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Insurance Outlook
The drive for transformation
and growth
A message from
the EY Insurance
leadership team Isabelle Santenac
EY Global
Insurance Leader
Insurance Outlooks
Insurance Outlook
New talent, innovative products and
richer customer experiences top the
growth agenda
from you about the other topics that are top of mind or of
growing concern.
2020 Europe
Insurance Outlook
Balancing talent and
transformation priorities with
cost and regulatory pressures
Setting the context: The fundamentals and forces shaping the market 05
90%
income, 2014-2018
Source: National Association of Insurance Commissioners
2018: 0%
2013: 0%
Source: Credit Suisse
US
12.3% 2000
21.6% 2040 (projected)
Europe
16.6%
28.0%
China
6.8% 23.8%
23.8%
Japan
17.1%
35.2%
73%
most successful companies will be those that can localize
experiences at scale by efficiently and effectively serving
customers across target markets.
4 Digitize distribution
Many of these trends will influence the industry on a longer For the EY perspective on these longer-term trends, please
time horizon or are not as likely to come to fruition. For consult our NextWave Insurance: personal lines and small
instance, we believe both artificial intelligence (AI) and commercial report > Note: NextWave reports on large
blockchain will have a profound impact on the industry, commercial and reinsurance and life insurance will be released
though the full force of these technologies remains a few in the first half of 2020.
years out.
23 1
5
22 4
21 6
20
19
Likelihood
13 14
18
15 16
10
9 17
11 12
8
7
Low
Operational excellence and cost efficiency must remain a Expense ratio, top US non-life insurers
30.6%
top priority. Insurers should ruthlessly focus on improving
their loss ratios through a diverse set of measures, including
2018:
portfolio mix diversification, improved risk selection and
2013: 30.9%
pricing, and stronger risk management and controls.
Source: Universum
55%
Data skills gap, in terms of
unfilled positions, Europe
#1
Source: European Commission
IFRS 17 is a priority concern for insurers around the globe, There are similar patterns around data privacy guidelines.
despite the postponement of the implementation deadline. For example, the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA)
Its impacts will be felt in multiple dimensions, including bears a number of similarities to the General Data Protection
technology, data and reporting processes. There will also be Regulation (GDPR) from the EU. In addition to the burden
strategic implications. For instance, new key performance of compliance, these new regulations may prevent insurers
indicators (KPIs) and reporting metrics will require insurers from collecting all the data they need to launch new digital
to articulate new storylines to explain their performance products, services and experiences. Finding new and
to investors. proactive ways to access relevant customer data will be
essential to ensure transformation journeys keep pace.
Conduct risk is another area being addressed by regulators
in multiple jurisdictions. The Haynes Royal Commission in Lessons and leading practices from other markets around
Australia and the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK are the world can be applied to increase efficiencies and lower
two prominent bodies proposing new guidelines and rules in costs in risk and compliance. Whether they are dealing with
this area. The actions and recommendations around conduct local or international regulations, insurers should aim to
risk typically involve a few common themes: find those areas where compliance investments can deliver
• Ensuring insurance products create value for customers capital efficiency and competitive advantage. Instead of
viewing compliance as a necessary evil, insurers should see it
• Promoting good customer outcomes as an incentive to improve performance.
• Setting clear limits around the collection, use and ongoing
storage of customer data
Average policy acquisition costs (as a % of net premiums earned), top US non-life insurers
>2.5X
Non-life market share growth,
China’s first online-only insurer,
2016-2018
Source: China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC)
5%
Insurers rating themselves
Estimated premiums underwritten by AI
Total cost of insured natural catastrophes, Average percentage of catastrophe losses covered
USD, 2017-2018 by insurance
2000-2009:
Global protection gap for natural catastrophe risks,
Source: Aon Benfield
USD, 2018
$221 billion
Source: Swiss Re Sigma
To do so, insurers need to improve their financial In the immediate term, insurers should keep experimenting
performance and manage through harsh economic with digital — including automation, AI and the cloud —
conditions. They must also embrace disruptive technologies at specific points in the value chain. Specifically, they
and big data to develop new business models, new should leverage these new technologies to streamline the
value propositions and new product offerings necessary underwriting process and offer a seamless and efficient
to re-ignite growth. claims process.
Individual insurers in every global region will need to take a They must also be prepared to rapidly scale what works and
different path to reach a prosperous future. The regional EY extend their digital capabilities in the context of connected
Insurance Outlooks provide more detail on market conditions products, propositions, as well as broader ecosystems that
and opportunities around the world. However, we believe offer genuinely unique customer experiences. Engaging with
insurers must address a few key areas as they move toward a third parties, including tech players and InsurTechs, will be an
brighter, more profitable future. effective move for many insurers.
This shift is opening significant opportunities. Cyber security Such programs are still in the early stages, but increasing
represents both a serious threat and huge opportunity for adoption of connected devices and other technology will
the insurance industry. At the same time, the evolution in inevitably lead to advanced offerings. Beyond effective
consumer preference from buying and owning to renting and deployment, insurers will need to strengthen their customer
using affects multiple lines of business. Autonomous vehicles relationships and navigate strict regulations around data and
will change the game in automotive lines. conduct risk if they are to take full advantage of
these technologies.
All of these new risks are prompts for new product
development. New data, advanced analytics and New regulations may even open doors. For example,
sophisticated models may make unprecedented risk data privacy and consumer protection are largely viewed
manageable and present significant market opportunity. New through the regulatory lens, but they offer upside in terms
products and services for the sharing and P2P economy, of engaging customers in strong, trust-based relationships.
usage-based insurance and subscription models are all viable Insurers must design new standards directly into products
— and potentially profitable — responses to these changes. and embed privacy and security principles deeply into
key operations.
17%
Insurers rating themselves effective
in making digital an integral part of
business strategy, 2018
Source: Gartner
“
A single insurer will
come to dominate the small
commercial sector in the
next few years, seizing up to
“
An innovative and groundbreaking
new product will be launched
in the near term, but whether
it materially improves financial
“
If InsurTechs can
overcome regulatory
restrictions, the
industry is poised
30% of the market, up from performance by 2022 is for its own industrial
5%-10% today. debatable. revolution.
“
The impact of
geopolitical uncertainty
(e.g., Brexit and
trade wars) and
“
The industry will face
a crisis for consumer
relevance as the move away
from ownership leads to
“
A chief disruption
officer reporting to
the CEO or board is
the most important
environmental issues radically different pricing new position for
(e.g., climate change) models and a shift to more insurers.
are being grossly commercial policies.
underestimated.
“
Within 10 years, a
tech company will be
a top five insurer.
“
Everyone says
they’re doing digital
underwriting and
thinks everyone else
“
As jobs are digitized
and new talent
joins the workforce,
the scope of the
is doing it, but few — cultural challenges
if any — insurers are will surprise many
doing it effectively. insurers.
Contributors
Laura C. Ford Charlie E. Mihaliak
Jim L. Kremer Louis Moran
Nilabh Kumar Bernhard J. Klein Wassink
Gail E. McGiffin Andy Worth
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