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88986-30000
Table of Contents
Economics ................................ 1
1. What’s with the back series GDP data? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ............................................................................................................................... 1
2. Uneasy fields: on Kisan Mukti Morcha (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ............................................................................................................................... 2
3. Soon, you may opt to withdraw your Aadhaar number (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics) ......................................................................................................................... 3
4. Why there is a crisis in the aviation industry (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ........................................................................................................................................... 4
5. Cabinet approves Agriculture Export Policy, 2018 (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................................... 5
11. RBI Governor Urjit Patel has left. Now what? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ......................................................................................................................................... 12
12. Shock resignation: on Urjit Patel quitting as RBI chief (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics) ....................................................................................................................... 13
13. FDI on the increase (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) .................... 14
14. Creation of Fisheries and Aquaculture Infrastructure Development Fund (FIDF) (Relevant
for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) .................................................................... 14
15. Cabinet approves New Bill to ban Unregulated Deposit Schemes and Chit Funds
(Amendment) Bill, 2018 (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) .......... 15
16. Himachal, Kerala and T.N. top development index (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................................. 18
17. GST cut on 17 items, 6 services (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics) ................................ 19
18. In Meghalaya, flouting the ban on mining (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ............................................................................................................................. 20
19. States’ Startup Ranking 2018 Announced (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ............................................................................................................................. 22
20. Government moves to enhance bank recapitalisation outlay to Rs. 1,06,000 crore in the
current financial year (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ............. 23
21. Inauguration of Bogibeel Bridge (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
.............................................................................................................................................................. 25
22. Bimal Jalan-headed panel to examine RBI’s economic capital framework (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................... 27
23. Big Blow to E-Commerce sector. Govt takes away ground beneath its feet (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................... 29
24. New rules for e-commerce: how they affect marketplace players, buyers (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................... 29
25. What is the latest clarification on policy around e-commerce?(Relevant for GS Prelims, GS
Mains Paper III; Economics) ........................................................................................................... 31
26. The lowdown on the state of the economy (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ......................................................................................................................................... 33
27. Why do farmers need more than loan waivers(Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ......................................................................................................................................... 35
28. Ease of bad loans stress: on RBI's Financial Stability Report (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS
Mains Paper III; Economics) .................................................................................................. 36
29. In a first, Mallya declared a ‘fugitive economic offender’ (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................................. 37
30. Cabinet approves first-ever three-way merger in Indian Banking with amalgamation of
Vijaya, Dena and Bank of Baroda (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
.............................................................................................................................................................. 37
31. List of India’s legal disputes at WTO (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ......................................................................................................................................... 38
32. What is the idea of Universal Basic Income that the Economic Survey found ‘conceptually
appealing’, and which Sikkim intends to implement? Whom does it benefit, and whom can
it harm? In what ways? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper II; Economics)............. 39
33. Why farmers in the sugar bowl of Western Maharashtra are angry (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................... 40
34. CBI books former ICICI Bank chief Chanda Kochhar for criminal conspiracy (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ......................................................................................... 41
35. Gold turns red hot, price at a peak (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ......................................................................................................................................... 43
36. GST revenues going off target (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics).. 44
37. ICICI Bank sacks Chanda Kochhar (Relevant for GS Mains Paper III; Economics) .......... 45
38. First Revised Estimates of National Income, Consumption Expenditure, Saving and
Capital Formation, 2017-18 (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) 46
39. RBI lifts curbs on three PSBs (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) 48
40. ‘Unemployment data based on draft report’ (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper
III; Economics) .................................................................................................................................. 50
41. In election year, what is the politics and economics of the budget? (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)............................................................................... 50
42. What is the lowdown on MGNREGA funding? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper
III; Economics) .................................................................................................................................. 53
43. All you need to know about Maharashtra’s struggle to amend APMC Act (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) .................................................................................... 54
44. How ICICI clawback can be a game-changer in India’s financial sector (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) .................................................................................... 55
45. Delay in releasing key employment data has undermined the credibility of data
officialdom (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................... 57
46. U.K. Home Secretary orders Vijay Mallya’s extradition to India (Relevant for GS Prelims,
GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ................................................................................................... 59
47. What is the Saradha scam? How is Trinamool linked? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics) ..................................................................................................................... 60
48. ‘Angel tax’ issue on start-ups (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
.............................................................................................................................................................. 62
49. Status of National Gas Grid (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics) .. 63
50. Pension for informal workers (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
.............................................................................................................................................................. 64
51. The lowdown on Mallya’s extradition (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ....................................................................................................................................... 65
52. Shrinking air links in NorthEast (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics) ....................................................................................................................................... 66
53. Taxation of Digital Businesses (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics) ............................... 68
54. 1st Aqua Mega Food Park in Andhra Pradesh (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics) .... 69
55. RBI to pay govt. ₹28,000 cr. in interim surplus (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics) ................................................................................................................................. 69
56. Cabinet approves launch Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan (Relevant for
GS Prelims; Economics) ................................................................................................................. 70
57. Easing global Oil Prices (Relevant for GS Prelims & GS Mains Paper III; Economics) ..... 70
58. Safety nets: on banning unregulated deposit schemes (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics) ..................................................................................................................... 71
59. GST on under-construction flats, affordable housing slashed by 7% (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................... 72
60. RBI takes 3 banks off prompt corrective action framework (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) ......................................................................................................... 73
61. Regulating drug prices (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) .................. 74
62. A new zone for Andhra Pradesh: What could change for the Railways, state (Relevant for
GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................... 75
63. Analysis of SEBI’s new rules to protect those investing in liquid mutual funds (Relevant for
GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) .......................................................................................................... 77
64. Resolution of Essar Steel case (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ...... 78
66. In light of L&T and Mindtree, a look at how hostile takeover bids have played out over the
years (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................. 81
67. Dollar-rupee swap scheme (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)............. 82
68. Nirav Modi denied bail, to stay in London jail till March 29 (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) ......................................................................................................................................... 83
69. Govt. earns ₹85,000 crore from disinvestment in 2018-19, overshoots target (Relevant for
GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) .......................................................................................................... 84
70. Reserve Bank of India postponed the implementation of the Indian Accounting Standards
(Ind AS) norms for banks (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ................ 84
71. India has highest number of poor despite 27 crore moving out of poverty in 10 years:
report (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics)..................................................................................................... 85
72. Bringing Nirav back (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ........................... 87
73. What is systematic investment plan? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) ............................................................................................................................................................. 89
74. RBI cuts repo rate to 6%, lowers GDP forecast to 7.2% (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics) ........................................................................................................................................ 90
75. High inflow of foreign investment into India Stock Market (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) ......................................................................................................................................... 91
76. The cases against Vijay Mallya (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ... 92
77. India becomes net steel importer in 2018-19 fiscal (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics) 94
78. Should debt mutual funds investors worry? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) ............................................................................................................................................................................... 94
79. Chinese economy coming back to high trajectory (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics) ....................................................................................................................................................................... 96
80. Story of airline industry in India (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) 97
81. Why did fixed maturity plans of some funds fail to fully mature? What are the risks
involved? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) .................................................... 99
82. India notifies tax agreement with US to stop evasion by MNCs (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................................................................... 101
83. RBI's reluctance to furnish list of wilful defaulters (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics) .....................................................................................................................................102
84. NSE fined ₹1,000 crore in co-location case (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) ..........................................................................................................................................................103
85. New SBI rules link savings bank interest to repo rate: what has changed, why (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................ 104
86. Pepsi vs Gujarat farmers: case, its withdrawal (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics) ................................................................................................................................................................... 106
87. Why has the Supreme Court given an ultimatum to the Reserve Bank of India on loan
defaulters? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) .........................................107
88. Chips at stake in the PepsiCo-farmers fight : Who has infringed on rights under the
Protection of Plant Varieties and Farmers’ Rights Act, 2001? (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) .................................................................................................................................... 108
89. Reliance subsidiary acquires UK toy retailer Hamleys (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics) .................................................................................................................................................... 110
90. Decline in automobiles sales signal Economic slowdown in India (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................................ 111
91. RBI now uses divergence to compel banks to improve their loan-loss ratios (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................ 111
92. Rising trade deficit of India on account of falling exports (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) .................................................................................................................................... 112
93. Why appeals are stuck at WTO, how India will be hit if process breaks down (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ........................................................................................... 113
94. Higher education to get a boost with ₹1.5 lakh crore action plan (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ........................................................................................................... 114
95. Draft export policy unveiled (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) 115
96. US takes India off currency watchlist (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) .......................................................................................................................................................................... 116
97. Dr K. Kasturirangan Committee submits the Draft National Education Policy to the
Union HRD Minister (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ................ 117
98. Landmark decision taken in the first Cabinet meeting of the NDA Government offers
pension coverage to crores of farmers (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) .................................................................................................................................................. 118
99. PM-KISAN Scheme extension to include all eligible farmer families irrespective of the
size of land holdings (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ................. 119
100. GDP growth slumps to 5.8% and unemployment highest in 45 years (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................................... 121
101. Govt sets up two new Cabinet panels to generate jobs and tackle economic
slowdown (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics).................................... 122
102. RBI's repo rate cut (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............. 123
103. Indian Railway Station Development Corporation (IRSDC) enters into Tripartite
Agreement with French National Railways (SNCF) & AFD, a French Agency (Relevant for
GS Prelims; Economics) ....................................................................................................................................... 124
104. The RBI’s approach in the revised circular on stressed assets (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................................... 124
105. Recommendations of NEP on Higher Education (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................................................................ 125
106. Ratification of the Multilateral Convention to Implement Tax Treaty Related
Measures to Prevent Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................................................................ 128
107. Traffic Index 2018: How Mumbai congestion was measured at world high (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)) .................................................................................... 129
108. India to impose retaliatory tariffs on 29 U.S. goods from June 16 (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ..................................................................................................... 130
109. How will Jet’s insolvency process play out? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics) ......................................................................................................................................................... 131
110. Mega Kaleshwaram project becomes operational (Relevant for GS Prelims;
Economics) ................................................................................................................................................................. 133
111. What are Stalled Projects? How are they dealt? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics) ........................................................................................................................................... 133
112. Educational Development Schemes for economically backward classes (Relevant for
GS Prelims & Mains paper III; Economics) .............................................................................................. 134
113. GST Council meet outcomes (Relevant for GS Prelims ; Economics) ............................... 135
114. Citing personal reasons, RBI Deputy Governor who disagreed quits six months
before term ends (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ........................ 135
115. Niti Aayog health index (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) .. 136
116. RBI panel’s suggestions on the MSME sector (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics) ......................................................................................................................................................... 138
117. What is black money, and why is it to so difficult to quantify it? (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................ 139
118. ‘One nation one ration card’ scheme from July 1, 2020 (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) ................................................................................................................. 141
119. New framework: on SEBI's norms for mutual fund investments (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................................... 141
120. Govt cuts interest rate on small savings schemes by 0.1 pc (Relevant for GS Prelims
& Mains Paper III; Economics) ........................................................................................................................ 142
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121. What does it mean for India to become a $5-trillion economy (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ..................................................................................... 142
122. Behind the decline in fiscal deficit (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) .................................................................................................................................................................. 144
123. Stocks crash on budget, global cues (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) .................................................................................................................................................................. 147
124. Cabinet approves the Banning of Unregulated Deposit Schemes Bill, 2019 (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ....................................................................................... 148
125. Cabinet approves Launch of Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana-lll (PMGSY-III)
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ................................................................ 148
126. Why is India opting for overseas bonds? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics) .................................................................................................................................................................. 150
127. Draft Model Tenancy Act: what govt proposes for house owners, tenants (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ....................................................................................... 151
128. How to read the current fall in bond rates; where are yields headed? (Relevant for
GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................... 153
129. Finance Ministry, NITI Aayog guidelines ignored in airport privatization (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ....................................................................................... 154
130. Ban or regulate? — On India's policy on cryptocurrencies (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics) ............................................................................................................................. 155
131. Understanding cryptocurrencies: What’s to like, and what’s to fear (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics) ...................................................................................................... 156
1. What’s with the back series GDP data? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
Method to calculate data and manner in which it was released led to criticism from
various quarters
The government on Wednesday released the GDP growth estimates for previous years based
on the new method of calculation and base year it had adopted in 2015. The new data and
the manner in which it was released led to criticism from various quarters, including
Opposition political parties and economists alike.
What happened?
In 2015, the government adopted a new method for the calculation of the gross domestic
product of the country, and also adopted the Gross Value Added measure to better estimate
economic activity. Further, the change involved a bringing forward of the base year used for
calculations to 2011-12 from the previous 2004-05. However, this had led to the problem of
not being able to compare recent data with the years preceding 2011-12. The back series
data released on Wednesday provided the earlier years’ data using the new calculations.
The new data shows that, contrary to the earlier perception, the Indian economy never
graduated to a ‘high growth’ phase of more than 9% in the last decade or so. Former Chief
Statistician of India TCA Anant also pointed out that the newer data, especially for the mining
and manufacturing sectors, shows that India did not recover from the global financial crisis
as quickly as initially thought.
According to the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, the method for
preparing the back series is largely the same as what is used to calculate the data using the
new base, which is how all national accounts calculations will be made going forward.
While doing the exercise, the government adopted the recommendations of the United
Nations System of National Accounts, which included measuring the GVA, Net Value Added
(NVA), and the use of new data sources wherever available. One of these data sources is the
Ministry of Corporate Affairs MCA-21 database, which became available since 2011-12.
One problem encountered was in finding matching data for the older series as what the MCA-
21 database provided. The key difference between the two was that the old method
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measured volumes — actual physical output in the manufacturing sector, crop production,
and employment for the services sector. The MCA-21 database allows for a more granular
approach, looking at the balance sheet data of each company and aggregating the
performance of the sector from that, after adjusting for inflation.
For most sectors, simply changing the price vectors from a 2004-05 to a 2011-12 base was
enough, but others required a splicing of new and old data in the relevant proportions to
arrive at the closest approximation.
The new method is also statistically more robust as it tries to relate the estimates to more
indicators such as consumption, employment, and the performance of enterprises, and also
incorporates factors that are more responsive to current changes, unlike the old series that
usually took 2-3 years to register an underlying change.
However, the number of options available and the manner in which the data was released
also led to criticism and doubt over the method that was finally chosen. Former Chief
Statistician of India Pronab Sen pointed out that the fact that the data was released by Niti
Aayog led to questions over the credibility of the method chosen. While it was being handled
exclusively by the Central Statistics Office, the assumption was that the statistically strongest
method would be chosen. Adding Niti Aayog to the equation puts this in doubt, Mr. Sen said,
since it brought political considerations into the fray.
The Opposition also termed the data release a “gimmickry, jugglery, trickery and chicanery”,
a claim disputed by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley.
2. Uneasy fields: on Kisan Mukti Morcha (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
Last week, tens of thousands of farmers reached Delhi for a two-day Kisan Mukti Morcha and
held the country’s attention. They sought a special 21-day Parliament session to discuss the
crisis in India’s agrarian economy.
Their key demands included an unqualified loan waiver to mitigate indebtedness levels in
farm households and better remuneration for their produce instead of promises on paper of
high minimum support prices. These broad demands sum up the precarious livelihood of a
majority of farmers who work on small, fragmented land holdings.
The government has done an about-turn on its responses to a parliamentary panel that
farmers were hit hard by the note ban, and sought to reassure farmers by reiterating its own
initiatives for the sector.
3. Soon, you may opt to withdraw your Aadhaar number (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS
Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Union government is in the last stages of finalising a proposal to amend the Aadhaar Act
to give all citizens an option to withdraw their Aadhaar number, including biometrics and
data.
A Constitution Bench had struck down Section 57 of the Act that allows private entities to
use the unique number for verification. The Bench also declared that seeking to link it with
bank accounts and SIM cards was unconstitutional.
The court had also struck down Section 33(2), which allowed disclosure of Aadhaar
information for national security reasons on the orders of an officer not below Joint
Secretary. It had said an officer above Joint Secretary should consult a judicial officer and
together take a call.
Over 37.50 crore PANs have been issued till March 12, 2018. Of these, the number of PANs
issued to individuals stood at more than 36.54 crore, of which about 16.84 crore have been
linked with Aadhaar.
4. Why there is a crisis in the aviation industry (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics)
September saw carriers wooing passengers with attractive offers in an attempt to fill up
seats, as is the norm during this season every year.
As a result, by the end of September, market-leader IndiGo posted a loss of Rs. 6,52.1 crore
— its first loss since being listed. The airline saw a nearly 60% rise in its expenses to Rs.
7,502.2 crore compared to the previous year. Of this, fuel expenses at Rs. 3,035.4 crore
accounted for an almost 50% increase and the remainder was because of rupee depreciation
and an inability to raise fares. Importantly, the cost incurred on fuel in the second quarter
was double that in the same period last year.
The Union Cabinet has approved the Agriculture Export Policy, 2018. The Cabinet has also
approved the proposal for establishment of Monitoring Framework at Centre with
Commerce as the nodal Department with representation from various line
Ministries/Departments and Agencies and representatives of concerned State Governments,
to oversee the implementation of Agriculture Export Policy.
The Government has come out with a policy to double farmers’ income by 2022. Exports of
agricultural products would play a pivotal role in achieving this goal. In order to provide an
impetus to agricultural exports, the Government has come out with a comprehensive
“Agriculture Export Policy” aimed at doubling the agricultural exports and integrating Indian
farmers and agricultural products with the global value chains. The Agriculture Export Policy
has the following vision:
Objectives:
Objectives of the Agriculture Export Policy are as under:
• To double agricultural exports from present ~US$ 30+ Billion to ~US$ 60+ Billion by 2022
and reach US$ 100 Billion in the next few years thereafter, with a stable trade policy regime.
• To diversify our export basket, destinations and boost high value and value added
agricultural exports including focus on perishables.
•To promote novel, indigenous, organic, ethnic, traditional and non-traditional Agri products
exports.
• To provide an institutional mechanism for pursuing market access, tackling barriers and
deal with sanitary and phyto-sanitary issues.
• To strive to double India’s share in world agri exports by integrating with global value chain
at the earliest.
• Enable farmers to get benefit of export opportunities in overseas market.
Focus on Clusters
Miscellaneous
The Union Cabinet has approved implementation of Shahpurkandi Dam Project, Punjab on
river Ravi. For this, Central Assistance of Rs. 485.38 cr (for irrigation component) would be
provided over five years from 2018-19 to 2022-23.
Implementation of this project would help minimising some of the water of the River Ravi
which at present is going waste through the Madhopur Headworks downstream to Pakistan.
Details:
• On completion of the project an Irrigation Potential of 5,000 ha in Punjab State and 32,173
ha in J&K State would be created.
• Funding for Central Assistance to Shahpurkandi Dam project shall be made through
NABARD under existing system for funding of 99 PMKSY-AIBP projects under LTIF.
• In addition to existing monitoring mechanism for projects by Central Water Commission, a
committee headed by Member, Central Water Commission and consisting of concerned Chief
Engineers of Punjab and J&K and other concerned officers would be constituted to
oversee/monitor the implementation of project.
• The Advisory committee of MoWR, RD&GR on Irrigation, Flood Control and Multipurpose
Projects accepted the second Revised Cost Estimate amounting to Rs. 2715.70 crore
(February, 2018 Price Level) in its 138th meeting held on 31.10.2018.
• The project would be implemented by Govt. of Punjab with Central Assistance of Rs. 485.38
crore The project would be completed by June 2022.
Impact:
• Some of the water of the River Ravi at present is going waste through the
MadhopurHeadworks downstream to Pakistan whereas there is requirement for the same
for use in Punjab and J&K. Implementation of the project would minimise such wastage of
water.
• In addition, water being released to provide irrigation in 1.18 Lac ha area under UBDC
system in Punjab would be managed/regulated efficiently through this project and the
irrigation in the area would be benefitted. On completion, Punjab would also be able to
generate 206 MW of hydropower.
Expenditure:
The balance cost of works component of ShahpurKandi Dam project is Rs. 1973.53 cr.
(Irrigation component: 564.63 cr, Power component: 1408.90 cr.) Out of the this, Rs 485.38
Cr would be provided as Central Assistance.
Beneficiaries:
Irrigation in 5000 ha of land in Punjab and 32172 ha in J&K would be provided. The
implementation of scheme would generate 6.2 lakh man-days employment for unskilled
workers, 6.2 lakh man-days employment for semi-skilled andl 1.67 lakh man-days
employment for skilled workers.
Background:
Indus Waters Treaty was signed between India and Pakistan in 1960 for sharing of Indus
waters. According to the Treaty, India got the full rights for utilization of waters of the three
Eastern Rivers namely Ravi, Beas and Satluj.
Some of the water of the River Ravi at present is going waste through the
MadhopurHeadworks downstream to Pakistan. Implementation of the project would
minimise such wastage of water.
A Bilateral agreement was signed between Punjab and J&K in Jan, 1979. As per the
agreement, construction of RanjitSagar Dam (Thein Dam) and Shahpurkandi Dam was to be
taken up by Punjab Govt. RanjitSagar Dam was commissioned in Aug, 2000. The
ShahpurKandi Dam project is proposed on River Ravi, 11 d/s of RanjitSagarDam and 8 km
u/s of Madhopur Head Works.
The Project was initially approved by the Planning Commission during November, 2001 and
was included under the Accelerated Irrigation Benefits Scheme (AIBP) of this Ministry for
funding its irrigation component.
Revised cost of the ShahpurKandi Dam National project was approved by the Advisory
Committee of MoWR, RD & GR on 24th August, 2009 for Rs. 2285.81 crore Central Assistance
of Rs. 26.04 crore was released during period 2009-10 to 2010-11. However, the works could
not progress much due to non-availability of funds on the part of Govt. of Punjab for power
component and later interstate issues with J&K.
Series of meetings were held bilaterally as well as at Govt. of India level. Finally, an
agreement was reached between Punjab and J&K states under the aegis of MoWR, RD&GR at
New Delhi on 8th September, 2018.
7. Cabinet ‘In Principle’ approves strategic sale of the Government of India’s existing
52.63% of total paid up equity shareholding in Rural Electrification Corporation to
Power Finance Corporation along with transfer of management control (Relevant for
GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs has given its ‘In Principle’approval for strategic
sale of the Government of India’s existing 52.63% of total paid up equity shareholding in
Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) to Power Finance Corporation (PFC) along with
transfer of management control.
Both REC and PFC are Central Public Sector Enterprises under the Ministry of Power.
After the success of container cargo being shipped from Kolkata to Varanasi earlier this year,
Bihar’s capital Patna will be witness to a new landmark in India’s Inland Water Transport
(IWT) sector with 16 TEUs of container cargo (equivalent to 16 truckloads) belonging to food
giants PepsiCo India and EmamiAgrotech Ltd from Kolkata reaching the city’s Gaighat IWT
terminal on river Ganga next week.
Kolkata-Patna is India’s new IWT origin-destination pair for containerised cargo movement
on the National Waterway-1. Plans are at an advanced stage to operationalise Patna-
Varanasi sector of NW-1 for container cargo movement.
10
JalMargVikas Project
The Ministry of Shipping is developing NW-1 (River Ganga) under JalMargVikas Project
(JMVP) from Haldia to Varanasi (1390 Km) with the technical and financial assistance of the
World Bank at an estimated cost of Rs 5369 crore. The project would enable commercial
navigation of vessels with capacity of 1500-2,000 DWT.
The movement will give a fillip to the region’s growth and employment. According to the
World Bank economic analysis, of the 1.5 lakh direct and indirect employment opportunities
to be created due to interventions under JMVP, 50,000 will be in Bihar alone.
9. Why are farmers all over India on the streets? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics)
What happened?
Mass farmer protests have erupted across the country over the past few months from
Maharashtra to Bengal, with the October march in Delhi leading to violent clashes with the
police. Farm distress has been on top of the agenda for political parties in the Assembly
elections.
11
Ministry later rescinded its report, but farmers groups say the long-term impact of the note
ban lingers.
10. Current account woes (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
Rise in CAD
The latest trade figures published by the Reserve Bank of India confirm the damage caused
by high global oil prices in the last few months. India’s current account deficit (CAD) widened
to 2.9% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the July-September quarter, a four-year high.
This is in contrast to the same quarter a year ago when the CAD was only 1.1% of GDP. The
widening of the CAD was due to an increase in the trade deficit, which jumped to $50 billion
in the September quarter as compared to $32.5 billion a year ago.
12
sharply since early October. Brent crude is down almost 30% from the high it reached in
early October. So the size of the deficit is likely to come down in the quarter ending
December.
Reponse of govt
Each time the external account has come under pressure, the government has simply tried
to bring in piecemeal emergency measures, such as a little opening up of the capital account
or ill-advised restrictions on imports. Such a policy obviously manages to only kick the can
down the road rather than bring a permanent solution to the problem. In order to bring
about any meaningful change, the government should also try implementing proper
structural reforms that can boost exports, thus helping fund imports through means other
than capital inflows, and end the over-reliance on imported oil.
11. RBI Governor Urjit Patel has left. Now what? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics)
Is this the first time that an RBI Governor has resigned in the context of conflict with
the government?
Not quite — even though the earlier situations arose several decades ago. The first Governor,
Sir Osborne Smith, who took over on April 1, 1935, left office on June 30, 1937, before
completing his term of three and a half years, apparently following differences with the
Government’s Member, Finance.
Sir Benegal Rama Rau, who served as Governor from July 1, 1949 to January 14, 1957,
resigned before the end of his second extended term following serious differences with
Finance Minister T TKrishnamachari. Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru did not back Rama
Rau.
However, there have been signs in recent years that the relationship between the RBI and
the government could undergo a fundamental change — to the disadvantage of the Bank.
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What will be the likely impact on the markets, and on the larger economy?
In the near term, the financial markets are bound to be impacted. Indian markets had closed
for the day when the news of Patel’s resignation came, but the Near Deliverable Forward or
NDF market, which is the offshore market for the Indian rupee, reacted with the currency.
The uncertainty at the RBI and monetary management policies will weigh on the minds of
market participants — especially in the bond markets, but also in equities, on foreign
investors who have bet on Indian stocks, and on corporate offerings. This would mean a hit
on sentiment and possibly higher cost of borrowings in the near term, and difficulties in
raising funds from the capital market.
When and how will the process of appointment of the new Governor start?
Unlike in the UK, Canada, and some other Western jurisdictions, there is no formal search
process to select the RBI Governor. There is no formal call for applications, and the Prime
Minister and Finance Minister have traditionally chosen from names on a shortlist. Before
the appointment of Governor DuvvuriSubbarao in 2008, Finance Minister P Chidambaram
and Chairman of the PMEAC C Rangarajan met some candidates for “interactions”, including
Subbarao, who was then Finance Secretary, RBI Deputy Governor Rakesh Mohan, and HDFC
Chairman Deepak Parekh.
(Adapted from The Indian Express)
12. Shock resignation: on Urjit Patel quitting as RBI chief (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS
Mains Paper III; Economics)
As his predecessor RaghuramRajan pointed out, when a public servant resigns, it is a sign of
protest. Mr. Patel’s decision clearly caught everyone by surprise as it came following
perceptions of a thaw in relations between the Centre and the RBI, after an agreement was
hammered out at a board meeting last month on some of the contentious issues, including a
controversial proposal to use the central bank’s reserves for fiscal purposes.
But clearly, the larger issue that divided the Centre and the RBI — which related to autonomy
and the independent functioning of the Governor — was never fully resolved. Mr. Patel’s
resignation is a serious embarrassment to the NDA government, which has scrambled to
make statements expressing surprise at his action and praising him for his work. As attempts
to signal that it had nothing to do with Mr. Patel stepping down and to reinforce that he did
indeed quit for personal reasons, these remarks were largely unconvincing.
Questions on govt
Mr. Patel’s resignation is bound to raise questions about the Centre’s ability to work with
independent-minded economists, coming as it does following the departures of former RBI
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Governor Raghuram Rajan, who was at odds with the Centre on many issues, and the sudden
resignations of Niti Aayog Vice-Chairman Arvind Panagariya and Chief Economic Adviser
Arvind Subramanian. It is true that Mr. Patel’s reclusive and non-communicative style may
not have endeared him to some bankers, but his eminence as an economist and his
understanding of macro-economic issues is undisputed.
Governments have sparred with the RBI before on the issue of autonomy, but the NDA
government went one step further by starting consultations under Section 7 of the RBI Act,
which gives the Centre the power to direct the RBI to act in specific ways. The immediate
priority now is for the Centre to fill the breach without wasting time. Global investors and
the markets are already on edge, and they will be keenly watching, along with the ratings
agencies, how the Centre handles this self-created crisis. The incoming Governor is bound to
be judged, among other things, by perceptions about his independence. The RBI cannot be
treated as if it is just another government department. And the Centre will now need to
demonstrate that a post-Patel central bank will continue to enjoy operational autonomy.
Anything less will not go down well with both investors and the markets.
13. FDI on the increase (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
Foreign Direct Invest (FDI) has increased constantly from USD 45.15 billion in 2014-15 to
USD 60.97 billion in 2017-18.
Details of FDI in the country during last four years are given below:
1. 2014-15 45.15
2. 2015-16 55.56
3. 2016-17 60.22
4. 2017-18 60.97
15
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs chaired by the Prime Minister Shri Narendra
Modi has given its approval for creation of special Fisheries and Aquaculture Infrastructure
Development Fund (FIDF).
The approval entails an estimated fund size of Rs.7,522 crore, comprising Rs.5,266.40 crore
to be raised by the Nodal Loaning Entities (NLEs), Rs. 1,316.6 crore beneficiaries
contribution and Rs.939.48 crore budgetary support from the Government of India. National
Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD), National Cooperatives
Development Corporation (NCDC) and all scheduled Banks (hereinafter referred as Banks)
shall be the nodal Loaning Entities.
Benefits:
• Creation of fisheries infrastructure facilities both in marine and Inland fisheries sectors.
• To augment fish production to achieve its target of 15 million tonne by 2020 set under the
Blue Revolution; and to achieve a sustainable growth of 8% -9% thereafter to reach the fish
production to the level of about 20 MMT by 2022-23.
• Employment opportunities to over 9.40 lakh fishers/fishermen/fisherfolk and other
entrepreneurs in fishing and allied activities.
• To attract private investment in creation and management of fisheries infrastructure
facilities.
• Adoption of new technologies.
FIDF would provide concessional finance to State Governments / UTs and State entities,
cooperatives, individuals and entrepreneurs etc., for taking up of the identified investment
activities of fisheries development. Under FIDF, loan lending will be over a period of five
years from 2018-19 to 2022-23 and maximum repayment will be over a period of 12 years
inclusive of moratorium of two years on repayment of principal.
15. Cabinet approves New Bill to ban Unregulated Deposit Schemes and Chit Funds
(Amendment) Bill, 2018 (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
In a major policy initiative to protect the savings of the investors, the Union Cabinet chaired
by the Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi has given its approval to introduce the following
bills in the Parliament:-
16
institutions running such schemes exploit existing regulatory gaps and lack of strict
administrative measures to dupe poor and gullible people of their hard-earned savings.
Details:
The Banning of Unregulated Deposit Schemes Bill, 2018 will provide a comprehensive
legislation to deal with the menace of illicit deposit schemes in the country through,
Salient Features:
•The Bill creates three different types of offences, namely, running of Unregulated Deposit
Schemes, fraudulent default in Regulated Deposit Schemes, and wrongful inducement in
relation to Unregulated Deposit Schemes.
•The Bill provides for severe punishment and heavy pecuniary fines to act as deterrent.
•The Bill has adequate provisions for disgorgement or repayment of deposits in cases where
such schemes nonetheless manage to raise deposits illegally.
•The Bill provides for attachment of properties/ assets by the Competent Authority, and
subsequent realization of assets for repayment to depositors.
•Clear-cut time lines have been provided for attachment of property and restitution to
depositors.
•The Bill enables creation of an online central database, for collection and sharing of
information on deposit taking activities in the country.
17
•"Deposit" is defined in such a manner that deposit takers are restricted from camouflaging
public deposits as receipts, and at the same time not to curb or hinder acceptance of money
by an establishment in the ordinary course of its business.
•Being a comprehensive Union law, the Bill adopts best practices from State laws, while
entrusting the primary responsibility of implementing the provisions of the legislation to the
State Governments.
Background:
The Finance Minister in the Budget Speech 2016-17 had announced that a comprehensive
central legislation wouldbe brought in to deal with the menace of illicit deposit taking
schemes, as in the recent past, there have been rising instances of people in various parts of
the country beingdefrauded by illicit deposit taking schemes. The worst victims of these
schemes are the poor and the financially illiterate, and the operations of such schemes are
oftenspread over many States. Subsequently, Finance Minister in the Budget Speech 2017-
18 had announced that the draft bill to curtail the menace of illicit deposit schemes had been
placed in the public domain and would be introduced shortly after its finalization.
• Use of the words "Fraternity Fund" for chit business under Sections 2(b) and 11(1) of the
Chit Funds Act, 1982, to signify its inherent nature, and distinguish its working from "Prize
Chits" which are banned under a separate legislation;
• While retaining the requirement of a minimum of two subscribers for the conduct of the
draw of the Chit and for the preparation of the minutes of the proceedings, the Chit Funds
(Amendment) Bill, 2018 proposes to allow the two minimum required subscribers to join
through video conferencing duly recorded by the foreman, as physical presence of the
subscribers towards the final stages of a Chit may not be forthcoming easily. The foreman
shall have the minutes of the proceedings signed by such subscribers within a period of two
days following the proceedings;
• Increasing the ceiling of foreman's commission from a maximum of 5% to 7%, as the rate
has remained static since the commencement of the Act while overheads and other costs
have increased manifold;
18
• Allowing the foreman a right to lien for the dues from subscribers, so that set-off is allowed
by the Chit company for subscribers who have already drawn funds, so as to discourage
default by them; and
• Amending Section 85 (b) of the Chit Funds Act, 1982 to remove the ceiling of one hundred
rupees set in 1982 at the time of framing the Chit Funds Act, which has lost its relevance. The
State Governments are proposed to be allowed to prescribe the ceiling and to increase it from
time to time.
16. Himachal, Kerala and T.N. top development index (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS
Mains Paper III; Economics)
Himachal Pradesh, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu have been ranked highest in terms of being on
track to achieve the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), according to a
first-of-its-kind index released by NITI Aayog recently.
“The SDG Index Score for Sustainable Development Goals 2030 ranges between 42 and 69
for States and between 57 and 68 for UTs,” the report said.
“Among the States, Kerala and Himachal Pradesh are the front runners, with an SDG India
Index score of 69. Among the UTs, Chandigarh is the front runner with a score of 68.”
Tamil Nadu has a score 66, and is the top scorer on the goals to do with eradicating poverty
and also providing clean and affordable energy.
19
20
Cutting rates on cement would have a significant impact on revenues and so the Council
decided to hold off on it.
18. In Meghalaya, flouting the ban on mining (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper
III; Economics)
21
An ‘underground economy’ has for long been known to fuel Meghalaya’s politics. It has taken
the collapse of a coal mine and – in all probability – the death of at least 15 miners for the
reality of illegal mining to hit hard.
The accident on December 13, when the miners struck an aquifer leading to the flooding of
a 370-foot mine, was the first after the National Green Tribunal (NGT) banned unscientific
‘rat-hole mining’ in the State on April 17, 2014.
The site is 48 km from where rights and anti-mining activist Agnes Kharshiing was assaulted
a month ago for her campaign against illegal mining. East Jaintia Hills has a major share of
an estimated coal reserve of 576 million tonnes in the State, which also has substantial
deposits of limestone and other minerals. Much of the coal sent out of Meghalaya before the
NGT ban was from this district. An assessment by a committee, constituted by the NGT,
recorded the highest amount of extracted coal — 3.7 million tonnes of a total 6.5 million
tonnes — in the State in September 2014.
The less dangerous of two methods of digging tunnels is side-cutting on the slopes. The other
method entails digging a rectangular pit vertically to a depth of up to 400 metres. Rat-hole-
sized tunnels are dug horizontally wherever the coal seams are found for the workers to
crawl in and out. The NGT found these techniques unscientific and unsafe for workers.
22
Many who matter in Meghalaya own a coal mine or are associated with the trade. They
include politicians, bureaucrats, police officers and extremists. In 2015, the State
government said the ban would cost it Rs. 600 crore in revenue. The high stakes involved
had made political parties promise reopen coal mines during the February Assembly
election.
Chief Minister Conrad Sangma, earlier in denial mode, has admitted after the accident that
illegal mining does happen. He has promised appropriate action but at the same time said
mining activities are spread across too vast an area to monitor.
Activists are sceptical; on Thursday, an affidavit in the Meghalaya High Court pointed out
that the prime accused in the mob attack on Ms. Kharshiing and her associate Amita Sangma
was a leader of the ruling National People’s Party and there was no hope of a “meaningful
investigation” because of a nexus among the coal mafia, the police and politicians.
19. States’ Startup Ranking 2018 Announced (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper
III; Economics)
The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) announced results of the first
ever States’ Start-up Ranking 2018. DIPP began this exercise from January, 2016.
Categories of Ranking
States have been identified as leaders across various categories such as Start-up policy
leaders, incubation hubs, seeding innovation, scaling innovation, regulatory change
champions, procurement leaders, communication champions, North-Eastern leader, and hill
state leader.
On the basis of performance in these categories, the States have been recognised as the Best
Performer, Top Performers, Leaders, Aspiring Leaders, Emerging States and Beginners, as
follows:
•Best Performer
Gujarat
•Top Performers
Karnataka, Kerala, Odisha, and Rajasthan
•Leaders
Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, and Telangana
•Aspiring Leaders
Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, and West Bengal
•Emerging States
Assam, Delhi, Goa, Jammu & Kashmir, Maharashtra, Punjab, Tamil Nadu, and Uttarakhand
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•Beginners
Chandigarh, Manipur, Mizoram, Nagaland, Puducherry, Sikkim, and Tripura
Fifty-one officers from States and Union Territories have been identified as “Champions”,
who have made significant contributions towards developing their State’s Start-up
ecosystem.
20. Government moves to enhance bank recapitalisation outlay to Rs. 1,06,000 crore
in the current financial year (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
Government moved proposal in Parliament for enhanced bank recapitalisation outlay from
Rs. 65,000 crore to Rs. 1,06,000 crore in the current financial year to propel economic
growth, cementing India’s position as the fastest growing economy of the world. This would
enable infusion of over Rs. 83,000 crore in the coming few months in Public Sector Banks
(PSBs).
(3) Facilitating non-PCA banks that are in breach of some PCA thresholds to not be in breach
24
recapitalisation would equip banks financially at levels higher than the global norms. In this
connection, it is pertinent that India’s capital norms for banks are 1% higher than the norms
recommended under the global Basel-III framework. Further, unlike the early intervention
regime of other major economies, India’s PCA framework for weaker banks has more
onerous thresholds, viz., higher capital thresholds and a Net NPA threshold that further
embeds capital requirement on account of provisioning of NPAs. Today’s proposal in an
expression of Government’s commitment that each PSB is an article of faith, and aims at
securing compliance even for the higher regulatory norms.
The results of Government’s comprehensive 4R’s approach to strengthen PSBs and foster a
culture of clean and responsible banking are now visible:
Recognition of restructured standard assets as NPAs was initiated with Asset Quality
Review in 2015 and with discontinuation of restructuring schemes this year, the recognition
exercise is nearly over with such assets declining from the peak of 7.0% in March 2015 to
0.59% as of September 2018.
Resolution
process has been strengthened by changing the creditor-debtor relationship
through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code and debarment of wilful defaulters and
connected persons, which has resulted in record recovery this year.
Recapitalisation,
under which, with today’s decision, total mobilisation of capital in PSBs
since commencement of clean-up in 2015-16 is slated to be over Rs. 3,00,000 crore.
Reforms
have accompanied recapitalisation in the form of a comprehensive PSB Reforms
Agenda that addresses the root causes of poor asset quality and commits banks to clean
lending and rolling out of next-generation banking services by leveraging benefits of
technology and formalisation of the economy.
25
Through 4R’s, the banking system has registered sharp reduction in stress and loan defaults,
record recovery and steady increase in provision coverage, and is poised to further harness
the benefit from large-scale resolution anticipated over the current and next financial years.
Gross NPAs of PSBs have started declining after peaking in March 2018, registering a decline
of Rs. 23,860 crore in the first half of the current financial year.
Non-NPA accounts overdue by 31 to 90 days (Special Mention Accounts 1 & 2) of PSBs have
declined by 61% over five successive quarters from Rs. 2.25 lakh crore as of June 2017 to Rs.
0.87 lakh crore as of September 2018, substantially paring down credit at risk.
The Provision Coverage Ratio (PCR) of PSBs has risen steeply from 46.04% as of March 2015
to 66.85% as of September 2018, giving banks cushion to absorb losses.
Record recovery of Rs. 60,726 crore has been effected by PSBs in the first half of the current
financial year, which is more than double the amount recovered over the corresponding
period last year.
PSBs have de-risked their portfolio as reflected in the Credit Risk-weighted Assets (RWAs)
to Gross Advances ratio which has been decreased from 80.26% in Sep-17 to 71.20% in Sep-
18.
India’s global rank on “getting credit” under World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business Index has
improved from 44 in 2016 to 22 in 2018, manifesting Enhanced Access & Service Excellence
(EASE) in banking.
21. Inauguration of Bogibeel Bridge (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The record length is being widely reported: at 4.94 km, the Bogibeel Bridge is the country’s
longest road-cum-rail bridge, and its fourth longest of any kind above water. The bridge was
inaugurated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently. The Prime Minister flagged off an
Intercity Express between Tinsukia in Assam and Naharlagun in Arunachal Pradesh. The
train will run five days a week.
26
While railway lines run along both banks, a train crossing of the Brahmaputra was possible
at only two places so far. Both these rail-cum-road options — in Jogighopa in western Assam
and on the outskirts of Guwahati (Saraighat bridge) — are hundreds of kilometres from the
Assam-Arunachal border, and both bring trains from the north bank into Guwahati on the
south. The Bogibeel Bridge provides an alternative in the east.
So far, travellers had to make the loop via Guwahati. For the rest of India too, Dibrugarh
becomes accessible without travelling via Guwahati. The train journey from Delhi to
Dibrugarh reduces by 3 hours (from 37 hours to 34) and the distance by 170 km.
27
In a comparison of all bridges across water, the Bogibeel comes in at fourth, after the
neighbouring Dhola-Sadiya road bridge (9.15 km), the Patna-Hajipur road bridge (5.75 km),
and the Bandra-Worli Sea Link (5.6 km).
In October, the Centre announced a plan for construction of a 19-km bridge over the
Brahmaputra from Dhubri in Assam to Phulbari in Meghalaya. The proposed time of
completion is 10 years. Once that happens, three of India’s five longest bridges would be
running across the country’s widest river.
22. Bimal Jalan-headed panel to examine RBI’s economic capital framework (Relevant
for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Centre pushed for resolution of the contentious
issue of the RBI’s economic capital framework and transferring a higher surplus to the latter
by setting up an expert committee headed by former Governor Bimal Jalan.
28
Composition of committee
Former RBI Deputy Governor Rakesh Mohan, who is against transferring a higher surplus to
the government, is the Vice Chairman of the committee. Economic Affairs Secretary Subhash
Chandra Garg will be the nominee of the Finance Ministry while RBI Deputy Governor NS
Vishwanathan will represent the central bank. RBI Central Board Members Bharat Doshi and
Sudhir Mankad are also members of the Jalan panel. The RBI’s Central Board agreed to set
up the panel in its meeting in November.
Contentious issue
One of the contentious issues in the conflict between the government and the RBI was the
size of the central bank’s reserves which at Rs.9.6 lakh crore was reckoned as excessive by
the government. Of the RBI’s total reserves of Rs 9.6 lakh crore, the currency and gold
revaluation reserves alone account for Rs 6.9 lakh crore. The other components of the
reserves include the contigency fund of Rs 2.31 lakh crore, the asset development fund of Rs
22,811 crore, the investment revaluation account of Rs 13,285 crore and foreign exchange
forward contracts valuation account at Rs 3,282 crore.
According to analysts, the panel will have to address the question of excess ‘reserves’ which
is subjective with varying opinions on optimal levels of ‘reserves’, and the degree of
conservatism of the central bank. While the RBI necessarily needs to be conservative,
another argument is that a central bank can always print money to provide support in an
adverse situation and hence does not require excess ‘reserves’.
However, this proposal was opposed by the then RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan.
23. Big Blow to E-Commerce sector. Govt takes away ground beneath its feet (Relevant
for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
29
The govt. has barred online retailers such as Flipkart and Amazon from selling products of
companies in which they own stakes. New rules also disallow them from entering into
exclusive deals for merchandise.These new rules will change the way India’s $18 billion e-
commerce industry works.
No more 'exclusive'
The move to ban exclusive deals for products also hurts top online retailers such as Flipkart
and Amazon.Flipkart, for instance has exclusive partnerships with top smartphone brands
such as Xiaomi and Oppo.Smartphones contribute over 50% of overall e-commerce sales in
India.
For instance, when Govt restricted any one seller from contributions more than 25% sales
on a platform, the same products were routed from large sellers to small sellers and then
sold on the platform.
In other instances, large sellers formed multiple entities which sold their products separately
on online market places.
24. New rules for e-commerce: how they affect marketplace players, buyers (Relevant
for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
What are the new rules, and what do they means for companies, vendors and
customers?
The government Wednesday announced new e-commerce rules restricting players from
selling the products of companies in which they have a stake, and capping the percentage of
inventory that a vendor can sell through a marketplace entity (IT platform of an e-commerce
entity) or its group companies. To curb the practice of deep discounts, the government said
they cannot directly or indirectly influence the price of goods and services, and also brought
in a new set of rules that bar the sale of products exclusively in one marketplace. What are
the new rules, and what do they means for companies, vendors and customers?
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Also, e-commerce players like Amazon and Flipkart, who have their private labels, will not
be able to sell them on their platforms if they hold equity in the company manufacturing
them.
However, some experts feel that a degree of leeway may still be available to the companies.
“These clarifications will have a major impact on the major e-commerce players since most
of them primarily source goods from sellers who are primarily relevant to such e-commerce
players. However, the language of the clarification seems to grant leeway, to a certain extent,
to entities which are step-down subsidiaries of the entity in which the e-commerce entity or
its group companies hold equity. Nonetheless, these clarifications will definitely have major
repercussions on the business model of such e-commerce players,” AtulPandey, partner at
Khaitan & Co, said.
Another retailer that may be impacted is Appario Retail, which is a wholly owned subsidiary
of Frontizo Business Services. Frontizo is a joint venture between Amazon India Ltd and
Ashok Patni, the co-founder of Patni Computer Systems. Frontizo’s latest filings with the
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Registrar of Companies shows that Amazon Asia Pacific Holdings owns 48% stake in the
company, and Zodiac Wealth Advisors holds 51%. The remaining 1% is with Zaffre LLC,
based in Delaware, United States.
Under the new rules, Cloudtail and Appario, in which Amazon holds equity stake, may not be
able to sell products on Amazon’s e-commerce platform.
KunalBahl, co-founder of Snapdeal, welcomed the changes. “Marketplaces are meant for
genuine, independent sellers, many of whom are MSMEs (Micro, Small & Medium
Enterprises). These changes will enable a level playing field for all sellers, helping them
leverage the reach of e-commerce,” Bahl posted on Twitter Wednesday.
Praveen Khandelwal, secretary general, Confederation of All India traders (CAIT) also
welcomed the decision to tighten FDI norms and called for forming a regulatory authority to
check flouting of e-commerce rules. Asking the government to come with an e-commerce
policy soon, he said that small vendors should get enough chances to participate in the online
business.
The new clarification issued by the government regarding FDI in e-commerce has created a
furore among firms in the sector and their vendors alike. Here is a lowdown on the new rules:
What happened?
The Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion issued a clarification to the existing rules
pertaining to Foreign Direct Investment in e-commerce companies.
32
1. The main features of the clarification include the provision that vendors that have any
stake owned by an e-commerce company cannot sell their products on that e-commerce
company’s portal.
2. Another provision says any vendor who purchases 25% or more of its inventory from an
e-commerce group company will be considered to be controlled by that e-commerce
company, and thereby barred from selling on its portal.
This provision aims to ensure that vendors in which marketplaces, such as Amazon, have a
stake do not sell the bulk of their items to a third-party vendor who then goes on to sell those
items on the e-commerce marketplace.
In other words, the provision seeks to deny control by the marketplace entity over vendors.
The third major provision says the e-commerce firm will not be allowed to influence the price
of a product sold on its portal by giving incentives to particular vendors.
What has been happening is that large e-commerce companies such as Amazon and Flipkart,
while not owning inventory themselves, have been providing a platform for their group
companies such as CloudTail and WS Retail respectively.
‘Some see this as skewing the playing field, especially if these vendors enjoyed special
incentives from the e-commerce firm, over others. These controlled or owned vendors may
then be able to offer discounts to customers that competitors may not be able to match.
Who benefits?
The thrust of the DIPP policy is directed at protecting small vendors on e-commerce
websites. It seeks to ensure small players selling on the portals are not discriminated against
in favour of vendors in which e-commerce companies have a stake. The Confederation of All
India Traders welcomed this move as it feels the new set up will ensure a level playing field
for all vendors looking to sell on the e-commerce portals. Smaller marketplaces that do not
have stake in any vendors will also be able to now compete with the big daddies.
The provision that bars companies — in which e-commerce firms have a stake — from
selling on their portals will hurt start-ups as well, since many of these will be barred from
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selling due to minor equity stakes being held by the e-commerce companies. L.
Badrinarayanan of Lakshmikumaran&Sridharan Attorneys says small vendors will not be as
affected because most of them, anyway, do not purchase more than 25% of their inventory
from a single source and so they will be allowed to sell their items on the e-commerce
platforms.
Where will Amazon now sell its own products such as Kindle and Amazon Echo?
The verdict on this is unclear. FDI in single-brand retail is allowed in India, so if Amazon has
a licence for single-brand retail, it can sell its own products on its portal. Or vendors like Tata
Croma, for example, may buy these products from Amazon and sell them on its portal.
Will a vendor be unable to sell on a marketplace, if the latter holds any stake in the
vendor?
Experts agree that this provision will likely be amended, with a benchmark equity
percentage being set. That is, the rules may be changed such that a vendor with more than a
certain stake owned by an e-commerce firm cannot sell on that portal, rather than the
current wording that says ‘any stake’.
26. The lowdown on the state of the economy (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper
III; Economics)
What is it?
Sporting feats are difficult to imagine from match records and statistics — numbers alone
can leave one in the dark about what transpired on the field. The tale of India’s economy in
the year gone by is not too dissimilar. One could be fooled into believing little happened if
one simply looked at some key parameters at the same time last year and compared them to
where we are at now. Bond yields, for instance, on 10-year government securities are
virtually the same in December 2018 as they were in December 2017. The GDP grew at 7%
for the September-December quarter of 2017, and the latest growth print suggests a rise of
7.1% in the July to September quarter of 2018. Yet, 2018 has been far from benign — in fact,
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it has been one of the most topsy-turvy roller-coaster rides for the economy in recent years
(if one ignores the 2016 demonetisation).
35
27. Why do farmers need more than loan waivers(Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics)
36
The system of making payments through the commission agent needs to be dismantled to
break the credit-crop nexus. Lakhwinder Singh, an agriculture expert and a professor of
economics at Punjabi University, Patiala, says that for a permanent solution to agrarian
distress, the government should give agro-processing industry a policy push to pull rural
people out of agriculture. In the long run, there’s an urgent need for integration of agriculture
with industry, and that too with the involvement of the local workforce in such a manner
that surpluses should be invested locally. “The subsidies and tax concessions which have
been offered or given to the corporate sector should be given to rural entrepreneurs who are
willing to start manufacturing firms that will process local raw materials and employ rural
labour. The transformation is possible if primary producers are integrated with both
manufacturing and marketing activities for reaping surpluses generated by them,” he says.
28. Ease of bad loans stress: on RBI's Financial Stability Report (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Reserve Bank of India’s Financial Stability Report reveals the first half-yearly decline in
the ratio of gross non-performing assets (GNPA) to advances since September 2015. The
ratio across all scheduled commercial banks has eased to 10.8% as of end-September 2018,
from 11.5% in March, with both public sector and private sector lenders posting drops in the
key indicator of bad loans.
29. In a first, Mallya declared a ‘fugitive economic offender’ (Relevant for GS Prelims,
GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
Absconding liquor baron Vijay Mallya became the first person to be declared a fugitive
economic offender by the special court hearing cases under the Fugitive Economic Offenders
Act (FEOA).
37
2. Another condition for declaring a person a fugitive economic offender (FEO) is when the
individual refuses to return to the country to face prosecution.
The Union Cabinet has approved the scheme of amalgamation for amalgamating Bank of
Baroda, Vijaya Bank and Dena Bank, with Bank of Baroda as the transferee bank and Vijaya
Bank and Dena Bank as transferor banks.
The amalgamation will be the first-ever three-way consolidation of banks in India, with the
amalgamated bank being India's second largest Public Sector Bank.
The amalgamation will help create a strong globally competitive bank with economies of
scale and enable realisation of wide-ranging synergies. Leveraging of networks, low-cost
deposits and subsidiaries of the three banks has the potential of yielding significant
synergies for positioning the consolidated entity for substantial rise in customer base,
market reach, operational efficiency, wider bouquet of products and services, and improved
access for customers.
38
market reach, operational efficiencies and the ability to support a wider offering of product
and services.
• The amalgamated banks will have access to a wider talent pool, and a large database that
may be leveraged through analytics for competitive advantage in a rapidly digitalising
banking context. Benefits would also flow as a result of wider reach and distribution network
and reduction in distribution costs for the products and services through subsidiaries.
• Public at large shall benefit in terms of enhanced access to banking services through a
stronger network, the ability to support a wider offering of product and services, and easy
access to credit.
31. List of India’s legal disputes at WTO (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
India has 7 disputes at WTO which are at different stages of settlement. India is defending its
interest in these disputes with the help of experienced Law Firms.
I. DS430 - Import of poultry and poultry products from United States, Complainant:
India,
II. DS436 - Countervailing duty by United States on Indian steel products, Complainant:
India,
III. DS456 - National Solar Mission dispute with United States, Complainant: United
States,
IV. DS510 - United States’ Sub-Federal Renewable energy programme, Complainant:
India,
V. DS518 - India-certain Measures on imports of iron and steel products from Japan,
Complainant: Japan,
VI. DS541 - Export Subsidies measures of India, Complainant: United States,
VII. DS-547 - United States-Certain measures of Unites States on steel and aluminium
products, Complainant: India.
VIII. GST burden on small businesses eased (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics)
IX. The GST Council in its 32nd meeting took decisions aimed at reducing the tax and
compliance burden on small and medium enterprises, including increasing the
threshold limit below which companies are exempt from GST, extending the
Composition Scheme to small service providers, and allowing small companies to file
annual returns.
XII. Rationale
39
XIII. A very large part of GST revenue comes from the formal sector and large companies.
The decisions taken today by the GST Council have been done to help the small and
medium companies. The revenue impact due to these will be minimal.
XIV. 2. Mr. Jaitley announced that the limit for eligibility for the Composition Scheme
would be raised to an annual turnover of ₹1.5 crore from April 1, 2019. He added that
companies opting for the Composition Scheme would be allowed to file annual
returns and pay taxes quarterly from April 1.
XV. The Composition Scheme currently allows companies with an annual turnover of up
to ₹1 crore to opt for it, and file returns on a quarterly basis at a nominal rate of 1%.
So far, only manufacturers and traders were eligible for this scheme.
XVI. 3. Mr. Jaitley said that the Council had decided to extend the Composition Scheme to
small service providers with an annual turnover of up to ₹50 lakh, at a tax rate of 6%.
XVII. 4. Kerala cess: The GST Council also decided to allow Kerala to levy a cess of up to 1%
for up to two years on intra-State supplies to help finance the disaster relief efforts
following the recent floods in the state.
32. What is the idea of Universal Basic Income that the Economic Survey found
‘conceptually appealing’, and which Sikkim intends to implement? Whom does it
benefit, and whom can it harm? In what ways? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper II; Economics)
Sikkim is set to become the first state in India to roll out Universal Basic Income (UBI),—
every person should have a right to a basic income to cover their needs, just by virtue of
being citizens. Sikkim aims to implement the scheme by 2022, has already started the
process to introduce the unconditional direct cash transfers.
The 2017 Economic Survey had flagged the UBI scheme as “a conceptually appealing idea”
and a possible alternative to social welfare programmes targeted at bringing down poverty.
40
and leakages, with the poor and deserving crowded out of BPL card ownership and the rich
reaping undeserved benefits. Targeting is seen as being both inefficient and inequitable.
UBI envisages an uncompromised social safety net that seeks to assure a minimum income
for everone.
Typically, UBI would require subsumption of other subsidies and allowances in order to free
up resources so that a particular amount can be directed to people on a periodic basis.
The criticisms
None of the places where UBI has been tried have levels of income disparity that exist in
India. So, while the idea might work in Sikkim, it might not in, say, Bihar.
The funds given under UBI may be cornered by male members of the family.
The funds given may be mis-utilised such as for consumption of alcohol and drugs.
33. Why farmers in the sugar bowl of Western Maharashtra are angry (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
Sugarcane farmers in western Maharashtra called off their violent four-day-old agitation,
giving sugar mill owners and the government two weeks to find the money to pay them their
full dues. Protesters led by the Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghtana had paralysed harvesting
and transportation of sugarcane for three days.
This region accounts for 60% of Maharashtra’s, and 30% of India’s, sugar production. What
are the issues in the unrest?
41
The Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghtana has consistently opposed the decision of sugar mills to
pay the fair and remunerative price (FRP) in instalments, and demanded payment in one go.
Even after two months since beginning of the crushing season, mills in Maharashtra have
performed poorly on due payments.
Taken together, cane dues in the states of Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh, which account
for almost 75% of the crop grown in the country, have already crossed Rs 11,000 crore, and
arrears are set to peak around April.
Since the beginning of the current crushing season, mills across Maharashtra have said that
the present sugar realisation of Rs 2,900 per quintal would not be enough to meet the
production cost of Rs 3,400 per quintal. Banks, millers say, have valued sugar at Rs 3,000 per
quintal, and 85% of this would be made available to them as working capital. 15% of this
amount would go towards meeting expenses like gunny bags, salaries etc., leaving just
enough to pay farmers at the rate of Rs 2,300 per tonne of cane.
Farmers in Ahmednagar and Marathwada, under pressure to sell their cane early due to the
drought, have not protested the payment of FRP in instalments.
Cane is a highly political crop, and frequently decides the fate of leaders in Western
Maharashtra. Arrears could peak just as voting for the Lok Sabha elections begins, and the
last thing the ruling party in both the Centre and the state would want is to face full-blown
farmer protests.
34. CBI books former ICICI Bank chief Chanda Kochhar for criminal conspiracy (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The CBI on Thursday booked former ICICI Bank head Chanda Kochhar on charges of criminal
conspiracy, cheating and abuse of official position for “dishonestly sanctioning loans to the
Videocon Group”.
42
Till the inquiry is complete the bank will be steered by a new chief operating officer, Sandeep
Bakhshi. The official version is that he will report to Ms. Kochhar, who herself took the decision
to go on leave till the end of the inquiry — but this is at best a face-saving cover for a board that
was reluctant to act since the controversy broke.
Meanwhile, the tenure of M.K. Sharma, the chairman of the bank’s board, is set to end this month
and there is still no clarity on his successor. This extended uncertainty in a crisis situation is
unwarranted.
43
35. Gold turns red hot, price at a peak (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
Gold prices inclusive of the 3% goods and services tax (GST), touched Rs. 33,800, the highest
ever for the yellow metal.
Central banks of many countries like Russia, Turkey, along with a few other smaller
economies that have seen currency issues, are buying gold, thereby pushing up the demand.
44
36. GST revenues going off target (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
With tax rates being cut regularly, experts fear collections will fall further
Given that the GST Council cut rates on a number of items and services in its December 22
meeting, the likelihood of January’s revenue being even lower than December’s low of
₹94,726 crore is very high. If this is the case, it would mark the third consecutive month of
falling GST revenue.
Naturally, a reducing number of items in the 28% slab will result in lower collections. The
way to offset lower rates is to increase the number of people paying tax. That is, compliance
has to increase. However, analysis by The Hindu of GST data has shown that compliance has,
in fact, been falling. The data show that while the number of people required to file monthly
returns has grown 32% from July 2017 (when GST was implemented) to about 98.5 lakh in
November 2018, the number of people not filing these returns has grown 167% during that
time. In other words, the number of non-filers is growing faster than the tax base itself.
The government seems to have identified another reason for falling revenues: businesses
generating fake invoices to claim higher input tax credits than they should be receiving. The
tax officials are now starting to look at this in a deeper manner and examining how to plug
the leaks.
45
The root of this problem is that the government doesn’t have an easy and accessible way to
match the invoices of sellers and buyers and catch discrepancies. That system will likely be
rolled out from April 2019 onwards, but there is no official clarity on what it will involve.
Weak GST revenues also limit the government’s ability to provision enough resources for
any budgetary support it might decide to give the agricultural sector or to small and medium
businesses.
37. ICICI Bank sacks Chanda Kochhar (Relevant for GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The bank also said there would be a clawback of bonuses paid between 2009 and 2019.
The Srikrishna panel report concluded that primarily on account of ineffectively dealing with
conflict of interest and due disclosure or recusal requirements, Ms. Kochhar was in violation
of the ICICI Bank Code of Conduct, its framework for dealing with conflict of interest and
fiduciary duties, and in terms of applicable Indian laws, rules and regulations.
The bank board, which discussed the report on Wednesday, decided to treat the separation
of Ms. Kochhar from the bank as a ‘Termination for Cause’, with all attendant consequences,
which included revocation of all her existing and future entitlements, like any unpaid
amounts, unpaid bonuses or increments, unexercised stock options, and medical benefits,
and requires the clawback of bonuses from April 2009 until March 2018. The bank said there
are no implications of the report on its published financial statements.
46
38. First Revised Estimates of National Income, Consumption Expenditure, Saving and
Capital Formation, 2017-18 (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has
released the First Revised Estimates of National Income, Consumption Expenditure, Saving
and Capital Formation for the financial year 2017-18 along with Second Revised Estimates
for the financial year 2016-17 and Third Revised Estimates for the financial year 2015-16
(with Base Year 2011-12) as per the revision policy. Earlier estimates for 2011-12 to 2016-
17 were released vide press note dated 31stJanuary, 2018 and Provisional Estimates of
2017-18 were released on 31st May, 2018.
The salient features of the estimates at aggregate level are indicated below:
Real GDP or GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for 2017-18 and 2016-17 stand at Rs. 131.80
lakh crore and Rs. 122.98 lakh crore, respectively, showing growth of 7.2 per cent during
2017-18 and 8.2 per cent during 2016-17.
Industry-wise Analysis
The changes in the Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices in different sectors of the
economy at current and constant (2011-12) prices are presented below. At the aggregate
level, nominal GVA at basic prices increased by 11.1 per cent during 2017-18 as against 10.8
per cent during 2016-17. In terms of real GVA, i.e. GVA at constant (2011-12) basic prices,
there has been a growth of 6.9 per cent in 2017-18, as against growth of 7.9 per cent in 2016-
17.
The shares of different sectors of the economy in terms of overall GVA during 2011-12 to
2017-18 and corresponding annual growth rates are mentioned below:
Year Share in GVA at current prices (In %) Growth in GVA at constant (2011- Aggregate GVA (Rs. in
12) prices (In %) lakh crore)
Primary Secondary Tertiary All Primary Secondary Tertiary All Current Constant
47
2012- 21.3 28.7 50.0 100.0 1.4 3.6 8.3 5.4 92.0 85.5
13
2013- 21.4 27.9 50.6 100.0 4.8 4.2 7.7 6.1 103.6 90.6
14
2014- 20.9 27.3 51.8 100.0 1.2 6.7 9.8 7.2 115.0 97.1
15
2015- 20.1 27.6 52.3 100.0 2.1 9.5 9.4 8.0 125.7 104.9
16
2016- 20.2 27.1 52.7 100.0 6.8 7.5 8.4 7.9 139.4 113.2
17
2017- 19.5 27.0 53.5 100.0 5.0 6.0 8.1 6.9 154.8 121.0
18
Saving
Gross Saving during 2017-18 is estimated at Rs. 52.16 lakh crore against Rs.46.48 lakh crore
during 2016-17. Rate of Gross Saving to GNDI for 2017-18 is estimated at 30.1 per cent
against 29.9 per cent for 2016-17.
The highest contributor to Gross Saving is the household sector with saving of Rs. 29.38 lakh
crore in 2017-18. The saving of non-financial corporations has increased from Rs. 18.10 lakh
crore in 2016-17 to Rs. 20.73 lakh crore in 2017-18. Further, the saving of the financial
corporations has also increased from Rs. 3.37 lakh crore during 2016-17 to Rs. 3.68 lakh
crore in 2017-18. The saving of General Government was (-) Rs. 1.21 lakh crore during 2016-
17 and (-) Rs. 1.63 lakh crore in 2017-18.
Capital Formation
48
Gross Capital Formation (GCF) at the current as well as the constant prices is estimated by
two approaches :– (i) through flow of funds, derived as Gross Saving plus net capital inflow
from Rest of the World (ROW); and (ii) by the commodity flow approach, derived by the type
of assets. The estimates of GCF through the flow of funds approach are treated as the firmer
estimates. GCF by industry of use and by institutional sectors does not include ‘valuables’
and therefore, these estimates are lower than the estimates available from commodity flow
approach.
GCF at current prices is estimated at Rs. 55.27 lakh crore for 2017-18 compared to Rs. 47.41
lakh crore during 2016-17. The rate of GCF to GDP increased from 30.9 per cent during 2016-
17 to 32.3 per cent in the 2017-18. The rate of GCF (excluding valuables) to GDP stands at
29.8 per cent and 31.1 per cent for 2016-17 and 2017-18 respectively. The rate of capital
formation in 2011-12 to 2017-18 has been higher than the rate of saving because of positive
net capital inflow from ROW.
Consumption Expenditure
18. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) at current prices is estimated at Rs.
100.83 lakh crore for 2017-18 as against Rs. 91.16 lakh crore in 2016-17. In relation to GDP,
the rates of PFCE at current prices during 2016-17and 2017-18 are estimated at 59.3 per
cent and 59.0 per cent respectively.
19. At constant (2011-12) prices, the PFCE is estimated as Rs. 69.04 lakh crore and Rs. 74.17
lakh crore, respectively for 2016-17 and 2017-18. The corresponding rates of PFCE to GDP
for 2016-17 and 2017-18 are 56.1 per cent and 56.3 per cent respectively.
20. Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at current prices is estimated as Rs.
18.86 lakh crore for 2017-18 as against Rs. 15.83 lakh crore during 2016-17. At constant
(2011-12) prices, the estimates of GFCE for 2016-17 and 2017-18 stand at Rs. 11.99 lakh
crore and Rs. 13.79 lakh crore respectively.
39. RBI lifts curbs on three PSBs (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has decided to allow three public sector banks — Bank of
India, Bank of Maharashtra and Oriental Bank of Commerce — to exit the PCA framework
following capital infusion by the government and a decline in net non-performing asset ratio.
Findings of RBI
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The RBI, which conducted a review following a demand made by government to lift the
restrictions in order to boost credit growth, said, “it was noted that a few banks are not in
breach of the PCA (Prompt Corrective Action) parameters as per their published results for
the quarter ending December 2018, except for return on assets (RoA).” “However, though
the RoA continues to be negative, the same is reflected in the capital adequacy indicator,” it
added.
What is PCA?
50
40. ‘Unemployment data based on draft report’ (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics)
The NSSO report is a matter of much controversy, with the two external members of the
National Statistical Commission citing the delay in its release as a major reason for their
resignations.
41. In election year, what is the politics and economics of the budget? (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
With the Union Budget 2019, here’s what the government sought to achieve with farmer
support scheme, how far the middle class will benefit from tax rebate, and other takeaways.
Going into the interim budget Friday, what were the fears from the point of view of
fiscal discipline and prudent resource management?
A high-stakes Lok Sabha election is less than three months away, a major agrarian crisis has
left farmers in large swathes of the country in distress, and a government that came to power
saying it would create jobs for crores of youths has largely failed to deliver on this promise.
There were, thus, apprehensions that the government could go for broke in this budget,
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spending on sops to woo all constituencies — including the farm sector, the middle class, the
unorganised sector, and the youth.
There was also speculation that some form of Universal Basic Income or UBI scheme, which
would call for huge funding, would be announced — especially after some pundits read
Congress president Rahul Gandhi’s promise of a nationwide Minimum Income Guarantee
scheme — if voted to power in the elections — as a “preemptive strike”.
These fears existed despite the fact that by convention, an interim budget sticks to
allocations for spending on salaries, interest payments, and ongoing schemes or
programmes for the first four months of the fiscal before the new government takes over.
In specific terms, what does the Budget have for farmers, who are perhaps the most
restive group in India today?
The Finance Minister has announced a Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi, or assured
income support scheme for small and marginal farmers across the country — those having
cultivable land up to two hectares. This will be Rs 6,000 annually, which will be transferred
directly into their bank accounts in three equal instalments of Rs 2,000 each. The scheme
will be effective retrospectively from December 1, and the first instalment will be paid before
the end of March this year.
But Rs 6,000 a year works out to just Rs 500 per month for the individual farmer. To
what extent can that sum address the farmer’s concerns?
The government says that this would provide assured supplemental income to the most
vulnerable farmer families, and would also meet their important needs before the harvest.
What the government may have in mind is expenses towards buying seeds, fertilisers, and
labour, for instance. It can, of course, only be of limited help in meeting the cost of farming
or easing the debt burden of farmers. But given that this was just an interim budget, there
was also very little leeway available to bump up this assistance. To that extent, the support
scheme could be political signalling — to assuage farmers, and to assure them that the
government is mindful of their concerns.
The other big takeaway is the tax proposals. What’s in them, whom will they benefit,
and how?
Much of it centres around lowering the tax burden of the ordinary salaried class though there
are tax breaks for home buyers too. For home buyers, it is essentially on account of relief
from the notional tax which they were required to pay on their second home which was
unused.
To what extent can individuals with taxable incomes higher that Rs 5 lakh a month
benefit from the tax rebate offered in the interim budget?
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Their tax savings will work out to up to Rs 3,000 annually on account of an increase in the
standard deduction limit from Rs 40,000 now to Rs 50,000. They can also benefit if their
interest income is higher than Rs 10,000 annually, thanks to the threshold limit on Tax
Deducted at Source (TDS) being raised to Rs 40,000.
Why has the Finance Minister chosen to boost the real estate sector? What does he
hope to realise, and how?
The real estate sector has been facing a downturn over the past several years, which was
further aggravated by the demonetisation exercise of November 2016. It is a sector that
employs huge numbers of workers in a vast range of formal and informal industries. A large
chunk of these workers were hit after the notes ban and the slowdown in growth, which
impacted many realty firms. Real estate is a sector which has a strong multiplier effect — if
it does well, industries like steel, cement and paints also do well, and in turn create jobs, and
boost revenues and growth.
Has Friday’s budget hurt Prime Minister Narendra Modi reputation for being a fiscal
deficit ‘hawk’? Is it a sop/largesse budget?
The fiscal deficit for the current fiscal has been revised upward to 3.4% from the budgeted
target of 3.3% — a slippage of just 0.1 per cent. In the last fiscal, against the targeted 3.2%,
the government reported a deficit of 3.5% of GDP. While this record at the fag end of his term
will take some sheen off Modi’s ‘fiscal hawk’ record, it is not a throwaway budget or a
showering of sops — in fact, it could hardly have been so given the risk of a major slippage
on the fiscal front, with its repercussions on interest rates and inflation.
The Congress has said the budget is not a vote on account but an “account for votes”.
How valid is this criticism?
The criticism may be on account of the government’s attempt to woo farmers and the middle
class through fiscal support and tax breaks. What the party has implied is that instead of
sticking to just earmarking funds for essential spending by various ministries and
53
departments and on ongoing programmes or schemes, the government has extended itself
in offering sops to elicit political support ahead of elections.
42. What is the lowdown on MGNREGA funding? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains
Paper III; Economics)
What is it?
The Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) scheme has
been allocated ₹60,000 crore in the Budget for 2019-20. It is less than what was spent on the
scheme in the current year, that is, the revised estimate for 2018-19, which stands at ₹61,084
crore. In his Budget speech, Finance Minister Piyush Goyal noted: “Additional amount would
be provided, if needed.” The original 2018-19 Budget allocation for the scheme, a lifeline for
landless labourers and rural workers, was ₹55,000 crore. However, by the end of 2018, 99%
of the funds had been exhausted. A number of States already had a negative net balance. The
activists protested that people were being denied work in several States. The Rural
Development Ministry, which administers the scheme, asked for a supplementary allocation
and was granted ₹6,084 crore in early January, taking the revised estimate for the year to
₹61,084 crore.
However, researchers have found a widening gap between demand and supply of work. A
study of 3,500 panchayats in 2017-18 found that the employment provided was 32% lower
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than the work demand generated. Researchers calculated that in order to meet the
registered work demand last year, the scheme should have had an allocation of ₹76,131
crore. Workers are also facing weeks- and months-long delays in payment of wages, often
without compensation. Finance Ministry documents admit that one of the causes is the non-
availability of funds.
43. All you need to know about Maharashtra’s struggle to amend APMC Act (Relevant
for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
Farmer organisations such as the Shetkari Sanghatana, formerly led by Sharad Joshi, support
this amendment. “Sharad Joshi always said that the APMC Act is one of the main reasons why
farmers are prey to the monopoly of traders,” said Anil Ghanvat, president of Shetkari
Sanghatana.
What are the changes?
The Bill also has a provision that the APMCs can continue to levy cess/market fee on the
produce brought and traded in their mandis, but cannot charge anything on goods traded
outside. The traders’ lobby had said no levy should be charged if the produce was sold
outside. Following the meeting between the stakeholders and the government, sources said
a compromise was reached to abolish this levy altogether. One of the amendments that was
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opposed by traders and farmer organisations was the direct payment to farmers from
traders for purchase of more than ₹2 lakh, bypassing the Adta (the middleman). According
to both, the Adta plays an important part as an assurer to both parties, and eliminating his
role would be harmful to traders as well as to farmers.
Maharashtra is the second State after Bihar to attempt such amendments. While Bihar
scrapped it altogether, Maharashtra is trying to do the same, by first allowing traders or
processors to deal directly with farmers. Neither they nor the farmers will have to go to the
APMC yards to buy and sell their produce. The buyers can directly buy from farmers based
on the price quoted by them. Unable to get the Bill cleared in both Houses of the Legislature,
the government in August 2016 de-listed fruits and vegetables from the purview of the APMC
through a resolution. Further, it was expanded to all farm products. Apart from the
government claim that farmers will get a better price after the amendment, it believes that
the competitive environment will help the APMCs improve their infrastructure as well as
their quality of service to attract farmers. According to Mr. Ghanavat, farmers will go to the
market which gives them a better price, be it private buyers or the APMCs.
Shashikant Shinde, leader of the head loaders and one of the MLAs opposing the Bill, said it
is being introduced to serve the interests of multinational companies. According to him, the
APMCs provide a mechanism which ensures at least a minimum support price for the
farmers’ produce, and outside the APMCs, farmers will be forced to sell at a price quoted by
companies.
The State government will continue to hold meetings with the stakeholders, and is likely to
present the Bill, approved by all, in the budget session from February 24.
44. How ICICI clawback can be a game-changer in India’s financial sector (Relevant for
GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The ICICI Bank board’s decision to treat the exit of its former CEO Chanda Kochhar as a
dismissal after an internal probe by Justice B N Srikrishna had found that she had violated
the lender’s norms, or code of conduct, marks perhaps a game-changing moment in India’s
financial sector. For, the blow is not just in terms of loss of a high-profile office but, more
importantly, is monetary.
56
The decision of the bank to claw back bonuses — in other words, get her to repay incentives
paid to her since 2009 besides stock options accrued to her while she was CEO — promises
to be huge. The Indian Express has calculated that her potential losses could be as high as Rs
9.82 crore as performance bonus between April 2009 and March 2018 while she was CEO,
and Rs 221 crore as the current value of her over 57 lakh shares granted by the bank over
these nine years.
57
The lessons
In an interview to The Indian Express, Murthy had suggested that firms should consider
granting such incentives or stock options over time, to ensure demonstrable commitment
over the medium term. That would mean granting it over a much longer period and enabling
boards to act swiftly when there is misgovernance. In that 2010 speech, ‘An Insider’s View
of the SEC’, Commissioner Aguilar listed instances where the US regulator chose to sit on the
sidelines. Rarely do regulators admit that they have not often listened to investors. Aguilar
did that, saying “it is important that the SEC learns the lessons from the past”. Indian firms,
their boards, management and regulators could also choose to do that.
The clawback now announced by ICICI will be tested legally and the outcome will have a
bearing on future action against other chiefs too. There is still work left. India’s financial
regulators and the government should come together to work on a design — taking into
count global best practices for a law to check abuse of incentive based remuneration by
senior corporate executives. A show of greed by some of them should not take away the
sheen of stakeholder capitalism.
45. Delay in releasing key employment data has undermined the credibility of data
officialdom (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
58
The resignations of the National Statistical Commission’s acting Chairperson P.C. Mohanan
and member J.V. Meenakshi appear linked to the Centre’s refusal to release new data on
employment that were due to be made public in December 2018.
The government has said no such reservations were expressed by Mr. Mohanan or Dr.
Meenakshi during NSC meetings and that the report will be released after ‘quarterly’ data for
the survey period is processed.
Questions on government
On the question of job-creation for the youth, the Prime Minister and his Cabinet have been
building an argument that jobs abound, but credible data are missing. The National Sample
Survey Organisation’s quinquennial employment surveys were to be conducted in 2016-17.
The year was switched to 2017-18 as the new Labour Force Survey was being prepared to
replace it.
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy has pegged job losses in 2018 at 11 million based
on its regular employment surveys. The government’s coy approach to jobs-related data may
be due to its disastrous demonetisation gambit which hurt supply chains and informal jobs
in the economy and whose effects have lingered. Contrast this with the NSSO surveys of
2009-10 that revealed little good news on household incomes and job-creation, thanks to
after-effects of the global financial crisis. The UPA didn’t dither from releasing the data, took
criticism on its chin, explained it was an exceptional situation and commissioned another set
of surveys in 2011-12 to correct for the timing. The Modi government should have treaded
the same path without upending India’s statistical integrity.
59
46. U.K. Home Secretary orders Vijay Mallya’s extradition to India (Relevant for GS
Prelims, GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
60
47. What is the Saradha scam? How is Trinamool linked? (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS
Mains Paper III; Economics)
What is the alleged scam that has led to the current unprecedented political standoff
between the Centre and Mamata Banerjee? How are the TMC and the Kolkata Police
Commissioner linked to the allegations?
In a few years, Saradha’s raised about Rs 2,500 crore. It built its brand through filmstar
endorsements, investments in popular football clubs, ownership of multiple media outlets,
and sponsorship of cultural events such as Durga Pujas. The scheme expanded to Odisha,
Assam, and Tripura, and the number of investors reached close to 17 lakh.
After SEBI raised a flag in 2009, the Group diversified, opening 239 companies, and building
a complex corporate structure. Through schemes involving tourism packages, forward travel
and hotel booking, timeshare credit transfer, real estate, infrastructure finance, and
motorcycle manufacturing, the Saradha Group continued to raise capital from ordinary
people. The bulk of the investors put in around Rs 50,000 each.
Many others invested through chit funds under the Chit Fund Act, 1982. Chit funds are
regulated by the state government.
61
By 2009, politicians in West Bengal had begun to discuss Saradha’s alleged fraudulent ways.
In 2012, SEBI, which was already watching the Group, asked it to stop accepting money from
investors until it got the regulator’s permission. Alarm bells started to ring in January 2013,
when for the first time, the Group’s cash inflow was lower than its outflow — another classic
event in a Ponzi scheme.
By April 2013, the scheme had collapsed, and investors and agents lodged hundreds of
complaints with the Bidhannagar Police. Sudipto Sen fled West Bengal after writing an 18-
page letter, in which he accused several politicians of arm-twisting him into making poor
investments that led the company to collapse. An FIR was registered, and Sen was arrested
along with his associate Debjani Mukherjee in Sonmarg on April 20, 2013.
Investigations found the company had laundered investments in locations such as Dubai,
South Africa and Singapore. Mamata Banerjee’s government set up a Special Investigation
Team (SIT) to probe the case after clubbing all the FIRs. Around the same time, the CBI began
investigations in Assam after the state government handed over the probe to it. Based on
state police FIRs, the Enforcement Directorate registered cases of alleged money laundering,
and arrested several people.
In May 2014, the Supreme Court transferred all cases to the CBI, given the inter-state nature
of the alleged scam. The SIT, which had by now conducted a year-long probe, had to hand
over to the CBI all case papers, evidence, and the accused it had arrested.
Another then TMC MP, Srinjoy Bose, was involved in the Group’s media operations. Then
West Bengal Transport Minister Madan Mitra headed the Group’s employees’ union.
Saradha gifted patrol motorcycles to Kolkata Police. The government deployed and
distributed ambulances and motorcycles sponsored by Saradha in Naxalism-hit areas of the
state.
The Group allegedly also had connections with Congress leader and former union minister
Matang Sinh, and the Assam BJP leader Himanta Biswa Sarma, who was then in the Congress.
The ED questioned Sarma’s wife Rinki in February 2015 for accepting money from the
Saradha Group to run advertisements on her TV channel in Assam. The agency also
questioned TMC MP Arpita Ghosh in the case.
The CBI questioned over a dozen TMC MLAs and MPs, and arrested Srinjoy Bose, Madan
Mitra and Kunal Ghosh. Among those questioned were then TMC vice president and former
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West Bengal DGP Rajat Majumdar, Trinamool Youth Congress chief Shankudeb Panda, and
MPs Satabdi Roy and Tapas Paul.
Mukul Roy, who was once among Mamata’s closest confidants and is now with the BJP, was
also questioned, as were the Assamese singer and filmmaker Sadananda Gogoi and former
Odisha advocate general Ashok Mohanty.
Former Assam DGP Shankar Barua committed suicide after CBI questioned him and searched
his house.
CBI sources claim communication, notices, and summons to members of the SIT and the West
Bengal Police asking for cooperation in the investigation have been sent on 18 occasions
since September 2017, but no one has turned up for questioning. The sources say that the
Kolkata Police and SIT officials have given ill health or personal engagements as reasons to
stay away, and then asked for a mutually agreeable venue to sit and discuss the case.
According to CBI Joint Director Pankaj Srivastav, who is in charge of the Kolkata zone, Rajeev
Kumar alone has been sent five notices and summons to appear before CBI since October
2017. The first of these summons was sent on October 18, 2017, and the latest one on
December 8, 2018.
To the last summons, the West Bengal DGP replied that queries could be sent in writing
which would be replied to and, in case the need arose, a meeting could be arranged between
the CBI and SIT at a “mutually convenient place”, CBI sources said.
According to CBI, the SIT had not handed over a diary of Sudipta Sen that has details of
payments made to prominent people, apart from other evidence. “Our multiple requests to
hand over all documents seized by the SIT have fallen on deaf ears. They have the diary,
interrogation reports of several accused — some of them recorded on video — some pen
drives, and material recovered from a bank locker owned by Sen. Several of these things
were not brought on record by the SIT. We learnt of them during interrogation of the
accused,” Srivastav told The Indian Express.
48. ‘Angel tax’ issue on start-ups (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
63
Angel tax is a term used to refer to the income tax payable on capital raised by unlisted
companies via issue of shares where the share price is seen in excess of the fair market value
of the shares sold. The excess realisation is treated as income and taxed accordingly. The tax
was introduced in the 2012 Union Budget by then finance minister Pranab Mukherjee to
arrest laundering of funds. It has come to be called angel tax since it largely impacts angel
investments in startups.
49. Status of National Gas Grid (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
64
The Government has envisaged to develop the National Gas Grid. At present about 16,788
Km natural gas pipeline is operational and about 14,239 Km gas pipelines are being
developed to increase the availability of natural gas across the country. These pipelines have
been authorized by Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board (PNGRB) and are at various
stages of execution viz. Pre-Project activities/laying/testing/commissioning etc.
PNGRB has authorized GAIL to develop North East gas pipeline to develop approximately
750 km long Barauni - Guwahati pipeline as an integral part of Jagadishpur –Haldia –Bokaro
Dhamra Pipeline (JHBDPL) project which will connect North East region with the National
Gas Grid. Further, PNGRB has also authorized Indradhanush Gas Grid Limited (IGGL), a joint
venture company of five Central Public Sector Enterprises (CPSEs) i.e. IOCL, ONGC, GAIL, OIL
and NRL for the development of North East Gas Grid to connect eight states of North Eastern
India.
50. Pension for informal workers (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The government has allocated only ₹500 crore for the scheme
Finance Ministry officials have suggested that the pension payouts could be made directly in
the workers’ accounts, which would be Aadhaar-linked.
65
So far, the government has allocated just ₹500 crore for the scheme, but this is likely to be
increased in the full Budget that will be presented in July. An analysis of the Interim Budget
documents shows that the allocation for the Pradhan Mantri Shram Yogi Mandhan could
possibly come at the expense of an existing pension scheme — the National Social Assistance
Programme (NSAP) — announced last year to benefit more than three crore poor senior
citizens, disabled people, and widows.
The NSAP had originally been allocated ₹9,975 crore in the 2018-19 Budget, which was
reduced to ₹9,200 crore in the Interim Budget 2019-20, which is a drop of ₹775 crore.
Further, for a salaried worker, the pension contribution can be cut from the salary. A daily
wage earner or migrant labourer will, however, have to regularly deposit her income each
month, which is an uncertain proposition.
51. The lowdown on Mallya’s extradition (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
What is it?
Earlier this week, Britain’s Home Secretary Sajid Javid signed the order for Vijay Mallya’s
extradition to India to face charges of fraud and money laundering, following the judgment
handed down by Westminster Magistrates Court Chief Magistrate Emma Arbuthnot in
December. She concluded there was a prima faciecase against Mr. Mallya, rejected the
argument that the case was politically motivated, and labelled him a “glamorous, flashy,
famous, bejewelled, bodyguarded, ostensibly billionaire playboy.” India wants to bring
criminal action against Mr. Mallya, whose business interests have ranged from aviation to
liquor, for defaulting on over $1.4 billion in loans Kingfisher took out from Indian banks.
Authorities argue misrepresentations were made to acquire those loans, while Mr. Mallya
had no intention of repaying them and sought to squirrel away funds and use them in ways
that were not permitted by the terms of the loans. However, the ample opportunities for
appeal available to Mr. Mallya — who has indicated his intention to pursue them — means
the entire process could take another two years, estimates Pavani Reddy, managing partner
at Zaiwalla & Co. in London.
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Others include the passage of time, and rules against double jeopardy. While it is not common
for extradition appeals to succeed, last year India successfully appealed a Westminster
Magistrate Court’s ruling that discharged the alleged bookie Sanjeev Chawla, who India had
been seeking to extradite over the 2002 cricket match fixing scandal.
As per the guarantees offered to the Chief Magistrate, if Mr. Mallya is extradited, he will be
held in Barrack 12 of the Arthur Road Jail in Mumbai — with certain assurances of space,
daylight and medical facilities — both ahead of any trial and after any conviction.
52. Shrinking air links in NorthEast (Relevant for GS Prelims, GS Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The day Prime Minister Narendra Modi laid the foundation for the first civilian airport in
Arunachal Pradesh, Jet Airways operated its last flight on the Guwahati-Aizawl route. By
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withdrawing from Mizoram, the private airliner joined an expanding list of flight operators
that have suspended operation from new and existing routes in the geographically
challenged northeastern region. This has undermined New Delhi’s ambitious flagship
regional connectivity scheme UDAN, an acronym for the Hindi phrase Ude Desh ka Aam
Naagrik meaning ‘let the common man fly.’
The Hyderabad-based Air Deccan, which won exclusive rights in the UDAN bidding to
connect Meghalaya capital Shillong to Aizawl, Agartala, Silchar, Dimapur and Imphal,
operated only 10 flights to Agartala and Dimapur in May 2018. The Delhi-based Zoom Air
operated between Assam’s Tezpur and Kolkata for only three months, till July 2018, before
withdrawing owing to “technical issues.” And from September 1, 2018, SpiceJet suspended
its operation from Agartala, six years after Jet Airways and a few other small airlines had
withdrawn.
While some of the smaller airports have flights connecting Kolkata and Delhi, the withdrawal
of service to and from Guwahati — the hub of communication in the region — is expected to
affect tourism, a sector that has capitalised on peace in the region. Airliners and the Airports
Authority of India (AAI) agree that the passenger volume has doubled in the last five-six
years from Guwahati and other popular airports in the region. But improved road and rail
connectivity, they said, have become a bane for smaller airports.
For instance, a two-hour drive brings a passenger from Shillong and an overnight train trip
brings one from Dimapur to Guwahati.
68
In May 2018, Air India started a flight between Guwahati and Pasighat in Arunachal Pradesh
with VIPs, including Chief Minister Pema Khandu, on board. The militarily strategic airport,
which allows Sukhoi 30 to land and take off, has had very few civilian flights. AAI officials say
UDAN, in its current form, is difficult for smaller airliners to sustain. Aviation experts say the
scheme has not been able to add wings because it is aimed more at reaping political benefits
than increasing connectivity. Furthermore, it does not have enough incentives for airlines to
ignore the issue of viability.
1. A new levy by the name of ‘Equalisation Levy’ was introduced vide Chapter VIII of the
Finance Act, 2016. The introduction of the levy was based on the recommendations of a
Committee, comprising of officers of the Income-tax Department and member of the general
public, constituted by the Government to deliberate on the issue of taxation of the digital
economy in the light of the report on Action Plan 1 of the OECD Base Erosion and Profit
Shifting (BEPS) project and suggest possible measures. Presently, the levy is charged @ 6%
of the amount of consideration for specified services received or receivable by a non-resident
not having permanent establishment ('PE') in India, from a resident in India who carries out
business or profession, or from a non-resident having permanent establishment in India,
where the aggregate amount of such consideration exceeds one lakh rupees in a previous
year.
2. Section 9(1)(i) of the Income-tax Act, 1961 (‘the Income-tax Act’) was amended to bring
in the concept of “Significant Economic Presence” for establishing “business connection” in
the case of non-resident in India. Accordingly, significant economic presence shall mean–
i. Any transaction in respect of any goods, services or property carried out by a non-resident
in India including provision of download of data or software in India if the aggregate of
payments arising from such transaction or transactions during the previous year exceeds the
amount as may be prescribed; or
ii. Systematic and continuous soliciting of its business activities or engaging in interaction
with such number of users as may be prescribed, in India through digital means.
69
The imposition of Equalization Levy has led to increase in tax collection. The collection under
the Equalisation levy exceeded Rs. 550 crore for FY 2017-18. Further, the introduction of
taxation based on significant economic presence is also expected to increase tax collection
as it seeks to widen the tax base in India by establishing business connection and charging
to tax income earned by digital businesses which operate out of jurisdictions with which
India has not entered into a Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA). However, in
respect of digital businesses operating out of jurisdictions with which India has already
entered into a DTAA, significant economic presence will only be effective after renegotiation
of such DTAA which will be based on international consensus.
54. 1st Aqua Mega Food Park in Andhra Pradesh (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics)
Godavari Mega Aqua Food Park was inaugurated at Tundurru Village in Bhimavaram
Mandal, West Godavari District, Andhra Pradesh. This is the 1st Mega Aqua Food Park
operationalised exclusively established for fish and marine products processing in the State
of Andhra Pradesh.
55. RBI to pay govt. ₹28,000 cr. in interim surplus (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
This will take the Centre’s total receipts from the RBI as surplus transfer in 2018-19 to
₹68,000 crore. The central bank had earlier paid ₹40,000 crore to the government as its final
share of surplus for 2017-18. The RBI follows July-June accounting year. This is second
consecutive year that the central bank has transferred interim surplus to the government.
Importance of Surplus
The interim surplus transferred by the RBI now is crucial to the Centre’s ability to meet the
revised fiscal deficit target of 3.4% for this fiscal.
Background
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Sources indicate the system of audit of balance sheet twice a year would be continued for the
coming years also in order to decide on the interim surplus. Last year, RBI had transferred
₹10,000 crore as interim surplus. The government had been putting pressure on the central
bank to transfer more funds from the contingency reserves. A panel, headed by former RBI
Governor Bimal Jalan, had been formed to review the economic capital framework of the
bank.
56. Cabinet approves launch Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan
(Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics)
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs, has approved launch of Kisan Urja Suraksha
evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan with the objective of providing financial and water security to
farmers.
The proposed scheme consists of three components:
Component-A: 10,000 MW of Decentralized Ground Mounted Grid Connected Renewable
Power Plants.
Component-B: Installation of 17.50 lakh standalone Solar Powered Agriculture Pumps.
Component-C: Solarisation of 10 Lakh Grid-connected Solar Powered Agriculture Pumps.
All three components combined, the scheme aims to add a solar capacity of 25,750 MW by
2022. The total central financial support provided under the scheme would be Rs. 34,422
crore.
The Component-A and Component-C will be implemented on pilot mode for 1000 MW
capacity and one lakh grid connected agriculture pumps respectively and thereafter, will be
scale-up on success of pilot run. Component-B will be implemented in full-fledged manner.
57. Easing global Oil Prices (Relevant for GS Prelims & GS Mains Paper III; Economics)
The main reason why inflation has been falling is the drop in global oil prices. After rising in
the middle of 2018 to average $80 a barrel in October, the Indian basket of crude oil prices
fell to $57 a barrel in December 2018. It was $59 in January 2019. Prices in February have
been slightly higher than that, but the increase is not much.
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When global oil prices fall, inflation falls across the board, most notably in energy-intensive
sectors. And within this, falling prices in each of these sectors have an impact on the other
sectors dependent on them. For example, falling inflation in the transport sector means that
every sector that needs to transport goods will also benefit.
Another aspect of falling inflation is that the Reserve Bank of India has more leeway to go
easy on interest rates, one of its key inflation targeting tools. In its last Monetary Policy
Review, the central bank cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points. Some experts
feel there is scope for even more cuts. Politically, low and falling inflation is always to the
benefit of the government. This is especially noteworthy in the run-up to the general election.
In contrast, the CPI inflation averaged about 7.6% in the three months leading up to the 2014
elections.
This divergence has intensified since the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax
because the new tax system affects retail inflation far more than it does wholesale inflation,
since it is included in the final price of the product.
58. Safety nets: on banning unregulated deposit schemes (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics)
72
President Ram Nath Kovind promulgated the Banning of Unregulated Deposit Schemes
Ordinance, which bars all deposit schemes in the country that are not officially registered
with the government from either seeking or accepting deposits from customers.
2. The ordinance allows for compensation to be offered to victims through the liquidation of
the assets of those offering illegal deposit schemes.
The Saradha chit fund scam in West Bengal is just one example of such a heinous financial
crime against depositors. The Centre’s latest attempt to curb unregulated deposit schemes
through an ordinance reflects a timely recognition of the need for greater legal protection to
be offered for those depositors with inadequate financial literacy.
73
In a big relief to home buyers, the GST Council slashed tax rates on under-construction
housing properties to 5% without input tax credit, from the existing 12%. The Council also
cut GST rates on affordable housing to 1% from the current 8% and expanded the scope of
affordable housing to those costing up to ₹45 lakh and measuring 60 sq. metre in metros and
90 sq. metre in non-metro cities.
The new tax rates will come into effect from April 1, 2019. However, builders will not be able
to claim input tax credit (ITC) under the new GST rates.
60. RBI takes 3 banks off prompt corrective action framework (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Earlier, such restrictions were taken off Bank of India, Oriental Bank of Commerce and Bank
of Maharashtra.
“This has shored up their capital funds and also increased their loan loss provision to ensure
that the PCA parameters were complied with,” RBI said.
Allahabad Bank and Corporation Bank had received capital of ₹6,896 crore and ₹9,086 crore
respectively.
74
According to norms, PCA framework gets triggered when a bank breaches one of the three
risk thresholds. Crossing 6% net NPA is one of them.
61. Regulating drug prices (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Since the implementation of the DPCO, 2013, the NPPA has made certain departures from
the market-based pricing mechanism, which was found to be insufficient for ensuring
affordability. This has been done through the use of special powers to act in public interest
under Paragraph 19 of the DPCO, to regulate the prices of cardiac stents and knee implants.
75
These moves have brought about dramatic price reductions: 85% in the case of stents and
65% in the case of knee implants.
62. A new zone for Andhra Pradesh: What could change for the Railways, state
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Railway Minister Piyush Goyal announced a new Railway zone based in Visakhapatnam,
fulfilling a demand from Andhra Pradesh politicians pending since the creation of Telangana
nearly five years ago.
The Thirteenth Schedule of the Act says under the head ‘Infrastructure’ that the “Indian
Railways shall, within six months from the appointed day, examine establishing a new
railway zone in the successor State of Andhra Pradesh and take an expeditious decision
thereon”.
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Two zones — Central and Western — are headquartered in Mumbai; Kolkata has Eastern
and South Eastern, apart from the Kolkata Metro. In its replies to Parliament, the Railway
Ministry in most cases presents facts and figures zonewise, rather than statewise. It says
zones and divisions (a zone is divided into divisions) are created based on administrative
and operational needs.
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How did the zones of the Indian Railways come into existence?
Following independence, India worked to consolidate 42 big and small railways owned by
the princely states and other entities into a single network. In 1947, the country’s total rail
network was 54,380 km, and included networks as small as Sangli (8 km) or as big as Nizam
State Railway (2,125 km).
In 1951-52, six zonal railways were created to “amalgamate the smaller independent lines
into contiguous areas of self-sufficient zones having economic unity and natural flow of
traffic”, said an internal report of the Railways that examined whether a new zone for Andhra
Pradesh was feasible. The intention was to bring down overheads, eliminate duplication of
work, “unnecessary correspondences”, and inter-railway adjustments, and ensure more
expeditious disposal of business. The internal assessment report was submitted to the
Ministry last year.
Boundaries that do not add to the efficiency of the Railways are avoidable, officials say. The
final product offered by the Indian Railways is, after all, a train that cuts across regional and
geographical boundaries on its journey, says the internal assessment report. An increase in
the number of jurisdictions without a clear need is akin to erecting more checkposts or
barriers on a road when the smooth flow of traffic is the key requirement, officials say. “A
new barrier will slow down train operations to a considerable extent…, affect the mobility,
commercial viability, and result in wastage of precious capacity, rolling stock and
manpower,” the assessment says.
What specific challenges could the creation of the new zone pose?
Waltair (Visakhapatnam) division, which loads around 60 million tonnes of freight every
year (which is quite high for a division), will become a zonal headquarters. A part of Waltair
division will be merged with the adjacent Vijayawada division, and another part will become
the new Rayagada division. This break-up of East Coast Railway (which has Waltair division)
will create operational bottlenecks, reduce flexibility in the loading and unloading of freight,
and could hit the revenue generation capability of the zone, critics of the move argue.
South Central Railway, which will be reorganised for the new zone, will be disrupted as well.
“Due to its critical size, ports, industries and mineral hubs are well served by its internal
cycles. Any realignment of the present zonal system will have a detrimental effect,” says the
assessment.
Rayagada in Odisha, where the only significant railway installation currently is a yard, will
have to be turned into a divisional headquarters of the new zone, as per the government’s
decision. This will mean both capital expenditure and recurring expenditure. Creating a
zonal headquarters in Waltair, too, will involve costs.
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Amaravati, the new capital of Andhra Pradesh, is in the Vijayawada-Guntur division, and is
already well connected to the rest of India by five lines. Projects for rail-connectivity
infrastructure in the area have already been sanctioned, and a new zone does not help much.
Floodgates could now be opened for more state-specific zones and divisions. Demands for at
least 52 new divisions and 26 new zones have already been made. Odisha MPs have in the
past objected to the realignment of Bhubaneswar-based East Coast Railway, of which Waltair
is the premium division. Some Odisha leaders have told the Railways that if Visakhapatnam
is taken away from ECoR, the state should be compensated with new divisions like Rourkela,
Jharsuguda, and Jajpur-Keonjhar.
63. Analysis of SEBI’s new rules to protect those investing in liquid mutual funds
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
78
avoid the volatility of mark-to-market accounting and the need to provide a fair account of
the value of their investments. What is likely is a decrease in the yields received on securities
maturing in 30 days or less and an increase in the yields on debt instruments with a maturity
period of 31 to 60 days. It will, however, do nothing to make investors in mutual funds
become more informed about the real value of their investments.
The latest SEBI rules are also in direct contrast to the usual accounting practices when it
comes to the valuation of securities. Generally accepted accounting principles mandate
securities with the least maturity to be reported on a mark-to-market basis while allowing
the amortisation-based method to be employed to value other securities with longer
maturity periods. This makes sense as the profits and losses associated with securities with
shorter terms are closer to being realised by investors when compared to longer-term
securities. SEBI would do well to mandate that all investments made by liquid mutual funds
should be valued on a mark-to-market basis. Simultaneously, it should work on deepening
liquidity in the bond market so that bond market prices can serve as a ready reference to
ascertain the value of various debt securities.
64. Resolution of Essar Steel case (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The National Company Law Tribunal’s approval of ArcelorMittal’s bid for the insolvent Essar
Steel Ltd is significant for several reasons.
Clarity on law
Second, the case, which took 583 days to resolve, compared to the 270 days provided under
the Code, has tested several aspects of the law and set important precedents for the future.
Among the aspects that have been clarified during the long resolution process for Essar Steel
are the eligibility of those who have defaulted in repaying their borrowings elsewhere to bid,
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the time-limits for bidding and the place of unsecured, operational creditors under the
resolution mechanism.
Result
Finally, this was seen as a marquee case for the IBC, given the high profile of the company
and its promoters, and the amount at stake. The battle royal between multinational players
to acquire the insolvent company was proof, if any were needed, of the quality and
importance of the underlying asset. In the event, the successful culmination of the Essar Steel
case will be a big leg-up for the insolvency resolution process that is less than three years
old.
To be sure, though the NCLT has given the go-ahead, the last word on the subject may not
have been heard as the existing promoters could go in appeal against the verdict. The Code
provides for an appeal to the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal and then to the
Supreme Court, and it is unlikely that the promoters, who bid a much higher ₹54,389 crore,
will let go without a fight. The banks, though, will be hoping that the process ends in the next
couple of weeks as they would want to account for the receipts from the resolution process
within this financial year.
After all, only four cases (excluding Essar Steel) out of the initial list of 12 big defaulters
referred by the Reserve Bank of India for resolution back in June 2017 have been successfully
resolved till now. Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India data also point to a pile-up of
cases in the various benches of the NCLT. As many as 275 companies, representing 30% of
the total of 898 undergoing resolution, have exceeded the 270-day limit set for resolution
under the Code. This can be partly explained by the attempt of promoters to tie down the
process through appeals at every stage, but the fact is that there is a need for more benches
of the NCLT to clear the pile-up. The government would do well to look into this issue.
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India’s position
India, which is the world’s largest consumer of gold, has the 11th largest gold reserve, with
the current holding pegged at 607 tonnes, as per the latest report by the World Gold Council
(WGC).
India’s overall position in terms of total gold holding would have been tenth had the list
included only countries. Whereas, International Monetary Fund (IMF) is included and is
third on the list with total gold reserves of 2,814 tonnes.
Global Trend
The numero uno slot is occupied by the U.S., which boasts of gold reserves of 8,133.5 tonnes,
followed by Germany with 3,369.7 tonnes. Italy and France complete the top five list with
reserves of a little over 2,400 tonnes each. Meanwhile, among Asian countries, China and
Japan have more reserves of the precious metal when compared to India. China has reserves
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of 1,864.3 tonnes, while Japan has gold reserves of 765.2 tonnes. Pakistan, with its gold
reserves of 64.6 tonnes, occupies the 45th position.
66. In light of L&T and Mindtree, a look at how hostile takeover bids have played out
over the years (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Two of India’s elder statesmen could be watching the battle for control at Bengaluru-based
software services firm Mindtree, with local engineering giant Larsen & Toubro having
mounted a hostile — or unsolicited — takeover bid. Pranab Mukherjee and Manmohan Singh
were impacted in different ways by what was possibly the country’s first major hostile
takeover attempt.
In 1983, NRI businessman Swraj Paul bought into Delhi-based firms Escorts and DCM under
a new scheme that allowed NRIs to invest in Indian companies. When he acquired more than
the holdings of the promoters, Indian business houses sought the support of Mukherjee, then
Finance Minister, to prevent a takeover and to frame a policy to protect established Indian
companies. The matter reached Parliament, a legal battle followed, and the government
eventually went in for a mediation to convince Paul to sell his shares back to the promoters,
the H P Nanda family (Escorts) and the Shri Ram family (DCM).
Mukherjee has recounted all this in The Turbulent Years. On the other hand, Manmohan
Singh, who was then RBI Governor, has referred to serious disagreements between him and
Mukherjee. “Sometimes there was tension. For instance, there was that famous case of Swraj
Paul’s investments,” Singh’s daughter Daman Singh quotes him as saying in her book.
What Singh was referring to was the attempt to browbeat the RBI into approving the deal. In
a rare instance, the government directed the RBI to carry out its instructions, saying that the
central bank was only an agent for implementation of a government scheme, which Singh
protested.
The rules do not quite define a hostile takeover, except to say that it is broadly an unsolicited
bid or attempt by a person without any arrangement or a memorandum of understanding
with the persons currently in control of the targeted company. Hostility (if the word could
be used) arises in the case of the attempt on Mindtree as its founders Subroto Bagchi,
Krishnakumar Natarajan, N S Parthasarathy and Rostow Ravanan, who jointly control over
13 %, have opposed L&T coming in, saying it is a threat to the unique organisation that they
have collectively built over 20 years and with a differentiated corporate culture.
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The trigger for all this is the decision of the firm’s biggest shareholder — V G Siddhartha,
promoter of Cafe Coffee Day and son-in law of former Karnataka Chief Minister S M Krishna
— to exit by selling his 20.4% share to L&T.
When attempted, hostile takeovers have rarely succeeded in India. An undivided Reliance
attempted to take control of L&T in 1989, having bought in though a transaction involving a
Bank of Baroda subsidiary. Dhirubhai Ambani took over as L&T chairman; Mukesh and Anil
Ambani came on board.
With influential shareholders involved, the L&T management mounted a push-back and
Reliance had to exit by selling their shares to the Birlas, who too exited later. The government
stepped in when British American Tobacco was attempting to take control of ITC. Other
hostile attempts include that by ICI for Asian Paints, and by India Cements for Raasi Cements.
What next
The takeover regulations in such cases stipulate that the acquirer will have to make an open
or public offer for buying out 26% from the minority shareholders (in Mindtree). To achieve
this, L&T will need to depend not just on such shareholders but also on institutional
shareholders such as investment institutions and overseas investors. It has offered to buy
31% at Rs 980 a share, which will mean spending Rs 5,027 crore. The other possibility is that
the existing promoters manage to bring a strategic partner — known as a white knight for
stepping in to support the incumbent promoters — or raise funds to buy back shares.
67. Dollar-rupee swap scheme (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Reserve Bank of India’s decision last week to resort to a dollar-rupee swap, instead of
the traditional open-market purchase of bonds, to infuse liquidity into the economy marks a
significant shift in the central bank’s liquidity management policy.
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2. Apart from injecting fresh liquidity into the economy, the move will have implications for
the currency market even as it helps shore up the RBI’s dollar reserves.
3. Bond yields rose on the day following the announcement of the swap scheme last week,
reflecting the prevailing opinion among traders that the RBI may gradually reduce its
dependence on the regular bond purchase scheme to manage liquidity within the economy.
4. While traditional open market operations distort the bond market, the new forex swap
scheme will introduce new distortions in the currency market.
5. The rupee’s recent rally against the dollar has been halted by the RBI’s decision to infuse
rupees and suck out dollars through the swap scheme. Even so, it is worth noting that the
rupee has appreciated significantly in value terms against the dollar since the low reached
in October as foreign investors have begun to pour money into the Indian economy.
In the aftermath of the liquidity crisis in the non-banking financial sector, it can be an
effective way to lower private borrowing costs as well. The coming elections, which can lead
to an increase in cash withdrawals from banks, may have also played a role in the RBI’s larger
decision to boost liquidity in the system.
68. Nirav Modi denied bail, to stay in London jail till March 29 (Relevant for GS Prelims
& Mains Paper III; Economics)
84
The judge said that she wasn’t inclined to give Modi bail because of the “high value amount”
involved in the allegations against him and the “substantial grounds” for believing he would
“fail to surrender” before the court if bail were granted.
69. Govt. earns ₹85,000 crore from disinvestment in 2018-19, overshoots target
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The government has overshot its disinvestment target for the second consecutive year,
according to the Ministry of Finance. As against a target of ₹80,000 crore for disinvestment
for the 2018-19, the divestment receipts have touched ₹85,000 crore. During the current
financial year, Department of investment and Public Asset Management (DIPAM) has
realised the proceeds through 28 transactions. In 2017-18, the government had earned a
little more than ₹1 lakh crore from disinvestments against a target of ₹72,500 crore.
The government has also earned large amounts from the sale of Exchange Traded Funds
(ETFs), with the latest edition, so far, having earned it ₹10,000 crore.
70. Reserve Bank of India postponed the implementation of the Indian Accounting
Standards (Ind AS) norms for banks (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
Reserve Bank of India postponed the implementation of the Indian Accounting Standards
(Ind AS) norms for banks indefinitely. The RBI had initially planned to implement the norms
starting April 1, 2018 in order to bring Indian accounting standards in line with international
standards, but the Centre’s delay in enacting the necessary amendments have delayed the
implementation for banks for another year.
How are proposed accounting norms for banks different from existing practices?
Under the proposed norms, financial institutions like banks will have to calculate expected
credit losses (ECL) on their loans during each reporting period and make necessary
adjustments to their profit-and-loss account even before a borrower may default on a certain
loan.
This is in contrast to the present accounting norms wherein banks incur credit losses in their
books only after outstanding loans have been in a state of default over a certain number of
days as stated in the rules laid down by the RBI.
85
For the new norms will cause more outstanding loans to be added to the huge existing pile
of bad loans and cause further headaches to the government. According to estimates made
by India Ratings & Research, public sector banks would have to make additional provision of
over a trillion rupees if the norms are adopted right away. The Centre may not be able to foot
the bill, and may instead prefer to help public sector banks to hide the true size of their bad
loans. This does not bode well for the health of the banking system as banks that do not
recognise their problems might not resolve them.
71. India has highest number of poor despite 27 crore moving out of poverty in 10
years: report (Relevant for GS Prelims; Economics)
India has reduced its poverty rate drastically from 55% to 28% in 10 years, with 271 million
people moving out of poverty between 2005-06 and 2015-16, according to the Global MPI
2018 Report prepared by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the
Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative. The report, covering 105 countries,
dedicates a chapter to India because of this remarkable progress. However, India still had
364 million poor in 2015-16, the largest for any country, although it is down from 635 million
in 2005-06.
The report measures MPI, or multidimensional poverty index, which it says can be broken
down to show “who is poor” and “how they are poor”. This factors in two measures, poverty
rate as a percentage of the population, and intensity as the average share of deprivations that
poor people experience. The product of these two is MPI. If someone is deprived in a third or
more of 10 weighted indicators, the global index identifies them as “MPI poor”.
In India, poverty reduction among children, the poorest states, Scheduled Tribes, and
Muslims was fastest, the report says. Of the 364 million people who were MPI poor in 2015-
16, 156 million (34.6%) were children. In 2005-06 there were 292 million poor children in
India, so the latest figures represent a 47% decrease or 136 million fewer children growing
up in multidimensional poverty.
86
Although Muslims and STs reduced poverty the most over the 10 years, these two groups
still had the highest rates of poverty. While 80% of ST members had been poor in 2005-06,
50% of them were still poor in 2015-16. And while 60% of Muslims had been poor in 2005-
06, 31% of them were still poor in 2015-16.
Bihar was the poorest state in 2015-16, with more than half its population in poverty. The
four poorest states —Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya Pradesh — were still
home to 196 million MPI poor people, which was over half of all the MPI poor people in India.
Jharkhand had the greatest improvement, followed by Arunachal Pradesh, Bihar,
Chhattisgarh, and Nagaland. At the other end, Kerala, one of the least poor regions in 2006,
reduced its MPI by around 92%.
Global findings
Worldwide, the report found, 1.3 billion people live in multidimensional poverty in the 105
developing countries it covered. This represents 23%, or nearly a quarter, of the population
of these countries. These people are deprived in at least one-third of overlapping indicators
in health, education, and living standards, it says.
87
While the study found multidimensional poverty in all developing regions of the world, it
was seen to be particularly acute in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. These two regions
account together for 83% (more than 1.1 billion) of all multidimensionally poor people in
the world.
The report describes the level of global child poverty as staggering, with children accounting
for virtually half (49.9%) of the world’s poor. Worldwide, over 665 million children live in
multidimensional poverty. In 35 countries, at least half of all children are MPI poor. In South
Sudan and Niger, some 93% of all children are MPI poor.
72. Bringing Nirav back (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Why extradition of the main accused in the PNB fraud case, now in a U.K. prison, will take
time
88
89
While Mr. Mallya maintained a high profile before the start of proceedings here and owned
property in the U.K., the prosecution positioned Mr. Modi as being uncooperative with
authorities. They allege that he had attempted to bribe and threatened to kill a witness and
applied pressure on others, and contested the defence’s suggestion that he had never left the
country since the scandal broke, pointing to a trip to the U.S. they said he made this February.
The judge herself described the allegations of witness intimidation and attempts to destroy
evidence (including a phone and a server) as “very unusual” in a fraud case.
73. What is systematic investment plan? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
What is a SIP?
A Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) is a way to invest in mutual funds wherein a fixed sum
of money is put into a mutual fund scheme at a specified date every month. It is considered
to be investor-friendly and an efficient manner of investing in the capital markets as one can
start investing with small monthly contributions instead of first building a huge investment
corpus.
It is a hassle-free manner of investment as well since one can issue standing instructions to
the bank for a specified amount to be transferred to the fund house/distributor every month
at a pre-determined date.
All the fund houses have a link on their portals for investors who want to start an SIP.
Typically, only the Permanent Account Number (PAN) and/or Aadhaar is needed to open an
account.
Thereafter, one can select the scheme, SIP amount, starting date and duration of SIP. If one
opts for a distributor, then the same process can be done online on the distributor’s portal.
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However, going through a distributor has its advantages as well as one can get access to
investment advice, help in fund selection and a consolidated view of the holdings through an
app. On the other hand, if an investor wants to start 4-5 SIPs with different fund houses, then
a direct approach would mean going to each of the fund house websites and opening a folio
and keying in the details to start the SIP. However, there are some fintech start-ups that offer
direct SIP options on their platform.
74. RBI cuts repo rate to 6%, lowers GDP forecast to 7.2% (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics)
91
Four members of the committee voted for a rate cut, while RBI Deputy Governor Viral
Acharya and Chetan Ghate voted for status quo.
The RBI lowered its inflation forecast to 2.9%-3% from 3.2%-3.4% for the first half of the
current financial year and 3.5-3.8% in the second half, assuming a normal monsoon.
Highlights
* Short-term lending rate (repo) reduced by 25 basis points to 6 per cent
* This is second back-to-back rate cut
* RBI maintains Neutral stance on the monetary policy
* Four out of six MPC members voted in favour of rate cut
* GDP growth projection lowered to 7.2 per cent for 2019-20
* RBI revises downward retail inflation estimate to 2.4 per cent in Q4 FY19.
* MPC notes output gap remains negative and domestic economy facing headwinds
75. High inflow of foreign investment into India Stock Market (Relevant for GS Prelims
& Mains Paper III; Economics)
92
Both cyclical and structural factors are behind this sudden uptick in foreign investment that
has helped the rupee make an impressive comeback. The rupee has appreciated by about 7%
since early October, when it was reeling at around 74 against the dollar.
Last year, India received more foreign direct investment than China for the first time in two
decades. While the Chinese economy has been slowing down considerably in the last one
year, India has emerged as the fastest-growing major economy.
Doubts over the robustness of the GDP calculation method notwithstanding, it is clear that
investors expect India to be a major source of global growth in the coming years.
Short-term factors
Other short-term reasons may also be behind some of the recent inflow of capital into the
country. For one, there is a sense among a section of investors that their fears of political
instability are misplaced.
More important, there are clear signs that western central banks have turned dovish. Both
the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, for instance, have promised to keep
interest rates low for longer. This has caused investors to turn towards relatively high-
yielding emerging market debt. Indian mid-cap stocks, which suffered a deep rout last year,
are now too attractive to ignore for many foreign investors.
Long-pending reforms to the labour and land markets are the most pressing structural
changes that will affect India’s long-term growth trajectory. The high fiscal deficit of both the
Centre and the State governments and the disruptive outflow of foreign capital are the other
macroeconomic challenges. These are some issues that need to be solved sooner rather than
later.
76. The cases against Vijay Mallya (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
Fugitive liquor baron Vijay Mallya, whose written application for permission to appeal an
order for his extradition to India was rejected by the United Kingdom High Court last week,
and his failed venture Kingfisher Airlines Ltd, are under investigation by the Enforcement
Directorate (ED), Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI), Serious Fraud Investigation Office
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(SFIO), and Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) for loan defaults of over Rs 10,000
crore to a consortium of Indian banks led by the State Bank of India (SBI).
Mallya faces charges of cheating, criminal conspiracy, money laundering and diversion of
loan funds. A few of his companies, including Kingfisher Airlines, face charges of violating
The Companies Act, 2013, and norms laid down by the capital markets regulator.
Mallya has denied any wrongdoing. He has the option to apply for an oral consideration of
his appeal, followed by a representation to the United Kingdom Home Secretary, invoking
his human rights.
Enforcement Directorate
The ED has charged Mallya under Sections 3 and 4 of the Prevention of Money Laundering
Act (PMLA). The agency has alleged that the now defunct Kingfisher Airlines “diverted” at
least Rs 3,547 crore of the loan that it received.
The ED’s complaint has listed five instances of alleged diversion of loan funds granted to
Kingfisher Airlines by lenders: (i) the diversion of Rs 3,432.40 crore through “over-invoicing”
of lease rentals of aircraft between April 2008 and March 2012; (ii) the diversion of Rs 45.42
crore “for making payment towards the rental lease” of a corporate jet which was used
“exclusively” by Mallya; (iii) the diversion of Rs 50.90 crore from Kingfisher Airlines to the
Force India Formula One team that Mallya controlled; (iv) the diversion of Rs 15.90 crore
from Kingfisher Airlines to Mallya’s firm that owned the Indian Premier League cricket team
Royal Challengers Bangalore; and (v) the diversion of Rs 2.80 crore to ICICI Bank as
repayment of an earlier loan to Kingfisher Airlines.
The ED has accused Kingfisher Airlines and Mallya of “concealment, possession, acquisition,
and use of proceeds of crime”. It has also accused United Breweries Holdings Ltd of assisting
Mallya in money laundering by not honouring a corporate guarantee that the company gave
to the banks, which was to be invoked in case of a loan default by Kingfisher Airlines.
Both the ED and the CBI have alleged that Mallya did not fully disclose his assets while
executing a personal guarantee agreement with lenders when the loans of Kingfisher Airlines
were restructured in December 2010. The agencies have also claimed to have found that
Mallya had “amassed huge properties outside India, especially in United Kingdom, USA,
France and Africa” and that he “has got interest in various companies which are
created/incorpoporated outside India”.
CBI
The CBI has charged Mallya under Sections 120B (criminal conspiracy) and 420 (cheating)
of the Indian Penal Code, and Sections 13(1)(d) and 13(2) of the Prevention of Corruption
Act.
The CBI has accused Kingfisher Airlines, its corporate guarantor, United Breweries Holdings,
and personal guarantor, Mallya, of giving “several glaring misrepresentations and false
94
information” to lenders. It has claimed to have found oral and documentary evidence to show
Mallya’s “intention” to cheat the bank.
Sebi
The capital markets regulator, Sebi, has banned Mallya from accessing the securities market
until January 2021 for alleged “diversion of funds perpetrated in a listed company by way of
dubious and concealed financial statements/projections or false books of accounts”.
The Act defines a fugitive economic offender as “any individual against whom a warrant for
arrest in relation to a Scheduled Offence has been issued by any Court in India, who (i) has
left India so as to avoid criminal prosecution; or (ii) being abroad, refuses to return to India
to face criminal prosecution”. A “Scheduled Offence” is one which is “specified in the
Schedule, if the total value involved in such offence or offences is one hundred crore rupees
or more”.
77. India becomes net steel importer in 2018-19 fiscal (Relevant for GS Prelims;
Economics)
For the first time in three years, India was a net importer of steel during the 2018-19 fiscal
year as the country lost market share among its traditional steel buyers and imports jumped
on demand for higher quality steel domestically.
78. Should debt mutual funds investors worry? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
Investors in debt mutual funds had a scare last week after Kotak Mutual Fund and HDFC
Mutual Fund wrote to their investors acknowledging that they have exposure to securities
of troubled Essel Group companies. While Kotak said it has returned nearly 99% capital of
95
its Fixed Maturity Plan (FMP) investors and will return more with accrued interest after a
successful strategic sale of Zee in September 2019, HDFC MF said it has extended the date of
maturity of one of its FMPs from April 15, 2019 to April 29, 2020.
Generally considered safe for investment with funds parked in government and private-
sector debt instruments offering fixed returns, debt-oriented schemes also carry a risk
though not as high as equity schemes. For investors in debt schemes, it is important to know
that if their debt MF scheme has invested in debt securities of a company that is not
financially strong and is facing liquidity pressure, then their investments may suffer in the
event of a default by that investee company.
What are FMPs, and what is the issue that fund houses are facing?
FMPs are fixed-tenure mutual fund schemes that invest in debt instruments including
government securities, commercial papers (CPs), non-convertible debentures (NCDs) and
certificates of deposits (CDs) among others and thereby generate interest income for
investors. They are close-ended funds that mature after a predetermined time period.
In the case in question, investors who had put their money in Kotak MF’s FMP in November-
December 2015 were ideally supposed to get their capital along with interest income on the
date of maturity, April 10, 2019. However, since the fund house had high exposure (almost
27% of initial corpus) to ITNL and two Essel Group companies that are facing a liquidity
crisis, the fund house is not in a position to fully honour its commitment. The fund house said
it has repaid 99.25% of the investors’ initial investment and that it is working towards
optimal recovery from two Essel Group companies by September 30, 2019.
Other mutual funds such as HDFC Mutual Fund and Reliance Mutual Fund with exposure to
Essel Group companies and IL&FS Group are also set to face a similar issue when it becomes
necessary for their FMP or debt scheme to repay the investors at maturity.
96
investors. Thus, it puts both the interest income and capital investment of the MF investor at
risk. With more and more corporate entities facing debt woes, the banks, NBFCs and mutual
funds that have exposure to debt papers of such companies fall at risk.
In India, while government bonds are the safest investment instruments, debt papers issued
by blue-chip companies are also considered low-risk investments.
So, retail investors too have exposure to such schemes and their money is at risk on account
of fund houses’ exposure to Essel Group companies.
Looking at equity-oriented schemes, retail investors are the dominant players and their
share in the total equity-oriented schemes’ AUM of Rs 8.4 lakh crore is nearly 52%.
79. Chinese economy coming back to high trajectory (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
97
Retail sales and factory output also showed strong growth momentum. The latest growth
figure is seen as a sign that the Chinese government’s efforts over the last few quarters to
stimulate what is the world’s second largest economy are beginning to have a positive effect.
Total social financing grew by almost 40% to 8.2 trillion yuan in the first quarter of the year,
pointing to a credit expansion that will boost growth in the coming quarters.
Chinese authorities may eventually be forced to crack down on exuberant lending by banks
when the economy is found to be overheating. It was such a crackdown that contributed to
the fall in property prices in the last few years. For now, though, property prices have begun
to rebound after restrictions on the real estate sector were eased lately, in an attempt to
stimulate growth in the economy. The Chinese government is now walking a tightrope as it
attempts to keep the momentum from slowing in the short term, even as market forces try
to correct imbalances within the economy. Such macroeconomic policy, focussed too
narrowly on the short term while ignoring the long-term consequences, however, does not
bode well for either the Chinese economy or the wider global economy.
80. Story of airline industry in India (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
For four decades after eight independent domestic airlines — Deccan Airways, Airways
India, Bharat Airways, Himalayan Aviation, Kalinga Air Lines, Indian National Airways, Air
India (formerly Tata Airlines), and Air Services of India — were merged to create state-
owned Indian Airlines in 1953, India’s aviation sector remained a national monopoly. Policy
changes came in the 1990s — and liberalisation and economic reforms gave the private
aviation industry new wings of hope. Several of the private airlines that took off during that
decade were to hit air pockets soon, however — and in the years that followed, the sector
saw the entry of quite a few new players even as the businesses of others collapsed or were
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taken over. The suspension of operations at Jet Airways — at one time India’s largest private
airline — announced Wednesday, follows the troubles at Kingfisher, Air Deccan, and Sahara.
The beginnings
Founder promoter Naresh Goyal’s Jet Airways was one of the first private airlines in newly
liberalised India. In 1993, a year after its launch, Jet got an air-taxi operator’s permit, which
meant it could fly, but without a schedule. A flight schedule allows a carrier to estimate costs
and revenues for six months, the period of a single schedule in India. Less than two years
later, Jet got permission to fly as a scheduled airline after the government abolished The Air
Corporation Act, 1953, which gave the state-owned carriers the monopoly to operate as
scheduled airlines.
Start-stop-start
Besides repealing The Air Corporation Act, the government announced an Open Skies policy
in 1992, liberalising rules and regulations to open up the commercial aviation market. This
led to the birth, over the next decade or so, of private sector players including ModiLuft,
Damania Airways, Air Sahara, and East-West Airlines. Most of these new players, however,
folded up soon or were merged — Jet Airways in contrast, stood out as an efficient private
sector operator, gaining market share with each passing year.
ModiLuft and East-West ceased operations in 1996. Air Sahara, which started operations in
1993 as Sahara Airlines, was acquired by Jet in 2007 — a business move that many analysts
argue marked the beginning of the company’s troubles.
ModiLuft, which had an excellent record for three years until it shut down in 1996, was later
acquired by Ajay Singh, who launched it as SpiceJet in 2005 along with NRI businessman
Bhulo Kansagra. As SpiceJet faced difficulties, Kansagra sold his stake to US distress investor
Wilbur Ross in 2008, who sold it to Sun Group’s Kalanithi Maran a couple of years later. The
airline was teetering on the verge of closure when it was again acquired by Ajay Singh in
2015, who turned it profitable.
The LCC (low-cost carrier) model revolutionised the Indian aviation sector, pushing the
country’s annual passenger growth rate to double digits. Alongside the LCCs, Kingfisher
Airlines started operations in 2005, pitching itself in the middle of a no-frills and a full-
service carrier. These new airlines posed a formidable challenge to Jet Airways, which had
so far operated largely in a duopoly with state-owned carriers Air India and Indian Airlines
(which were merged in 2011).
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Air Deccan faced extreme financial difficulties and was bought by Kingfisher in 2007.
However, Kingfisher itself went belly-up in 2012, while SpiceJet faced intermittent
headwinds. Jet, which had a 44% share of the domestic passenger market in 2003-04,
steadily lost ground — in February this year, the deeply troubled airline had only 10% of the
domestic market share, fourth behind IndiGo (43.4%), SpiceJet (13.7%) and Air India
(domestic, 12.8%), according to government data. In all these years, IndiGo stood out as the
only carrier that improved its market share and financial performance.
In December 2004, the government announced a major policy change, allowing Indian
scheduled carriers with a minimum five years’ continuous operations and a minimum of 20
aircraft (the so called 5/20 rule) to fly international routes. Jet was the key beneficiary of this
policy change. In 2016, the government scrapped the 5/20 rule and replaced it with 0/20,
enabling SpiceJet, IndiGo and GoAir to launch international flights in the following years.
A brutal industry
Over the last four years, India’s aviation market has grown at a yearly average rate of 20%,
among the fastest in the world. More and more Indians are flying; paradoxically though,
nearly all the major players are in dire straits financially.
Apart from operational and managerial efficiencies, one of the key determinants of an
airline’s success or failure is the price of crude oil. Fuel costs account for roughly 40 per cent
of a carrier’s operating cost. Steep taxes on aviation turbine fuel (ATF) in India — one of the
highest in the world — make Indian carriers less competitive against global players.
The launch of the LCCs disrupted the business model of the full-service players, eating into
their market share, and creating stress in the market. The wafer-thin margins, and heavy
competition and government taxes, results in airlines turning commercially unsustainable
from time to time, and they require constant infusion of funds to stay afloat.
81. Why did fixed maturity plans of some funds fail to fully mature? What are the risks
involved? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Earlier this month, Kotak Mutual Fund informed investors in its Fixed Maturity Plans (FMPs)
that it would not be able to fully redeem investments made in two series of the FMPs.
Separately, HDFC Mutual Fund also announced the extension of one of its FMP schemes,
which was due for maturity on April 15, by 380 days.
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an FD, she hopes to make good via the marginally higher returns that the fund’s investments
in higher-yield debt instruments such as commercial paper, corporate bonds and non-
convertible debentures (NCDs) could potentially earn it. Additionally, investments in FMPs
are more tax-efficient, since there are indexation benefits linked to capital gains, as opposed
to tax on interest income in the case of an FD. FMPs, however, like other debt funds come
with their own set of risks: the most significant ones are interest rate risk and credit risk.
Specifically, Kotak had invested in debentures of Konti Infrapower & Multiventures Private
Limited, a Mumbai-based provider of accounting and consulting services, and Edisons Utility
Works Private Limited, also based in Mumbai and reportedly operating in the construction
industry. These debentures, which carried a coupon interest rate of 11.1%, were rated
A+(SO) — putting them in the middle of the scale for investment grade ratings and indicating
that the issuer had stable financial backing. The debt had also been secured by a pledge of
Zee Entertainment Enterprise Limited’s shares.
While the exact purposes for which the borrowed funds were utilised is not known, Mr.
Chandra’s group firms did make some investments in infrastructure projects and also sought
to acquire Videocon’s D2h business. “In retrospect, disastrous investment decisions,” was
how investment advisory services provider Morningstar Inc. described the group’s
investments, in an April 12 note on their website.
In November 2018, the Essel Group announced that the promoter group planned to sell up
to 50% of its stake in Zee Entertainment. This announcement, coupled with market
speculation about financing difficulties at the group, prompted some lenders to start looking
for ways to minimise their losses in the eventuality of a ‘credit event’ such as the
announcement of a default on repayment of the borrowings.
On January 25, some lenders sold about ₹200 crore worth of Zee Entertainment shares,
resulting in a sharp fall in the stock’s price from its previous close of ₹434 on the BSE, to
₹319 per share.
At this point, the remaining lenders including Kotak MF and HDFC MF opted to not convert
the notional loss on their holdings into a real one and instead reached a standstill agreement
with the Essel Group.
As per the agreement, the creditors agreed to give Mr. Chandra and the Essel Group time up
to September 30, 2019, to conclude the strategic stake sale in Zee Entertainment and use the
proceeds to repay the borrowings with interest.
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The cumulative amount at stake for FMPs is estimated to be more than ₹1,400 crore with
over 40 schemes maturing later this year. More importantly, about 14 schemes, with an
exposure of almost ₹475 crore, were set to mature this month.
In the case of Kotak, besides the FMP Series 127 and 183, which matured on April 8 and April
10, respectively, and whose investors did not receive full redemption proceeds on account
of the funds’ exposure to the Essel group firms, four other FMPs viz. Series 187, 189, 193 and
194 as well as the Kotak Credit Risk Fund have exposure to the Essel group firms.
Kotak said it had made a 100% provision by February 12, 2019, for this investment as the
recovery would now depend on a resolution plan agreed to by a new board at the
beleaguered parent and the National Company Law Tribunal.
Also, the troubles at both the Essel group and IL&FS point to the woeful inadequacy of credit
ratings as a means to assess the most crucial element for fixed income investing: credit risk.
A look at Kotak’s own breakdown of the overall portfolio holdings of Assets Under
Management (AUM) for its debt schemes reveals that only about 46% of the overall funds
are parked either in sovereign (almost 13%) or AAA-rated (22.9%) securities.
The rest of the AUM are spread across fixed income securities rated below AAA, while still
invested in investment grade assets.
The industry’s mandatory disclaimer: “Mutual fund investments are subject to market risk”,
couldn’t be more germane than in this case.
82. India notifies tax agreement with US to stop evasion by MNCs (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
102
This agreement for exchange of CbC reports, along with the Bilateral Competent Authority
Arrangement, will enable both the countries to automatically exchange CbC reports filed by
the ultimate parent entities of multinational enterprises (MNEs) in the respective
jurisdictions, pertaining to the years commencing on or after January 1, 2016.
MNEs having global consolidated revenue of 750 million euro or more (or a local currency
equivalent) in a year are required to file CbC reports in their parent entity's jurisdiction. The
rupee equivalent of 750 million euros has been prescribed as Rs 5,500 crore in Indian rules.
This information will enable an enhanced level of assessment of tax risk by tax
administrations of both the countries.
83. RBI's reluctance to furnish list of wilful defaulters (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics)
103
The banking regulator has repeatedly tried to stonewall multiple requests seeking
information ranging from the names of wilful defaulters on bank loans worth hundreds of
crores of rupees, to the bank-wise breakup of losses.
The RBI was accused off by the CIC for failing to uphold the interest of the public and not
fulfilling its statutory duty to depositors, the economy and the banking sector, by privileging
individual banks’ interests over its obligation to ensure transparency.
For a banking regulator that never tires of stressing the need for greater accountability from
the numerous public sector banks, the RBI’s reluctance to be more transparent is perplexing.
As the CIC aptly observed last year, the central bank’s intransigence and repeated failure to
honour the court’s orders ultimately undermines the very rule of law it seeks to enforce as a
banking sector regulator empowered by Parliament.
84. NSE fined ₹1,000 crore in co-location case (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics)
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has barred the National Stock Exchange
(NSE), which has the largest market share in equity segment and almost a monopoly in
equity derivatives, from accessing the securities market for six months.
The capital markets regulator has further ordered the exchange to pay ₹1,000 crore — that
is, ₹624.89 crore plus 12% interest from April 1, 2014 — for its alleged failure to exercise
proper due diligence while offering co-location facility thereby affecting market fairness and
integrity.
What is Co-location?
Co-location refers to the system wherein a broker’s server is kept in the exchange premises
to reduce latency, or delay in computing terms, while executing trades.
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The regulator has ordered Ravi Narain and Chitra Ramkrishna — both former MD & CEOs of
NSE — to disgorge a part of their salary drawn when they were at the helm of affairs at the
exchange, which has the largest market share in equity segment and almost a monopoly in
equity derivatives.
While Mr. Narain has been directed to disgorge 25% of his salary drawn from FY11 to FY13,
Ms. Ramkrishna is to disgorge a similar share of her salary drawn in 2013-14.
Both have also been barred from being associated with any listed firm or a Market
Infrastructure Institution — bourses, clearing corporations, depositories — for five years.
Other officials who have been issued restraining orders include Ravi Varanasi, head,
business development; Nagendra Kumar, head, membership department; Deviprasad Singh,
head, colo support; Suprabhat Lala, A-VP; and Umesh Jain, CTO.
SEBI has also barred OPG Securities, allegedly the prime beneficiary of the co-location
matter, and its directors from accessing the securities market for five years, while directing
the entities to disgorge nearly ₹25 crore. Ajay Shah of Indira Gandhi Institute of Development
Research has also been restrained from holding any position with a stock exchange or a listed
company for two years. “NSE is... examining [the] SEBI order and will take appropriate steps
as may be legally advised,” an NSE spokesperson said.
85. New SBI rules link savings bank interest to repo rate: what has changed, why
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
105
The bank has linked savings bank deposits with balances of more that Rs 1 lakh to the repo
rate, changing from the practice of linking to the Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending Rate
(MCLR).
The repo rate — the interest rate at which the RBI lends funds to banks — is currently 6%.
As per SBI’s formula, the new rate for savings bank deposits above Rs 1 lakh and up to Rs 1
crore will be 2.75% below the current repo rate — which works out to 3.25% per annum, as
against the 3.5% offered so far.
For savings bank deposits above Rs 1 crore, the new rate will be 3.75%, down from the
earlier rate of 4%.
All cash credit accounts and overdrafts with limits above Rs 1 lakh will be linked to the repo
rate (current repo rate of 6% plus a spread of 2.25%), the bank has said. Risk premiums over
and above this floor rate will be based on the risk profile of the borrower, as is the current
practice.
Once the savings bank deposits cross the Rs 1 lakh mark, the lower interest rate will be
automatically applicable. There is relief for small borrowers with cash credit or overdraft
limits up to Rs 1 lakh, as they will not be linked to the repo rate.
According to the RBI, the spread over the benchmark rate — to be decided at banks’
discretion at the inception of the loan — should remain unchanged through the life of the
loan, unless the borrower’s credit assessment undergoes substantial change.
The new system of external benchmark is expected to bring in more transparency in fixing
interest rates, and faster transmission of rates. Banks were lagging in these two crucial
factors while determining their deposit and lending rates.
106
proposed external benchmarking of new floating rate loans could be higher to protect
themselves adequately in case of high volatility of benchmarks.
86. Pepsi vs Gujarat farmers: case, its withdrawal (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
PepsiCo India Holdings (PIH) announced it is withdrawing lawsuits against nine farmers in
north Gujarat, after having sued 11 farmers for “illegally” growing and selling” a potato
variety registered in the company’s name. What were these cases about?
The patent is for the potato plant variety FL-2027 (commercial name FC-5). Pepsi’s North
America subsidiary Frito-Lay has the patent until October 2023. For India, PIH has patented
FC-5 until January 2031 under the Protection of Plant Varieties and Farmers’ Rights
(PPV&FR) Act, 2001.
PIH, which has a buyback agreement with Gujarat farmers, accused the 11 farmers — three
of whom earlier had contracts with the company — of illegally growing, producing and
selling the variety “without permission of PIH”.
Speaking to The Indian Express before the cases were withdrawn, one of the accused farmers
had said the agreement was that PIH would collect potatoes of diameter greater than 45 mm,
and that farmers had been storing smaller potatoes for sowing next year. Four other farmers,
who were slapped with Rs 1.05 crore lawsuits, said they got registered seeds from known
groups and farmer communities and had been sowing these for the last four years or so, and
had no contractual agreement with anyone. They said they learnt they were growing a
registered variety only when they got a court notice on April 11.
Activists’ view
In the days that followed the lawsuits, activists, farmer unions and other organisations cited
Section 39(1)(iv) of the PPV&FR Act in defence of the farmers. The section states:
“Notwithstanding Anything contained in this Act — a farmer shall be deemed to be entitled
to save, use, sow, resow, exchange, share or sell his farm produce including seed of a variety
protected under this Act in the same manner as he was entitled before the coming into the
force of this Act, provided that the farmer shall not be entitled to sell branded seed of a
variety protected under this Act.”
Organisations said the Act was tailored to give farmers free access to seeds. Kavitha
Kuruganti of Alliance for Sustainable and Holistic Agriculture, a nationwide network of more
than 400 organisations, said the rights on a patented seed differ from country to country. “In
the US, if someone has patented a seed, no other farmer can grow it. If PepsiCo is looking at
enjoying similar rights in this country, it does not hold,” she said (this was before the PIH
announcement on Thursday).
107
87. Why has the Supreme Court given an ultimatum to the Reserve Bank of India on
loan defaulters? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
On April 26, the Supreme Court directed the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to disclose to the
public the names of wilful defaulters on loans and also other information gathered by the
central bank during its annual inspection of commercial banks. The RBI and the Supreme
Court have been at loggerheads over this issue for a while now, with the central bank
repeatedly refusing to obey the orders of the Supreme Court.
108
The disclosure of the names of wilful defaulters to the public, many believe, will help bring
about better credit discipline in the country by exposing problems brewing within banks
sooner rather than later. In fact, they find it surprising that the RBI which has been
spearheading the fight against bad loans is unwilling to release vital information on wilful
defaulters to the public. The RBI, on its part, has argued that the disclosure of auditing
information related to banks can lead to the exposure of sensitive information that may not
be in the commercial interest of banks or even in the interest of the wider economy. The RBI
also seems to believe that releasing information about defaulters can unfairly shame
borrowers who may genuinely not be able to pay back their loans due to various financial
difficulties. Such shaming could have the unintended consequence of impeding genuine
business activity in the economy. The central bank has also put forward the argument that it
has the fiduciary duty to protect certain information about banks.
88. Chips at stake in the PepsiCo-farmers fight : Who has infringed on rights under the
Protection of Plant Varieties and Farmers’ Rights Act, 2001? (Relevant for GS Prelims
& Mains Paper III; Economics)
A David versus Goliath story has played out in Gujarat over the last month, with food and
beverages giant PepsiCo dragging potato farmers to court for allegedly growing its
registered potato variety used to make ‘Lays’ chips. Four small farmers from Sabarkantha
district were sued ₹1.05 crore each, although they cite a law allowing them to grow and sell
even registered plant varieties. Faced with growing social media outrage, boycott calls from
farmers groups and condemnation from major political parties, the company finally agreed
to withdraw cases after talks with the Gujarat government.
109
registered the variety under the Protection of Plant Varieties and Farmers’ Rights Act, 2001
(PPV&FRA).
Finding that farmers who were not part of its collaborative farming programme were also
growing and selling potatoes of this variety in Gujarat, PepsiCo filed rights infringement
cases under the Act against some farmers in Sabarkantha, Banaskantha and Aravalli districts
in 2018 and 2019. Farmers allege that the company hired a private detective agency to pose
as potential buyers, take secret video footage and collect samples from farmers’ fields
without disclosing its real intent.
PepsiCo based its suits on Section 64 of the Act dealing with infringements of the registered
breeder’s rights and subsequent penalties. The farmers’ legal case depended on Section 39
of the Act, which allows the cultivator to “save, use, sow, resow, exchange, share or sell his
farm produce including seed of a variety protected under this Act” with the sole exception of
branded seed. As this section begins with the words “Notwithstanding anything contained in
this Act…”, farmers claim their rights have precedence.
Over the last decade, more than 3,600 plant varieties have been registered under the Act,
with more than half of the registration certificates going to farmers themselves. This was the
first case of infringement of rights under the Act, according to the central agency set up to
implement the Act.
110
However, some of the farmers sued in 2018 seem to be larger players with bigger stakes in
the game. Fulchand Kachchhawa reportedly owns over 150 acres of land, as well as cold
storage facilities, and is a potato grower and trader selling much of his produce to ‘Balaji
Wafers’, the major regional competitor of ‘Lays’ chips. It is alleged that he sells the registered
variety of seeds to smaller farmers and buys their produce as well. It is unclear whether his
activities would be protected under Section 39 of the PPV&FRA.
PepsiCo says its collaborative farming programme and registered variety rights are under
threat. While ‘Lays’ claims to be a leader in the country’s ₹5,500 crore potato chips market,
regional players are eating into the market share.
Farmers rights groups such as the Alliance for Sustainable and Holistic Agriculture saw the
issue as a test case on farmers rights in India under the WTO regime, and warned that a bad
precedent could hurt farmers of other crops and endanger the country’s food sovereignty.
89. Reliance subsidiary acquires UK toy retailer Hamleys (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics)
Reliance Brands, a subsidiary of Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL), acquired UK-based toymaker
Hamleys from C.banner International.
About Hamleys
Hamleys has about 167 stores across 18 countries. In India, Reliance has the master
franchise for Hamleys, and currently operates 88 stores across 29 cities.
111
As is known, Reliance plans to launch an e-commerce marketplace later this year that will
sell everything from food, fashion to toys and this acquisition will perfectly fit into its
strategy.
History of Hamleys
Hamleys is currently owned by Chinese fashion conglomerate C.banner International, which
had acquired it for £100 million in 2015. Hamleys started with a single-store shop, Noah’s
Ark, in 1760, around the time when the British East India Company was ruling India.
(Source: https://indianexpress.com/article/business/companies/reliance-subsidiary-acquires-uk-toy-
retailer-hamleys-5720180/)
90. Decline in automobiles sales signal Economic slowdown in India (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Recent indicators
Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) has reported The decline of almost 16%
in total automobile industry sales in April as compared to earlier.
The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for March shows output fell 0.1% from a year earlier
to a 21-month low. The capital goods sector shrank by 8.7% on the back of an 8.9%
contraction in the preceding month. Output of consumer durables fell 5.1%.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/missing
demand/article27130430.ece)
91. RBI now uses divergence to compel banks to improve their loan-loss ratios
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
112
Three state-run banks — Union Bank of India, Indian Bank and Central Bank of India — had
reported divergence while announcing the results. In all these banks, divergence was spotted
for the financial year 2017-18.
Divergence was identified not because these banks hadn’t classified the loan as non-
performing assets (NPA) but because they were late in classifying them.
CATEGORIES OF NPAs
According to Reserve Bank of India (RBI) guidelines, banks are required to classify NPAs
further into substandard, doubtful, and loss assets based on the time period of pending debts.
1. Substandard assets: Assets that have remained NPA for a period less than or equal to 12
months.
3. Loss assets: A loss asset is considered uncollectible or is of such little value that its
continuance as a bankable asset is not warranted, although it may have some salvage or
recovery value.
So, banks have been asked to classify the account as NPA on an earlier date, which means,
increase in provisioning requirement due to ageing factor.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/rbi-now-uses-divergence-to-
compel-banks-to-improve-their-loan-loss-ratios/article27174135.ece)
92. Rising trade deficit of India on account of falling exports (Relevant for GS Prelims
& Mains Paper III; Economics)
Falling exports
The estimates for foreign trade show a sharp slowdown in merchandise export growth in
April, to 0.64% from last earlier. If we do not count 31% increase in shipments of petroleum
products to overseas markets, India’s export of goods actually contracted by over 3% in
dollar terms last month.
Analysis of decrease in exports
The fall in exports was seen in 16 out of 30 major product groups. The fall was noticed in
engineering and even traditionally strong export sectors — gem and jewellery, leather and
leather products, textiles and garments and drugs and pharmaceuticals.
113
These sectors are all key providers of jobs. Thus, reduction in these sectors will impact jobs,
wages and consumption demand in the domestic market.
Rising imports
Imports grew by 4.5% to $41.4 billion in April due to purchases of crude oil and gold.
Excluding oil and gold, however, imports shrank by more than 2% last month, signalling that
import demand in the real productive sectors has reduced.
As a result of merchandise imports outpacing exports, the trade deficit has widened to $51.9
billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2018-19. It has already surpassed the preceding
financial year’s 12-month shortfall of $48.7 billion.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/external-
woes/article27165660.ece)
93. Why appeals are stuck at WTO, how India will be hit if process breaks down
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The World Trade Organization’s (WTO’s) dispute settlement mechanism is going through a
“crisis”: the body is struggling to appoint new members to its understaffed Appellate Body
that hears appeals in trade. Unless the issue is resolved, the body could become defunct, and
countries locked in international trade disputes will be left with no forum for recourse.
Over 20 developing countries met in New Delhi last week to discuss ways to prevent the
WTO’s dispute resolution system from collapsing due to the logjam in these appointments.
While the US is directly involved in more disputes than other WTO member countries,
several countries—including India—enter disputes as third parties.
114
India has so far been a direct participant in 54 disputes, and has been involved in 158 as a
third party.
The group of 17 least developed and developing countries, including India, that have
committed to working together to end the impasse at the Appellate Body can submit or
support a proposal to this effect, and try to get new members on the Appellate Body by a
majority vote.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/why-appeals-are-stuck-at-wto-
how-india-will-be-hit-if-process-breaks-down-5736410/)
94. Higher education to get a boost with ₹1.5 lakh crore action plan (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Ministry of Human Resource Development plans to launch an ambitious ₹1.5 lakh crore
action plan to improve the quality and accessibility of higher education over the next five
years.
This is being described as the implementation plan for the National Education Policy. The
last NEP was released in 1986, with a revision in 1992.
EQUIP project
The Ministry plans to launch EQUIP project. EQUIP stands for the Education Quality
Upgradation and Inclusion Programme and was crafted by ten committees led by experts
within the government such as NITI Aayog CEO Amitabh Kant, principal scientific advisor K.
Vijay Raghavan and former revenue secretary Hasmukh Adhia, as well as some corporate
chiefs.
The ten committees have drafted strategy to improve access to higher education, especially
for underserved communities; improve the gross enrolment ration; improve teaching and
learning processes; build educational infrastructure; improve the quality of research and
innovation; use technology and online learning tools; and work on accreditation systems,
governance structures and financing.
115
This would go beyond HEFA’s current ambit. The joint venture between the HRD Ministry
and Canara Bank, set up in 2017, has been tasked with raising ₹1 lakh crore to finance
infrastructure improvements in higher education by 2022. So far, projects worth ₹30,000
crore have been approved, HRD Minister Prakash Javadekar said in January.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/education/higher-education-to-get-a-boost-with-15-
lakh-crore-action-plan/article27240106.ece)
95. Draft export policy unveiled (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The Commerce Ministry has come out with a comprehensive draft of the export policy that
includes product-specific rules to provide a ready reckoner for exporters.
The draft policy is aimed at consolidating the export norms for each product as applicable at
different government agencies.
The compendium will help an exporter know all the applicable norms pertaining to a
particular product, helping him/her understand policy conditions for that item.
116
This exercise is for consolidating the norms and not for making any changes in the existing
export policy of the country. The DGFT said that the updated draft had been prepared by
including all existing policy conditions, all notifications and public notices issued after
January 2018.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/draft-export-policy-
unveiled/article27267247.ece)
96. US takes India off currency watchlist (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The US government removed India from its list of major trading partners to be closely
monitored for potentially questionable foreign exchange policies with the move coming
amid escalating trade tensions between the two countries.
117
Countries in the current list include China, Japan, Korea, Germany, Italy, Ireland, Singapore,
Malaysia and Vietnam.
Pressure from US
Over the last two years, US put pressure on India by increasing tariffs on products like steel
and aluminium,as well as removing the country from its Generalized System of Preferences,
which allowed Indian businesses certain trade benefits.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/india/united-states-india-currency-watch-
donald-trump-5755396/)
97. Dr K. Kasturirangan Committee submits the Draft National Education Policy to the
Union HRD Minister (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Committee led by the Chairman Dr. Kasturirangan submitted the Draft National
Educational Policy to the Union Human Resource Development Minister.
National Policy on Education, 1986 modified in 1992 required changes to meet the
contemporary and futuristic needs of our large youth population. The Draft National
Education Policy, 2019 is built on the foundational pillars of Access, Equity, Quality,
Affordability and Accountability.
3. The Committee also recommends Extension of Right to Education Act 2009 to cover
children of ages 3 to 18. A 5+3+3+4 curricular and pedagogical structure based on cognitive
and socio-emotional developmental stages of children: Foundational Stage (age 3-8 yrs): 3
years of pre-primary plus Grades 1-2; Preparatory Stage (8-11 years): Grades 3-5; Middle
Stage (11-14 years): Grades 6-8; and Secondary Stage (14-18 years): Grades 9-12.
4. Schools will be re-organized into school complexes. It also seeks to reduce content load in
school education curriculum. There will be no hard separation of learning areas in terms of
curricular, co-curricular or extra- curricular areas and all subjects, including arts, music,
crafts, sports, yoga, community service, etc. will be curricular.
5. It promotes active pedagogy that will focus on the development of core capacities: and life
skills, including 21st century skills.
118
4-year integrated stage-specific B.Ed. programme will eventually be the minimum degree
qualification for teachers.
8. A new apex body Rashtriya Shiksha Ayog is proposed to enable a holistic and integrated
implementation of all educational initiatives and programmatic interventions, and to
coordinate efforts between the Centre and States. The National Research Foundation, an
apex body is proposed for creating a strong research culture and building research capacity
across higher education.
(Source: http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1573031&RegID=3&LID=1)
98. Landmark decision taken in the first Cabinet meeting of the NDA Government
offers pension coverage to crores of farmers (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics)
The Union Cabinet has approved a new Central Sector Scheme, a historic decision that will
empower farmers across India. This is a path breaking scheme that will provide pension
cover to our industrious farmers who toil day and night to keep our nation fed. It is also for
119
the first time since independence that such a pension coverage has been envisioned for
farmers.
It is estimated that 5 crore small and marginal farmers will benefit in the first three years
itself. The Central Government would spend Rs. 10774.50 crore for a period of 3 years
towards its contribution (matching share) for providing social security cover as envisaged
under the scheme.
For example, a beneficiary farmer is required to contribute Rs 100/ - per month at median
entry age of 29 years. The Central Government shall also contribute to the Pension Fund an
equal amount as contributed by the eligible farmer.
After the subscriber’s death, while receiving pension, the spouse of the SMF beneficiary shall
be entitled to receive 50% of the pension received by the beneficiary as family pension,
provided he/she is not already an SMF beneficiary of the Scheme. If, the death of the
subscriber happens during the period of contribution, the spouse shall have the option of
continuing the Scheme by paying regular contribution.
(Source: http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1573025&RegID=3&LID=1)
99. PM-KISAN Scheme extension to include all eligible farmer families irrespective of
the size of land holdings (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Union Cabinet, chaired by the Prime Minister Narendra Modi has approved that the
ambit of the Pradhan Mantri KisanSamman Nidhi (PM-KISAN) would be comprehensively
extended. With this decision, all land holding eligible farmer families (subject to the
prevalent exclusion criteria) would avail of the benefits under this scheme.
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The key element of PM-KISAN is income support of Rs. 6000/- to the small and marginal
landholder farmer families with cultivable land holding upto 2 hectare across the country.
(This has been expanded today)
The amount is being released in three 4-monthly instalments of Rs.2000/- each over the
year, to be credited into the bank accounts of the beneficiaries held in destination banks
through Direct Benefit Transfer mode.
The scheme was launched in a record time of 3 weeks, on 24th February at a huge
programme in Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh where the first rounds of instalments was paid to
several farmers.
So far, 1st instalment to 3.11 crore beneficiaries and 2nd instalment to 2.66 crore
beneficiaries have been credited directly to the bank accounts of the farmer families.
Between 2014 to 2019, numerous measures were taken to empower the hardworking
farmer. This includes increase in the Minimum Support Prices (MSP) for 22 crops, Soil Health
Cards, PM Krishi Sinchai Yojana, PM KisanSampada Yojana, e-NAM for better markets and
more. These steps have made agriculture more prosperous and ensured greater productivity
for farmers. They will go a long way in fulfilling the Prime Minister’s dream of doubling
farmer incomes by 2022, when India marks 75 years of freedom.
(Source: http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1573023&RegID=3&LID=1)
121
100. GDP growth slumps to 5.8% and unemployment highest in 45 years (Relevant for
GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
India’s GDP grew at 5.8% in the January-March 2019 quarter, dragging down the full year
growth to a five-year low of 6.8%. India has lost fastest growing tag to China, if quartery
growth rates are compared. The unemployment rate in the country rose to a 45-year high of
6.1% in 2017-18, as per official data.
The sectors which saw growth rate of over 7% were public administration, defence and other
services, construction, financial, real estate and professional services, and electricity, gas,
water supply and other utility services.
122
The data showed that 7.8% of the employable urban youth and 5.3% of employable rural
youth was without jobs. Additionally, 6.2% male and 5.7% females across the country were
jobless.
Further, as per the data, unemployment rate for males was higher in rural areas at 5.8% as
against 3.8% for women, while in urban areas the rate for women was 10.8 against 7.1% for
men.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/gdp-growth-slumps-to-
58/article27394803.ece)
101. Govt sets up two new Cabinet panels to generate jobs and tackle economic
slowdown (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Acknowledging that a slowing economy and need for jobs are pressing issues that need
sustained follow-up, the new government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi decided to
set up two new committees of the Cabinet — one on Investment and Growth, and the other
on Employment and Skill Development.
Private investment has remained depressed for the past many years due to poor credit
generation on account of huge bad loans. Moreover, the consumption expenditure is also
slowing down.
It will be composed of ministries such as HRD, Labour and Employment, and Skill and
Entrepreneurship. It will allow for an integrated approach while addressing issues related
to skilling at school level, ITIs and the certification process in government and private
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skilling institutes. Two, to ensure that skills being imparted are in tune with the job
requirement and sectoral demand, the Cabinet Committee on Employment and Skill
Development also proposes to include ministers representing various sectors such as
agriculture, infrastructure, construction and manufacturing.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/india/slowdown-need-for-jobs-on-the-table-
govt-sets-up-two-new-cabinet-panels-5767500/)
102. RBI's repo rate cut (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Reserve Bank of India announced a 25 basis point (0.25 percentage point) cut in Repo rate.
Repo rate is the rate at which money is lended by RBI to Commercial Banks.
Whether a deeper 50 basis point cut was necessary, given the sharp slowdown in the
economy, is debatable. With inflation well under the benchmark figure of 4%, the stage was
set for the RBI to reduce Repo rate.
Thus, RBI has changed its policy stance to ‘accommodative’ from ‘neutral’. RBI Governor
Shaktikanta Das made statement at the press conference that ensuring systemic liquidity will
remain a priority for the central bank.
124
RBI has to do something to make banks pass on the reduction in the interest rates. By its own
admission, only 21 of the cumulative 50 basis points rate cut effected by the RBI in the
February and April policies has been passed on to borrowers by banks. The excuse from
banks was that liquidity was tight and so deposit rates could not be cut. However, liquidity
has considerably improved in the past.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/no-
surprises/article27583406.ece)
103. Indian Railway Station Development Corporation (IRSDC) enters into Tripartite
Agreement with French National Railways (SNCF) & AFD, a French Agency (Relevant
for GS Prelims; Economics)
(Source:http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1573850&RegID=3&LID=1)
104. The RBI’s approach in the revised circular on stressed assets (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The efforts of the Reserve Bank of India to clean up the non-performing loans mess in the
banking system suffered a setback in April when the Supreme Court shot down its circular
of February 12, 2018, terming it ultra vires.
Version 2.0 of the circular, titled “Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets”,
issued by the central bank on June 7, manages to retain the spirit of the original version even
while accommodating the concerns of banks and borrowers.
125
Banks will now have a review period of 30 days after a borrower defaults to decide on the
resolution strategy, as compared to the one-day norm earlier. They will also have the
freedom to decide whether or not to drag a defaulter to the insolvency court if resolution
does not take place within 180 days of default. Banks had no such option earlier.
By making an Inter Creditor Agreement between lenders mandatory, the RBI has ensured
that they will speak in one voice, while the condition that dissenting lenders should not get
less than the liquidation value puts a floor on recovery from the resolution process.
There will be disincentives in the form of additional provision of 20% to be made by banks
if a resolution is not achieved within 180 days and a further additional provision of 15% if
this extends to a year.
If that is the stick, the carrot is that they can write back half of the additional provision once
a reference is made to the insolvency court and the remaining half can also be clawed back
by banks if the reference is admitted for insolvency resolution. This approach will give banks
the freedom to explore all options before referring a defaulter to the insolvency process.
The central bank, anyway, retains the right to direct banks to initiate insolvency proceedings
in specific cases by drawing on its powers under Section 35AA of the Banking Regulation Act.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/striking-a-
balance/article27766599.ece)
105. Recommendations of NEP on Higher Education (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
The committee committee set up for drafting a new National Education Policy (NEP) discuss
two major areas: School education and higher education. This artile focusses on higher
education.
The future workplace will demand critical thinking, communication, problem solving,
creativity, and multidisciplinary capability. Single-skill and single-discipline jobs are likely
to become automated over time.
126
The three-year traditional BA, BSc, as well as BVoc degrees will continue as well for those
institutions that wish to continue such programmes, but all Bachelor’s degrees will move
towards taking a more comprehensive liberal education approach.The draft policy also
proposes building a small number of new liberal arts universities, modelled after Ivy League
schools, in the next five years.
Global footprint
The NEP 2018 proposes an increase in the number of off-shore campuses of Indian
institutions and permitting the world’s top 200 institutions to set up branches in India, with
a new law to regulate the latter’s entry and operation. Indian higher education institutions
(HEIs), it states, should be encouraged to offer their distance-learning programmes abroad
and enter into international partnerships for research.
Currently, India sends the third largest number of students (over 3 lakh) abroad for higher
education. However, only 46,000 foreign students, accounting for less than one per cent of
international students worldwide, study in Indian HEIs.
Regulatory reforms
The draft proposes a common regulatory regime for the entire higher education sector. As
with primary education, it suggests that in higher education, too, the functions of “regulation,
provision of education, funding, accreditation and standard setting will be separated, and
will not be performed by the same institution or institutional hierarchy”.
The National Higher Education Regulatory Authority (NHERA) will be the sole regulatory
authority, while NAAC, along with other accreditation agencies, will oversee accreditation.
The existing University Grants Commission, currently regulator as well as grants disbursing
agency, will transform into the Higher Education Grants Council (HEGC) and will limit itself
to grants giving.
127
Other regulatory bodies — such as Medical Council of India, Bar Council of India, AICTE,
National Council for Teacher Education — will become Professional Standard Setting Boards
in their respective fields, without regulatory powers in professional education.
The Rashtriya Shiksha Aayog (RSA) will be chaired by the Prime Minister and run by
executive and advisory bodies, half of which will made up of ministers and the other half of
educationists and civil society members. A range of institutions — NRF, NCERT, NHERA,
National Testing Agency, Higher Education Grants Council, and state education regulatory
authorities, among others — will be reporting to this super organisation.
The RSA will be given Constitutional status through an Act of the Parliament.
Technology in Education
The policy dissects this topic into four broad areas:
1. Training of teachers in the use of educational technology, and use of educational
technology for professional development of teachers.
2. Classroom tools and curriculum, such as “computational training”, online course software
etc.
3. Access for those disadvantaged students who cannot attend a physical school.
Other suggestions
1. Public investment in higher education to be raised from the current 10% of overall public
expenditure in education to 20%, over a 10-year period.
128
5. The four- year integrated BEd. will, by 2030, become the minimal degree qualification for
schoolteachers. All pre-service teacher education programmes will be offered only in
multidisciplinary institutions.
6. First year or two of MBBS will be designed as a common period for all science graduates
after which they can take up MBBS, BDS, Nursing or other specialisations.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/simply-put-how-education-can-be-
flexible-national-education-policy-5774128/)
The Union Cabinet has approved the ratification of the Multilateral Convention to Implement
Tax Treaty Related Measures to Prevent Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (MLI)
Impact:
The Convention will modify India's treaties in order to curb revenue loss through treaty
abuse and base erosion and profit shifting strategies by ensuring that profits are taxed where
substantive economic activities generating the profits are carried out and where value is
created.
Details:
i. India has ratified the Multilateral Convention to Implement Tax Treaty Related Measures
to Prevent Base Erosion and Profit Shifting, which was signed by the Hon'ble Finance
Minister Sh. Arun Jaitley at Paris on 07/06/2017 on behalf of India.
ii. The Multilateral Convention is an outcome of the OECD / G20 Project to tackle Base
Erosion and Profit Shifting (the "BEPS Project") i.e., tax planning strategies that exploit gaps
and mismatches in tax rules to artificially shift profits to low or no-tax locations where there
is little or no economic activity, resulting in little or no tax being paid. The BEPS Project
identified 15 actions to address base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS) in a comprehensive
manner.
iii. The Convention enables all signatories, inter alia, to meet treaty-related minimum
standards that were agreed as part of the Final BEPS package, including the minimum
standard for the prevention of treaty abuse.
iv. The Convention will operate to modify tax treaties between two or more Parties to the
Convention. It will be applied alongside existing tax treaties, modifying their application in
order to implement the BEPS measures.
129
Background:
The Convention is one of the outcomes of the OECD/G20 project, of which India is a member,
to tackle base erosion and profit shifting. The Convention enables countries to implement
the tax treaty related changes to achieve anti-abuse BEPS outcomes through the multilateral
route without the need to bilaterally re-negotiate each such agreement which is burdensome
and time consuming.
(Source:http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1574095&RegID=3&LID=1)
107. Traffic Index 2018: How Mumbai congestion was measured at world high
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
A recent study has ranked Mumbai as the most traffic-congested city in the world for the
second straight year, and Delhi at fourth place. How was this determined, and what do the
findings say of traffic across the world?
The study
The findings are part of the Traffic Index 2018 published by TomTom, an Amsterdam-based
company that offers traffic solutions, uses location technology to collect traffic information,
and has been publishing city rankings for eight years. The latest index ranks 403 cities across
56 countries, including 13 new cities.
The measure
For this study, congestion has been defined in terms of the additional time taken to reach a
destination as opposed to when the road would have been clear of traffic. Mumbai’s 2018
congestion level of 65%, therefore, means that the extra travel time is 65% more than an
average trip would take during uncongested conditions. For Delhi, by the same yardstick, the
extra travel time is 58% more.
130
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/traffic-index-2018-how-mumbai-
congestion-was-measured-at-world-high-5772433/)
108. India to impose retaliatory tariffs on 29 U.S. goods from June 16 (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
India has decided to impose retaliatory tariffs on 29 goods imported from the U.S. from June
16 onwards. The tariffs will place a burden of $220-290 million on the U.S., about the same
amount imposed by Washington on India in 2018.
However, negotiations continued for about a year, with India repeatedly extending the
deadline for the imposition of retaliatory tariffs. These talks, as well as the ones surrounding
granting India duty-free imports for certain items under the U.S.’ Generalised System of
Preferences (GSP) seem to have fallen through.
131
Last year, the U.S. announced that it would be reviewing India’s eligibility for the GSP, and in
June this year, decided that it would withdraw the benefits.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/india-to-impose-retaliatory-
tariff-on-29-us-items-from-june-16/article27935160.ece)
109. How will Jet’s insolvency process play out? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
The story so far: Jet Airways, the troubled private airline that has failed to meet its huge debt
obligations, was admitted to the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT). This happened
after a consortium of lenders led by State Bank of India (SBI) that had lent money to the
airline over the years approached the NCLT to begin insolvency proceedings. Shares of the
airline soared more than 120% after news broke that the airline has been admitted by the
NCLT for bankruptcy proceedings.
In accordance with the procedures laid out under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016,
the court ordered an interim resolution professional to take control of Jet Airways. The
professional appointed by the court will now look at ways to salvage the most value out of
the airline so that the money can be used to pay back lenders.
132
competition put increasing pressure on airlines to either deliver better services to justify
their high prices, or cut costs to operate more efficiently as budget airlines. Jet, which was
unable to adapt to changing market conditions, suffered losses for many consecutive years.
The unpredictability of the price of oil in the global market also played a role in messing up
its cost calculations. In the first quarter of financial year 2018, Jet posted a loss of ₹1,323
crore.
Since that huge loss, its management has tried to pump additional money into the airline to
meet its operating costs and has also announced various aggressive measures to cut down
costs. But all this may have come a little too late. Lenders, seeing the writing on the wall, have
refused to keep throwing good money after bad just to keep the airline afloat. Kingfisher and
Sahara are two other private airlines which failed under the pressures of competition. Air
India, which is again burdened by a huge amount of debt like Jet, was another prominent
loser in the battle for market share. But unlike Air India, Jet does not have the government
to bail it out of its financial trouble.
The resolution professional in charge of Jet may thus want to keep the airline running as a
going concern so that it might fetch the best value for lenders in the long run. Potential
buyers may be interested in capitalising on the airline’s brand value and trying to re-launch
the carrier by infusing fresh capital. Buyer interest, however, will depend largely on the
amount of debt that lenders are willing to write off. The sale of Air India earlier this year
failed to attract any bids due to the airline’s heavy debt burden that the lenders were
unwilling to write off before the sale. If no buyer shows interest in purchasing Jet as a going
concern, the only option left may be to sell each of Jet’s assets individually. Jet will then cease
to exist as a company.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/how-will-jets-insolvency-
process-play-out/article28111635.ece)
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Kaleshwaram Lift Irrigation Project (KLIP), claimed as the world’s largest multi-stage and
multi-purpose lift irrigation scheme, was inaugurated.
The project is intended to irrigate over 37 lakh acres of land, providing drinking water to
Hyderabad and villages en route and supplying water for industrial needs by lifting 195 tmc
ft of water from the Godavari at 2 tmc ft a day during the flood season. By lifting one more
tmc ft water a day later, the government plans to bring another 8 lakh acres under irrigation.
Lift irrigation schemes must accomplish two main tasks: first, to carry water by means of
pumps or other way, from the water source to the main delivery chamber, which is situated
at the top most point in the command area. Second. they must distribute this water to the
field of the beneficiary farmers by means of a suitable and proper distribution. So that in Lift
Irrigation system, the gravity flow of water by canals or river is not available or used.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/mega-kaleshwaram-project-
becomes-operational/article28104425.ece)
111. What are Stalled Projects? How are they dealt? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
134
Stalled Projects
There is no prescribed criterion for classifying a project as a Stalled Project. The primary
focus of PMIC is on expediting the approvals for clearances from Central and State
Authorities for setting-up of projects. PMIC does not distinguish between a ‘stalled’ or an
‘under implementation’ Project in accepting a project for resolution of its issues.
PMIC has been monitoring the resolution of a variety of issues brought before it by the
Central Ministries/State Governments and project proponents. So far, out of 1,038 projects
considered by PMIC, issues in 615 projects have been resolved.
(Source:http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1575487&RegID=3&LID=1)
1. Central Sector Scheme of Scholarship for College and University Students (CSSS)
Under this scheme, scholarship is provided to the eligible meritorious students having family
income less than Rs. 8.0 lakh per annum, for pursuing higher studies. The amount of
scholarship is Rs. 10,000/- per annum for the first three years and Rs. 20,000/- per annum
for the fourth and fifth year.
2. Special Scholarship Scheme for Jammu & Kashmir (SSS for J&K)
Scholarship is provided to the eligible students from the State of Jammu & Kashmir, having
family income less than Rs. 8.0 lakh per annum, to pursue higher studies outside the State of
J&K. An amount to the tune of Rs. 1.30 lakh to Rs. 4.00 lakh per annum is provided.
135
Under the Vidyalaxmi Scheme, Interest subvention on the education loans for all students
admitted for undergraduate and the five year integrated degree programmes is provided.
For advancement of Economically Weaker Sections of the society, and as per the Constitution
103rdAmendment Act 2019, Government has issued orders providing 10 percent
reservation to EWS categories in admission to educational institutions. This reservation for
EWS categories would be provided without disturbing the existing entitlements for SC/ST
and OBC categories.
(Source:http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1575474&RegID=3&LID=1)
Further, the council increased the quantum of penalty that could be imposed by the authority
on profiteering companies, from the current maximum of ₹25,000 to an additional 10% of
the profiteered amount. Given that the government has increased the powers of the anti-
profiteering body, it would not be surprising if the body becomes a permanent feature under
GST.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/lacklustre-
meet/article28118982.ece)
114. Citing personal reasons, RBI Deputy Governor who disagreed quits six months
before term ends (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Confirming his resignation, the RBI said, “A few weeks ago, Acharya submitted a letter to the
RBI informing that due to unavoidable personal circumstances, he is unable to continue his
term as a Deputy Governor of the RBI beyond July 23, 2019.”
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Deputy Governor Viral V Acharya, a strong votary of the central
bank’s independence and seen as having differed with Governor Shaktikanta Das on the
inflation trajectory, growth prospects and policy rates, has resigned from his post, a little
over six months before his term was scheduled to end.
Acharya, 45, joined the RBI in January 2017 and was its youngest Deputy Governor, post
economic liberalisation, in charge of the monetary policy department. He had differed with
Governor Das on inflation issues and repo rate reduction in monetary policy reviews this
year. Acharya, who will be returning to New York University as CV Starr Professor of
Economics, was not expecting another term as he had supported former Governor Urjit Patel
in the RBI’s feud with the Centre on several issues in late 2018, said a top-level source.
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This is the second high profile resignation in the last six months at the RBI. In December
2018, Governor Patel had resigned nearly nine months before the end of his term over
differences with the government. The RBI is now left with three Deputy Governors N S
Viswanathan, B P Kanungo and M K Jain. And with Viswanathan’s term ending next month,
two Deputy Governor posts will be vacant.
On October 26, 2018, differences between the RBI and the government came out in the open
when Acharya, in a stinging criticism, reminded the government about the need for an
independent central bank, warning that “governments that do not respect central bank
independence will sooner or later incur the wrath of financial markets, ignite economic fire,
and come to rue the day they undermined an important regulatory institution”.
Acharya’s remarks came after the government reportedly issued directives to the central
bank under Section 7 of the RBI Act — a provision under which the government can give
directions to the RBI to take certain actions “in the public interest”.
Then RBI Governor Patel had differed with the government on several issues, including
transferring surplus to the government, more credit flow to small units, easing of curbs on
public sector banks and funding support to the NBFC sector.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/business/banking-and-finance/rbi-deputy-
governor-viral-acharya-economy-shaktikanta-das-5797983/)
115. Niti Aayog health index (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
137
The Index ranks the States and Union Territories based on 23 health-related indicators,
including neonatal mortality rate, under-five mortality rate, proportion of low birth weight
among new-borns, proportion of districts with functional Cardiac Care Units, full
immunisation coverage and proportion of specialist positions vacant at district hospitals.
The report added that among the eight Empowered Action Group States, only three States —
Rajasthan, Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh — showed improvement in the overall performance.
138
Among the UTs, Chandigarh jumped one spot to top the list with a score of (63.62), followed
by Dadra and Nagar Haveli (56.31), Lakshadweep (53.54), Puducherry (49.69), Delhi
(49.42), Andaman and Nicobar (45.36) and Daman and Diu (41.66).
Kerala, which got an overall score of 74.01, was followed by Andhra Pradesh (65.13),
Maharashtra (63.99), Gujarat (63.52) and Punjab (63.01), Himachal Pradesh (62.41), Jammu
and Kashmir 62.37, Karnataka (61.14) and Tamil Nadu (60.41).
Uttar Pradesh continued to be at the bottom of the list with its score falling to 28.61. Other
States at the bottom of the list were Bihar (32.11), Odisha (35.97) and Madhya Pradesh
(38.39).
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala-best-state-on-health-
parameters-up-worst/article28136791.ece)
116. RBI panel’s suggestions on the MSME sector (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains
Paper III; Economics)
1. It is imperative that the thrust of the enabling legislation — a 13-year-old law, the MSME
Development Act, 2006 — be changed to prioritise market facilitation and ease of doing
business.
2. Observing that many Indian start-ups that are at the forefront of innovation are drawn to
look overseas, given the conducive business environment and the availability of
infrastructure and exit policies, the experts suggest that a new law ought to address the
sector’s biggest bottlenecks, including access to credit and risk capital.
139
deepen credit markets for MSMEs in under-served regions by being a provider of comfort to
lenders including NBFCs and micro-finance institutions, but also become a market-maker for
SME debt.
4. With technology, especially digital platforms, having become so ubiquitous, the panel has
made a case for greater adoption of technology-facilitated solutions to a plethora of
problems encountered by the sector.
5. To address the bugbear of delayed payments, the mandatory uploading of invoices above
a specified amount to an information utility is a novel approach. The aim is to name and
shame buyers of goods and services from MSMEs to expedite settlements to suppliers.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/prudent-
prescription/article28191294.ece)
117. What is black money, and why is it to so difficult to quantify it? (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The story so far: The Standing Committee on Finance recently came out with its report on
the ‘status of unaccounted income and wealth both inside and outside the country’ in which,
after consulting three premier think-tanks and doing multiple analyses using various
methods, it came to the conclusion that there was no reliable way to quantify black money
whether in India or abroad.
The first category is the more obvious of the two. Money that is earned through illegal activity
is obviously not reported to the tax authorities, and so is black. The second category
comprises income from legal activity that is not reported to the tax authorities. Another
major source of black money is income earned by companies that is routed through shell
companies abroad, thereby evading tax authorities.
140
of black money include real estate, mining, pharmaceuticals, pan masala, the gutkha and
tobacco industry, bullion and commodity markets, the film industry, and educational
institutes and professionals.
The estimates of the black money in the system provided by the Standing Committee vary
from 7% of GDP to 120% of GDP, highlighting the wide variance in the methods of estimation.
Another method is the global indicator or input-based method. In this method, unaccounted
income is modelled using a single universal variable with which it is assumed to be highly
correlated, therefore these estimates are also called input-based estimates. Basically, the
estimated level of activity in these indicators is compared to the reported level of GDP to
arrive at an estimate of under-reporting.
One common input used in this method is the quantity of land freight transport. The idea is
that matching the actual amount of freight transported in the country to the reported amount
of economic activity in the related sectors could give an estimate of how much is not being
reported.
A third method to measure black money is a straightforward survey. This one, however,
requires voluntary information from people and businesses concealing their incomes and so
is prone to inaccuracies.
The Income Tax Department has also started monitoring non-filers of income tax returns
using third-party information to identify persons who have undertaken high value financial
transactions but not filed their returns.
141
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/what-is-black-money-and-why-
is-it-to-so-difficult-to-quantify-it/article28228853.ece)
118. ‘One nation one ration card’ scheme from July 1, 2020 (Relevant for GS Prelims &
Mains Paper III; Economics)
‘One Nation One Ration Card’ scheme, which will allow portability of food security benefits,
will be available across the country from July 1, 2020. This means poor migrant workers will
be able to buy subsidised rice and wheat from any ration shop in the country, so long as their
ration cards are linked to Aadhaar.
All the States have been given one more year to use point of sale (PoS) machines in the ration
shops and implement the scheme. Already, 77% % of the ration shops across the country
have PoS machines and more than 85% of people covered under the National Food Security
Act (NFSA) have their cards linked to Aadhaar, he said.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/centre-gives-1-year-deadline-to-
states-for-rolling-out-one-nation-one-ration-card/article28227599.ece)
119. New framework: on SEBI's norms for mutual fund investments (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
142
SEBI has also required that assets of mutual funds be valued on market value basis in order
to better reflect the value of their investments.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/new-
framework/article28236195.ece)
120. Govt cuts interest rate on small savings schemes by 0.1 pc (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The government reduced interest rate on small savings schemes, including NSC and PPF, by
0.1 per cent for the July-September quarter.
The move is aimed at matching the softening of interest rates in the banking sector since the
RBI cut its benchmark policy rate thrice during the year.
Barring interest on savings deposits, which has been retained at 4 per cent annually, rate on
all other schemes has been slashed by 0.1 per cent.
At present, interest rate on KVP is 7.7 per cent and maturity is 112 months.
The girl child savings scheme Sukanya Samriddhi Account will fetch a lower return of 8.4 per
cent from 8.5 per cent.
Term deposits of 1-3 years will fetch interest rate of 6.9 per cent, to be paid quarterly, while
the five-year quarterly pegged at 7.7 per cent and for recurring 7.2 per cent from existing
rate of 7.3 per cent.
Interest rate for the five-year Senior Citizens Savings Scheme will now fetch a lower rate of
interest at 8.6 per cent from 8.7 per cent.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/india/govt-cuts-interest-rate-on-small-
savings-schemes-by-0-1-pc-5805657/)
121. What does it mean for India to become a $5-trillion economy (Relevant for GS
Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
If India grows at 12% nominal growth (that is 8% real GDP growth and 4% inflation), then
from the 2018 level of $2.7 trillion, India would reach the 5.33 trillion mark in 2024.
143
It is now clear that the main goal of the second Modi government will be to make India a $5-
trillion economy by the end of this term. But what does it mean for India to become a $5-
trillion economy? How likely is India to achieve the target? Will every Indian gain from it?
In 2014, India’s GDP was $1.85 trillion. Today it is $2.7 trillion and India is the sixth-largest
economy in the world.
The first column of the table alongside provides a snapshot of where India stood as of 2018
according to World Bank. In terms of overall GDP, this data shows that India is very close to
overtaking the United Kingdom. It also shows that Indonesia’s GDP is almost one-third of
India’s.
144
No. That India is the sixth-largest economy does not necessarily imply that Indians are the
sixth-richest people on the planet. The GDP is the first and most rudimentary way to keep
score among economies. If one wants to better understand the wellbeing of the people in an
economy, one should look at GDP per capita. In other words, GDP divided by the total
population. This gives a better sense of how an average resident of an economy might be
fairing.
If one looks at the GDP per person data in the second column of the table, it reveals a very
different, and indeed a more accurate picture of the level of prosperity in the respective
economies. For instance, on average, a UK resident’s income was 21 times that of an average
Indian in 2018. This wide gap exists even though India’s overall GDP is very nearly the same
as UK’s. Similarly, on average, an Indonesian earns double that of an Indian even though
Indonesia’s overall economy is just one-third of India’s.
However, there’s a glitch. Last year, India grew by just 6.8%. This year, most observers expect
it to grow by just 7%. So India must keep growing at a rapid pace to attain this target.
How will GDP per capita change when India hits the $5-trillion mark?
If by 2024 India’s GDP is $5.33 trillion and India’s population is 1.43 billion (according to UN
population projection), India’s per capita GDP would be $3,727. While this would be
considerably more than what it is today, it will be lower than Indonesia’s GDP per capita in
2018.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-budget-2019-economy-
gdp-nirmala-sitharaman-5819352/)
122. Behind the decline in fiscal deficit (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
FM surprised all by announcing a marginal decline from 3.4% to 3.3%. How will it be
achieved? Will it affect the flow of funds between Centre and states? Will it come at the cost
of capital expenditure by PSUs?
But despite sluggish tax collections, Sitharaman has chosen to stick to the gilded path,
projecting to bring down the deficit to 3.3 per cent of GDP in 2019-20 (BE), from 3.4 per cent
in 2018-19 (RE).
How does the Centre plan to meet its fiscal deficit target?
At the aggregate level, the Centre expects its gross tax revenues to grow at 18.3 per cent in
FY20. Achieving this is a tall task. Tax collections grew by a mere 8.4 per cent in FY19.
145
Sluggish economic activity — the RBI has lowered its GDP growth projection for FY20 to 7
per cent from 7.4 per cent earlier.
Within the broad rubric of gross tax collections, direct tax collections are expected to grow
at roughly 18.6 per cent in FY20, up from 12.3 per cent the year before.
On the other hand, indirect tax collections have been budgeted to grow around 18 per cent
in FY20, up from roughly 4 per cent the previous year.
146
In this Budget too, the finance minister has raised the special additional excise duty and road
and infrastructure cess each by one rupee on a litre of petrol and diesel. As a result of this,
the states’ share in gross tax revenues (excluding GST compensation cess as that is meant to
compensate states) is expected to fall from 36.3 per cent in FY18 to 34.4 per cent in FY20.
To put this in perspective, the amount the Centre hopes to mop up through ceases and
surcharges is now greater than its entire allocation to centrally sponsored schemes or even
its total capital expenditure.
On the other hand, the Centre’s gross market borrowings are pegged at Rs 7.1 lakh crore in
FY20, up from Rs 5.71 lakh crore last year. But, as announced in the Budget, part of the
borrowings will be met by raising funds from abroad. This will bring down the level of public
sector borrowings in the domestic market, creating space for the private sector.
Even though the combined borrowings of the Centre and PSUs have risen as a percentage of
GDP, they are expected to decline to 4.9 per cent of GDP in FY20 from 5.2 per cent in FY19
(GDP estimates have been taken from the Budget).
147
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/fiscal-deficit-union-budget-2019-
highlights-nirmala-sitharaman-indian-economy-gdp-growth-5819920/)
123. Stocks crash on budget, global cues (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III;
Economics)
The government’s proposal to levy a surcharge on the high-income group coupled with the
tax on buyback and increase in public holding in listed entities dampened investor
sentiments, while the overall negative trend in emerging markets on account of a robust U.S.
jobs data lowering the prospect of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve further played
spoilsport.
148
Intraday low
The 30-share Sensex fell nearly 910 points during intraday trading to touch a low of
38,605.48 before marginally recouping some of the osses to close at 38,720.57, down 792.82
points or 2.01%.
The broader Nifty ended the day at 11,558.60, shedding 252.55 points or 2.14%. Further, the
India VIX index, which is looked upon as a barometer of near-term volatility, gained over 6%
on Monday.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/markets/stocks-crash-on-budget-global-
cues/article28323650.ece)
124. Cabinet approves the Banning of Unregulated Deposit Schemes Bill, 2019
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
The Union Cabinet has approved the banning of Unregulated Deposit Schemes Bill, 2019. It
will replace the banning of Unregulated Deposit Schemes Ordinance, 2019.
The banning of Unregulated Deposit Schemes Bill, 2019 will replace the Ordinance
promulgated on 21st February, 2019, which will otherwise cease to operate after six weeks
after reassembly of Parliament.
Impact
The Bill will help tackle the menace of illicit deposit taking activities in the country, which at
present are exploiting regulatory gaps and lack of strict administrative measures to dupe
poor and gullible people of their hard-earned savings.
Background
The banning of Unregulated Deposit Scheme Bill, 2018 was considered by the Lok Sabha in
its sitting held on 13th February, 2019 and after discussion, the same was passed, as
amended through the proposed official amendments, as the banning of Unregulated Deposit
Scheme Bill, 2019. However, before the same could be considered and passed in the Rajya
Sabha, the Rajya Sabha was adjourned sine die on the same day.
(Source: http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1578191&RegID=3&LID=1)
125. Cabinet approves Launch of Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana-lll (PMGSY-III)
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
In a major boost to rural road connectivity across the country, the Cabinet Committee on
Economic Affairs has given its approval for the launch of Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana-
lll (PMGSY-III). It involves consolidation of Through Routes and Major Rural Links
connecting habitations to Gramin Agricultural Markets (GrAMs), Higher Secondary Schools
and Hospitals.
149
Under the PMGSY-III Scheme, it is proposed to consolidate 1,25,000 Km road length in the
States.The Scheme will also include Through Routes and Major Rural Links that connect
habitations to Gramin Agricultural Markets (GrAMs), Higher Secondary Schools and
Hospitals.
Impact
• This would facilitate easy and faster movement to and from Gramin Agricultural Markets
(GrAMs), Higher Secondary Schools and Hospitals.
• Roads constructed under PMGSY would also be maintained properly.
Financial Implications
• It will entail an estimated cost of Rs 80,250 crore (Central Share-Rs. 53,800 crore, State
Share- Rs 26,450 crore).
• The funds would be shared in the ratio of 60:40 between the Centre and State for all States
except for 8 North Eastern and 3 Himalayan States (Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh &
Uttarakhand) for which it is 90:10.
Implementation
•Project period: 2019-20 to 2024-25.
• Selection of candidate roads based on the sum total of the marks obtained by particular
road on the basis of parameters of population served, market, educational and medical
facilities, etc.
• Construction of bridges upto 150 m in plain areas and 200 m in Himalayan and NE States
proposed, as against the existing provisions of 75 m and 100 m in plain areas and Himalayan
and NE States respectively.
• The States shall be asked to enter into a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) before
launching of PMGSY-III in the concerned State for providing adequate funds for maintenance
of roads constructed under PMGSY post 5-year construction maintenance period.
Background
PMGSY-III scheme was announced by the Finance Minister in Budget Speech for the year
2018-19.
The CCEA in its meeting held on 9th August, 2018 approved continuation of PMGSY-I & II
beyond 12th Five Year Plan and covering of balance eligible habitations under PMGSY-I by
March 2019, PMGSY-II, and habitations under identified LWE blocks (100-249 population)
by March 2020.
PMGSY-I
PMGSY was launched in December, 2000 with an objective to provide single all-weather road
connectivity to eligible unconnected habitation of designated population size (500+ in plain
areas and 250+ in North-East, hill, tribal and desert areas as per Census, 2001) for overall
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socio-economic development of the areas. 97% of the eligible and feasible habitations have
already been connected by all-weather road.
(Source:http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1578180&RegID=3&LID=1)
126. Why is India opting for overseas bonds? (Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper
III; Economics)
The government, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced in the Budget speech,
plans to raise a portion of its gross borrowing from overseas markets. The government and
the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will reportedly finalise the plans for the overseas issue of
sovereign bonds by September. While several commentators have argued that this is a risky
move, the government itself is convinced that it will help boost private investment in the
country.
According to Ms. Sitharaman, India’s sovereign external debt to GDP ratio is among the
lowest around the world, at less than 5%. Against this background, the government will start
raising a part of its gross borrowing programme in external markets in external currencies.
According to Finance Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg, government borrowing accounts for
about 80-85% of domestic savings. Therefore, borrowing overseas allows the government
to raise funds in such a way that there is enough domestic credit available for the private
sector.
151
several of these countries borrowed heavily overseas when the global market was flush with
liquidity. But then, when their currencies depreciated sharply a decade later, these countries
were in big trouble as they could not repay their debt.
Another risk to India from overseas borrowings is that this would lead to a quicker increase
to its foreign exchange reserves, which would lead to a stronger rupee at a time when it is
already appreciating against the dollar. This, many experts say, would be an adverse
outcome. A stronger rupee would encourage imports at a time when the government is
trying to curb them, and discourage exports at a time when they are being encouraged.
On the other hand, a rupee depreciation for whatever external reason would prove even
more disastrous as it would make it far more expensive for India to repay its external debt.
The third problem with an overseas bond issue is that the government would not be able to
inflate itself out of trouble. That is, in the domestic market, if the government does ever reach
the stage where it is finding it difficult to repay its debt, it can simply print more money, let
inflation rise quickly and repay its debt. This is not an option in an overseas bond issue. The
Indian government cannot print foreign currency to repay its debt.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/why-is-india-opting-for-
overseas-bonds/article28422380.ece)
127. Draft Model Tenancy Act: what govt proposes for house owners, tenants
(Relevant for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Last week, the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs (MHUA) released the draft Model
Tenancy Act, 2019, which aims to regulate rental housing by a market-oriented approach. Its
objective and features:
Why an Act
Pointing to the Census 2011 count of 1.1 crore houses lying vacant, an MHUA statement said
the Model Act would bring these into the rental market, and would promote the growth of
the rental housing segment: “The existing rent control laws are restricting the growth of
rental housing and discourage owners from renting out their vacant houses due to fear of
repossession. One of the potential measures to unlock the vacant house is to bringing
transparency and accountability in the existing system of renting of premises and to balance
the interests of both the property owner and tenant in a judicious manner.”
Broad outlook
The Model Act lays down the obligations of tenants and landlords, and provides for an
adjudication mechanism for disputes.
It is intended to be an Act “to balance the interests of owner and tenant by establishing
adjudicating mechanism for speedy dispute redressal and to establish Rent Court and Rent
Tribunal to hear appeals and for matters connected” to rental housing.
152
Its stated aim is to promote the creation of a rental housing stock for various income
segments including migrants, formal and informal sector workers, students, and working
professionals, mainly through private participation.
The Act mandates that no person will let or take any rental premises without an agreement
in writing, in both urban and rural areas. Within two months of executing such an agreement,
the land owner and tenant are required to intimate the Rent Authority, who will issue a
unique identification number to both parties. Agreements can be submitted through a
dedicated digital platform.
Repeal of rent control Acts has been a politically sensitive issue in the cities, especially in
South Mumbai, where old properties in prime locations have been occupied for decades by
residential and commercial tenants at negligible rents. The Model Act has been in the making
since 2015, but has been held up on this point. The new Act will be applicable only to fresh
tenancies. The draft has been circulated to all states, and they are expected to give their
suggestions by July 26.
153
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/draft-model-tenancy-act-what-
govt-proposes-for-house-owners-tenants-5829266/)
128. How to read the current fall in bond rates; where are yields headed? (Relevant
for GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
Yields of 10-year G-secs (or the 10-year government bonds) have been falling sharply and
almost continuously of late. At the end of trading sessions on July 16, these yields were
trading at a 30-month low.
If yields on government bonds (also called government securities or G-secs) are falling, it is
reflective of a downward movement in interest rates applicable for the broader economy as
well. For the average consumer then, the rate of interest that she will pay for say, a new car
this Diwali, will likely be lower than a year ago or indeed, the present.
Now suppose the face value of a 10-year G-sec is Rs 100, and its coupon payment is Rs 5.
Buyers of this bond will give the government Rs 100 (the face value); in return, the
government will pay them Rs 5 every year for the next 10 years, and will pay back their Rs
100 at the end of the tenure. In this instance, the bond’s yield or effective rate of interest is
5%. The yield is the investor’s reward for parting with Rs 100 today, but for staying without
it for 10 years.
But say, there was just one bond, and two buyers (people willing to lend to the government).
The actual selling price of the bond may in such a scenario go from Rs 100 to Rs 105 or Rs
110 because of the bidding war between the two buyers. Importantly, even if one buys the
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same bond at Rs 110, the coupon payment of Rs 5 will not change. Thus, as the price of the
bond increases from Rs 100 to Rs 110, the yield falls to 4.5%.
But what is the relation between G-sec yields and interest rate in the economy?
The way bond yields function implies that they are in close sync with the prevailing interest
rate in an economy. With reference to the above example, only if the interest rate in the
broader economy is 5% will the bond’s selling price be the same as the bond’s face value. If
there is any discrepancy, the market will ensure it is removed.
For instance, if the prevailing interest rate is 4% and the government announces a bond with
a yield of 5% (that is, a face value of Rs 100 and coupon of Rs 5) then a lot of people will rush
to buy such a bond to earn a higher interest rate. This increased demand will start pushing
up bond prices, even as the yields fall. This will carry on until the time the bond price reaches
Rs 125 — at that point, a Rs-5 coupon payment would be equivalent to a yield of 4%, the
same as in the rest of the economy.
This process of bringing yields in line with the prevailing interest rate in the economy works
in the reverse manner when interest rates are higher than the initially promised yields.
Moreover, the RBI is concerned about the low inflation and deceleration in economic growth,
and is expected to further cut interest rates in its forthcoming reviews. The falling bond
yields are, thus, pointing to where the interest rates are likely to be in the coming months.
(Source:https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/why-consumers-should-rejoice-at-
bond-yields-plummeting-5836310/)
Following the Union Cabinet’s in-principle nod in November 2018 to privatise six airports
owned by the Airports Authority of India (AAI), the PPPAC met on December 11 to
recommend the proposal for final approval.
155
The panel dismissed key suggestions made by the Finance Ministry’s Department of
Economic Affairs (DEA) and the NITI Aayog to improve criteria for selecting bidders.
These included the requirement of prior experience in operation and management (O&M) as
well as providing the total project cost up front for each of the airports, to better determine
the financial capability of interested players.
Tender floated
Three days later, on December 14, the AAI floated a tender for operation, management and
development under the PPP mode for the Lucknow, Ahmedabad, Jaipur, Guwahati,
Thiruvananthapuram and Mangaluru airports.
In February 2019, the AAI declared Adani Enterprises Limited the highest bidder for all six
airports. On July 3, the Union Cabinet gave its nod for leasing three of these airports, while
“a decision on the remaining three is awaited.”
In its note, the DEA noted unequivocally, “the six airport projects are highly capital intensive
projects, hence it is suggested to incorporate the clause that no more than two Airports will
be awarded to the same bidder duly factoring the high financial risk and performance issues.
Awarding them to different companies would also facilitate yardstick competition.
To buttress its point, the DEA cited that though GMR was the only qualified bidder for Delhi
and Mumbai, both the airports were not given to the same company.
In a separate note, the NITI Aayog highlighted the need to have players with prior Operation
and Management (O&M) experience. It referred to the Model Request for Qualification (RfQ)
that requires an applicant without O&M experience to either tie-up with an entity or engage
qualified personnel with the requisite experience.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/finance-ministry-niti-aayog-
guidelines-ignored-in-airport-privatisation/article28733682.ece)
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The inter-ministerial even recommended to draft a law that mandates a fine and
imprisonment of up to 10 years for the offences of mining, generating, holding, selling,
dealing in, transferring, disposing of, or issuing cryptocurrencies.
Global scenario
Governments and economic regulators across the world are wary of private
cryptocurrencies. As they need neither a central issuing authority nor a central validating
agency for transactions, these currencies can exist and thrive outside the realm of authority
and regulation. They are even deemed a threat to the official currency and monetary system.
Many countries, including Canada, Thailand, Russia and Japan, seem to be moving on the path
of regulation, so that transactions are within the purview of anti-money laundering and
prevention of terror laws.
China has gone for an outright ban. It is believed that India has taken adopted Chinese model
on cryptocurrencies.
(Source:https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/ban-or-
regulate/article28739549.ece)
131. Understanding cryptocurrencies: What’s to like, and what’s to fear (Relevant for
GS Prelims & Mains Paper III; Economics)
An inter-ministerial committee (IMC) that was set up to assess the viability of virtual
currencies has recommended that India should ban private cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.
The detailed report of the IMC was submitted on February 28 but it was made public only on
July 23. It is available on the Department of Economic Affairs’ website.
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Imagine a small group of school friends maintaining a list of transactions among themselves,
but with a twist: Instead of holding this list in one single computer or in the notebook of one
of the group members or authorising some outside authority (say, their class teacher) to
maintain (and update) the list, all of them decide to maintain a separate copy of the list in
their personal computers. Every time they transact, the rest of the members verify the
transaction and once it is verified by all, they update their list. Further, to make sure that
none of them changes records of the past transactions in their personal list, they decide to
place each transaction as a block, and to stack it one after the other in a sequence. This way,
no one can tweak the details of any past transactions because the overall sequence will not
match with sequences held by others. Lastly, to make sure that no other child from the school
gets to know the details, they devise a code (a cypher) for all their communications related
to the list.
Broadly speaking, this is how Distributed Ledger Technologies, and Blockchain, in particular,
function. DLT refers to technologies that involve the use of independent computers (also
referred to as nodes) to record, share, and synchronise transactions in their respective
electronic ledgers. Keeping such distributed ledgers obviates the need for keeping the data
centralised, as is done in a traditional ledger. All virtual currencies use DLT.
A transaction under DLT essentially refers to the transfer of “value” from one to another.
This “value” could be any record of ownership of assets — money, security, land titles — or
the record of specific information such as information about one’s identity or health
information, etc. That is why DLT has applications in several fields.
Blockchain is a specific kind of DLT that came to prominence after Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency
that used it, became popular. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin use codes to encrypt
transactions and stack them up in blocks, creating Blockchains. It is the use of codes that
differentiates cryptocurrencies from other virtual currencies.
However, the IMC has recommended a ban on “private” cryptocurrencies. In other words, it
is open to a cryptocurrency that the RBI may unveil. The IMC’s view is that it “would be
advisable to have an open mind regarding the introduction of an official digital currency in
India”. It noted that the RBI Act has the enabling provisions to permit the central government
to approve a “Central Bank Digital Currency” (CBDC) as legal tender in India.
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While it is true that the technology used in virtual currencies has immense potential, without
a central regulating authority, they can have numerous downsides. The IMC’s first concern
is that non-official virtual currencies can be used to defraud consumers, particularly
unsophisticated consumers or investors. The IMC gives the example of the Rs 2,000 crore
scam involving GainBitcoin in India where investors were duped by a Ponzi scheme.
Moreover, such currencies often experience tremendous volatility in their value. For
example, Bitcoin was selling at $20,000 per coin in December 2017 but in less than a year, it
was trading at $3,800 per coin. In a country where lakhs of traders get involved in such
currencies, this could have huge implications.
Second, scaling up such a currency system over a large population would require crippling
levels of energy resources. Currencies such as Bitcoin require humongous processing power.
According to a report by the Bank of International Settlement, Bitcoin processing already
uses as much energy as is used by Switzerland; it called this an environmental disaster.
Third, the IMC is worried that if private cryptocurrencies are allowed to function as legal
tender, the RBI would lose control over the monetary policy and financial stability, as it
would not be able to keep a tab on the money supply in the economy.
Fourth, the anonymity of private digital currencies make them vulnerable to money
laundering and use in terrorist financing activities while making law enforcement difficult.
Fifth, there is no grievance redressal mechanism in such a system, as all transactions are
irreversible.
It is for these broad reasons that the IMC singled out private cryptocurrencies for a ban.
(Source.https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/understanding-cryptocurrencies-
whats-to-like-and-whats-to-fear-5859083/)