Demand Forecast Absolute Mean Squared

Period t Dt Level Lt F1 Error Et Error At Error MSEt MADt

0 22,083
1 8,000 20,675 22,083 14,083 14,083
2 13,000 19,907 20,675 7,675 7,675
3 23,000 20,217 19,907 -3,093 3,093
4 34,000 21,595 20,217 -13,783 13,783
5 10,000 20,435 21,595 11,595 11,595
6 18,000 20,192 20,435 2,435 2,435
7 23,000 20,473 20,192 -2,808 2,808
8 38,000 22,225 20,473 -17,527 17,527
9 12,000 21,203 22,225 10,225 10,225
10 13,000 20,383 21,203 8,203 8,203
11 32,000 21,544 20,383 -11,617 11,617
12 41,000 23,490 21,544 -19,456 19,456
%Error MAPEt TSt

176%
59%
13%
41%
116%
14%
12%
46%
85%
63%
36%
47%
 Absolute Mean Squared
Period t Demand Dt Level Lt Forecast F1 Error Et MADt
Error At Error MSEt
0 106.3
1 108 106.5 106.3 -1.7 1.66666667 5.5555555556 3.3333333
2 116 107.5 106.5 -9.5 9.5 46.5138888889 5.5833333
3 118 108.5 107.5 -10.6 10.55 38.0267592593 4.0722222
4 124 110.1 108.5 -15.5 15.495 60.7182006944 4.2904167
5 96 108.6 110.1 14.1 14.0545 40.0613496056 3.1442333
6 119 109.7 108.6 -10.4 10.35095 18.3199906134 2.0029361
7 96 108.3 109.7 13.7 13.684145 27.1476574513 2.1929731
8 102 107.7 108.3 6.3 6.3157305 5.3332786908 0.9977996
9 112 108.1 107.7 -4.3 4.31584255 2.3782527438 0.6647232
10 102 107.5 108.1 6.1 6.11574171 4.018007438 0.7782408
11 92 106.0 107.5 15.5 15.5041675 22.1051807923 1.5609849
12 91 104.5 106.0 15.0 14.9537508 18.8660366833 1.3850348
%Error MAPEt TSt

0.0154321 0.0154321 -1
0.0818966 0.0486643 -2
0.0894068 0.0524194 -3
0.1249597 0.0701959 -4
0.146401 0.0809166 3.939858
0.0869828 0.0512074 -6
0.1425432 0.0789876 5.479994
0.0619189 0.0386755 4.659316
0.0385343 0.0269832 -9
0.0599583 0.0376952 5.716836
0.1685236 0.0919778 8.864596
0.1643269 0.0898795 9.593322