SEMANA DEM REAL INV a=0,1 a=0,2 a=0,3 a=0,9 e1 e2

7 85 85 85 85 85 0 0
8 102 85.00 85.00 85.00 85 17 17
9 110 86.70 88.40 90.10 100.3 23.30 21.60
10 90 89.03 92.72 96.07 109.03 0.97 2.72
11 105 89.13 92.18 94.25 91.903 15.87 12.82
12 95 90.71 94.74 97.47 103.6903 4.29 0.26
13 115 91.14 94.79 96.73 95.86903 23.86 20.21
14 120 93.53 98.83 102.21 113.086903 26.47 21.17
15 80 96.18 103.07 107.55 119.3086903 16.18 23.07
16 95 94.56 98.45 99.28 83.93086903 0.44 3.45
17 100 94.60 97.76 98.00 93.893086903 5.40 2.24
18 95.14 98.21 98.60 99.38930869
Erro abs total 133.77 124.53
Promedio 12.16 11.32

Suavizacion exponencial Demanda real in

125 130

120
120
115
110 110
105
100 100
f(x) = 0.2454545455x + 98.2545454545
95
90 90

85
80
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
70
Dem.Re.Inv. a=0.1 a =0.2 a=0.3 a=0.9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
 e3 e9
0 0
17 17 a= 0.1
19.90 9.70 a= 0.2
6.07 19.03 a= 0.3
10.75 13.10 a= 0.9
2.47 8.69
18.27 19.13
17.79 6.91
27.55 39.31
4.28 11.07
2.00 6.11

126.08 150.05
11.46 13.64

Demanda real inventario

45455x + 98.2545454545

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12