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Term loan 260mil, secured, maturing in July 2012: The company originally took out a floating rate term loan of 260mil at LIBOR + 1.75%
into an interest rate swap for 150mil of the original loan value, adopting a fixed rate
portion of the swap. As a result, we have split this term loan into two portions, a flo
(110mil/260mil= 42.3%) and a fixed portion (150mil/260mil= 57.7%)
Floating portion (42.3%): BV = 259,350,000 - 150,000,000 = 109,350,000
For floating rate loans, MV = BV
2005 2004
LIBOR @ Year end* 4.39% 2.42%
Avg. Spread† 1.75% 2.25%
Interest Rate at Year end 6.14% 4.67%
*MB said term loan was either based on LIBOR or US base rate. We chose LIBOR be
define which US base rate as there are many. The one month LIBOR was used; 1 mo
used.
†This credit spread was determined in July 2005 to reflect the risk of the company's
of Rose Art as that was their intention for levering up. Because there were no mater
company between July and Dec. 2005, this credit spread is an accurate reflection of
year end 2005.
Fixed portion (57.7%): BV = 150,000,000
MV = present value of future cash flows discounted at 6.14% which is the cost of the
term loan at year end 2005. (refer to
Term loan 40mil, floater, secured, maturing July 2010: For floating rate loans, MV = BV
Same rates as Term loan 260mil, floating portion; *MB stated they had option to cho
between 1.25% and 2.25%. We assumed average as no indication was given toward
other. We also performed sensitivity analysis and found that the difference was not m
Term loan, floater, secured, maturing May 2008: For floating rate loans, MV = BV
*MB stated they had option to choose a spread rate between 1.5% and 3%. We ass
indication was given towards one direction or the other. We also performed sensitivit
that the difference was not material.
Revolving credit facility, secured, maturing in May 2007: For floating rate loans, MV = BV
*MB stated they had option to choose a spread rate between 1.25% and 2.75%. We
no indication was given towards one direction or the other. We also performed sensit
found that the difference was not material.
http://www.moneycafe.com/library/1mlibor.htm#chart
2003
1.12%
3.75%
4.87%
r US base rate. We chose LIBOR because they did not
e one month LIBOR was used; 1 month LIBOR rate was
2003
8.20%
4.87%
1,767,000
1,804,249
ssumed the average of the range. The actual rate should
terial to calculate given the proportion of capital leases to
2004 2003
PV of MV of PMT PMT due PV of MV of PMT
764,000 728,524
367,830 359,000 326,435
334,083 341,000 295,670
353,196 377,000 311,706
160,807 180,000 141,914
2003
8.20%
4.87%
14,710,854
16,116,444
e same risk as the capital leases and thus, should bare the
Quarters after Principal Payment Interest Payment Total Interest Discount Rate
Q42005 (0.25% of 150,000,000) @ 4.66% PMT (6.14%/4)
0
1 373,125 1,739,975 2,113,100 0.0154
2 373,125 1,735,625 2,108,750 0.0154
3 373,125 1,731,275 2,104,400 0.0154
4 373,125 1,726,925 2,100,050 0.0154
5 373,125 1,722,575 2,095,700 0.0154
6 373,125 1,718,225 2,091,350 0.0154
7 373,125 1,713,876 2,087,001 0.0154
8 373,125 1,709,526 2,082,651 0.0154
9 373,125 1,705,176 2,078,301 0.0154
10 373,125 1,700,826 2,073,951 0.0154
11 373,125 1,696,476 2,069,601 0.0154
12 373,125 1,692,126 2,065,251 0.0154
13 373,125 1,687,776 2,060,901 0.0154
14 373,125 1,683,426 2,056,551 0.0154
15 373,125 1,679,076 2,052,201 0.0154
16 373,125 1,674,726 2,047,851 0.0154
17 373,125 1,670,376 2,043,501 0.0154
18 373,125 1,666,026 2,039,151 0.0154
19 373,125 1,661,676 2,034,801 0.0154
20 373,125 1,657,326 2,030,451 0.0154
21 373,125 1,652,976 2,026,101 0.0154
22 373,125 1,648,626 2,021,751 0.0154
23 373,125 1,644,277 2,017,402 0.0154
24 373,125 1,639,927 2,013,052 0.0154
25 373,125 1,639,927 2,013,052 0.0154
Cost of Equity
1.5 Year Beta (vs S&P500 from July 2005
to Jan 2007, self-regressed see
Apppendix D1)* 0.90
2 Year Beta (vs S&P500 from Jan 2005 to
Jan 2007, from Bloomberg)* 0.91
Risk free rate: 10 year Canadian
benchmark bond† 3.98%
MRP (of common stock over LT bonds)^ 5.40%
CAPM 8.89%
*The 1.5 year beta excludes the major jump in stock price in June of 2005 when MB levered up to
acquire Rose Art. Because 1.5 year beta may be too short a time period, we also found the 2 year beta
which does include the major jump in stock price. We have averaged these two betas in our CAPM
calculation.
†We assumed this as the risk free rate because the 10 year bond best reflects the duration of cash flows
of projects that WACC is intended to measure.
^The MRP is based on the historical premium common stock has above LT government bond. This
matches the risk free rate.
Historical Returns: *this methodology cannot be used because there is not enough data. The company
has less than 3 years of data. The company also does not issue dividends so DDM could not be used.
2003
23.00
0.7734
17.79
26,881,061
478,173,645
153,729,000
05 when MB levered up to
we also found the 2 year beta
ese two betas in our CAPM
Beta
Market Returns (%)
Mega Brands S&P 500 10%
Date Adj. Close*Returns (%) Adj. Close*Returns (%) 8%
MB Returns (%)
22-Jan-07 25.28 2.76423% 1423.9 -0.46138% 5%
16-Jan-07 24.6 -5.74713% 1430.5 -0.01608% 3%
8-Jan-07 26.1 1.35922% 1430.73 1.49109%
0%
3-Jan-07 25.75 -1.52964% 1409.71 -0.60565%
-3%
29-Aug-05 24.46 -8.04511% 1218.02 1.07211%
22-Aug-05 26.6 -0.37453% 1205.1 -1.19783% -5%
15-Aug-05 26.7 -1.11111% 1219.71 -0.86802% -8%
8-Aug-05 27 2.07940% 1230.39 0.32371% -10%
1-Aug-05 26.45 3.60360% 1226.42 -0.62876% RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR
25-Jul-05 25.53 3.52798% 1234.18 0.04053% oooooooooooooooooo
18-Jul-05 24.66 1233.68 ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww
Mark
beta 0.9
Market Returns (%) vs. MB Returns (&)
R RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RR RRR R
ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
w ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww ww www w
Market Returns (%)
Appendix D - Sources of Financing
2005
Debt Type (including current portion) Market Value Book Value
Term loan 260mil, secured, maturing in July 2012:
Floating portion (42.3%) 109,725,000 109,725,000
Fixed portion (57.7%) 138,202,807 149,625,000
Term loan 40mil, floater, secured, maturing July 2010 40,000,000 40,000,000
Capital leases, maturing various dates up to may 2008 1,386,313 1,341,000
Mortgage, secured, maturing December 2010* 262,000 262,000
Term loan, floater, secured, repaid in 2005 - -
Revolving credit facility, secured, repaid in 2005 - -
Operating leases 34,482,299 33,613,665
Total LT Debt (including current portion) 324,058,419 334,566,665
Equity
Common Stock 760,772,119 231,592,000
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
1,215,917 1,197,000 1,804,249 1,767,000
- - 52,000 52,000
12,375,000 12,375,000 24,625,000 24,625,000
11,000,000 11,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000
17,304,298 15,708,757 16,116,444 14,710,854
41,895,215 40,280,757 52,597,692 51,154,854
Mega Brands
2005 2004 2003 3 Yr Avg BV
Leverage Ratios: BV MV BV MV BV MV
LT Debt Ratio 0.603 0.299 0.282 0.086 0.401 0.090 0.334
Total Debt Ratio 0.695 0.415 0.439 0.201 0.536 0.189 0.457
LT Debt to Equity 1.521 0.426 0.392 0.095 0.669 0.099 0.620
Total Debt to Equity 2.410 0.683 0.859 0.203 1.241 0.182 1.079
Times Interest Earned 6.075 24.166 24.013 18.085
Cash Coverage 7.248 30.612 28.265 22.042
Liquidity Ratios:
Current Ratio 1.519 3.104 2.970 2.531
Quick Ratio 0.988 2.445 2.324 1.919
NWC to Total Assets 0.141 0.552 0.523 0.405
Interval Measure 239.792 263.435 243.176 248.801
Other Ratios:
Avg. Collection Period 128.030 163.311 141.788
*Industry and S&P500 ratios calculated by Reuters; calculations used may not be exctly the same as for the
Industry S&P500 Calculations for Company Ratios
t be exctly the same as for the company ratios and are only loosely comparable
Appendix F - Profitability
Mega Brands
2005 2004 2003 3 Yr Avg Industry
Profitability Ratios:
Gross Margin 45.9% 45.2% 46.6% 45.9% 41.84
EBITDA Margin 15.3% 14.2% 19.7% 16.4% 18.12
Pre-tax Margin 12.8% 13.6% 18.9% 15.1% 15.56
Net Profit Margin 9.7% 10.7% 13.1% 11.2% 10.61
Effective Tax Rate 24.0% 21.1% 30.5% 25.2% 28.26
DuPont Analysis:
ROA = 11.0% 15.3% 18.6% 15.0%
Asset Turnover 0.901 1.349 1.334 1.19
Profit Margin 12.3% 11.3% 13.9% 12.5%
Industry and S&P ratios from Reuters; all are for the TTM from 09/06 except industry 5 yr avg.
Industry 5 Yr. Avg. S&P500 Calculations for Company Ratios
ndustry 5 yr avg.
Appendix H - 2005 Year End Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Sensitivity Analysis
Tax Rate 14%
WACC 7.71%
We used the effective tax rate as the assumed rate of tax on the companies debt. Because MB operates in
represents the overall rate at which the entire company was taxed at however if the bulk of the debt (prim
issued in a country with a tax rate significantly different from the effective tax rate, you will end up with a
sensitivity analysis with the tax rate that is assumed by Bloomberg, 14% and saw minor effects in that WA
the company does not disclose which tax rate actually applies and because it is rather immaterial, it is safe
rate on debt.
Bloomberg also calculates for us what they believe to be MB's WACC based on their assumptions. One rea
are using a beta that was derived from regressing company returns against the TSX index, resulting in a lo
a lower CAPM computation. Bloombergs WACC also applies to more recently released information, Q3 200
Before tax Required Rate Afer-tax Required Weighted Required
of Return (effective) Rate of Return Rate of Return
n their assumptions. One reason that their result is somewhat lower is they
he TSX index, resulting in a lower CAPM lower beta that ultimately results in
released information, Q3 2006 which makes not a comparable.
Appendix I - Ratio Comparison Table
Liquidity Ratios:
Current Ratio 1.52 1.99 1.45
Quick Ratio 0.99 1.21 1.25
Efficiency Ratios:
Avg. Collection Period 128 75 14
Days to Sell Inventory 9
Profitability Ratios:
Average Interest Rate 4.0%
Gross Margin 45.9% 48.7% 69.6%
EBITDA Margin 15.3% 17.7% 19.8%
Net Profit Margin 9.7% 10.5% 12.7%
ROA 11.0% 7.8% 9.9%
ROE 24.5% 14.2% 17.2%
Effective Tax Rate 24.0%
Market Values:
Market Cap. 760,772,119 735,901,726
Appendix J - Restructuring
Shares outstanding
Price per Share
*The PV of tax shield (PVTS) is calculated as follows: LT Debt * Tax Rate. To confirm that the PVTS is
accurate, we also computed the PVTS using another equation:
PVTS = tax rate * (total years interest / required return on debt); see below
tax rate = 24%
interest for 1 yr = 19,127,536
†taken from the 2005 BS as current liabilities are supposed to be valued at market.
Shares outstanding
Price per Share
Shares outstanding
Price per Share
Source of Financing
Term loan 260mil, secured, maturing in july 2012:
Floating portion (42.3%)
Fixed portion (57.7%)
Term loan 40mil, floater, secured, maturing july 2010
186,844,000 Capital leases, maturing various dates up to may 2008
324,058,419 Mortgage, secured, maturing december 2010
510,902,419 Operating leases
New Debt, 100mil.*
Common Equity†
760,772,119 Total
t market.
ing
186,844,000
324,058,419
510,902,419
784,772,119
1,295,674,538
32,105,575
24.44
186,844,000
424,058,419
610,902,419
684,772,119
1,295,674,538
28,014,505
24.44
Market Value Before tax Required Rate Afer-tax Required
(US$) Weighting of Return (effective) Rate of Return
24% 9.44
7.23%
0.47%
0.45%
0.17%
0.01%
0.00%
0.17%
0.43%
5.53%
7.23%
MEGA Brands Inc
3,595 2,876
93,417 69,556
4,617 3,092
551 30,318
9,467 1,592
14,422 $ 164,718 $ 123,694
24,440 14,486 Liabilities
24 - Current liabilities
- Accounts payable and accrued liabilitie
3,823 1,774 Income taxes – 3,941
129,916 91,784 Current portion of long-term debt (Not
- 43,737 30,563
- Long-term debt (Note 5) 35,489 40,01
- Future income taxes (Note 11) 8,998 6
- 88,224 76,645
56,059 Shareholders’ equity
29,176 Capital stock (Note 6) 153,729 153,06
26,883 Contributed surplus (Note 8) 262 –
4,634 Deficit (77,497) (106,014)
2,522 76,494 47,049
2,112 $ 164,718 $ 123,694
3,471
654
2,817
1,454
1,042
412
1,473
187
1,286
67,091
33,581
33,510
-
-
1,292
164,718
42,782
-
-
-
955
43,737
35,489
8,998
88,224
153,729
262
-77,497
76,494 47,049
164,718 $ 123,694
rrent liabilities
counts payable and accrued liabilities $ 42,782 $ 22,880
come taxes – 3,941
rrent portion of long-term debt (Note 5) 955 3,742
,737 30,563
ng-term debt (Note 5) 35,489 40,015
ture income taxes (Note 11) 8,998 6,067
,224 76,645
areholders’ equity
pital stock (Note 6) 153,729 153,063
ntributed surplus (Note 8) 262 –
ficit (77,497) (106,014)
,494 47,049
164,718 $ 123,694
RC2 Corp
RC2 Corp