Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Final Report
August 2019
© 2019
IMR Report i
© Frost & Sullivan 2019
Frost & Sullivan (S) Pte Ltd
Singapore 189702
www.frost.com
Date:
______________________
Keith Lee
Director, Business & Financial Services
IMR Report ii
© Frost & Sullivan 2019
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS .................................................................................................................... III
1 MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS FOR THAILAND AND CLMV........................................................... 1
1.1 MACROECONOMICS OVERVIEW FOR THAILAND ................................................................ 1
1.1.1 GDP and population ...................................................................................... 1
1.1.2 Social economic trends ................................................................................. 2
1.1.3 Political and business environment ............................................................... 3
1.1.4 Prospects and outlook for Thailand ............................................................... 4
1.2 MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW OF CLMV ........................................................................ 4
1.2.1 GDP and population ...................................................................................... 4
1.2.2 Social economic trends ................................................................................. 9
1.2.3 Political and business environment ............................................................. 12
1.2.4 Prospects and outlook ................................................................................. 14
2 ANALYSIS OF THE SNACKS AND RTD DRINKS INDUSTRY IN THAILAND ...................................... 15
2.1 INDUSTRY DEFINITION AND SEGMENTATION ................................................................... 15
2.2 INDUSTRY DYNAMICS ................................................................................................... 16
2.3 INDUSTRY SIZE ............................................................................................................ 21
2.3.1 Snacks ......................................................................................................... 21
2.3.2 RTD drinks ................................................................................................... 23
2.4 SUPPLY CONDITIONS ................................................................................................... 25
2.4.1 Manufacturing trends ................................................................................... 25
2.4.2 Distribution channels ................................................................................... 27
2.5 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE ........................................................................................... 31
2.5.1 Competitive trends ....................................................................................... 31
2.5.2 Profile of key players ................................................................................... 34
2.5.3 Pricing analysis ............................................................................................ 35
2.5.4 Market share ................................................................................................ 37
2.6 REGULATORY TRENDS ................................................................................................. 45
2.7 INDUSTRY OUTLOOK & PROSPECTS ............................................................................. 46
3 OVERVIEW OF THE SNACKS AND RTD DRINKS INDUSTRY IN CLMV ......................................... 47
3.1 INDUSTRY SEGMENTATION ........................................................................................... 47
3.2 INDUSTRY DYNAMICS ................................................................................................... 47
3.3 INDUSTRY SIZE ............................................................................................................ 50
3.3.1 Snacks ......................................................................................................... 50
3.3.2 RTD drinks ................................................................................................... 51
3.4 SUPPLY CONDITIONS ................................................................................................... 52
3.4.1 Manufacturing trends ................................................................................... 52
3.4.2 Distribution channels ................................................................................... 53
3.5 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE ........................................................................................... 55
3.5.1 Snacks ......................................................................................................... 56
3.5.2 RTD drinks ................................................................................................... 57
3.6 INDUSTRY OUTLOOK & PROSPECTS ............................................................................. 58
4 PROSPECTS AND OUTLOOK FOR SRINANAPORN MARKETING PCL (SNNP) .............................. 59
13,000
18,000
17,168
16,316
15,452
11,000 (1.0%)
14,555
13,743
13,230
12,915
9,000
(3.0%)
7,000
5,000 (5.0%)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Source: IMF Economic Outlook Database (April 2019), Frost & Sullivan
1
Defined as country with Gross National Income per capita of between USD4,125 and USD12,736.
2
Service-related sectors includes wholesale and retail trade (including hotels and restaurants), transport, and
government, financial, professional, and personal services such as education, health care, and real estate services.
Also included are imputed bank service charges and import duties
450 70
Population (million)
400
350 291 303
265 277
300 241 253
216 228
250 193 197 204
68
200
150
100
50 66.8 67.0 67.2 67.5 67.7 67.8 67.9 68.0 68.1 68.2 68.2
0 66
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Population (million) GDP per capita current prices (THB thousand )
Source: IMF Economic Outlook Database (April 2019), Frost & Sullivan
4.3%
4.0% 3.4%
(%)
3.0%
2.1% 1.9%
1.8%
2.0% 1.3%
0.7% 0.8%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
Cambodia Lao PDR Myanmar Thailand Singapore Vietnam Philippines Malaysia Indonesia
3
Total population between the ages 15 and 64 is the number of people who are economically active.
4
Unemployment refers to the share of the labor force that is without work but available for and seeking employment.
115,000 3.5%
Consumption per capita
111,426.4
3.0%
Households FInal
105,000
101,061.6 1.5%
100,000 1.0%
0.5%
95,000 0.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Household Final Consumption per capita in current prices (THB)
Growth of Household Final Consumption per capita in constant prices (%)
2% 1.6%
1.3%
2% 1.1% 1.0%
1% 0.7%
1% 0.2%
0%
-1% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
-1%
-0.9%
-2%
5
Bangkok Post, Inflation reached 4-year high in 2018, last updated January 3, 2019, retrieved from
https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/news/1604542/inflation-reached-4-year-high-in-2018
6
TransparencyInternational
7
Refer to Next-Generation Automotive, Intelligent Electronics, Advance Agriculture and Biotechnology, Food
Processing, High Wealth and Medical Tourism, Digital, Robotics, Aviation and Logistics, Comprehensive Healthcare,
Biofuel and Biochemical
8
ADB
9
Open Development Cambodia, Construction, last updated February 27, 2019, retrieved from
https://opendevelopmentcambodia.net/topics/construction/
10
World Bank “East Asia Pacific Economic Update”, April 2018
11
Khmer Times, Cambodia 3rd in ASEAN for tourist growth, last updated January 22, 2019, retrieved from
https://www.khmertimeskh.com/570963/cambodia-3rd-in-asean-for-tourist-growth/
12
Lao Economic Monitor: Macroeconomic Stability amidst Uncertainty, January 2019
13
World Bank, Myanmar Economic Monitor December 2018
600
500
GDP (USD Billions)
400
300
200
100
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Cambodia 15.2 16.7 18.1 20.0 22.2 24.5 27.0 29.3 31.8 34.4 37.2
Laos 12.0 13.3 14.4 15.9 17.1 18.4 20.2 22.0 24.0 26.1 28.4
Myanmar 60.1 65.6 59.7 63.2 66.7 68.6 65.7 71.4 78.1 85.9 94.2
Vietnam 170.4 185.8 191.3 201.3 220.4 241.3 260.3 282.4 306.0 332.3 361.2
-
Lao P.D.R. Myanmar Cambodia Vietnam ASEAN-5 Korea Japan
14
Vietnam General Statistics Office, 2018 estimates
4,000
GDP Per Capita (USD)
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Cambodia 1,009 1,091 1,163 1,270 1,388 1,509 1,635 1,750 1,871 1,997 2,127
Laos 1,900 2,075 2,212 2,417 2,555 2,720 2,932 3,157 3,390 3,638 3,903
Myanmar 1,180 1,275 1,151 1,210 1,267 1,298 1,239 1,338 1,454 1,588 1,733
Vietnam 1,899 2,047 2,086 2,172 2,353 2,551 2,726 2,929 3,145 3,384 3,646
Source: IMF; Frost & Sullivan
Chart 1-9: GDP per Capita at Current Prices in CLMV, ASEAN-5, Japan and Korea (USD),
2018
45,000
39,305.8
GDP per Capita at Current
40,000
35,000 31,345.6
Prices (USD)
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000 5,363.3
5,000 1,297.7 1,508.8 2,551.1 2,720.3
0
Myanmar Cambodia Vietnam Laos ASEAN-5 Korea Japan
-25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
Share of Population, %
Source: UN DESA/ Population Division; Frost & Sullivan
Chart 1-13: Population pyramid, Vietnam, 2013-2023F
2013 2023F
-25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
Share of Population, %
Source: UN DESA/ Population Division; Frost & Sullivan
15
World Bank data for total labour force, 2017
Proportion of Population
68.3% 80%
Economically Active
Population (million)
80.0
69.8%
67.4%
60.0 64.3% 63.1%
(%)
60%
40.0
20.0
10.3 4.3 36.0 66.7
0.0 40%
Cambodia Laos Myanmar Vietnam
Chart 1-15: Households Final Expenditure Per Capita CLMV (USD), 2013 to 2018
2,000
1,500
1,000
USD
500
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAGR
Cambodia 794 846 892 966 1,016 1,078 6.3%
Laos 1,404 1,506 1,579 1,577 1,645 1,738 4.4%
Myanmar 566 586 549 618 646 667 3.3%
Vietnam 1,249 1,351 1,432 1,518 1,626 1,749 7.0%
16
Households final consumption expenditure is the market value of all goods and services, including durable products
(such as cars, washing machines, and home computers), purchased by households. It excludes purchases of dwellings
but includes imputed rent for owner-occupied dwellings. It also includes payments and fees to governments to obtain
permits and licenses, World Bank Data
CAGR 2013-2018
14,722.9 4.0%
15,000
USD
2.0%
10,000
0.0%
5,000 2,848.6 -2.0%
1,078.2 1,738.0 1,749.4
666.8
0 -4.0%
Myanmar Cambodia Laos Vietnam ASEAN-5 Korea Japan
Chart 1-17: Disposable Income Per Capita CLMV (USD), 2013 to 2018
2,000
1,500
1,000
USD
500
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAGR
Cambodia 824 879 928 1,005 1,082 1,155 7.0%
Laos 1,461 1,562 1,640 1,645 1,727 1,813 4.4%
Myanmar 732 789 747 780 790 850 3.0%
Vietnam 1,291 1,396 1,482 1,566 1,682 1,809 7.0%
16,741.4
5.0%
USD
15,000 4.0%
3.0%
10,000 2.0%
1.0%
5,000 3,146.4 0.0%
849.7 1,154.9 1,809.2 1,812.9
-1.0%
0 -2.0%
Myanmar Cambodia Vietnam Laos ASEAN-5 Korea Japan
10%
Inflation (%)
5%
0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Cambodia 3.0% 3.9% 1.2% 3.0% 2.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Laos 6.4% 4.1% 1.3% 1.8% 0.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%
Myanmar 5.7% 5.1% 10.0% 6.8% 4.0% 3.5% 3.9% 6.7% 6.2% 6.1% 6.1%
Vietnam 6.6% 4.1% 0.6% 2.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7%
Source: IMF; World Bank; Frost & Sullivan
17
World Bank, Cambodia: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; Staff Statement; and Statement by
the Executive Director for Cambodia, December 2018
18
IMF : Inflation rate, average consumer prices, Cambodia
19
World Bank, Lao DR Economic Monitor: Macroeconomic Stability amidst Uncertainty, January 2019
20
AEC News Today : Tight Grip & Diversification Needed for Laos Economy in Uncertain Times
21
IMF: Inflation rate, average consumer prices, Lao
22
World Bank: “Myanmar Economic Monitor, October 2017”
23
ADB: “Asian Development Outlook 2018 Update”
24
State Bank of Vietnam
25
B2B Cambodia
26
ANZ Business: Laos
27
HKTDC: Myanmar market profile
28
Doing Business Report 2018 by the World Bank
29
HKTDC: Vietnam market profile
30
ADB
31
IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April2019
32
IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April2019
33
IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April2019
34
The World Bank, “Vietnam’s Development Goals in the coming decades and beyond”
35
IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April2019
Snacks
Biscuits,
Seafood Potato Nuts & Confec-
Wafers, Popcorn Dry Fruits
Snacks Chips Beans tioneries
Crackers
Note: the categories highlighted are the categories of focus for SNNP
Source: Frost & Sullivan
RTD drinks:The RTD drinks industry refers to packaged beverages that are sold in a prepared
form and are ready for consumption. It comprises of two main categories, namely alcoholic and
non-alcoholic drinks. Non-alcoholic drinks include categories such asRTD jelly, Asian specialty
drinks, fruit juice, other functional drinks andRTD coffee or tea, among others.
With regards to RTD drinks sold by SNNP in Thailand, the main categories of focus are that of
jelly products (e.g. drinks, syrup) and Asian specialty drinks.
- RTD Jelly:Refers to gelatinous drinks that contain ingredients which aremade from
carrageenan powder or gelatine.The RTD jelly generally has athicker texture than
normal drinks and can be in different flavours, including fruits.
- Asian specialty drinks:Refers to drinks with ingredients such asgrass jelly
andcoconut and other plants water. It also includes drinks with sugar cane, longan,
pandanus leaf juice,chia seeds or basil seeds, and similar drinks with a juice content
below 100% but above 25%.Some Asian specialty drinks may include Nata de Coco.
36
Extruded snacks are prepared using extrusion method, a process which combines several units of operations
including mixing, cooking, kneading, shearing shaping and forming.
RTD
Drinks
Non-
Alcoholic
alcoholic
Other Energy
Asian RTD
RTD Func- & Soft Bottled
Specialty Juices Coffee/ Milk
Jelly tional Sports Drinks Water
Drinks Tea
Drinks Drinks
Note: the categories highlighted are the categories of focus for SNNP
Source: Frost & Sullivan
(in thousand)
4,000
persons
2,000
1,000
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 Q3 2016
Note: Estimation based on occupation categories of legislators, senior officials, managers, professionals,
technicians, and clerks across all industries
Source: National Statistical Office, Thailand
Increasingconsumption of ready food & beverage
Consumers in Thailand are increasingly adopting a modern urban lifestyle that encourages a
higher expenditure. Major urban centers such as Bangkok continue to be the hub of urban
consumption. As per the World Bank, 10 million people out of the total population of 68 million
live in Bangkok. The population in main urban areas is more exposed to product launches
through advertisements on billboard, media broadcast or digital advertising. Besides, on top of
37
National Statistical Office, Thailand
38
Willis Towers Watson: “2017 General Industry Total Rewards Survey”
39
World Bank
Sales
Sales per capita 4,000
3,253 3,380
2,000
100.0 206.2 213.5 221.8 230.6
171.8 175.8 182.9 189.3 189.6 195.0 199.9
1,000
0.0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Note:“non-alcoholic drinks” includes water, juices, RTD coffee and tea, energy drinks, among others
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Shrinking household size supporting the demand for smaller packages
Household size in Thailand has continued to shrink. During the period 1990-2010, the
household size in Thailand has dropped from 4.4 to 3.1 persons. 40The emergence of a larger
number of husband-wife only family, and of single-person family, has been prominent. The
husband-wife only family grew three-times during the period, while the classic nuclear family
with parents and child recorded a decline by half. Single-person household during the same
time doubled.41 The trend has been observed not only in urban areas but also in rural regions.
Smaller households are driving the demand forsmaller quantity packages across packaged
food. They also similarly emphasize more on the convenience factor, which include easy-to-
serve and portion-controlled products, as well as products that require less time for cleaning-up
after their consumption.This has led, among others, to the growing demand for ready-to-eat
snacks and meals, juices and beverages.
40
UNFPA, The State of Thailand’s Population 2015: Features of Thai Families in the Era of Low Fertility and Longevity,
2016
41
UNFPA, The State of Thailand’s Population 2015: Features of Thai Families in the Era of Low Fertility and Longevity,
2016
Note: SEA data is derived by Frost & Sullivan with the exclusion of high-income nations. As of 2017,
Singapore has already achieved 100% urbanisation
Source: World Bank for 2017 data; United Nations (“UN”), Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
Population Division (2018). World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision Database for 2020 and
2050 data
Thai consumers are increasingly willing to spend more for premium products. The sales value
of premium products is growing faster than total sales for categories, such as personal care,
household, impulse43and beverage products44. Premiumisation is becoming a key driver for the
growth in sales value. The addition of premium lines is contributing to nearly half the growth
ofsales value for selected product categories 45, 1.4% out of total 3.1% growth for personal care
products, 1.4% out of total 3.5% growth for household products, and 0.8% out of total 5.2%
growth for impulse products, in 2018 compared to 2017. Accordingly, Fast-Moving Consumer
Goods (FMCG) companies are leveraging on this growth opportunity by introducing more
premium products, with the share estimated to have reached approximately 31% of total FMCG
products.
Growing demand for healthier products
Thailand has been witnessing a chronic rise of obese individuals, particularly among the
youngsters. A Thai Public Health Ministry report in 2016 indicated an increase in the obesity
rate by 36% in just 5-years. Among adults, Thailand stands second in Southeast Asia for
42
World Bank, Labour Force, Female (% of Total Labour Force), last updated September 2018, retrieved from
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.TLF.TOTL.FE.ZS?locations=TH&view=chart
43
Impulse includes products such as chocolate biscuits, confectionery, snack foods, among others
44
Marketingoops, April 2018, https://www.marketingoops.com/news/biz-news/fmcg/
45
The Momentum: March 2019, https://themomentum.co/whats-next-in-2019-nielsen/ . On top of the addition of
premium lines, other factors such as inflation and sales volume growth are contributing to the total growth of sales
value
14.1 14.4
15
1.0
10
0.5 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.07 1.09 1.11 1.13 1.15
0.94 0.96 0.99
5
0.0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Apart from meat and cereal bars, seafood snacks are also increasing in demand.48&49 With the
rapid economic development inThailand and overall in the ASEAN region (which is contributing
to the increase in disposable income) the preferences of consumers are changing towards a
higherintake of protein food (including red meat, white meat and seafood). In particular, the
consumption of seafood has been increasing due to public awareness on the benefits of
consuming seafood as a main source of protein intake as compared to red meat50.
Additionally, the packaged food & beverage products are often claimed to be fortified with
additional vitamins and minerals, making them a preferred choice for daily nutrient intake.
Some products also come with functionalingredients such as collagen, which attracts the
groups of consumers who areconcerned about beauty and personal care.
46
Thailand Overweight Prevalence Second In Southeast Asia, Thailand Business News, last updated on Mar 23, 2018,
retrieved from https://www.thailand-business-news.com/asean/49065-thailand-ranks-second-asean-prevalence-
obesity-mcot-net.html
47
Thailand: Food Industry, Board of Investment, Thailand
48
https://www.marketresearch.com/GlobalData-v3648/Meat-Snacks-Savory-Thailand-Outlook-12090496/
49
Thailand Food Processing Ingredients, 2018, USDA FAS GAIN report
50
Frost & Sullivan analysis
2.3.1 Snacks
Thailand’s snacks market is among the largest and most diverse snack markets in the region,
with a large number of domestic and international brands actively present in the segment. The
segment has recorded a strong growth with key driving factors such as aggressive advertising
and marketing, along with steady increase in demand for healthy snacks. Overall, the snacks
market in Thailand is expected to grow faster in the period from 2018 to 2023 compared to the
growth achieved in the period from 2013 to 2018. This is due to the expected faster GDP and
GDP per capita growth, and the expected recovery of retail sales in the country as the
economic conditions improve.
Seafood snacks
The market for seafood snacks grew in the period 2013-2018, with the growth being driven by
sales in convenience stores. Due to its domestic popularity, seafood snacks may be consumed
across all demographic groups, with children, teenager and people of working age, in particular,
driving the market growth.In the first three months of 2019, the market for seafood snacks grew
by 8.4% compared to the same period in 2018, reaching sales for THB1,149 million, compared
to THB1,060 million in the first three months of 2018; the growth was largely driven by the
higher sales of fish snacks and by the introduction and fast sale growth of new cuttlefish snacks.
51
Thailand Economic Monitor- June 2016 Aging Society and Economy, World Bank
7
4,217 4,252 5,000
6 3,881 3,982 4,066
5 4,000
4 7.7 8.2 3,000
6.5 6.9 7.3
3 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.8 6.2
5.4 2,000
2
1 1,000
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
1.5 1,500
0.0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
28,189
100
20,826 21,71922,857 25,000
19,959
80
20,000
60 112.0
96.9 101.6 106.8 15,000
40 74.2 76.9 79.6 82.7 87.3 88.2 91.9 10,000
20 5,000
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
14,561
Retail Sales Value
13,17713,04713,647 16,000
(in THB million)
12,245
(in Kg million)
50
11,10911,45311,762 14,000
40 12,000
10,000
30 56.6 8,000
51.3 54.1
20 39.3 40.2 41.7 44.8 44.2 46.0 49.0 6,000
38.3
4,000
10
2,000
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
3,500
50 2,557 2,731 2,928
2,410 3,000
2,205 2,217 2,052
40 1,934 2,021 2,500
30 2,000
43.9 43.7 45.5 43.3 44.0 45.2 46.7 47.9 49.3 1,500
20 42.4 38.7 1,000
10 500
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
3,000 472
(in THB million)
461
451
2,500 436
- 424
- 414
2,000 - - 94
917 1,756 1,948
627 748 1,024 1,417 1,584
1,500 948 1,142 1,269
1,000
1,307 1,273 1,288 1,193
500 1,010 855 865 878 893 899 904
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Note: the value for each type includes other types of jelly products which are not categorised as cup,
pouch or bottle.
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
100 4,992
4,377
4,062 4,211 5,000
80 3,715 3,881
4,000
60
97 102 3,000
86 90 93
40 74 77 80 82
68 70 2,000
20 1,000
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
52
GMP (Good Manufacturing Practice); GHP (Good Hygiene Practice), HACCP (Hazard Analysis and Critical Control
Points)
53
Based on average exchange rate of USD1=THB35.4593 in the year 2016
54
Thailand Food Processing Indusrty, 2014, SEA-Lac Trade Center
55
UN Comtrade Database
56
Thailand Food Industry, Board of Investment Thailand, 2018
57
Opportunities in Thailand’s Manufacturing Sector, Business Sweden in Thailand, June 2015
58
The ASEAN Post: Thailand struggles with fisheries management, February 2019
59
https://asia.nikkei.com/Life-Arts/Life/Thai-businesses-seek-a-more-sustainable-path2
60
https://www.bangkokpost.com/news/special-reports/1181661/solving-a-problem-organically
61
https://www.foodnavigator-asia.com/Article/2018/08/15/Thai-food-trends-Plant-based-diets-and-personalisation-on-
the-rise-as-health-awareness-increases
62
https://www.foodnavigator-asia.com/Article/2018/07/05/CP-Foods-strikes-deal-for-Thailand-s-biggest-solar-rooftop-
project-in-sustainable-energy-drive
2,000
1,174 1,236
1,500 853 890 930 987 1,049 1,111
767 795 833
1,000
500 998 1,019 1,031 1,043 1,063 1,066 1,087 1,113 1,141 1,173 1,206
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Traditional Trade Modern Trade TOTAL
63
https://www.foxnews.com/world/thailand-japan-share-mutual-affection-that-is-rare-in-asia
64
Based on average exchange rate of USD1=THB34.1008 in the year 2017
65
Retail Foods, Bangkok GAIN report 2017
66
Thailand Food Processing Ingredients, Bangkok GAIN report 2018
100%
90%
80% 43.5% 43.8% 44.7% 45.0% 45.6% 46.6%
Retail Sales
Modern
(% of total)
70%
60% trade
50%
40% Traditional
30% 56.5% 56.2% 55.3% 55.0% 54.4% 53.4% trade
20%
10%
0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E
67
Retail Foods, Bangkok GAIN report 2017
68
https://www.krungsri.com/bank/getmedia/7a996c83-a62d-4347-901a-
10c7c7ce1936/IO_Modern_Trade_180905_EN_EX.aspx
69
Thailand’s consumer shift towards modern retail options, Oxford University Group 2
70
Retail Foods, Bankok GAIN report 2017
71
Modern Trade, Thailand Industry Outlook 2018-20 Krungsri Research
72
SME.go.th, https://sme.go.th/upload/mod_download/download-20190312092331.pdf
73
Maximising Traditions- The shop. Shopper. Shopkeeper, Neilsen, October 2015
74
The Power of Traditional Trade Grocery Stores in Battle for Market Share, Neilsen, October 15, 2015, retrieved from
traditional foods and snacks, confectionaries, beverages
75
Vending Machine in Thailand, Euromonitor International, Jan 2019, retrieved using link
https://www.euromonitor.com/vending-in-thailand/report
76
Retail Foods, Bangkok GAIN report 2017
77
Based on average exchange rate of USD1=THB34.1008 in the year 2017
78
Based on estimated exchange rate of USD1=THB31.8550 in the year 2019
79
https://www.foodnavigator-asia.com/Article/2018/08/15/Thai-food-trends-Plant-based-diets-and-personalisation-on-
the-rise-as-health-awareness-increases
80
https://www.foodnavigator-asia.com/Article/2018/06/25/10-global-food-and-beverage-trends-transforming-the-Thai-
market
81
https://www.retailnews.asia/packaged-food-thailand-impulse-health-drive-premium-segments/
82
https://coconuts.co/bangkok/food-drink/robusta-cola-coke-to-launch-coffee-cola-hybrid-in-thailand/
83
MAC- Middle and affluent class, generally with monthly income of THS15,000 - THB 50,000
84
The Nation: Growing obesity: A huge economic burden on Thailand, November 2017
85
http://www.mintel.com/press-centre/social-and-lifestyle/thai-consumers-are-on-the-road-to-self-betterment-79-of-thais-
would-like-to-have-a-healthier-diet-in-2018
86
https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2018/02/07/avoid-seafood-from-thailand.aspx
87
https://www.retailnews.asia/packaged-food-thailand-impulse-health-drive-premium-segments/
88
http://www.mintel.com/press-centre/social-and-lifestyle/thai-consumers-are-on-the-road-to-self-betterment-79-of-thais-
would-like-to-have-a-healthier-diet-in-2018
Chart 2-17: Market share of Seafood snacks Chart 2-18: Market share of Seafood snacks
in Thailand by domestic retail sales in Thailand by domestic retail sales value,
volume, 2018 2018
Others, Others,
17.1% 19.3%
Bento,
25.9% Bento,
31.2% Taro
Taro
Original,
Original,
49.5%
57.1%
4,625
5,000
4,252
4,217
4,500
4,000
Value (in THB million)
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,228
1,219
1,169
1,168
1,149
1,089
1,086
1,076
1,068
1,060
1,059
1,054
1,033
1,500
1,005
1,000
500
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
Value (in THB million)
100.0%
18.9%
19.0%
19.0%
19.3%
19.3%
19.3%
19.4%
19.8%
19.9%
20.0%
20.1%
20.9%
21.0%
21.3%
21.6%
21.9%
23.6%
90.0%
80.0%
Market Share(%)
70.0%
29.1%
30.2%
30.9%
30.8%
31.2%
30.6%
32.5%
33.8%
32.1%
34.3%
33.9%
35.6%
33.4%
35.6%
37.6%
33.1%
38.6%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
51.6%
50.8%
50.2%
49.7%
49.5%
49.5%
48.5%
47.1%
46.9%
46.0%
45.9%
44.9%
44.3%
43.4%
42.5%
41.4%
40.1%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
Chart 2-21: Market share of Cuttlefish Chart 2-22: Market share of Cuttlefish
snacks in Thailand by domestic retail sales snacks in Thailand by domestic retail sales
volume, 2018 value, 2018
Tao Tao
Bento, Tong, Tong,
82.2% 5.8% Bento, 10.9%
75.2%
Squidy,
Squidy,
4.6%
2.1%
Others,
Others, 9.4%
10.0%
100.0%
7.9%
8.1%
8.3%
8.5%
10.1%
8.7%
10.4%
10.5%
9.1%
9.4%
9.4%
9.5%
9.6%
11.1%
9.8%
12.5%
13.8%
90.0% 5.7% 5.2% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7%
5.7% 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 4.1% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 4.6%
4.9%
10.9%
8.5%
10.4%
10.9%
9.7%
10.5%
4.0%
10.9%
10.0%
10.9%
10.3%
9.3%
11.3%
9.8%
11.2%
9.5%
8.2%
10.3%
80.0%
Market Share(%)
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
77.9%
77.0%
76.0%
76.0%
75.8%
75.7%
75.6%
75.5%
75.4%
75.2%
75.2%
74.6%
74.4%
74.3%
40.0%
73.9%
73.6%
71.9%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
Bento Tao Tong Squidy Others
Chart 2-24: Market share of Extruded and Chart 2-25: Market share of Extruded and
Stick Crackers in Thailand by domestic Stick Crackers in Thailand by domestic
retail sales volume, 2018 retail sales value, 2018
Cornae, Cornae,
Glico
7.3% 8.8% Glico
Pocky,
Pocky,
6.6%
8.1%
Jaxx, Jaxx,
Others, 5.0% Others,
65.8% 64.6% 5.6%
Snack
Jack, Snack
4.8% Jack,
Paprika, 4.4%
4.0% Paprika,
Lotus, Lotus, 4.2%
6.6% 4.3%
Total: 44.2 Kg million Total: THB13,047million
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
Chart 2-26: Market Share evolution of keyExtruded and Stick Crackersbrandsin Thailand by
value, Q12016 – Q22019
45.0%
65.4%
40.0%
5.0% 3.6% 66.6%
66.9%
67.2%
67.2%
67.5%
68.0%
68.1%
4.4% 4.6% 3.9% 68.0%
68.9%
68.9%
69.1%
69.4%
69.4%
69.6%
69.6%
69.7%
4.9% 4.0%
35.0%
4.3% 4.1%
4.6% 4.0%
Market Share(%)
30.0%
4.6%
4.4%
5.0%
4.7%
25.0%
5.3%
5.5%
5.1%
5.5%
5.2%
5.4%
5.4%
5.5%
5.6%
20.0%
5.6%
5.7%
5.5%
5.7%
5.5%
5.7%
5.6%
5.6%
9.1%
15.0%
8.4%
8.5%
10.1%
8.7%
7.9%
9.7%
9.3%
8.4%
7.7%
8.0%
8.1%
8.0%
7.4%
7.7%
7.3%
7.0%
10.0%
10.8%
10.1%
9.7%
9.5%
9.5%
9.1%
9.1%
8.9%
8.9%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.7%
8.6%
8.5%
5.0%
0.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
Cornae Glico Pocky Jaxx Snack Jack Paprika Lotus Others
Chart 2-27: Market share of RTD Jelly in Chart 2-28: Market share of RTD Jelly in
Thailand by domestic retail sales volume, Thailand by domestic retail sales value,
2018 2018
Others, Others,
16.1% 18.0%
Pipo,
SNNP, 28.7%
Pipo,
33.5% 50.5%
SNNP,
53.3%
100.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.0%
10.6%
10.7%
10.7%
9.4%
9.5%
11.5%
12.1%
12.2%
18.0%
18.2%
19.2%
21.4%
22.5%
24.1%
90.0%
23.2%
24.9%
24.9%
24.6%
24.8%
23.3%
80.0%
26.3%
26.6%
24.2%
Market Share(%)
32.4%
33.2%
25.5%
28.7%
26.6%
70.0%
22.6%
22.6%
30.2%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
67.8%
66.6%
66.2%
66.1%
66.0%
65.7%
63.5%
63.0%
62.7%
56.3%
56.1%
54.9%
54.7%
54.2%
30.0%
53.3%
53.3%
48.4%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
SNNP Pipo Others
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding. SNNP’s brands include Jele, Coolly Kool, Hero boy, Magic
farm, Daiyamoto
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
100.0%
10.6%
11.0%
11.5%
11.7%
12.0%
12.2%
12.4%
12.7%
12.9%
13.1%
13.3%
13.3%
14.4%
14.8%
15.0%
16.3%
18.2%
90.0%
80.0%
Market Share(%)
70.0%
45.5%
46.7%
47.8%
46.1%
45.0%
45.9%
45.0%
46.4%
42.9%
47.2%
44.5%
50.2%
51.8%
49.7%
49.5%
50.5%
48.0%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
43.0%
42.4%
42.3%
42.1%
41.9%
41.9%
41.7%
41.6%
40.7%
40.5%
39.6%
37.4%
37.4%
36.6%
36.1%
20.0%
33.8%
33.1%
10.0%
0.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
SNNP Pipo Others
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding. SNNP’s brands include Jele, Coolly Kool, Hero boy, Magic
farm (cup), Daiyamoto (cup).
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
100.0%
14.6%
14.8%
17.5%
15.6%
17.1%
21.6%
90.0%
80.0%
Market Share(%)
70.0%
60.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
50.0%
85.4%
85.2%
82.5%
82.1%
81.0%
78.4%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
SNNP Sappe Others
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding. SNNP’s brands include Jele. The calculation of the market
share excludes other types of jelly which are not categorised as cup, bottle or pouch.
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
100.0%
8.3%
8.3%
9.0%
9.6%
18.5%
19.7%
22.1%
22.9%
24.9%
25.7%
90.0%
26.2%
80.0%
Market Share(%)
70.0%
60.0%
56.0%
52.9%
53.7%
59.4%
50.0%
90.3%
89.3%
91.7%
64.5%
90.4%
77.3%
65.9%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
25.5%
22.2%
20.6%
17.6%
10.0%
13.4%
3.0%
1.7%
0.0%
1.4%
7.9%
0.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
SNNP Pipo Others
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding. SNNP’s brands include Coolly Kool. Sales of bottle RTD jelly
recorded starting Q2 2017
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
14.6%
90.0%
Market Share(%)
80.0%
58.1%
58.3%
70.0% 62.6%
60.0%
86.6%
100.0%
100.0%
98.6%
50.0%
85.4%
40.0%
30.0%
41.9%
41.7%
37.4%
20.0%
10.0%
13.4%
1.4%
0.0%
2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018
SNNP Others
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding. The calculation of the market share excludes other types of
jelly which are not categorised as cup, bottle or pouch. SNNP’s brands include Jele (cup and pouch), Coolly
Kool (cup and bottle), Hero boy (cup), Magic farm (cup), Daiyamoto (cup).
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
Asian Specialty Drinks
Chart 2-34: Market share of Asian Specialty Drinks in Thailand by domestic retail sales
value, 2018
SNNP, 13.2%
Others, 86.8%
89
Thailand- Food and Agricultural Import Regulations Standards, November 2018, GAIN Report
90
https://www.who.int/malaysia/news/commentaries/detail/tax-on-sugary-drinks-will-make-children-and-the-budget-healthier
91
https://www.foodnavigator-asia.com/Article/2019/01/29/Juice-boost-Thailand-considers-tax-exemptions-for-drinks-with-
higher-fruit-and-veg-content
12%
10%
above (%)
8%
6%
4%
2%
4.1% 4.4% 5.7% 6.3% 7.2% 11.4% 12.9%
0%
Lao Cambodia Myanmar Malaysia Vietnam Thailand Singapore
92
A closer look at Myanmar’s demographics, The Economist Intelligence Unit, last updated June 03 rd, 2015, retrieved from
http://country.eiu.com/article.aspx?articleid=1983218582&Country=Myanmar&topic=Economy
93
World Population Prospects 2017, United Nations, retrieved from https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/
94
IMF
95
https://www.kantarworldpanel.com/vn/news/Vietnams-retail-market-Future-growth
96
Union of Burma, Retail Foods, 2018 USDA GAIN Report
35
30
(in million)
25
20
15
10
5
0
CAGR CAGR
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F (2013- (2018-
2018) 2023F)
Cambodia 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 3.4% 3.2%
Laos 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.3% 3.2%
Myanmar 15.2 15.4 15.6 15.9 16.2 16.5 16.8 17.1 17.4 17.7 18.0 1.7% 1.8%
Vietnam 29.7 30.6 31.6 32.6 33.6 34.7 35.7 36.7 37.8 38.8 39.9 3.2% 2.9%
Source: UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2018). World Urbanization
Prospects: The 2018 Revision Database; Frost & Sullivan
Similarly to Thailand, with abusy schedule and higher disposable income, there has been a
considerable rise in the demand for convenience-based shopping.Consumers now prefer to shop
from stores which are located near to their workplaces, offer auxiliary services and provide hang-
out places.
Changing lifestyles have also lead to the change in eating habits, where consumers are
demanding a variety of beverages. Social media influence and aspirational factor continue to drive
consumers experimenting new flavours and food products.Facilitated by no religious restrictions,
also the intake of alcoholic drinks became more popular. As some of the food like snacks goes
well with alcoholic drinks, the snacks industry stands to benefit from this drinking culture.
On the other hand, many people do not meet the recommended dietary intake, among other
reasons due to their hectic lifestyle or low income. Packaged food or beverages that are fortified or
enriched, such as juice with added vitamin are helpful in meeting the recommended diets. As an
example, a fish-based wafer snack was introduced in Cambodia to treat severe acute
malnutrition97, drivingthe demand for additionalpackaged food & beverage products.
Food quality and safety issues drivethe demand for packaged/ready-to-eatfood
Communities in CLMV countries, especially those located in rural areas, face food quality and
safety issues. The accessibility to food that is safe and hygienic remains among the
mainchallenges in these countries. According to the Economic Intelligence Unit’s Global Food
Security Index 2018, Vietnam scored 62th among 113 countries, the highest among the CLMV
countries.
Table 3-1: Global Food Security Index Ranking for CLMV Countries
Country Global Competitiveness (2017-2018)
Cambodia 85th
Laos 95th
Myanmar 82th
Vietnam 62th
Source: EIU:Global Food Security Index 2018
97
Niem Chheng, UN fights malnutrition with snack, last updated December 18, 2018, retrieved from
https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national/un-fights-malnutrition-snack
20,000
7,944
10,013
15,000 7,874
7,572
6,848 4,681
10,000 3,081 2,907
2,044
1,059 4,684 4,239
3,779 4,195
5,000 3,330
98
Nhan Dan, Campaign launched to raise awareness on food safety, last updated December 09, 2017, retrieved from
http://en.nhandan.org.vn/society/item/5703402-campaign-launched-to-raise-awareness-on-food-safety.html
99
Ministry of Health Laos, National Food Safety Policy 2009
100
FDA, Myanmar, last updated January 31, 2018, retrieved from http://www.fdamyanmar.gov.mm/?p=154
101
USDA, Cambodia: Update on the draft Food Safety Law, April 1, 2018, retrieved from
https://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Update%20on%20the%20draft%20Food%20Safety%20Law_H
o%20Chi%20Minh%20City_Cambodia_1-4-2018.pdf
3.3.1 Snacks
Table 3-2: Domestic Retail Sales of Snacks in CLMV countries by Value (in USD million),
2013 – 2018 and 2018-2023F
Year Cambodia Laos Myanmar Vietnam Total
2013 120.3 62.0 346.3 1,099.8 1,628.3
2014 133.5 66.8 370.5 1,201.8 1,772.7
2015 143.8 72.4 382.4 1,283.0 1,881.6
2016 156.4 78.6 396.4 1,394.7 2,026.1
2017 168.8 86.5 421.2 1,525.0 2,201.5
2018 183.9 93.5 458.7 1,662.5 2,398.7
2019F 204.3 104.4 482.4 1,822.8 2,614.0
2020F 224.7 116.4 520.4 1,975.0 2,836.5
2021F 248.5 128.5 554.0 2,150.5 3,081.6
2022F 273.0 140.8 585.8 2,335.6 3,335.2
2023F 303.8 155.7 625.8 2,563.6 3,648.9
CAGR (2013 – 2018) 8.9% 8.6% 5.8% 8.6% 8.1%
CAGR (2018 – 2023F) 10.6% 10.7% 6.4% 9.0% 8.8%
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Table 3-3: Domestic Retail Sales per capita of Snacks in selected countries, in USD, 2018
Cambodia Laos Myanmar Vietnam Thailand Korea Japan
USD per capita 11.3 13.8 8.7 17.6 44.3 57.3 132.2
Source: Frost & Sullivan
102
CIA
103
ILO, ASEAN in transformation: Future of jobs at risk of automation, July 2016
104
Radio Free Asia, Laos’ garment industry faces severe labour shortage, January 10, 2019
105
Vietnam Food Safety Regulations, last updated October 2018, retrieved from https://www.vietnam-
briefing.com/news/vietnam-food-safety-regulations.html/
106
Capture the growth of the SEA Frontier markets, Feb 2018, Business Sweden
107
http://www.ukabc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/FMCG-in-Cambodia-Executive-Summary.pdf
108
https://www.foodexport.org/get-started/country-market-profiles/southeast-asia/cambodia-country-profile
109
Vietnam Retail Foods Sector report, 2018 USDA GAIN Report
110
Vietnam’s Retail Market: Future Growth, Kantar World Panel, last updated August 03, 2018 ,retrieved from
https://www.kantarworldpanel.com/vn/news/Vietnams-retail-market-Future-growth
111
https://www.kantarworldpanel.com/vn/news/Vietnams-retail-market-Future-growth
112
Vietnam Retail Foods Sector report, 2018 USDA GAIN Report
3,000
trade stores
2,000
3,272
2,600
1,000 1,748
897 1,054 1,211
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
113
https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/vietnam-growing-food-beverage-sector.html/
114
Nikkei Asian Review, Thai CP takes wholesale store to neighbouring countries, last updated September 26, 2018,
retrieved from https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Companies/Thai-CP-takes-wholesale-store-to-neighboring-countries
115
Vietnam Investment Review, Central Group plans $1.5 billion expansion in Thailand and Vietnam, last updated July 3,
2018, retrieved from https://www.vir.com.vn/central-group-plans-15-billion-expansion-in-thailand-and-vietnam-56891.html