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case focused on legal entitlements it would surely win its case. However, UNCLOS has
no enforcement mechanism and China would refuse to comply
Vietnam will need to gain the support of other claimant states and Indonesia, and
hopefully – but unlikely – all other ASEAN member states in order to take legal action
against China. Such a coalition would attract support from major outside powers who
would have a legal basis for pushing back against China. This possibility was scuttled
when Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte decided to ‘set aside’ the Arbitral
Tribunal’s Award.
The Philippines note verable of 6 March 2020, in response to China, specifically
mentions the Arbitral Tribunal Award. This is a positive development but only time will
tell if Duterte stays the course or chooses to continue to set aside the award in order
to bandwagon with China.
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