ESTACION 1

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABRI MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT
1954 9.49 10.69 12.70 10.34 7.20 5.18 3.9 3.36 3.24 6.45
1955 9.49 10.69 12.70 10.34 7.20 5.18 4.14 4.35 4.55 6.45
1956 9.49 10.69 12.70 10.34 7.20 5.18 4.14 4.35 4.55 6.45
1957 9.49 9.65 9.69 10.21 7.21 5.18 5.67 5.95 6.58 7.63
1958 11.15 11.97 12.68 11.72 9.85 7.91 4.45 4.62 4.76 6.15
1959 9.50 10.69 12.70 10.84 6.76 5.18 2.84 3.32 3.13 5.97
1960 8.76 8.96 12.01 11.65 9.11 7.12 5.67 6.19 4.55 7.24
1961 11.42 10.44 12.70 9.46 5.84 5.18 3.07 2.99 2.17 3.71
1962 8.75 9.41 10.01 10.34 7.86 6.65 6.18 4.35 6.32 7.89
1963 8.59 9.46 11.57 11.60 6.48 4.90 4.32 4.31 5.43 6.45
1964 10.38 11.30 11.53 9.84 6.73 4.95 5.17 5.21 3.98 6.13
1965 6.37 8.18 11.09 8.08 5.62 3.58 2.77 3.28 4.28 6.1
1966 8.92 10.42 8.96 7.78 7.26 6.01 2.54 5.7 6.44 7.02
1967 7.79 12.47 10.99 5.86 4.14 3.05 2.33 2.21 3.89 6.63
1968 8.69 8.63 9.47 6.40 4.40 3.64 3.21 3.02 4.21 5.96
1969 8.79 8.59 10.27 11.80 8.98 7.16 5.53 6.58 6.58 8.71
1970 10.42 11.85 11.97 12.87 10.08 5.18 6.53 6.33 4.01 7.4
1971 13.68 18.71 31.12 17.12 7.35 4.09 3.73 4.35 4.14 5.69
1972 9.49 10.69 17.76 6.79 7.20 3.72 3.66 3.77 3.76 4.96
1973 9.09 10.36 11.36 13.47 7.60 4.52 3.58 3.82 4.4 5.96
1974 9.49 10.69 12.70 10.34 7.20 5.18 3.51 3.37 4.55 6.45

ANALISIS DE CONCISTENCIA
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABRI MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT
Am 9.418 9.912 10.639 10.067 7.3327 5.9564 4.4446 4.4581 4.4916 6.5499
Bm 0.0062 0.071 0.1873 0.0251 -0.0117 -0.0709 -0.0277 -0.0095 0.0052 -0.0093
r^2 0.0007 0.0417 0.0639 0.0037 0.0023 0.1233 0.0195 0.0023 0.0008 0.0031
N 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21
Tc 0.11537 0.90927 1.13885 0.26563 0.209286267 1.63468 0.61471 0.20929 0.12334 0.24307
Tt 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1

Chart Title
16

14

12

10

8 f(x) = - 0.0125454545x + 9.0046666667

R² = 0.0027513544
6

0
0 5 10 15 20 25
 4

0
0 5 10 15 20 25

PRUEBAS DE BONDAD Y AJUSTE

ENERO
ANO Q m Q-+ P(x) Z F(Z) P(X)-F(Z) ln(Q) m
1954 9.49 1 6.37 0.04545 -2.155241953 0.01557 0.02988 1.8516 1
1955 9.49 2 7.79 0.09091 -1.173281448 0.12034 0.02943 2.05284 2
1956 9.49 3 8.59 0.13636 -0.620064263 0.26761 0.13124 2.1506 3
1957 9.49 4 8.69 0.18182 -0.550912114 0.29085 0.10903 2.16217 4
1958 11.15 5 8.75 0.22727 -0.509420825 0.30523 0.07796 2.16905 5
1959 9.50 6 8.76 0.27273 -0.502505611 0.30766 0.03493 2.1702 6
1960 8.76 7 8.79 0.31818 -0.481759966 0.31499 0.00319 2.17361 7
1961 11.42 8 8.92 0.36364 -0.391862173 0.34758 0.01606 2.1883 8
1962 8.75 9 9.09 0.40909 -0.274303521 0.39193 0.01717 2.20717 9
1963 8.59 10 9.49 0.45455 0.00000E+00 0.5 0.04545 2.24989 10
1964 10.38 11 9.49 0.5 0 0.5 0 2.24989 11
1965 6.37 12 9.49 0.54545 0 0.5 0.04545 2.24989 12
1966 8.92 13 9.49 0.59091 0 0.5 0.09091 2.24989 13
1967 7.79 14 9.49 0.63636 0 0.5 0.13636 2.24989 14
1968 8.69 15 9.49 0.68182 0 0.5 0.18182 2.24989 15
1969 8.79 16 9.50 0.72727 0.009220286 0.50368 0.22359 2.25129 16
1970 10.42 17 10.38 0.77273 0.617759191 0.73163 0.04109 2.33988 17
1971 13.68 18 10.42 0.81818 0.64542005 0.74067 0.07751 2.34373 18
1972 9.49 19 11.15 0.86364 1.150230732 0.87498 0.01134 2.41144 19
1973 9.09 20 11.42 0.90909 1.336941533 0.90938 0.00029 2.43537 20
1974 9.49 21 13.68 0.95455 2.899780083 0.99813 0.04359 2.61593 21
X 9.49 DELTA 0.22359 0.14611
S 1.44609 DELTA0 0.294 2.23917
Nota: como el ∆ es menor a ∆o …OK!
distribuciones teoricas
normal log. Normal 2 paramtrs
T(Anos) F(z) Z Qi T(Anos) F(z) Z
5 0.8 0.84162 10.7037 5 0.8 11.9353
10 0.9 1.28155 11.3399 10 0.9 11.9353
25 0.96 1.75069 12.0183 25 0.96 11.9353
50 0.98 2.05375 12.4566 50 0.98 11.9353
100 0.99 2.32635 12.8508 100 0.99 11.9353
NOV DIC MAX DIF
8.16 8.87 12.70
8.16 8.87 12.70 0
8.16 8.87 12.70 0 N1= 204
8.71 8.87 10.21 2.488666667 X1= 7.56
9.72 11 12.68 2.47 S1= 2.757724431
7.42 8.87 12.70 0.018666667
8.58 10.03 12.01 0.688666667 Sp=
5.51 7.5 12.70 0.688666667 Sd=
8.16 7.14 10.34 2.355541667 Tc=
8.52 10.58 11.60 1.256875 gl=
8.09 6.66 11.53 0.07 Tt=
7.02 8.79 11.09 0.44
8.18 7.9 10.42 0.67 Nota: como el Tc es menor al Tt queda, OK
8.86 8.98 12.47 2.05
6.68 8.16 9.47 3
10.21 8.87 11.80 2.33
12.01 13.49 13.49 1.69
5.9 7.6 31.12 17.63
6.94 8.13 17.76 13.36 N2= 48
8.13 8.15 13.47 4.29 X2= 8.15
8.16 8.87 12.70 0.771333333 S2= 5.699207537
31.12

X Y
NOV DIC t Tm corregido
8.1708 9.0047 1 8.87 1 8.312466667
-0.0013 -0.0125 2 8.87 2 8.306266667
0 0.0028 3 8.87 3 8.300066667
21 21 4 8.87 4 8.293866667
0 0.23097 5 11 5 10.41766667
2.1 2.1 6 8.87 6 8.281466667
7 10.03 7 9.435266667
Nota: ningun Tc es mayor a los Tt… OK!! 8 7.5 8 6.899066667
9 7.14 9 6.532866667
10 10.58 10 9.966666667
11 6.66 11 6.040466667
12 8.79 12 8.164266667
13 7.9 13 7.268066667
14 8.98 14 8.341866667
15 8.16 15 7.515666667
16 8.87 16 8.219466667
17 13.49 17 12.83326667
18 7.6 18 6.937066667
19 8.13 19 7.460866667
20 8.15 20 7.474666667
21 8.87 21 8.188466667
8.87
 P(x) F(Z)
0.04545 0.01557
0.09091 0.12034
0.13636 0.26761
0.18182 0.29085 Chart Title
0.22727 0.30523
1.2
0.27273 0.30766
0.31818 0.31499 1
0.36364 0.34758
0.40909 0.39193 0.8
0.45455 0.5
0.6
0.5 0.5
0.54545 0.5 0.4
0.59091 0.5
0.63636 0.5 0.2

0.68182 0.5 0
0.72727 0.50368 0 5 10 15 20 25
0.77273 0.73163 P(x) F(Z)
0.81818 0.74067
0.86364 0.87498
0.90909 0.90938
0.95455 0.99813

el ∆ es menor a ∆o …OK!!
 3.504528138
0.562204243
1.045685368
250
1.96

o el Tc es menor al Tt queda, OK!!!

25