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Proyección Oferta y Demanda - GN UPME (Jun-18-Jul-18)
Proyección Oferta y Demanda - GN UPME (Jun-18-Jul-18)
Proyección Oferta y Demanda - GN UPME (Jun-18-Jul-18)
GAS NATURAL)
DP-Jun2018
1,331.36
1,334.94
1,314.40
1,308.48
1,303.41
1,299.84
1,285.84
1,294.34
1,255.89
1,256.38
1,254.70
1,395.06
1,395.74
1,397.21
1,390.64
1,414.14
1,415.53
1,414.17
1,411.41
1,407.21
1,405.73
1,402.82
1,398.43
1,344.61
1,327.31
1,323.12
1,308.34
1,305.32
1,301.05
1,297.51
1,294.72
1,292.78
1,289.31
1,284.07
1,278.35
1,238.14
1,217.63
1,212.69
1,208.63
1,204.72
1,200.18
1,195.96
1,191.28
1,187.40
1,183.43
1,179.45
1,175.36
1,163.77
1,133.27
1,129.22
1,124.72
1,120.01
1,101.24
1,096.97
1,093.04
1,088.93
1,085.54
1,081.47
1,078.17
1,055.27
1,036.53
1,033.36
1,029.90
1,026.37
1,019.96
1,012.73
1,010.11
1,005.10
1,002.79
1,000.32
997.92
961.21
947.23
945.22
942.93
936.09
930.22
924.59
918.90
913.46
908.30
903.13
898.06
893.22
869.29
844.94
822.38
801.83
782.84
765.31
747.83
733.57
718.69
705.00
691.98
679.93
656.87
646.24
636.21
626.97
618.23
610.00
567.99
548.34
543.13
538.15
533.24
528.48
510.15
505.72
500.24
491.80
487.57
483.51
479.32
475.33
471.48
467.57
463.77
452.34
Proyección Escenario Medio con Grupo Térmico (GBTUD) - (Demanda
Shortage star-up
1,400 1,400
1,300
1,200 1,200
1,100
1,000 1,000
G
B 900
T 800 800
U
D 700
600 600
500
400 400
-1
8 18 19 l- 2
0
-2
1
-2
2
-2
3 23 24 l- 2
5
-2
6
-2
7
an ov- e p- Ju ay ar an ov- e p- Ju ay ar
J N S M M J N S M M
A DEMANDA
OFERTA
L MEDIA
T
Jan-18 A 987.95 1,331.36 343.42 Natural Gas Supply an
Feb-18 T 1,048.57 1,334.94 286.37
Mar-18 O 1,006.84 1,314.40 307.56 1,500
T
Apr-18 A 1,029.22 1,308.48 279.26 1,300
L
May-18 1,006.27 1,303.41 297.14
1,100
Jun-18 988.82 1,299.84 311.02
Jul-18 974.25 1,285.84 311.58 900
Petroquímica+Co
Residencial Terciario Industrial GNVC Petrolero Termoeléctrico
mpresores
Jan-18 148.63 51.85 210.40 42.86 58.30 227.63 387.52
Feb-18 148.63 55.48 241.14 45.35 67.26 234.23 395.72
Mar-18 148.63 51.31 215.45 43.10 60.00 231.87 395.72
Apr-18 148.63 52.32 226.81 44.74 67.87 235.81 395.07
May-18 146.39 50.71 215.36 44.13 64.59 237.10 387.24
Jun-18 143.05 52.12 225.75 44.84 69.77 203.79 388.74
Jul-18 143.83 51.22 235.03 41.19 62.92 199.08 380.24
Aug-18 147.33 51.18 229.75 41.53 62.14 199.16 380.19
Sep-18 153.67 53.11 239.09 42.15 64.83 209.51 375.89
Oct-18 148.01 51.65 241.86 42.04 61.82 208.47 367.56
Nov-18 153.82 53.56 254.34 42.65 66.61 206.71 368.33
Dec-18 147.97 52.03 244.65 42.14 62.63 204.92 388.25
Jan-19 148.01 52.25 243.88 42.43 61.44 207.50 375.67
Feb-19 166.27 58.07 280.97 44.81 70.62 205.75 385.74
Mar-19 150.23 52.66 247.72 42.79 62.77 206.66 381.27
Apr-19 154.13 54.63 259.59 42.66 66.73 206.73 373.60
May-19 150.56 53.08 247.32 42.10 63.47 206.88 357.95
Jun-19 152.86 55.06 260.32 42.77 67.76 209.79 348.48
Jul-19 149.54 53.49 254.54 41.97 66.03 212.60 344.43
Aug-19 150.59 53.70 251.90 42.10 65.38 211.67 354.75
Sep-19 156.87 55.71 262.14 42.95 68.28 211.74 355.91
Oct-19 151.71 54.12 254.95 42.47 64.67 212.43 344.29
Nov-19 156.93 56.14 262.65 42.92 69.74 213.31 349.52
Dec-19 152.30 54.54 255.66 42.36 65.84 213.70 371.18
Jan-20 151.82 54.75 252.08 42.06 62.83 217.24 378.72
Feb-20 163.60 58.75 279.59 44.12 69.62 212.36 368.54
Mar-20 153.39 55.17 257.63 42.60 64.00 216.32 383.20
Apr-20 158.13 57.23 269.85 43.05 67.67 214.81 372.53
May-20 153.75 55.60 256.07 42.09 64.90 217.03 364.76
Jun-20 157.95 57.67 269.07 42.94 69.21 217.56 364.22
Jul-20 153.61 56.02 263.05 42.52 66.64 217.50 359.15
Aug-20 153.89 56.23 255.28 42.25 66.60 217.78 360.96
Sep-20 159.88 58.32 268.69 43.04 69.58 217.77 363.74
Oct-20 154.97 56.65 259.27 42.31 66.04 214.15 354.88
Nov-20 160.15 58.76 270.61 43.19 70.51 214.10 358.42
Dec-20 155.57 57.08 260.57 42.40 66.84 218.25 374.26
Jan-21 155.32 57.29 256.37 42.30 66.48 217.99 380.55
Feb-21 172.77 63.67 293.02 43.93 75.58 217.68 383.59
Mar-21 156.39 57.72 260.80 42.38 68.26 217.99 392.44
Apr-21 161.65 59.86 273.73 43.07 71.47 217.93 385.69
May-21 156.91 58.14 261.07 42.57 68.43 218.38 374.55
Jun-21 161.88 60.30 275.00 43.08 72.99 218.68 369.94
Jul-21 157.20 58.57 266.06 42.40 70.64 219.70 364.12
Aug-21 157.32 58.78 263.02 42.46 70.46 220.66 368.29
Sep-21 163.13 60.97 274.91 43.46 73.06 222.90 371.80
Oct-21 158.19 59.21 262.46 42.58 69.76 223.33 365.46
Nov-21 163.54 61.41 274.32 43.19 74.93 224.35 357.24
Dec-21 158.77 59.64 265.81 42.66 70.65 225.65 377.97
Jan-22 158.73 59.86 258.75 42.43 66.63 226.04 319.31
Feb-22 176.28 66.51 295.60 44.55 76.16 225.23 324.98
Mar-22 159.50 60.29 264.34 42.89 67.80 227.28 324.49
Apr-22 165.01 62.52 272.61 43.30 71.49 231.41 322.89
May-22 160.08 60.72 261.28 42.53 68.81 231.87 312.29
Jun-22 165.40 62.96 274.08 43.50 72.69 233.42 310.71
Jul-22 160.50 61.15 266.79 42.65 70.56 233.20 305.11
Aug-22 160.62 61.36 262.34 42.70 70.50 235.01 310.67
Sep-22 166.38 63.63 274.76 43.53 73.16 235.74 311.45
Oct-22 161.33 61.80 265.64 42.84 69.75 237.03 312.73
Nov-22 166.85 64.08 276.50 43.44 74.54 237.24 314.48
Dec-22 161.88 62.23 265.66 42.75 70.66 238.54 314.57
Jan-23 161.95 62.45 261.43 42.64 68.65 239.92 315.26
Feb-23 179.73 69.38 299.75 44.92 78.06 240.88 331.72
Mar-23 162.58 62.88 267.47 42.94 70.08 241.78 322.70
Apr-23 168.23 65.20 277.72 43.63 73.42 242.10 319.51
May-23 163.14 63.31 263.53 42.65 70.83 243.44 301.30
Jun-23 168.68 65.65 279.13 43.65 74.49 243.64 278.26
Jul-23 163.61 63.75 270.35 42.90 72.66 239.57 254.71
Aug-23 163.76 63.97 266.47 42.95 72.20 235.41 249.84
Sep-23 169.54 66.32 276.71 43.63 75.17 224.68 262.07
Oct-23 164.36 64.40 267.51 42.78 72.07 224.30 258.89
Nov-23 170.02 66.77 279.35 43.77 76.52 220.23 249.88
Dec-23 164.88 64.84 268.80 43.08 72.58 228.83 225.25
Jan-24 165.02 65.06 264.27 42.91 73.58 244.28 231.77
Feb-24 176.74 69.78 291.31 45.01 81.02 231.25 234.31
Mar-24 165.56 65.49 269.60 43.18 74.88 222.84 228.40
Apr-24 171.32 67.90 280.94 43.69 78.90 220.78 188.31
May-24 166.09 65.93 266.97 43.08 75.55 217.90 129.06
Jun-24 171.79 68.36 279.33 43.76 79.94 217.90 132.97
Jul-24 166.56 66.37 274.20 42.95 77.83 217.90 128.45
Aug-24 166.74 66.59 268.72 43.23 77.28 217.90 152.24
Sep-24 172.58 69.04 279.38 43.91 80.37 217.90 159.50
Oct-24 167.27 67.03 269.41 43.15 77.16 217.90 169.45
Nov-24 173.05 69.49 282.69 43.81 81.99 217.90 177.58
Dec-24 167.76 67.47 272.07 43.28 77.99 217.90 168.71
Jan-25 167.93 67.69 266.51 43.04 77.40 217.85 173.14
Feb-25 186.23 75.19 305.00 44.48 87.86 217.85 171.13
Mar-25 168.43 68.13 271.73 43.50 78.56 217.85 183.17
Apr-25 174.28 70.63 282.22 44.03 82.57 217.85 146.53
May-25 168.92 68.57 268.28 43.14 79.48 217.85 118.84
Jun-25 174.74 71.09 281.41 43.98 84.06 217.85 119.44
Jul-25 169.37 69.01 275.26 43.44 81.15 217.85 124.15
Aug-25 169.56 69.23 267.85 43.23 81.18 217.85 127.83
Sep-25 175.47 71.77 281.40 44.02 84.59 217.85 145.24
Oct-25 170.04 69.68 270.83 43.29 80.81 217.85 140.67
Nov-25 175.92 72.23 282.38 44.16 85.54 217.85 138.28
Dec-25 170.50 70.12 272.00 43.39 81.65 217.85 141.95
Jan-26 170.69 70.34 266.90 43.30 84.03 217.81 139.30
Feb-26 189.25 78.12 303.88 45.48 95.22 217.81 142.58
Mar-26 171.15 70.78 272.32 43.56 85.55 217.81 150.92
Apr-26 177.08 73.37 282.30 44.19 89.54 217.81 131.99
May-26 171.61 71.23 266.86 43.31 86.19 217.81 119.45
Jun-26 177.52 73.83 282.89 44.26 91.01 217.81 118.93
Jul-26 172.04 71.67 274.42 43.38 88.31 217.81 128.71
Aug-26 172.23 71.89 270.05 43.65 87.89 217.81 126.21
Sep-26 178.21 74.52 280.93 44.27 91.67 217.81 136.19
Oct-26 172.68 72.34 272.05 43.50 87.72 217.81 137.78
Nov-26 178.64 74.98 283.46 44.18 93.25 217.81 130.95
Dec-26 173.11 72.78 274.04 43.76 88.54 217.81 130.96
Jan-27 173.30 73.00 269.83 43.51 89.80 217.78 139.43
Feb-27 192.11 81.07 307.84 45.71 101.59 217.78 145.64
Mar-27 173.72 73.45 274.12 43.75 91.38 217.78 142.13
Apr-27 179.73 76.13 285.00 44.30 95.65 217.78 131.91
May-27 174.15 73.90 271.52 43.74 91.93 217.78 121.23
Jun-27 180.15 76.59 285.74 44.33 97.21 217.78 135.19
Jul-27 174.55 74.34 276.49 43.61 94.17 217.78 138.55
Aug-27 174.74 74.56 273.63 43.67 94.09 217.78 151.29
Sep-27 180.78 77.28 285.62 44.63 97.52 217.78 172.26
Oct-27 175.15 75.01 274.85 43.76 93.59 217.78 171.11
Nov-27 181.19 77.74 286.88 44.42 99.43 217.78 173.71
Dec-27 175.56 75.46 277.91 43.86 94.58 217.78 174.08
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6Mar-27
resores Industrial
BTUD) - Revisión Julio de 2018 (Gráfica 8 DOCUMENTO ANÁLISIS DE
TO Y CONFIABILIDAD DEL SECTOR
GAS NATURAL)