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Full results are shown in column (7) of table 204 and may be com- observed in the population being

rved in the population being studied. Among these stable popu­


pared with the reported age distribution shown in colnmn (8). lations, the one having the same growth rate as the reported popula­
tion is preferable.
3. Comparison with a standard age distribution Step 4: the Y-transformation of the standard age distribution. Steps 1
(a) Basis of method and its raţionale and 2 are repeated for the selected standard age distribution.
Step 5: relation of the Y-transformations of the reported and standard
In some circumstances, when the quality of the age data is poor or age distributions. A
second-degree polynomial is assumed to represent
when ages seem to be aflected by systematic misreporting other than
the ralationship between the y-transformations of the reported and
heaping, some adjustment procedure tnore drastic than that described
the standard age distributions. To simplify the fitting procedura, the
in subsection B.2 may be necessaty. One approach to such adjustment
polynomial selected is that passing through the origin, the mean of a
involves the comparison of the reported age distribution with some
first group of points and the mean of a second group of points. where
standard age distribution, followed by the adjustment of the standard
the groups used are of equal size but exclude any extreme values that
age distribution to reflect the main features of the reported one; the
fall well away from a likely parabola. Therefore, the fitted equation
result should be an age distribution that retains some of the broad
characteristics of the reported distribution while at the same time has the form
being free of obvious bias.
Y(x)= a(YS(x))2+PYS(x), (B.7)
In practice, a stable population derived from a suitable model life
table and having a reasonable rate of growth for the application in where a and f t can be estimated as
hand can be used as the standard age distribution, particularly if there
is reason to believe that the actual population is stable or quasi-stable.
The comparison of the reported and model distributions is made easier l °_1(î» (B.8)
l ys,-ys ys, fs 2
by the use of a transformation that linearizes the ralationship between 2
age and the cumulated proportion of the population under each age.
In growing populations, such as those of most developing countries, a and
suitable transformation is
y _
T(;O=ln[(1.0+C(x))/(1.0-C(*))] (B.6) j8= -=r- — a Y2S 2 (B.9)
YS2

where C ( x ) is the proportion of the population under age x . From where ( Y S „ Fi) and (FS2, Fi) are the mean points for the first and
here on, the transformation defined by equation (B.6) is referred to as
the second groups, respectively. As usual, YS denotes the F-
the y-transformation. Values of Y (x ) for the population in question
transformation of the standard.
can be plotted against standard values, Y S (x ), for a suitable standard
stable population; and deviations from an approximately parabolic Step 6: calcuiation of estimated age distribution. Having estimated a
ralationship can be noted (in practice, when the data are not and P , equation (B.7) can be used to obtain adjusted values of the F-
extremely distorted, this ralationship deviates only very slightly from transformation, Y * (x ), which can, in turn, be inverted to produce esti-
that represented by a straight line). An adjusted age distribution can mates of an adjusted age distribution. For the sake of completeness,
be obtained by fitting a curve to the points that are regarded as least equation (B.10) indicates how the adjusted values F*(x) are obtained
biased and then reversing the transformation process to obtain a and equation (B.l I) shows how an estimate of the adjusted C * ( x ), the
smooth cumulated age distribution. Tests with model populations estimated proportion under age x , is calculated:
have suggested that adequate results can be obtained by fitting a
second-degree polynomial (a parabola) to the selected points, a pro­ Y*(x)=a(YS(x))2+PYS(x); (B.10)
cess that is simplified because one can require the fitted parabola to
pass through the origin (since the population proportion under age C•(*) = (exp[ F*(x)] -1.0)/( exp{ F*(x)] +1.0). (B. 11)
zero has to be zero) and through the means of both the first half and
the second half of the selected points.
Tbese C*(jc) proportions can be multiplied by the total reported
The following data are required for this method;
population to find the estimated number of persons under age x, and
estimates of the population in five-year age groups can then be
(b) Dala required
obtained by subtraction.
(o) The population classified by sex and five-year age group;
(d) A detailed example
(b) A standard age distribution by five-year age group. A stable
population subject to a growth rate and mortality risks similar to those Once more, the age distribution of the male population of Sri
of the population being studied is usually a suitable choice. Lanka, as recorded by the fertility survey in 1975, is used to illustrate
this method (see table 203).
(c) Computaţional procedare Step 1: calcuiation of proportions under ages ending in zero or fire.
The steps of the computaţional procedure are described below. Column (2) of table 205 shows the proportions under each age x. mul­
tiple of five, denoted by C ( x ) , also including in this case that under
Step 1: calcuiation ofproportions under ages ending in zero or fire. The
age I.
proportion of the population under each age x, denoted by C(x ) , is
Step 2: calcuiation of Y-transformation of the reported proportions
found by summing the populations of each five-year age group below
the age in question and dividing the resulting sum by the total popula­ The proportions C ( x ) calculated in the
under ages x five years aport.
tion of known age, that is, excluding those of unstated age. previous step are transformed, using equation (B.6), into Y (x ) values.
Thus, for age 15,
Step 2: calcuiation of Y-transformation of the reported proportions
under ages fire years aport. The y-transformation of each of the C ( x )
proportions calculated in the previous step is obtained by using equa­ F(15)=ln[(1.0+C(15))/(l.0-C(15))]
tion (B.6). /For the sake of completeness, this equation is repeated
here: = ln[( 1.0 +0.3716)/( 1.0 -0.3716)] = 0.7806.

Y (x )= ln((l.0+C(x))/(1.0—C(x))]. (B.6) The full set of Y(x) values is shown in column (4) of table 205.
Step 3: selection of a standard age distribution. Procedures for fitting a
Note that the y-transformation of any proportion C ( x ) assumes stable population to the one observed are presented in chapter VII
values ranging from zero to infinity. and need not be described again here. For Sri Lanka, a West model
Step 3: selection of a standard age distribution. The standard popula­ stable population of mortality level 18, with a growth rate of 0.030,
tion age distribution, against which the reported population is to be was selected. The proportions under each age x for this population
compared, should be selected from that of stable populations whose are shown in column (3) of table 205. They are referred to below as
mortality level and pattem approximate as dosely as possible those “standard proportions”.

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