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Introduction
Most natural gas distribution companies have been age is triggered by the variations in weather (daily,
{aced with the problem of obtaining gas supplies to monthly, or seasonal) and the volume of gas required
meet increased winter peak loads. There are several to satisfy space-heating customers. Space heating
possible alternatives that companies may take to aid constitutes a large segment of the distribution com-
in meeting the peak demands: pany’s market; consequently, the variation in weather
1. Contract for additional pipeline flow gas. causes a variation in load or sales. The greater the
2. Contract for peak-shaving service. change in weather, the more ditlicult the problem of
3. Develop storage or peak-shaving facilities. operating the company (system) at high efficiency.
4. Do nothing and quit growing. This efficiency is commonly referred to as load factor,
If companies clearly understand their sales load which is the annual volume of gas purchased by the
and the availability and economics of the various distribution company divided by the annual volume
peak-shaving methods, then the choice of alternatives that the pipeline company has contracted to deliver.
should be easy. Table 1 shows the load factors for the different
The current short supply of gas is a factor that ex- sales loads for Northern Illinois Gas Co. Since the
e.rt~ great pre~~~re for .rnQre efi.~ien~ lu~e of f~e]e -A.f c~-rn-nanv
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the same time, it may be the factor that limits the de- load factors should be typical of those of a distribu-
velopment of peak-shaving facilities or of under- tion company located in the midwest climate region.
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This paper does not attempt to solve the supply sales with the highest load factor and the lowest vol-
problem, but it does review the need for load balanc- ume of gas sold. The load factor ranges from 76.8
ing or peak shaving by use of underground storage of percent for residential use to 137 percent for indus-
natural gas. It compares the economics of under- trial sales. The general sales load factor is high be-
ground storage with other meth&ls of peak shaving cause it is independent of variations in weather.
and with pipeline gas costs. The space-heating load is the segment of the com-
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Need for Underground Storage of est volume of gas sold. Note that the space-heating
Natural Gas load factor ranges from 34.3 percent for residential
The storage of gas is needed to increase the efficiency heating to 43.7 percent for commercial heating. Be-
of the gas distribution business. This need for stor- cause the space-heating load is large compared with
The economic advantages oj using underground gas storage to balance variations in gas
load are illustrated here by comparing it with various other approaches: increasing
pipeline flow gas purchases, increasing interruptible sales, and installing LiVG or LPG
peak-shaving facilities. All other methods run a poor race for a return on the
investment dollar.
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TABLE 1—REVIEW OF DISTRIBUTION COMPANY total company sales, the total company load factor of
LOAD FACTOR 46.0 percent is nearly equal to the space-heating load
Annual factQr: This illustrates Lhe effect Qf weaLhlmvariation
“Load Factor
(percent)
on a distribution company with a large space-heating
Type of Load
load. In the case of Northern Illinois Gas Co., the
General total load factor has been raised to 94.4 percent by
Residential 76.8 the use of underground gas storage.
Commercial 97.0 Fig. 1 shows the effect of the load factor on the
Industrial without off-peak 100.0
cost of gas. As the load factor decreases, the unit
Industrial with off-peak 137.0
~Q~fQf g* increases, The g!~~ increases !es~ r@@
Space Heating in the 100- to 75-percent load-factor range than at
Residential 34.3 load factors below 75 percent. This is a very im-
Commercial 43.7 portant point in controlling gas costs and can best
Total Company be explained by examining the gas purchase con-
Without interruptible and off-peak 42.2 tract. In the case of Northern Illinois Gas Co., the
Without interruptible and with off-peak 43.3 purchase contract is a demand-commodity type of
With interruptible and off-peak 46.0 contract with a 75-percent take-or-pay penalty. This
With storage 94.4 means that the distribution company pays a fixed
yearly charge based on the contract quantity of gas
I , to be purchased. This fixed rate is called the demand
charge and does not vary regardless of how much gas
is purchased.
The commodity charge is the cost of gas actually
purchased by the distribution company. The 75-per-
cent take-or-pay penalty comes into effect if less than
75 percent of the contract quantity is purchased. In
short, the company pays the commodity charge for
75 percent of the contract quantity whether the gas
is taken from the pipeline company or not. Under
this type of contract, load factors of less than 75 per-
cent result in greatly accelerated gas costs.
Fig. 2 is a typical load curve for a cold climate, illus-
trating the extreme variation from summer to winter.
It shows that as much gas is sold in the four coldest
months as is sold during the rest of the year. It also
shows that the peak-day sendout may be seven times
that of an average summer day. Each of these situa-
tions presents special problems. The greater demand
that one or the other imposes may strongly influence
the economics of whatever peak-shaving method is
used, although it will have little effect on the cost of
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crease interruptible sales.
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TABLE 2-COSTS TO PROVIDE PEAK SHAVING OF 3 Bef PER SEASON AND 100 MMef/D
OC’FOBER,1971 1223
TABLE 3-COMPARISON OF ANNUAL COSTS OF GAS FROM VARIOUS PEAK-SHAVING METHODS
faction rate of 15 MMcf/D was determined by as- may eliminate underground storage as a means of
suming that 200 days would be available for lique- peak shaving. Its use is also precluded in areas where
faction. Tine calculated annuai costs are $3,045,000, the popuiauon is dense.
or $ 1.02/Mcf. This LNG cost is 85 percent higher The use of LNG or LPG for peak shaving would
than aquifer storage costs and 110 percent higher certainly be more desirable economically than in-
than d~ gas field storage costs. creasing the pipeline supply. One major disadvantage
of LPG may be the scarcity or unpredictability of sup-
LPG Peak-Shaving Facilities ply.
Table 2 shows the calculated annual cost of gas sup Table 3 shows the effect of use on the cost of gas
plied from LPG facilities. The cost factors used in supplied for peak shaving. Certainly, the more in-
estimating plant investment and operating costs were tense the use of the facility, the less the cost of gas
obtained from Heath. * The annual cost for supply- supplied. In our example, LPG facilities would be
ing 3.0 Bcf is $3,975,000, or $1 .33/Mcf. No allow- more economical for 20 days’ use than LNG. After
ance was made for inflation of costs from 1966 to the 20 days, LNG is more economical. Underground
present time; thus, the annual gas costs may be even storage is more economical than LNG or LPG even
higher for LPG. on a 1-day basis. This picture might change, of course,
if the LNG or LPG plant were designed for 1-day
Comparison of Costs usage. This relationship can vary, depending on the
Column 6 of Table 2, listing the annual and unit costs ratio of daily peak shaving to seasonal peak shaving;
of gas supplied through various means of peak shav- also, the economics will vary depending on a parti-
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