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where C ( x ) is the proportion of the population under age x . From where ( Y S „ Fi) and (FS2, Fi) are the mean points for the first and
here on, the transformation defined by equation (B.6) is referred to as
the second groups, respectively. As usual, YS denotes the F-
the y-transformation. Values of Y (x ) for the population in question
transformation of the standard.
can be plotted against standard values, Y S (x ), for a suitable standard
stable population; and deviations from an approximately parabolic Step 6: calcuiation of estimated age distribution. Having estimated a
ralationship can be noted (in practice, when the data are not and P , equation (B.7) can be used to obtain adjusted values of the F-
extremely distorted, this ralationship deviates only very slightly from transformation, Y * (x ), which can, in turn, be inverted to produce esti-
that represented by a straight line). An adjusted age distribution can mates of an adjusted age distribution. For the sake of completeness,
be obtained by fitting a curve to the points that are regarded as least equation (B.10) indicates how the adjusted values F*(x) are obtained
biased and then reversing the transformation process to obtain a and equation (B.l I) shows how an estimate of the adjusted C * ( x ), the
smooth cumulated age distribution. Tests with model populations estimated proportion under age x , is calculated:
have suggested that adequate results can be obtained by fitting a
second-degree polynomial (a parabola) to the selected points, a pro Y*(x)=a(YS(x))2+PYS(x); (B.10)
cess that is simplified because one can require the fitted parabola to
pass through the origin (since the population proportion under age C•(*) = (exp[ F*(x)] -1.0)/( exp{ F*(x)] +1.0). (B. 11)
zero has to be zero) and through the means of both the first half and
the second half of the selected points.
Tbese C*(jc) proportions can be multiplied by the total reported
The following data are required for this method;
population to find the estimated number of persons under age x, and
estimates of the population in five-year age groups can then be
(b) Dala required
obtained by subtraction.
(o) The population classified by sex and five-year age group;
(d) A detailed example
(b) A standard age distribution by five-year age group. A stable
population subject to a growth rate and mortality risks similar to those Once more, the age distribution of the male population of Sri
of the population being studied is usually a suitable choice. Lanka, as recorded by the fertility survey in 1975, is used to illustrate
this method (see table 203).
(c) Computaţional procedare Step 1: calcuiation of proportions under ages ending in zero or fire.
The steps of the computaţional procedure are described below. Column (2) of table 205 shows the proportions under each age x. mul
tiple of five, denoted by C ( x ) , also including in this case that under
Step 1: calcuiation ofproportions under ages ending in zero or fire. The
age I.
proportion of the population under each age x, denoted by C(x ) , is
Step 2: calcuiation of Y-transformation of the reported proportions
found by summing the populations of each five-year age group below
the age in question and dividing the resulting sum by the total popula The proportions C ( x ) calculated in the
under ages x five years aport.
tion of known age, that is, excluding those of unstated age. previous step are transformed, using equation (B.6), into Y (x ) values.
Thus, for age 15,
Step 2: calcuiation of Y-transformation of the reported proportions
under ages fire years aport. The y-transformation of each of the C ( x )
proportions calculated in the previous step is obtained by using equa F(15)=ln[(1.0+C(15))/(l.0-C(15))]
tion (B.6). /For the sake of completeness, this equation is repeated
here: = ln[( 1.0 +0.3716)/( 1.0 -0.3716)] = 0.7806.
Y (x )= ln((l.0+C(x))/(1.0—C(x))]. (B.6) The full set of Y(x) values is shown in column (4) of table 205.
Step 3: selection of a standard age distribution. Procedures for fitting a
Note that the y-transformation of any proportion C ( x ) assumes stable population to the one observed are presented in chapter VII
values ranging from zero to infinity. and need not be described again here. For Sri Lanka, a West model
Step 3: selection of a standard age distribution. The standard popula stable population of mortality level 18, with a growth rate of 0.030,
tion age distribution, against which the reported population is to be was selected. The proportions under each age x for this population
compared, should be selected from that of stable populations whose are shown in column (3) of table 205. They are referred to below as
mortality level and pattem approximate as dosely as possible those “standard proportions”.
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