CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN

Dr. Sameer Ud-Din, PhD

School of Civil & Environmental Engineering
National University of Science &Technology (NUST)
3/3/2015
 Importance of Transportation Sector

• Modern transport & communication sector not only play

an important role in boosting the economic activities in
the country but also benefitted from globalization through
linked routes.
• Pakistan can harvest this opportunity due to its
geographic position in the region through modern
communication network.
• Most emerging economies of the world are transforming
their economies towards communication and IT
knowledge.
• This sector has direct and indirect links with all important
sectors of the economy, which influence directly social
and economic prosperity of the people.
• An efficient transport system contribute to economic
growth by lowering production cost through timely
delivery of raw materials of agriculture sector to the
market and making timely delivery to manufacturing
sector thus creating economic opportunities through
communication links among urban-rural population.
• It directly provides sufficient employment opportunities to
the lower class of the society, whom otherwise cannot
find job opportunities due to lack of education.
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Vehicle Growth Trend – (1981 – 2011)

12 10.91 million
No. of registered vehicles (Millions)

10

4
Growth rate =
0.75 million 7.5%
2

0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Year
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Growth Rates of Different Vehicles Classes – Year 1981 - 2012

Tractors Motor cycles Passenger car Motorcycles

6000000
0.32 to 5.5
million
5000000
Number of vehicles

Passenger Cars
4000000 0.21 to 3.9
million
3000000

2000000 Tractors

0.07 to 1
1000000
million

0
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Years
 CURRENT STATE OF ROAD SAFETY IN PAKISTAN
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Growth Rates of Different Vehicles Classes – Year 1981 - 2012

Buses Rickshaws Trucks

Trucks
250000
0.03 to 0.24
million
200000
Number of vehicles

Buses

150000 0.02 to 0.12

million

100000
Rickshaws
0.03 to 0.10
million
50000

0
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Years
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Traffic Stream Composition in Pakistan – Year 2012
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Population Growth Trend – (1981 – 2012)
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
GDP Growth Trend – (1981 – 2012)

1400

1200
Gross Domestic Product ( US $)

1000 Average GDP growth rate = 3.7%

800

600

400

200

0
1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Year
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Energy Consumption
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
WHY TRAFFIC SAFETY IS CONCERN
 Road Safety – Pakistan's Biggest Emerging Challenge
• 35,000 annual road crash fatalities (WHO, 2015)
• 400,000 annual road crash injuries
• Total economic cost exceeds over $2.8 billion annually

14
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Past Trend - Total Police Reported Accidents – (1981 – 2012)
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Dichotomy b/w Exposure Level and Reported Road Crashes

200 178.9 20,000

18,275
million
180 18,000
160 16,000
Number of People (Millions)

Total Number of Accidents

140 14,000
110.8
120 million 12,000
9,987
100
10,000
80
8,000
60
6,000
40
4,000
20
2,000
0
0
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Year
Year
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN
Dichotomy b/w Exposure Level and Reported Road Crashes

10.9 20,000 18,275

12 million
18,000
Number of registered vehicles (Millions)

10 16,000

Total Number of Accidents

14,000
8
12,000
9,987
6 10,000
8,000
4 6,000
2.09
million 4,000
2
2,000

0 0
1960 1980 2000 2020 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011

Year
Year
CURRENT STATE OF TRANSPORTATION IN PAKISTAN

35,000 35,131

30,000
Average annual RCF

25,000 19,662

20,000

10,486
15,000
8,977

10,000 5, 323
2,091
5,000

0
HIC LIC MIC Asia Pakistan Pakistan
(WHO, 2015) (Police Reported
Data)
TRAFFIC SAFETY A GLOBAL CONCERN
TRAFFIC SAFETY
AIR QUALITY (Transportation Sector)
GREEN HOUSE GAS & CLIMATE CHANGE
GREEN HOUSE GAS & CLIMATE CHANGE