PROYECCIÓN DE LA POBLACIÓN TOTAL DE ARGENTINA 2010-2100, HIPÓTESIS DE BAJA FECUNDIDAD

S U M M A R Y T A B L E 1 : ZONA 1 2015/ 6/20 15:16

G:\PROYECCIONES\Argentina\Artículo 2100\A2100BA.in
ARGENTINA 2010. Ajuste omisión, Lexis y prom. móv., est. vit. 2013. Fec. baja.
Exponential Calendar year data
growth Growth
Midyear rate rate Net international
Year population (%) (%) Births CBR Deaths CDR Migrants
2010 40,901,296 #N/A 1.109 753,185 18.41 314,062 7.68 14,650
2011 41,351,318 1.094 1.079 750,845 18.16 319,067 7.72 14,492
2012 41,795,975 1.070 1.060 750,321 17.95 321,598 7.69 14,321
2013 42,238,768 1.054 1.048 754,603 17.87 326,197 7.72 14,136
2014 42,681,877 1.044 1.039 755,694 17.71 325,964 7.64 13,946
2015 43,125,555 1.034 1.029 756,023 17.53 326,093 7.56 13,749
2016 43,568,514 1.022 1.015 755,254 17.33 326,562 7.50 13,546
2017 44,009,534 1.007 0.999 753,735 17.13 327,263 7.44 13,329
2018 44,447,690 0.991 0.982 751,624 16.91 328,212 7.38 13,098
2019 44,882,173 0.973 0.964 749,023 16.69 329,427 7.34 12,859
2020 45,312,193 0.954 0.944 745,839 16.46 330,864 7.30 12,608
2021 45,736,370 0.932 0.920 742,476 16.23 334,053 7.30 12,348
2022 46,153,364 0.908 0.895 738,517 16.00 337,370 7.31 12,071
2023 46,562,659 0.883 0.871 734,460 15.77 340,870 7.32 11,782
2024 46,963,993 0.858 0.846 730,461 15.55 344,650 7.34 11,485
2025 47,357,239 0.834 0.822 726,647 15.34 348,628 7.36 11,177
2026 47,742,481 0.810 0.799 723,413 15.15 352,984 7.39 10,857
2027 48,119,687 0.787 0.775 720,020 14.96 357,420 7.43 10,524
2028 48,488,655 0.764 0.752 716,593 14.78 361,963 7.46 10,181
2029 48,849,216 0.741 0.729 713,155 14.60 366,673 7.51 9,831
2030 49,201,203 0.718 0.707 709,691 14.42 371,502 7.55 9,471
2031 49,544,002 0.694 0.682 705,477 14.24 376,642 7.60 9,103
2032 49,877,044 0.670 0.658 701,199 14.06 381,774 7.65 8,722
2033 50,200,232 0.646 0.634 696,834 13.88 386,932 7.71 8,328
2034 50,513,391 0.622 0.610 692,358 13.71 392,196 7.76 7,925
2035 50,816,356 0.598 0.586 687,781 13.53 397,450 7.82 7,511
2036 51,109,630 0.575 0.565 684,530 13.39 402,910 7.88 7,086
2037 51,393,776 0.554 0.544 681,185 13.25 408,247 7.94 6,649
2038 51,668,805 0.534 0.523 677,804 13.12 413,532 8.00 6,200
2039 51,934,662 0.513 0.503 674,328 12.98 418,825 8.06 5,740
2040 52,191,296 0.493 0.483 670,806 12.85 424,050 8.12 5,269
2041 52,438,209 0.472 0.461 666,453 12.71 429,439 8.19 4,787
2042 52,674,885 0.450 0.440 661,972 12.57 434,714 8.25 4,293
2043 52,901,237 0.429 0.418 657,296 12.42 439,929 8.32 3,788
2044 53,117,045 0.407 0.396 652,388 12.28 445,199 8.38 3,274
2045 53,322,058 0.385 0.374 647,259 12.14 450,447 8.45 2,750
2046 53,516,240 0.364 0.353 642,587 12.01 456,003 8.52 2,217
2047 53,699,571 0.342 0.331 637,684 11.88 461,499 8.59 1,676
2048 53,871,794 0.320 0.309 632,486 11.74 467,026 8.67 1,126
2049 54,032,563 0.298 0.287 626,997 11.60 472,612 8.75 567
2050 54,181,518 0.275 0.264 621,198 11.47 478,238 8.83 0
2051 54,318,483 0.252 0.241 615,145 11.32 484,174 8.91 0
2052 54,443,365 0.230 0.218 608,911 11.18 490,119 9.00 0
2053 54,555,976 0.207 0.195 602,517 11.04 496,086 9.09 0
2054 54,656,090 0.183 0.172 595,982 10.90 502,186 9.19 0
2055 54,743,466 0.160 0.148 589,313 10.76 508,356 9.29 0
2056 54,817,784 0.136 0.123 582,544 10.63 514,867 9.39 0
2057 54,878,783 0.111 0.099 575,707 10.49 521,386 9.50 0
2058 54,926,376 0.087 0.074 568,827 10.36 527,963 9.61 0
2059 54,960,476 0.062 0.050 561,913 10.22 534,577 9.73 0
2060 54,981,070 0.037 0.025 554,968 10.09 541,117 9.84 0
2061 54,988,393 0.013 0.001 548,671 9.98 547,876 9.96 0
2062 54,982,713 -0.010 -0.022 542,353 9.86 554,507 10.09 0
2063 54,964,122 -0.034 -0.046 536,014 9.75 561,043 10.21 0
2064 54,932,666 -0.057 -0.069 529,652 9.64 567,534 10.33 0
2065 54,888,421 -0.081 -0.092 523,265 9.53 573,872 10.46 0
2066 54,831,395 -0.104 -0.116 516,849 9.43 580,293 10.58 0
2067 54,761,692 -0.127 -0.139 510,401 9.32 586,363 10.71 0
2068 54,679,626 -0.150 -0.161 503,921 9.22 592,090 10.83 0
2069 54,585,472 -0.172 -0.183 497,403 9.11 597,543 10.95 0
2070 54,479,478 -0.194 -0.205 490,845 9.01 602,694 11.06 0
2071 54,361,723 -0.216 -0.227 484,240 8.91 607,903 11.18 0
2072 54,232,300 -0.238 -0.249 477,587 8.81 612,769 11.30 0
2073 54,091,468 -0.260 -0.271 470,883 8.71 617,365 11.41 0
2074 53,939,438 -0.281 -0.292 464,128 8.60 621,707 11.53 0
2075 53,776,438 -0.303 -0.313 457,324 8.50 625,745 11.64 0
2076 53,602,875 -0.323 -0.333 451,079 8.42 629,783 11.75 0
2077 53,419,206 -0.343 -0.353 444,789 8.33 633,424 11.86 0
2078 53,225,723 -0.363 -0.373 438,459 8.24 636,791 11.96 0
2079 53,022,647 -0.382 -0.392 432,094 8.15 639,913 12.07 0
2080 52,810,125 -0.402 -0.411 425,699 8.06 642,924 12.17 0
2081 52,588,111 -0.421 -0.431 419,281 7.97 646,085 12.29 0
2082 52,356,633 -0.441 -0.451 412,845 7.89 648,997 12.40 0
2083 52,115,955 -0.461 -0.471 406,399 7.80 651,605 12.50 0
2084 51,866,322 -0.480 -0.490 399,948 7.71 654,009 12.61 0
2085 51,607,925 -0.499 -0.509 393,498 7.62 656,230 12.72 0
2086 51,340,858 -0.519 -0.529 387,052 7.54 658,454 12.83 0
2087 51,065,301 -0.538 -0.548 380,617 7.45 660,331 12.93 0
2088 50,781,600 -0.557 -0.567 374,196 7.37 661,885 13.03 0
2089 50,490,042 -0.576 -0.585 367,795 7.28 663,222 13.14 0
2090 50,190,826 -0.594 -0.604 361,418 7.20 664,422 13.24 0
2091 49,884,004 -0.613 -0.623 355,072 7.12 665,711 13.35 0
2092 49,569,674 -0.632 -0.642 348,765 7.04 666,785 13.45 0
2093 49,248,099 -0.651 -0.660 342,502 6.95 667,632 13.56 0
2094 48,919,456 -0.670 -0.679 336,286 6.87 668,441 13.66 0
2095 48,583,872 -0.688 -0.698 330,117 6.79 669,131 13.77 0
2096 48,241,400 -0.707 -0.717 323,999 6.72 669,931 13.89 0
2097 47,892,107 -0.727 -0.736 317,932 6.64 670,586 14.00 0
2098 47,536,154 -0.746 -0.756 311,918 6.56 671,170 14.12 0
2099 47,173,673 -0.765 -0.775 305,957 6.49 671,668 14.24 0
2100 46,804,827 -0.785 -0.795 300,048 6.41 672,029 14.36 0
FECUNDIDAD

dar year data

Net international Net internal Total net

Rate Migrants Rate Migrants Rate
0.36 0 0.00 14,650 0.36
0.35 0 0.00 14,492 0.35
0.34 0 0.00 14,321 0.34
0.33 0 0.00 14,136 0.33
0.33 0 0.00 13,946 0.33
0.32 0 0.00 13,749 0.32
0.31 0 0.00 13,546 0.31
0.30 0 0.00 13,329 0.30
0.29 0 0.00 13,098 0.29
0.29 0 0.00 12,859 0.29
0.28 0 0.00 12,608 0.28
0.27 0 0.00 12,348 0.27
0.26 0 0.00 12,071 0.26
0.25 0 0.00 11,782 0.25
0.24 0 0.00 11,485 0.24
0.24 0 0.00 11,177 0.24
0.23 0 0.00 10,857 0.23
0.22 0 0.00 10,524 0.22
0.21 0 0.00 10,181 0.21
0.20 0 0.00 9,831 0.20
0.19 0 0.00 9,471 0.19
0.18 0 0.00 9,103 0.18
0.17 0 0.00 8,722 0.17
0.17 0 0.00 8,328 0.17
0.16 0 0.00 7,925 0.16
0.15 0 0.00 7,511 0.15
0.14 0 0.00 7,086 0.14
0.13 0 0.00 6,649 0.13
0.12 0 0.00 6,200 0.12
0.11 0 0.00 5,740 0.11
0.10 0 0.00 5,269 0.10
0.09 0 0.00 4,787 0.09
0.08 0 0.00 4,293 0.08
0.07 0 0.00 3,788 0.07
0.06 0 0.00 3,274 0.06
0.05 0 0.00 2,750 0.05
0.04 0 0.00 2,217 0.04
0.03 0 0.00 1,676 0.03
0.02 0 0.00 1,126 0.02
0.01 0 0.00 567 0.01
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00