Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Abdullah Azhar
Ali Zulqarnain
First and foremost our sincere gratitude to God Almighty Who gave us the ability and the
courage to complete this project on time. We extend our heartfelt recognition for Ms. Saeeda
Batool, our course instructor, who gave us the knowledge and the guidance to be able to
complete this paper. We would like to sincerely thank Syed Mudassar Raza for helping us in the
project. Last but not the least, we would like to thank our families and dear friends who have
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Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to find the relation between female literacy and GDP per capita. For
this purpose a hypothesis has been tested which is “Relation between change in GDP per capita
and female literacy in Pakistan”. To test the hypothesis a regression analysis has been conducted
and the results show that there is a hundred percent significance between the two variables being
studied. The results conclude that more than 90% of variance in the female literacy rate can be
explained by the change in GDP per capita from the base year. Furthermore, the results also
show that a unit change in GDP per capita from the base year 1991 will bring a 4.3% change in
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Section 1: Introduction
The research paper is aimed establishing a concrete relationship between female literacy
in Pakistan and the GDP per capita. Pakistan is still one of the few countries in which the gap
between the male and female literacy ratio is very high- female literacy is almost half of the male
literacy rate. The recent census tallies in China and India show that Pakistan is substantially
behind the two large Asian nations. China’s literacy rate is near 90% and India has reached 65%.
too, because we have lesser population and are not as huge as China and India.
A point to be taken into consideration is that the meaning of literacy gets changed in our
country so that the figures could be altered even further. Sometimes, they say who can read and
write are literate, while at times they say a person who has reached 5th standard is a literate and
once it was also believed that a person who could calculate is also a literate. Since we are
carrying the research related to the last fifteen years so we will assume a literate person as
There has been no primary research on the topic but secondary research has been carried
out and information collected from various sources such as previously written research papers on
Motivation to write this research paper is the fact that Pakistan is one of the few countries
having an almost equal ratio of females to males in terms of population yet the female literacy
rate is very low compared to the male literacy rate. Moreover, lack of access to education due to
infrastructure or family structural constraints is widespread. Low income levels in Pakistan have
been identified as a key factor to the hindrance of female literacy rate in Pakistan.
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The first section of the paper introduces the study, while the second section carries a
review of the existing studies on the topic. Section three comprises of the methodology, while
section four provides the results of the study and their discussion. The last section of the paper
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Section 2: Literature Review
This paper seeks to establish a concrete relationship between female literacy in Pakistan
and the percentage change GDP per capita since 1991 (the base year). However, before studying
the trends these variables have taken in Pakistan, it is imperative that the existing literature on
this hypothesis be studied, to determine what relationship these variables depict in other areas of
the world. Furthermore, this review of literature is not solely limited to studies on female
literacy, as male literacy is also studied in context with the topic of interest.
Ghaus, Pasha & Ghaus (1996) examined the social development ranking of various
districts of Pakistan on the basis of eleven indicators relating to education, health and water
supplies. The paper goes on to emphasize the importance of education indicators, particularly
female education in determining the overall level of social development. Several other factors of
regional variations are also discussed. The paper concludes that overall Punjab has the highest
social development followed by NWFP, Sindh and Balochistan. There is also substantial
evidence of variation within provinces. The paper is a good attempt to highlight the status of the
various provinces in the country, as it will help guide policy efforts in order to improve their
current circumstances.
Narrowing the scope from the eleven indicators, down to one, Khan (1997) examined the
education sector of Pakistan, which is an area vastly neglected by the governments in the past
fifty years. Female literacy levels are the lowest in the world. Most of the education sought is not
technical or scientific in nature. The students generally see no relationship between education
and higher earnings or social status in the society. The paper also concludes that East Asian
countries have progressed owing to education. The paper holds that despite the emphasis laid on
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education world over, the planners in Pakistan failed to allocate resources to it. To add to the
sorry state, the attitude of the feudal as well as the foreign educated elites led to the poor
development of education in Pakistan. The paper stresses on the need for developing education
in Pakistan due to the challenges of the new millennium that are looming on the horizon. This
study identifies the causes of the poor state of affairs of the education sector, especially female
education and should alarm the present government about taking some measures so that Pakistan
Studying the importance and state of social development in the Pakistani society at a
global level and thus adding a new dimension to the study of Pakistan as a society, Pasha &
worldwide, based on the established two-way link between social progress and sustainable
economic growth. The study concludes that economic growth leads to revenues for the
government and higher per capita income which translates into social development. An
improvement in social indicators leads to higher economic growth due to better labor
development then eventually economic growth suffers, which has precisely been the case in
Pakistan. There has been some economic growth, about 5% in the last decade but the effect on
social indicators is not evident. Female literacy remains way below that of the males, infant
mortality is high and other social indicators also do not present a very good picture. This
research is a useful attempt to show Pakistan’s position in the global arena. This study adds a
new dimension to the social study of Pakistan as the foundation of the study is different from that
A few years later, Hamid & Siddiqui (2001) analyzed the gender differences in demand
for schooling. According to the study, Pakistan has a very poor ranking in terms of human
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development indicators, while gender differences in human development are also significant
within and between other South Asian countries. The paper depicts the results of various human
development indicators in the paper; which include female and male enrolment, ratio of
enrolment with income etc. The paper concludes that perhaps due to a rise in poverty the
enrolment at primary schools declined in 1990’s while it also shows that in the urban areas net
enrolment ratio with income and the positive income effect is higher. The paper goes onto show,
using the data from rural and urban areas that despite a rise in female enrolment after the 90’s
gender differences persist and income is the main factor affecting demand for education. This
paper completely transforms the canvas of study, as it brings down the analysis to a more
primary level, where gender differences play a part in the determination of the literacy rates.
the socio-economic benefits of female education and also identifies how female literacy can lead
to social gains. According to the findings of the study, women account for half of the world’s
population yet they just receive one-tenth of the world’s income. Commenting on the recent
research on the social gains from female education, it may be concluded that these gains are
much higher than gains from male education. The study has led to greater emphasis on female
literacy. The paper also suggests some policy prescriptions in order to promote female education.
This study may be paramount in forming a proper policy for female education in Pakistan as the
numerous socio-economic benefits associated with female literacy will be a major attraction for
the governments.
Building upon previous studies with a fresh view, Gupta (2002) studied the determinants
of the female-male non-agricultural wage ratio in developing countries. It was a cross country
study on the determinants of gender gap using data on industrial composition, economic
performance, women participation in the labor market and economic outcomes for developing
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nations. The study concluded that higher female literacy and greater female labor market is
activity is associated with a lower wage gap. The study also concludes that higher the degree of
industrialization, the greater is the gender gap. Women’s over representation in lower paying
jobs in industrialized nations is an explanation of lower pay for women in these countries. The
premise of studying this paper is to explain the wage differences for women employed in the
agro-based economy. Though the paper does not directly relate to the topic of study, however, it
was important to review this paper in order to support the argument being developed.
Female literacy is very important for the development of a nation, because when a female
receives education she is able to transfer it on to her children and a trickledown effect is created,
because of which, at times entire societies get educated. Clark (2003) studied the connection
between female literacy, information technology and democracy and established a diversity in it
which was affected by other economic and social factors. However, overlooking the importance
of female literacy in the overall socio-political development of a nation can have negative
effects. The study uses a two-staged regression analysis to validate the hypothesis that female
literacy impact communication technology in a country and these in turn affect the state of
democracy in the country. This study ably highlights the importance of female literacy for one
particular sector within a country’s economy, and it also highlights how female literacy can
affect the politics of the nation, besides the economic and the social conditions, as explained by
previous studies.
Taking a different direction from the existing studies, Verner (2005) in his paper presents
a model of literacy. It shows that the main determinants of worldwide literacy are enrollment
rates; average years of schooling of adults, and life expectancy at birth. Income has a weak
nonlinear effect, negatively affecting literacy. 95% of the world’s illiterate people live in
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developing countries and about 70% are women. Female illiteracy rates are particularly high in
Sub-Saharan Africa and African countries do not have a high literacy rate when controlling for
other factors. This model is helpful in that it will allow the government to see which factors have
been important globally and which ones will be important from the Pakistani perspective in
Similar to the study carried out by Ghaus, Pasha & Ghaus in 1996, Hussain & Qasim
(2005) in their paper attempt to identify areas that are still lagging behind other parts of the
country in terms of literacy levels, and are unable to play their role in the development of human
capital of the country. The analysis indicates that more than 75% of the districts in the country
are under-represented in terms of literacy levels. In general, Sindh lags behind in case of rural
areas and NWFP in case of females. The results also show that economically backward areas
have low literacy level. A lot of effort is required to bring these areas at par with other areas of
the country. The difference between the two studies lies in the variable being considered for the
rankings of the various parts of the nation. In the former, eleven social indicators were
considered, while in the latter only one, education, is being researched upon.
In order to examine the situation of gender inequality and female literacy in other parts of
the world, a study conducted on Turkey was reviewed. Kiziaslan & Kiziaslan (2007) in their
study compared the position of gender inequalities in the world and in Turkey. The UNDP is
actively involved in developing measures to examine gender based inequalities and in this study,
the country ranked first, last and Turkey are compared. Pearson’s correlation coefficient was
used to calculate the correlation between the Gender related Development Index (GDI) and
Gender Empowerment Measure (GEM) in these countries. The results displayed a strong
positive correlation between GDI and real GDP per capita in Turkey; in Norway all components
and GDI; while in Niger, there is a positive correlation between male/female life expectancy and
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GDI. The paper also concludes that GDI and women’s share in administrative and technical jobs
have a positive correlation. The paper identifies that in order to calculate GDI and GEM values it
can be said that gender inequalities will always display disparities in various terms. This is a
fairly well attempted research that allows a fairer comparison of the Pakistani scenario with a
country that is near the European Union, one of the most developed blocs of countries.
Coming to South East Asia, Rao & Reddy (2008) studied the gender discrimination in
education for India. The study specifically focused on the situation in Andhra Pradesh, where
dimensions on female literacy were studied. Women make up half of India’s population, yet they
are socially and economically discriminated against. The paper suggests that female literacy
should be seen as a source of economic development and not as a waste of resources. It also
holds that women are equally comparable to men as opposed to the popular notion that they are
not as competent as males. The paper also analyzes the theory of justice and cooperative conflict
in context of gender discrimination in the country. Furthermore, the paper examines status of
female literacy in AP and suggests measures to improve the situation. This study attempts to
define the state of affairs in India, which is Pakistan’s neighbor. This paper highlights the
importance of female literacy and attempts to change the thought process of the people in favor
of educating females.
Concentrating the study on India, Kambhapati & Rajan (2008) studied the contribution of
Indian girls to the rural economy through their household chores and involvement in the labor
market. The study is modeled in the context of the various institutional and familial
arrangements prevalent in the different areas of the country. Using a multivariate probit model,
the study finds that the best possible outcome for girls is in the districts where female literacy is
high because here the probability of schooling increases while the probability of work decreases.
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The study also holds that the probability of girls going to school decreases as the number of
younger siblings increases, while the opposite holds true in case of presence of elder female
siblings. However, if older male siblings are present, the probability of going to school for
female children reduces. The paper ably attempts to explain how Indian girls are making a
positive contribution towards the Indian economy, which helps lay the foundation to establish a
In a completely different setting and time, Becker & Woessmann (2008) in their paper
state that Martin Luther urged each town to have a girls’ school so that girls would learn to read
the Gospel, evoking a surge of building girls’ schools in Protestant areas. The first Prussian
census of 1816, show that the larger share of Protestants decreased gender gap in basic
education. Similar results are found for the gender gap in literacy among adults in the 1871
census. This shows that the world has accepted the importance of female education, while in
Pakistan the situation is quite adverse. It will still take a long time before the populace begins to
In 2008, a study for the state of women was conducted for the Indian province of Andhra
Pradesh. Enhancing on that, Nayak & Mahanta (2009) attempted to analyze the status of women
and their empowerment in Assam, a state in India. Various indicators such as access to
speech and expression etc. are used to measure empowerment through secondary data. The study
holds that gender does play a part in development process in the state, as women in Assam have
a lower status as compared to the average Indian woman elsewhere. However, the study
concludes that as compared to the average Indian woman elsewhere, women is Assam have a
better status in terms of financial autonomy and domestic violence experienced. India has high
interstate disparity as is evident from the figures from Kamrup and Tinisukia which despite
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having a higher per capita GDP have not been able to minimize the gender gap. In some districts,
on the other hand, have a female literacy rates have a higher number of women participating in
the labor force. Furthermore, districts with higher literacy have a higher proportion of female
main and marginal workers and low proportion of non-workers. Despite these findings, female
enrolment is below fifty percent as even the educated women look towards baseless cultural
practices and are not forward looking. Government has made efforts to promote education but
the situation is still not very promising as there is no awareness regarding the importance of
women empowerment. The paper is good attempt to highlight how a different province in India
is contributing to the development of its womenfolk. As per evidence from earlier studies, the
efforts made will translate into long term growth, for not only the province but the entire country.
A study was conducted in Turkey, in 2007, where the gender inequality in Turkey was
studied. In 2008, Lutz & McGillivray use panel data from Sub Saharan Africa and other Arab
countries and Bond Arellano estimations to study gender inequality and growth. The study
empirically analyzes the impact of two indicators, namely ratio of girls to boys in primary and
secondary education and the ratio of 15-24 year old literate females to males, on growth. These
indicators are associated with the Millennium Development Goals. The study concludes that
gender inequalities in literacy have a significantly negative effect that is robust to the changes in
the specifications. In the Arab countries, this result is even more pronounced. Furthermore, the
paper highlights that the more open the economy, gender inequality in literacy seems to have an
additional but positive effect; indicating that trade-induced growth may be accompanied by
greater inequalities. Both the studies show the situation of gender inequality in two different
parts of the world, one fast moving to development, while the other classified in the poorest
states of development. The study is a good attempt to present the circumstances in both parts of
the world.
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Section 3: Methodology
The study seeks to establish a link between the GDP per capita and the female literacy
rates in Pakistan. The basis of this belief is that the greater income available for the household,
the decision maker will be willing to spend it on educating the females of the house.
Furthermore, ample literature exists that suggests that the income of a household is a determinant
of female literacy. Additionally, literature also suggests that female literacy helps determine the
socio-economic situation of the country. For this, the two variables being studied are female
literacy and the change in GDP per capita from the base year 1991. In the study female literacy
being the dependent variable and change in GDP per capita from the base year being the
independent variable. Female literacy rate shows the percentage of females who are literate out
of the total female population of the country. GDP per capita is the income of an individual in
the country. However, for the purpose of this study, this variable shall be defined by the trend of
the GDP per capita from the base year of 1991. The GDP per capita in 1991 is equated to 100
economic condition will impact female literacy or not, i.e. is economic condition a factor
responsible for explaining the poor levels of female literacy in Pakistan. It shall be a longitudinal
study, since the data collected spans over a range of years. Since all research is secondary in
nature and pertains to information obtained from the population of Pakistan in their natural work
setting, therefore, minimal researcher interference will be there. It will be carried out in non-
contrived settings, as the study pays close attention to all possible variables that may affect
female literacy. It will be a field study, as the observations are made in their natural environment.
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Since it is a macro level analysis, with the female literate population as the focused
group, therefore, government level resources and data will be used. Primarily, the Economic
Survey of Pakistan, Census of the Pakistani population and other pertinent journals and
A regression analysis will be carried out between the dependent and the independent
variable to establish the correlation coefficient, which will then help us come to pertinent
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Section 4: Results & Discussion
4.1 Results
Pakistan is a developing nation and has therefore been struggling with keeping its
economy afloat. The governments have been facing numerous issues therefore have not been
able to give this sector its due attention. As per the data obtained regarding female literacy, in a
span of 16 years, it has grown by a mere 17% percent, which shows the sorry state of affairs in
this sector. The following graphs show the trend for the Female literacy rates and the GDP per
After conducting a regression analysis for the female literacy rate and the change in GDP
per capita from the base year 1991, the following regression equation was obtained:
Female literacy rate = 21.906 + 0.043*change in GDP per capita from the base year
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Table 1: Model Summary
Table 1 shows the model summary for the regression run between the concerned
variables. The R value for the regression is 0.953 which means that the two variables, i.e. the
change in GDP per capita from the base year (1991; Rs.9063=100%) and the female literacy are
strongly, positively correlated. The closer the R value is to 1, the stronger the correlation
between the variables. The next column of the table shows the R square value, also known as the
coefficient of determination, shows the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable that
can be explained by the independent variable. In this particular scenario, 90.9% of the variance
in the female literacy rate in Pakistan can be explained by the change in GDP per capita from the
base year (1991). The third column shows the adjusted R-squared value (0.902) which is a more
honest version of the R-squared value. The reason for determining the adjusted R-squared value
is to explain the variation in the dependent variable as more predictors are added to the model.
Therefore, in this case, the adjusted R-squared is quite near to the R squared value which shows
that the independent variable explains the variation in the dependent variable quite accurately.
Table 2: Coefficients
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Unstandardized Standardized 95% Confidence
Coefficients Coefficients Interval for B
Lower Upper
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. Bound Bound
Table 2 shows the coefficients that will help construct the equation relating the female
literacy rates and the change in GDP per capita from the base year and depict the strength of the
relationship between the concerned variables. The first column of the table shows the predictor
variables (constant and the change in GDP per capita from the base year). The first variable in
the column is Constant which, as the name indicates, represents the constant, also known as the
Y intercept, i.e. the height of the regression line as it cuts the Y-axis, i.e. if the GDP per capita in
a particular year is the same as that in the base year, then this figure (21.906%) will show the
literacy rate in that year. The second column of the table, shows the coefficients in their natural
form, thus are known as unstandardized coefficients .The B in this column shows the values for
the regression equation that will help predict the relationship between the dependent and the
independent variable. As per this table, the B equals 0.043 which indicates that a unit change in
GDP per capita from the base year will change the female literacy rate by 4.3%, all else held
constant. This is statistically significant as the significance is equal to 0. The reason for this low
percentage is that female literacy is not only a function of the change in GDP per capita from the
base year, but is determined by numerous other variables, that were beyond the scope of this
study. The std. error column shows the standard errors associated with the coefficients. This
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value is used to test whether the parameter is significantly different from 0 and obtaining a t-
value. Beta shows the standardized coefficient, i.e. these are the coefficients that would be
obtained if all the parameters in the regression were standardized. In this case, the Beta value is
0.953, which shows that if both the variables are standardized, then the percent change in GDP
per capita will have a 95.3% impact on the female literacy. The higher the value of this beta, the
higher will be the t-value. The t-value for the independent variable is 11.807 while that for the
constant is 20.47, while the significance is 0 for both the constant and the change in GDP per
capita from the base year. These results show that the coefficient for the independent variable is
statistically significant at the alpha level of 0.05 because its p-value is 0.000, which is smaller
than 0.005. Similarly, the constant is significantly different from 0 at the alpha level of 0.05. The
last two columns of the table show the upper and the lower bounds for the constant and the
change in GDP per capita for the population. This shows a 95% confidence interval for the
coefficient. Confidence intervals are related to the p-values, i.e. if the confidence interval
includes 0, then the coefficient will not be significant. In this case, the interval for the constant
ranges between 19.611 and 24.201 which means that the constant is significant. Similarly, the
interval for the change in GDP per capita from the base year ranges from 0.035 and 0.05 which
4.2. Discussion
Female literacy in Pakistan has always been a neglected area. The governments, since
independence have failed to allocate adequate resources to it. Over the years, a minimal
percentage of the total government expenditure has been spent in this sector. For instance, during
the last 12 years, the highest spending on education sector was in 2003-2004, which was 13% of
the total government expenses. This study has been conducted with the view of establishing a
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concrete relationship between the change of GDP per capita since 1991 and female literacy in
Pakistan. As per the results obtained above, there exists a strong positive correlation between the
two. Furthermore, a unit change in the GDP per capita on that from 1991 will lead to a 4.3%
The most important factor contributing to the lack of female literacy in Pakistan is
poverty. A large number of population lives below the poverty line, without access to the bare
essentials such as food, water and shelter. Therefore, education is not a priority in their list.
Much of the population is involved in providing for the basic needs of their families, therefore,
The study considered the impact of the change in GDP per capita from a base year,
however, there is evidence from previous studies discussed in Section 2 of the paper, which
suggest that some variable, may directly and indirectly affect the female literacy rate. As per
Pasha & Ahmed (1999), social development and economic growth are interconnected. In the
current scenario, however, Pakistan has not been able to bank on the link between the two
variables. This suggests why the literacy rates are low, i.e. since social development is not
present, it does not help the nation in achieving high growth rates of GDP per capita.
Another determinant of female education is the level of awareness within the society.
Those in the rural areas especially do not rank female education as important in the household
budget. The rural class of Pakistan views girls as fit for doing household chores. As studied by
Kambhapati & Rajan (2008) the number of girls attending schools decreases as the number of
younger siblings’ increases. Since Pakistan and India both lie in the same region, share the same
history, culture and values, therefore this study will be equally applicable here. Furthermore, the
study highlights that girls are considered to be appropriate to attending to the household affairs
rather than gaining education. Therefore, there is the problem of low female literacy.
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Thirdly, lack of female education in Pakistan can be attributed to a lack of schools within
close proximity of homes. This phenomenon specially holds true for the rural areas, where the
girls are denied schooling owing to the lack of a school within close proximity of the home.
Fourthly, the lack of qualified teaching staff is another reason for poor development of female
literacy in Pakistan. Many people shy away from teaching in government schools and colleges
owing to the poor reputation of the schools, lack of proper monetary and non-monetary benefits
and the lure of better jobs. In case of private schools in the urban areas, the situation is quite
The influence of the local mullah of the mosque on the lives of the rural population is yet
another factor contributing to the illiteracy, especially in the rural areas. According to them, it is
inadequate for the girls to be sent for acquiring education, an act contrary to the teachings of
Islam. The strong influence of the Taliban on the northern areas of Pakistan and the province on
NWFP specially has proved to be detrimental to the education of women in these areas.
According to the study conducted by Khan (2007), the education sector has been
neglected by the governments in the past. This is also reflected in the meager amounts of public
spending made on education. The study also highlights that many people in Pakistan do not seek
technical or scientific education which hampers the development of the country. Female literacy
levels in Pakistan are the lowest in the world. Most importantly, the attitude of the feudal and the
foreign educated elites of the nation have played a detrimental part in the development of the
Studies have been conducted in the past, some of which have been cited here, that show
that female education and economic development have a two-way link. After a discussion of the
results and survey of existing studies, it has become clear that there is a link between GDP per
capita changes and the female literacy rates. However, this is not the only factor that affects
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female literacy, as there are numerous other determinants which influence the female literacy in
Pakistan.
Section 5: Conclusion
The research attempted to find a correlation between GDP per capita as defined by the
change in GDP per capita from a base year 1991, with the level of female literacy and observed
that education in our country is to a great extent dependant on the income level of the household.
According to the results of the findings, more than 90% variation in the level of female literacy
in Pakistan is explained by the change in GDP per capita from the base year. However, there are
limitations to our research. Firstly, we have considered data for only 15 years. Secondly, the
definition of a literate person has changed over the previous years. Thirdly, per capita income is
only one factor. Other factors (both quantifiable and non-quantifiable) such as awareness, access
However, the fact remains that GDP per capita income is possibly the strongest factor
affecting female literacy in our country. The government has to design policies aimed at
improving the overall literacy level in general, and the female literacy level in particular which is
The government needs to allocate a higher proportion of the budget to the education
especially in case of the rural areas because majority of our population lives in rural areas. Then
the government should create awareness amongst the people living in the rural area about the
importance of females getting educated especially in terms of the impact it would have on the
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social and economic development. The government needs to have a proper check on the
government schools because they are not given due attention because of which the staff as well
as the students do not take it seriously. There is a lot of effort required on the part of the
government in order to improve the female literacy as well as literacy on the whole. There needs
to be proper policy formulation and then its implementation and monitoring is of utmost
importance.
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