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(MARKOV - AJUSTE) Metodo 2020
(MARKOV - AJUSTE) Metodo 2020
Cuadro resumen
Limite inferior
Limite superior
K C.CO N 𝛼=5% 𝛼=5%
1 -0.01390846 27 -0.42407999 0.34407999
2 0.22591807 26 -0.44318326 0.35622673
3 -0.32852661 25 -0.4650184 0.36978031
4 -0.04768022 24 -0.49029346 0.3850303
5 -0.167827 23 -0.52 0.40235294
6 0.21204994 22 -0.55557657 0.42224323
7 0.03458072 21 -0.59920301 0.44535686
8 0.18935204 20 -0.65436947 0.47255129
𝑋_𝑡=𝑀_𝑡+𝑆_𝑡 . 𝐸_𝑡
𝐸_𝑡=(𝑋_𝑡−𝑀_𝑡)/𝑆_
𝑡
Coeficiente de corelación
𝜌_𝑘=((𝐸_𝑡.𝐸_(𝑡−𝑘) ) ̅−
(𝐸_𝑡 ) ̅∗(𝐸_(𝑡−𝑘)
) ̅)/(𝑆_𝐸𝑡∗𝑆_(𝐸𝑡 −𝑘) )
0.117124508
-0.582482033 0.44 -0.099699278 -0.037475014
-0.346040691 0.34 -1.556370655 1.55766838 0.44 -0.085159867 0.085230875
0.069144326 0.47 0.317548436 -0.021537636 0.34 -1.515533789 0.102790667
0.083401944 0.37 -1.032188313 0.913437583 0.47 0.324555226 -0.287215945
-0.56294817 0.44 -0.117462109 -0.073103292 0.37 -1.00081457 -0.622863324
-0.898520878 0.38 -0.918577721 1.39851834 0.44 -0.102602024 0.156209768
-0.808781454 0.48 0.55919447 0.294301379 0.38 -0.889255003 -0.468010662
-0.180825819 0.34 -1.543614797 0.563992221 0.48 0.561838796 -0.205279653
-0.629983977 0.48 0.4650157 0.752502724 0.34 -1.503008213 -2.432214169
0.736150453 0.42 -0.409177868 -0.190918874 0.48 0.469360246 0.218999453
-0.085180771 0.55 1.535554121 -0.300202268 0.42 -0.389051405 0.076059914
0.419174128 0.47 0.406481806 -0.771491073 0.55 1.520572114 -2.886003246
0.563119989 0.43 -0.242636424 0.071569685 0.47 0.411883071 -0.121491824
0.212687859 0.31 -1.911746494 1.272676729 0.43 -0.225516552 0.150129564
-0.464992527 0.42 -0.340153175 -0.23018504 0.31 -1.864493987 -1.261721645
0.465607202 0.40 -0.703635541 -0.508669802 0.42 -0.321272823 -0.232253452
0.875975476 0.49 0.612482963 0.777691388 0.40 -0.6781932 -0.86112601
2.964288335 0.49 0.657784144 1.582504064 0.49 0.614165266 1.477565305
-2.806389134 0.53 1.19388785 -1.420481319 0.49 0.658648619 -0.783656572
-0.536979031 0.61 2.30770082 1.026805112 0.53 1.185073983 0.527295399
0.004846344 0.36 -1.217446298 -0.014243281 0.61 2.27877916 0.026660143
-0.00462309 0.47 0.38526178 0.115767594 0.36 -1.182728072 -0.355398824
0.324581647 0.44 -0.039496394 -0.047306824 0.47 0.391046132 0.468375693
0.444349807 0.46 0.243635984 0.093266653 0.44 -0.026043833 -0.009969878
-0.21751082 0.52 1.123313379 -0.692896111 0.46 0.251977124 -0.155427659
0.469278044 0.47 0.324343613 -0.238321498 0.52 1.115773602 -0.819849151
CORRELOGRAMA
Column D Column G Column F
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
p (k)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
-0.2
Column D Column G Column F
0.6
0.4
0.2
p (k)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Desfase (K)
Column F
6 7 8 9
Column F
6 7 8 9
-0.023297131 -0.014499118
-1.40183294 2.134265867 0.44 -0.002502233 0.003809606
0.371569497 0.195555252 0.34 -1.354229767 -0.712724659 0.44 -0.054683093
-0.905767636 0.330941309 0.47 0.384685455 -0.140552944 0.34 -1.41124124
-0.040107168 -0.064902653 0.37 -0.867811405 -1.404319136 0.47 0.333888272
-0.798251094 -0.372457094 0.44 -0.018985366 -0.008858409 0.37 -0.923084584
0.600253685 -0.117350157 0.38 -0.762385729 0.149047123 0.44 -0.071225131
-1.389761303 2.637727994 0.48 0.608922439 -1.15571772 0.38 -0.817282153
0.511126646 -0.150765382 0.34 -1.342392886 0.395961309 0.48 0.558926603
-0.31617535 0.210482411 0.48 0.521528647 -0.34718901 0.34 -1.399362058
1.524241595 1.031469464 0.42 -0.289684873 -0.196032638 0.48 0.471220495
0.455732499 0.329456581 0.55 1.514941631 1.095176429 0.42 -0.342892026
-0.158567156 -0.201338354 0.47 0.467211745 0.593235359 0.55 1.468183598
-1.738146488 -4.181651241 0.43 -0.135141673 -0.325125269 0.47 0.416709483
-0.250853128 0.298463698 0.31 -1.684003052 2.003617742 0.43 -0.187796541
-0.594838371 -0.264671692 0.42 -0.225632967 -0.100394766 0.31 -1.742193023
0.650683794 0.007612551 0.40 -0.562928756 -0.006585878 0.42 -0.27861122
0.693555028 0.208406858 0.49 0.658371839 0.197834635 0.40 -0.617112389
1.200902236 1.438381229 0.49 0.700409359 0.838915646 0.49 0.608552717
2.254970495 0.863228607 0.53 1.197890226 0.458566138 0.49 0.650740466
-1.081088419 0.666850387 0.61 2.231460105 -1.376436939 0.53 1.14999916
0.43565071 -0.320107828 0.36 -1.039722739 0.763968428 0.61 2.187262664
-0.028779451
0.51562675
0.540308283
-0.430703327
0.01392458
1.551178615
-0.164864781
0.93157515
0.318879601
-0.247882332
1.864204896
1.00252409
0.223439311
-0.775183978
-0.003259559
-0.185436553
0.728894309
0.249110925
-0.709356766
-1.607158867
0.189352
0.805787685
0.189352045
Numeros aleatorios normales con media cero y desviacion estandar uno.
MEDIA 0.4407
DESVIACIÓN 0.06853274
Numeros aleatorios normales con media y desviacion estandar de los caudales dados.
μo 0.4407
S 0.06853274
𝑋 ̅ 0.474537
n 28
Tc 2.61145001
α 0.05
Tt(n-1) 1.70328845
Por lo tanto: μ≠μo
CONCLUSIONES
LAS MEDIAS ESTADISTICAMENTE NO SON IGUALES, Y LAS DESVIACIONES ESTADISTICAMENTE SON IGUALES.
0
~ tn 1
n
Fn1 1, n2 1