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“We are happy to present the People’s Car to India and we hope it
brings the joy, pride and utility of owning a car to many families who
need personal mobility.”
– Ratan N. Tata
The event took place at the 9th Auto Expo in New Delhi on 10th January 2008, when Mr. Ratan N
Tata, Chairman of Tata Motors, unveiled the ‘People’s car’. This car, the cheapest car in the world,
is named NANO, the ‘People’s Car’. This car is equipped well with interior upholstery and is a
comfortable, safe, and an all-weather-car, high on fuel efficiency and low on emissions. When
launched, the car will be available in both standard and deluxe versions. Both versions come in a
wide range of body colors and other accessories so that the car can be customized to an
individual’s preferences. It will be launched in the latter half of 2008 and produced from Singur
plant, which is to incur a cost upto Rs.20,000 million. Initially, the production capacity is to roll
out 250,000 units and later on increase it to 350,000 units. It is expected that the demand may rise
to 1 million units and then dealers or satellite units may assemble the cars.
This car is designed keeping a small family in mind; it has a roomy passenger compartment with
generous leg space and headroom. It can comfortably seat four persons. Four doors with high
seating position make ingress and egress easy. With a length of 3.1 meters, width of 1.5 meters
and height of 1.6 meters, with adequate ground clearance, it can effortlessly manoeuvre on busy
roads in cities as also in rural areas. Its mono-volume design, with wheels at the corners and the
power train at the rear, enables it to uniquely combine both space and maneuverability, which will
set a new benchmark among small cars. Nano’s safety performance and its tailpipe emission
performance exceed the current regulatory requirements. In terms of overall pollutants, it has a
lower pollution level than the two-wheelers manufactured in India today.
The first ever car in India has rolled out in Bombay (Now Mumbai) in the year 1898; the Indian
Automobile Industry has since come a long way. Initially, the Government did not treat this
industry as justifiable and policies were also not favorable for the industry. Later on, the
Government has adopted liberalized policy and given various tax reliefs.
Presently, the size of Indian automobile industry is worth approximately $40 billion; and the
Government of India has worked to make an investment of $40 billion in this sector in the next 10
years. On 29th January 2007, Dr. Manmohan Singh, Prime Minister of India, has announced an
Auto Mission Plan (AMP 2006-16) to develop and design a manufacturing and exports hub to
raise the turnover to $145 billion by 2016 in this sector. Indian automobile sector is the second
largest two-wheeler market as well as tractor manufacturer in the world. It is the fourth largest
commercial vehicle and passenger vehicle market and eleventh largest passenger car market in
the world. It is the world’s largest three wheeler market. Indian Automobile Industry, growing at
18% approximately, is fast becoming a hot destination for global auto players. A well-developed
transportation system plays a key role in the development of an economy. Indian transportation
TMS 2008-10
system is growing steadily; also, the Automobile industry is moving northwards day by day.
Indian Automobile Industry is entirely capable to meet the needs of all segments of vehicles,
which can be divided into four segments. The figure 1 gives a rough sketch of the Industry Value
Chain and its linkage with various activities leading to the final product.
Figure 1
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M&M have 25% and 18% market share respectively. Some small players like Atul Auto
Limited, Scooters India Ltd., and Force Motors Limited constitutes 16% of total market
share. In three wheeler segment the competition is mainly among Bajaj Auto Limited,
Piaggio Vehicles Private Limited and M&M. Sale of three wheelers has increased from
359920 in 2005-06 to 403909 units in 2006-07 mainly because of replacement demand due to
statutory mandate to convert to clean fuel vehicles beside this infrastructure development and
spurt in export by about 87% also increased the sales.
iii. Passenger Vehicles and Utility Vehicles: India is the second biggest small car market in the
world after Japan and the 11th largest passenger carmaker in the world. This segment is
broadly divided into (a) Passenger Car, (b) Multi Purpose Vehicles (MPV), and
(c) Utility Vehicle (UV). Passenger car is divided in various segments according to the
specification, which is mainly considered from dimension and passenger or weight carrying
capacity. In A1 segment (length up to 3400 mm) Maruti Udyog Limited is the only player,
sold 79245 cars in FY 07. Tata’s most awaited launch of Rs.100,000 car is expected to give a
hard challenge to A1 segment from 2008. Maruti, Hyundai and Tata cars mainly dominate
the A2 segment (compact car; 3401-4000 mm). This segment itself occupies almost 60% of
the total car market whereas A3 (4001-4500 mm) contributes almost 15-17% of the market.
Competition in A3 segment is quite stiff compared to A2, with eight players in the market.
Global OEM like Maruti Suzuki, GM, Hyundai, Ford, and Honda are the main operators in
this segment. In Executive (A4) segment (4501-4700 mm), the players were able to sell
almost 41,000 cars in FY 07. Main competition in A4 segment is among Honda (whose
market share is almost 40%), Skoda and Toyota.
Utility Vehicles and Multi Purpose Vehicles have shown outstanding performances in 2007,
registering growth rates of 13% and 25% respectively. It is a highly organized market with
major players like Tata Motors, Toyota, Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti, and General Motors
having a market share of around 82%.
The key drivers behind the robust growth of UVs and MPVs are: the all-new Honda CRV
and Chevrolet SRV launch; increased spend on R&D; and maintenance of EMIs by
increasing the loan tenure, despite the interest rate hike. Lower base is another reason that
contributed to the growth.
iv. Commercial Vehicles: India is the fifth largest commercial vehicles producer in the world.
In FY 07 it grew by 33% wherein Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV) grew at 33.93%. This
segment is categorized by weight carrying capacity. In FY 07 up to 3.5 tons category Tata
and Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) contributed 97% of the market. In Medium Commercial
Vehicle (MCV #3.5-7 tons category) Tata is the market leader with market share of 67%.
Eicher Motors (EM), Hindustan Motors (HM) and M&M shares almost 31% market share in
FY 07. But in Heavy Commercial Vehicles (HCV# 7.5-12 tons category) competition is
mainly concentrated between Tata and EM. Tata in 12-16.2 tons segment holds 77% of total
market share. Ashok Leyland (AL) and Tata compete in 16.2-25 tons segment. In trailer
(25 + tons) segment Tata leads with 83% of market share. The main factors that led the
growth in CVs at 33% in FY 07 were: Supreme Court’s ban on overloading of trucks,
government’s emphasis on infrastructure, and the ongoing Golden Quadrilateral project.
At present, the automobile companies, like: Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland, Eicher Motors and
Swaraj Mazda dominate Heavy Commercial Vehicles (HCVs) market. Tata Motors has about
60% market share in commercial vehicles sector. With options ranging from Tata LPT 1613,
Tata Se 1613, Tata LPT 2213, Tata LPT 2516 TC, Tata SK 1613, it has many forms and
designs of HCVs to choose from. The company in a technical tie-up with Volvo, one of the
globally acclaimed commercial automobile manufacturers, has launched Volvo FH12-420
and Volvo FH12-340 in India. Rapid infrastructure development with more roads being
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constructed and more industries being set up, the demand for heavy commercial vehicles is
likely to grow at a very fast pace. Rapid urbanization of various cities in the country has led
to an increase in the demand for HCVs. It is believed that auto financiers have also played a
commendable role in the rapid growth of domestic sale of the HCVs. Heavy commercial
vehicle statistics suggest that the export of these vehicles have also grown considerably in
recent years. As a result, various HCV manufacturers are now eying to tap the overseas
market to enhance their business.
The demand for Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs) has been increasing at a steady pace,
reporting a CAGR of 28.9% between 2001-02 and 2006-07. Two major factors drive this
demand: one, increasing consumption of consumer goods and durables in the smaller cities
and towns; and two, restriction on the movement of large goods carriers in the cities,
especially during daytime. The demand for better load distribution in cities, better fuel
economy and ability to travel on highways and expressways (because of the stability
offered by four wheels) have led to strong demand for LCVs despite being priced higher
than three-wheelers.
In the LCV segment, the continuing success of ‘207 DI/307 DI’, and its variants and the
recent success of ‘Tata ACE’ in the high growth sub-four ton category, have improved Tata
Motors’ market share to an estimated 59 percent in 2005-06 (refer to FY April 1 to March 31)
from 43 percent in 2002-03.
The automobile industry has deep forward and backward linkages with the economy and
stands to benefit from the economic growth. Rising income levels, higher replacement
demand, ban on overloading of trucks, rising infrastructure spending, strong freight rates,
increase in industrial activity, and launch of new models would drive the demand for
automobiles in India. Against this backdrop, the automobile sector is expected to grow at a
CAGR of 12-15% over the next 3-4 years.
However, slow down in construction activity, adverse liquidity position, upward movement
in consumer interest rates and increase in fuel and input material prices, remain a cause of
concern and would adversely impact industry sales. Further, growing interest rates and
tightening of liquidity would deteriorate this position.
Tata Motors
Tata group has the distinction of contributing to every sector of the Indian economy, right from
agriculture to automobiles to aviation to name a few. Tata Motors is one of its successful
companies under Automobiles segment. Tata Motors is the largest automobiles company in
India. The company was established in the year 1945, i.e., two years prior to India’s
independence. The company produced its first commercial vehicle in the year 1954 in
collaboration with M/s Daimler Benz, a German company. It began its own production in the
year 1954; since then, more than four million vehicles rolled out under its name in the Indian
market. It is also the world’s fifth largest medium and heavy truck manufacturer, and the second
largest heavy bus body manufacturer. Tata Motors supplies cars, buses and trucks to several
countries in Europe, Africa, Middle East, South Asia, South East Asia and South America.
Tata Motors has close association with Indian Armed Forces since 1958. The company has
supplied more than 1,00,000 vehicles to Indian military and paramilitary forces so far. Tata
Motors’ defense solutions cover the complete range of logistics and tactical vehicles. The
company has the rare distinction of providing customized solutions for specific defense
applications.
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Tata Motors and Fiat Auto have formed an industrial joint venture in India to manufacture
passenger cars, engines, and transmissions for the Indian and overseas markets. Tata Motors also
has an agreement with Fiat Auto to build a pick-up vehicle unit at Córdoba, Argentina. The
company already distributes Fiat brand cars in India.
Tata Motors international footprint includes Tata Daewoo Commercial Vehicle Co. Limited in
South Korea; a 21% stake in Hispano Carrocera, a bus and coach manufacturer of Spain; a joint
venture with Marco Polo, the Brazil-based bus body builder and coach manufacturer; and a joint
venture with Thonburi Automotive Assembly Plant Company of Thailand to manufacture and
market pick-up vehicles in Thailand. Tata Motors has research centers in India, the UK, and in its
subsidiary and associate companies in South Korea and Spain.
Domestics
Since inception, Tata Motors operates as an automobile industry producing vehicles in the
Commercial Vehicle segment that include Heavy and Light Commercial Vehicles. The company
started manufacturing Utility Vehicles and Passenger since 1994 and 1999 respectively.
Table 1
No. of Vehicles 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 (9 M)
A. Commercial Vehicle (Industry) 190,682 260,114 318,430 351,041 467,882 380,214
(a) Commercial Vehicle (Company) 107,442 152,195 189,993 214,836 298,586 215,530
Share of Company in Commercial 56.35% 58.51% 59.67% 61.20% 63.82% 56.69%
Vehicle Segment (%)
(A) (i) M & HCV (Industry) 115,711 161,395 198,506 207,472 275,600 200,455
(A) (ii) LCV (Industry) 74,971 98,719 119,924 143569 192,282 179,759
(a) (i) M & HCV (Company) 74,323 90,768 129,245 128,714 173,381 112,871
(a) (ii) LCV (Company) 33,119 49,026 60,749 86,236 125,792 102,659
B. Passenger vehicle Industry 707,198 902,096 1,061,572 1,143,076 1,379,698 1,261,387
(b) Passenger Vehicle (Company) 104,411 140018 179,076 189,070 228,220 151,136
Share of Company in Passenger 14.76% 15.52% 16.87% 16.54% 16.54% 11.98%
Vehicle segment (%)
(B) (i) Cars & Multi purpose vehicles 593,578 755,708 885,212 948,574 1,159,499 1,086,619
(B) (ii) Utility vehicles 113,620 146388 176,360 194502 220,199 174,768
(b) (i) Indica & Indigo 79,525 108,169 144,827 150,951 179,000 120,169
(b) (ii) Utility vehicles 24,886 31,854 34,249 37,905 47,893 30,967
C. Export Industry (A + B) 84,260 146,723 196,342 216,172 248,244 194,546
(c) Export Company (a + b) 8,012 22,046 30,497 50,223 53,474 40,263
Share of Company (%) 9.51% 15.03% 15.53% 23.23% 21.54% 20.70%
Total Company 219,865 314,259 399,566 454,129 580,280 406,929
Total Industry 982,140 1,308,933 1,576,344 1,710,289 2,095,824 1,836,147
Share of Company (%) 22.39% 24.01% 25.35% 26.55% 27.69% 22.16%
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Figure 2
298586
350000
214836
300000
189993
250000
152195
200000
83101
107442
54740
48654
150000
36444
61655
52323
40797
40519
30315
28072
100000
24442
23600
23005
15885
12716
13065
10431
9638
9895
5800
50000
0
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
Tata Motors Ltd. Sales Ashok Leyland Ltd. Sales Eicher Motors Ltd. Sales
Source: SIAM, Tata Motors.com and CMIE Data Bank and Developed by: Icfai (AW), Finance.
ii. Passenger and Utility Vehicles: In this segment, the Company had launched its first
passenger vehicle named Tata Indica in January 1999; and soon after, the portfolio of this
segment looked northwards year after year. This car is compatible with all the three fuel
types (petrol, diesel and CNG). The company had manufactured the car at various price
ranges; it manufactured some varieties on its own while some others in collaboration with
other companies. Tata Motors rolled out its one millionth Indica car in the Indian market in
its ninth year after it rolled its first Indica car on 24th November 2007.
In the same breath, the company launched the Indigo in 2002 and presently the company has
introduced two more models of Indigo, which are successfully running in the market.
Middle-income group liked Indigo and it was a hit with this group. Soon, Indigo registered
tremendous growth in the market.
iii. Utility Vehicles Segment: In UV segment, Tata Motors launched its first UV Tata Sumo in
1994 followed by Tata Safari in 1998. Variants of these models are also available in the
market. In January 2008, the company has introduced The New Sumo – Sumo Granade in
passenger vehicles segment with a 2.2-liter Direct Injection Common Rail (DICOR) engine
and a longer wheelbase.
The company is ranked second among five major players in this segment (Maruti Suzuki
India Ltd., Tata Motors, Hyundi Motors, M&M, and others). See Figure 3.
Figure 3
700000
600000
635629
500000
527038
487402
400000
300000
270301
200000
228220
47062
217233
189702
37941
189070
198486
179076
30725
174667
171794
100000
0
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd Tata Motors Hyundai Motor India Ltd. Others Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.
Source: SIAM, Tata Motors.com, Maruti Suzuki India.com, CMIE Data Bank and
Developed by: Icfai (AW), Finance.
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International
Tata Motors has 21% in the export segment of the automobile Industry; and its vehicles are
exported to Europe, Africa, the Middle East, South and South East Asia, and South America. The
company has joint ventures and franchisee operations in Bangladesh, Ukraine, Kenya, Russia, and
Senegal. Tata Motors is adopting an international strategy to enhance its sales in the global market
with appropriate products in selected segments; this strategy enabled it to achieve a 27.7% growth
in vehicles exports between 2005-06 and 2006-07(see Table 1). The company has plans for the
coming years to boost further growth in exports.
Tata Motors generates its revenue through various modes. It sells its products through its
showrooms established across the country and also globally. All these showrooms provide
maintenance services, servicing of the vehicles to the customers; they also provide for spares parts
of their products, all under one roof so that the customers can get the spare parts easily at one
place. It also extends financial support to its customers through providing vehicle finance at
reasonable rates of interest. Recently, after analyzing the demand for skilled drivers not only in
India but also abroad, the company has opened in February 2008 an Institute of Automotive and
Driving Skill in association with state Government of Punjab, which will help to reduce the some
point of unemployment of our nation.
The company is market leader in Heavy and Light Commercial vehicle segment; also, it is one of
the top three manufacturers of Passenger vehicles. It always plans to ensure that the revenue of the
company moves northwards. The company is always keen to absorb best technology in its range of
products and thereby provide good platform for research and development.
The Company offers a wide range of vehicles in both high price and low price segments.
It recently unveiled Nano (The People’s car), the lowest priced car in the world. With Nano, the
company is capable to fulfill its promise to meet the requirement of people from all classes. Nano
is likely to reduce the market share of two-wheelers by increasing its customer base in the
four-wheeler segment.
Research and Development
i. Tata Motors upgrades its technology on a continuous basis to enhance efficiency and to
increase its revenues; simultaneously, it is also steadily progressing in its program to
transform its entire product range to meet the future needs of evolving global market by
providing contemporary products that offer a strong value proposition to its customers. All
the vehicles as also the engines from its stable are compliant with regulatory norms in India
and the countries to where these vehicles are exported. The company has also developed
Euro IV diesel engines for the European markets.
ii. Tata Motors has also undertaken programs to develop vehicles, which would run on alternate
fuels like CNG, LPG, Bio-diesel, and through using electric traction.
iii. In keeping with the requirement of technological upgradation of Engines development
facility, Tata Motors has added several state-of-the art Test Cells, Testing facilities and other
facilities such as Climatic Chamber, Mileage Accumulation Chassis Dynamometer (MACD),
Sealing Housing Evaporative Emission Detection (SHED) Facility etc., at its Engineering
Research Center.
Tata Motors is ranked second in terms of revenue in the domestic passenger and utility vehicles
segments. Tata Motors also works towards a better society thus fulfilling its Corporate Social
Responsibility; it was awarded with a Golden Peacock Global Award in this regard and has also
received the CII-ITC Sustainability Award, 2006 for its Corporate Governance practices and
Economic and Social performance based on the Triple Bottom Line Concepts as per guidelines of
the Global Reporting Initiative. Under technology absorption, the company filed for 34 patent
applications out of which nine patents were granted to the company.
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a. Contribution in Revenue
i. Strong Sales and Service Network: Tata Motors has strong sales and service network
in the Indian as well as in international market. In the Indian market, the company is
selling seven out of ten medium and heavy commercial vehicles, which is testimony to
the trust in the Tata mark. The company has several firsts to its credit – it brought out
India’s first indigenously developed light commercial vehicle named Tata Ace; India’s
first Sorts Utility Vehicle, Tata Safari; and India’s first indigenously manufactured
passenger car, Tata Indica in 1998, which is India’s largest selling car in its segment.
Table 2 below shows the contribution of Tata Motors to revenue growth in each activity:
Table 2: Contribution to Tata Motors Revenue Growth
Growth in Growth in Growth in
(06-07) (05-06) (04-05)
Revenue Revenue Revenue (03-04)
(a) (b) (c)
{(a)/(b)}*100 {(b)/(c)}*100 {(c)/(d)}*100 (d)
Total Revenue 32.10% 32538.78 18.11% 24632.86 34.98% 20856.32 15451.66
Domestics Vehicle Sales 35.21% 26942.11 11.86% 19925.52 40.04% 17813.38 12719.81
Others 44.00% 787.4385 40.21% 546.8495 24.95% 390.0132 312.12
Selling of Vehicle Parts 22.66% 1226.712 26.52% 1000.094 13.43% 790.4545 696.87
Vehicles Financing 26.16% 553.1593 173.03% 438.4649 50.63% 160.5937 106.62
Exports 14.54% 2782.066 58.44% 2428.8 9.62% 1532.94 1398.38
Dividends & Other Incomes –15.64% 247.2947 73.52% 293.131 -22.46% 168.9362 217.87
Source: SIAM & Tata Motors.com and Developed by: Icfai (AW), Finance.
Financing Activity: Tata Motor Finance is a subsidiary company of Tata Motors Limited. It
plays a major role to increase the revenue of the company through its financing services. Its
sales increased to 31.4% (2006-07) from 23.8% (2005-06) through its finance wing. This
extensive network of TMF also complements the dealer network of vehicles sales, thus
augmenting the reach of the company.
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Customer Satisfaction: Tata Motors enjoys huge customer satisfaction. Customers who own
commercial and passenger vehicles of the company are quite satisfied with the quality of new
vehicles delivered to them. They opine that the company is moving fast towards meeting
customer expectations like the rest in the automotive industry. But they also feel the company
ought to provide customization in standard features, which could be an area of great
opportunity in future. They also opine that customer handling needs improvement; especially,
during the delivery process, features like warranty and service terms needs to be explained
clearly.
b. Advantages to the Company
Input Costs: Prices of items like steel, non-ferrous metal, rubber and engineering plastics
etc., witnessed sharp upward movement, though were partially offset by the cost reduction
initiatives the company pursued. Prices of most materials continue to witness further rise for
the third consecutive year and these could impact the company’s profitability.
The Company is producing two types of passenger vehicles – Indica and Indigo from the
same platform, which activity of the company reduces the input cost for the products. Tata
group is highly diversified and very huge; therefore, most of the components and other
machinery required for the production of its vehicles are manufactured and produced in
house, which is a very high value addition source for this group.
The FY 2008-09 was not very good for the economy, industry and hence for the company; at
every step declining revenues were recorded. It is seen that the sales of all types of vehicles
in the whole of automobile industry recorded a decline; sales of Tata Motors, were down by
4.34% as recorded on monthly sales basis during the financial year 2006-07. Every part
governing the growth had given negative relation such as hike in interest rate, competition
among the players and supplier of raw materials, and input cost of all types of raw material
touching the roof. The vehicles in all segments are mainly dependent on bank loans. Interest
rates on vehicle loans are usually higher than the other types of loan. In this year, the interest
rate was high and therefore it has affected vehicle sales and resulted in a (4.34%) decline in
the sales as compared to previous year. The company has competition in the Indian market as
well as in the global market; in this competitive scenario, the company has still maintained its
position as the second largest player in the Indian market with 16.5% market share. Also,
competitive activity has increased in all segments in the Indian market with the entry of new
foreign players as well as expansion plans of the existing domestic and foreign
manufacturers. Prices of most of the materials used in the manufacture of the vehicles are
recorded moving northward for the last three consecutive years. This will naturally increase
the production costs.
Future Prospects of the Industry and the Company: An Outlook
Automotive industry is moving upward rapidly in the country and in Asian regions, principally
due to a saturation of the automotive industry in the western world. Indian automobile industry is
playing a major role in Asian Automobiles markets along with the ASEAN (Association of South-
East Asian Nations) countries and China. Various departments analyzed the growth rate of our
economy and have forecast a growth in the economy in future at the rate of 8% to 10%. This
industry will also move parallell to the economy, as there is spiraling demand from domestic and
international markets. This sector is emerging as one of the fastest growing manufacturing sectors
in India and globally.
Some major points that make this sector as an emerging sector are as follows:
• There is potential for much higher growth in the domestic market due to the fact that the
current car penetration level in India 8 to 10 cars per thousand persons. Rise in the
purchasing power of about 300 million people at the top level in our country, where per
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capita income is over $1000, implies that passenger car growth in the domestic market is on
the verge of a major and sustained boom. It is expected that the passenger car market, which
was one million in 2003-04, can easily cross the 3 million mark by 2015.
• Low cost vehicles are driving the growth of automotive industry in emerging economies like
India & China. It offers immense opportunities for global players in these economies.
• Asian countries, such as Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Malaysia are expected to be
the potential markets for automotives due to AFTA (ASEAN Free Trade Area).
• From long-term perspective, cheap financing and price discounts, rising income levels, and
infrastructure developments will drive the growth in the majority of the Asian automotive
markets.
• India is emerging as a manufacturing hub for foreign automotive players because all
resources are available at lower cost compared to other developing countries.
Assumptions
i. As per the company’s data report, the company has earned revenue worth 3.5% northward in
the third quarter ending 2007-08 compared to previous years.
ii. This year the company’s sales growth trend is not expected to be as it was in the past. So, we
took the sales growth as 3.5%, 20% and 20% for the years ending 2007-08, 2008-09, and
2009-10 respectively.
iii. All Direct or Indirect Expenses were in a trend line for the last five years; hence, the
expectation has been made in same trend line.
iv. The tax rate applicable to the company is 30%.
v. Depreciation was taken as percentages of Gross Assets as this trend line is more justifiable.
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ANNEXURE I
Profit and Loss Account for Tata Motors (Expected)
(in Million)
Mar. Mar. Mar.
Mar. 2002 Mar. 2003 Mar. 2004 Mar. 2005 Mar. 2006 Mar. 2007
Particulars 2008(E) 2009(E) 2010(E)
Income
Gross Revenue (SALES) 8715.15 10704.20 15311.72 20276.56 23568.37 31118.22 32397.89 38877.46 46652.96
Indirect Taxes (Excise, etc.) 1406.62 1768.42 2292.46 3092.23 3413.71 4457.95 4728.34 5674.01 6808.81
Net Revenue (Sales - Excise) 7308.53 8935.78 13019.26 17184.33 20154.66 26660.27 27669.55 33203.45 39844.15
Expenditure
Raw materials, Stores, etc. 4881.83 5899.69 8578.12 12262.62 14633.02 19879.56 20206.59 24247.89 29097.48
Wages & Salaries 691.64 720.37 882.49 1039.34 1147.17 1367.83 1515.49 1818.59 2182.31
Energy (power & fuel) 184.78 193.51 214.52 237.81 258.51 327.41 356.98 428.38 514.06
Advertising & Marketing
Expenses 246.85 397.98 321.73 409.22 498.19 674.54 676.92 812.31 974.77
Distribution Expenses 127.03 140.42 185.47 239.31 335.13 479.04 420.97 505.17 606.19
Others 728.71 822.58 1155.51 1442.90 1721.85 2328.86 2367.54 2841.05 3409.26
Less: Expenses Capitalized 144.63 156.46 144.89 218.13 308.85 577.05 474.69 569.63 683.56
Non-recurring Expenses 109.58 57.42 64.80 46.98 54.45 76.66 80.83 96.99 116.39
Total Expenditure 6825.79 8075.51 11257.75 15460.05 18339.47 24556.85 25150.63 30180.75 36216.90
EBITDA 482.74 860.27 1761.51 1724.28 1815.19 2103.42 2518.92 3022.70 3627.25
Depreciation & Amortization 354.68 362.13 382.60 423.56 524.22 578.70 623.00 686.00 763.00
EBIT 128.06 498.14 1378.91 1300.72 1290.97 1524.72 1895.92 2336.70 2864.25
Financial Charges (incl.
lease rent) 426.18 320.61 225.96 228.03 301.65 371.45 450.00 530.00 600.00
Other Income 134.84 150.18 263.35 384.95 607.07 971.61 808.26 969.92 1163.89
Non-recurring Income 159.79 63.24 18.57 50.81 200.51 99.27 99.27 99.27 99.27
Change in Stocks –49.03 119.74 –141.98 144.00 256.91 349.68 313.20 375.84 451.02
EBT –52.52 510.69 1292.89 1652.45 2053.81 2573.83 2666.65 3251.73 3978.43
Tax Provision 1.21 210.58 482.55 415.50 524.93 660.37 799.99 975.52 1193.53
PAT –53.73 300.11 810.34 1236.95 1528.88 1913.46 1866.66 2276.21 2784.90
Appropriation of Profits
Dividends 0.00 144.30 318.25 517.15 567.78 676.39 653.33 796.67 974.72
Retained Earnings –53.73 155.81 492.09 719.80 961.10 1237.07 1213.33 1479.54 1810.19
No. of Shares 31.98 31.98 35.30 36.18 38.29 38.54 38.54 38.54 38.54
Retention Ratio 51.9% 60.7% 58.2% 62.9% 64.7% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0%
Pay-out Ratio 48.1% 39.3% 41.8% 37.1% 35.3% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
Tax 41.2% 37.3% 25.1% 25.6% 25.7% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
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ANNEXURE II
Balance Sheet of Tata Motors (Expected)
(in Million)
March March March March March March March March March
Particulars 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008(E) 2009(E) 2010(E)
Gross Assets 5737 5885 5941 6529 7863 8487 8900 9800 10900
Accumulated Depreciation 2399 2680 2957 3353 4252 4570 5193 5879 6642
Capital WIP 141 192 286 539 951 2513 2700 2500 2500
Net Fixed Assets 3478 3398 3270 3715 4562 6431 6407 6421 6758
Investment 1190 1272 3081 2912 2015 2477 2767 3320 3984
Current Assets 2750 3076 3706 7120 9491 10146 11706 14680 17617
Cash 327 245 770 2005 1119 827 1988 2958 3551
Inventories 988 1159 1147 1601 2012 2501 2800 3089 3707
Trade Debtors 840 420 391 515 654 736 830 996 1195
Loan and Advances 596 1252 1397 2998 5705 6083 6087 7637 9164
Current Liabilities 2743 3585 4694 6574 6945 7362 7471 8633 9961
Net Current Asset without Cash -320 -755 -1758 -1460 1427 1957 2247 3089 4105
Deffered Tax (Net) 95 -105 -514 -565 -623 -787 -800 -900 -1000
Capital Employed 4770 4055 4850 6607 8500 10905 13409 14889 17399
Total Assets 7513 7641 9543 13181 15445 18267 20080 23521 27360
Non-Current Liabilities
Secured Debt 1345 1037 943 490 823 2022 2287 2644 2813
Non-Secured Debt 960 421 317 2006 2114 1987 2213 2656 3187
Total Debt 2305 1458 1260 2495 2937 4009 4500 5300 6000
Contigent Liabilities
Share Capital 320 320 353 362 383 385 385 385 385
Reserves 2145 2277 3237 3750 5181 6510 7724 9203 11013
Total Stock Holding Equity 2465 2597 3590 4111 5563 6896 8109 9589 11399
Capital Employed 4770 4055 4850 6607 8500 10905 12609 14889 17399
Total Liabilities 7513 7641 9543 13181 15445 18267 20080 23521 27360
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ANNEXURE III
Cash Flow of Tata Motors (Expected)
(in Million)
Particuars FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
(E) (E) (E)
PBT 511 1293 1652 2054 2574 2667 3252 3978
Change in Debt –881 –299 1264 –31 1243 491 800 700
Change in Equity 0 683 72 0 0
Others 0 0 –8 –3 –4
Net Cash used in Financing Activities –1209 –151 940 –858 302 –612 –527 –875
Net Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents –81 525 1235 –886 –293 1161 970 593
Cash and Cash Equivalents at the Beginning 327 245 770 2005 1119 827 1988 2958
Net Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents –81 525 1235 –886 –293 1161 970 593
Cash and Cash Equivalents at the End 245 770 2005 1119 827 1988 2958 3551
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ANNEXURE IV
Table Showing Share Prices of Tatamotors and Sensex
(in Million)
BSE 500 Price of Share of Tata Motors at the End of Month(Rs.)
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ANNEXURE V
Various Ratios of the Company
(in Million)
Particulars FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07
Profitability Ratios
Return on Assets (ROA) 4% 8% 9% 10% 10%
Return on Equity (ROE) 12% 23% 30% 27% 28%
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) 7% 17% 19% 18% 18%
DuPont Analysis-ROE Decomposition
PAT/PBT (Tax Efficiency) 59% 63% 75% 74% 74%
PBT/EBIT (Interest Burden) 103% 94% 127% 159% 169%
EBIT/Sales (OPM) 5.57% 10.59% 7.57% 6.41% 5.72%
Sales/Total Assets (Asset Turnover) 140% 160% 154% 153% 170%
TA/NW (Financial Leverage) 294% 266% 321% 278% 265%
ROE 14% 27% 35% 32% 32%
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.4
Acid Test Ratio 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0
Debt-Equity Ratio 0.562 0.351 0.607 0.528 0.581
Efficiency Ratios
Assets Turnover Ratio 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.7
Working Capital Turnover Ratio –21.0 –15.5 37.2 9.3 11.2
F.A. Turnover Ratio 3.2 4.7 5.5 5.2 4.8
C.A. Turnover Ratio 3.5 4.1 2.8 2.5 3.1
Debtors Velocity 14.309 9.331 9.269 10.128 8.630
Margin Ratios (%)
EBITDA Margin 9.6% 13.5% 10.0% 9.0% 7.9%
Pre-Tax Margin 5.7% 9.9% 9.6% 10.2% 9.7%
Net Profit Margin 2.8% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 6.1%
Growth Ratios YoY(%)
Net Sales 22.8% 43.0% 32.4% 16.2% 32.0%
EBITDA 78% 105% –2% 5% 16%
Adj.PAT 170.0% 52.6% 23.6% 25.2%
Adj.EPS 170.1% 38.3% 20.6% 18.3%
Working Ratios (Days)
Inventory 39.5 27.4 28.8 31.2 29.3
Debtors 14.3 9.3 9.3 10.1 8.6
Net Working Capital Excluding Cash –25.7 –41.9 –26.3 22.1 23.0
Others Ratios (%)
Other Income/PBT 41.8% 21.8% 26.4% 39.3% 41.6%
Adj.EPS 9.4 25.3 35.0 42.3 50.0
CEPS 20.7 33.8 45.9 53.6 64.7
DPS 4.5 9.0 14.3 14.8 17.5
BVPS 81.2 101.7 113.6 145.3 178.9
Cash Per Share 7.7 21.8 55.4 29.2 21.5
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References
1. www.tatamotors.com
2. www.siamindia.com
3. www.businessline.in
4. www.bseindia.com
5. www.moneycontrol.com
6. CMIE database
7. www.ahokleyland.com
8. www.autoindia.com
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Model Question Paper
1
Time: 2 Hours Total Points: 80
2
Read the following case carefully and answer the following questions.
1. The Indian automobile industry is facing stiff competition with the entry of new players.
In this scenario, perform the SWOT analysis of Tata Motors Ltd.
(12 points)
2. a. The various strategies adopted by the company from time to time enabled it to become a
major player in the industry. Analyse the various strategies of the company.
b. The unique position enjoyed by the company in the industry has been adding value to
the company. In this respect, analyse the value drivers of the company.
(8 + 6 = 14 points)
3. The risk of any individual share can be measured as the volatility of returns of a share
relative to the return from the market as a whole. From given data in Annexure IV and using
data from November 2004 to January 2006. Compute the risk of the share.
(8 points)
4. The Indian economy is the second fastest growing economy in the world, with the economy
growing at over 8 percent per annum. This growth in Indian economy is combined with
increased urbanization and consumer awareness to various kinds of luxury goods that has
changed the lifestyles of the people. This growth in economy led to a boom in passenger
vehicle market and attracted many foreign players to explore huge untapped market in India.
Against this backdrop perform Michael Porter analysis of Indian passenger car industry.
(12 points)
5. Ashok Leyland Ltd, Mahindira & Mahindira and Eicher are the major companies in automobile
industry. The following information is available with respect to these three companies:
Company Levered Beta Debt/Equity Tax Rate
Ashok Leyland 0.97 1.53 27%
Mah. & Mah. 0.98 1.21 30%
Maruti 0.69 0.46 30%
a. Based on the above data, you are required to calculate the levered Beta of Tata Motor, if
Debt/Equity (1.65). Tax rate applicable to the company is 27%.
b. Based on the beta obtained from (a), you are required to calculate the WACC of Tata
Motors Ltd. It is observed the G-secs are available in market providing returns to
investors at the rate of 7.75% and at same time an investor has observed risk premium
from NIFTY can be earned at the rate of 5%. Since the company is a highly rated
company, it is enjoying the Cost of debt at the rate of 9.27%.
(8 + 4 = 12 points)
6. Find the value of share of Tata Motors Ltd, using FCFF technique as on 25th March 2008.
The free cash flows to firm are expected to grow at 11% p.a. from the FY 11 to 15 and
stabilizes at 8/% thereafter.
(22 points)
TMS 2008-10
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iv. Changing Lifestyles: Changing lifestyles and increasing demand for better products
has enhanced consumption levels and rapid growth in several areas like passenger cars,
retail chains, cellular phones, and cable and satellite television. The Company, with its
wide portfolio, is expected to benefit from the improvement in lifestyle and higher
aspiration levels in passenger car segment, and also from the potential growth in freight
movement.
D. Threats
i. Infrastructure Bottlenecks: Increasing congestion in cities has attracted government’s
attention towards development of mass transit system like buses and trains. Domestic
passenger vehicle demand could be impacted by the growth of road- and rail-based
mass transit systems. However, the Company would benefit from the road-based mass
transit system due to its wide range of commercial passenger carriers.
ii. Global Competition: India continues to be an attractive destination for the global
automotive players. The global automotive manufacturers present in India have been
expanding their product portfolio and enhancing their production capacities. The
commercial vehicle segment is also expected to see severe competition in future once
Mercedes and Hyundai launch their trucks in India.
iii. Rising Oil Prices: The sky rocketing oil prices are a threat to the automobile industry.
If the same situation continues in future, this will affect the sales of the company.
iv. Rising Input Cost: Prices of commodity items like steel, non-ferrous and precious
metals and rubber witnessed an upward movement, which was partially offset by the
Company’s cost reduction initiatives. The price of steel, in particular, has increased by
30%-35% in the last 24 months and is expected to further increase significantly in the
coming year. Whilst the Company continues to pursue cost reduction initiatives,
increase in price of input materials could have a negative impact on the demand in the
domestic market and/or could severely impact the Company’s profitability to the extent
that the market, through price realization, does not absorb the same.
2. a. The Key Strategy of the Company follows: The company is a leader in Heavy and
Light Commercial vehicle segment and it is one of the top three Passenger vehicle
manufacturers. The company is adopting the following strategies to increase its revenue
and market as well as to be a leader in automobile industry.
Product Range: The Company has a vast product range in both passenger car and
commercial vehicle segments. Last year, i.e. in 2007, it has introduced new versions in
Tata Ace to cater to the rural public transport, which was earlier occupied by three
wheelers. In early 2008, it introduced Tata Nano, the world’s cheapest car; this is
expected to revolutionize the passenger car segment when it is launched.
Technology Absorption
i. To increase its competence, the company continues to upgrade its technology on a
regular basis. Simultaneously, it is steadily progressing with its program to
transform its entire product range to meet the future needs of an evolving global
market. It aims to provide contemporary products that offer a strong value
proposition to its customers. Tata Motors’ vehicles and engines are compliant with
regulatory norms in India as also the countries to which they are exported. The
company has also developed Euro IV diesel engines for the European markets.
ii. Tata Motors has also undertaken programs to develop vehicles, which would run
on alternate fuels like CNG, LPG, Bio-diesel and also electric traction.
iii. In keeping with the requirement of technological up-gradation of Engines
development facility, the company has added several state-of-the art Test Cells,
Testing facilities and other facilities such as Climatic Chamber, Mileage
Accumulation Chassis Dynamometer (MACD), Sealing Housing Evaporative
Emission Detection (SHED) Facility etc at its Engineering Research Center.
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3. The volatility of stock can be measured through beta of the stock, which can be calculated as
follows:
Period BSE 500 CMP of Ret. fm Ret. on (X – x) (X – x)^2
Index Share Index = X Share = Y (Y – y)
(Rs.) (%) (%)
November 2004 2,548.36 482.85
December 2004 2,779.65 505.15 9.08 4.62 7.70 31.65
January 2005 2,726.49 504.75 –1.91 –0.08 17.85 28.76
February 2005 2,825.65 475.15 3.64 –5.86 –1.70 0.03
March 2005 2,734.66 413.95 –3.22 –12.88 107.59 44.49
April 2005 2,610.50 411.9 –4.54 –0.50 29.93 63.84
May 2005 2,829.20 432.95 8.38 5.11 9.17 24.28
June 2005 2,928.31 425.05 3.50 –1.82 –0.27 0.00
July 2005 3,124.78 480.95 6.71 13.15 32.27 10.62
August 2005 3,273.00 462.85 4.74 –3.76 –9.07 1.67
September 2005 3,521.83 534.45 7.60 15.47 50.74 17.24
October 2005 3,198.69 473 –9.18 –11.50 186.20 159.40
November 2005 3,568.37 555.6 11.56 17.46 115.23 65.73
December 2005 3,795.96 653 6.38 17.53 41.81 8.57
January 2006 4,004.96 709.3 5.51 8.62 11.04 4.23
Sum 48.24 45.56 598.48 460.53
Mean 3.45 3.25
Covariance of
Security with 42.75
True Market
Beta 1.30
4. Michael Porter Analysis of Indian passenger car industry.
Threat of Entry: The entry threat barrier for passenger vehicle market is moderate. The
passenger vehicle market is not highly regulated. The regulations are mainly in the form of
emission norms, which are very high due to global climatic concerns. Further, the market is
largely untapped. The Indian passenger car market has a penetration of just 7 cars per 1000
people. However, the industry is highly capital intensive, and requires huge network of
dealers and service centers to provide after–sales services.
Bargaining Power of Suppliers: The bargaining power of suppliers is moderate. The
bargaining power of the ancillary suppliers is low mainly because of the highly unorganized
nature of auto-ancillary industry. Even though more suppliers have joined in the production
of auto grade steel, suppliers control their prices to some extent. Any increase in the price of
raw materials can increase the prices of steel.
Competitive Rivalry: The competitive rivalry is high in the passenger car industry;
especially, it is very high in compact car segment, which is the largest segment in the Indian
passenger car industry. More players are entering to tap this segment. As a result, existing
players are offering incentives to keep up their share. Further, the price difference is very low
in this segment.
However, in the premium segment the competition decreases as one goes up the ladder due to
decreasing number of players.
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Bargaining Power of Buyers: The bargaining power of buyers is low. Buyers are highly
unorganized in this industry. They do not have any bargaining power, except for large fleet
owners and government organizations, which have certain degree of bargaining power. The
main reason being products are highly standardized.
Threat of Substitute: The threat of substitute is high in this industry mainly because the
options of alternative transport like two-wheelers, and public transport like
three-wheeler taxis, buses and trains. Even for entrepreneurs, they have a lot of alternative
investment opportunities other than automobile industry that give them better returns.
5. a.
Particulars A/L M&M Maruti Tata Motors
Beta 0.97 0.98 0.69
Debt/Equity 1.53 1.21 0.46 1.65
Tax 27% 30% 30% 27%
Unlevered Beta 0.37 0.48 0.88
Average of Unlevered Beta 0.58
Leveraged Beta for Tata Motors 1.64
Unlevered Beta = Beta/[{1 + (1 – t)}*(D/E)]
Required levered beta = (Average of Unlevered Beta) x (D/E of Tata motors) x {1 + (1 – t)}
b. Ke = 5 + 1.64(7.75)
= 17.71%
WACC = 17.71*10905/14914 + 9.27(1 – .27)*4009/14914
= 12.95 + 1.82
= 14.77%.
6.
Terminal
Particulars FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15
Value
Total Revenue 277312 285771 342726 411073
Revenue Growth (%) 3.05% 19.93% 19.94%
FCF Margin (%) –1.2% 6.2% 4.9% 4.1%
Tax Rate (%) 25.7% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Capex/Sales 2.34% 1.49% 2.71% 2.76%
SGR 8%
Growth 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%
Revenue( Sales) 266603 276696 332035 398442
EBIT 15247 18959 23367 28643
% of Revenues 5.72% 6.85% 7.04% 7.19%
Depreciation 5787 6230 6860 7630
% of Revenues 2.17% 2.25% 2.07% 1.91%
EBITDA 21034 25189 30227 36273
% of Revenues 7.89% 9.10% 9.10% 9.10%
Less: Cash Tax 3912 5688 7010 8593
NOPLAT 17122 19501 23217 27680
Capex –23660 –5996 –7000 –11000
Changes in WC –4520 –2761 –7423 –9162
Post Tax Non-
7961 6353 7484 8842
operating Cash Flows
Free Cash Flows –3097 17096 16278 16360 18159 20157 22374 24835 27567 476357
Total Present Value 320334 17064 14486 12979 12845 12712 12580 12450 12321 212898
Book Value of Debt 40091
Fundamental Value
280243
of Equity
No. of Outstanding
385
Shares (million)
Fundamental Value
727.9
of Equity
210