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ABSTRACT
Bisphosphonates have been shown to reduce mortality in patients with osteoporotic fractures, but the mechanism is unclear.
Bisphosphonates have immunomodulatory effects that may influence the development of vascular disease. We sought to determine
if bisphosphonate use is associated with a reduced risk of myocardial infarction (MI) in a rheumatoid arthritis (RA) population with high
prevalence of bisphosphonate use and vascular disease. Adult patients with RA enrolled in the National Data Bank for Rheumatic
Diseases, a longitudinal study of RA patients enrolled continuously from U.S. rheumatology practices between 2003 and 2011, were
included in the analysis (n ¼ 19,281). Patients completed questionnaires every 6 months. including questions on medication use,
demographic information, clinical information, and health status. MIs were confirmed by a central adjudicator. Among the 5689 patients
who were treated with bisphosphonates at some time during the study period, the risk of MI while on bisphosphonate compared to
when not on bisphosphonate was 0.56 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.37–0.86; p < 0.01) after adjustment for multiple confounders. In
models including all 19,281 treated and untreated patients, the adjusted risk of first MI was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.54–0.96; p ¼ 0.02) and of all MIs
it was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.53–0.97; p ¼ 0.03) in bisphosphonate users compared to nonusers. This finding suggests a potential mechanism for
the mortality reduction observed with bisphosphonate medications. ß 2013 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
Received in original form August 8, 2012; revised form September 18, 2012; accepted October 1, 2012. Accepted manuscript online October 16, 2012.
Address correspondence to: Cathleen S Colón-Emeric, MD, 508 Fulton St., GRECC 182, Durham, NC 27705, USA. E-mail: colon001@mc.duke.edu
For a Commentary on this article, please see Reid and Bolland (J Bone Miner Res. 2013;28:980–983. DOI: 10.1002/jbmr.1928).
Journal of Bone and Mineral Research, Vol. 28, No. 5, May 2013, pp 984–991
DOI: 10.1002/jbmr.1792
ß 2013 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research
984
other medication classes) showed a 10% to 11% relative Outcomes and follow-up
reduction in mortality.(14) A prospective cohort study found that
Case definition of MI
oral bisphosphonates are associated with reduced mortality in
both women and men irrespective of their initial bone mineral Only MIs that were confirmed by a central adjudication
density.(15) Although all of these studies support that bispho- committee were included in this study. As described,(23) possible
sphonates reduce mortality in both women and men with MIs were identified from study questionnaires, hospitalization
osteoporosis, it is not clear which pathways are involved in their records, physician reports, and death records. If primary source
mechanism of action. documents were not available to adjudicate a potential MI, we
Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) causes bone loss and osteoporosis contacted the patient’s physician and/or interviewed the patient
due to reduced physical activity, inflammation from the or family with a structured, preplanned interview designed to
underlying disease, and medications used for treatment.(16–18) address the reported condition. Comparison of patient self-
RA is also associated with an increased risk of myocardial reports with medical records indicates agreement in more than
infarction (MI), thought to be caused at least in part by increased 94% of cases. Review of potential cases was performed by two
circulating levels of inflammatory cytokines.(19–21) Based on trained, experienced NDB staff reviewers. This review was
previous epidemiologic studies and known immunologic effects followed by an independent physician review. Death records in
of bisphosphonates, we hypothesized that one mechanism by which MI was recorded as the underlying cause of death must
which bisphosphonates could reduce mortality was by decreas- have referred to deaths that occurred within 6 months of the last
ing the risk of MI. In the current study we examined the effect of questionnaire to be included as an MI.
bisphosphonates on the risk of MI in patients with RA. We
selected an RA population because MI occurs with higher
frequency in patients with that illness, as does the use of Selection of covariates
bisphosphonates prescribed for osteoporosis.
To identify possible covariates associated with bisphosphonate
prescription, we analyzed potential variables in a multivariable
Materials and Methods generalized estimating equation (GEE) logistic model that
Design overview included all study observations. We included sex, age, education
categories, household income, body mass index (BMI) catego-
This work was a post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort study ries,(27) prior clinical fractures, the presence of a bone density
using the National Data Bank for Rheumatic Diseases (NDB) test, and marital status. In addition, we examined variables
longitudinal study of RA outcomes.(22) The NDB utilizes an open present in the last 6 months potentially related to MI risk,
cohort design in which patients were enrolled continuously including recent MI, hypertension, diabetes, BMI, and smoking.
beginning in 1998 and followed until death or study withdrawal. Finally, to assess for long-term risk factors we included ‘‘lagged
The study database characteristics, including drug assessment variables’’ reported to be present prior to the most recent
methods and validity, completeness of follow-up, and validity of semiannual questionnaire. Lagged variables included Health
self-reported data has been reported previously.(22–26) Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) score,(28) use of statins,
antihypertensives, calcium, and prednisone, and all clinical
Setting and participants fractures within the last 5 years. Because statin use was not found
to distinguish between bisphosphonate users and non-users in
We included all 19,281 adult patients with a rheumatologist- multivariable models, and antihypertensive use was not different
confirmed diagnosis of RA who participated in the NDB and between groups, other specific cardiovascular agents were not
completed at least two 6-month questionnaires. Participants included in the models.
were volunteers, recruited from the practices of U.S. rheumatol-
ogists, who complete extensive mailed or Internet question-
naires about their health at 6-month intervals. Participants were
Statistical analysis
recruited in all 50 states, and were not compensated for their
participation. Three models were constructed using different inclusion criteria
The study was carried out in compliance with the Helsinki and modeling strategies in order to assess the sensitivity of the
Declaration, and was approved by the Institutional Review results to different underlying assumptions. Because bispho-
Boards of the St. Francis Regional Medical Center, Wichita, KS, the sphonate treatment is not random and likely relates to
Medical University of South Carolina, and Duke University underlying MI risk through unmeasured factors such as health
Medical Center. All patients signed an informed consent. behaviors and contact with the healthcare system, our primary
model included only patients who had been treated with
bisphosphonates at some time during the follow-up period in
Interventions
order to minimize selection bias. Two additional sensitivity
Patients were assessed on a semiannual basis between July 2003 models allowed us to examine the effect in ever-treated versus
and June 2011. At each assessment we inquired about treatment never-treated patients, and to include multiple MI events. In all
and events that occurred in the previous 6 months. Treatment models, subjects were censored at death or loss to follow-up, and
data included nonprescription medications, dose, and treatment all covariates significantly different at the p < 0.05 level were
start and end dates.(22) included.
Journal of Bone and Mineral Research BISPHOSPHONATES AND RISK OF MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION 985
Model I: treated patients only was 2.5 2.1 (range, 0.5–8.0) years. The mean SD duration of
follow-up in the study was 4.19 3.0 (range, 0.50–9.0) years. The
Using Cox regression with start time at the first subject
average dose of bisphosphonate was very similar to the
observation and bisphosphonate use as a time varying covariate,
recommended osteoporosis treatment dose for each agent.
we estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of a first MI during treatment
As measured at a random observation, patients treated with
compared to off treatment, after adjustment for covariates. Thus,
bisphosphonates differed from those not treated in all
subjects contributed ‘‘on treatment’’ follow-up time while taking
demographic and clinical characteristics studied, although some
bisphosphonates, and ‘‘off treatment’’ follow-up time before
of the differences were small (Table 1). Treated patients were
and/or after their bisphosphonate exposure. The use of a treated-
older (67.6 versus 59.5 years of age), had lower household
patient model decreases patient heterogeneity, because only
income ($35,000 versus $45,000), were more likely to be female
patients who receive therapy are evaluated.
(86.8% versus 75.2%), had a lower BMI (26.5 kg/m2 versus
28.9 kg/m2), had more fractures over the course of the study
Model II: treated patients and untreated patients (26.9% versus 11.7%), and were more likely to be receiving
We performed Cox regression in all treated and untreated prednisone therapy (43.1% versus 28.5%). With respect to
patients beginning with the first study observation, and cardiovascular risk factors, diabetes was more prevalent (12.5%
estimated the effect of bisphosphonates on the risk of the first versus 10.1%) and statin use more common (21.9% versus 18.3%)
MI, after adjustment for covariates. The all-patients model allows in never-users, whereas hypertension (38.2% versus 35.8%) was
comparison between treated patients and those who never more common in ever-users. Patients treated with bispho-
received treatment. sphonates had more severe RA as evidenced by increased use of
prednisone and opioids (26.8% versus 23.8%), and worse
Model III: treated patients and untreated patients functional status as measured by HAQ score (1.2 versus 1.0)
and 36-item Short Form Health Survey Physical Component
We used all observations in a GEE analysis with a logit link and Summary (SF-36 PCS) score (35.3 versus 36.8).
robust standard errors to determine the population averaged risk
for any MI associated with bisphosphonate therapy, after
adjustment for covariates. The GEE model allows evaluation of Reduction in the risk of MI with bisphosphonate therapy
multiple MIs in an individual patient. During follow-up, approximately 1.8% of the cohort experienced
All Cox models satisfied the proportional hazards assumption. a first MI, with 340 events in 19,281 patients. The 5689 patients
The relationship between age and risk of MI was nonlinear. To starting on bisphosphonates at some time during the study
better analyze the data, age was modeled using a restricted period (Model I: treated patients; Table 2) were analyzed in
cubic spline with four knots. Data were analyzed using Stata unadjusted and adjusted Cox regressions. The relative hazard of
12.0 (Stata Corporation, College Station, TX, USA). Because first MI while on bisphosphonates compared to when not on
the study aims were exploratory, no adjustment for multiple bisphosphonate was 0.53 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.35–
comparison was made. 0.81) in the unadjusted model and 0.56 (95% CI, 0.37–0.86) in the
Covariates were missing in 4% to 6% of observations. Because adjusted model, with an absolute decrease in the rate of MI from
the data were longitudinal, prior values of fixed characteristics 6.0 MI per 1000 person-years to 2.6 MI per 1000 person years.
were often available; ie, diabetes reported in a previous When all 19,281 treated and untreated patients were considered
observation. In the case of such variables, we replaced the (Model II; Table 2), the unadjusted relative risk was 0.69 (95% CI,
current missing values with the most recent present value. 0.52–0.92) and the adjusted relative risk was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.54–
This left between 0.6% and 1.8% of observations with missing 0.96), with an absolute decrease in the rate of MI from 4.3 MI per
covariates. In this instance we used a randomly selected hot- 1000 person-years to 3.5 MI per 1000 person years. Finally, we
decked replacement or a mean substitution by sex. Because the used a population averaged GEE model that allowed inclusion of
rate of missingness was very low, we did not use multiple multiple MIs per patient (Model III). As with the other models,
imputation. bisphosphonate therapy was associated with a protective effect,
odds ratio 0.71 (95% CI, 0.53–0.95) for the unadjusted model and
Results odds ratio 0.72 (95% CI, 0.53–0.97) for the adjusted model.
We were unable to measure the exact time bisphosphonate
Characteristics of patients treated and not treated with
use was initiated or stopped within a 6-month period, only
bisphosphonates
whether it was used during that period or not. To examine
Eighty-one percent of NDB participants provided at least the effect of duration of therapy we assumed that usage within a
6 months of follow-up data and were included in the analysis 6-month period was for the entire 6 months. Under that
(n ¼ 19,281). Of these, 5689 used bisphosphonates at some time assumption, using GEE analyses in the fully adjusted model, we
during the study period: 61.2% used alendronate; 26.2% used found a trend for an association between time on bispho-
risedronate; 12.2% used ibandronate; and 1.4% used etidronate, sphonate and MI, OR 0.92 (95% CI, 0.84–1.0; p ¼ 0.053).
pamidronate, or zoledronic acid. We combined users of any of In our adjusted Cox analysis for all subjects who had ever
the above bisphosphonates into a single ‘‘bisphosphonate’’ user received bisphosphonate, we tested for the interaction between
variable. The mean starting year of bisphosphonate therapy was previous MI and bisphosphonate effect. Although the test for
the second half of 2006, and the mean SD duration of therapy interaction was not significant (p ¼ 0.12), the hazard ratios (HRs)
suggested a possibly greater MI reduction effect in those without Because calcium and vitamin D have been reported to impact
a prior MI (HR 0.58) than in those with a prior MI (HR 1.66). There the risk of cardiovascular events,(29,30) we also evaluated bisphos-
was no significant bisphosphonate by gender interaction phonate therapy in combination with calcium and vitamin D
(p ¼ 0.93). In sensitivity analyses completed with and without treatment. The combination of bisphosphonates, calcium, and
fracture patients included, results were unchanged. vitamin D was significantly superior to no treatment, and the
Journal of Bone and Mineral Research BISPHOSPHONATES AND RISK OF MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION 987
effect was consistent across all models. Figure 1 shows the
effect of different combinations of bisphosphonate, calcium,
and vitamin D therapies on the risk of MI for the Cox model
including all patients. Figure 2 displays the proportion of the
sample surviving without first MI over time in subjects on
bisphosphonates with and without calcium and vitamin D.
Discussion
Journal of Bone and Mineral Research BISPHOSPHONATES AND RISK OF MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION 989
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