Community Power by Al Weinrub 10-14-10

COMMUNITY POWER
Decentralized Renewable Energy in California

By Al Weinrub
November 2010 Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California A

µDecentralized renewable energy generation represents the single
most immediate and feasible means to produce renewable energy at a
broad scale without reliance on longdistance transmission lines...¶
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µIt's inevitable that we're going to create a greener economy in the

U.S. The question is, will we make this transition fast enough, and
fair enough. That's the challenge: to get as many jobs and as much
justice out of this transition as possible. We have an ecological and
economic crisis at the same time. When you try to resolve a crisis,
you can try to resolve it on terms most favorable to rich people,
or to ordinary people. You can try to resolve the crisis in a way
that's most favorable to the status quo, or to real change.¶
DO\8]\Sa
µNo problem can be solved from the same level of consciousness that
created it.¶
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COMMUNITY POWER
Decentralized Renewable Energy in California
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Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 1

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2 Introduction
INTRODUCTION
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4 Introduction
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6 Introduction
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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8 Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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10 Executive Summary
DECENTRALIZED RENEWABLE GENERATION
as a Preferred Source of Power for California
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Decentralized Generation is
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42 Implementing Decentralized Generation

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CONCLUSIONS
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44 Conclusions
APPENDIX A:
Cost Effectiveness of Decentralized Solar PV
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Data: Decentralized Solar PV

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Capital Costs of Solar PV Installations

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APPENDIX B:
California State Energy Agencies and Initiatives
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52 Appendix B: California State Energy Agencies and Initiatives

APPENDIX C:
Calculation of the Renewables Net Short
(The amount of new renewables needed to reach the 33 percent target by 2020)
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60 End Notes

Community Power by Al Weinrub 10-14-10

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COMMUNITY POWER

Decentralized Renewable Energy in California

November 2010 Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California A

µIt's inevitable that we're going to create a greener economy in the

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 1

=c` QVOZZS\US Wa ROc\bW\UES[cabR`OabWQOZZg`SRcQSbVSO[]c\b]TS\S`Ug

Transitioning From Fossil Fuel Electrical

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 3

" >`]XSQbSR @SRcQW\U4]aaWZ4cSZ

3\SÙg Q]\aS`dObW]\ O\R S\SÙg ST¿QWS\Qg [SOac`Sa O`S Z]QOZ RSQS\bÒZWhSR

Decentralized Generation of Electricity

 BVS ASZT5S\S`Ob]` 7\QS\bWdS >`]U`O[ A57> ^`]dWRSa W\QS\bWdS

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 5

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 7

 2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ Wa W\Q`SOaW\UZg Q]abSTTSQbWdS( 3ZSQb`WQWbg

 2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ ^`]dWRSa Z]QOZ S_cWbOPZS SQ]\][WQ

 2SQS\bÒZWhSR US\SÒbW]\ [W\W[WhSa bVS S\dW`]\[S\bOZ W[ÔQb ]T

 2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ QO\ PS P`]cUVb ]\ ZW\S _cWQYZg( 0SQOcaS

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 9

 2SQS\bÒZWhSR US\SÒbW]\ ^`]dWRSa W\Q`SOaSR S\SÙg aSQc`Wbg(

2SQS\bÒZWhSR US\SÒbW]\ ^`]dWRSa O\ OZbS`\ObWdS b] bVS Q]\dS\bW]\OZ S\SÙg

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 11

$ &    " $ &   "

BVSÒ\USaW\Q]ab]TS\SÙgUS\SÒbW]\T]`SOQVbSQV\]Z]UgO`SbVS`SacZb]T µ...solar panel prices have

12 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

Decentralized Generation versus Remote Central

% & ' 

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 13

;EV  ;EV !;EV

14 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

How Much New Renewable Generation Is Needed to

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 15

The Potential for Decentralized Solar Power

/AS^bS[PS` %<OdWUO\babcRg^`S^O`SRT]`bVS131 "SabW[ObSRbVSa]ZO`

16 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 17

PV Manufacturing Capacity Could Easily Meet

  ! " # $ % & '

18 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

0SbeSS\ # O\R & ^V]b]d]ZbOWQ [O\cTOQbc`W\U VOR O RWT¿QcZb bW[S

The Potential for Decentralized Wind Power

BVS ^]bS\bWOZ T]`RSQS\b`OZWhSReW\RUS\S`ObW]\RS¿\SRVS`SOa^`]XSQbac^

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 19

Decentralized Generation Provides Local,

Local Investment Impacts

20 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

7\ ac[[O`g bVS <Sb;SbS` =^bW]\ US\S`ObSa aWU\W¿QO\bZg U`SObS`

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 21

µEW\R ^`]XSQba O`S O a]c`QS ]T X]Pa O\R SQ]\][WQ RSdSZ]^[S\b

22 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 23

Decentralized Generation Minimizes the

2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ bVS`ST]`S VOa OZ[]ab \]\S ]T bVS RSb`W[S\bOZ

24 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

BVS ^`]^]\S\ba ]T `S[]bS ZO`USaQOZS `S\SeOPZS ^]eS` ^ZO\ba US\S`OZZg

Renewable Energy Transmission Initiative: Downplaying

BVS @3B7 STT]`b [WaQVO`OQbS`WhSR bVS S\dW`]\[S\bOZ W[^OQba ]T RSdSZ]^W\U

Expedited LargeScale Renewables: Inadequate

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 25

26 Decentralized Renewable Generation as a Preferred Source of Power for California

EVWZS \]bW\U [cZbW^ZS c\[WbWUObSR S\dW`]\[S\bOZ W[^OQba bVS 131 abOTT

µ<]beWbVabO\RW\U bVS c\[WbWUOPZS W[^OQba Q]\aWRS`ObW]\ \SSRa

Community Power: Decentralized Renewable Energy in California 27

Decentralized Generation Can Be Brought

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" >`]XSQbSR @SRcQW\U4]aaWZ4cSZ

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BVS ASZT5S\S`Ob]` 7\QS\bWdS >`]U`O[ A57> ^`]dWRSa W\QS\bWdS

2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ Wa W\Q`SOaW\UZg Q]abSTTSQbWdS( 3ZSQb`WQWbg

2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ ^`]dWRSa Z]QOZ S_cWbOPZS SQ]\][WQ

2SQS\bÒZWhSR US\SÒbW]\ [W\W[WhSa bVS S\dW`]\[S\bOZ W[ÔQb ]T

2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ QO\ PS P`]cUVb ]\ ZW\S _cWQYZg( 0SQOcaS

2SQS\bÒZWhSR US\SÒbW]\ ^`]dWRSa W\Q`SOaSR S\SÙg aSQc`Wbg(

2SQS\bÒZWhSR US\SÒbW]\ ^`]dWRSa O\ OZbS`\ObWdS b] bVS Q]\dS\bW]\OZ S\SÙg

$ & " $ & "

BVSÒ\USaW\Q]ab]TS\SÙgUS\SÒbW]\T]`SOQVbSQV\]Z]UgO`SbVS`SacZb]T µ...solar panel prices have

Decentralized Generation versus Remote Central

% & '

;EV ;EV !;EV

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! " # $ % & '

0SbeSS\ # O\R & ^V]b]d]ZbOWQ [O\cTOQbc`W\U VOR O RWT¿QcZb bW[S

BVS ^]bS\bWOZ T]`RSQS\b`OZWhSReW\RUS\S`ObW]\RS¿\SRVS`SOa^`]XSQbac^

7\ ac[[O`g bVS <Sb;SbS` =^bW]\ US\S`ObSa aWU\W¿QO\bZg U`SObS`

µEW\R ^`]XSQba O`S O a]c`QS ]T X]Pa O\R SQ]\][WQ RSdSZ]^[S\b

2SQS\b`OZWhSR US\S`ObW]\ bVS`ST]`S VOa OZ[]ab \]\S ]T bVS RSb`W[S\bOZ

BVS ^`]^]\S\ba ]T `S[]bS ZO`USaQOZS `S\SeOPZS ^]eS` ^ZO\ba US\S`OZZg

BVS @3B7 STT]`b [WaQVO`OQbS`WhSR bVS S\dW`]\[S\bOZ W[^OQba ]T RSdSZ]^W\U

Expedited LargeScale Renewables: Inadequate

EVWZS \]bW\U [cZbW^ZS c\[WbWUObSR S\dW`]\[S\bOZ W[^OQba bVS 131 abOTT

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>53 A13 A253 /dS`OUS

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