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Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197

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Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/energy

The feasibility of solar parking lots for electric vehicles


Raquel Figueiredo*, Pedro Nunes, Miguel C. Brito
Instituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ci^
encias, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisboa, Portugal

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: The direct coupling of solar electricity with electric vehicles is very topical due to their many co-benefits,
Received 27 April 2017 such as reducing the electricity flow into and from the grid. This work illustrates this solution using a
Received in revised form park-and-ride lot outside Lisbon to study its solar energy potential to charge electric vehicles. The solar
28 August 2017
resource, its exploitation and coordination with the vehicles under different charging approaches are
Accepted 6 September 2017
discussed in detail, using methods extendible to other cases. A genetic-algorithm optimisation was
Available online 7 September 2017
performed to maximise the solar energy generation. To ascertain the techno-economic feasibility of the
concept, several sets of assumptions are analysed, including the use of energy storage and smart
Keywords:
Solar parking lots
charging. For current market conditions, the payback time is found to be 14 years; a modest financial
Electric vehicles public incentive would significantly improve the project economics e making the payback drop to 7
EV charging years e enabling conditions to put this inescapable and green approach at the forefront.
Photovoltaic energy © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Sustainable energy systems
Feasibility study

1. Introduction PV generation is its variability and uncertainty [5]. As for the EVs,
they could cause a boost in electricity demand and overload the
The growing global electricity consumption e the Interna- grid, degrade power quality and destabilise the electric system
tional Energy Agency estimates a 30% increase by 2040 [1] e [6]. One way to avoid these issues is by charging EVs directly from
creates concern on the sources of electricity production for the PV. This integration should be carefully planned, using, for
future. In order to not compromise the objectives of the COP21 example, scheduled charging plans to coordinate both technolo-
agreement, renewable energy is seen as the main solution. The gies [7].
large amount of solar energy reaching the earth e 101 PWh per By doing this, on the one hand EVs could be used as storage
hour [2], which is about the same as the world annual final en- devices and dispatchable loads, helping the grid maintaining the
ergy demand [3] e combined with the price competitiveness of supply-demand balance while allowing a larger renewable
photovoltaics (PV) is enhancing the role of this technology as part penetration [8]. On the other hand, PV production could also
of that solution. enable a larger penetration of EVs when they charge from it. This
Alongside, the transport sector is also of concern, since it con- way there is no significant net-load increase in demand. There-
tributes significantly to air pollution and greenhouse gases (GHG) fore, the appropriate charging strategy can allow not only a larger
emissions. The replacement of internal combustion engine (ICE) amount of solar energy into the power generation system, but
vehicles for the much more efficient battery electric vehicles (EVs) also a higher EV penetration, improving at the same time the grid
is one of the possible measures to overcome this. However, EV flexibility.
charging must be based on a clean, fossil-free electricity [4]. Decentralised photovoltaic power plants to satisfy the EV
In both PV and EV cases, the grid integration is an issue: their charging demand could improve the grid operation, while
emerging penetration may jeopardise the grid reliability, causing decreasing GHG emissions not only by themselves but also by
stabilisation and flexibility problems. The main disadvantage of supporting EVs adoption through infrastructures creation. This can
be done by means of electric vehicles solar parking lots (EVSPLs),
i.e., solar parking lots to charge EVs. This way the grid does not have
to integrate a large photovoltaic capacity nor does it need a big
* Corresponding author. FCUL, DEGGE, Ed. C8, 1749-016 Campo Grande, Portugal. reinforcement to satisfy the EVs' demand. The drivers' preferences
E-mail address: rvfigueiredo@fc.ul.pt (R. Figueiredo). align with this, since they regard EVs and solar panels as

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.09.024
0360-5442/© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197 1183

complementary [9]. to CO2 emission reduction costs; it is concluded that the cheapest
The interest for EVs solar charging stations has been emerging in alternative is the smaller off-grid solution, but the grid-connected
the literature, which was thoroughly reviewed in Ref. [10]; other option, bigger, reduces the overall emissions the most. A similar
reviews of technological aspects are provided in Refs. [11] and [12]. comparison was performed in Ref. [22], but optimising the system
Below prior recent research on the topic is summarised. lifecycle cost; the results showed that a grid-connected station with
storage using a supply mix of on-site PV and diesel generated
electricity was the most economical option, while the renewable
1.1. Prior recent work off-grid system was found to be the most expensive.
An on-grid EVSPL may help the grid by behaving as dispatchable
One of the most important objects of the (mostly simulation) loads, feeding energy into it (vehicle-to-grid, abbreviated V2G) and
studies concerns charging strategies, which may be of two types: providing ancillary services. From this viewpoint, Ref. [23] presents
uncontrolled, where the EVs start charging immediately when a fuzzy control method to optimize the schedule of EVs charging.
connected to a charger; or controlled, where the charging is Ref. [24] presents an EV charging scheduling aiming to comply with
scheduled according to certain criteria, such as energy price or the grid capacity constraints.
available renewable energy. The latter implies the use of an opti- A microgrid framework is also used to address EV charging
misation algorithm with a certain objective function. Some studies plans, often considering several energy sources, as in Ref. [25]. The
address both strategies from a price perspective, as in Ref. [13], operational optimisation of microgrids is studied cost-wise in
using a multi-agent approach; it was found that controlled Ref. [26], for minimising the fuel consumption on a remote island;
charging adherents were responsive to charge with renewables in Ref. [27], considering the impact of using different EV charging
when that choice was given. Ref. [14] shows that, to reach the same strategies; and in Ref. [28], investigating at what extent the V2G
environmental target, uncontrolled charging requires a higher concept can minimise its cost.
storage power and energy capacity than controlled smart charging. The location and sizing of charging stations have also been
A controlled charging plan works according to what is defined as addressed, since they can be determinant for the projects feasibility
objective in the analytical model. The most common models use a and its grid impact. Refs. [29] and [30] address this issue from the
stochastic approach to model the EV charging (see Table 1). Often grid stability viewpoint, using an evolutionary-based optimisation
the optimisation function is the minimisation of costs (for the technique with positive results.
parking operator or EV owners) or maximisation of the use of Besides the energy viewpoint, the environmental and economic
renewable electricity. angles are also addressed occasionally. The environmental
Costs can be minimised in several ways, such as taking advan- perspective is taken in a limited number of EVSPL studies, such as in
tage of time-of-use tariffs, as in Ref. [15]. Ref. [16] compares de- Refs. [21] and [22]. The economic angle has been explored under
mand response approaches in what regards grid stability, different approaches, emphasising the standpoint of the operator
concluding that an approach oriented to time-of-use prices leads to [13], the EV user [27] or the overall grid operation [25]. Generally,
reduced costs to the aggregator. these studies show a win-win economic situation for the parties
As to the maximisation of renewable energy use, Refs. [17] and involved on V2G services. The literature shows that EVSPLs are not
[18] conclude that storage greatly reduces grid dependency. In yet financially attractive, presenting payback times between 17 and
Ref. [19] the authors use an optimised PV power extraction tech- 26.5 years, mostly due to low revenues and high investment costs
nique to get the most advantage of the solar charging. Power [31].
sources other than photovoltaics are also considered, for example Table 1 makes a summary of the literature referenced above,
wind in Ref. [20]. categorising the studies according to their distinctive
The solar charging stations can be either off- or on-grid. In characteristics.
Ref. [21] these two types of solar systems are optimised according

Table 1
Summary of the literature.

Characteristics of some solar charging stations' studies

Grid connection Off-grid [21,22]


On-grid [13e30]

Charging strategies Uncontrolled charging [13,14,18,21e23,26,27]


Controlled charging Models Stochastic [16,21,25,27,28]
Fuzzy control [23]
Multi-agent System [13]
Objective function Profits maximisation [13,15]
Renewable electricity use maximisation [13e15,17e20]
Costs minimisation [13,15,16,24,25,27e30]
GHG minimisation [21]
V2G [14,16,19,20,25,28e30]

Ancillary services [13,16,23,29,30]


Other power/energy sources Diesel [16,22,25e28]
Wind [16,20,24,25,27e30]
Stationary energy storage [14,17,18,21,22,26,27]
Fuel cell [25,27,28]

Environmental analysis [21,22]

Economic analysis [13,15,16,21,22,24e30]


1184 R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197

1.2. Scope of this work The annual PV energy generation (Eannual in Wh) is the sum of all
the hourly energy production throughout the year:
The focus of the literature regarding solar powered parking lots
for electric vehicles has been the energy analysis and EV charging X
8760

strategies, mainly using simulated case studies. The use of actual Eannual ¼ Eprod ðiÞ (2)
i¼1
occupation data for an extensive period e which provides a
detailed realistic input of occupancy patterns often missed with The calculation of Gtilted and hPV system are explained below and in
synthesised datasets e may contribute to a better insight into the the next subsection.
potential benefits of this type of solution, enabling a careful eco- To calculate Gtilted, a typical meteorological year (TMY) weather
nomic and financial analysis. data file for the site can be used [32]. These files, which are freely
The present study fills this gap by analysing different business available, contain hourly statistical data of several meteorological
models of solar PV charging to apply to an existing non-solar pri- parameters for an entire year, such as solar global irradiance, hor-
vate-owned park-and-ride facility, i.e., a parking lot with public izontal diffuse irradiance (Dh, in W/m2), direct normal irradiance
transport connections to serve commuters. Its core focus is not only (DNI, in W/m2), temperature, etc. [33]. The following expressions
the understanding of the correspondence of EV charging and solar make use of DNI and Dh to calculate the different irradiance com-
electricity production, but also the comparison and discussion of ponents (in W/m2) reaching the modules plan: direct (Btilted),
possible business models in order to draw conclusions about their diffuse (Dtilted) and ground-reflected (Rtilted) [34,35].
viability. It proposes a not yet existing comprehensive and
straightforward energy-economic approach to solar parking lots for Btilted ðiÞ ¼ DNI ðiÞ  cosðAOI ðiÞÞ (3)
electric vehicles.
The paper is structured as follows: Section 2 presents the Dtilted ðiÞ ¼ Dh ðiÞ  ðð1 þ cosðbÞÞ=2Þ (4)
methods and its application to a case study. In Section 3 the results
are shown and discussed, and the conclusions are summed up in Rtilted ðiÞ ¼ ðDNI ðiÞ  senðaðiÞÞ þ Dh ðiÞÞ  r  ðð1
Section 4.
 cosðbÞÞ=2Þ (5)
2. Approach Here, AOI is the angle of incidence of the solar radiation on the
module surface [ ]; b is the tilt angle of the module [ ], to be
This section presents the methods used in this work (Section determined e see Sections 2.2.2.1.1 and 2.2.2.1.2; a is the solar
2.1), followed by their application to a real park-and-ride facility altitude [ ]; and r is the ground-reflectivity, which for asphalt may
(Section 2.2). Several assumptions were made (as explained in be considered as 0.2 [36]. The parameters AOI and a depend on the
Sections 2.2.1 and 2.2.2), which are combined in different scenarios geographical coordinates and are calculated using established solar
(Section 2.2.3). The assumptions are specific to the case under geometry methods [35,37,38].
study, but any others may be adopted. The sum of the previous components gives Gtilted.

2.1. Methods Gtilted ðiÞ ¼ Btilted ðiÞ þ Dtilted ðiÞ þ Rtilted ðiÞ (6)

This section presents in detail the methods adopted for this


work.
2.1.2. System energy production
2.1.1. Solar resource
The system design is showed in Fig. 1. Its main components are:
The energy production at hour i (Eprod (i), in Wh) considers the
(1) the photovoltaic system, assumed to be fixed; it includes a set of
global incident irradiance on the modules plan (Gtilted (i), in W/m2),
DC/AC inverters; (2) the EV chargers; (3) a Control Center to
the area of the modules (Amodules, in m2) and the overall efficiency of
manage the system and energy exchanges, according to the energy
the photovoltaic system (hPV system (i)). It is given by the following
management strategy, explained in Section 2.1.3; (4) the electric
expression:
grid, which trades energy unidirectionally with the parking lot (it
provides electricity when required); and (5) the adjoining facilities,
Eprod ðiÞ ¼ Gtilted ðiÞ  Amodules hPV system ðiÞ (1)
e.g. train station's facilities, which receive photovoltaic energy in

DC/AC Inverters = ~
Control Center

Adjoining facilities
AC/AC unidirectional chargers ~ ~ ~
~
~ ~

Fig. 1. Parking lot system architecture.


R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197 1185

surplus.
The overall system efficiency, hPV system , is based on a set of in- Eprod ðiÞ  CEV ði  1Þ
NEV ðiÞ ¼ (12)
dividual technical specifications of these components and is given Pcharger
by the following expression:
Here, Eprod ðiÞ is the PV energy production at a certain hour and
hPV system ðiÞ ¼ hmodules ðiÞ  hinverters  hcables  hchargers (7) CEV ði  1Þ is the power demand in the hour i correspondent to the
EVs that started charging previously and are still doing it.
The efficiencies of the inverters (hinverters ), cables (hcables ) and The energy management of the park is hereafter briefly
chargers (hchargers ) are considered constant, and the modules' effi- described. The photovoltaic generation is primarily used for sup-
ciency (hmodules ðiÞ) depends on the ambient temperature. When plying the EV charging, and in the case of surplus it is stored in the
the EV chargers' efficiency is already included in the EV con- central battery of the EVSPL. Finally, if there is no EV demand to
sumption, as often is (see Section 2.1.3), hchargers should be assumed supply and if the storage battery is completely charged, the
as 1 in Eq. (7), to avoid double counting [39]. generated electricity is sold to the adjoining facilities. On the other
The temperature is given by Eq. (8), and it is a product of the hand, if neither the PV generation nor the storage battery are
modules nominal efficiency (hnominal ) and the temperature related enough to supply the EV load, grid purchases are required. The
efficiency (hTamb ðiÞ), which decreases as the ambient temperature energy management strategy is summarised in Fig. 2 for both
rises according to Eq. (9) and Eq. (10) [40]. controlled and uncontrolled charging plans. This method is applied
to seasonal, working and weekend mean days of the parking lot, as
hmodules ðiÞ ¼ hnominal  hTamb ðiÞ (8) Section 3.1 shows.

Tmodule ðiÞ ¼ ðNOCT  TambNOCT Þ=GNOCT  Gtilted ðiÞ þ Tamb ðiÞ 2.1.4. Economic feasibility
The economic balance is based on the revenues and costs during
(9)
the project, which may be assumed to last 25 years, which is
generally the lifetime warranty of PV modules [43]. This section
hTamb ðiÞ ¼ ð100%  TC PMPP Þ  DTamb ðiÞ (10) presents the analytics applied to the economic component, and also
the common assumptions to all the scenarios tested. The assump-
Here, Tmodule ðiÞ is the module temperature at hour i [K]; NOCT is the tions that are scenario dependant (PV investment costs, etc.) are
Normal Operating Cell Temperature (NOCT) [K]; TambNOCT ¼ 20  C is explained in Section 2.2.2.4. It is only considered the PV-EV
the ambient temperature for NOCT conditions, [40]; component of the parking lot, and it is treated as if it is indepen-
GNOCT ¼ 800 W/m2 is the solar irradiance for the same conditions; dent of the other components (parking space rent, etc.), i.e., the cost
Tamb ðiÞ is the ambient temperature [K]; DTamb ðiÞ is the difference of the operation already in place is considered to be sunk.
between the temperatures of the environment and the module, and The nominal value, i.e. cash flow, of energy traded between the
TC PMPP is the temperature coefficient at the maximum power park and the grid/facilities on the year n of the project (the in-
point, i.e., the efficiency degradation factor with temperature of the vestment year corresponds to n ¼ 0), V(n), is calculated according to
module, in %/K, given in the technical datasheet. the following expression:

V ðnÞ ¼ EðnÞ  c  ð1 þ iÞn (13)

2.1.3. Energy management where EðnÞ is the amount of energy traded during that year; c is the
The average daily distance driven by a typical car owner varies energy unit price; i is the inflation rate. Equation (13) is used to
between countries, and even between regions, but generally is calculate both the grid sales and the facilities purchases to the park.
under 40 km [41]; in Portugal, for example, it is 35 km [42]. This The EV demand does not change from year to year of the project,
study assumes that the batteries of the cars are topped up ac- but both the sales and purchases are dependent on the annual
cording to the average energy needs. Using the same example, in energy production, Eprod , which varies with the modules degrada-
Portugal each vehicle needs to charge daily 6 kWh on average, tion, as in Eq. (14).
assuming an EV energy consumption of 0.171 kWh/km [39]. Given
the large number of clients, it is assumed that fluctuations in energy Eprod ðnÞ ¼ Eprod ð1Þ  ð1  aPV Þn1 (14)
requirements between individual vehicles offset each other.
Two types of charging are simulated: uncontrolled and where aPV is the degradation rate of the modules energy yield per
controlled. In both approaches, after achieving the period necessary year.
to complete the daily charge of each vehicle ( tcharge , Eq. (11)), the Four different well established financial indicators are used to
vehicle stops charging and its demand becomes null. The energy determine the viability of the project: net present value (NPV),
supply options are the PV system and the grid, and in some cases discounted payback time, internal rate of return (IRR) and dis-
also a stationary storage battery. In the uncontrolled charging, the counted return on investment (ROI) [44]. The NPV represents the
EVs charging starts as soon as they arrive at the park. cumulative discounted balance of revenues and expenses for every
year n of the project.
Edaily demand Eq. (15) is used to calculate the NPV (in V), where t is the project
tcharge ¼ (11)
Pcharger duration and r is the nominal discount rate.

where Pcharger is the charging rate, and Edaily demand is the daily X
n¼t
net cash flow ðnÞ
NPV ¼  Investment (15)
energy demand [kWh].
n¼1
ð1 þ rÞn
The controlled charging assumes that the number of vehicles
charging at every hour, NEV ðiÞ, considers the number of vehicles still The discounted payback time indicator (abbreviated below as
charging from the previous hour and is defined by the following ‘payback’) shows the elapsed years required until the NPV achieves
expression: a positive value, i.e., the required time until the revenues equal the
1186 R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197

Fig. 2. Energy management diagram.

costs (both discounted) and the initial investment. It is calculated accounts for about 12,700 m2 of available area for car shading
through Eq. (16). (about half of the total parking lot area) [49]. The layout is mainly of
  perpendicular parking spots oriented towards the southeast
cumulative cash flowdisc: ðYÞ (north-based azimuth: 150 ).
discounted payback ¼ Y þ  
 (16)
cash flow ðY þ 1Þ
disc: The occupation pattern of a park-and-ride facility is dependent
on the users' working schedule, and so it follows a bell curve on
where Y is the elapsed years since the beginning of the project weekdays. The average occupation rate of the parking lot is 23%,
correspondent to the last year with a negative cumulative dis- and its maximum occupation is 694 vehicles, i.e., about two-thirds
counted cash flow [years], and disc. stands for ‘discounted’. of the park capacity. Fig. 4 shows the average profile of the weekly
The IRR is the discount rate that nullifies the NPV. The IRR is occupation rate for the two weeks with maximum and minimum
determined using the discount rate adopted, and therefore the occupation along the year (in March and in December, respectively)
decision rule to invest is if the IRR is above this rate [45]. and for the entire year. As it was expected, during the weekends the
Finally, the discounted ROI (abbreviated below as ‘ROI’) is the occupation is significantly lower. The least occupied week is not
number of times that the investor receives the amount initially representative of the park use, as it was observed during Christmas.
invested. The ROI is calculated through Eq. (17), where it should be The comparison between the two extreme weeks and the differ-
considered the discounted cumulative at the end of the project net ence in occupation between workdays and the weekend show that
benefits and expenses, and the investment. the occupation varies a lot in different timescales, i.e., not only
P during the day, but also throughout the year.
ðrevenues  expensesÞdisc:
discounted ROI ¼ P (17)
expensesdisc: þ investment
2.2.1. General assumptions
To test the methods, several assumptions had to be made. This
section describes those that are common to all the scenarios (Sec-
tion 2.2.3).
2.2. Case study The climate data was obtained through the TMY file for Lisbon
[32]. The surface of the parking lot is asphalt, thus the ground-
To test the methods above, the commuter parking lot from the reflectivity is assumed as 0.2 [36] (see Section 2.1.1). The tech-
train station Pragal in Almada (38.66ºN, 9.18ºW), Portugal, a city nical components that were assumed for the system and their
located south of Lisbon across the river Tagus (Fig. 3), was chosen. technical data are summarised in Table 2.
This location has one of the highest solar irradiation potential in One common assumption, unless otherwise stated, is that the
Europe, with an average daily irradiation of 5.15 kWh/m2 [46]. EVSPL occupation is only of EVs. The daily electricity demand of
This station is located in a municipality of 174,030 inhabitants each vehicle is considered to be 6 kWh (see Section 2.1.3). The
[47], and serves passengers traveling on the working days between charging rate (Pcharger ) is assumed as 3.7 kW, corresponding to Level
Almada and the capital, on a train line accounting for 25.6 million 1 AC Charging. The charging infrastructures are sized using the
trips every year [48]. observed maximum occupation of the parking lot.
For the study, the parking lot occupation data from the entire The project lifetime is 25 years (similar to the PV modules
year of 2014 was gathered. It consists of hourly records of the typical lifetime [43]). Since batteries typically have a lifetime of 10
number of arrivals and departures for both monthly subscriptions years [53], shorter than the project, the investment should account
and daily tickets, the two payment types that exist. The park has a for their replacement, and so a second battery had to be accounted
capacity for 1045 cars and is open every day from 7 a.m. to in the investment. Due to technology improvements, it has been
midnight. Each parking space uses around 12.2 m2 of area, which considered that the second battery would last 15 years.
R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197 1187

Fig. 3. The parking lot and the metropolitan area where it is located.

0.7 they are assumed to be constant (in real terms) throughout the
project. The capital investment is considered to cover all the
Maximum occupation fraction

0.6
hardware, such as the photovoltaics modules, metallic structures,
0.5
charging stations, inverters, storage battery, cables, and labour.
0.4 It is also assumed that the EVs owners pay 0.25 V/kWh to charge
0.3
their cars, which is less than the average charging fee in Europe
(about 0.35 V/kWh, according to [59]). Even though home charging
0.2 could be cheaper (about 0.17 V/kWh [60]), charging at the park is
0.1 still attractive, e.g. due to convenience or the avoidance of the need
to have access to a charging station at home e a public one might
0
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday not exist and a private one is expensive and sometimes is not
Highest occupation Lowest occupation Average occupation possible to install.
It is also assumed that the EVSPL sells energy to the adjoining
Fig. 4. Occupation profile during the most and least occupied weeks and the average of
train station's facilities for the same price that the facility is
the entire year.
currently paying to the utility, which is better (0.072 V/kWh) than
the price at which the park sells energy to the grid (0.050 V/kWh)
In the end of the components life, their residual value is [61]. This selling is actually virtual for the case studied, since the
assumed to be 20% of the initial value [54]. Table 3 shows the in- operator of the train and parking facilities is the same. Additionally,
vestment costs' for the PV modules, stationary battery (see Section the parking lot purchases energy from the grid at the same price it
2.2.2.2 for the details on energy storage) and charging stations, both sells to the facilities (again, 0.072 V/kWh).
for 2015 and 2050 (2050 prices are given due to a delayed invest- Regarding annual expenses, the EVSPL operational and main-
ment and gradual implementation scenarios e see Sections tenance cost (cleaning, repairs, etc.) is considered to be 1% of the
2.2.2.4.2 and 2.2.2.4.3). investment, and the managing cost (administration, customer
As for the energy purchase prices between the stakeholders, support, etc.) is assumed to be 5% of the annual revenues. The
1188 R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197

Table 2
System technical details.

Modules [43] Sunmodule Plus SW 285 mono

Technology Monocrystalline silicon

Maximum power Standard Test Conditions e STD (STC - 1000 W/m2; 25  C; AM 1.5) 285 Wp
NOCT (800 W/m2; NOCT ¼ 46  C; AM 1.5) 213.1 Wp
Module area 1.67 m2
Nominal efficiency 17.17%
Temperature coefficient at the maximum power point, TC_PMPP 0.41%/K
Degradation rate [50] 0.8%

Inverter efficiency [51] 98.8%

Cable efficiency [52] 95%

Table 3 2.2.2.1. Parking lot orientation. The planning of a PV installation


Investment costs' for the PV modules, lithium-ion battery and charging stations. must account for a modules layout that ensures minimum mutual
Investment costs shadowing. In this case study, two logical layouts arise: (1) modules
Year
southeast orientated, which is the park orientation; and (2) mod-
2015 2050 ules south orientated, which maximises the modules specific en-
ergy yield. Both cases were simulated in Sketchup using the plug-in
PV modules [V/kWp] [55] 550 246
Lithium-ion battery [V/kWh] [56] 469 168 Skelion [63], to determine the number of modules to be installed,
Charging stations [57,58] assuming standard modules measuring 1.67 m of width by 1 m of
Charger [V/unit] 1600 806 height. The two possible layouts are shown in Fig. 5.
Aggregator [V/unit] 2500 1260
The southeast orientation enables the installation of 3480
modules, while the south one allows 2200 modules, i.e., 37% fewer
modules, a considerable difference. To understand what would be
charging management (Control Center in Fig. 1) is considered to be the best configuration, PVGIS [46] was used to perform a simple
done by the charging stations control system, and so its cost is part estimation of the annual energy yield. The layout with the highest
of the charging stations cost. energy generation was chosen for the rest of the study. The results
Finally, the nominal discount rate (r) and the inflation rate (i, to showed 33% lower energy generation for the south orientation; in
determine future cash flows) are considered to be 7% [45] and 2% this case a better orientation does not compensate for fewer
[62], respectively. modules. For this reason, the first layout (on top of Fig. 5) is used for
Table 4 summarised this data, as well as some other relevant the rest of the study, allowing for about 5800 m2 of photovoltaic
parameters. area, referred as Amodules.
The parking lot geographical orientation, ceteris paribus, de-
termines the solar energy harvest. Two different orientations were
2.2.2. Scenarios assumptions tested, as explained below.
Based on the conditions and methods explained above, the 2.2.2.1.1. PV layout I. The ‘PV layout I’ corresponds to the actual
analysis and assessment of the EVSPL project viability are per- orientation of the case study, which is southeast (see Section 2.2).
formed for a set of additional assumptions and principles, which Using Excel Solver, a genetic-algorithm's optimisation was per-
are then combined to form several scenarios. Then, the scenarios formed having as objective function the maximisation of the yearly
are tested one by one and compared. This section presents and energy production by varying the modules' tilt (the azimuth was
explains each one of these assumptions. fixed to southeast). This kind of technique uses mating, crossover
The criteria to establish the assumptions and subsequently the and mutation to find the best solution, and is often used to solve
scenarios are to reflect: (1) the actual conditions of the existent solar energy problems [64]. The population size was of 200 and the
parking lot; (2) different conditions that other similar parking lots mutation rate was assumed as 7.5%. The tilt range was constrained
might have, such as a different geographical orientation; (3) pre- between 26 and 38 , to shorten the optimisation time. The opti-
sent and future technology and respective adoption level, such as misation takes less than 5 min to run with an Intel Core i3 pro-
EV market penetration; (4) simple conditions as well as more cessor. The optimum tilt was found to be 33 , and as can be seen in
evolved ones that might turn the project viable, such as simple and Table 5, this layout provides an energy generation of 1299 MWh/
more complex charging strategies and plans. year.

Table 4
Energy prices and other assumptions.

Energy purchase prices EVs to EVSPL 0.25 V/kWh


EVSPL to the grid 0.072 V/kWh
Train station facilities to EVSPL 0.072 V/kWh

Lifetime Project and PV modules [43] 25 years


Stationary energy storage [53] 10 (1st) and 15 (2nd) years

Economic assumptions Residual value [54] 20%


Operational and maintenance cost 1% of the investment
Managing cost 5% of the annual revenues
Nominal discount rate, r [45] 7%
Inflation rate, i [62] 2%
R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197 1189

50 m

50 m

Fig. 5. Layout of the PV installation orientated southeast (above) and south (below).

Table 5
Characteristics and production of the photovoltaic installation.

Orientation Azimuth (º) Modules' tilt (º) # of PV modules Rated power [MWp] Energy generation [MWh/year] Energy generation per area [MWh/m2]

Southeast 150 33 3480 1.0 1299 0.22


South 182 32 1491 0.25

Table 6
Summary and description of the analysed scenarios in this work.

Scenarios Parking lot orientation Charging plan Other assumptions Energy Economic feasibility
storage [kWh]
PV layout I PV layout II Controlled Uncontrolled Delayed Gradual Base Flat fee Grid support
implentation deployment

A0 - Reference (uncontrolled w/ storage) x x 1,700 x


A1 - Optimal orientation x x 1,800 x
A2 - Delayed implementation x x x 1,700 x
A3 - Uncontrolled charging w/o storage x x - x
A4 - Controlled charging w/o storage x x - x
A5 - Gradual deployment x - - x - x

B0 - Flat fee charging x x 1,700 x

C0 - Frequency’s secondary regulation x x 1,700 x

2.2.2.1.2. PV layout II. Since in a parking lot yet in its design i.e., as if the park could be rotated to it, named ‘PV layout II’. The
phase the geographical orientation might possibly be chosen, it was optimisation procedure was as explained above, with the difference
decided to test an orientation corresponding to the optimum one, that the azimuth was also a variable. A boundary of þ15 and 15
1190 R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197

Assumptions

Parking lot orientation Charging plan Other assumptions

PV layout I EV controlled charging Present


• Southeast orientation • Maximum EV solar charging The project is implemented in the
• Objective function: optimum • Variables: hourly arrivals, present
capacity factor tcharging, PV production
• Variables:
Delayed implementation
EV uncontrolled charging It considers that the EVSPL is
PV layout II
• EVs start to charge immediately implemented in the future,
• Variable orientation
as they arrive considering price learning curves
• Objective function: optimum
• Variables: hourly arrivals, tcharging for PV and battery until 2050
capacity factor
• Variables: and azimuth
Economic feasibility Gradual deployment
Energy storage The project and its structures are
implemented in time steps
Base
Revenues are the energy sales to
Central battery
EVs and to the facilities
• The surplus of PV production is
stored for use during peak hours Flat fee
• Sizing is based on the average Unlimited charge by means of a
PV excess during working days fixed monthly payment

Grid support
Frequency’s secondary regulation
provided by the park to the grid

Fig. 6. Assumptions summary.

1200 1600
a. b.
1400
1000
1200
800
Power [kW]

1000
Power [kW]

600 800

600
400
400
200
200

0 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Daytime [h] Daytime [h]
PV gen. - Winter PV gen. - Spring PV gen. EV Load - Average day
PV gen. - Summer PV gen. - Autumn EV Load - Working day EV Load - Weekend
EV Load

Fig. 7. a: Average profiles of seasonal PV production and annual EV load; b: average profiles of EV load (working day and weekend) and annual PV power.

around south was imposed to the possible azimuth range of values. EVs when there is not enough sunshine. To simulate this, a lithium-
The optimum tilt and north-based azimuth were found to be 32 ion battery e the most promising battery technology for renewable
and 182 , respectively, enabling an energy generation of energy applications [65] e was considered, sized according to the
1491 MWh/year. total PV excess of energy, counted hourly, that occurs on average
The PV generation results for both approaches are presented in during the working days plus the energy losses in a charge/
the following resulted in Table 5. Both options enable the installa- discharge cycle (shadowed area in Fig. 7b). This was considered to
tion of 3480 photovoltaic modules (see Section 2.2.2.1), however be the appropriate storage size to maximise the solar EV driven
with optimal orientation the annual energy generation increases fraction, i.e., the distance driven by the cars with solar electricity
around 14.8%. (see Section 3.1.1); if the criteria were different, e.g. techno-
economic, the storage size could also be optimised using the
2.2.2.2. Energy storage. Since the EV load does not perfectly follow same procedure of Section 2.2.2.1.1.
the PV production, an energy storage device acting as an energy The round-trip efficiency of the battery was considered 92.5%
buffer between the PV system and the EVs can increase the solar EV [53]. Its size varies with the scenario (see Table 6 at the end of this
charging. It stores the surplus PV production, using it to charge the section, where the battery sizing presented is already
R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197 1191

Table 7 2.2.2.4.1. Present. The EVSPL as described is assumed to be


Average of daily correlations between the PV production and the occupation profiles. totally implemented in the present. This scenario assumes that all
Averaged daily correlations cars parking at the EVSPL are electric, as if it was an EVSPL exclusive
Day of the week Working day Weekend
for EVs implemented today. The charging infrastructure is sized
52% 36% according to the maximum annual occupation of the park.
2.2.2.4.2. Delayed implementation. The project feasibility is
Seasonal Winter Spring Summer Autumn
59% 45% 31% 50% studied for the future, i.e., analysing its implementation in the
future by considering the beginning of the project in each one of the
Annual 47%
years until 2050. For that, it was considered the modules', batteries'
and EV chargers' expected cost decrease until 2050, Table 3. For the
charging stations, it was assumed that their cost follows the trend
correspondent to its useful energy capacity). of the EV's expected costs [57], using as start value the commercial
current unit price presented in Table 3 for each charger and
2.2.2.3. Charging plan. As explained in Section 2.1.3, two charging aggregator (the latter is needed for each groups of ten chargers
plans were considered, uncontrolled and controlled. The charging [58]), to which a 20% discount is applied due to a large volume
schedule is according to the order of arrival. In both plans it is purchase.
assumed that the grid connection and the capacity of the distri- Finally, the calendar year in which the payback time achieves for
bution network are sufficient to meet all the EVs demand. the first time an attractive payback time for a typical investor e
2.2.2.3.1. Uncontrolled charging. The uncontrolled charging as- assumed as 7 years [31] e was identified to be 2030, which was
sumes that when a vehicle arrives at the park it starts immediately used for the results having this assumption.
charging. Primarily, the EVs are fuelled by the PV, and by the central 2.2.2.4.3. Gradual deployment. The gradual deployment of the
battery if the scenario considers it; when that is not sufficient, project corresponds to an approach in which the EVSPL structures
energy is imported from the grid. are gradually installed following the increase of EVs' market share
2.2.2.3.2. Controlled charging. The controlled scheduling fol- [67]. The EV energy demand assumed for each year is directly
lows only one criterion: to maximise solar EV charging. This is proportional to the corresponding EV market penetration,
achieved using a simple algorithm that manages the charging of the assuming an evolution which considers 50% of EV share in the 2050
vehicles according to the PV energy availability (see Section 2.1.3). car stock. It represents a level where the EVSPL is always able (in
The short-term forecast of PV production is increasingly more real time) to charge the EVs with 100% on-site generated electricity,
precise [66], and so it is assumed that the PV energy generation for and so the uncontrolled and controlled approaches lead to the same
each day is known in advance, as well the EV hourly occupation. As results.
before, when the PV energy is not enough, energy is imported from The investment in the charging stations and PV modules follows
the grid. the same learning curves of the ‘Delayed implementation’
assumption (Section 2.2.2.4.2). The total PV installation was
2.2.2.4. Other assumptions. Since there are different deployment assumed to take place in the project beginning, since it showed
strategies, the following alternative project calendar options were better results than its gradual implementation, mainly due to the
considered. large energy sale to the facilities from the project beginning when
the number of EVs is very low. Through the project, these energy
sales to the facilities decrease as the number of charging EVs
Table 8
EV demand and PV production (Scenario A0).
increases.
When assuming a gradual deployment of the project, an expo-
Averaged daily EV demand and PV production [kWh]
nential trend line is applied to calculate the differential residual
EVs' demand PV production PV net balance values of the equipment, depending on the year it was installed.
Annual mean day 2805 3558 753
2.2.2.5. Economic feasibility. The perspective taken is that of the
Winter 2723 2445 279
Spring 2967 3528 560 park operator. As described in Section 2.1.3, it is assumed that the
Summer 2745 4208 1462 EVSPL sells primarily its PV production to the EVs; its surplus, if
Autumn 2768 4009 1241 exists, is firstly stored in the central battery (if the scenario con-
Working day 3883 3480 353 siders it) and ultimately sold to the train station's facilities. The
Weekend 222 3754 3532 revenues and expenses are calculated as described in Section 2.1.4.
These parameters vary with the assumptions.
2.2.2.5.1. Base. It is considered that the revenues come from the
Table 9 sale of energy to the EVs owners, to the grid and to the train sta-
EV charging sources for the uncontrolled charging approach with storage (Scenario tion's facilities. The expenses consist of the energy purchase from
A0).
the grid, the capital investment, and the operational, maintenance
Averaged daily EV charging sources by its sources [kWh] and managing costs of the parking lot.
EV charging 2.2.2.5.2. Flat fee. The flat fee charging considers the same
sources of revenues and expenses as the Base case, but it assumes
Directly from PV From the battery From the grid
two types of customers: (1) customers that pay a monthly fee of
Annual mean day 2025 780 0 V35 and are able to unlimitedly charge their vehicles; (2) clients
Winter 1378 1066 279 that pay a fixed one time charging fee of V1.5 plus the energy
Spring 2054 913 0 consumed. These values are additional to the regular parking fees.
Summer 2413 332 0
Their distribution is according to the distribution of monthly pay-
Autumn 2099 669 0
ments and daily tickets that the parking lot has presently, which is
Working day 2203 1327 353 of 76% and 24%, respectively. The monthly flat fee subscribers are
Weekend 222 0 0
considered heavy users because, since they do not pay for extra
1192 R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197

fuel, they charge their cars 50% more than those with daily tickets 3.1. Energy analysis
(9 kWh and 6 kWh, respectively).
2.2.2.5.3. Grid support. The V2G approach offers an opportunity Below the results for the scenarios considered to be the most
for the EV facilities to provide ancillary services to the grid, since representative, i.e., scenario A0, representing the uncontrolled
they represent controllable power capacity [8]. This business model charging approach with energy storage, and scenario A4, corre-
adds to the Base case the opportunity to offer secondary frequency sponding to the controlled charging approach without energy
regulation to the grid, being this a remunerated service. This type of storage are presented.
regulation contributes to maintain the grid voltage stable, and its The correlation between the PV production and the park occu-
provision does not imply significant energy trading. It considers as pation along the days is an important parameter for the profit-
bidirectional the EVSL-grid power flow. The contracts are based on ability of an EVSPL, because it translates to what extent it is possible
the power capacity offered during a certain period of time by the to directly solar-charge the EVs with on-site generated solar energy.
facility [68]. The power capacity offered by the EVSPL was assumed For each day, the correlation between the parking lot occupation
as being equivalent to the number of EVs parked multiplied by the and the PV production was determined, enabling the calculation of
connection power of each one (3.7 kW). To that, it is applied the the average correlation factor for several representative periods of
current secondary frequency regulation price paid by the grid, the year, Table 7.
which is of 25.6 V/MW/h [69]. As expected, the working days show a far better correlation than
This is considered as an additional revenue of the parking lot weekends, since the weekend occupation is flatter during the day,
(compared to the Base model), besides the energy sales. and thus farther from the PV production profile. As for the seasons,
the worst correlation is in the summer: since the park is southeast
oriented, it produces significantly more during the mornings in the
2.2.2.6. Summary. A summary of all the previous assumptions is summer (Fig. 7a), which results in a more asymmetric PV profile. In
presented below, Fig. 6. contrast, the production profile during the winter is more sym-
metrical (Fig. 7b) and therefore it relates better to the occupation
(see Fig. 4). As it was expected, the average correlation for the
2.2.3. Scenarios whole year is between these values.
Several scenarios were created concerning the EVSPL operation
and financial model; they are presented in Table 6.
The main concern when configuring the scenarios was to show 3.1.1. Uncontrolled EV charging plan
practical alternatives for an investor. To keep the study constrained, Despite of the importance of the occupation rate in the parking
not all the possible combinations of assumptions were tested. lot and its correlation with the photovoltaic production, the actual
Instead, the scenarios A0 to A5, based on the Base financial model, demand that the project must support is not correspondent to
were constructed as a sequential improvement on the project every vehicle in the park, but only from those charging. The
viability. The other ones (B0 and C0) are representative of alter- charging plan dictates the EV load profile, which is shown in Fig. 7a
native financing options, and were tested having as basis the for the ’Uncontrolled’ approach, along with several representative
Reference scenario. A scenario considering both controlled EV PV production profiles.
charging and storage was discarded because of redundancy, as the For the scenario A0, with storage, the energy demand, produc-
aim of both systems is the same. tion and surplus PV production is stated in Table 8 for the afore-
mentioned representative days.
Table 9 presents the fraction of the EV demand supplied by each
3. Results and discussion energy source, i.e., directly by the PV production, the battery and
the electric grid.
The results and their discussion are divided between the energy All periods of the year provide enough PV energy to satisfy the
and the financial analyses. For the sake of containment, the energy EV demand, except the winter. In the summer, 87.9% of the EVs'
analysis is shown just for the most illustrative scenarios. The demand is directly satisfied by PV generation, which means that the
financial analysis is shown for all the scenarios since it is the one battery in this period is mostly used to store energy produced
determinant for the EVSPL feasibility assessment. during the weekends; it is also in this period that most of the

1200

1000

800
Power [kW]

600

400

200

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Daytime [h]
PV gen. Uncontrolled charging
Controlled charging Controlled charging - Working days

Fig. 8. Average uncontrolled and controlled EV load and PV generation profiles.


R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197 1193

energy selling to the facilities occurs, after the battery is full. During on the reference case (A0-A5), because they all have the same
winter, the direct solar EV charge is of 50.6%. For the whole year, it is revenues base, and then for the scenarios B0 and C0, based on a
of 72.1%, wherein battery supplies 27.8% of the EV load (this cor- different revenue model.
responds to the charging load that surpasses the PV generation Fig. 9 shows the discounted cumulative revenues, expenses and
between 8 a.m. and midday). The working and winter days are the profit for scenarios A0-A5.
only ones showing PV generation deficit, thus requiring grid pur- Comparing scenarios A1 and A2 with A0, the three scenarios
chases (9.1% and 10.2%, respectively). that consider energy storage, it is noteworthy the 35% reduction on
The energy storage, as described in Section 2.2.2.2, was sized in the investment costs in A2, which refers to a delayed project
order to maximise solar EV charging in a typical working day, and implementation for 2030, as explained above. As for the results
so its size corresponds to the shadowed area in Fig. 7b, which differences between A1 and A0, the optimal orientation from sce-
represents the amount of energy that the PV system cannot fulfil nario A1, as opposed of the southeast from A0 (they only differ in
directly (1700 kWh). The use of the energy storage is crucial to this regard), allows for fewer grid purchases, since the energy yield
allow a high solar EV driven fraction; on average, in a working day is higher, and thus higher profits (þ11%).
the solar EV driven fraction increases from 56.7% without storage to The scenarios without energy storage (A3 onwards) show clearly
90.1% with it. lower investments and O&M costs, due to the absence of the bat-
tery related expenses, and better overall results, except A5 (the
3.1.2. Controlled EV charging plan reason is addressed below). As expected, when an uncontrolled
charging without battery is assumed (A3), the grid dependence of
The controlled charging approach without storage (Scenario A4)
the EVSPL and the energy export to the facilities increase signifi-
allows a much better coincidence between the EV load and the PV
cantly. However, the profits show an improvement of 140% over A0,
generation profiles, as it can be seen in Fig. 8. The figure also shows
meaning that the use of energy storage allows for a greater fraction
the uncontrolled charging profile, to better perceive the differ-
ences. Even though both charging plans represent the same daily of solar EV charge, but financially is not a good option.
Compared to the uncontrolled plan without storage (A3), the
EV demand and PV generation (Table 8), the controlled charging
allows less grid or battery dependence by peak shaving the EV load controlled charging (A4) allows about the same profits (þ1%), 65%
less grid dependence and 40% less energy export to the facilities. If
according to the PV generation.
Table 10, analogous to Table 9, quantifies the EV charging by compared to A0, A4 has 142% better overall operational results,
even though grid imports increase (þ13%). This is caused by the EVs
source. As in scenario A0, the grid is mostly required during the
working winter days. The small amount of grid energy required in that arrive late, when PV is not enough to their supply.
Scenario A5 shows the lowest investment costs, because it does
the summer (on average 15 kWh/day) is due to a few vehicles that
arrive late in the day at the parking lot, when the PV generation is not consider storage and its gradual deployment allows the
investor to install the components at cheaper prices as the time
no longer able to supply them.
Even though in scenario A0 the working days EV demand is goes on. The lower EV load avoids the need to import energy from
the grid. Compared to A0, A5 exports more energy to the facilities
much larger than the PV generation until the middle of the day, the
grid dependence in scenario A4, without that difference, increases by a factor of three and has 44% lower profits. The significant lower
sales to EVs (less 88% than in scenario A0) are the main reason for
about 67.4%. This is because in scenario A0 the early morning PV
generation, a period during which the park is still unoccupied, is this improvement.
The results of the scenarios with alternative revenues models
stored for later use, whereas in scenario A4 it is sold to the facilities.
As a result, in A4 the grid has to supply the late afternoon EV (B0 and C0) are presented in Fig. 10, along with the results for the
base case, for comparison.
charging. Even though the controlled charging in the working days
increases the energy purchases to the grid (shadowed area in In A0 and C0, the main source of revenues is the energy sold to
the EVs, even though in C0 there are extra revenues coming from
Fig. 8), the direct solar EV charge is much higher, as it can be seen
when comparing Figs. 7b and 8. Replacing the energy storage by a the grid support (they represent 5% of the total income). In B0 the
daily and monthly fees are the main revenues source. Even though
controlled charging decreases slightly the solar EV driven fraction,
from 90.1% (see Section 3.1.1) to 84.8%, showing that this scenario there is an extra income source from A0 to B0, the grid imports also
increase (by a factor of four), since it is assumed that the monthly
does not compromise significantly the objectives, even though it
avoids a heavy investment on storage. fee subscribers charge more. Hence, the project's profit suffers a
strong decrease of 85%. Scenario C0 increases its income, which
leads to 28% higher profits. As for the energy export to the facilities,
3.2. Economic feasibility analysis they do not differ much between A0, B0 and C0.
The financial indicators concerning all the scenarios are pre-
The financial analysis is performed first for the scenarios based sented in Table 11.
It should start to be noted that all the scenarios are viable for all
Table 10 the indicators, being the payback time between 7 and 24 years e
EV charging sources for the controlled charging approach w/o storage (Scenario A4).
which is in agreement with the literature, e.g. Refs. [70] and [31], in
Averaged daily EV charging by its sources [kWh] which the payback time is 4e26 years and 17e26.5 years,
EV charging respectively.
The base case scenario, A0, presents a NPV of 0.87 MV and a
Directly from PV From the grid
payback of c. a. 16 years, which may be seen as average results.
Annual mean day 2805 0 These results only improve slightly in scenario A1 (e.g., the NPV
Winter 2441 289 raises c. a. 10%), due to the optimal PV layout configuration
Spring 2967 0 considered in the latter. In contrast, scenarios A2, A3 and A4 pre-
Summer 2731 15
sent all much better indicators than the predecessors, which can be
Autumn 2768 0
attributed to the absence of energy storage and the investment
Working day 3292 591 implied.
Weekend 222 0
Scenario A4, which considers a controlled charging plan, shows
1194 R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197

4
Energy sales to EVs
3
2.08 2.10 Energy sales to train station
1.85
2 facilities
0.87 0.96
0.48 Grid purchases
1
[M€]

0 O&M&Management

-1
Investment
-2
Profit
-3

-4
A0 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5

Fig. 9. Revenues, expenses and profit for scenarios A0-A5 for the project lifetime. Positive values are revenues and negative are expenses.

the best results. They are however marginally better than the re- indicative that the grid support improves significantly the project
sults of scenario A3, which is similar but considering uncontrolled profitability.
charging. This was expected, since the prices of buying energy from Since an investor in this kind of project is greatly driven by a
the grid and selling energy to the train facilities e both the trans- short payback time, desirably less than 10 years, and typically 5e7
actions happen more in A3 e are considered to be the same, and so years [31], this puts scenarios A2, A3 and A4 as the appealing ones,
the small differences in the results may be attributed to different with paybacks of 7.3e7.4 years. Moreover, those scenarios also
efficiencies of directly using the electricity to charge the vehicles come with better NPV, IRR and ROI.
and send it and use it at the facilities. As for A5, considering gradual
deployment, its NPV is the lowest of the scenarios based on the 3.2.1. Sensitivity analysis
reference revenues model (A0-A5), but its IRR is better than some The EV public charging infrastructures have been widely sup-
of them (scenarios A0 and A1); this is due to different patterns of ported by the central state or local governments [71]. This support
cash flows e in A5, the initial energy sales to EVs are lower and to can be subsidies and lower taxes, benefiting all the parties
the train facilities higher, due to a higher PV surplus than in A0 and involved: from the users perspective, it allows them to have access
A1. to a wider EV charging network; from the promotor perspective, it
As for the scenarios considering alternative revenues models, allows lower investment and costs [72]; from the state perspective,
scenario B0, the one that considers a monthly flat fee, presents the the support of cleaner initiatives helps to achieve international
worst results, being profitable just by a small margin, since it has a commitments regarding GHG emissions, promoting societal well-
low NPV and an IRR slightly above 7%. This is due to the assumption being and economic development.
that the cars charge 50% more with this plan, and so it seems that Examples of such policies are in: Portugal, where the govern-
under these conditions the flat fee model is not appealing. How- ment supported in 2010 the installation of a network of 1300
ever, a flat fee business model can lead to different occupancy charging stations spread across the country [71] and, more recently,
patterns and rates, since it may be seen as a marketing strategy to its update and extension [73]; USA, where it is available a federal
get new customers. As for scenario C0, similar to A0 but with tax credit of 30% of the charging infrastructures costs [74]; Japan,
additional revenues from supporting the grid, it shows a 27.5% where governmental incentives cover two-thirds of the total cost of
bigger NPV and a 1.5-year lower payback than the latter, which is the charging stations (it allowed them to be the first country having

4 Energy sales to EVs

3 Energy sales to train station


facilities
2
1.11 Energy daily/monthly fixed fees
0.87
1
0.13 Grid support
[M€]

0
Grid purchases
-1
O&M&Management
-2
Investment
-3
Profit
-4

-5
A0 B0 C0

Fig. 10. Revenues and expenses for the main revenues models. Positive values are revenues and negative are expenses.
R. Figueiredo et al. / Energy 140 (2017) 1182e1197 1195

Table 11
Financial indicators.

Scenarios
A0 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 B0 C0
NPV (M€) 0.87 0.96 1.85 2.08 2.10 0.48 0.13 1.11
discounted Payback (years) 16.1 15.5 7.4 7.4 7.3 14.3 24.3 14.5
IRR 10.08% 10.38% 17.36% 18.44% 18.53% 11.30% 7.04% 11.02%
discounted ROI (times) 1.07 1.13 1.59 1.53 1.75 1.25 0.76 1.17

16 24% market conditions it would exceed 14 years. Financially, the use of


14 21% energy storage is not yet viable, due to its high cost, but may be in
the future, as it becomes cheaper. The provision of ancillary services
Payback time [years]

12 18%
to the grid, such as frequency regulation, may improve significantly
10 15%
the project profitability. In addition, a financial incentive of 40% of

IRR [%]
8 12% the initial investment is required to reduce the payback time to 7
6 9% years, in line with what a private investor expects. The allocation of
4 6% such subsidies would thus have a large impact on the profitability
of this business, promoting the deployment of electric vehicles
2 3%
solar parking lots.
0 0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
This study intends to be demonstrative of the energy and
Subsidies [% of investment]
financial potential of a solar parking lot to charge EVs. It presents a
general methodology extendible to other cases. For further studies,
Payback time IRR it would be interesting to consider the uncertainty of the PV gen-
eration (as here it is assumed that the PV generation profile for the
Fig. 11. Sensitivity analysis on the subsidies of a solar parking lot, showing the payback
time and IRR. day is known) and exploit other business models, such as including
revenues coming from commercial advertising on the EVs charging
stations. Also, testing this methodology with parking facilities other
more EV charging points than gas stations) [75]. than park-and-ride, and therefore with potentially very different
These examples reflect the importance of government support occupation profiles, would be of interest. Additionally, the case
in EV adoption. This support can include subsidies to park operators study taken here is a typical park-and-ride facility. Different results
to install charging stations [31]. are expected for projects of other dimensions, which should
Since the more appealing scenarios may not be feasible in the improve with the project size due to economies of scale, and in
present, since they assume as electric all cars parking at the EVSPL, other regions, where the solar resource and financial conditions
an analysis to what extent a public co-financing of the initial in- may be different.
vestment could impact on the EVSPL project attractiveness under
current conditions was performed. And so, taking the scenario A5,
Aknowledgements
the most realistic one, a sensitivity analysis was done to a public
support from 0% to 50% of the total investment. Fig. 11 shows the
The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support by the
results for the IRR and payback time.
MIT Portugal Program on Sustainable Energy Systems (PD/BD/
It can be seen that the IRR rises from 11.3%, which corresponds
114174/2016), the Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation,
to the scenario A5 with no subsidies, to around 22.5%, for the case of
grant PD/BD/114174/2016, project UID/GEO/50019/2013, and proj-
50% subsidised. As for the payback time, it decreases from 14 years
ect SusCity MITP-TB/CS/0026/2013.
to 6 years. If one considers that the top encouraging payback time
for an investor is of 7 years [31], a subsidy of 40% of the initial in-
vestment is required to make the EVSPL financially appealing. In References
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