11/19/2010

SovExon: Whether Russian livestock maintained high growth?

According to Rosstat, growth in production of livestock and poultry (in

live weight) in farms of all types in October fell to 3.1% by October of
last year. This is the lowest this year. The 10-month growth rate slowed
down production of livestock and poultry to 6.3% in annual terms. Decaying
rate marked the 5th consecutive month since May of 2010, when they were
8.6%. In 2009, production of cattle and poultry increased by 6.6%.

Milk production in the farms of all types in October 2.4 Mt or 3.4% lower
than a year ago. This is a significant decline in production this year.
After 10 months, the rate of growth of milk production decreased to 98.3%.
Acceleration of the reduction in milk production is continuously since
January this year when growth was 101.5%. Last year, production of milk
increased by 0.7%.

Deterioration of production is accompanied by an accelerated reduction in

numbers OF CATTLE and intensification of livestock of pigs decreased.
According to Rosstat, at the end of October 2010 the cattle farms of all
farmers estimated 20.7 million (3.6% less compared to the same date of the
previous year), the cows 8.9 million. (2.1% less), hog-18.6 mln. (0.8%
less), sheep and goats-23.0 million (3.1% less).

Although the reduction in the number of CATTLE is continuously for many

years, declining 3.6%-the highest monthly rate over the past few years.

Reduction in the number of pigs is the second month in a row, although it

has grown steadily over the past 20 months since January 2009.

Despite starting destocking [of livestock], forage is becoming more and

more tense [in short supply?]. According to Rosstat, by early November 2010
availability of feed-in to the left at the beginning of October [was] with
15 million tonnes, whereas last year by early November it rose to 19.9 Mt
with 18.3 million tonnes at the beginning of October. [Thus, Oct 1 stocks
were down 18% vs YA - Wayne]. Availability of livestock feed per 1
conditional head 9.4 centners of fodder units against 12.3 TS feed. units a
year ago [down 23.5%]. Backlog of last year rose to 23.6% from 17% in
early October.

Subject "whether Russian livestock sustain high growth?" on the statement

by the permanent participant of meeting Sergei Lebedev Cereal Club, head of
the Executive Committee of the national meat Association. Along with grain
and grain companies to attend the next meeting of the Club registered
agri-holdings and NAPKO Miratorg, the largest Russian breeding company.

Bing Translated with edits for English syntax by Wayne

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