Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Sergio Rebelo
Northwestern University
April 4, 2011
• Call option
– Gives the right to buy a specific amount of foreign
currency with domestic currency at the exchange rate
stated in the contract.
• Put Option
– Gives the right to sell a specific amount of foreign
currency with domestic currency at the exchange rate
stated in the contract.
Foreign currency options
Terminology
• Exercising the option
– Engaging in the transaction specified in the options contract.
• Option
p p
price or p
premium
– The price that needs to be paid for the right to exercise the option.
• Exercise price or Strike Price
– The exchange rate in the option contract at which the buyer can transact.
• Expiration or Maturity date
– Date by which the option will become worthless if not exercised.
• European Options
– They can only be exercised at maturity.
• American options
– They allow early exercise.
• An option is in the money
– If revenue could be obtained from exercising the option immediately.
• An option is out of the money
– If no revenue could
ld be
b obtained
bt i d from
f exercising
i i the
th option
ti immediately.
i di t l
• An option is at the money
– If the current price coincides with the strike price.
Profit and loss buyer of a call option
(long call position)
Profit in
US$
0.80 Spott P
S Price
i
$/Euro
-0.001x(1+.10)
Profit in
US$
Out of the money At the money In the money
Unlimited profit
0 80
0.80 0 8011
0.8011 Spot Price
Limited loss $/Euro
-0.001x(1+.10)
Profit in
US$
0.001x(1+.10)
Li it d profit
Limited fit
• The
e profits
p o s ata maturity
a u y are:
a e
– (0.8-S) if S<0.80
– Zero if S>0.80
• The break even point is the value of the spot exchange rate (S) such that these
profits compensate exactly the future value of the option price:
(0 8 S) - 0.001x(1.10)=0,
(0.8-S) 0 001 (1 10) 0
which implies S = 0.7989
• Maximum net profits occur when S=0 and equal 0.8-0.001x(1.10)=0.7989
Profit and loss, writer of a put option on Euros
(short put position)
Profit in
US$
0.001x(1+.10)
Limited profit
0.7989
• An exporter
p from the U.S. to the U.K. has
an account receivable of 500,000 British
Pounds due in 30 days.
• Data:
– Spot Rate ($/BP) 1.5392
– 30-day Forward Rate ($/BP): 1.5292
– U.S. dollar 30 day interest rate: 3.75% p.a.
– British pound 30-day
30 day interest rate: 6.65%
6 65% p.a.
pa
– Pound European Put Option (maturity 30 days):
cost 2.28 cents per pound with a strike price of
$1 525/BP
$1.525/BP
Hedging with options
Example 1
$ Unhedged Value of 0.5M £ Put Option on the Pound
$
Strike price
$762,500 0
$1.525
($/ £))
St+30 ($
-$11,435.6
0
t 30 ($/ £)
$1.525
$ St+30
$ Hedged Position = Unhedged Position +
Put Option
$751,064
0 St+30 ($/ £)
$1.525
Hedging with options
Example 1
Revenue
in US$
Position hedged with put options
$751,064
• Let’s try to build a synthetic forward combining two options with a strike
price
i equall tto th
the fforward
d rate
t
• Notice that if you hold this portfolio you will buy foreign currency forward
at price F regardless of the value of the future spot rate.
rate The only
difference between the payoffs to the option portfolio and the payoffs to
the forward contract is the -C + P payment at time zero.
Profit
$/Euro
Spot Price
ce
F
$/Euro
Forward contract
Put-call-forward parity for European currency options
Apparticular case
Profit
$/Euro
F
Spot Price
$/E
$/Euro
-C
Profit
$/E
$/Euro
F
Spot Price
$/Euro
-C
Cost of the call option
Profit
$/Euro
F
Spot Price
$/Euro
-C
Cost of the call option
Profit
$/Euro
F
Spot Price
$/Euro
-C
C
Cost of the call option
Put-call-forward parity for European currency options
Apparticular case
Profit
$/Euro
F
Spot Price
$/Euro
-C
Cost of the call option
Put-call-forward parity for European currency options
Apparticular case
Profit
$/Euro
F
Spot Price
$/Euro
-C
C
Cost of the call option
Put-call-forward parity for European currency options
The general case
• Notice that if you hold this portfolio you will buy foreign currency forward
at price K regardless of the value of the future spot rate.
(P-C)(1+R) + F-K = 0
Difference between
Diff b t the
th price
i att which
hi h currency is
i bought
b ht forward
f d
Profit from selling put and buying call through the outright forward (F) and the options portfolio (K)
(can be positive or negative) (can be positive or negative)
, $%#&#' (')*#++ %+ -"# .%/%- )0 1 '1&2)/ 31.4 3"#& -"# -%/# %&-#'51.
6)#+ -) 7#') 8
!" ! !" !9 " ε" !
ε" " %:%:2: # #;! 9$"
<)-# -"1-8
!" "$ ! !" " # #;! $ $"
+) -"# 51'%1&*# )0 -"# *"1&6# 6')3+ .%'.= )5#' -%/#:
!"# $%#&#' (')*#++
!
∆!" ! ε" ∆"!
ε" " %,%,-, # "." /#!
∆!
5%6 ! ε" "∆" #$//7 ! ∞,
∆" #. ∆"
8+ ∆" # . !
$!" ! ε" $"!
!"# $%#&#' (')*#++
!
!"# ! ε# !#!
,')(#'-%#+.
$ "!"# # ! /"
! "
%&' "!"# # ! $ "!" #0 ! !#!
!"#$"%&'( )&#*+',+ $#%'#+
/�"&%'"12
% #!"# $ ! µ"# !#-
! "
3
&'( #!$# $ ! % #!" $3 " %% #!" $& ! σ3 "#3 !#!
!"# $%#&'((
*%#$'%"+'(,
' "!" # ! #""! $ #!$)
! "
-
(#) "!" # ! ' "!" #- ! %' "!" #& ! % - ""! $ #!$)
!"#$% &'(()
; ;
∆' ! (" ∆" $ ($ ∆$ $ ("" "∆" #< $ ($$ "∆$ #< $ ($" ∆$∆" $
< <
9/=9'- #-0'- "'-(%3
"∆" #< ! #< ""! $ # "∆$ #< $ <#""! $ #% ""! $ #∆$∆& $ %< ""! $ # "∆& #< "
!"#$% &'(()
!
∆!" ! ε" ∆"!
"∆# #* ! $* "#" " # "∆" #* $ *$"#" " #% "#" " # "∆" #+/* ε" $ %* "#" " #ε*" ∆"!
2)3-4. &-(-"% )% ∆$ ! 56
*
%! ! "# %# " "$ %$ " "## & + ##! $ $%$1
+
7%-4.6
%# ! '##! $ $%$ " & ##! $ $%("
*
%! ! "# %'##! $ $%$ " & ##! $ $%( & " "$ %$ " "## & + ##! $ $%$1
+
8'(()
! "
* +
%! ! "$ " '##! $ $"# " & ##! $ $"## %$ " & ##! $ $"# %()
+
!"#$% &'(()
*+)(,&'
$%&'( &/. *'"+%#, &,,0-# 1"&1 ,1+'( 234'#, 5+%%+6 & 7#+-#134'
$3+6/4&/ -+14+/8
!& ! %&!#>
# ! !"(
% ! $"( ! "
!"# $%&'()*'"+%#, -.#
>
!" ! #$ !$ " #% !& " σ? & ? #&& !$ " ' #!& " δ&!$ $ " ()!$
?
>
< ! #$ !$ " σ? & ? #&& !$ ! #& δ&!$ " ( #&#% ! # $ !$
?
$%&'()*'"+%#,@, -&41/&% ./A#4#01/&% #56&1/+0;
>
< ! #$ " σ? & ? #&& " #( ! δ$ &#% ! (#
?
!"/, #56&1/+0 /, 2&%/. B+4 &0: C#0#4/' +-1/+0 # #&! $ $=
D/A#4#01 +-1/+0, ,/3-%: "&2# ./A#4#01 8+60.&4: '+0./1/+0,=
!"# $%&'()*'"+%#, -+./0%&
10.+2#&3 '&%% +245+3
6 10.+2#&3 '&%% 4"&4 #725.#, &4 45/# ! &38 "&, & ,4.5(# 2.5'# " "&, &
9+038&.: '+38545+3;
! ! !"# ! $
2'#:#
" ! !!%
$ ! #!% ! !
;# 7&+ 13+%'#1*4# & 7&$$ 0/%*0+ <3 <.3*+) !% 1'&:#1 0= 1%07> &+(
*+?#1%*+) ! ! #!% *+ %'# :*1>@=:## &11#%5
!% *1 0=%#+ 7&$$#( !(#$%&8, '#+7# %'# %#:A !(#$%& '#()*+)5,
!"#$%&' %& (%)*$+& ,-))*&,.
/011 %& (%)*$+& ,-))*&,.
!%
# ! !$ "" & "'> # " ($ ""% & "'? #;
35*)* & $' #5* ,-@-10#$8* &%)@01 4$'#)$A-#$%& 0&4
! "
1&"! /( # $ " " " ! $ ?> σ? %
'> ! #
σ %
#
'? ! '> " σ %
B5* C10,9:D,5%1*' @%4*1 0""1$*4 #% ,-))*&,. %"#$%&' $' 9&%3& 0' #5*
E0)@*&:F%5150+*& @%4*1<
!"#$%&' %& (%)*$+& ,-))*&,.
/-# %& (%)*$+& ,-))*&,.
")
! ! "# !$% & "!'0 # ! (# !$ & "!'1 #
!"#$%&' ()$*+%$%+,
At the money
vols (%)
EUR/USD 1 month 10.7
EUR/USD 12 months 12.3
EUR/GBP 1 month 9.9
EUR/GBP 12 months 11.9
USD/JPY 1 month 10.9
USD/JPY 12 months 13.1
!"#$%&' ()$*+%$%+,