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Durasi (menit)

No Tahun 1 hari 2 hari


5 10 15 30 45 60 120 180 360 720
1 1959 20 25 30 50 52 53 55 55 55 55 75 -
2 1960 18 22 32 46 46 47 51 57 67 71 87 115
3 1961 21 26 28 40 43 44 50 66 87 116 124 -
4 1962 11 20 25 30 35 38 45 52 73 76 100 -
5 1963 22 - 25 38 40 40 44 62 70 118 120 -
6 1964 21 31 42 62 78 80 89 91 98 100 100 -
7 1965 11 15 18 28 38 40 41 44 91 125 166 270
8 1966 27 30 34 43 50 54 72 80 90 91 - -
9 1976 17 20 32 43 59 75 107 107 135 183 200 249
10 1978 17 25 36 60 72 85 98 102 115 115 115 149
11 1979 15 24 29 37 50 56 99 114 126 126 126 126
12 1980 14 28 62 82 82 91 175 185 192 192 192 192
13 1981 20 40 50 65 70 80 113 120 204 228 253 260
14 1982 10 10 16 47 - 69 80 103 131 131 157 247
15 1983 18 36 54 73 - 93 93 96 96 96 96 116
16 1984 15 27 35 47 61 67 79 83 85 91 91 128
17 1985 15 25 35 55 71 95 149 149 149 247 253 282
18 1986 31 46 62 72 - 100 105 123 129 130 130 130
19 1987 27 32 37 60 - 88 93 93 96 138 138 155
20 1988 15 26 36 51 71 81 102 101 117 174 174 198
21 1989 16 26 30 44 55 80 100 100 108 142 142 226
22 1990 10 21 31 52 59 59 65 68 81 100 115 123
23 1991 12 20 31 41 48 50 62 89 130 137 137 185
24 1992 15 22 32 58 80 85 92 100 103 104 104 135
25 1993 24 32 43 80 90 98 116 118 159 211 276 429
max 31 46 62 82 90 100 175 185 204 247 276 429

Durasi (menit)
No tahun 1 hari 2 hari
5 10 15 30 45 60 120 180 360 720

1 1959 240 150 120 100 69 53 27.5 18.3 9.2 4.6 3.1 -

2 1960 216 132 128 92 61 47 25.5 19.0 11.2 5.9 3.6 2.4

3 1961 252 156 112 80 57 44 25 22.0 14.5 9.7 5.2 -

4 1962 132 120 100 60 47 38 22.5 17.3 12.2 6.3 4.2 -

5 1963 264 100 76 53 40 22 20.7 11.7 9.8 5.0 -

6 1964 252 186 168 124 104 80 44.5 30.3 16.3 8.3 4.2 -

7 1965 132 90 72 56 51 40 20.5 14.7 15.2 10.4 6.9 5.6

8 1966 324 180 136 86 67 54 36 26.7 15.0 7.6 - -

9 1976 204 120 128 86 79 75 53.5 35.7 22.5 15.3 8.3 5.2

10 1978 204 150 144 120 96 85 49 34.0 19.2 9.6 4.8 3.1

11 1979 180 144 116 74 67 56 49.5 38.0 21.0 10.5 5.3 2.6

12 1980 168 168 248 164 109 91 87.5 61.7 32.0 16.0 8.0 4.0

13 1981 240 240 200 130 93 80 56.5 40.0 34.0 19.0 10.5 5.4

14 1982 120 60 64 94 - 69 40 34.3 21.8 10.9 6.5 5.1

15 1983 216 216 216 146 - 93 46.5 32.0 16.0 8.0 4.0 2.4

16 1984 180 162 140 94 81 67 39.5 27.7 14.2 7.6 3.8 2.7

17 1985 180 150 140 110 95 95 74.5 49.7 24.8 20.6 10.5 5.9

18 1986 372 276 248 144 - 100 52.5 41.0 21.5 10.8 5.4 2.7

19 1987 324 192 148 120 - 88 46.5 31.0 16.0 11.5 5.8 3.2

20 1988 180 156 144 102 95 81 51 33.7 19.5 14.5 7.3 4.1

21 1989 192 156 120 88 73 80 50 33.3 18.0 11.8 5.9 4.7

22 1990 120 126 124 104 79 59 32.5 22.7 13.5 8.3 4.8 2.6

23 1991 144 120 124 82 64 50 31 29.7 21.7 11.4 5.7 3.9

24 1992 180 132 128 116 107 85 46 33.3 17.2 8.7 4.3 2.8

25 1993 288 192 172 160 120 98 58 39.3 26.5 17.6 11.5 8.9

jumlah data n 25 24 25 25 21 25 25 25 25 25 24 19

maksimum 372 276 248 164 120 100 87.5 61.7 34.0 20.6 11.5 8.9

rata - rata 212.2 157.3 141.6 104.3 79.4 69.9 43.5 31.4 18.6 11.0 6.0 4.1

standar deviasi 66.4 46.2 46.2 29.0 21.1 20.2 16.3 10.6 6.2 4.1 2.3 1.7

koefisien kurtois 0.076 1.274 0.897 -0.348 -0.990 -1.393 0.991 1.544 0.736 0.186 0.527 2.410
koefisien variasi 0.31 0.29 0.33 0.28 0.27 0.29 0.37 0.34 0.33 0.37 0.38 0.41

parameter statistik
setelah melihat lampiran dengan data 25

Reduce Mean, Yn
N 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 0.4952 0.4996 0.5035 0.5070 0.5100 0.5128 0.5157 0.5181 0.5202 0.5220
20 0.5236 0.5252 0.5268 0.5283 0.5296 0.5309 0.532 0.5332 0.5343 0.5353

Reduced Standard Deviation, Sn


N 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 0.9496 0.9676 0.9833 0.9971 1.0095 1.0206 1.0316 1.0411 1.0493 1.0565
20 1.06280 1.06960 1.07540 1.08110 1.09150 1.09615 1.09610 1.10040 1.10470 1.10800

Reduce variate, Ytr


Periode
Ulang, Reduced
Tr variate, Ytr
(tahun)

2 0.3668
5 1.5004
10 2.251
20 2.9709
25 3.1993
50 3.9028
75 4.3117
100 4.6012
200 5.2969
250 5.5206
500 6.2149
1000 6.9087
5000 8.5188
10000 9.2121

K=ytr-yn/sn
Durasi
Tr Ytr 1 hari 2 hari
5 10 15 30 45 60 120 180 360 720
2 0.3668 -0.14971 -0.151386 -0.14971 -0.14970579 -0.14809 -0.14970579 -0.14970579 -0.14971 -0.149706 -0.14971 -0.1480927 -0.1469
5 1.5004 0.88446 0.902734 0.88446 0.88445924 0.91174 0.88445924 0.88445924 0.88446 0.884459 0.88446 0.9117427 0.92608
10 2.251 1.56922 1.600707 1.56922 1.56921954 1.6135 1.56921954 1.56921954 1.56922 1.56922 1.56922 1.6135004 1.63654
20 2.9709 2.22597 2.270132 2.22597 2.22597272 2.28656 2.22597272 2.22597272 2.22597 2.225973 2.22597 2.2865557 2.31794
25 3.1993 2.43434 2.482518 2.43434 2.43433837 2.50009 2.43433837 2.43433837 2.43434 2.434338 2.43434 2.5000935 2.53412
50 3.9028 3.07613 3.136693 3.07613 3.07613009 3.15782 3.07613009 3.07613009 3.07613 3.07613 3.07613 3.157816 3.20000
75 4.3117 3.44916 3.516924 3.44916 3.44916298 3.54011 3.44916298 3.44916298 3.44916 3.449163 3.44916 3.5401085 3.58703
100 4.6012 3.71327 3.786126 3.71327 3.71326917 3.81077 3.71326917 3.71326917 3.71327 3.713269 3.71327 3.8107704 3.86105

Xt= X rata-rata ± K + Standar Deviasi


Durasi
Tr Ytr 1 hari 2 hari
5 10 15 30 45 60 120 180 360 720
2 0.3668 202.2 150.3 134.7 100.0 76.2 66.9 41.1 29.9 17.7 10.4 5.7 3.8
5 1.5004 270.9 198.9 182.5 129.9 98.6 87.8 57.9 40.8 24.0 14.6 8.1 5.6
10 2.251 316.4 231.2 214.1 149.8 113.4 101.6 69.1 48.1 28.2 17.4 9.7 6.8
20 2.9709 360.0 262.1 244.5 168.8 127.7 114.9 79.7 55.0 32.3 20.1 11.3 8.0
25 3.1993 373.9 271.9 254.1 174.8 132.2 119.1 83.1 57.2 33.6 21.0 11.8 8.3
50 3.9028 416.5 302.1 283.8 193.4 146.1 132.1 93.6 64.0 37.5 23.6 13.3 9.5
75 4.3117 441.3 319.6 301.0 204.2 154.1 139.6 99.7 68.0 39.8 25.1 14.2 10.1
100 4.6012 458.8 332.1 313.2 211.8 159.9 145.0 104.0 70.8 41.4 26.2 14.8 10.6
NO t l l.t l^2 l^2.t log t log l logt.logl (logt)^2 t^0,5 l.t^0,5 l^2.t^0,5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5 202.2 1011 40891 204455.316 0.6990 2.3058 1.6117 0.4886 2.2361 452.17 91435.197
2 10 150.3 1503 22578 225781.816 1.0000 2.1768 2.1768 1.0000 3.1623 475.17 71398.479
3 15 134.7 2020 18139 272084.841 1.1761 2.1293 2.5043 1.3832 3.8730 521.62 70252.004
4 30 100.0 3000 9997 299914.184 1.4771 1.9999 2.9542 2.1819 5.4772 547.64 54756.588
5 45 76.2 3431 5812 261543.674 1.6532 1.8822 3.1116 2.7331 6.7082 511.41 38988.629
6 60 66.9 4014 4475 268495.506 1.7782 1.8254 3.2458 3.1618 7.7460 518.17 34662.621
7 120 41.1 4927 1686 202333.457 2.0792 1.6134 3.3546 4.3230 10.9545 449.81 18470.433
8 180 29.9 5374 891 160433.144 2.2553 1.4750 3.3266 5.0863 13.4164 400.54 11957.981
9 360 17.7 6357 312 112249.683 2.5563 1.2469 3.1876 6.5347 18.9737 335.04 5916.0777
10 720 10.4 7472 108 77533.549 2.8573 1.0161 2.9033 8.1643 26.8328 278.45 2889.5048
11 1440 5.7 8187 32 46548.6993 3.1584 0.7548 2.3838 9.9753 37.9473 215.75 1226.6659
12 2880 3.8 11020 15 42162.9819 3.4594 0.5828 2.0160 11.9674 53.6656 205.34 785.66078
TOTAL 838.7 58314 104936 2173536.85 24.1494 19.0085 32.7763 56.9995 190.9930 4911.10 402739.84

Talbot:
a= 58314 * 104936 - 2173536.85 * 838.7 =
7731
12 * 104936 - 838.7 * 838.7

b= 838.7 * 58314 - 12 * 2173536.85 =


41.0757
12 * 104936 - 838.7 * 838.7

Sherman:
a= 19.0085 * 56.9995 - 32.7763 * 24.1494 =
2.896264
12 * 56.9995 - 24.1494 * 24.1494

= 787.525

n= 19.0085 * 24.1494 - 12 * 32.7763 =


0.652054
12 * 56.9995 - 24.1494 * 24.1494

Ishiguro:
a= 4911.10 * 104936 - 402739.841 * 838.7 =
319.4931
12 * 104936.2 - 838.7 * 838.7

b= 838.7 * 4911.10 - 12 * 402739.841


-1.284292
12 * 104936.2 - 838.7 * 838.7

intensitas hujan l deviasi


NO t l
talbot sherman ishiguro talbot sherman ishiguro
1 5 202.2 167.78 275.74 335.7 -34.44 73.52 133.5
2 10 150.3 151.35 175.47 170.1 1.09 25.21 19.9
3 15 134.7 137.86 134.71 123.4 3.18 0.03 -11.3
4 30 100.0 108.76 85.72 76.2 8.78 -14.26 -23.8
5 45 76.2 89.81 65.81 58.9 13.57 -10.43 -17.3
6 60 66.9 76.48 54.55 49.4 9.59 -12.34 -17.5
7 120 41.1 47.99 34.72 33.0 6.93 -6.35 -8.0
8 180 29.9 34.97 26.65 26.3 5.11 -3.20 -3.5
9 360 17.7 19.27 16.96 18.1 1.62 -0.70 0.4
10 720 10.4 10.16 10.79 12.5 -0.22 0.42 2.1
11 1440 5.7 5.22 6.87 8.7 -0.47 1.18 3.0
12 2880 3.8 2.65 4.37 6.1 -1.18 0.54 2.3
ꜫ(|s|) 13.57 53.62 79.79
M(|s|) 1.13 4.47 6.65

400.0

350.0

300.0 Column C
Column D
250.0 Moving average (Column
Ishiguro
D)
Column E
200.0 Sherman
Moving average (Column E)

150.0 Column F
Talbot
Moving average (Column F)
100.0

50.0

0.0
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500