotive components and
systems and financing and renting vehicles and equipment. The company is divided up into the
following four operating segments: Automotive, Visteon Automotive Systems, Ford Motor Credit
Company, and The Hertz Corporation. Ford declined on Thursday probably as institutional
investors swapped into the new shares for General Motors. If Ford was a proxy for owning
General Motors and Ford is rated a SELL then the upside for the new GM should be limited.
Analysis – The daily chart for Ford shows overbought MOJO with the stock above its 21-day, 50-day,
and 200-day simple moving average at $15.39, $13.91 and $12.59. My monthly value level is $13.14
with a weekly pivot at $16.21 and no risky levels.

Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

Mkt Fair Forecast 1- Forecast 1- Last 12-Mon 5-Yr Avg P/E
Ticker Company Name
Price Value Mon Retn(%) Yr Retn(%) Retn (%) Retn (%) Ratio
F FORD MOTOR 16.12 12.32 -0.72 -9.22 85.75 14.37 8.25
That’s today’s Four in Four. Have a great day.
Richard Suttmeier
Chief Market Strategist
ValuEngine.com
(800) 381-5576
Send your comments and questions to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com. For more information on our products and services visit
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As Chief Market Strategist at ValuEngine Inc, my research is published regularly on the website www.ValuEngine.com. I have daily, weekly, monthly, and
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