Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
The entry of Indian mobile handset players focusing on low-end, value conscious
consumers has intensified competition in the Indian mobile device market. A large
volume of mobile device sales in India come from the low-end device segment. The
average selling price (ASP) of a mobile device is approximately $52, with 85% of
devices sold costing below $100. With the growing influence of local handset players in
the low-end segment, the traditionally stronger, big global players have had their
positions weakened. At the same time, the midrange to high-end market is getting
increasingly competitive too, with a greater focus from global players on the Indian
market and the launch of competitively priced midrange and high-end mobile devices.
Key Findings
Mobile device sales in India are expected to touch 138.6 million in 2010, representing
growth of 18.5% over 2009.
Established global device manufacturers are losing ground due to fierce competition
from local and Chinese manufacturers in the low-cost segment.
Price remains the main criteria when buying any consumer electronic device in India,
including a mobile device.
Carriers strategies, lower tariffs or third-generation (3G) data plans will continue to
shape the mobile device market in India.
Recommendations
Set up local R&D and consumer insight teams to understand the requirements of local
consumers.
New local manufacturers may explore the possibilities of local manufacturing, but be
aware of the importance of high volume.
Manufacturers, including global ones like Nokia and Samsung, should focus on features
useful to the specific target consumers in order to enhance the overall value proposition
to the end user per dollar invested.
© 2010 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form
without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to
be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although
Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal
advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors,
omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein
are subject to change without notice.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Analysis ....................................................................................................................................... 3
1.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 3
2.0 Competitive Situation and Trends............................................................................... 3
2.1 Reaching Out to Consumers Remains Critical ............................................... 4
2.2 Value for Money Is a Big Differentiator ........................................................... 8
2.3 Voice-Centric Market Focused at Low-End Segment ..................................... 9
3.0 The Future of Competition ........................................................................................ 10
3.1 Local Manufacturing Will Increase ............................................................... 10
3.2 Market Consolidation Will Happen at the Lower End .................................... 11
3.3 Device ASP Will Remain Under Pressure .................................................... 11
3.4 Low-Cost 3G Devices to Spur Growth .......................................................... 12
3.5 Manufacturers' Possible Action Plan ............................................................ 12
4.0 Market Players ......................................................................................................... 13
5.0 Competitive Profiles ................................................................................................. 14
5.1 Nokia........................................................................................................... 14
5.2 Samsung ..................................................................................................... 15
5.3 LG ............................................................................................................... 16
5.4 ZTE ............................................................................................................. 17
5.5 Research In Motion (RIM) ............................................................................ 18
5.6 HTC ............................................................................................................ 18
5.7 Micromax .................................................................................................... 19
5.8 G'Five.......................................................................................................... 20
6.0 References and Methodology................................................................................... 21
Recommended Reading ............................................................................................................. 21
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1. Mobile Device Manufacturers Selling Devices in India (Shown Alphabetically) ................. 4
Table 2. Mobile Device Sales by Channel by Technology, 2009 .................................................... 5
Table 3. Forecast of Mobile Device Manufacturing in India, 2005-2014 (Thousands of Units) ...... 10
Table 4. Mobile Device Manufacturers' Market Share, 1Q10 ....................................................... 13
LIST OF FIGURES
1.0 Introduction
In India, 117 million mobile devices were sold to end users in 2009, and the market is expected to
register a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.9% between 2009 and 2014, to pass 206
million in 2014. The Indian cellular market is very dynamic. Not only have new carriers have
entered the market, but many new local mobile device manufacturers have also entered this
already crowded mobile device market. This intense competition has led to very low call rates and
a variety of ultra-low-cost and low-cost devices from multiple manufacturers in the market that
was earlier dominated by just a few vendors like Nokia, Motorola, Reliance and Vodafone.
Although 3G technology has not been introduced in India yet, 3G device sales are expected to
account for 16.7% of total sales in 2010, up from 9.2% in 2009. By 2014, 3G devices sales are
expected to account for 69% of total sales. Smartphone sales in India made up 5.2% of total
device sales in 1Q10, and we expect this share to increase to 18% in 2014. Figure 1 shows the
smartphone operating system market share in 1Q10.
There is fierce competition in all segments, although nearly 85% of sales are in the less-than-
$100 price category. This brings forth three key challenges that we believe will play a crucial role
in the success of a manufacturer in the Indian handset market:
Reaching out to consumers remains critical — 70.4% of mobile devices were sold
through indirect (retailer) channels in 4Q09, against 72.0% in 4Q07.
Value for money remains a big differentiator — Price and affordability is the most
important factor when buying a mobile device, with 95% of respondents rating it as the
most important criterion in Gartner's "User Survey Analysis: Purchasing Criteria for
Mobile Devices, Worldwide, 2008." Unknown Chinese brands and local manufacturers
are beating global brands when it comes to value for money.
Voice-centric market focused at low-end segment — Low-cost devices continue to
rule the market, growing rapidly from 30% in 2008 to 45% in 2009. The ASP of a mobile
device is approximately $52, and around 85% of devices sold cost less than $100.
India's market is spread out over a wide territory and reaching out to consumers in the small
towns and rural markets is very challenging. It gets further complicated in the rural markets due to
limited funds. With the retailers always dealing in cash, lower sales per retailer and poor
accessibility, managing day-to-day operations is very difficult for small manufacturers with limited
budgets. Thus, they are leaving these markets to established vendors like Nokia, Samsung, LG
and carrier-branded devices. However, in major towns, cities and metropolitan cities there is
fierce competition due to the entry of new local players and unknown Chinese branded devices
selling in the market. Established global vendors like Nokia, Samsung and LG have seen their
market share decline due to competitive products from these new manufacturers available at the
retailers alongside their products.
A typical device manufacturer follows the "water flow distribution model" wherein a national or
regional distributor manages a sub-distributor, which further deals with small or city distributors,
followed by retailers. The strength of the channel lies in the number of sub-distributors/retailers
selling your brand. Nokia has partnered with HCL Infosystems, a long time partner with the
strongest network of distributors and retailers, for its distribution of GSM devices and Brightpoint
for CDMA devices and, as such, enjoys coverage of 90% of retailers selling mobile devices.
Following in the footsteps of market leader, Nokia, other manufacturers have expanded their
coverage by appointing exclusive distributors to sell their devices. Research In Motion (RIM),
which previously was selling through carriers alone, appointed a distributor in 2009, resulting in
higher sales quarter on quarter.
Distribution of unknown Chinese branded devices is limited to cities and carried out by retailers
dealing with black market devices only. These devices do not reach a normal retailer that sells
branded devices because they are sold illegally without paying local taxes and invoices. They are
imported by a local device distributor, which sells them directly to the market without any support
from the manufacturer on quality, after sales services and warranty. They are normally sold on
the distributor's warranty, which extends to just a week maximum in certain cases. This limits the
reach and availability of unknown Chinese branded devices. Figure 2 shows how unknown
Chinese branded devices are distributed in the market.
The structure followed by unknown Chinese brands is very lean, removing multiple intermediaries
normally present in the branded market, resulting in high margins for the retailer and incentives to
sell devices. Apart from the non-existence of intermediaries, the absence of warranty, after sales
services and marketing expense all help improve cost margins, making it very appealing to end
users and thus giving fierce competition to global branded devices. The northern part of the
country consumes the highest number of unknown Chinese branded devices, as is evident from
Figure 3.
It is clear from Figure 3 that the share of total unknown Chinese branded device sales in the
northern region has been growing, which is in line with cellular penetration, which is subsequently
lower in that part of the country. Thus, we can assume that these unknown Chinese branded
devices are being bought by new users joining the cellular market. The share of unknown
branded devices (as a proportion of total device sales) is huge, already representing 12% to 14%
of the market, which itself has been growing. Figure 4 shows import data for unknown Chinese
branded devices quarter on quarter.
Reaching out to consumers in India is not only about being available at a retailer, but also
includes branding, promotion, after sales services and warranty. Branding and after sales service
were the most important factors, after price, to Indian consumers when buying mobile devices.
This led to rising sales of Indian brands, even prompting some Chinese brands to enter into the
mainstream, selling devices through proper retailers. Both unknown Chinese and Indian brands
get their devices manufactured in China, possibly by the same original design manufacturer
(ODM). But Indian brands distinguish themselves from unknown Chinese brands by investing in
marketing, their own R&D to understand consumer requirements, after sales services and
warranty. Indian brands like Spice, Micromax, Karbonne and Maxx mobile have allocated a
significant proportion of their revenue to marketing and after sales service efforts, which has
resulted in higher sales for them from 2H09 onward.
Local device manufacturers not only offer more features at lower prices when compared with
global players like Nokia and Samsung, but they also offer warranties of up to two years and after
sale services, thus competing directly with these global players and enhancing the value
proposition further. Unknown Chinese branded devices selling into the market bring the benefit of
even more features at further lower prices, though this is at the risk of quality and warranty.
These two market players — local manufacturers and unknown Chinese brands — have made
the market very competitive in the low and ultra-low segments, and have taken market share from
Nokia, LG and Samsung.
The market is competitive in the midrange and high-end segment too, as manufacturers have
expanded their portfolios and introduced appealing devices in $200 to $300 price range. Here,
again, we see value for money as the major criterion for customers in choosing a device. End
users are choosing devices with features they will use regularly instead of devices with feature
they might not use. RIM's 8520; Nokia's E63, 5130, E51, N73 and 5800; LG's Cookie; and
Samsung's Corby all provided optimum features addressing the needs of urban consumers at
affordable prices, leading to increased sales and thus the expansion of this segment.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Enhanced 2,958 25,539 37,290 54,569 52,826 61,091 66,567 72,739 78,104 78,283
Basic 2,686 4,952 7,845 13,037 14,305 17,154 18,568 20,709 22,018 24,692
Smartphone 95 869 2,225 3,391 4,942 10,102 20,142 30,590 40,251 50,787
Total 5,739 31,360 47,360 70,997 72,073 88,347 105,277 124,038 140,373 153,762
Source: Gartner ("Semiconductor Forecast Worldwide: Forecast Database")
We expect some of the big local Indian manufacturers to expand sales into other emerging
markets, starting with neighboring markets that have similar market trends to India, thus justifying
their investment in local manufacturing set ups. We believe local manufacturers following these
Rising sales of low-cost devices in absolute numbers as new, low income buyers
coming from Tier 2 and 3 cities join the cellular market. Cellular penetration was just
45% in December 2009.
Price will remain a key concern for buyers, and thus devices with optimum and usable
features will be preferred over devices with high-end features (such as 5 megapixel or 8
megapixel cameras) or features of little use (mobile TV). This will maintain high sales of
"lower priced devices" in each category, driving down the overall ASP.
The proportion of replacement sales will rise, but the majority of replacement buyers will
continue to buy devices in the price range of their current device due to the availability of
devices with more features at lower prices.
The ASP of individual categories (low cost, basic and premium) will continue to decline.
This will also mean manufacturers will be under constant pressure to introduce devices with more
features at a lower price to attract buyers in India. We should also be aware that India will remain
a prepaid, cash-driven and a non-carrier-subsidized mobile device market, meaning that
affordable devices for the masses will shape the overall device ASP.
Watch carriers' strategies — Unlike mature markets, carriers do not control device
sales by subsidy or exclusive deals in India. But they still influence device sales
significantly. Dual SIM device sales were triggered by fierce voice plan competition
among carriers, similar to the popularity of ultra-low-cost devices driven by aggressive
acquisition in the rural market. While these trends will continue, we believe carriers will
collaborate with manufacturers to offer differentiated value to their customers. This could
mean devices with customized feature sets or with integrated value-added services.
Watch regulator's policies — Telecom regulation is still evolving in India with 3G and
broadband wireless access (BWA) technologies now being introduced. Number
portability is also scheduled to be introduced in 2010, which is likely to affect sales of
dual SIM devices negatively. Similarly, 3G and BWA introduction is likely to spur
demand for 3G and Wi-Fi-enabled devices.
Improving value proposition — The Indian mobile device market is in a high growth
phase, and moving up from low-cost devices will require manufacturers to offer
upgrades during replacement.
Big global manufacturers may consider focusing on high-volume categories like dual
SIM or ultra-low-cost devices, and integrating them with services or content in order
to increase their total value offerings. They could also leverage relations with
component providers, ODMs and electronics manufacturing service providers, and
exploit intellectual property rights to manage their cost.
The market has too many players and it will be difficult for this many manufacturers to survive if
they are focusing only on cost advantages as the market matures. The selling cost rises along
with consumer expectations for design and innovation when they upgrade from basic devices.
Manufacturers investing in design in order to deliver devices customized to Indian consumer
tastes and distribution and marketing will only survive and grow while the rest will be left out of
the market. We believe:
The top five manufacturers will continue to hold more than 75% market share during the
next five years.
Out of the tens of Indian brands, only five or six players will survive to 2014, which are
building up their entire value chain and differentiating their product on design, quality
and service offering.
Some little known Chinese manufacturers will emerge as strong players having
established infrastructure to distribute devices and a brand to trust.
Most reliable, trusted and quality manufacturer and No. 1 mobile device brand in India.
Strongest distribution network covering entire geography.
Key target segment:
Nokia has divided its target users into 13 consumer segments, from "Simplicity Seekers"
to "Technology Leaders."
Key partners:
Nokia has HCL Infosystems as its key distributor and Airtel as key carrier.
Key strengths:
Ability to manage low input costs due to better deals from suppliers and high volumes
bringing in advantages of economies of scale.
Key business drivers:
Highly skilled engineering staff bring in new devices regularly and keep portfolio fresh.
Having established stronger relationship with its channel partners, Nokia devices are
available at 90% of retailers selling mobile devices.
Low-cost basic devices are under attack from low-cost Chinese manufacturers as well
as new Indian brands.
Protect its dominance in the market for low-cost devices by introducing tailor-made
devices to compete with Chinese manufacturers. Devices with dual SIM or dual
technology are extremely popular in the low-cost segment, which is dominated by Indian
and Chinese vendors. Qwerty- and social networking-focused low to midrange devices
are in demand and again dominated by Indian and South Korean brands.
Bridge the gap to more midrange, feature-rich enhanced and smartphone devices
focusing on qwerty, social networking and touch user interface.
5.2 Samsung
Company profile:
Second largest mobile device manufacturer, having 13.4% market share as of 1Q10. Samsung
has manufacturing facilities in India, too, focusing on low-cost devices and allowing it to take
advantage of low-cost labor and high volumes. Samsung also leverages its strong brand position
in the consumer durable items market.
Value proposition:
Manufacturer of quality devices having won consumer trust and increased brand
recognition.
Value for money low-cost devices focusing on rural markets and midrange, feature-rich
devices competing directly with high-end smartphones.
Key target segment:
All users, with a strong focus on the high-growth rural market, which it targets with low-
cost devices, and urban markets, in which it offers aggressively priced midrange
devices.
Key partners:
UTL, Telemart, SSK and Link as distribution partners and major GSM and CDMA
carriers.
Key strengths:
High quality, value for money devices with more features at lower prices.
Increasing consumer trust leading to higher brand recognition.
Key business drivers:
Its low-cost devices face stiff competition from Chinese and Indian manufacturers.
Lack of smartphone and enterprise-focused devices.
Key initiatives:
Introduce customized low-cost devices to improve its value position and increase
competitiveness with local and Chinese manufacturers.
Bring midrange, attractive and technology-rich smartphone devices to the market for
consumers.
Leverage strong brand recall to focus on the enterprise segment, which is the highest
user of smartphone devices in India.
5.3 LG
Company profile:
Having been in the Indian market for more than a decade selling consumer durable items along
with mobile devices, it has deeper inroads into the consumer markets beyond just devices. Its
mobile unit has established offices and manufacturing facilities in India to focus on local as well
as neighboring emerging markets.
Value proposition:
Wide portfolio of devices covering low-end to high-end devices, including both GSM and
CDMA.
Quality devices with strong after sales services and warranty coverage.
Value for money, technologically advanced devices.
Key target segment:
It has Brightstar as its key distributor and major CDMA service providers for its CDMA
devices.
Key strengths:
Key provider of high quality, innovative CDMA devices focusing on both first time buyers
from rural markets as well as midrange devices for replacement buyers.
Managing market share in the ever rising and high-volume, low-cost segment as well as
the high-growth smartphone segment.
Key initiatives:
5.4 ZTE
Company profile:
A Chinese manufacturer with deep rooted relations with carriers due to its infrastructure business
in both the GSM and CDMA segments. ZTE sells devices through carriers alone and it has
strategic relations with Vodafone as an ODM manufacturer to supply low-cost devices suited to
emerging markets. ZTE does not have manufacturing units in India, instead importing devices
from China which are tailored to meet carriers' requirements. All warranties and after sales
services are offered in partnership with carriers, and the company does not have its own
distribution channel, though it is believed to be preparing itself to introduce branded devices into
the market through its own channel in 2010.
Value proposition:
A preferred ODM manufacturer for carriers with low-cost devices and value for money
devices tailored to suit a carrier's requirements.
Key target segment:
GSM and CDMA carriers (Reliance Communications, Tata Teleservices and Vodafone).
Key strengths:
Ability to differentiate its product from other low-cost Chinese and Taiwanese ODMs and
OEMs.
Key initiatives:
A smartphone manufacturer having relations with nine major carriers covering both CDMA and
GSM networks. Initially a purely enterprise-focused and carrier-driven manufacturer, it has slowly
changed its strategy completely. The company is now catering to retail consumer sales through
its own distribution channel, set up in 2009, and some midrange consumer-focused devices like
the Pearl and Curve 8520. RIM has worked with carriers to offer more affordable BlackBerry
messaging plans starting at $7 per month, down from $25 per month, including pay-as-you-go
plans for prepaid users. The company does not have manufacturing units in India, though it is
exploring possibilities to set up a unit to take advantage of the low-cost, skilled labor there.
Value proposition:
Enterprise segment and young urban consumers focused on messaging and social
networking.
Key partners:
Offer more midrange devices like the curve 8520 to appeal to young consumers and,
down the line, enterprise workers (other than CXOs). Offer customized devices having
dual SIM capability, touch user interface and candy bar form factor to target larger
consumer segments beyond just those interested in messaging and qwerty.
5.6 HTC
Company profile:
HTC India entered the Indian market in 2007 with the launch of HTC touch in collaboration with
Airtel. It was a niche player initially, focusing on high-end users, but has shifted its strategy to
Major GSM and CDMA carriers along with Jaina for marketing and Brightpoint as
distributor.
Key strengths:
Among the first to market with the latest Windows Mobile, Android and Brew MP
devices.
Innovative touch-enabled device due to strong engineering capabilities.
Key business drivers:
Growing brand recall and a distribution channel that is moving beyond Tier 1 to Tier 2
and Tier 3 cities.
Key challenges:
To strengthen its midtier portfolio in order to compete with enhanced and midrange
smartphone devices from other global manufacturers.
Key initiatives:
Introduce more devices in the range of $150 to $250 to appeal to larger consumer
segments.
5.7 Micromax
Company profile:
Local Indian mobile device manufacturer which started business in 2008 having set up offices in
23 cities, with its headquarters in Gurgaon. In less than two years it has grown to become the No.
4 manufacturer by sales to end user in 1Q10. It relies on local research and development skills,
while manufacturing is dependent on Chinese and Taiwanese ODMs. The company started with
low-cost mobile devices targeted at rural markets with a standby time of 30 days. It was quite a
success in creating high brand recall. Since then it has forayed into the urban market, launching
high-end devices from $100 to $200, which is expected to increase its ASP from the current level
of $45. It has set up competitive distribution channels selling devices from more than 55,000
retailers, and has invested $20 million in brand building initiatives. The company is preparing to
expand into the Middle East and Africa, Latin America and other emerging markets in
Asia/Pacific. It is also working to roll out its own application portal accessible from all Micromax
devices.
Major GSM carriers for selling low-cost devices in the remote rural markets.
Key strengths:
It needs to continue investing in R&D to deliver unique customized devices to grow its
sales in the face of growing competition.
Key initiatives:
5.8 G'Five
Company profile:
G'Five is a Chinese manufacturer headquartered in Hong Kong with operations in Asia/Pacfic, the
Middle East and Africa and Latin America. It first started with Dubai and expanded into India,
which later became a key market, contributing sales of more than 80% by volume. Its operations
in Latin America and Africa were in the initial stages at the start of 2010, but G'Five is investing in
these markets to gain market share. The company has engineering capabilities that enable it to
quickly launch models with trendy designs popular in the market, having relatively lower features
at low cost, thus enhancing its value proposition significantly.
Value proposition:
Lookalike devices of popular high-end models from global manufacturers with usable
and optimum feature sets at extremely low cost.
Key target segment:
All manufacturing facilities are based in China and there are no nationwide distributor or
carrier relationships in India so far.
Key strengths:
Ability to deliver superior quality devices among unknown Chinese brands selling in the
market.
Set up distribution channel to move beyond the black market (without invoices).
Grow its portfolio from low-cost devices to high-end devices to retain its customer during
upgrades.
RECOMMENDED READING
"Market Insight: China and India 3G Market Update, 2010"
"Semiconductor Forecast Worldwide: Forecast Database"
"Market Share: Mobile Devices and Smartphones by Region and Country, 1Q10"
"Forecast: Mobile Devices, Worldwide, 2003-2014, 1Q10 Update"
"Market Trends: Mobile Phone Distribution, India, 2007"
"Dataquest Insight: Mobile Device Manufacturers Must Rethink Strategies for Emerging Markets"
"Marketing Essentials: How Consumer Technology Sellers Can Use Competitive Intelligence to
Break Into Emerging Markets"
"Marketing Essentials: How to Gather and Process Consumer Insight in Emerging Markets"
REGIONAL HEADQUARTERS
Corporate Headquarters
56 Top Gallant Road
Stamford, CT 06902-7700
U.S.A.
+1 203 964 0096
European Headquarters
Tamesis
The Glanty
Egham
Surrey, TW20 9AW
UNITED KINGDOM
+44 1784 431611
Asia/Pacific Headquarters
Gartner Australasia Pty. Ltd.
Level 9, 141 Walker Street
North Sydney
New South Wales 2060
AUSTRALIA
+61 2 9459 4600
Japan Headquarters
Gartner Japan Ltd.
Aobadai Hills, 6F
7-7, Aobadai, 4-chome
Meguro-ku, Tokyo 153-0042
JAPAN
+81 3 3481 3670