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NAVPS
the Philippine Stock Exchange Composite Index
environment and continued strength in both residential and office spaces.
(PSEi). 1.20 The sector was also positive on the news that the government amended
the regulation for REIT listing in order to entice local property players to
1.00 list. On a macro note, President Duterte finally signed the 2019 nation
budget, but vetoed a few provisions relating to specific appropriations.
0.80 Investors were worried that the delayed budget would result in a lower
Fund Manager ATRAM GDP as the government delayed infrastructure spending in the first few
Sep-12 Aug-13 Aug-14 Jul-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 May-18 Apr-19 months of 2019, but the signing eliminated further risk to potentially
Bloomberg Ticker ALPHAOP PM slower growth. Inflation slowed down to 3.3% in March from 3.8% in
February, as food and non-alcoholic beverages prices moderated – this
Cumulative Performance % puts well within the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) range of 2% - 4% and
Inception Date* 17 September 2012 gives them more reasons to loosen monetary policy. As for the PHP, the
1 Mo 1 Yr 3 Yrs 5 Yrs YTD Since TO USD/PHP closed the month at 52.105, down -0.75% MoM. The USD return
on the PSEi year-to-date is +8.07%.
Currency PHP Fund -0.59% 2.39% 34.99% 15.10% 11.60% 42.23%
Fund Attribution & Positioning
The ATRAM Alpha Opportunity Fund was down 0.59% MoM but
Fund Size 522.24 Million underperformed its benchmark by 15bps. An overweight call in Puregold
Annualized Performance % Price Club Inc. (PGOLD -12.89% MoM) and an underweight in Bloomberry
NAVPS 1.6080 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yrs 4 Yrs 5 Yrs Resorts Corporation (BLOOM +6.17% MoM). PGOLD fell sharply on the back
of foreign net outflows despite its 4Q18 and FY2018 earnings mostly within
Fund 2.39% 4.02% 10.52% 1.41% 2.85% consensus. BLOOM ended April higher as with investors bullish on their
Domicile Philippines new casino in Quezon City and news of the Solaire Cruise Center – which
includes a pier, retail outlets and immigration facilities.
Asset Class Equities Calendar Year Performance % Market Outlook
We are still optimistic on Philippine equities for the second quarter.
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD Since TO With the index trading sideways for the past month due to a lack of
catalysts, the macro picture is looking to improve in May with inflation
Reference MSCI Phil. Small Cap Fund -29.56% 12.68% 20.94% -9.77% 11.60% 42.23% expected to move even closer to the middle of the BSP’s range – giving
Benchmark Index them more ammunition to cut policy rates and/or the reserve requirement
BM -11.78% 15.88% -0.62% -17.03% 10.30% 26.29% ratio (RRR). In the last week of April, the S&P raised the Philippines’ credit
rating from BBB to BBB+ citing solid government fiscal accounts, low public
+/- -17.78% -3.19% 21.56% 7.26% 1.30% 15.93% indebtness and sound external settings. We believe the immediate
Management & 2.0% p.a. response on equities will be positive, as the recent upgrade is yet another
Note: Performance figures are net of fees and taxes. For calendar year returns, Dec. 31 NAVPS notch higher within the investment grade space. Against the current
Distribution Fee used. backdrop, we are bound to see some increase in demand due to the
upgrade being unexpected by many. The long-term effect will be much
Risk & Investor High Risk more significant, as a higher credit rating naturally leads to lower interest
Risk Adjusted Returns Statistics 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr Since TO rates, and lower interest rates leads to better profitability for local
Profile corporates. The S&P’s outlook for above-average GDP growth will certainly
Risk Adjusted Return 0.25 0.95 0.26 0.41 help foster positive sentiment as well, as foreign investors have expressed
Dealing Frequency Daily some concern over recent GDP downgrades emanating from the budget
Information Ratio 1.41 1.42 0.28 0.19 delay.
Having mentioned this, risks remain in the system as we approach the
Standard Deviation 12.75% 11.29% 15.50% 15.94% month-end rebalancing of MSCI where we expect outflows on the back of a
downweight in the Philippines due to inclusions of the first tranche of
*Date of conversion from money market fund Tracking Error 4.95% 7.13% 10.28% 9.97% China A-shares and an upweight in Thailand. Trade talk jitters between the
US and China continue, which could affect the broader region but we
Note: Risk-adjusted returns and risk statistics are all annualized. believe that the Philippines’ position as a domestic-oriented economy
would limit any downside.
In terms of portfolio positioning, we like industrials, consumer
discretionary, property and utilities but we are on the lookout for
additional tactical opportunities that the market may provide to further
enhance our risk and reward characteristics.
Monthly Performance %
APRIL 30, 2019
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Year Cumulative
2012 -0.87% 0.75% 1.74% 5.02% 6.71%
Composition of the Fund
2013 7.89% 6.58% 0.04% 6.92% -4.23% -7.27% 4.97% -8.85% -0.89% 2.57% -3.72% -0.91% 1.36% 8.16%
2014 -0.04% 5.69% -1.56% 9.86% -1.52% 3.68% 1.36% -2.30% 5.22% 2.20% -0.30% 9.84% 36.02% 47.13%
2015 0.09% -3.28% -5.36% -0.24% -5.08% -4.19% 4.85% -11.61% -6.08% 6.63% -6.06% -2.80% -29.56% 3.64%
Equities (92%) 2016 -11.85% 5.46% 10.34% -0.89% 4.61% 5.71% 5.07% 2.90% -1.99% -1.24% -2.83% -1.43% 12.68% 16.78%
2017 5.55% -0.47% 2.55% 4.48% 7.20% -0.55% 0.24% 2.23% 0.42% -2.15% -0.30% 0.40% 20.94% 41.23%
Cash (8%) 2018 3.18% -3.02% 0.44% -2.15% -2.16% -5.66% 1.25% 1.94% 7.73% -0.49% 1.86% 2.95% -9.77% 27.44%
2019 4.73% 4.39% 2.69% -0.59% 11.60% 42.23%
ATR Asset Management: 8th Floor, 8 Rockwell, Hidalgo Drive, Rockwell Center, Makati City, 1210 Philippines Trunk line: +632-8147800 | Fax: +632-8410315 | E-mail: customercare_mutualfund@atram.com.ph| Website: www.atram.com.ph
The content on this material is provided for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. This document is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial products. While this document was prepared with reasonable care, no guarantee is given as
to the accuracy and completeness of the information herein. Any information or opinion expressed in this document is subject to change without prior notice. Be advised that past performance is not indicative of future performance. Shares of the Fund are not deposits or obligations of, or guaranteed or
endorsed by, any financial institution and are not insured by the Philippine Deposit Insurance Corporation (PDIC). Investment in shares of this mutual fund involves risk. See prospectus or contact ATRAM for a discussion of the investment risk factors. This mutual fund is primarily regulated by the Philippine
Securities and Exchange Commission.