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CHAPTER 1: MACROECONOMICS

The study of the economic behavior of entire economies,


as measured, for example, by total production and MACROECONOMIC POLICY
employment  Growth policy
- aims to accelerate or decelerate long-run economic
Macroeconomic Questions
growth
 Why do output and employment sometimes fall
and how can unemployment be reduced?  Stabilization policy
 What are the sources of price inflation and how - aims to avoid recessions and undue
can it be kept under control? inflation by keeping total aggregate demand growing
 How can a nation increase its rate of economic smoothly and unemployment near its NAIRU*.
growth? *Nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment (natural
rate of unemployment)
Objectives of Macroeconomics
SOME CONCEPTS…
OUTPUT
 Business cycles (economic fluctuations)
 high level and rapid growth of output
- the rise and fall of economic activity relative to the
 to provide goods and services that the
long-term growth trend of the economy
population desires
 most comprehensive measure of total output in  Expansion
an economy is the gross domestic product / gross - a period when real GDP is growing
national product
 potential output is determined by the economy’s  Recession
productive capacity which depends on inputs available - a fall in the level of real GDP for at least six months,
and the economy’s technological efficiency or two quarters of the year

EMPLOYMENT  Depression
 high employment and low unemployment - a very severe recession
 When output is falling, the demand for labor falls ROOTS OF MACROECONOMICS
and the unemployment rate rises.  Most economists and policy makers accepted
STABLE PRICES the highs and lows of business cycles as being
 price stability is important because a smoothly inevitable, which left them hopeless during the Great
functioning market system requires that prices Depression in the 1930s.
accurately and easily convey information about relative The Great Depression in the 1930s
scarcities
 “America's "Great Depression" began with the
Tools of Macroeconomics dramatic crash of the stock market on "Black
FISCAL POLICY Thursday", October 24, 1929 when 16 million shares
 Denotes the use of taxes and government of stock were quickly sold by panicking investors who
expenditures had lost faith in the American economy. At the height
MONETARY POLICY of the Depression in 1933, nearly 25% of the Nation's
 managing the country’s money, credit and total work force, 12,830,000 people, were
banking system unemployed.”
- restricting money supply leads to higher  “Wage income for workers who were lucky
interest rates and reduced investments which cause enough to have kept their jobs fell almost 43%
a decline in GDP and lower inflation between 1929 and 1933. It was the worst economic
SIX KEY VARIABLES disaster in American history. Farm prices fell so
 Real gross domestic product drastically that many farmers lost their homes and
 The unemployment rate land. Many went hungry.”
 The inflation rate JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES
 The interest rate - The General Theory of Employment, Interest and
 The level of the stock market Money
 The exchange rate
- argued that it is possible for high Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
unemployment and underutilized capacity to persist in • Each good and service produced and brought to
market economies market has a price which serves as a measure of
- argued that government fiscal and value for calculating total output.
monetary policies can affect output and thereby
- It is impossible to add up all output when output is
reduce unemployment and shorten economic
counted in physical terms. Accordingly, total output
downturns
is measured in monetary terms, with each good or
service valued at its market price.
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• The market value of all final goods and services
CHAPTER 2: NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING
produced in a country in a period of time, almost
Measuring the Economy always one year.
• Measurement of aggregate economic activity helps • Only goods and services produced in the current
answer such questions as: period are included in this year’s GDP.
- How much output is being produced? What is it
being used for? Gross National Product (GNP)
- How much income is being generated? • Output produced by a nation’s factors of production no
- What’s happening to prices and wages? matter where it takes place
• GDP is geographically focused, including only output
• In the 1930s it was impossible for produced within a nation’s borders regardless of
macroeconomics to exist in the form we know it today whose factors are used
because many aggregate concepts had not yet been
formulated, or were lacking rigor. Measuring Total Economic Output of Goods and
• In the mid-1930s, two Keynesians, Simon Services
Kuznets and Richard Stone, began to develop this  GDP measures the economic activity that occurs
terminology. within a country.
• They developed national income accounting – a  GNP measures the economic activity of the
set of rules and definitions for measuring economic citizens and businesses of a country.
activity in the aggregate economy – that is, in the  Gross National Income (GNI)
economy as a whole.  Net foreign factor income is added to GDP to
• For an economy as a whole, income must equal create the GNP.
expenditure because:
- Every transaction has a buyer and a - Net foreign factor income is the income from
seller. foreign domestic factor sources minus foreign factor
- Every dollar of spending by some buyer incomes earned domestically.
is a dollar of income for some seller. - In other words, we must add the foreign income
of our citizens and subtract the income of residents
who are not citizens.

THE MEASUREMENT OF GDP

“GDP is the Market Value . . .”


Output is valued at market prices.

“. . . Of All Final . . .”
It records only the value of final goods, not intermediate
goods (the value is counted only once).

“. . . Goods and Services . . .”


It includes both tangible goods (food, clothing, cars) and
intangible services (haircuts, housecleaning, doctor
visits).

“. . . Produced . . .”
It includes goods and services currently produced, not
transactions involving goods produced in the past.
“. . . Within a Country . . .” • Although these methods differ, the resulting
It measures the value of production within the GDP is the same, apart from minor “statistical
geographic confines of a country. discrepancies.”

The Expenditure Approach to Measuring GDP


• Economists usually categorize expenditures into four
“. . . In a Given Period of Time.”
categories:
It measures the value of production that takes place
- consumption, C
within a specific interval of time, usually a year or a
- investment, I
quarter (three months).
- government purchases, G
Value Added - net exports (NX) = exports (X) minus
• The production of most goods and services involves a imports (M) or (X – M).
series of stages • Following the expenditure method,
• To accurately measure GDP we must distinguish
GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)
between intermediate goods and final goods
Consumption
- Intermediate goods: Goods or services
• When individuals receive income, they can
purchased for use as input in the production of final
spend it on domestic goods, save it, pay taxes, or buy
goods or services
foreign goods.
- Value added: The increase in the market value
• Consumption is the largest and most important
of a product that takes place at each stage of the
of the flows (expenditures).
production process
• It is also the most obvious way in which income
received is returned to firms.
Value Added Approach Eliminates Double Counting
3 categories of consumption spending:
 nondurable goods

- tangible consumer items typically consumed or used


up in a relatively short period of time

 durable consumer goods


- longer-lived consumer goods; the most important
category is consumer vehicles

 services

Value Added in Various Stages of Production • In boom periods, when GDP is rising rapidly,
expenditures on durables often increase dramatically.
• In years of stagnant or falling GDP, sales of
durable goods often plummet.
• By contrast, sales of nondurables tend to be
more stable over time because purchases of such
goods are more difficult to shift from one time period to
another.
• Services are intangible items of value, as
opposed to physical goods.
The value added at each stage represents a contribution • As incomes have risen, service expenditures
to total output. have been growing faster than spending on goods
Two Methods of Calculating GDP Investment
• There are two methods of calculating GDP: the • The portion of income that individuals save
expenditure approach and the income approach. leaves the spending stream and goes into financial
• This is because of the national income markets.
accounting identity. • Business spending on equipment, structures,
The National Income Accounting Identity and inventories is counted as part of gross private
investment, together with household spending on new
owner-occupied housing.
• Investment, as used by economists, refers to the - Transfer payments are not included in government
creation of capital goods whose purpose is to produce purchases because that spending does not go to
other goods. purchase newly produced goods or services.
• This definition of investment deviates from the
Net Exports
popular use of that term.
- Spending on foreign goods escapes the system and
• For instance, purchases of stock are not an
does not add to domestic production, thus spending
investment as defined by economists (i.e., an increase
on imports are subtracted from total expenditures.
in capital goods).
- Exports to foreign nations are added to total
• Sooner or later, plant and equipment wear out.
• This wearing-out process is called depreciation expenditures.
– the decrease in an asset's value. - These flows are usually combined into net exports
• Economists differentiate between total or gross (exports minus imports).
private domestic investment and the new investment GDP and NDP
that is above and beyond replacement investment. - Net domestic product (NDP) is the sum of
• Net private investment – gross private consumption expenditures, government
investment less depreciation. expenditures, net foreign expenditures, and
Three categories of investment purchases: investment less depreciation.
1. business fixed investment,
NDP  GDP – depreciation
- sometimes called producer goods,
- include all spending on capital goods that
- NDP is actually preferable to GDP as an expression
increase our future production capabilities
of a nation's domestic output.
- machinery, tools, and factory buildings,
- Since it is so hard to measure depreciation in the
2. inventory investment (changes in inventories). real world, economists use capital consumption
- all businesses purchase that add to inventories to allowance rather than depreciation.
meet customer demands. - The distinction between GDP and NDP is mirrored in
the difference between gross investment and net
3. residential investment investment
- residential construction
Income
• In recent years, investment expenditures have • Personal Income measures the total amount of
generally been around 15 percent of gross domestic income received by households and non-corporate
product. businesses.
• Investment spending is the most volatile • Personal Disposable Income (PDI) is the
category of GDP, however, and tends to fluctuate personal income available to individuals after taxes.
considerably with changing business conditions.
• When the economy is booming, investment
purchases tend to increase dramatically.
Real Versus Nominal GDP
• In downturns, the reverse happens.
Nominal GDP values the production of goods and
Government Expenditures
services at current prices.
• Government payments for goods and services
or investment in equipment and structures are referred Real GDP values the production of goods and services
to as government expenditures. at constant prices.
• There is a connection between the government
and the financial markets.
• If the government runs a deficit, it must borrow
from financial markets to make up the difference.
• When individuals pay taxes, those taxes are
either spent by government on goods and services or
are returned to individuals in the form of transfer
payments.

Transfer Payments
• GDP per capita (GDP per person) tells us the
income and expenditure of the average person in the
economy.

GDP per Capita


Base year- the year used for comparative analysis; the = Total GDP divided by total population;
basis for indexing price changes
Average GDP
GDP Deflator - commonly used as a measure of a country’s
• a measure of the price level calculated as the standard of living
ratio of nominal GDP to real GDP times 100. - measures of per capita GDP tell us nothing
- It tells us the rise in nominal GDP that is about how GDP is actually distributed or used
attributable to a rise in prices rather than a rise in the
• Higher GDP per person indicates a higher
quantities produced.
standard of living.
N o m in a l G D P • GDP is not a perfect measure of the happiness
G D P d e fla to r = 100
R eal G D P or quality of life, however.
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CHAPTER 3

Who is unemployed?
• does not have a job
• must be actively looking for work
Converting Nominal GDP to Real GDP
Unemployment rate
N o m in a l G D P 20X X
R e a l G D P 20X X  100 • the percentage of a nation’s labor force that is
G D P d e f la to r20 X X unemployed
• Formula:
Measurement problems
• Methods of calculating GDP entail  
measurement problems in accounting for all economic
activity
- Non-Market Activities - Goods and
services produced that are not sold in a market
- Unreported Income - Market activities Labor force
not reported to tax or census authorities • The labor force is the number of people over the age
of 15 who are either employed or unemployed.
Calculating GDP: Some Examples
• Formula:
• Selling your car to a neighbor does not add to
Labor force = employed + unemployed
GDP.
• Selling your car to a used car dealer who sells • The civilian labor force figure excludes (they are not
your car to someone else for a higher price, does add considered currently available for employment.)
to GDP. - those in the armed services, prison or mental
• The value added is the dealer's services. hospitals
• Selling a stock or bond does not add to GDP. - full-time homemakers
• The stock broker's commission for the sales - retirees
does add to GDP. - children
• Pension payments, welfare payments, - full-time students
employment insurance benefits, and other government
transfer payments are not included in GDP.
• The work of unpaid house spouses does not Labor force participation rate
appear in GDP calculations. • The percentage of the population that is in the labor
force is called the labor force participation rate.
GDP As A Measure of Economic Well-Being • Formula:
• GDP is the best single measure of the economic
well-being of a society. LFPR = (labor force / adult population*) X 100
*15 years and above
Types of Unemployment
1.Frictional unemployment
• people are temporarily between jobs
• is short term and results from the normal turnover
in the labor market

2.Structural unemployment
• people lack the necessary skills for available jobs

3.Cyclical unemployment
• results from short-term cyclical fluctuations in the
economy

Major Categories of Unemployed Workers


• job losers (temporarily laid off or fired)
• job leavers (quit)
• re-entrants (worked before and now reentering labor
force)
• new entrants (entering the labor force for first time—
primarily teenagers).

Other concepts
• underemployed
• overemployed
• “Discouraged” workers

Goal: Full employment


• Zero Unemployment is always impossible in a market
economy.
• But we strive for Full Employment where no cyclical
unemployment exists in the economy.
• An unemployment rate of about 4-6 percent is normal
during full employment.

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