Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 3

FairWealth Equity Research 

R
TECHNO FUNDA CALL – ANDHRA BANK 
 
24 February 2011

CMP: Rs 144;      SL: Rs 124;     Target: Rs 195;      Upside: 35.42%;     Horizon: 1 YR 

!
Andhra Bank, established in 1923 was nationalized in April 1980. It is a mid size state-
Bloomberg Code ANDB IN owned bank with dominance presence in South India It serves customers via a spread of
1557 branches and 859 ATMs across India with total business of Rs. 147682cr by end of
Market Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) 69.71/1.53
Dec 31, 2010. Bank’s loan portfolio includes Corporates (52.5%), MSMEs (15%), Retail
Face Value (Rs) 10
(15.3%), Agriculture (15.3%) and others (1.9%). Bank also provides the credit substitutes
Book Value (Rs) 90.93 such as letter of credit and guarantees. In addition, bank provides fee based products and
EPS (Rs) 24.63 services such as cash management services, insurance services with the JV of Bank of
Dividend Yield 4.63% Baroda and L&G Inc. bancassurance services etc.
52 week H/L (Rs) 190.15/94.65
Daily Avg. Vol (mn) 0.12 INVESTMENT THESIS
Listed At NSE/BSE
Equity capital (Rs cr) 485 • NII up 44% driven by improving margins & strong credit growth, net interest margin
(NIM) improved to 3.9% in Q3FY11 v/s 3.35% during the corresponding period last
year.
(Rs cr) Q3FY11 Q3FY10 % Chg 9MFY11

NII 839.93 582.53 44.08 2359.44 • Andhra Bank is well capitalized with 12% capital adequacy ratio (CAR) under
EBITDA 626.61 527.20 18.16 1701.56
Basel-II. Including 9MFY11 profit, CAR comes at 13.4%. In addition to this, capital
infusion from the GoI through right issue is expected by March 2011 which will
PAT 330.91 240.26 20.36 954.27
further boost its capital base.
NIM % 3.91 3.44 0.47 bps 3.91

NNPA % 0.47 0.17 0.30 bps 0.47 • Asset quality of the bank deteriorated during the quarter as gross NPA increased to
EPS (Rs) 6.82 4.95 37.77 19.62
1.41% in Q3FY11 against 0.87% in the corresponding quarter last year. Net NPA
Cost of
also rose to 0.47% as on Dec 31, 2011 from 0.17% y-o-y. Provision coverage ratio of
5.84 5.85 -0.01bps 5.84
Deposit (%) the bank stood at 80.42% higher than the regulatory requirement of 70%,
Yield on
advances (%)
11.07 10.86 0.21bps 11.07 Provisioning of the bank increased because of the higher slippage rate of 0.3%.
Bank will have to increase the provision in next couple of quarter.

Price Performance % Valuations: We expect strong growth in profitability given the healthy margins and
1M 3M 6M 12M robust business growth. While slippage rate at 0.3% is lower leading to higher NPA
provisions, PCR over 80% provides comfort. Weak asset quality also remains concern.
Absolute 18.5 (16.8) (5) 47.5
We expect Andhra Bank to report book value of Rs.110 and Rs. 134 in FY11 and FY12
Rel to Nifty (1.9) (7.5) 2.4 12.9 respectively. Stock trades at just 1.4x and 1.1x multiple of our estimated FY11E &
FY12E adjusted book value. At the CMP, stock offers dividend yield of 4.4% and
5.3% for FY11E and FY12E respectively. Hence, we recommend BUY on Andhra
Sharmila Joshi Bank.
Sharmila.joshi@fairwealth.in
+91 09320159211 TECHNICAL VIEW: Buy around Rs. 133-138 with a strict SL of below Rs. 124
Prakash Chandra Pandey It seems that the Andhra Bank has completed the 4th wave of the Larger Pattern unless it
Prakash.pandey@fairwealth.in
closes below 124. It can go up to Rs. 195 in next 12 months. We advise our clients to enter
+91 9313337742
between Rs. 133-138 with the stop loss of below Rs. 124.
 

 
Fairwealth Research Desk 
Techno Funda Call- Andhra Bank Ltd
 

 
Stock Ratings
BUY   The stock's total return is expected to exceed 15% over the next 12 months
ACCUMULATE The stock's total return is expected to be within 10-15% over the next 12 months
REDUCE   The stock's total return is expected to be within 0-10% over the next 12 months
SELL The stock's total return is expected to give negative returns over the next 12 months
NOT RATED   The Analyst has no recommendation on the stock under review

 
Research Team 
Name  Designation  Email ID
Sharmila Joshi  Head‐Equity Research sharmila.joshi@fairwealth.in
Fundamental Research Team 
Prakash Pandey  AVP‐PMS  prakash.pandey@fairwealth.in
Preeti Gupta  Sr. Research Analyst preeti.gupta@fairwealth.in
Varun Khanna  Research Analyst  varun.khanna@fairwealth.in
Suvarna Binjola  Research Analyst  suvarna.binjola@fairwealth.in
Tanisha Jolly  Research Analyst  tanisha.jolly@fairwealth.in
Shakti Rajpal  Research Analyst  shakti.rajpal@fairwealth.in
Akansha Jain  Research Analyst  akansha.jain@fairwealth.in
Ankit Manuja  Research Analyst  ankit.manuja@fairwealth.in
Jitender  Research Associate jitender@fairwealth.in
Ankit Sethi  Research Associate ankit.sethi@fairwealth.in
Nidhi Pahwa  Research Associate nidhi.pahwa@fairwealth.in
Technical Research Team 
K.K. Madaan  Head‐Technical  kamal.madan@fairwealth.in
Hunny Tarika  Sr. Technical Analyst hunny.tarika@fairwealth.in
Pervez Danish  Sr. Technical Analyst pervez.danish@fairwealth.in

2  24 February 2011
 
Fairw
wealth Rese
earch Deskk 
Techn
no Funda Call-
C Andhra Bank Lttd
 

Disclaimerr:  
This publiccation has been solely
s prepared for
f the informatiion purpose and does not constittute a solicitationn to any person to t buy or sell a security.
s While tthe
informationn contained
  therrein has been obttained from sourrces believed relliable investors are advised to sa
atisfy themselve
es before makingg any investmennts.
Fairwealth Securities Ltd does
d not bear anny responsibilityy for authenticatiion of the inform mation containedd in the reports and consequentlly is not liable ffor
any decisioon taken
  based on o the same. Fu urther Fairwealthh Research repoort only provides information uppdates and analyysis. All opinionns for buying annd
selling are available to invvestors when theey are registeredd clients of Fairw wealth Investmeent advisory servvices. As a mattter of practice, Fairwealth
F refraiins
from publisshing any indiviidual names with h its reports. As per SEBI requirrements it is statted that, Fairweaalth securities Lttd, and/or indiviiduals thereof mmay
 
have positions in securitiess referred herein and may make purchases
p or salee while this repoort is in circulatioon.

FAIRWEALTH SSECURITIES LTD. 
H.O
O.: Plot No. 65
51‐652, Udyo
og Vihar, Phasse‐5, Gurgaonn 122001 (Ha
aryana) 
Pho
one: 0124‐30 024400, Fax: 0
0124‐3024474 4 
Weebsite: www.FFairwealth.in . Email: info@
@fairwealth.iin 
 
FAIRWEALTH IINSTITUTION
NAL DESK 
Unit No,12,2ndFFloor, Sonawaala, Apollo Bu
uilding, Mumb
bai Samacharr 
Maarg, Opp BSE, Fort Mumba ai‐ Maharashttra ‐ 400001,  
Ph:: 022‐307200
056‐68, Fax: 0
022 30722787 7 
 
Dellhi: UG‐3,  Somdutt Chamb bers II, Bhikaaji Cama Placce, New Delhii‐110066 , Ph h : 011‐46091 1118    Chen nnai: Rahab 
Towwer, First Flooor, New No: 5 522, Old No:  706, P H Roa ad, Aminjikarrai, Chennai‐6 600029. Ph‐04 44‐42698796 6, 42698834, 
322218508    Ko olkatta:  No.1
1&2,  3rd  Flooor,  Tobacco  Jouse,  Old  Co ourt  House  Sttreet,  Kolkattta,  WB‐70000 01.  Ph‐  033‐
401119500‐02‐03 3    Bangalo ore  :  Shop  No
o  –  54,  1st  flo
oor,  12th  Ma
ain  Road,  27TTh  Cross  Roadd,  04th  Blockk  Jayanagar, 
Ban nglore,  Karnaataka  –  5600011,  Ph‐080‐4 41172604/60 05    Hydera abad  :  Shop  No.8,  Ground d  Floor,  Merridian  Plaza, 
bessides  Lal  Bunglow  ,  Green
n  Lands,  Roadd  Ameerpet,  Hyderabad  –  – 500016,  Ph‐‐040‐4003721 18.    Ahmed dabad:  108, 
H.JJ.House, Opp  IGP Petrol Pu ump, near Ra ambagh Policee Station, Ma ani Nagar, Ah hmedabad, G Gujarat‐38000 09. Ph ‐ 079‐
403304461, 6263 36465. 

3  24 February 2011
 

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi