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31
Leaders of NATO member countries watch a military aircraft flyover
55 Classified
during their summit meeting earlier this month. They also signed a plan
56 Contact Us to reverse defense cuts and meet alliance spending thresholds.
57 Aerospace Calendar
THE WORLD 24 Major 777X supplier Mitsubishi 32 Narrowing polls in Scottish inde-
8 Southwest Airlines updates its livery determined it won’t be responsible pendence referendum prompt
for first time since 2001 as part for sending the program off course concerns over U.K. defense
of a multifaceted brand campaign
26 Bombardier resumes CSeries light 52 U.S defense forces conduct
10 Expedition 40 returns to Earth from tests after a hiatus of more than classified exercises on how
ISS, with the next Soyuz mission 100 days following an engine failure to counter threats from UAVs
set to launch later this month
SPACE ROTORCRAFT
10 Obituary for Noel W. Hinners, a U.S. 27 Prototype U.S. 500,000-lb.-thrust 34 Airbus Helicopters restarting its
space scientist who helped explore replacement for Russia’s RD-180 product-line renewal, beginning
the Moon, Mars and beyond could be on test stand in 2.5 years with first prototype of the EC135
ON THE COVERS
This week Aviation Week publishes two editions. On the implications of the Scottish independence vote (page
cover of both, a Gulfstream 550 flies, in a photo by Robert 32), Dubai airport expansion (page 38), a replacement
M. Brown for Northrop Grumman, to test various radars for Russian rocket engines (page 27), the growth of
and battle management technologies that the company narrowbody aircraft (page 20), prospects for new
plans for its bid to replace Joint Stars aircraft. The U.S. Russian and Chinese bombers (page 47) and an inside
Air Force hopes to debut a business-jet-size replacement look at redesign work on the EC135 helicopter (page 34).
for the Boeing 707-300-based Joint Stars in 2022 (see Our Defense Technology International edition contains
page 42). Elsewhere in both editions are reports on the an additional section of articles.
BUSINESS
26 52 Russia-Ukraine conflict heightens
36 Safety upgrades could be on tap A&D concerns over titanium, and
after NTSB’s report on preventing there seems to be no relief in sight
crashes after unstable approaches
VIEWPOINT
38 In a major boost for Emirates, 58 There is no pilot shortage but will
Dubai plans to increase its 39 Turkish Airlines copes with rapid be one unless pay and benefits
airports’ capacity substantially passenger volume growth as it meet training and experience
grapples with airport constraints
AIRPOWER
42 USAF hopes to field the first four new
Joint Stars aircraft in fiscal 2022,
using 737 or G550 as the platform
On the Web
A roundup of what you’re reading on AviationWeek.com
Almost 43 years ago this week, Aviation Week featured a pilot report on the new McDonnell
Douglas DC-10. As Senior Editor Guy Norris writes, many readers had yet to see a widebody
transport close up, let alone fly in one, as the era of the “jumbo jet” was less than two years old.
Read Norris’s comments and the 1971 pilot report. (ow.ly/BnxAs). AviationWeek.com/100
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J
Aviation Week Intelligence Network
the Aruba Airport Authority, a of Cutter Aviation. Walker was at AviationWeek.com/awin For
Schiphol Group subsidiary that manager of aircraft services for information on ordering, telephone
manages Reina Beatrix International the McKinney/Addison facility U.S.: +1 (866) 857-0148 or
Airport. He succeeds Peter Stein- in Texas. Rowden was general +1 (515) 237-3682 outside the U.S.
metz, who has been named CEO of manager of the Colorado Springs
Stockholm Skavsta Airport. Fazio was location. vice president of the Customer
chief operations officer of JFKIAT, the Dan Webster has become Services Div. of Aircelle, Le
operator of Terminal 4 at New York managing director of Mel- Tracey Clough Havre, France. He was head of
John F. Kennedy International Airport bourne-based Elbit Systems of customer support and services
and also a Schiphol subsidiary. Australia. He succeeds Shlomo for AgustaWestland Helicop-
Neil Whiteman (see photos) has been Weizer, who has a new position ters.
named vice president/senior counsel at Elbit Systems. Webster was Milenko Krsmanovic has
for the New York-based FlightSafety vice president-programs and been named vice president-
Services Corp. He has been of counsel in had been director of services and sales for South Africa for
the Washington office of law firm Gibson, support for Thales Australia. U.K.-based Avtrade.
Dunn & Crutcher and has been associ- Eric Boelzner (see photo) Leda Chong has become
ate general counsel of Lockheed Martin has been named senior director Nick Hopkinson Beijing-based Asia-Pacific
Space Systems Co. Tracey Clough has for supply chain and produc- senior vice president for the
been promoted to director from manag- tion control for Jet Aviation St. Gulfstream Aerospace Corp.
er of international teammate resources Louis. He was senior manager She was head of the Asia-Pa-
for FlightSafety International. of cost control for the Dassault cific region for the aerospace
Chet Akiri has been appointed se- Falcon Jet Corp. facility in business group of parent com-
nior vice president/chief of corporate Little Rock, Arkansas. pany General Dynamics.
development for new ventures/strategy Sami T. Teittinen has been Thomas Curran has been
officer for the Houston-based Bristow appointed CEO of Fort Lau- Eric Boelzner
appointed senior vice presi-
Group. He was chief operating offcer for derdale, Florida-based Silver dent-business development
General Electric’s Global Nuclear Fuels Airways. He was CFO and succeeds and marketing of Stark Aerospace, Co-
America, Wilmington, North Carolina. Dave Pflieger, who has been named lumbus, Mississippi.
Paolo Lironi has become interim president/CEO of Hawaii Island Air. Charlotte R. Zilke has been named
CEO of New York-based SGI Aviation Jay Inman has become president director of conventions for the Alexan-
Services. He succeeds the late Wadick of the D3 Technologies subsidiary of dria, Virginia-based Helicopter Associa-
Chomyszyn. Lironi was executive St. Louis-based LMI Aerospace Inc. tion International. She was manager of
director. He succeeds Richard Johnson, who convention services.
Jim Sokol has been named president has retired. Inman was vice president
of MRO Services for Timco Aviation Ser- of D3 and had been Vought Aircraft’s HONORS AND ELECTIONS
vices, Greensboro, North Carolina. He project director for Bombardier and Janice Starzyk of International
was vice president-maintenance opera- Boeing programs. Launch Services has been named presi-
tions for Southwest Airlines. U.S. Army Maj. Gen. John F. Whar- dent of the Washington Space Business
Nick Hopkinson (see photo) has ton has been appointed commanding Roundtable. She succeeds Stephen Gan-
been appointed London-based director general of the Army Research, Devel- ote of Avascent. Other officers on the
of cyber strategy in the U.K. for the opment and Engineering Command, board of directors are Dave Jackson,
Northrop Grumman Corp. He was head Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland. vice president; Greg Harms of Space
of global internal cyber security for the He was commanding general of the Architectures, treasurer; Rob Scheige
Computer Sciences Corp. U.S. Army Sustainment Command, of Willis Inspace, secretary; Stephen
Dave Bibby has become vice presi- Rock Island Arsenal, Illinois. Ganote of Avascent, education chair-
dent-engineering of Aspen Avionics Inc., Andrew Arcuri has been named man; Patrick Boyle of Sage Commu-
Albuquerque, New Mexico. He was New York-based assistant manager of nications, program chairman; Richard
chief engineer for Honeywell Aero- the rapid response team for Duncan Parker of Assure Space, membership
space’s Flight Management Systems Aviation. He was a field service engi- chairman; and Nicole Robinson of SES
Center of Excellence. neer-senior technical support special- Government Solutions, Marketing Com-
Marc Esposito has been named vice ist for Honeywell Aerospace. mittee chair. Other board members are:
president-labor and values relations of Fred Graffam has become interim Jonathan Beland of Futron, Skot But-
JetBlue Airways. He was a partner in the CFO of DigitalGlobe, Longmont, Colo- ler of Intelsat General, Dennis Granato
Atlanta office of law firm Ford Harrison. rado. He succeeds Yancey L. Spruill, of Lockheed Martin, Tim Hughes of
Brian Walker has been appointed who has resigned. Graffam has been SpaceX, Corinne Kaplan of Airbus,
manager of customer experience for vice president-financial planning and Aaron Lewis of Arianespace, Sally
the service operation and Jessica analysis. Richardson of Orbital Sciences Corp.
Rowden general manager of the Albu- Richard Nevill has been appointed and Eric Spittle of SSL Federal. c
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES
get for the new program is to be defined
by the end of October, Putin says.
Meanwhile, the Ministry of Emer-
gency Relief and United Aircraft Corp.
(UAC) have agreed on a package deal to
reequip its aviation wing through 2025.
The ministry plans to purchase six mod- to make parts for its US-2 amphibious technology with a purportedly record
ernized, Ilyushin Il-76TD-90A transports aircraft in a bid to expedite a proposed agreement in favor of ViaSat. The Carls-
for delivery from 2016-25 to replace six sales deal with New Delhi and bolster bad, California, satellite and networking
basic Il-76TDs. The military ordered Tokyo’s own domestic defense indus- systems provider said earlier this month
39 Il-76MD-90As under the current rear- try. During a recent summit meeting it will settle its claims in two lawsuits in
mament program and, according to the between Indian Prime Minister Naren- exchange for $100 million, plus interest,
UAC’s CEO, Mikhail Pogosyan, the first dra Modi and Japanese Prime Minister to be paid through 2016. “We believe
will be delivered to the air force this year. Shinzo Abe, the two leaders directed this settlement is the largest ever in a
The ministry’s package includes or- a joint working group to prepare a commercial satellite communications
ders for 10 Sukhoi Superjet 100 regional road map for “development of the intellectual property matter,” said Rick
jets in a multirole configuration, combin- Indian aircraft industry” that would Baldridge, president and COO of ViaSat.
ing airborne command post and medical include the transfer of the US-2 and its According to Loral Space, payments to
evacuation modules. These SSJ100s will technology to India. Japan and India ViaSat will be split equally by Loral and
also be equipped with dosimeters and have been discussing a possible sale of SS/L initially, and then be negotiated
thermal viewers to perform radiation- US-2 short-takeoff-and-landing patrol between the latter two. Loral and SS/L
monitoring missions. To extend their aircraft, manufactured by ShinMaywa have agreed to start arbitration in Octo-
mission range, the SSJ100s will have Industries, for air-sea rescue missions. ber. ViaSat would receive $40 million up
additional fuel tanks, an option that front, and future payments of $60 mil-
had been proposed only for the Sukhoi U.K. Secures Second Carrier lion over 2.5 years with interest. In turn,
Business Jet. Delivery of two SSJ100s is The U.K. has decided to retain its second SS/L said, ViaSat agreed that SS/L and
expected in 2015. The other eight will be Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carrier, its customers will be free from any law-
purchased through 2025. HMS Prince of Wales, reversing plans to suits with respect to SS/L’s future use of
The ministry also plans to procure mothball it, made in 2010. The decision, 10 patents-in-suit, certain other patents
10 modernized Beriev Be-200 amphib- which had been expected in the next and patent applications, and breach of
ians by 2025. It currently operates six Strategic Defense and Security Review, certain contracts that were the subject
Be-200Chs for search-and-rescue and in 2015, was announced by Prime Min- of the suit, according to Loral Space. The
firefighting missions with six more on ister David Cameron at the end of the settlement also releases Loral, SS/L and
order. According to Pogosyan, the min- NATO summit in Newport, Wales. Work their customers from all claims for pat-
istry wants modernized Be-200 avionics on the ship is underway at the Rosyth ent infringement and breach of contract
and upgraded airframes and engines. naval dockyard near Edinburgh. brought in the two lawsuits.
This may mean selection of a new
powerplant, as the Be-200 is equipped BUSINESS Alcoa, Boeing Make History
with D-436TP turbofans assembled by Alcoa and Boeing have announced their
Ukraine’s Motor Sich. Record Satellite Settlement largest supply contract in their 35-year
ViaSat Communications, Space Sys- history of working together. Details were
Japan OKs US-2 Tech Transfer tems/Loral (SS/L) and Loral Space & not immediately provided, but Alcoa
After ending a decades-long arms em- Communications have settled a 2.5- said Sept. 11 that the “multi-year” deal
bargo, Japan has agreed to allow India year legal dispute over satellite design is “valued at more than $1 billion.” Alcoa
”
Captain Pu Ming
VP of Operations
Hainan Airlines
www.newairplane.com/787/dreamliner-effect
The World
NASA/BILL INGALLS
said the deal makes it the sole supplier Back on the Ground
to Boeing for wing skins on all of its Cosmonaut Oleg Artemyev gets
metallic-structure airplanes. “Alcoa plate his first look at solid ground
products, used in applications such as after 169 days orbiting Earth on
wing ribs, wing skins or other struc- the International Space Station
tural parts of the aircraft, will also be (ISS). Flight engineer Artemyev,
on every Boeing platform, including the Expedition 40 Commander Steve
787 Dreamliner.” The deal further sets a Swanson of NASA and Alexander
“foundation” for more collaboration on Skvortsov of Russian Federal
new, high-strength and corrosion-resis- Space Agency Roscosmos, also
tant alloys, including aluminum-lithium a flight engineer, landed safely
that could be used for complex struc- in Kazakhstan Sept. 11 in their
tural applications, according to Alcoa. Soyuz TMA-12M capsule.
The agreement comes after Alcoa’s $2.85 All three men appeared weary but in good spirits as they were assisted from their cap-
billion deal to buy the parent company sule for initial medical checks. With Swanson’s return, command of the ISS, normally staffed
of Firth Rixson, a leading provider of by a six-person crew, shifted to Russian Maxim Suraev, who leads the new Expedition 41.
rings and forgings for aircraft engines. NASA’s Reid Wiseman and European Space Agency astronaut Alexander Gerst round out the
Alcoa described the acquisition, which is remaining crew, continuing a 5-6-month stay aboard the ISS that started in late May. They
expected to close this year, as a major ac- are scheduled to be joined on Sept. 25 by three new crewmembers arriving on the Soyuz
celeration in its company’s transforma- TMA-14M spacecraft: NASA’s Barry “Butch” Wilmore and cosmonauts Alexander Samou-
tion, expanding Firth Rixson’s product kutyaev and Elena Serova. A flight test engineer, Serova would become the first Russian
suite in the growing jet engine sector. woman to live and work aboard the space station and the first to fly in orbit since cosmo-
naut Elena Kondakova participated in a nine-day May 1997 NASA space shuttle mission.
ROTORCRAFT NASA declined comment on what it termed “speculative press reports” that Russia may
shift crew training for Soyuz water landings back to a naval base at Sevastopol as a way to
First S-92 Accepted in SAR Deal force its station partners—who must use Soyuz to reach the ISS—to acknowledge annexa-
Helicopter operator Bristow has ac- tion of the Crimean Peninsula from Ukraine. “Russia has maintained strong support for the
cepted the first of 11 Sikorsky S-92 International Space Station, and we expect that will continue into the future,” the U.S. agency
helicopters to be used on an 11-year U.K. states, noting that it is “focused on returning human spaceflight launches to America.”
government search-and-rescue contract.
The Long SAR contract will begin in
April 2015 and will see Bristow operate Phase 1 testing that will begin this fall. 2014 to support the fuel testing, and has
22 helicopters, 11 S-92s and 11 Agus- Two fuels from Swift Fuels, one from indicated plans to match that in fiscal
taWestland AW189s from 10 bases at Shell and another from a consortium of 2015. FAA has set a goal of transitioning
civilian airports and airfields. They will BP, Total and Hjelmco, were selected to an unleaded replacement by 2018.
replace the Sea King helicopters flown from 10 proposals for the first phase. The agency estimates that 167,000
by the Royal Air Force and Royal Navy. Suppliers are to submit 100 gal. of their general aviation aircraft in the U.S. rely
candidate fuels for initial testing. FAA on avgas. It is the sole transportation
BUSINESS AVIATION then plans to narrow the candidates to fuel in the U.S. that contains lead and
one or two fuels that would take part in has become a target of environmental
Stepping Toward Unleaded Phase 2 testing on engines and air- groups that have filed petitions with
FAA is taking the next step toward craft. Providers of those fuels would be the federal Environmental Protection
approving an unleaded replacement for asked to submit 10,000 gal. for testing. Agency and lawsuits to speed up the
aviation gasoline, selecting four fuels for Congress set aside $6 million in fiscal transition to unleaded fuel.
Contributing columnist
Byron Callan is a director
at Capital Alpha Partners in
Washington.
All paid subscribers will receive expanded content sections in digital format. Selected subscribers will also receive either the MRO or Defense Technology section insert in their printed copy of AW&ST.
Inside Business Aviation By William Garvey
Business & Commercial
Aviation Editor-in-Chief
William Garvey blogs at:
AviationWeek.com
william.garvey@aviationweek.com
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The U.S. Defense Department continues to seek balance between cost “This event was
and investment, between dominance and good-enough, and between extremely stimulating
defending against non-government threats and world powers.
Moderator: Tom Captain, Vice Chairman, Deloitte, LLP and covered ‘tough’
Alan F. Estevez Principal Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for areas that you won’t
Acquisition, Technology and Logistics
find covered anywhere
9:15 a.m. +3ƫďƫ$0ƫ% ƫ+1ƫ
1/0ƫ!.ĕ else. The amount of
Our panel of analysis experts returns again this year to provide their
perspectives on strategy, innovation, in-side thinking and Wall Street. commonality across
Byron Callan, Director, Capital Alpha Partners the industry was
Pierre Chao, Managing Director/Co-Founder, Renaissance Strategic
Advisors striking.”
Steven Grundman, George Lund Fellow, Atlantic Council
Kenneth J. Krieg, former Undersecretary of Defense/AT&L and — Michelle Munk,
Founder, Samford Global
10:15 a.m.
Technology
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Development Mgr.,
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Members of the A&D community responsible for identifying and sourc-
NASA-Langley
ing the materials, services, and components of the future increasingly
are using data analytics to assess the health of the supply chain/value
stream – and get an early read on supplier quality, performance and
risk.
Dana Hullinger, Director Supply Chain Strategy, Intelligence &
Analytics, Boeing Defense Space & Security
Lisa Kohl, Sector VP Global Supply Chain, Northrop Grumman
Aerospace Systems
Dan Pleshko, VP Aeronautics Quality Transformation, Lockheed Martin
Corp.
11:30 a.m. ĒĚ/ƫ101.!ƫ! !./ƫ,!'ƫ10
Aerospace and defense leaders across the industry are carefully
balancing the need to cut costs and the need to preserve opportuni- ƫĂĀāăƫ
ties for today’s young professionals. After hearing from our industry
experts and leaders, this session will provide the perspectives of four
young professionals — where they see opportunity, challenges ...and
concerns.
Michael Bruno, Sr. Business/Supply Chain Editor, Aviation Week
12:15 p.m. 1*$ƫģƫMohave Ballroom
Sponsored by AZ Commerce Authority
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Earned Value Management has never been associated with agility or
speed, but in this session we’ll see how industry program managers are
using EVM as a strategic tool, to include leading indicators and early
visibility to guide industry investment.
Moderator: Dan Rice, VP Technical Operations, Lockheed Martin
Information Systems & Global Solutions.
Colin Dorsett, Director - Orion Program, Honeywell Space Systems
Scott Pfeiler, Director, Aftermarket Programs, 767 Large Display System
(LDS) Retrofit, Rockwell Collins Program Excellence
Brad Shaw, PM Phantom Eye, Boeing Phantom Works Preview: What’s In/
Ken Hunt, Deputy PM, J-2X Engine Program, Aerojet Rocketdyne What’s Out in Program
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Program executives from across the industry agree on one thing —
integrating the supply chain into the daily rhythm of the program and
its efforts to cut and avoid costs remains one of the top three issues.
Three program leaders, recognized as part of the Aviation Week Pro- Tap to listen
gram Excellence Awards initiative, will share what they are doing to
make this a foundational capability, not an issue.
Moderator: Rob Kolosieke, Director Programs, Northrop Grumman
Electronic Systems
Steve Parker, VP Cargo Helicopters, Boeing Defense, Space & Security
Gary Kushner, PM, Interface Region imaging Spectrograph (IRIS),
Lockheed Martin
Larry Thimmesch, VP 525 Program, Bell Helicopter
3:00 p.m. * ƫ+"ƫ5
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new demand signals to preserving investment in the future. Defense Companies
David Koopersmith, VP/GM Vertical Lift Programs, Boeing Defense Space !//!//ƫ+.0"+(%+/ƫ
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Sneak-Peek: What to expect from the
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for the 2014 Aviation Week Program Reception and Banquet on
Excellence Awards. Tap to listen $1./ 5Čƫ+2!)!.ƫĂĀƫ0+ƫüƫ* ƫ
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In Orbit By Frank Morring, Jr.
Senior Editor Frank
Morring, Jr., blogs at:
AviationWeek.com/onspace
morring@aviationweek.com
NASA/DAVID D. BOWMAN
Cold War military planners figured monitoring of clouds, it will also be able
out that robotic spacecraft could to track ash from volcanic eruptions,
deliver more imagery, thereby stretch- such as the one in Iceland that forced
ing funding dollars. Now scientists are cancellation of almost 10,000 airline
finding that the massive multipurpose flights in 2010 to circumvent possible
ISS has a little something for everyone, engine damage from mineral particles.
including oceanographers, climatolo- Also in the queue for spots on the
gists and meteorologists, and at lower ISS exterior are the Stratospheric
cost than custom-built birds. Aerosol and Gas Experiment III, or
Barring the usual delays, a SpaceX SAGE III (see photo), set for launch in
Dragon capsule is slated to deliver the 2016, and the Lightning Imaging Sensor
first in a series of Earth-observation scheduled for a flight in 2017. NASA has
instruments to the station later this chosen two more instruments for devel-
month. With the clock ticking on the ISS-RapidScat’s 560-mi. swath and opment and installation on the ISS to
$100 billion facility’s limited lifetime, 240-mi. orbital altitude will permit daily measure global-vegetation factors. The
NASA and its partners continue to observations of more than 90% of the Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investiga-
seek and find applications that were not Earth when fused with the scattero- tion (GEDI) is being designed to mea-
necessarily under consideration when meter data from polar orbiters, says sure carbon content in the Earth’s for-
ISS assembly began. Ernesto Rodriguez of the Jet Propul- ests, and the ECOsystem Spaceborne
When it flies, the Dragon’s unpres- sion Laboratory, project scientist on Thermal Radiometer Experiment on
surized “trunk” will include ISS- the instrument. That will allow more Space Station (Ecostress) will advance
RapidScat—the latest in a series of complete long-term measurements of Landsat measurements of water stress
space-based scatterometers designed to the synergy between ocean winds and on vegetation.
measure wind direction and speed over climate change and short-term moni- Volz says the ISS is a relatively low-
the world’s oceans. Because the ISS flies toring of hurricanes and other tropi- cost way to monitor Earth-observation
at a lower-altitude, lower-inclination cal cyclones that could lead to better instruments in space, but notes that
orbit, the new instrument will give landfall warnings, he says. “there are no specific plans” to use
scientists and weather forecasters a Also on the Dragon will be a JPL- lessons learned there to develop more-
more complete and timely view of ocean developed “nadir adapter” to keep the capable free-flying scientific satellites.
winds when its data are combined with instrument’s rotating radar antenna “The measurement techniques that
that of other spacecraft. pointing downward, even though it will will be demonstrated by CATS, or by
“The precessing orbit [and] the be mounted on the European Columbus GEDI, or Ecostress are highly desir-
51-deg. inclination of the ISS [provide] module’s sideways-looking External able measurements that we hope will
different solar-viewing angles of the Payload Facility SDX. be providing critical information for
same phenomena we’re observing with Robotics operators at Mission us. They’re very similar to some of the
the polar satellites,” says Steve Volz, Control Center-Houston will use the measurement concepts that have been
associate director for flight programs station’s Canadian-built Canadarm2 in work in our decadal surveys and our
at NASA’s Earth Science Div. “That and its Special Purpose Dexterous other strategic science surveys. . . .
really allows them to look at the same Manipulator (Dextre) to retrieve and Successful demonstration by any or all
phenomena at different perspectives, install the two pieces of hardware. of these instruments would certainly
angles and times of day, which gives Melanie Miller, the lead SpaceX-4 ro- influence our decisions on how to go
a much more complete picture of the botics officer at Johnson Space Center, about getting the longer-term mea-
environment we’re trying to measure.” says it will be the second time Dextre surements.” c
Managing Editor-Defense,
Space & Security Jen DiMascio blogs
at: AviationWeek.com/ares
jennifer.dimascio@aviationweek.com
MTU – Maintaining
your power
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Sweet Spot
Launch of higher-density variants
underlies inexorable narrowbody growth trend
Guy Norris Los Angeles and Jens Flottau Frankfurt
The charge is led by the low-cost moves to offer higher-capacity variants of the MAX 7 and the A319neo.
carriers (LLC) where high-density are a clear sign that other sweet spots Airbus believes average capacity
seating is as much a part of the busi- are out there for the taking. of single-aisle aircraft will rise to 151
ness model as reduced operating costs Market forecasts support the two seats from 129 over the next 30 years.
and lower fares. Now, with the LLC manufacturers’ line of reasoning. As Twenty percent of narrowbodies will
sector promising to make up more data in the June edition of the Airline be in the 210-seat category, Airbus
than one-third of the future single-aisle Monitor show, Airbus has delivered 877 predicts, and another 23% will have
market, both Airbus and Boeing are A321s since the start of the program around 175 seats.
taking notice. The result is a growing and until 2013. That compares to 3,544 The trend to boost passenger ca-
number of higher-capacity models on A320s since entry into service of what pacity has been observed in many seg-
offer or in development, and the pro- has historically been the core of the ments of the market; 50-seaters are on
gressive increase in average seat count A320 family (and 1,395 A319s). The the way out in regional air transport,
across the range. latest Airline Monitor forecast predicts soon to be followed by 70-seaters. The
Ryanair’s $11 billion launch of Boe- that until 2035, Airbus will build 425 latest generation of what were formerly
ing’s high-density seating 737 MAX A319neos, 7,225 A320neos and 3,225 defined as regional jets, Embraer’s E-2
200 and Airbus’s recent decision to A321neos. The share of the largest family, starts at almost 90 seats and the
offer increased capacity versions of variant will therefore increase from manufacturer will stop building the Em-
the A320neo and A321neo are in the around 15% to almost 30%. Airbus is braer 170. Airlines are pushing ATR to
phalanx of this upward movement. expanding its capacity to produce up develop a new turboprop with 90 seats.
The market is speaking, and having to 19 A321s per month, almost half of Bombardier is offering its CSeries with
seen the A319neo take only 2% of the the total rate for the A320 family. up to 160 seats in an effort to capture
total neo backlog of 3,257 firm orders The picture is even more dramatic part of the low-fare airline market.
so far, and the 737-7 take exactly the for Boeing. The 737-900 accounted for Interestingly, the trend to upsiz-
same percentage of the MAX’s order only 5.9% of all next-generation deliv- ing has not yet been observed to the
tally, the two manufacturers are an- eries (the type was only introduced same extent in the widebody sector
swering. However, while the order- in 2001). But the share of the MAX where Boeing has introduced the rela-
books confirm that the “sweet spot” 9 could rise nearly fivefold to almost tively small 787-8. However, a double–
has so far been firmly in the current 30% if current predictions are right. stretch version of the aircraft has been
A320neo and 737-8 seat ranges, the The shift comes mainly at the expense launched and the two 777X versions
seat A321neo takes Airbus into a new airline in Europe by a considerable dis- of around 1% compared to the standard
niche where Boeing cannot follow. tance, it may hasten an era of a new 737-8, the MAX 200 “will have 5% better
Or can it? While recent attention price war in Europe which, like other operating costs,” says Boeing. c
has been focused on the launch of the
MAX 200 and the go-ahead of the larger
A321neo, Boeing has quietly developed
a higher-capacity version of the 737-
900ER which could provide a jumping-
off point for future growth options for
Jumbos Bow Out
the similarly-sized 737-9. The devel-
opment will enable operators to take
Boeing 747s face shrinking role
advantage of the full 220-seat capacity on transpacific routes
to which the aircraft is officially exit-
limited, and adds five additional seats Adrian Schofield Auckland Madhu Unnikrishnan San Francisco
to the current highest density, single- and Sean Broderick Washington
class offering.
“The 220-seat count for the 900ER he long reign of the Boeing 747- has recently been accelerating. At least
requires activation of a mid-cabin
exit door,” says Boeing. “A revision
to reinforce the floor beams to allow
T 400 on intercontinental routes is
coming to an end, and nowhere
is this more apparent than on trans-
three airlines—Cathay Pacific Airways,
Philippine Airlines and Air New Zea-
land—have retired the last of their pas-
activation of the mid-cabin exit door pacific flights. While Delta Air Lines senger 747s during the past few weeks.
was certified in July 2014,” it adds. is culling 747s from its Asian routes as Delta is planning to retire three of
The development, which is scheduled part of a network overhaul, other car- its 16 747s by the end of this month,
for first delivery to UT Air at the end riers around the Pacific Rim are phas- with a fourth to be parked. The cuts al-
of the year, can potentially “roll to ing out the aircraft entirely. low it to “down-gauge” routes between
the MAX,” says Boeing business op- The 747 is steadily being pushed out North American and Asian cities to
erations director, Elizabeth Schryer. of long-haul passenger fleets in favor of smaller widebodies such as Boeing
Commenting recently on 737 develop- newer, more fuel-efficient aircraft. The 777s, and the move is also linked to a
ments, Schryer says: “On the -900ER trend has been evident for years, but broader rethink of its Asian strategy.
“The 747 is a tough airplane [to op- from its growing transpacific gate- Air New Zealand, meanwhile, flew
erate], with its four engines and its way at Seattle-Tacoma International its last 747 flight on Sept. 10, on its San
large gauge,” Delta Chief Financial Of- Airport. “We will leverage the Seattle Francisco-Auckland route. The carrier
ficer Paul Jacobson told investors at a gateway, but with more efficient air- at one time had eight 747-400s, but had
recent Cowen & Co. conference. The craft than the 747,” Jacobson says. more recently reduced the fleet to two
carrier gained the 747s after its merger Delta currently operates 10 daily wide- aircraft. The second-to-last 747 exited
with Northwest Airlines in 2009. body flights to Asia from Seattle. Using the fleet in July. Air New Zealand now
The introduction of smaller aircraft this airport allows the carrier to fly to flies 777-300ERs in its North American
will allow Delta to reduce capacity on more nonstop destinations in Asia with markets.
its Japanese network while still main- smaller aircraft, including the Boeing Some carriers will continue to use
taining frequencies. Flights from At- 767, than is possible from most other 747s on transpacific routes. While Qan-
lanta and Los Angeles to Tokyo Narita parts of the West Coast. tas is accelerating retirement of its old-
Airport will be downgauged from 747s Many international airlines have er 747s, it will still be using this model
to 777s around the end of September, already phased out the 747 from their on flights to the U.S. “for the foreseeable
and the same swap will occur on its passenger fleets, including the two ma- future,” an airline spokesman says.
New York John F. Kennedy Interna- jor Japanese carriers. Japan Airlines Qantas currently operates 13 747s,
tional -Narita route in late October. retired its remaining 747 fleet in 2011 and has plans to phase out four by early
Airbus A330s will also replace 747s on as part of its cost-cutting and restruc- 2016 as part of a broader cost-cutting
flights from Detroit to Nagoya toward turing effort, and All Nippon Airways program. The carrier says the remain-
JOEPRIESAVIATION.NET
the end of next month. phased out its last 747—used on domes- der are “mid-life” aircraft that have
Delta’s strategy is to shift its Asian tic routes—in March. been refurbished with the same cabin
route network away from its depen- Other carriers are following suit. Ca- product as its Airbus A380 fleet. The
dence on “fifth-freedom” flights—the thay Pacific operated the final flight of older aircraft being retired are primar-
right of an international airline to its sole remaining 747-400 on Aug. 31, ily serving Asian destinations.
pick up and deliver at intermediate on its San Francisco-Hong Kong route. Unlike its rival Delta, United Air-
points along a route—beyond its hub All of the flights on the carrier’s seven lines does not plan to retire any of
at Narita, which it inherited from North American routes are now oper- its 23 747s this year. However, it has
Northwest. As part of this plan, Delta ated by Boeing 777-300ERs. Cathay been shuffling the aircraft around its
will cut back on flights from Narita to does have new 747-8 freighters in its network. The carrier primarily based
beach destinations in Asia by 17% and cargo fleet. the 747s in San Francisco for sched-
pare its intra-Asia schedule by 10%, Philippine Airlines (PAL) retired its uling purposes while it worked on the
Jacobson says. last 747-400 on Sept. 1. The carrier had aircraft to improve their maintenance
The Narita fifth-freedom hub, once a been using them for its flights to Los reliability. After the conclusion of these
prize fought over by U.S. carriers, has Angeles and San Francisco, and due efforts earlier this year, it deployed the
lost its luster recently as the Japanese to the FAA’s downgrade of Philippine’s 747s back onto routes such as Chicago
economy has cooled, and as changes in safety rating it could not change aircraft to Shanghai, Tokyo and Frankfurt.
aircraft technology make it possible to type on these routes. The FAA restored In a strategy similar to Delta’s,
fly nonstop to most points in Asia di- the safety rating in April, enabling PAL United executives say the airline is “re-
rectly from the U.S. However, the To- to begin phasing out its 747s in May. structuring our Asia flying to leverage
kyo catchment area remains one of the The carrier has replaced the 747s our West Coast hubs,” meaning more
world’s largest—and most affluent— on these routes with 777-300ERs. It direct flights from the West Coast to
population centers, so its value as an expects to save as much as $120 mil- secondary Asian markets. It has re-
origin and destination market remains lion a year in fuel and maintenance by cently introduced routes from San
undiminished. using the 777s instead of 747s on its 18 Francisco to Taipei and Chengdu, us-
Instead, Delta will build its network weekly flights to the U.S. ing 787s and 777-200s, respectively. c
CELEBRATING
A NEW WORLD
OF INNOVATION
Raytheon congratulates this year’s Twenty20s honorees
for their outstanding academic and civic achievements.
Your commitment, passion and talent are undeniable —
and as tomorrow’s innovators, the future
of our world is in your hands.
“Blue Marble” image of Earth captured by Raytheon’s Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite.
Raytheon.com
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COMMERCIAL PROGRAMS
says there may be a direct saving in machine is likely, it can schedule pro- to Hiroshima is cheaper than shipping
cost, but the main aim is to avoid hold- duction and maintenance to avoid the completed parts there from Nagoya.
ups; such a method will minimize the occurrence. In another refinement, au- Over the past year or so, MHI has
chance that a batch of parts is made tomatic production scheduling may be been reorganizing its supplier arrange-
and later discovered to be faulty. more efficient than traditional manual ments. Previously, it contracted suppli-
Boeing’s changes in the design of the methods of dealing with unexpected ers to perform work on parts succes-
777X from the 777 will also require new problems, such as the discovery that sively. In a typical case, it might send
methods, but MHI declines to discuss a batch of parts needs reworking. raw materials to one supplier and
this. It is also tight-lipped on possible Minimizing risk was the main reason then receive and inspect the resulting
further refinements to its production for the company’s decision, now being product. Then the part would be sent
processes, although Tatsumi says it has implemented, to consolidate 777 and to another supplier for more work, re-
ideas. And it will not disclose the scale 767 production at Hiroshima. MHI’s ceived and inspected again, then sent
of its proposed investment for the 777X. Nagoya works has been making string- to a third supplier, and so on.
The company would like to set up a ers and frames for the fuselage panels Now the company is adopting the hi-
design-build team for its parts of the that are assembled in Hiroshima, but erarchy of suppliers that is more com-
aircraft. Production engineers would the latter plant is now taking over the mon in the global industry: As a first-
go to the U.S. and work alongside Boe- detail manufacturing, including surface tier supplier, it contracts a second-tier
ing design engineers, with the objec- treatment and painting, which has re- supplier for the final part it needs; that
tive of refining the detail design of the cently been further automated. supplier contracts third-tier compa-
aircraft for efficient production. Tatsumi says production can be nies for its inputs. This saves the cost
At the moment, Tatsumi and his more closely coordinated if it is all of unnecessary transportation and in-
team are intensely studying produc- done on one site, and there is less spection by MHI. The change has been
tion health monitoring. If the compa- risk of disruption by, for example, a applied across the civil aeronautics
ny can predict when a breakdown of a typhoon. Also, sending raw materials business and will benefit 777X costs. c
Uphill Struggle
Graham Warwick Washington
test aircraft, FTV5, expected to make craft in 2019, arguing the backlog of 203
its first flight by year-end. firm orders does not support company
FTV1’s carbon-fiber wing was dam- mode. All preceding flights have been plans to build 120 a year.
aged by the uncontained failure of the in back-up direct mode. Normal mode Noting that 75% of the narrowbody
low-pressure turbine, but repairs are introduces envelope protection. market for the next 10 years is already in
almost complete, says Rob Dewar, vice Bombardier still expects the initial competitors’ backlogs, Scotiabank sees
president and general manager for 110-seat CS100 to enter service in the Bombardier struggling to secure even
CSeries. There were no related sys- second half of 2015 but, with nearly 2,100 the 20% of remaining orders needed to
tem failures during the incident and of the 2,400 flight-test hours required meet the analyst’s revised forecast.
the fuselage was undamaged, he adds. for certification still ahead, Scotiabank Other Canadian analysis firms such
The test aircraft were upgraded analyst Turan Quettawala is predicting as Canaccord Genuity are less severe,
while grounded, and FTV2 (photo) is third-quarter 2016 is more likely. predicting that the service-entry target
expected to soon begin flying with, for In a research note that savages Bom- can be met and that additional firm or-
the first time, the CSeries’ digital fly- bardier’s projections, Quettawala also ders will be signed now that the CSeries
by-wire control system in its normal reduces Scotiabank’s delivery forecast flight-testing regime has resumed. c
Risk
Reduction
RD-180 prototype replacement
could be ready to test in 2.5 years
Frank Morring, Jr. and Amy Butler Washington
senior vice president for advanced programs and business to begin a new-engine development as early as fiscal 2016.
development at AJR. Based on its request for information issued Aug. 20, which
“We’ve been characterizing the application of Mondaloy in- includes a question about a “shared-investment path” that
side that thrust chamber itself,” Meyer says. “We don’t have would require industry to help foot the development bill,
the normal erosion associated with that oxygen-rich environ- the Air Force has scheduled an “initial industry day” at its
ment. It gives us some reliability. It gives us endurance capabil- Space and Missile Systems Center in Los Angeles Sept. 25-
ity, and it also allows us to reduce some weight. It also helps 26. There, company representatives can meet one-on-one
us from a manufacturing perspective.” with government contracting specialists to present their
AM is also playing into the risk-reduction work by the two ideas. Top-level briefings to Defense Department civilians
companies. Dynetics and AJR predecessor Pratt & Whitney are tentatively scheduled for late next month, and the House
Rocketdyne used NASA funding under the $37 million Ad- Armed Services Committee has authorized the transfer of
vanced Booster Engineering Demonstration and Risk Reduc- $26.8 million to keep the process moving despite concern
tion (Abedrr) project to study what it would take to resurrect over “the lack of clarity in an acquisition strategy moving
the F-1 Saturn V main engine for the strap-on boosters intend- forward.”
ed to bring the SLS to the 130-metric-ton capacity mandated Dynetics and AJR, which combined their NASA and Air
by Congress (AW&ST Jan. 21, 2013, p. 20). Force risk-reduction contracts last year with Dynetics as the
While NASA shelved that effort—at least temporarily—in prime contractor under the NASA-funded effort, will present
favor of developing a new upper stage for a 105-ton version of the resulting findings as a team, Meyer says.
the heavy-lift rocket, Dynetics conducted gas-generator hot- “We have looked at taking the combination of the two [risk-
fire tests (see photo) and worked with AJR to build engine reduction efforts] and using the testing that will occur in the
components, including an F-1 injector, using AM. Abedrr program and lining that up with our Hydrocarbon
“We built and we’re getting ready to test an additive- Boost [Air Force Research Laboratory] contract,” he says. “So
manufactured rocket engine injector at the 30,000-lb. class,” we’ve offered the Air Force, as a team, how we could maximize
says Cook. “The injector itself is the 30,000-lb.-thrust class. that government investment to date, that industry investment
A gas generator test was conducted at Marshall Space Flight Center as part of risk-reduction
work underway for the advanced hydrocarbon rocket engine that could replace Russia’s RD-180.
NASA
Typically, that would have taken 15 months to build. We did to date, into a plan that would provide the least amount of risk
it in 15 days.” to a 2019 engine.”
The work is continuing at AJR under a separate Air Force The two companies believe a prototype AR-1 could be a
cost-sharing contract that the company is using to build and fast-track route to replacing the RD-180, given a decision to
test engine parts made from various materials with large- begin development. With the work they have already done,
scale laser-melting AM (AW&ST Aug. 25, p. 12). Cook says, the engineering path ahead is clear.
“The role model we have is the RL-10, and the RL-10 [pro- “If you look at the major risks that we’ve got to go knock
gram] is actually building space-qualified hardware right now down in order to bring a new RD-180 engine replacement into
and delivering that hardware for the fundamental testing play, the biggest risk is main combustion stability,” he says. The
that will go into hot-fire tests in the first quarter of 2017,” says plan would build on component level work in moving up to the
AJR’s Meyer. “So it’s the pathfinder for what we want to do subsystem level, focusing on ensuring combustion stability in
on AR-1. We’ve already qualified Inconel 65; we’re finishing the concept, building a full-scale main injector and testing it
qualification in titanium, and we’re expanding our capacity— to “make sure it works like we want it to,” Cook says.
although not necessarily for AR-1—into copper.” With an injector in hand, the next step would be the tur-
Use of designs from the RL-10—a hydrogen-fueled, upper- bomachinery. “We’ve got to have high-performance turboma-
stage engine that dates to the early 1960s but is still in use chinery,” he says. “It’s staged-combustion, oxygen-rich, so we
today—as well as the F-1 and the Saturn V J-2 upper-stage have to deal with the oxygen compatibility issues. We have
engine that formed the basis for the J-2X illustrates how the to deal with integrating that turbomachinery in the right-
two companies are taking advantage of heritage technology sized package, and then putting that together in a powerpack
to hasten development of the AR-1. So far, the saber-rattling demonstration where you bring those key pieces together and
along the Ukrainian-Russian border has not had an appre- do a demonstration. We believe we can get to that prototype
ciable effect on the supply of RD-180 engines for the Atlas V state in about 2.5 years if a decision is made to go full out,
(see page 30), but the Air Force is moving to position itself and get a prototype engine as soon as possible.” c
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Page DT10
AviationWeek.com/defense AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 DTI1
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Contents
November 4-6, 2014
FEATURES
DTI5 Attacks Audit
SingEx Exhibition and Convention Center
Combat data detail the scope Singapore
of Israel’s war with Hamas
DTI5
TOP REASONS TO ATTEND MRO ASIA!
TECHNOLOGY SCAN đƫ %*#,+.!ƫ%/ƫ/%Ě/ƫ(! %*#ƫ
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DTI16 Mini-lasers designed for * ƫ/!1.!ƫ5+1.ƫ,+/%0%+*ē
small UAVs;
U.K. signs huge deal for đƫ ĂĆŐƫ+*"!.!*!ƫ/!//%+*/ƫ* ƫĆĀŐƫ/,!'!./ƫ+**!0Čƫ !0!ƫ* ƫ
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Grenade emits multicolored
smoke; đƫ %0$ƫ*!.(5ƫćĀƫ+1*0.%!/ƫ.!,.!/!*0! ƫ0ƫ
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FIRST PERSON This is where airlines, MROs, buyers, suppliers, OEMs, regulators,
DTI18 Senior Capt. Zhao Xiaogang supply-chain and industry experts converge to define the aviation
discusses China’s naval maintenance industry.
objectives
AviationWeek.com/defense AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 DTI3
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ISRAEL DEFENSE FORCES PHOTOS
ASYMMETRIC WARFARE
Bottom Line
Conflict tally highlights intensity
of Israeli action in Gaza
The IDF destroyed attack tunnels
David Eshel Tel Aviv created by Hamas for penetration
into Israel.
peration Protective Edge was launched by Israel July 8,
AviationWeek.com/defense AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 DTI5
ASYMMETRIC WARFARE
DTI6 SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL AviationWeek.com/defense
A new era of military transport has begun.
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The KC-390 represents the beginning of a new era in military transport. It´s a multi-mission, rugged,
easily-operated aircraft that will establish new standards for speed and capacity in its category,
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designed to meet the demanding requirements of the Brazilian Air Force, using Embraer’s experience
of over 45 years. Embraer is committed to offering the best integrated solutions in defense and security
to protect people, territories and assets.
ASYMMETRIC WARFARE
An Israeli patrol boat fires a Spike ER
missile at a shore target in Gaza.
went underground at the beginning
of the operation and effectively disap-
peared from Israeli intelligence. They
reemerged only during the final stages
of the operation, after targeted killings
by the IDF eliminated some top lead-
ers of the organization.
While this network was effective
against aerial surveillance, it did not
enable Hamas to effectively engage
Israeli land forces in eastern Gaza.
These operations encountered spo-
radic, often ineffective local initiatives
by small groups who would suddenly
ISRAEL DEFENSE FORCES
emerge from caves or fortified cellars
but posed no significant threat. points. One tunnel housed three mo- IDF on July 8 was meant to eliminate
Of the thousands of tunnels dug in torbikes, which militants apparently this threat. During one 17-day period,
Gaza over the years, a few were de- planned to use to quickly egress the the IDF destroyed 32 tunnels, 14 of
signed as “attack tunnels.” Militants tunnel once across the border fence, which had cross-border exits.
planned to use these to penetrate Is- thus extending their reach beyond The underground network also pro-
rael to initiate attacks, including kid- walking distance. Hamas managed to vided transportation, accommodation
nappings, on civilians and soldiers. launch four attacks from attack tun- and storage facilities for militants, as
The attack tunnels that were detect- nels during the conflict, two of which well as protected firing positions for
ed and destroyed by IDF combat engi- killed a total of nine IDF soldiers. All rocket launchers and mortars. Storing
neers were hardened with concrete, fit- other attacks were repelled with heavy these in covered pits—some linked to
ted with storage and assembly spaces, losses to the Palestinians. tunnels—meant militants could keep
and linked to multiple entry and exit The land campaign launched by the them undetected and ready for launch.
With mortar positions, teams would
aim the weapon under cover, open a
protective lid, fire a few rounds in
quick succession, and button up again
to avoid detection. This technique
November 19-20, 2014 kept the mortar position hidden from
Wigwam Resort IDF detection, as the firing cycle was
Litchfield Park, AZ shorter than the IDF reaction time. A
similar effect was obtained by firing
The 2014 Aviation Week Program Excellence Awards short-range rockets in direct attacks,
minimizing the exposure of their bal-
bring together program executives, their customer listic trajectories to C-RAM sensors.
counterparts, and leaders from across the industry Israel’s ability to detect and counter
in a gala event designed to recognize the best in mortar fire, however, was again proven
performance and leadership. Hear this year’s insufficient. Despite the fact that Is-
rael deployed its most sophisticated
nominees share lessons learned throughout the fire-detection and alerting radars all
conference. around Gaza, the warning time given
to forward-deployed forces and civil-
Reserve your space and meet the winners. ians was too short. While the radar
Register today for the Program Excellence Awards itself provided warnings in time to en-
able people to take cover, its integration
Cocktail Reception and Banquet on Thursday,
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November 20! delayed warnings that were delivered to
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One lesson learned from this opera-
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such assets are important.
Next month, DTI will assess some of
the latest technologies, operational con-
cepts and organizational trends imple-
Reserve your seat now! www.aviationweek.com/events/adp mented by the IDF prior to and during
Operation Protective Edge. c
DTI8 SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL AviationWeek.com/defense
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DTI10 AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 AviationWeek.com/defense
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NAVAL OPERATIONS
that are outwardly somewhat similar launched, meaning there is no need for ing different missions, he notes, based
to the SPY-1 radar used in the U.S.- the “complex smoke and fire ducts” of on testing and demonstrations that the
made Aegis combat system. Like the the U.S. Mk. 41 VLS, according to Bus- service is conducting.
older Luda-class destroyers, these six sert and Elleman’s book. The Chinese The Pentagon, in its recent annual
new destroyer classes are armed with destroyers are the first, the book as- report on China, states: “The first Luy-
ASCMs [antiship cruise missiles].” serts, with larger versions of the C-802 ang III-class DDG (Type 052D), which
The Haikou assessment is on the or C-803 (YJ-83) supersonic missile, will likely enter service in 2014, incor-
mark, officers onboard the destroyer with a range of 250 km (155 mi.) at porates the PLA Navy’s first multipur-
say. The vessel’s combat system is as subsonic cruise phase. pose vertical launch system likely ca-
capable as the Aegis shield, they con- The ship also appears to feature au- pable of launching ASCMs, land-attack
tend. “What you have, we have,” the tomation that allows its bridge to be cruise missiles, surface-to-air missiles,
combat systems officer says. run by a handful of officers and crew, and antisubmarine missiles.”
The destroyers are believed to be similar to that of Norwegian destroyer- China is projected to need more
the first Chinese warships able to like frigates. During the Haikou tour, than a dozen of these ships to replace
defend ships against long-range air officers also pointed out torpedo- its aging Luda-class destroyers. PLAN
and missile attacks. The earlier Type launching capabilities, anchored by officers see the ships as anchoring a
052B destroyers combined Russian two triple 324-mm torpedo tubes. “peace-through-strength” philosophy.
and Chinese systems, Haikou officers Like other destroyers, Haikou is “China has always pursued a road
The Haikou
(foreground)
joins other ships
for an exercise
during Rimpac.
say, but that is no longer the case. equipped with a helicopter for antisub- of peaceful development and a na-
“We have our own systems,” the com- marine warfare and other missions. tional defense policy that is defensive
munications officer says. “Chinese The destroyer brought to Rimpac a in nature,” Zhao says. But to maintain
systems.” However, there are some Harbin Z-9 rotorcraft, a version of that defense, the country is developing
sensors on the ship that appear to be the Eurocopter Dauphin. Officers on technology, equipment and platforms
from foreign sources. the Haikou say the aircraft has robust to bolster its strength and capabilities.
The ship’s 100-mm gun looks to be communications and data process- China’s strategy for its armed forc-
derived from the French Creusot-Loire ing. Information from the helicopter es is to develop military strength that
T100C, built to battle surface targets, is transmitted through an integrated “conforms with national security and
aircraft and missiles flying at low speed, processing system, which is tied to the broad interests,” Zhao remarks. “This
with a reported maximum fire rate of Haikou, apparently the first Chinese is similar to all developing armed
90 rounds/min. The turret is designed ship with the system. forces. China’s armed force keeps on
to reduce its radar cross section. The The ship’s powerplant combines two upgrading weaponry properly and in
ship also has two 30-mm guns. Ukrainian-made gas turbines with Chi- a balanced way.
The Haikou officers were forthright nese diesel engines. It drives the 7,000- “This is also reliable support of our
in discussing the ship and its capa- ton ship, fully loaded, 509 ft. long and country to safeguard national sover-
bilities. Standing on the deck below with a crew of 280, to at least 30 kt. eignty and security—to guarantee our
the bridge, they extoll the attributes While the main mission of U.S. de- national harmony to maintain world
of their vertical-launching missile stroyers is protecting aircraft carriers, peace and stability,” he says.
system (VLS). The officers pointed Chinese destroyers and frigates spend The Chinese ships that participat-
out the lid hinges for each of the six most of their time on patrol, doing es- ed in Rimpac, Zhao notes, show how
launch cylinders. “They do not need to cort duty, conducting antipiracy mis- far PLAN has come with its design,
rotate,” they say, as do those on Rus- sions and participating in exercises, construction and operational capa-
sian vessels. Both systems are cold- Zhao says. PLAN is considering add- bilities. c
DTI12 AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 AviationWeek.com/defense
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LAND FORCES
DTI14 SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL AviationWeek.com/defense
New Content & Design!
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ELBIT SYSTEMS
TRAILBLAZER
The British Army is downsizing to its
smallest number of soldiers since the
Napoleonic Wars but staying the course
in key procurement areas. On Sept. 3,
the Defense Ministry announced a
contract with General Dynamics UK
for 589 Scout SV (specialist vehicle)
platforms for use by armored cavalry
(see photo, with Philip Dunne, min-
ister for defense equipment, support
and technology). The £3.5 billion ($5.7
billion) deal is the U.K.’s largest single
order for armored vehicles in 30 years.
It entails deliveries in 2017-24 and in-
cludes support and training. Scout SV
armored fighting vehicles (AFV) are
Is Better
GENERAL DYNAMICS UK
Developers eye mini-lasers for small UAVs
David Hambling London
DTI16 SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL AviationWeek.com/defense
For more breaking news, go to AviationWeek.com/defense
cealment and to signal via the release SCAN AND DESTROY cial barriers. A SAGM round, fired
of colored smoke. In the U.S. Army, Work on Small Arms Grenade Mu- from a rifle-mounted M203 or M320
many soldiers must carry multiple M18 nitions (SAGM) at the U.S. Army launcher, detects defilade obstacles
grenades, each with different colors of Armament Research, Development such as walls and explodes past
smoke (red, yellow, green or violet) to and Engineering Center (Ardec) is them in an airburst to hit targets. In
meet battlefield needs. To lighten this in the third and final phase of de- Phase 1, Ardec engineers developed
load, the Army’s Edgewood Chemical velopment. SAGM is an innovative the fuze component for use with the
and Biological Center (ECBC) devel- M433 round. In Phase 2, sensors and
oped a prototype grenade that can, logic devices were added to the fuze
with the twist of two buttons, gener- to scan surroundings and activate
ate different colors. Called the Select- airburst detonation. The engineers
able Color Single Canister Smoke working in Phase 3 are optimiz-
Hand Grenade, the device has three ing the fuze sensor, improving its
compartments with red, yellow and accuracy and integrating it with a
blue dyes. Two dials atop the grenade high-explosive warhead, according
permit a soldier to mix the dyes and to an update. Another objective is
make differently colored, low-toxicity to increase the round’s accuracy at
smoke. Seven colors can be gener- ranges of 51-500 meters (167-1,640
ated in all. ECBC says each dye has a ft). SAGM has three modes: airburst,
U.S. MARINE CORPS
distinct thermodynamic composition point (impact) detonation and self-
and reacts to heat and gas differently. targeting system for M433 40-mm destruct. The next step is the hand-
Tests this summer show the prototype grenades. It is engineered to neu- off of SAGM to the project manager
released 75% of the smoke from an M18 tralize concealed targets, human or of ammunition systems at Ardec in
grenade. Work is ongoing. c machine, behind natural or artifi- 2015. c
View video
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AviationWeek.com/defense AVIATION WEEK & SPACE TECHNOLOGY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL SEPTEMBER 15, 2014 DTI17
FIRST PERSON
MICHAEL FABEY/AW&ST
Mission Ready
Probably no other naval officer attracted more attention during the U.S.-hosted
Rimpac 2014 (June 26-Aug. 1) than People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)
Sr. Capt. Zhao Xiaogang, commander of the four-ship task force China sent to
the biennial maritime exercise. This was China’s first Rimpac (Rim of Pacific)
exercise, and its vessels conducted multilateral operations with other navies off
Hawaii. Following a rare at-sea tour of the missile destroyer CNS 171 Haikou,
the commander’s ship, Zhao sat for an interview (through an interpreter) with
Navy Editor Michael Fabey.
Defense Technology: Why did China What is China’s view of its inter-
participate in Rimpac? national expansion?
China has always pursued a road of
Zhao Xiaogang: Chinese participa- peaceful development and a national
tion represents an important measure defense policy that is defensive in na-
of the stature of China and the U.S., ture. We stress the development of na-
and the new relations between the ma- tional defense and economic growth
jor powers. This will enhance relations to safeguard our sovereignty and
between our countries and develop security. Our armed forces and their Senior Capt. Zhao
friendly and pragmatic cooperation, formidable military strength conform Xiaogang
which should be conducive to promot- to our national security needs and
ing peace and stability in the Asia- broad interests. This is similar to all Drill director of the People’s
Pacific region. Through the exercise, [countries] that develop their armed Liberation Army Navy fleet,
briefings, receptions and ship activities forces. China’s military keeps upgrad- Rimpac task force commander, China
we now have a better understanding ing weapons and equipment properly,
of each other. It will enhance mutual and in a balanced way. Education: Naval Academy and
trust. This is important for coopera- Naval Command College
tion in the future. What does PLAN need in terms of
future fleet capabilities? Background: PLAN officer
What was most surprising to you In the world now, many developing
during Rimpac? countries are engaging in the revolu- for 30 years with experience
I am impressed with the fact there tion in military affairs based on in- in multiple commands.
are so many participants. (Rimpac formation and high tech, the trend
involved the navies of 22 nations.) As of future development. China is no
naval officers we have much in com- exception. We are trying to develop
mon. We’ve had good results in terms integrated combat capabilities that What developments are planned
of mutual understanding. include all naval assets: surface ships, for destroyers?
submarines and aircraft. We want to We are still conducting research in
What impression do you think improve our integrated operations. this area.
your task force made on Rimpac
participants? How are communications aboard Is China looking at incorporating
We have four ships here, indigenous- the Haikou? more unmanned systems on de-
ly made. These ships represent the We are developing capabilities in this stroyers and other surface ships?
readiness level of our navy. We opened area. This is not a field I am familiar with.
our ships to visitors [so] all participat- But I do read news in regard to U.S.
ing countries and visitors could have How does the Haikou compare to surface command officers, Littoral
a better understanding of China and the U.S. Arleigh Burke-class of Combat Ship systems and how they
the Chinese navy. guided-missile destroyers? work. Currently, we are doing re-
Look at those other ships participating search and development.
What were your instructions to of- in Rimpac. Most look similar, in terms
ficers and sailors as they steamed of design, equipment and capabilities. The U.S. Navy is starting to rely
to Rimpac? more heavily on helicopters, other
We didn’t have particular instructions What are the primary missions for aerial assets and sensors for anti-
for Rimpac. The Chinese navy has China’s destroyers? submarine warfare (ASW). Does
been expanding in recent years. We Our destroyers, including the frig- PLAN have a similar mind-set?
have had regular contacts overseas. ates, are the most advanced warships With regard to questions about the
These activities will be become more in the navy. Missions include patrol, development of advanced sensors to
common in the future. Our sailors escort, antipiracy operations and enhance ASW capabilities, I am not
don’t need instructions. joint exercises. authorized to speak about that. c
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RAF Lossiemouth
a
Few if any plans to deal with the Kinloss Barracks
regular armed forces personnel will
possible transition toward an inde- (formerly RAF Kinloss) be based in Scotland by 2020.
pendent Scotland have been drafted But a yes vote could also prompt
by defense officials, but as the re- Scotland Scotland’s small but important
sults of polls have narrowed in the Rosyth Naval RAF Leuchars
defense industry to move out as
final weeks of campaigning, there Dockyard well. Shipbuilding, which employs
has been a dawning realization that 5,000 there, would be most at risk,
Faslane Submarine Base Edinburgh
a majority “yes” vote is now a very (HM Naval Base Clyde) particularly as current British gov-
real possibility. ernment policy is to produce ships
Even a “no” vote is likely to result and submarines for the Royal Navy
in a radical devolution that will not Northern using national industry. The Air-
only see the current Scottish execu- Ireland craft Carrier Alliance is building
tive gain authority but also prompt the the U.K.’s two new ships at Rosyth
revamping of politics across the U.K. Ireland Sea England near Edinburgh. But shipbuild-
sh
But what politicians fear most, Iri ers are likely to feel they have to
of course, is a yes vote—a decision move south in order to support the
that would end 300 years of unity, Navy’s needs.
with defense likely to be an early Sources: Google Maps and AW&ST Art Dept. The SNP says it should inherit
victim. Concerns about the vote have of the country’s nuclear capability, a share of the U.K.’s defense assets
even prompted the U.K. Parliament a move that would not go down well to help it establish a defense force.
to delay what would be a politically with NATO partners and probably the Based on population, the party says
divisive decision on possible U.K. par- European Union—two organizations Scotland’s share would be worth
ticipation in airstrikes against Islamic that Scotland aspires to join. about £7.8 billion and would include at
insurgents in Iraq. Nonetheless, the Scottish National least 12-16 Eurofighter Typhoons for
While the 2010 Strategic Defense Party’s (SNP) own rhetoric on the air defense, and six Lockheed Martin
and Security Review (SDSR) actu- Tridents is clear. Its white paper on C-130J Hercules to form a tactical air
ally has had the effect of significantly Scottish independence says they are transport squadron. It would also get
downsizing the armed forces’ pres- an “affront to basic decency with its a fleet of helicopters. This is likely to
ence in Scotland—in particular for the indiscriminate and inhuman destruc- be the subject of significant negotia-
Royal Air Force—it remains home to tive power.” tion, however.
Britain’s Trident armed ballistic mis- The SNP argues that by being in- A no vote will retain the union and
sile submarines, the country’s collec- dependent, there will be no need for allow defense planners to breathe
tive nuclear deterrent. the country to be involved in the de- a sigh of relief, but further devolu-
While fighter aircraft and soldiers velopment of the Trident successor tion for the Scottish Parliament may
can be moved easily to new home program, a project with an expected prompt questions about whether
bases and barracks south of the bor- price tag of £100 billion ($161 billion) its politicians should still have a say
der, relocating the nuclear deterrent over the next 20-30 years. in the affairs of its neighbors, while
would be a major headache for de- The nationalists also claim that counterparts in England, Wales and
fense planners. A belligerent Scot- while Scotland currently pays in 10% of Northern Ireland have no say about
land could force Britain to remove the current U.K. defense budget of £34 Scotland. This issue, dubbed the
the submarines quickly, without the billion, only around half comes back. “West Lothian question” could in-
necessary infrastructure in place to They also assert that without contri- voke more transfers of power in other
support them immediately available butions from Scotland, the Defense parts of the country.
elsewhere—except perhaps the U.S. Ministry could see £13 billion less in If the people vote yes, the SNP in-
or France—and not in England for at its £160 billion equipment budget for tends to have a constitutional platform
least several years. This may result in the next decade. in place for Scotland to become inde-
the potential unilateral disarmament The 2010 SDSR had the effect of pendent by March 2016. c
Conference:
October 7-9, 2014
Exhibition Hall:
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Madrid, Spain
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ROTORCRAFT
A
about 80 million and also plans to dou-
business and reacting to trends. Fifteen years after the ble in size within the next 10 years and
operate a fleet of 500 aircraft.
low-cost revolution started to change European air trans- Air France-KLM is entering the Eu-
port, the group is ready to enter the fray. But turning its affiliate ropean low-cost arena extremely late;
Transavia into a large European low-cost carrier likely will be it will have to find routes to grow in a
market that even established low-cost
too little, too late. airlines are having difficulty developing
As part of its Perform 2020 stra- from growing. A large part of the Vuel- further. The Transavia plans are also
tegic plan, which Air France/KLM ing business touches Spain—the airline opposed by Air France pilot unions
Chairman/CEO Alexandre de Juniac is based in Barcelona—but it has been SNPL and SPAF, which want equal
presented last week, the group will aggressively expanding into other Eu- pay across the entire group, including
grow the fleet of its low-cost subsid- ropean markets, connecting new bases Transavia. However, de Juniac says Air
iary Transavia to 100 aircraft by 2017. in various other countries. France conditions would be impossible
In April 2015, in addition to its bases in Lufthansa, meanwhile, is moving at the low-fare unit, unless “you want
the Netherlands and France, Transa- its entire non-hub flying to German- to kill Transavia.” He argues that the
via Europe will start flying from three wings and Eurowings. As part of its carrier is not taking over Air France
bases abroad, and it will add three new Wings concept, the carrier also routes but entering markets that
more a year later, de Juniac says. The plans to set up a new long-haul, low- the airline has not served. Transavia
group will invest €1 billion ($1.28 bil- cost airline. Lufthansa says it will re- France is limited to a fleet of 14 air-
lion) in Transavia over the next five veal more details once the supervisory craft through agreements with pilots,
years, but expects no operating profit board has been briefed this week. The but de Juniac would like to increase the
until 2018. new long-haul unit is to operate about France-based fleet to 37. Transavia op-
With the growth of Transavia, all of seven aircraft initially, either Boeing erates an all-Boeing 737 fleet.
the big three European carriers now 767s or Airbus 330s that the airline is As part of Perform 2020, Air France-
have large low-cost affiliates in place, preparing to order. The aircraft will be KLM also plans to create a new busi-
but their strategies are markedly dif- based in Munich and Cologne/Bonn or ness unit that combines narrowbody
ferent. International Airlines Group Dusseldorf and operate on routes Luf- point-to-point operations (which are
(IAG) owns Vueling, a highly profitable thansa can no longer fly profitably or mainly based at Paris-Orly airport)
carrier that is kept separate from the would not consider entering on cost with the HOP! regional scheme, itself
group’s other units, British Airways grounds. Regional carrier Eurowings a conglomerate of the group’s various
and Iberia. BA and Iberia pilot agree- will transition to Airbus A320s from a regional carriers. Air France aims to
ments, unlike Air France-KLM’s, have fleet of Bombardier CRJ900s. return its regional operations to profit-
no clauses that would inhibit Vueling The German group also faces re- ability by 2017. c
Conflict Zone service providers (ANSP) and others to gather timely infor-
mation about airspace and airports that could be affacted by
regional conflicts.
Task force demos avoidance tools The system is one of two “immediate” projects launched on
Aug. 26 by the Task Force on Risks to Civil Aviation Arising
as battles slow MH17 investigators from Conflict Zones, a group of state and industry experts
operating under the auspices of the International Civil Avia-
John Croft Washington and Jens Flottau Frankfurt tion Organization (ICAO). The task force is to develop near-
term “fail-safe” channels for threat information, and in the
longer term, develop guidelines and best practices for mitigat-
ing conflict-zone risks to civilian airspace, says the task force
chairman, David McMillan, who is also chairman of the Flight
Safety Foundation and former director general of Eurocontrol.
The other immediate project is an upgrade to the Notices
Dutch investigators determined that “high-energy
objects” from outside the aircraft punctured sections
of the 777 cockpit, but officials did not confirm that a
surface-to-air missile downed the aircraft.
Safety Steps ment that might have led two highly experienced pilots on
Flight 1354 to neglect proper monitoring and descend below
the decision height for the non-precision approach without
Following UPS 1354, NTSB calls having the runway in sight. Both conditions—a descent rate of
more than 1,000 fpm beyond the final approach fix, and losing
for mending of safety nets sight of the runway below minimums—require a go-around
per company standard operating procedures. The aircraft
John Croft Washington struck trees and then a hillside, killing both pilots.
In its list of six contributing factors, the NTSB says “de-
broad slate of safety upgrades could be on tap for ficiencies” in performance of the captain, who was at the
One of the recommendations calls for the FAA to ban dive- role in the crash. Based on three types of weather reports
and-drive approaches, where a pilot manually controls the received in pre-flight, en route and terminal updates, the
descent via a series of step-down altitudes. A profile approach pilots expected they would break out of the cloud bank at
uses the FMC to create a smooth descent similar to a precision 1,000 ft. above the ground, well above the 550-ft. minimum
instrument approach, an option the FAA favors. Three other altitude for the approach. From analysis of airport video,
recommendations address the issue of improperly program- the NTSB determined that the actual ceiling at the time
ming, or sequencing, the FMC, including a call for the FAA to was 350 ft. The NTSB is recommending that a “remarks”
work with industry to devise “direct and conspicuous cues” section in those weather reports that indicated lower ceil-
when the device is programmed incorrectly and for Airbus to ings, but which had been deleted for various reasons, be
let pilots know when the vertical descent indicator, a cue that included in all future reports.
shows the pilots the aircraft’s vertical position in relation to Five of the 15 recommendations address the issue of fa-
the desired glideslope, might be misleading. tigue. Specifically, the NTSB is asking the FAA to require its
The NTSB also wants operators to update their Terrain principal-operations inspectors for air carriers, air taxis and
Awareness and Warning Systems, avionics that alert the business-jet fractional companies to make sure pilots “brief
pilots when descending too fast into terrain or approaching the threat of fatigue before each departure, particularly those
obstacles. The A300 carried a Honeywell Enhanced Ground occurring during the window of circadian low.” Strategies to
Proximity Warning System (EGPWS) that met FAA rules but combat fatigue could include changes in monitoring, lighting
was not equipped by UPS with the latest upgrades that could or exercise during a flight. The other four fatigue-related rec-
have provided automated call-outs of key altitudes, including ommendations—two for UPS and two for its pilot union—are
minimum descent altitude, and GPS input that would have directed at forging better fatigue risk management coordina-
given more timely warnings about encroaching terrain. tion between the two.
Flight 1354 received an EGPWS “sink rate” caution alert UPS objected to the focus on fatigue, saying the pilot had
after descending below minimums. The captain reacted to not flown in 10 days and the first officer was off eight of the
the aural alert by decreasing the descent rate to 400 fpm from previous 10 days. “We believe these facts—and others—don’t
1,500 fpm, but the change came too late. A “too low, terrain” support such a finding,” the carrier stated following the Sept. 9
alert sounded 1 sec. after the aircraft hit the first tree. The final hearing. c
conditions of the approach did not trigger the more urgent
“pull up” alert, says the NTSB. Report Read the NTSB’s accident investigation
Incomplete weather reports may also have played a documents at: ow.ly/BkXbi
Improvisation in Play
AIRBUS/A. DOUMENJOU
fleets are also geared to widebodies.
All three Gulf carriers can take ad-
vantage of airport expansion projects:
Turkish Airlines copes with rapid growth as it Doha just opened a new airport; the
midfield terminal in Abu Dhabi is un-
grapples with airport infrastructure constraints der construction; and Dubai’s World
Central Airport is operational.
Jens Flottau Istanbul Until Turkey’s new airport is avail-
able, Turkish needs to improvise. The
urkish Airlines is keeping its growth to 120 million passengers in carrier is developing Sabiha Gokcen—
EFEPHOTOS
ceased operations. a built-in advantage
An industry that in this, especially on
had effectively been lucrative flights to
split between it and Aeromexico has Mexico City’s current airport is the U.S. Due to a restrictive bilateral
since fragmented into one of the most operating at near capacity and air service agreement between the two
hotly contested aviation markets in the cannot be expanded. Aeromexico is countries, the number of carriers each
hemisphere, with a particularly vibrant the carrier most affected. country can designate to fly between
low-cost carrier (LCC) segment. In fact, city pairs is limited to two or three, de-
the rise of Interjet, VivaAerobus and serves more passengers than its LCC pending on the route. Aeromexico and
Volaris, all founded in the middle of the competitors, but the gap between it Mexicana hold most of the Mexican
last decade, is what pushed teetering and second-ranked Interjet is narrow- designations, but carriers that want to
Mexicana into insolvency. ing every year, the data show. operate Mexicana’s routes can apply for
Those LCCs have more than filled However, Aeromexico still com- permission from the SCT and the U.S.
the vacuum left by Mexicana’s demise. mands half of the country’s total sched- Transportation Department. Such per-
In fact, the Mexican aviation market is uled international traffic, and this is mission is granted if or until Mexicana
larger now, in both capacity and traffic, where CEO Andres Conesa says op- revives to viably operate the routes.
than it was in 2010, according to data portunity lies. The carrier will focus on This is one of the reasons that Mexi-
from the Secretaria de Comunicacio- long-haul international flying and on de- cana remains relevant, even though it
nes y Transportes (SCT), the country’s veloping its route network in North and ceased operations in 2010. Although
transportation regulator. The data South America and Europe. Long-haul a bankruptcy judge earlier this year
from July reveal that Aeromexico still flying remains beyond the scope of the ended—for lack of credible inves-
tors—Mexicana’s attempts to return to
operations, the airline’s assets, which
include its route authorities, slots,
counter space and gates at Mexico
City’s main airport, and an MRO op-
eration remain in the company’s pos-
session until all appeals are exhausted.
Mexicana’s unions have said they plan
to appeal the bankruptcy judge’s de-
cree and will fight to revive the airline,
leaving its assets in limbo in the mean-
time.
Aeromexico is in transition on the
fleet side as it takes delivery of more
Boeing 787s. The airline operates five
787-8s along with four 777-200ERs and
five 767-300ERs. The 787s are mainly
used for European services, which the
airline says it intends to grow, and on
the Mexico City-New York route. The
airline plans to build capacity by up
to 15% in 2014; given strong domes-
tic and short-haul competition, that
expansion is mainly driven by long-
haul flying. Aeromexico has firm or-
ders for six 787-9s and options for
four, giving it the potential for more
widebody capacity. It has also bought
60 737 MAXs it can use for its U.S.
operations and into the northern part
of Latin America. c
More for Less budget request. But the savings are ex-
pected to come in the annual operat-
ing cost of the aircraft: The E-8C would
require about $650 million in work
USAF embraces ‘art of the available’ to meet requirements in the coming
years, according to Jennifer Cassidy,
with ground surveillance aircraft an Air Force spokeswoman.
The platforms that housed the side-
Amy Butler Melbourne, Florida, and Washington looking AN/APY-7 radars were old
707-300s purchased from airlines and
ometimes you have to spend money to save money.
S
outfitted by Northrop Grumman with
This has been a theme for the U.S. Air Force’s on-again, the sensors and onboard work sta-
tions as well as supporting computer
off-again desire to replace its air-ground surveillance fleet equipment. It was a thorny project,
for years. And this philosophy continues to bolster the service’s as each separate platform had its
newest fleet replacement plan. own aging and wear-and-tear issues.
Twenty years later, the platform and
The discussion started more than a tially risky development work. Likely its legacy computers, displays and
decade ago with a defunct and costly candidates range from the Gulfstream radar are proving troublesome due to
plan to reengine the E-8C Joint Sur- 550 to the Boeing 737-700. diminishing sources for parts and age
veillance Target Attack Radar System Born out of once disparate Air Force of the equipment. The only commercial
(Joint Stars or Jstars) aircraft; 16 of and U.S. Army projects, Joint Stars was operator still listing the 707-300 in its
the four-engine Boeing 707s are now always a bit of an outcast, never consis- fleet is Iran’s Meraj Air.
in inventory after one was removed tently championed by the leadership of The replacement program is ex-
from the fleet due to an inflight refu- pected to save 28% in operations and
eling incident. Proponents hailed the
merits of more efficient propulsion;
opponents said the cost was too great
to justify the capability improvements.
Joint Stars manufacturer Northrop
Grumman and engine maker Pratt &
Whitney fought for years to maintain
congressional interest. But the project either service.
eventually cratered due to lack of in- The Air Force
terest by the Air Force, which funded eventually won
higher-priority projects. command of the
In the meantime, the discussion program, though it has
turned to a “me-too” project to make always had Army par-
use of the same Boeing 767 eyed for ticipation, as the primary
the original KC-135 replacement pro- mission is ground-moving-
gram as a platform for the air-ground target indications (GMTI) or
surveillance mission. The so-called monitoring ground movements using
E-10—the brainchild of then-Chief of the 24-ft. APY-7 radar mounted under
Staff Gen. John Jumper—would have its fuselage. Considered a support sys-
been a massive air operations center in tem for the Army, much of the Air Force
the sky. That idea, along with Boeing’s community has tolerated the project
original bloated tanker lease proposal, but not rushed to advocate for it over Northrop Grumman has flown more
sank under its own cost, unrealistic funding for fighters or bombers. than 500 hr. of tests in its airborne
expectations and association with the Joint Stars got its big break during G550 testbed to experiment with
procurement missteps of the sordid Operation Desert Storm in 1991 when various radars. It is also exploring
tanker replacement plan. the then-experimental Joint Stars air- new workstation concepts in order
Now, perhaps as a sign of the times craft was used to direct fire on Iraqi to reduce the number of crew from
or the result of a dose of reality, the forces in the Battle of Khafji, resulting 18 in today’s Joint Stars to eight in
Air Force has decided to downsize to a in what was dubbed the “Highway of the next-generation system.
business jet. The service hopes to field Death.” Using aerial surveillance dur-
the first four Joint Stars replacement ing the battle, coalition forces destroyed sustainment funding, a cost avoidance
aircraft in fiscal 2022 to take advan- 600 armored vehicles and tanks, achiev- of $200-500 million annually. “The cur-
tage of advances in available comput- ing a decisive victory and bolstering the rent Jstars Recap Program Office es-
ing, sensor and display technology case for the use of synthetic aperture timates show a return on investment
and, despite using a business-jet-sized radar for airborne ground surveillance. between fiscal year 2028 and 2030,”
aircraft, to match or improve on the The Air Force expects to spend Cassidy says. Service officials pro-
Northrop Grumman E-8C’s capability. about $4.3 billion buying 17 new Joint vided written information rather than
The goal is to avoid costly and poten- Stars aircraft based on its fiscal 2015 discussing their plans in an interview.
for intelligence aircraft, but they have Because the service is planning to Joint Stars. The company has been ex-
not declared an intent to bid for the draw on available technology, tough ploring various configurations and sen-
work. Raytheon, which oversees the lessons from the troubled develop- sors and has operated the G550 with
U.K. Royal Air Force’s Sentinel ground ment of MP-RTIP and the APY-7 are mission systems for more than 500 hr.
surveillance aircraft based on the Bom- irrelevant, Powlen says. More crucial on its own dime for risk reduction, ac-
bardier Global Express, is considering will be the integration of the sensor cording to a program source.
a potential prime bid. But its heavi- onto the platform, choice of the right Metzger says the company has not
est focus is on posturing for the sen- platform for the price and selection of settled on the G550 as its platform for
sor work, says Jerry Powlen, general a battle management and command- the system yet because the formal re-
manager for intelligence, surveillance and-control (BMC2) system operated quest for proposals and requirements
and reconnaissance at Raytheon. The by onboard operators. have not been issued. But since the
company provides the primary ra- Northrop Grumman sees Joint Stars G550 is the smallest likely business jet
dar sensor for the Navy’s P-8 and the as a critical defense franchise to keep candidate for the next-gen Joint Stars
dismount detection radar for the Air in house. Thus the company has been project, Metzger says the team hopes
Force’s Reaper, and it has a substantial flying its G550 experimental aircraft— to tackle it so that if a larger platform
part of the work—shared with rival until now kept secret—with various is eventually selected, integration will
Northrop Grumman—for the Multi- candidate radars and battle manage- actually be easier than expected. “The
Platform Radar Technology Insertion ment and command-and-control test- G550 is the hardest solution” to design
Program (MP-RTIP) sensor slated for beds for more than two years, says to, he tells Aviation Week.
operation on the Global Hawk Block 40 Alan Metzger, Northrop Grumman vice The most prominent external fea-
unmanned aircraft. president of program management for tures of the experimental G550 are
two heat exchangers, one on either
side of the aircraft, and the obvious,
Joint Stars Platform Sizes 14-ft. canoe for housing the radar un-
Boeing E-8C Boeing 737-700/BBJ1 Gulfstream G650
der the fuselage.
The Air Force’s intent is to buy a
system with as much existing technol-
ogy as possible in order to reduce the
Length 99.75 ft.
Length 110.3 ft.
mission systems on the airframe with- stations, Boeing officials say they are are advantages for the team, Meren-
out reducing operational effectiveness. not flying prototype hardware. “We are da says, because they would allow for
Joint Stars has 18 onboard crew work- very confident we can go from integra- more workstations and crew.
stations; a G550-sized aircraft would tion to flying an airplane very quickly” However, Boeing could find itself in
allow for up to eight. if Boeing wins a contract, Merenda the position of arguing that more is bet-
Metzger and his competitor, Rod says. He bases his confidence on the ter with the Joint Stars competition,
Merenda, Boeing’s business develop- work done to support the Navy P-8 and as the 737-700’s excess onboard space
ment vice president for the program, Air Force KC-46. could be too much for the Air Force.
agree that automation and computing Boeing abandoned earlier plans to A determining factor for the com-
technology can justify a smaller crew morph the Navy P-8, housed on a 737- petition will be whether the Air Force
complement in a new Joint Stars air- 800 (AW&ST Sept. 13, 2010, p. 44), in grades excess capacity and room for
craft. Both are working on prototype favor of bidding the smaller 737-700, growth, and if so, how. In the case of
designs to take advantage of the vast Merenda says. This is in part because the KC-135 replacement competition,
advances in human-machine interface the Air Force already operates this Boeing’s 767 won over the larger Air-
technologies as well as automation of variant in its C-40 executive transport. bus A330 design because the greater
some tasks now handled manually by The 737-700 has already been certified capacity offered by the bigger airframe
Joint Stars crew. for aerial refueling, as well. But Boeing ultimately cost too much. By offering
Air Combat Command chief Gen. does plan to use the P-8’s baseline en- the 737-700, Boeing will be on the op-
Mike Hostage says airborne BMC2 gine, the CFM56, for its next-gen Joint posite side of this argument, forced to
crews will play larger roles as the threat Stars bid, Merenda says. justify the value of extra space.
of compromised communications links The 737-700 is about 15 ft. closer in Air Force officials have not yet re-
grows in the battlefield of the future. A size to a business jet than the G550. The leased their acquisition strategy or
commander must be able to dissemi- green aircraft would roll off Boeing’s ex- outlined source-selection criteria.
nate his intent and rely on forward isting 737 line in Renton, Washington. Service officials plan to award risk-
operating airmen to execute it even if As with the company’s winning bid for reduction contracts by the end of the
communications are compromised, he the KC-135 replacement program, Me- year to “demonstrate that mature
says. The interconnectedness of the renda says Boeing would combine the technologies currently exist and prove
U.S. fleet is a force multiplier as well military modification experience of its the technologies can be efficiently and
as a vulnerability, he says. However, he defense division with the cost-conscious effectively recapitalized within the
says: “I believe [adversaries] will break mind-set of its commercial airliners sec- parameters of the Jstars Recap Pro-
the link between the [combined forces tor for a proposal. gram Office’s cost, schedule and per-
air component commander and his Critics say the 737-700 is too big, but formance requirements.”
forces] episodically.” Merenda notes that it is only a bit more If successful, the Air Force plans to
While Northrop Grumman con- than 10 ft. longer than the G550 and award a contract for full-scale develop-
tinues to experiment with different G650. The more noticeable difference ment in the third quarter of fiscal 2015,
radars and battle management work- is in width and fuselage size. But these roughly a year from now. c
BOEING CONCEPT
VIA INTERNET
Washington
hile the U.S. Air Force pursues development of
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thrust in military power and 55,000-lb. thrust with afterburn- informal Chinese sources to have been under development
ing. The variant being developed for the PAK-DA will be a since the mid-to-late 1990s. Chinese determination to proceed
non-afterburning engine, possibly with a slightly increased was likely strengthened by the use of the Northrop Grumman
bypass ratio. Four such engines would indicate a gross weight B-2 in the mistaken bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Bel-
of 200 metric tons, larger than the B-2 (and most likely much grade on May 7, 1999. It is also unclear how much data about
bigger than LRS-B), corresponding to a greater weapon load the B-2 China was able to obtain from Northrop Grumman en-
and range. gineer Noshir Gowadia, who, in his 18 years with the company,
Meanwhile, China is reportedly working on a new bomber. was one of the principal designers of the B-2’s low-observable
It is tempting to discount China’s ambitions to build a world- propulsion system. In January 2011 he received a 32-year sen-
class strategic strike aircraft given that its People’s Libera- tence for conveying military secrets to China.
tion Army Air Force (Plaaf) and Naval Air Force (PLAN-AF) The Xian Aircraft Corp. (XAC), the PLA’s
seem content to fly successive versions of the Soviet-era Tu- main large military aircraft manufacturer,
polev Tu-16. This medium bomber first flew in 1952 and then is most likely the lead contractor for the new
in China in 1959, sub- bomber. Like the next-
sequently built by the generation bomb -
Xian Aircraft Corp.
The Tupolev Tu-160M upgrade ers from Russia and
(XAC) as the Hong- program will keep the supersonic the U.S., the H-20 is
6 (Bomber-6, H-6). bomber in service through the expected to use
However, continued 2030s. a subsonic low-
improvements and observable “flying
production of wing” configura-
the H-6 show tion.
that China retains Interesting
an interest in long- but unofficial
range airpower. indications have
China’s government also been provided by
and People’s Libera- PLA academics. Chi-
t i o n A r my ( P L A ) nese media reports
say virtually nothing from October 2013
WIKIMEDIA
about their future quote Plaaf Col. Wu
bomber ambitions, but an accumulation of “gray data” plus Guohui, an associate professor at the
a recent revelation indicate it is likely that China is develop- National Defense University, saying
ing a new bomber. Last April an Asian government source stealth bombers had received “re-
disclosed an estimate that China’s next-generation bomber, newed national attention” and that “in the past China has
called H-20, would emerge by 2025. been weak regarding bombers, but in the future will develop
Such timing for the emergence of the H-20 would be con- long-range strike aircraft.”
sistent with two evolving Chinese strategic objectives. A new National Defense University Associate Prof. Fu Guangwen
bomber would extend China’s ability to deny strategic access noted in a December 2013 interview that bomber develop-
to the U.S. well beyond the “first island chain,” extending ment in China faces several obstacles, including challenges in
through Japan, Taiwan and the northern Philippines and developing engines and effective materials. But he then noted
encompassing the northern and southern China Sea. that a future Chinese bomber should be able to cover targets
Secondly, this aircraft would aid the Chinese leadership’s out to the second island chain, Guam, the South China Sea
ambitions to project military power. Such a platform would and India; be stealthy to improve penetration capability; be
allow the Chinese air force to complement the gathering capable of “information confrontation,” or cyber/electronic
global aircraft carrier and amphibious projection capabili- warfare; and have conventional and nuclear strike capability.
ties of the nation’s navy. A January 2014 Sina.com article cited an Aviation Indus-
China’s next-generation bomber has long been rumored by try Corp. of China publication, stating that design work on
VIA INTERNET
a future Chinese stealth bomber had started in 2008. This The H-6K is fitted with the Russian-supplied 26,500-lb.-
report also noted that this bomber was likely a flying wing thrust UEC-Saturn D-30KP-2 turbofan, which is approxi-
and that it would have the range to strike the U.S. West Coast. mately 30% more powerful than the 1950s-vintage turbojets
Though it falls under the category of ambiguous “gray of the earlier versions and is more efficient, with a higher
data,” in early 2013 an image from a Chinese academic engi- bypass ratio (2.24:1) than the JT8D-200. This increases com-
neering journal showed a potential bomber shape very simi- bat radius to a reported 3,500 km (2,175 mi.). Emerging in
lar to the B-2. In early 2014 another Chinese image emerged early 2006, the H-6K replaced the old glazed nose with a
of two bat-wing-shaped model aircraft, possible radio-con- large radome and electro-optical targeting sensor. The air-
trolled models for test purposes. There is no other informa- craft featured a modern glass cockpit and gained six wing
tion to connect these models to ongoing programs, but it pylons to carry new 1,500-2,000-km-range CJ-10/KD-20 land-
is well established that China formally previews models of attack cruise missiles. This version is likely able to use the
future military aircraft, while leaked model images are often great variety of precision-guided bombs now produced by
aimed at domestic and foreign audiences. four Chinese companies.
The later models could also represent new long-range un- China has also upgraded older H-6s. The air force’s three
manned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV) shapes, which also regiments of H-6Gs may soon be armed with the new super-
highlights the potential for China to develop long-range un- sonic ramjet-powered YJ-12 anti-ship missile with an esti-
manned strike aircraft. With some fanfare in the Chinese mated range of 400 km. The Plaaf’s older H-6Ms are being
media, the flying swept wing LiJian (Sharp Sword) UCAV, a upgraded to carry two CJ-10/KD-20 land-attack cruise mis-
collaborative product of the Shenyang and Hongdu compa- siles. The previously mentioned Asian government source
nies, took to the air Nov. 20, 2013. Similar in size and shape notes that the PLA has 130 H-6s in 2014, but this number
to the Boeing X-45C, indications are that LiJian has provided could grow to 180 by 2020. This could indicate a longer pro-
the basis for longer-wingspan UAV/UCAVs from Shenyang/ duction run for the H-6K, which currently serves in two Plaaf
Hongdu, some Chinese sources suggest. It is conceivable that regiments.
Xian might eventually develop an unmanned version of the The future of long-range strategic bombing for the PLA is
H-20, especially if Russia and the U.S. were to so develop also tied to the development of efficient aerial refueling tank-
their new bombers. ers. In March-April, the Plaaf modestly increased its refuel-
Possible Chinese interest in a new supersonic regional ing platforms with the acquisition of three Ilyushin Il-76MDs
bomber was signaled in the early May 2013 emergence of a that had been converted to Il-78 tankers in Ukraine. These
model of a new low-observable-shaped twin-engine bomber, carry up to three of the Russian UPAZ drogue-hose refuel-
which appeared next to a model of the known LiJian. With ing system, whereas the previous fleet of approximately 24
an estimated length of 25-30 meters (82-98 ft.), this bomber converted H-6U tankers carry much less fuel and have only
appears to approach the late-1950s Convair B-58 (the largest two hose-drogue units. These are the RDC-1 design, derived
Western purpose-built supersonic bomber to enter service) from the British Flight Refueling Ltd. (now Cobham) FRL Mk
in size. However, available information cannot confirm wheth- 32 acquired in the mid-1980s.
er it is an active program, the loser of a previous competition Future tanker platforms may include converted Xian Y-20
or an unfunded concept. heavy transports, versions of the Comac C919 airliner, or a
Although PAK-DA is overtly a strategic deterrent system variant of the future widebody transport that has been a sub-
with the aim of holding U.S. targets at risk, it is unlikely that ject of Russia-China collaborative discussions.
any new Chinese bomber would be intended for a paral- But to make future tankers more efficient, and more com-
lel role. However, a long-range, survivable platform with a patible with larger aircraft, China may also be evaluating fly-
large missile payload would be a powerful regional asset to ing-boom refueling systems capable of higher transfer rates.
threaten adversary land bases and naval forces, particularly In a 2013 conference paper, three engineers from the School
in conjunction with supersonic, stealthy J-20 fighter/strike of Electronics and Information at the Northwest Polytechni-
aircraft. cal University proposed using differential signals from the
The PLA continues to develop new versions of the H-6 and Chinese Beidou navigation satellite system combined with
to upgrade older models with new weapons. Likely spurred optical systems to create an automated control system ap-
by early 1990s Russian refusals to sell the Tupolev Tu-22M3 plicable to hose-and-drogue or flying-boom aerial refueling
(although requests were definitely conveyed by the 2003-04 systems. c
period), the PLA opted to develop a radically upgraded ver-
sion of the H-6. With Maxim Pyadushkin in Moscow.
Target Practice
Black Dart exercise tests
how to counter UAVs
ERIC TEGLER
The MQM-170 Outlaw, a training UAV, serves as a
liferated within U.S. defense forces, the military has target surrogate to simulate a range of threats.
also conducted classified exercises on how to counter
threats from UAVs. In all, Black Dart was to test 85 systems from UAVs to
Black Dart, the military’s large-scale, live counter-un- active and passive sensors and evaluate multiple negation
manned aerial system (CUAS)/air defense exercise, takes strategies, kinetic and non-kinetic. According to Navy Capt.
place within and around Naval Base Ventura County, Cali- Andy Arnold, chief of Jiamdo’s Capabilities Assessment Div.,
fornia (formerly NAS Point Mugu, merged with the adjacent electronic warfare is a focus of this year’s Black Dart. He
Port Hueneme Naval Base and San Nicholas Island). Since it would not say what other directed-energy (lasers, electro-
began in 2004, it has been closed to media. magnetic pulse) evaluation might take place.
But in July, the exercise drew representatives from every “We’re looking at multiple lines of effort, multiple negation
U.S. military service, U.S. Customs & Border Patrol, defense strategies,” Arnold explains. “While we’re focused on counter
contractors, military research and development outfits and UAS [unmanned aerial systems], Black Dart is germane to
foreign governments—and, for the first time, the news media. integrated air and missile defense at large.”
Black Dart is run by the Joint Integrated Air & Missile South of the flight line along a 5-mi. stretch of beach, nu-
Defense Organization for the Office of the Chairman of the merous active/passive sensor and telemetry systems set up
Joint Chiefs of Staff. This year, the organization allocated $4 for Black Dart face the Pacific Ocean. They are complement-
million for the week-long exercise, a fraction of its total cost. ed by the existing instrumentation at Point Mugu, including
Each of the services funded its own participation, the bill an impressive array on Laguna Peak, a mountain just east
for which must be impressive, considering the assets sent of the field.
to Black Dart. The resident Naval Air Warfare Center Weapons Div.
U.S. Navy platforms included E-2C/D Hawkeye and MH-
60R aircraft as well as the USS Mobile Bay (CG-53) and the BUSINESS
Littoral Combat Ship USS Coronado (LCS-4). The U.S. Air
Force sent an array of tactical and command and control (C2)
aircraft, including F-22s, F-15/16s, A-10s, E-3 AWACS, MQ-9
Reapers and more. The U.S. Army provided several of its
Heavy Metal
UAVs, including the RQ-7 Shadow, as well as AH-64 Apache
helicopters. The U.S. Marine Corps supplied Black Dart’s air-
Titanium supply concerns weigh
to-ground C2 in the form of Yuma, Arizona-based Marine Air
Control Sqdn. 1 (MACS-1). There were more unseen moving
on Western manufacturers
pieces from the services and contractors. Michael Bruno Washington
Along the flight line on the northern side of the naval air
station, a grouping of nondescript trailers, RVs, two Marine ith reports of Russian military personnel all but
UAV control vehicles and a makeshift air traffic control run
from an air show control trailer house the equipment and
people providing UAV threats for the exercise.
W formally invading eastern Ukraine in recent weeks,
concerns are mounting in the aerospace and defense
(A&D) industry over titanium, and there seems no relief is in
Every so often a UAV takes off, from hand-launched RQ-11 sight.
Ravens to an Office of Naval Research-sponsored Tigershark The issue is price, or more accurately, the question as to
complete with its own payload of miniature UAVs. Media whether prices for titanium could climb if Russian supply to
were permitted to see target surrogates, training UAVs like the West’s A&D sector is restricted—which nonetheless has
the MQM-170 Outlaw and the Air Force Research Labora- not happened yet. But with the Obama administration and
tory’s 200-kt.-capable Hivast UAV. They fly a variety of pro- European leaders promising new sanctions on the heels of
files and simulate a range of threats. Some act as sensor the NATO summit in Wales earlier this month, the possibility
targets, others as jammers, and still others are sent out to continues to haunt industry.
be targeted and destroyed. In the latest update to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s so-called
BOEING
But by all accounts, corporate leaders are not perturbed. Boeing 787s and other Western widebodies are de-
“Airbus and Boeing have both remained calm over the poten- scribed as titanium-“hungry,” leading OEMs to strike
tial for supply disruption, and VSMPO is vocally keen in its supply deals.
desire to keep shipping,” RBC analysts said in late August.
For starters, Airbus’s $4 billion supply contract with VSMPO meant to cripple the Russian economy, not the U.S./EU, and
runs until 2020, and Russian management has stated that if the a titanium shortage would invariably hurt all parties involved.”
European OEM were to cancel the contract, it would be held Still, titanium headlines have emerged elsewhere to add to
liable for penalties, RBC points out. VSMPO and the Russian the friction. UTC’s Pratt & Whitney said in late August that it
government likely are not eager to curtail a steady source of was suing sub-tier titanium supplier A&P Alloys in U.S. District
hard currency, especially if sanctions result in a permanent Court in Boston over alleged fraud. Pratt also booted A&P from
loss of market share against the likes of Western providers its supply chain and said it will not accept parts containing
such as Titanium Metals (Timet), RTI International Metals material from the supplier. The issue, which Pratt has pegged
and Allegheny Technologies, RBC analysts say. at $1 million so far, led the UTC subsidiary to briefly suspend
In the meantime, Airbus, Boeing and United Technolo- delivery of its F135 engine to the Joint Strike Fighter program—
gies Corp. (UTC), at least, have been stockpiling titanium adding to headaches the powerplant provider already was suf-
supplies—a point of fact they neither promote nor avoid in fering on the high-profile engine (AW&ST Sept. 8, p. 22).
public conversations. Indeed, Boeing and UTC reportedly have But barring further discoveries by Pratt & Whitney—or
amassed six months of specialized, forged titanium reserves; an open war between Russia and Ukraine—concerns over
and Boeing credits its long-term joint venture with VSMPO, titanium supply and prices may continue to simmer without
Ural Boeing Manufacturing, for making the Russians reluctant boiling over. Pratt & Whitney promises that while “the tested
to change course on their end. VSMPO apparently also has material may not meet every Pratt & Whitney material con-
stockpiled eight months’ worth of raw materials from Ukraine. trol standard, our engine designs have significant amounts
“With Russian, American and European officials all engaged of margin and, based on our engineering assessments, such
in active contingency planning, as well as downplaying the pos- material does not pose a risk to safety of flight.”
sibility that the flow of titanium will be completely cut off, we The West’s A&D sector, in the meantime, continues not
view the probability of a severe supply chain disruption to be to see immediate major fallout from the Russia-Ukraine
low,” RBC states. “Using the current sanctions placed on the situation, RBC analysts note. “The supply of titanium is
Russian defense industry as an analog, where existing defense probably the largest concern, but as Airbus’s CEO puts it,
contracts and programs are unaffected and only new contracts the supplies are likely to continue in conditions of up to ‘all-
are banned, it seems more likely than not that the U.S. and out war,’” they say. “Put from the other perspective, Russia
other EU nations will not impose a restriction on already probably does not want to further jeopardize its already
existing purchase agreements. The sanctions, after all, are difficult economic situation.” c
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Pilot Shortage?
No, It’s a Pay
Moak is president
of the Air Line Pilots
Association,
International.
Shortage
he truth about the bogus pilot shortage is out. one that this level of compensation is not attractive,
“
expertise that passengers expect from the profes-
There are 137,000 U.S. sionals who fly them.
Some in the industry continue to use an alleged
pilots eligible to fly transports, pilot shortage as an excuse to cancel flights, drop
routes and attempt to roll back safety regulations,
and potentially another “ including the new FAA pilot-fatigue and first officer
105,000 could do so. Does this qualification and training rules.
During the rulemaking process, the FAA invited
sound like a shortage? industry, labor and government to help develop the
new regulations. The airlines were fully involved in
the process and supported it. In fact, the Regional
if offered appropriate pay and benefits, and stable Airline Association led the effort as chair of the
careers. FAA’s First Officer Minimum Qualification Aviation
The U.S. government has found the same to be Rulemaking Committee.
true. The FAA’s 2014 data show there are more than These new safety requirements were developed
137,000 active pilots who are eligible to fly—those with input from stakeholders, and the carriers had
younger than 65 and holding Air Transport Pilot years to prepare for their implementation. We can-
(ATP) and first-class medical certificates. Another not—and will not—allow a fabricated pilot shortage
105,000 pilots hold instrument ratings and commer- to derail these important safety enhancements. Our
cial pilot certificates and could potentially obtain an industry must maintain the highest possible safety
ATP. In addition, about 2,400 qualified pilots leave standards.
the U.S. military each year. Finally, the FAA certifi- What’s the solution? We don’t have a pilot shortage
cated 6,396 new ATPs in 2012, and that number is today, but we will have one unless our governments
trending upward each year. In total, there are more put North American airlines on a level playing field
than 251,000 pilots who, according to a recent Gov- internationally so they can compete successfully in
ernment Accountability Office report, are competing the global arena. In addition, we must provide our
for 72,000 airline pilot jobs. Does this sound like a professional pilots with pay and benefits that are
shortage? commensurate with the training, experience and
Why would pilots choose to leave (or never to education that the flying public demands. The result
enter) the airline piloting profession? First-year pi- will add up to a competitive North American airline
lots make between $14,000 and $23,000 at some of industry and benefit all who depend on air transpor-
the lowest-paying airlines. Is it a surprise to any- tation. c
At Rockwell Collins, we’re always looking forward – and so are our solutions. Like the head-worn
technologies that provide unprecedented situational awareness to military aircraft pilots via fused sensor
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MultiScan ThreatTrack™ weather radar, helping you see threats of turbulence, lightning and hail, before
they happen. All to help you see the right information at the right time, every time.
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