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First Edition
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
Disclaimer
2
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
Copyright
FIRSTEDITION
Published & Distributed by
T. Black Electronic Publications
© 2005
3
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
Contents
Introduction
An introduction to the concept of Football Betting Science. 6
Important Features
Key factors you should know 8
The Basics
A brief overview of the system 13
4
Fixed Return Formula (FR4) 42
Maximizing profits 45
5
Introduction
Thank you for purchasing the Football Betting Science System. We
hope it assists you with your betting investments and helps to
maximize wins and minimize losses.
6
The Football Betting Science system is not like any other
conventional betting systems and its potency is based on betting
odds and calculations and not on rating systems, team performance
or any other predictable betting analysis data.
7
Football Betting Science
Important Features
Selection
Whilst betting science will provide the figures and strategy for your
bets, you will be responsible for the selection process. The more
proficient you are at the selection process, the more profit you will
make by utilizing the math’s formulas we provide for you.
Price Attainment
A key factor affecting some formulas and profits are the prices (odds)
attained for selections. Bookmaker’s prices do vary so it is important
that you research the odds available for the particular football event
that you are betting on. You can mix prices from different bookmakers
to build a set of selections which offer the best value. (See
maximising profits)
Calculation
Once you have the selections and the odds they are applied to one of
the Football bet Science formulas that are appropriate for the bet you
wish to make. Football betting Science has developed useful
workbooks to aid with all formula calculations used by the system.
The betting formulas and methods that make up the Football betting
Science System will allow you to make intelligent bets based on the
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selections you choose. Good judgment and the application of the
System will give you an edge over others. You must plan your bets
carefully and take advantage of the methods and techniques
presented in this guide. Some examples are based on certain figures
to make learning easier and some formulas will not work if the prices
are too low. In some instances, figures may vary slightly due to the
rounding up or down of decimal places. Adjustments may have to be
made to some stakes to make them practical for placement. There
are many ways to make use of the Football Betting Science formulas
and some examples are demonstrated for you.
Some bookmakers may not want your business as a result of using
Bet Science methods and you may wish to use several bookmakers.
Round up / down your stakes to the nearest pound or £X.50 to
prevent raising a bookmakers suspicions about your betting strategy.
Betting Plans
Betting plans are demonstrated in this book using formulas and
effective match permutations and the formula workbook(s) provide
fully interactive worksheets for each of the betting plans. There is also
a single input workbook which utilizes the flexibility of the formulas to
enable you to devise and use betting plans of your own.
Betting Odds
The formula workbooks require decimal odds to function properly and
each page has a fractional / decimal odds conversion function.
9
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
Before you can expect success from football betting, you must learn
to think like a professional.
A professional, by the very nature of the word, has to win. Not every
time - but he has to win to make a living.
Many gamblers devote their entire lives to losing and become perfect
losers, blaming everything but themselves for their losses. The secret
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to successful football betting is create bets which swing the balance
of betting power in your favour and the Football Betting Science
formulas will certainly assist you with this.
No matter how bad your recent results have been, they do not, in
any way, affect the chances of your next bet. Everyone
encounters sequences - it's a part of life that things happen in
sequences.
Once you understand this, you will treat the inevitable losing runs with
a completely different attitude. You will begin to be unaffected by
them - not completely, but enough to ensure that they are not on your
mind as you make your next match selections. This is important - if
you are psychologically affected by being in the middle of a losing
sequence, your judgment will be affected as you make your next bet.
There is no doubt about it. Conversely, a 'good' sequence must never
lead to rashness or complacency.
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try to extend the winning streak, or whether it is because to want to
recover losses quickly, then you have not grasped the basic
psychology required for the discipline of successful betting.
12
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
The Basics
bets - rather than making one bet you are covering a range of
ensure coverage and profit despite having to pay out on winning bets.
much you would like to stake on the overall bet or setting a specific
profit return. Important factors when applying the formulas are the
viability of the odds available and the type of formula you apply
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science systems. The following formulas and their applications
14
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
create bets over two events and which endorses the philosophy of
separate bets which can have either one or two possible winning
outcomes. The following bet plans have been created using specific
and the workbook assistant provides facilities for using these plans.
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Fixed Budget Formula (FB2)
The ease of use of this formula will enable you to manage your bets
quickly and enable you to work within a specific budget. This formula
is aimed at proportioning staking levels over two football events to
give an equal return for each bet using a fixed budget.
The betting plan uses two match selections and the formula requires
that you input the odds for each of the two bets and the total budget
which you are going to use.
Working Example
The example below shows the arrangement of the plan using a total
budget of £10. The formula will calculate how to proportion the
budget between each bet to give the same winning return for each
one.
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 X
Total Odds 2.46 5.65
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The formula for calculating the stake for each bet is shown below -
THE FORMULA
Working Formula
The stake formula for bet 1 is:-
(Y + 1) * £? divided by (X+Y+2)
The stake formula for bet 2 is:-
(X + 1) * £? divided by (X+Y+2)
• Where £? is the predetermined stake
Table one shows the odds of each selection and the total odds for
each bet
Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1.57 1.57
Selection 2 1.57 3.6
Total Odds 2.46 5.65
Once the total odds are know for each bet (the working odds) they
are then applied to the formula along with the betting budget of £10
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THE FORMULA
The calculations from the formula are then used to make your bets.
Table two shows how the budget has been distributed between the
two bets and amounts to £10. If either bet wins the profit remains the
same.
Table 2
1 = Home win X = Draw
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 X
Total Odds 2.46 5.65 Total stake = £10
Stake £6.96 £3.04
Return £17.16 £17.16
Profit £7.16 £7.16
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Profit Target Formula (PT2)
A variation on the fixed budget formula is the profit target formula. A
feature of making professional bets is the ability to specify profit
goals. The profit target formula is a powerful and flexible formula
which is central to this professional betting ethos.
The formula data requirements are the odds for each bet but instead
of a fixed budget input you will enter a profit target amount for each
bet.
Working Example
The example below shows the arrangement of the plan - The aim is
to show a profit of £20 from each bet and the formula will calculate
the staking levels required to achieve this.
It is important to note that the stakes for each bet will be determined
by the profit target and the odds for each bet.
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1
Selection 3 1 X
Total Odds 3.87 8.87
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The formula for calculating the stake for each bet is shown below -
THE FORMULA
Working Formula
The stake formula for bet 1 is:
(Y + 1) * £PX divided by (X * Y) – 1
Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1.57 1.57
Selection 2 1.57 1.57
Selection 3 1.57 3.6
Total Odds 3.87 8.87
Profit Target £20.00 £20.00
Profit target
20
Using the total odds and profit target, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA
Working Formula
The stake for bet 1 is:
(7.87 + 1) * £20 (177.40) divided by (2.87 * 7.87)) – 1 (21.59)
= 177.40 divided by 21.59 which equals £8.22
Table two shows the results - profit target £20 (Total stake = £11.80)
Table 2
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1
Selection 3 1 X
Total Odds 3.87 8.87 Total stake = £11.80
Stake £8.22 £3.59
Return £31.80 £31.80
Profit £20.00 £20.00
Both bets return
the same Profit
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Individual Profit Formula (IP2)
Being able to identify profit targets is a powerful element of
professional betting and enables you to modify future bets to balance
any previous loses and future profit targets. Football Betting Science
has constructed a profit calculator and incorporated it into the two
outcome formula for the purpose of setting specific profit targets.
The plan uses two selections and although it may seem similar in
description to the previous profit target formula, it differs in that it
enables you to specify different profit targets for each of your two
bets.
Working Example
The example below shows the bet structure and the two different
profit targets which have been set at £15 and £5.
Profit targets
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The formula is shown below –
THE FORMULA
Working Formula
Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1.4 1.4
Selection 2 2.5 3.2
Total Odds 3.5 4.48
Profit target £15.00 £5.00
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Using the total odds and profit targets, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA
Working Formula
The stake for bet 1 is:
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 X
Total Odds 3.5 4.48 Total stake = £11
Stake £7.43 £3.57
Return £26 £16
Profit target £15.00 £5.00
Different profit
targets
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NOTE -
It is also possible to use the second bet as a recoup bet which will
return the value of the total stake money if it is the winning line – to
do this simply add the value 0 (zero) as the profit target for the
second bet. This is very useful if you have a lot of confidence in your
first bet and want to win larger profits from it without having to also
name a profit target for your second bet.
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FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
26
Fixed Budget Formula (FB3)
Adapted from the fixed budget formula for two betting outcomes, this
formula integrates a third option and provides greater flexibility.
To apply the formula you are required to input the three separate
betting odds and the total budget you will be using for these bets, it
will then calculate staking levels for you to place on each one and the
equal returns each one will provide.
Working Example
The arrangement of the plan is shown below. A total stake budget of
£20 will be divided between each bet to give the same winning return
for each one.
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The formula is shown below
THE FORMULA
Formula
The stake formula for bet1 is:
S=Y+1*Z+1
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1 = X + 1 * Z + 1
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = X + 1 * Y + 1
We can say T = S + S1 + S2
S3 = S * £? divided by T
S4 = S1 * £? divided by T
S5 = S2 * £? divided by T
Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection 1 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection 2 1.44 1.44 4
Selection 3 1.44 4 1.44
Total Odds 2.99 8.99 8.99
Budget £20
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Using the total odds and the betting budget, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA
Formula
The stake formula for bet1 is:
S = 7.99 + 1 * 7.99 + 1 equals (8.99 * 8.99) = 80.82
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1= 1.99 + 1 * 7.99 + 1 equals (2.99 * 8.99) = 26.88
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = 1.99 + 1 * 7.99 + 1 equals (2.99 * 8.99) = 26.88
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Fixed Return Formula (FR3)
The fixed return formula for three events is an enhancement of the
two bet models which can be used to aim for a precise betting yield.
By accommodating a third variable into the formula the capacity for
successful profit generation is increased.
The formula data requirements are three betting odds and a fixed
return amount for each bet.
Working Example
The example below shows a three line plan. A fixed return of £20 is
the target and the stake amount is determined by the odds and fixed
return figure
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The formula is shown below
THE FORMULA
Formula = £? / O+1
Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds
Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection 1 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection 2 2.2 2.2 3.2
Selection 3 2.2 3.2 2.2
Total Odds 6.97 10.14 10.14
Fixed return £20.00 £20.00 £20.00
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Using the total odds and fixed return target, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA
Formula = £? / O+1
Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds
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The Recovery Formula (RECOV3)
This formula is useful when you are confident about a bet selection
but you would like to incorporate a safety feature that protects your
stake investment allowing you to break even if part of your bet fails.
This three bet system incorporates one profit making bet and two
recovery bets which will return the stake money.
Working Example
The plan below shows how a banker home selection is used to cover
every possible outcome of another match. Bet 1 is the profit making
bet and bets 2+3 are used to recoup the total stake money if they
win. The formula will calculate the stake division between the bets
using a point multiplier to adjust the total stake amount to be used.
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The formula for calculating the stake requirements is shown below
THE FORMULA
Working Formula
Table one displays the individual odds of each selection and the
accumulative odds for each bet.
Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection A 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection B 2.2 3.2 3.2
Total odds 3.45 5.02 5.02
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Points Multiplier
Once the odds are known, they are then applied to the formula and a
point multiplier is used within the formula calculations to produce the
staking amount which you are going to use for your bets.
THE FORMULA
Variable X = (5.02-1) = 4.02
Variable Y = (5.02-1) = 4.02
Variable Z = (3.45 -1) = 2.45
Point Multiplier = 1 – (The point’s multiplier can be varied until the total staking amount is
satisfactory for your betting budget)
Working Formula
The stake points formula for bet 3 is:
(4.02 + 1) = 5.02
The stake points formula for bet 2 is:
(4.02 + 1) = 5.02
The stake points formula for bet 1 is:
((4.02 * 4.02) - 1) = 15.16
Thus
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Table two illustrates the bet - You will see that bet 1 is the profit bet
and bets two and three will return the stake money if they are winning
bets.
Table 2
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection A 1 1 1
Selection B 1 X 2
Total odds 3.45 5.02 5.02 Total stake=£12.60
Stake £7.58 £2.51 £2.51
Returns £26.15 £12.60 £12.60
Profit £13.55 Stake Stake Bets 2 + 3 return the stake money
One of the major strengths of the bet is its ability to allow you to
concentrate on selecting one match as a banker bet. If you can
confidently select only one winning match then you can use it to
cover the Home win / Draw / Away results of as many fixtures as you
like knowing that at worst you will get your stake money refunded.
This has particular profit potential as it allows the banker bet to be
used in conjunction with matches that may not normally be
considered for betting purposes, for example, you can use the banker
bet to cover “risky” matches with higher odds knowing that as long as
your banker bet wins the worst case scenario is the return of your
stake money.
SEE PAGE RECOV(3) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA
WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR THIS PLAN
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FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
The betting plans have been created by integrating the formula with a
powerful betting perm which uses four match selections. The
workbook assistant provides easy to use interactive worksheets for
using these plans.
37
Fixed Budget Formula (FB4)
The four bet formula is a dynamic and powerful betting model which
offers superior contingency cover for single and multiple events.
For this formula you are required to input the four separate betting
odds and the total budget you will be using for these bets. The
formula will then divide the betting budget to devise stakes for each of
the bets to ensure an equal return is calculated per bet.
Working Example
The plan below shows a four line perm using short priced selections.
A stake budget of £30 has to be allocated proportionally between
each bet to give the same return for each one.
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The formula for calculating the stake requirements is shown below -
THE FORMULA
Working Formulae
The stake formula for bet 1 is:
S1= ([B + 1] * [C + 1] * [D + 1])
In Combination
S5= (S1 + S2] + S3] + S4)
Thus
The stake for Outcome A is:
([S1] * [£P]) / (S5)
The stake for Outcome B is:
([S2] * [£P]) / (S5)
The stake for Outcome C is:
([S3] * [£P]) / (S5)
The stake for Outcome D is:
([S4] * [£P]) / (S5)
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Using the Formula
Using the total odds and betting budget, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA
Predetermined Stake = £P
Working Formulae
The stake formula for bet 1 is:
S1= (10.94 + 1] * (10.94 + 1) * (32.18 + 1) equals (11.94 * 11.94 * 33.18) = 4730.26
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In Combination
S5= (4730 + 1730.53 + 1730.53 + 613.02) = 8750.34
Thus
The stake for Outcome A is:
4730.26 * £30 / 8750.34 = £16.22
The stake for Outcome B is:
(1730.53 * £30 / 8750.34 = £5.84
The stake for Outcome C is:
(1730.53 * £30 / 8750.34 = £5.84
The stake for Outcome D is:
613.02 * £30 / 8750.34 = £2.10
Table two illustrates the bet layout and the distribution of the budget -
total £30
Table 2
41
Fixed Return Formula (FR4)
The four bet formula is a dynamic and powerful betting model which
offers superior contingency cover for single and multiple events.
For this formula you are required to input the four separate betting
odds and the fixed return target figure.
Working Example
The plan below uses short priced selections. A fixed return target of
£20 is the objective and the formula will calculate the required staking
levels to achieve this. Staking levels are determined by the odds and
fixed return figure
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The formula for calculating the stake requirements is shown below -
THE FORMULA
Variable A = Odds for bet 1 minus 1
Variable B = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Variable C = Odds for bet 3 minus 1
Variable D = Odds for bet 4 minus 1
Fixed Return Figure = £?
Formula = £? / O+1 - Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds
Table 1
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Using the total odds and fixed return target, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA
Formula= £? / O+1 (Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds)
44
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
Maximizing profits
The growing popularity of the Internet has changed many things, and
one area that this is particularly noticeable is betting. No longer are
people confined to betting with a small number of bookmakers. New
firms have become more and more commonplace and competition
has increased. This has provided great benefits to people with an
interest in football betting. Bookmakers are now offering better odds
to compete with one another and the creation of betting exchanges
has increased competition even further.
When you place your bets with only one bookmaker you are in
serious danger of losing out on potential winnings. A little research
and work is required by you but the rewards can be well worth it and
is a pursuit well worth undertaking. We will demonstrate what we
mean in the following pages
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HOME DRAW AWAY
Bolton v Blackburn 2 3.2 3.75
Fulham v Birmingham 2.37 3.2 2.9
The price each bookmaker was offering for the home win, draw and
away win selections show differences but it is difficult at first glance to
see the effect they could have on any betting strategy.
Using the two matches we will now demonstrate how the odds
difference can affect potential profit margins using one of our betting
plans in a scenario.
BOOKMAKER 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Bolton 1 1 1
Fulham 1 X 2
Total odds 4.74 6.4 5.8
Stake £13.42 £3.12 £3.45 Total stake=£20
PROFIT = £43.63 Returns £63.64 £20 £20
Profit/loss £43.64 0 0
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BOOKMAKER 2
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Bolton 1 1 1
Fulham 1 X 2
Total odds 4.18 6.08 5.32
Stake £12.95 £3.29 £3.76 Total stake=£20
Returns £54.14 £20 £20
PROFIT = £34.14 Profit/loss £34.14 Stake Stake
BOOKMAKER 3
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Bolton 1 1 1
Fulham 1 X 2
Total odds 4.05 5.76 4.95
Stake £12.41 £3.47 £4.12 Total stake=£20
PROFIT = £30.24 Returns £50.24 £20 £20
Profit/loss £30.24 Stake Stake
It is now evident from the results above just how significant the odds
difference is when they are applied to a betting plan. Bookmaker 1
has far greater profits than bookmakers 2 and 3 and demonstrates
how profits can be increased substantially simply by researching the
different prices on offer from different firms.
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The scenario we used shows that one bookmaking firm has the best
prices for the entire bet and these are the ones you would use,
however it is more than likely you will find that you have to use a
different bookmaker for each part of your bet.
Investigate the odds from as many bookmakers as you can, this may
take a little time but once you have mastered the technique of
calculating the odds of your match selections you will soon become
more proficient and incorporate this odds evaluation into your regular
betting strategy.
48
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
Using the formula workbooks
49
This is the main page of the workbooks and you can link to the
formula pages by using the page links or page tabs.
You will then be able to use the worksheet for the application you
have selected
Each sheet has data input sections where you insert the team names,
betting odds and profit targets / budget amount.
50
Once you have inserted the input data, all the calculations relating to
the betting plan are automatically displayed in the output table.
You can then use the information in the table to place your bets.
Put in fractional odds here and use the decimal output reading only!
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FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
The flexibility of the formulae used in this electronic book has shown
that they can be used in many different ways to give a wider choice of
betting strategies.
The single input workbook enables you to use the formulas with the
working odds from single events and/or a combination of single and
multiple events. To enable you to create different betting strategies
Football Betting Science also provides an accumulator worksheet to
calculate the working odds from 2, 3, 4 and 5 match selections.
52
Example
A bet plan will be devised using the individual profit formula for two
outcomes (IP 2) and will be based on two separate accumulator bets.
Bet 1 is a treble consisting of three short priced home wins and Bet 2
is a double based on home wins of longer odds. The profit targets are
£10 and £5 respectively
Bet 1 Bet 2
Liverpool - 1.44 Dundee Utd – 2.2
Bury – 1.4 Motherwell – 2
Leyton O – 1.57
Profit target £10 Profit Target £5
53
Then the working odds and profit targets are applied to the Individual
profit worksheet.
Bet 1 Bet 2
Liverpool 1 Dundee U 1
Bury 1 Motherwell 1
Leyton O 1 - -
Working (total) odds 3.16 Working (total) odds 4.4
Profit target £10 Profit target £5
The output data is given here. The full bet is displayed in the table
below
Bet 1 Bet 2
Liverpool 1 Dundee U 1
Bury 1 Motherwell 1
Leyton O 1 - -
Total odds 3.16 Total odds 4.4
Stake £6.15 £3.28 Total stake = £9.43
Return £19.43 14.43
Profit Target £10 £5 Different profit
targets
54
If any of the two bets win the profits are £10 and £5 for bets 1 and 2
respectively, however each bet is independent of each other and only
one bet needs to win for a profit to be made.
There are many different uses for the formulas for betting on both
single and multiple events.
Example
Using interrelated single events (1)
Using the fixed budget formula for four outcomes (FB 4) the bet will
be based on four of the most common Half Time / Full time results. A
match has been selected from the English Premiership - Everton v
Charlton and a budget of £10 will be used
Budget £10
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4
Everton/Charlton Home/Home Away/Away Draw/Home Draw/Away
Total Odds 3.15 38 5.2 11
55
The screenshot above demonstrates the input data process for the
worksheet.
The table above displays the layout of the final bet using the readout
from the formula calculations.
If any of the Half Time / Full Time results win then an overall profit of
£5.95 will be gained.
56
Another example of using bets which are associated with one single
football event is demonstrated on the following page.
Example
Using interrelated bets (2)
Using the recovery formula (RECOV) the bet will be based a single
home win selection which is the profit making bet and two correct
score draw forecasts from the same game which protect the stake
money.
Home win odds – 2.46 (1-1) Draw odds – 7.2 (2-2) Draw odds - 17
The points Multiplier has been adjusted for a total stake budget of
£10 which has been distributed between the three bets. (NOTE – The
stake total shown in each column is the total stake for all bets i.e. in
this case the stake total is £10 not £30)
57
The table below displays the layout of the final bet using the readout
from the formula calculations.
The Bet
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection Home win 1-1 Draw 2-2 Draw
Total odds 2.46 7.2 17
Stake £8.02 £1.39 £0.59 Total stake = £10.00
Returns £19.74 £10.00 £10.00
Profit £9.74 Stake Stake
The home win forecast is protected by the two correct score forecasts
which have been calculated by the formula to return the exact stake
money if they are the winning bets.
The previous examples are just a few of the different ways in which
the formulas can be adapted to create betting plans of your own. The
flexibility of the formulas will enable you to combine an almost
limitless combination of football betting events.
Formula Applications –
Perms,
Accumulators
Single events - i.e. a single win and covered by a draw, correct score
58
We hope you enjoy using Football Betting
Science and wish you great success with
your new betting system.
59