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COVID-19

MAPPING
OF EMOTIONS
IN FRANCE
Madeleine Hamel • May 2020
Paper # 1
Under the direction of Dominique Reynié, Executive Director of the Fondation pour
l’innovation politique Editor Madeleine Hamel Production Victor Delage, Willy Delvalle,
Anne Flambert, Madeleine Hamel, Katherine Hamilton, Matthieu Hanisch Translation
Katherine Hamilton Graphic design Julien Rémy Publication May 2020.

The data used in this work have been collected for the project “ Citizens’ Attitudes Under COVID-19 Pandemic ”
by the following research team: Sylvain Brouard (Sciences Po – CEVIPOF & LIEPP), Michael Becher (Institute for
Advanced Studies in Toulouse & Université Toulouse Capitole 1), Martial Foucault (Sciences Po – CEVIPOF),
Pavlos Vasilopoulos (University of York), Vincenzo Galasso (Università Bocconi), Christoph Hönnige (Hannover
Universität), Eric Kerrouche (Sciences Po – CEVIPOF), Vincent Pons (Harvard Business School), Hanspeter
Kriesi (European University Institute), Richard Nadeau (University of Montreal), Dominique Reynié (Sciences
Po – CEVIPOF).
Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

The essentials
• On average, from 24-25 March to 8-10 May 2020, among the feelings tested in the twelve French regions
studied, fear decreases, hope increases moderately, yet anger does not diminish.
• Comparisons between the number of hospitalisations and the spread of emotions felt at the regional level
indicates a dissociation between perception and reality regarding the situation induced by the Coronavirus.
• Some areas with fewer hospitalisations have higher degrees of fear and anger than areas with more
hospitalisations. This may be the fear of what is not yet present in the area or, beyond the health effects,
fear of the economic and social repercussions specific to the region’s context.
• On average, over the period considered and in four of the regions studied, more than one in two inhabitants
said they felt angry about the Covid-19 pandemic: in Burgundy-Franche-Comté (54.2%), in Provence-Alpes-
Côte d’Azur/Corsica1 (52.6%), in Northern France (51%) and in Occitanie (51%).
• Brittany is a champion of optimism and its inhabitants can be distinguished by their low levels of anxiety.
•A
 n additional survey, conducted between the 22 and 24 May 2020, shows that following the first procedures
of the post-lockdown, fear and anger decrease, but hope remains at half-mast.

Summary
Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 4
I. France: regional mapping of emotions
on the eve of the end of lockdown .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 7
II. The evolution of emotions regarding Coronavirus in French regions .................................. 10
III. After the end of lockdown, less fear, less anger,
but hope remains at half-mast ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 13

Name of the region in French Name(s) used in English In the text


Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté Burgundy-Franche-Comté Burgundy-Franche-Comté
Bretagne Brittany Brittany
Centre-Val de Loire Loire Valley Loire Valley
Grand Est Great East Great East
Hauts-de-France Northern France Northern France
Île-de-France Île-de-France (Paris region) Île-de-France
Normandie Normandy Normandy
Nouvelle-Aquitaine New Aquitaine (South West) New Aquitaine
Occitanie (South of France –
Occitanie Occitanie
Pyrénées / Méditerranée)
Pays de la Loire Pays de la Loire (the Loire region) Pays de la Loire
Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur/ Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur/ Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur/
Corse Corsica Corsica

1. The “Citizens’ Attitudes Towards Covid-19” survey aggregates data from the Provence-Alpes-Côte-d’Azur and Corsica regions.

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

Introduction
Political, economic and social systems must This contribution focuses on data of the emotions
overcome the considerable challenges associated reported by the French interviewees between
with the Covid-19 pandemic. This health crisis is March and May 2020, in a comparative perspective
disrupting our lives and our relationship with others; between twelve regions 3.
it is affecting our emotions, our behaviours, our
Emotional levels are measured from responses to
life plans. In this context, a public opinion study,
the question: “When you think about the situation
collective representations and attitudes help to
regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19) in France, do
guide public action and encourage debates. It is
you feel... (on a scale from 0 to 10)” asked for
also a way of contributing to the memory of an
three emotions: “fear”, “hope” and “anger”. For
unprecedented event. This is why the Fondation
a given individual, an emotion is experienced when
pour l’innovation politique is a stakeholder in
its response is between 7 and 10 on this scale (i.e.
the international research programme entitled
“yes”). The level of emotion corresponds to the
“Citizens’ Attitudes Towards Covid-19”. This
percentage of people experiencing that emotion.
research takes the form of a series of public opinion
A separate question is asked for each of the
surveys conducted by Ipsos at regular intervals in
above-mentioned emotions: each respondent thus
twenty countries 2.
consecutively indicates the extent to which he or
The consortium of partners comprises the Agence she feels fear, the extent to which he or she feels
nationale de la recherche (ANR), the Agence hope and the extent to which he or she feels anger.
française de développement (AFD), Cerdi-CNRS,
The French population has already been surveyed
the World Bank, Cevipof (CNRS, Science Po), France
eight times, at intervals of two to three weeks.
Stratégie, IAST (Toulouse School of Economics,
However, in order to guarantee the robustness of
University of Toulouse), Hanover Universität,
the regional samples, we decided not to take into
Harvard Business School, University of Montreal,
account the data from 16 March and 1st-2 April, in
McGill University, Università Bocconi, the European
the graphical representations and in our calculations
University Institute and the University of York.
as they did not meet the conditions for guaranteeing
This programme aims to provide an unprecedented the regional representativeness of these samples. A
monitoring of public opinion in the context of ninth round of the survey was administered on the
the Covid-19 crisis: feelings experienced, one’s 22-24 May, its data are analysed page 13.
relationship to health safety, acceptance or
At the same time, we used data on the number of
weariness regarding the protective devices put
hospitalisations by region to compare the emotions
in place or public health recommendations, etc.
reported in the twelve regions studied with the data
These surveys should enable, on the one hand, a
concerning the fight against the Coronavirus.
better understanding of the way in which different
publics adapt psychologically to the measures of
social distancing and, on the other hand, a better
apprehension of consent in relation to the measures
put in place.

2. Argentina, Australia, Austria, Brazil, Canada, Egypt, France, Germany, Italy, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Mali, Morocco, New Zealand,
Nigeria, Poland, South Africa, Sweden, United Kingdom, United States.
3. Since we do not have data for France’s overseas territories, they are not included in this regional comparison of emotions felt in
France regarding the Coronavirus crisis. These territories are also not represented on the maps accompanying this analysis. In the
rest of this study, the term “region” is used but only includes the twelve studied regions. The “Citizens’ attitudes towards COVID-19”
survey aggregates data for the Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur and Corsica regions.

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

Number of hospitalisations
as of 8 May 2020

© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020


Source: gouvernement.fr ; data from Santé Publique France.
The number of hospitalisations here corresponds to the number
of hospitalisations for Covid-19 infection registered in the twelve
regions studied.

Question: “When you think about the situation


regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19) in France, do
you feel fear?”
(on a scale from 0 to 10)
Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)
Data from 8-10 May

© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020


Source: international survey “Citizens’ Attitudes Under the
COVID-19 Pandemic”, France.

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

Question: “When you think about the situation


regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19) in France, do
you feel hope?”
(on a scale from 0 to 10)
Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)
Data from 8-10 May

© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020


Source: international survey “Citizens’ Attitudes Under the
COVID-19 Pandemic”, France.

Question: “When you think about the situation


regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19) in France, do
you feel anger?”
(on a scale from 0 to 10)
Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)
Data from 8-10 May

© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020


Source: international survey “Citizens’ Attitudes Under the
COVID-19 Pandemic”, France.

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

I. France: regional mapping of emotions


on the eve of the end of lockdown
As of 8-10 May, 38.3% of the French people Fear
surveyed responded that they were feeling fearful
Fear is more often cited in the central regions and
(answer “yes”, 7-10 on a scale of 0-10) concerning
in the northernmost region, in Hauts-de-France.
the situation of Coronavirus in France. Nearly half
It is interesting to note that the regions with the
of them (46.6%) said they felt anger and a smaller
highest number of hospitalisations are not always
proportion expressed hope (35.4%).
those where fear is most prevalent.

Hope If the geography of emotions in France reveals


The sense of hope does not show significant contrasting responses, it is through their evolution
differences between regions. However, Île-de- over the last few months that we can observe
France residents are the least likely to say they feel specific territorial trajectories and that we can see
hope (31.5%); conversely, the Provence-Alpes-Côte links between reality on the ground and regional
d’Azur/Corsica region is the region with the highest feelings.
level of hope recorded on the 8-10 May (39.1%).

Anger
The feeling of anger is more heterogeneously
distributed throughout the country. In four regions,
more than one in two inhabitants say they feel angry
about the current situation: in Burgundy-Franche-
Comté (54.2%), in Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur/
Corsica (52.6%), in Occitanie (51%) and in Northern
France (51%). In two regions, the level of anger is
significantly lower: Brittany (32.5%) and Loire Valley
(37.6%). The other regions are in an intermediate
group, with anger levels ranging from 43.7% to
49.5%.

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

METHODOLOGY
In France, the questionnaire of the survey “Citizens’ attitudes towards COVID-19” has been administered eight
times so far, at regular intervals, from 16-17 March to 8-10 May (questionnaires are generally administered over two
days). For two of these occurrences, that of 16-17 March and that of 1st-2 April, the data are not included in this
report’s graphical representations and calculations as they did not meet the conditions for guaranteeing the regional
representativeness of these samples. A ninth round of the survey was administered on 22-24 May. Its data are not
included in the graphs opposite but analysed on page 13.

Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes In numbers
Loire Valley In %
In numbers In %
3 ,500 65 1 ,200 65
2,959 3,004 60 60
3 ,000 54.9 2,760 996 968 55
51.6 55 1 ,000 50.5 46.9 965
2,489 49.5 50
45.4 50 43.6 41.4 46.8 869
2 ,500 51.8 43.7 49.7 45
47.4 40.3 45 41.2 41.2
45 45.1 800 803 37.6 40
42.4 2,128 40 40.7 43.4
2 ,000 43.5 39.7 40.6 35
35 36.7 37.4
29.3 600
32.8 34.8 30 31.5 32.3 31.4 30
1 ,500 25
28.9 25
26.9 400
1,230 22.9 20 20
1 ,000
15 15
500 10 200 10
5 165 5
0 0 0 0
24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May 24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May

Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020 © Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020

In numbers
Burgundy-Franche-Comté In % In numbers
Grand Est In %
1 ,600 62 65 6 ,000 65
60 60
1,400 55 1,341 53.3 50.6 54.2 4,877
55 5 ,000 4,819 55
55.3 53.9 49.4 4,416
1,283 50 46.6 43 50
1 ,200 1,212 53.3 45.1 51.5 44.3
3,902 43.7
1,181 45 42.2 45
49.6 4 ,000 45.3 45.3
1 ,000 37.5 43.1 40 37.4 36.5 40
1,011 39.8 39.8 3,378
37.4 35 36.7 37 35
800 30 3 ,000 34.5 35.2 30
32.4 33.4 31.2
25 2,720 29.2 25
600 25.5 25.4
591 20 2 ,000 20
400 15 15
200 10 1 ,000 10
5 5
0 0 0 0
24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May 24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May

Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020 © Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020

Brittany In numbers Northern France In %


In numbers In %
600 65 3 ,000 65
60 59 2,435 60
2,336 2,536
504 55.2
500 55 2 ,500 52.4 51 55
461 49.8 49.5
44.8 430 50 51.3 51.5 49.1 50
43.6 42.8 2,236
39.8 391 45 47.6 45
400 43 39 2 ,000 46.1 45.3 1,996 40
329 40
40 40.5 34.7 39 35
37 38.3 37.1 40.2 35
300 37.4 32.5 30 1 ,500 34.8 33.5 30
30.8 31.3 31.6 30.9
25 29.6 25
26.4
200 20 1 ,000 20
158 15 829 15
100 10 500 10
5 5
0 0 0 0
24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May 24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May

Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020 © Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

In numbers
The twelve French regions studied In %
35 ,000 65
31,489 60
29,726 29,022
30, 000 50 26,117
55
50.1
44.7 46.8 46.6 50
25 ,000 47.5 48.5 46.4 45
22,554
41 41.9 42.9 40
20 ,000 38.3 35
36.7 37.3
34 35.4 30
15, 000 30.2 29.9 25
10 ,000 11,960 20
15
5 ,000 10
5
0 0
24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May

Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations


© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020

Île-de-France In numbers
Occitanie In %
In numbers In %
14 ,000 13,018 65 1 ,200 1,031 65
12,074 11,950 60 54.1 60
12 ,000 53.1 10,901 55 51 55
1 ,000 49 913 48.8 48.2
48.4 46.3 50 47.2 50
10 ,000 49.5 44 43.4 44.1 48.1 804
46.6 45 44.4 40.7 45
9,429 800 46.2 39.3
40
38 41.4 41.9 40 41.7 42 36.1
8 ,000 37.6 35 41.3 38.6 35
36.4
30 600 39.4
32.6 636 30
6 ,000 31.5 31.1 31.4 30.9 31.5
25 25
400 469 440
20 20
4 ,000 4,389
15 15
2 ,000 10 200 10
5 5
0 0 0 0
24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May 24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May

Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020 © Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020

In numbers
Normandy In % In numbers
Pays de la Loire In %
800 65 900 65
713 686 60 58 794 60
700 51.1 47.6 55 800 53.4 747 55
49.1 614 49.1
57.1 587 47.4 50 700 694 48.8 50
600 42.7 45.4
56.7 41.7 49.1 45 45
47.3 526 600 40.6 46 46.1 43.1
500 40 46.4 40
35.7 42.8 41.5 580
39 35 500 38.7 629 35
400 34.8 35.3 35 36.9
33.8 30 400 30
31.3
300 27.8 25 28.4 27.1 25
26.1 300 24.7
20 20
200 225 15 200 236 15
10 10
100 5 100 5
0 0 0 0
24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May 24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May

Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020 © Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020

New Aquitaine In numbers Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur/ Corsica In %


In numbers In %
900 65 2 ,500 65
828
792 60 56.6 60
800 769 55 52.5 52.6
55 1,992 55
44 2 ,000 49.1 1,832
700 44.9 45.2 50 1,849 50
42.8 44.8 44.1 43.7 49.3 45
600 43.7 45 41.1 41.5 42.1
38 615 38.9 39.9 39.1
41.8 40 1 ,500 43.1 40
500 38.3 39.8 39.3 499 1,582 1,369 35
35.9 35 38.2
33.4 34.5 33.8 34.9 30
400 35.9 30 33.7
25 1 ,000 29.1 30.2 25
300 340 20 20
200 15 689 15
10
500 10
100 5 5
0 0 0 0
24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May 24-25 March 7-8 April 15-16 April 23-24 April 30 April 8-10 May

Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations Fear Hope Anger Number of hospitalisations
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020 © Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

II. The evolution of emotions regarding


Coronavirus in French regions
THE PROGRESSION OF THE VIRUS FROM 24-25 MARCH TO 8-10 MAY
In the twelve studied regions, the pattern of progression of the virus, measured here by the number of hospitalisations,
remains the same overall, although at different levels of intensity. Between the end of March and the beginning of
April, there was a sharp increase in the number of hospitalisations. In most regions, the number of hospitalisations
doubled or even tripled between 24-25 March and 7-8 April. As a result, the growth in the number of hospitalisations
has slowed down since then. From the end of April onwards, the number of hospitalisations began to decrease in the
twelve studied regions as a whole. This decrease, which varies from region to region, continues at the time of the last
survey taken into account here, that of May 8-10.
The twelve regions studied have very different characteristics, particularly in terms of population density and size.
These are two important variables here, not only in the spread of the virus but also in people’s perception of the
measures taken to contain the pandemic. The number of hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants makes it possible to
establish a ranking of the regions most affected by the virus. On average, over the entire period studied (from 24-25
March to 8-10 May), the regions most affected are Île-de-France (0.84 hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants) and the
Grand Est (0.73 hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants). The regions least affected are Brittany (0.11 hospitalisations
per 1,000 inhabitants), New Aquitaine (0.11 hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants) and Occitanie (0.12 hospitalisations
per 1,000 inhabitants).

Fear is declining in most of the 57.1% of respondents reporting feeling fear. The
highest level of fear over the period is recorded
regions studied in Northern France (59%) during the 24-25 March
Throughout France, each of the emotions studied survey, followed by the Pays de la Loire (58%) on
follows distinct trajectories. At the beginning of the the same dates.
period, on average, one in two French people (50%)
declares feeling fear when thinking about the
situation induced by the Coronavirus. Thereafter, Cautious optimism throughout
it is during the 15-16 April survey that we observed
the country
the lowest levels of fear (41%), but also of anger
(44.7%). Paradoxically, this is the time when the For hope, there was a continuous decline in the
number of hospitalisations reached its peak. This first phase of the survey, from 36.7% to 29.9%
apparent discrepancy could be the effect of the from 24-25 March to 30 April. Then, the survey
announcement by the French President on 13 April from 8-10 May, on the eve of the end of lockdown,
2020 that the process of ending the lockdown indicated an increase in the proportion of French
would begin on 11 May. people who are optimistic about the current
situation (35.4%), a level similar to that observed at
After an imperceptible increase (1 point more
the beginning of the period (36.7% on 24-25 March).
between 23-24 April and 30 April), the proportion
For the first time in two months, respondents
of French people expressing fear decreased again
expressing hope outnumbered those expressing
during the 8-10 May survey, reaching its lowest level
fear in four out of the twelve regions surveyed:
in most regions (38.3% on average, 11.7 points
Brittany (34.7% hope vs. 31.6% fear), Loire Valley
lower than at the beginning of the period). A few
(37.4% vs. 31.4%), New Aquitaine (38.9% vs. 33.8%)
regions are the exception to this pattern: Burgundy-
and Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur/Corsica (39.1%
Franche-Comté, which experienced a decline in
vs. 33.7%).
fear later, on 23-24 April, and Normandy, which
recorded a significant peak on 7-8 April, with

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

While fear diminishes, anger In Occitanie, anger is increasing


does not... despite an improvement of the
Many French people reported feeling angry when situation
they think about the situation created by the Considering the number of hospitalisations,
Coronavirus. Overall, throughout the entire period, Occitanie is one of the regions least affected by
the level of anger did not drop below 44.7% the Covid-19 crisis. Moreover, after the peak at the
(15-16 April) and changed only slightly. Though fear beginning of April, the number of hospitalisations
may decrease, anger does not. Some regions show fell more sharply than in other regions of France,
exceptionally high levels of anger. This is the case, until 8-10 May, when the number of hospitalisations
for example, in Burgundy-Franche-Comté where, at was lower than at the beginning of the period
the beginning of the period, 62% of the inhabitants (440 hospitalisations on 10 May, compared with
said they were angry (the maximum level among all 469 hospitalisations on 25 March). This is the only
the regions studied) and where this level of anger region where this is this case. However, high levels
does not drop below 49.4%. This region is thus the of anger were recorded in Occitanie, particularly
region where anger is the most widespread (54.2% at the end of the period: on 8-10 May, 51% of
on average), followed by Provence-Alpes-Côte respondents said they felt angry when thinking
d’Azur/Corsica (52.6%), Northern France (51%) and about the situation caused by the Coronavirus.
Occitanie (51%). At the same time, a widespread feeling of anger
However, the graphs on pages 8 and 9 illustrate coexists in Occitanie with the highest proportion of
the fact that, beyond common dynamics, different respondents declaring a feeling of hope, 39.4% on
patterns can be observed in different regions, as average over the entire period, compared to 33.9%
shown in the following three examples. for the twelve French regions overall.

The Breton exception: optimistic Grand Est, an illustration of the


and not too worried divergence between perception
Brittany is the only region where, at the beginning and reality
of the crisis, the proportion of respondents feeling The Grand Est region was one of the regions most
hope when they thought about the evolution of the affected by the Coronavirus in metropolitan France.
Coronavirus crisis is higher (43.6%) than the feelings However, its inhabitants do not express significantly
of fear (43%) and anger (37%). However, the level more fear or anger, nor less hope than the others.
of hope dropped 14 points between the 7-8 April By ranking the twelve regions for which we have
survey (44.8%) and the 23-24 April survey (30.8%). data from the highest average level of fear to the
It then rose to 34.7%. Brittany also stands out for lowest, the Grand Est region even comes in 9th
the low proportion of inhabitants who said that place, with 40.2% (compared to 43.8% for the
they feel angry, averaging 39.2% over the entire average recorded in the twelve regions studied).
period (compared with 46.6% for all twelve regions The same is true for anger: The Grand Est is one
surveyed). Moreover, as of 8-10 May, only 32.5% of of the regions where feelings of anger are least
Bretons expressed anger and 31.6% expressed fear, widespread (43.7%).
while 34.7% said they felt hope. Even in comparison
with other regions just as minimally affected (0.11
hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants) such as
New Aquitaine (0.11 hospitalisations per 1,000
inhabitants) or Occitanie (0.12 hospitalisations per
1,000 inhabitants), public opinion in Brittany shows
particularly low levels of anger and fear.

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

Ranking of metropolitan areas according to their average levels


of emotion felt from 24-25 March to 8-10 May (in %)

Question: “When you think about the situation Question: “When you think about the situation
regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19) in France, do you regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19) in France, do you
feel fear? (on a scale from 0 to 10)” feel anger? (on a scale from 0 to 10)”
Answers: yes (from 7 to 10) Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)

Rank Regions Fear Rank Regions Anger


1 Burgundy-Franche-Comté 50.2 1 Burgundy-Franche-Comté 54.2
2 Northern France 50.1 Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur/
2 52.6
Corsica
3 Pays de la Loire 49.2
3 Northern France 51.0
4 Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes 46.6
4 Occitanie 51.0
5 Normandy 44.5
5 Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes 49.5
Average of the twelve regions 43.8
6 Normandy 47.4
6 Île-de-France 42.8
Average of the twelve regions 46.6
7 Occitanie 42.5
7 Pays de la Loire 45.4
8 Loire Valley 42.3
8 Île-de-France 44.1
9 Grand Est 40.2
9 New Aquitaine 44.1
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur/
10 40.2
Corsica 10 Grand Est 43.7
11 New Aquitaine 39.8 11 Loire Valley 37.6
12 Brittany 39.2 12 Brittany 32.2

Highly affected region (> 0.50 hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants)


Intermediate region (between 0.20 and 0.50 hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants)
Region minimally affected (< 0.20 hospitalisations per 1,000 inhabitants)
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique –  May 2020

The case of the Grand Est region helps to reported elsewhere in the country. Symmetrically to
demonstrate that, for a given region, on the eve of this apprehension of being contaminated in turn,
the end of lockdown, there is no direct link between we find another situation, that of heavily affected
the number of hospitalisations and the spread of regions where the capacity for resilience would have
feelings of fear or anger among its inhabitants. developed, as well as the hope of getting out of it.
In regions with relatively fewer cases, if any, this The fear of being affected by the pandemic among
discrepancy between the feelings experienced those who have been spared could be matched by
by the population and the reality of the situation the hope of overcoming it among those who have
could be explained, at least in part, by an anxiety- been most affected.
provoking expectation of the wave of the virus being

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Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

III. After the end of lockdown,


less fear, less anger,
but hope remains at half-mast
A new survey, carried out between 22 and 24 May, of lockdown, bringing relief to the inhabitants of
around ten days after the first day of reopening these regions, who, although confined to areas with
after lockdown procedures in France, made it lower levels of the virus, could have developed a
possible to observe the evolution of the emotions sense of frustration.
felt by the French in the twelve regions studied.
On 22-24 May, 33.8% of them said they felt fear
(-4.5 points since 8-10 May), 32.8% said they felt
hope (-2.6 points since 8-10 May) and 43.2% felt The feeling of fear in twelve
anger (-3.4 points since 8-10 May). French regions between 8-10 May
and 22-24 May 2020 (in %)
Fear Question: “When you think about the situation
regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19) in France, do you
On 7 May, on the eve of the end of the lockdown, the
feel fear? (on a scale from 0 to 10)”
government published a map to classify the French
regions based on a synthesis of three criteria: the Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)
dynamics of the epidemic, the number of people
in intensive care units (the ICU) and the ability to Evolution
test and trace individuals who are believed to have Region 22-24 May 22-24 May/
come into contact with the virus. The performance 8-10 May
of the departments for these different indicators
Burgundy-
conditioned the mode of exit from lockdown: 47.0 + 1.9
Franche-Comté
depending on the colour assigned to the department
Northern France 43.3 – 5.8
(red, orange or green), the restrictions put in place
as part of the fight against the Coronavirus have Auvergne-
36.5 – 3.8
more or less eased up. A new map will be published Rhône-Alpes
when the government launches the second phase of Loire Valley 36.4 + 5.0
the reopening after lockdown.
Normandy 36.2 – 2.8
According to this classification, five regions are
Île-de-France 35.2 – 1.2
in red, the others are in green. Of the regions
classified in red, one, Mayotte, is not part of the Average of the 33.8 – 4.5
regions studied here. Among the four others, twelve regions
three have levels of fear above the average of the Provence-Alpes- 32.6 – 1.1
twelve regions (33.8%): Burgundy-Franche-Comté Côte d'Azur/Corsica
(47%), Northern France (43.3%) and Île-de-France Pays de la Loire 29.9 – 13.2
(35.2%). The Grand Est region is an exception
with a lower level of fear (29.6%) and closer to Grand Est 29.6 – 6.9
the three least-affected regions (Occitanie, New Occitanie 28.8 – 10.5
Aquitaine and Brittany) than the other regions in
New Aquitaine 28.0 – 5.8
red. Furthermore, following a reduction in the levels
of fear expressed there, these three least-affected Brittany 24.6 – 7.0
regions now appear at the bottom of the ranking,
© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020
which was not the case in previous surveys. Perhaps
this could be understood as a first effect of the end

Fondation pour l’innovation politique | fondapol.org/en 13


Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

Anger in Burgundy-Franche-Comté (+0.3 points). Anger


decreased in the other regions studied. The largest
The end of lockdown seems to be a source of
variations are observed in Pays de la Loire (from
appeasement for many French people. Anger
45.4 to 32.0%, down 13.4 points), Provence-Alpes-
remained very high and barely varied over the last
Côte d’Azur/Corsica (from 52.6 to 45.0%, down
two months (March to May 2020), yet it decreased
7.6 points) and Occitanie (from 51 to 45%, down
significantly for the first time on 22-24 May.
6 points).
Feelings of anger increased significantly among
residents of the Île-de-France region (+2.7 points),
slightly in the Loire Valley (+1.2 points) and barely Hope
Although the number of hospitalisations continues
Map of the end of lockdown in France (7 May) to decline in each of the twelve regions studied,
and while the situation appears to be improving,
the sense of hope is not increasing. It has slightly
increased in Burgundy-Franche-Comté compared
to 8-10 May (+4.5 points), but elsewhere it remains
constant or is decreasing. On average, only a third
(32.8%) of French people in the twelve regions
studied say they feel hope when they think about
the situation caused by the Coronavirus pandemic.
This proportion reaches its minimum (28%) in Île-
de-France and its maximum (37.9%) in Burgundy-
Franche-Comté. It is also in the latter that the highest
level of fear (47%) was recorded on 22-24 May.

Source: gouvernement.fr ; https://www.gouvernement.fr/


info-coronavirus/les-actions-du-gouvernement

Question: “ When you think about the


situation regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19)
in France, do you feel fear? ”
(on a scale from 0 to 10)
Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)
Data from 22-24 May

© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020


Source: international survey “Citizens’ Attitudes Under the
COVID-19 Pandemic”, France.

14 Fondation pour l’innovation politique | fondapol.org/en


Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

Question: “When you think about the


situation regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19)
in France, do you feel hope?”
(on a scale from 0 to 10)
Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)
Data from 22-24 May

© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020


Source: international survey “Citizens’ Attitudes Under the
COVID-19 Pandemic”, France.

Question: “ When you think about the


situation regarding Coronavirus (Covid-19)
in France, do you feel anger?”
(on a scale from 0 to 10)
Answers: yes (from 7 to 10)
Data from 22-24 May

© Fondation pour l’innovation politique – May 2020


Source: international survey “Citizens’ Attitudes Under the
COVID-19 Pandemic”, France.

Fondation pour l’innovation politique | fondapol.org/en 15


Covid-19 • Mapping of emotions in France

16 Fondation pour l’innovation politique | fondapol.org/en


May 2020

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