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The project is about the study of equity and derivative market. It gives the knowledge of market
position of the company. I studied as to how this company proves to an option for the investors,
by studying the performance of investing in equity & derivative for few months considering their
analysis. I selected area of COMPARITIVE ANALYSIS OF EQUITY & DERIVATIVE, which
attract different kinds of investors to invest in equity derivative and to face high risk and get high
returns. The major findings of the project are to overview of the comparison of equity cash
segment and equity derivative segment, overview of the equity and F & O segment from April
2010 to June 2010. The methodology of the project here is to analyze the Equity & Derivative
performance based on NAV, EPS and other things. In this project I also included my practical
situation during the project internship, that how the market goes up and down and why it
happens.
The methodology of the project here is to analyze the investment opportunities available for
those investors & study the returns & risk involved in various investment opportunities and also
study of investment management & risk management. So for that we have to study & analyze the
performance of Equity & Derivative in the market. We know that there is a high risk, high return
in equity but in a long time only. While in derivative there is a high risk, high return in the short
term, because derivative contract is for short time for 1/2/3 months only. So this project included
different types of returns, margin & risk involved in equity, and types, need, use & margin
involved in the derivatives market and also participants & terms use in derivative market.
CHAPTERIZATION
CHAPTER-I: INTRODUCTION
EQUTIY PERSPECTIVES
The oldest stock exchange in Asia (established in 1875) and the first in the country to be granted
permanent recognition under the Securities Contract Regulation Act, 1956, Bombay Stock
Exchange Limited (BSE) has had an interesting rise to prominence over the past 133 years. A lot
has changed since 1875 when 318 persons became members of what today is called “Bombay
Stock Exchange Limited” paying a princely amount of Re 1. In 2002, the name "The Stock
Exchange, Mumbai" was changed to Bombay Stock Exchange. Subsequently on August 19,
2005, the exchange turned into a corporate entity from an Association of Persons (AoP) and
renamed as Bombay Stock Exchange Limited.
BSE, which had introduced securities trading in India, replaced its open outcry system of trading
in 1995, with the totally automated trading through the BSE Online trading (BOLT) system. The
BOLT network was expanded nationwide in 1997.
Since then, the stock market in the country has passed through both good and bad periods. The
journey in the 20th century has not been an easy one. Till the decade of eighties, there was no
measure or scale that could precisely measure the various ups and downs in the Indian stock
market. Bombay stock Exchange Limited (BSE) in 1986 came out with a stock Index that
subsequently became the barometer of the Indian Stock Market.
The growth of equity markets in India has been phenomenal in the decade gone by Right from
early nineties the stock market witnessed heightened activity in terms of various bull and bear
runs. The SENSEX captured all these happenings in the most judicial manner. One can identify
the booms and bust of the Indian equity market through SENSEX.
The Exchange also disseminates the Price-Earnings Ratio, the Price to Book Value Ratio and the
Dividend Yield Percentage on day-to-day basis of all its major indices. The value of all BSE
indices are every 15 seconds during the market hours and displayed through the BOLT system.
BSE website and news wire agencies.
All BSE-Indices are reviewed periodically by the “Index Committee” of the Exchange. The
Committee frames the broad policy guidelines for the development and maintenance of all BSE
indices. Department of BSE Indices of the exchange carries out the day to day maintenance of all
indices and conducts research on development of new indices.
Institutional investors, money managers and small investors all refer to the Sensex for their
specific purposes The Sensex is in effect the substitute for the Indian stock markets. The
country's first derivative product i.e. Index-Futures was launched on SENSEX.
A system that facilitates the exchange of money for financial assets. A security market such as
the National Stock Exchange is an example of a financial market.
Financial market
When you buy a share of a company you become a shareholder in that company. Shares
are also known as Equities. Equities have the potential to increase in value over time. It also
provides your portfolio with the growth necessary to reach your long term investment goals.
Research studies have proved that the equities have outperformed most other forms of
investments in the long term.
Holding a company’s stock means that you are one of the many owners (shareholders) of
a company, and, as such, you have a claim (to the extent of your holding) to everything the
company owns. As an owner, you are entitled to your share of the company's earnings as well as
any voting rights attached to the stock. Some may hold only a single share worth a few rupees,
cast only a single vote, and receive a tiny proportion of profit and dividends. Shareholders may
also include giant pension funds and insurance companies whose investment may run to millions
of shares and hundreds of millions of rupees, and who are entitled to a correspondingly large
number of votes and proportion of profits and dividends.
Although the stockholders own the corporation, they do not manage it. Instead, they vote
to elect a board of directors. The board of directors represents the shareholders. It appoints top
management and is supposed to ensure that managers act in the shareholders’ best interest.
For example, in a company the total equity capital of Rs 2,00,00,000 is divided into
20,00,000 units of Rs 10 each. Each such unit of Rs 10 is called a Share. Thus, the company then
is said to have 20, 00,000 equity shares of Rs 10 each.
Derivative market: -
The derivatives markets are the financial markets for derivatives. The market can be
divided into two, that for exchange traded derivatives (ETD) and that for over-the-counter
derivatives(OTC).
The word “DERIVATIVES” is derived from the word itself derived of an underlying
asset. It is a future image or copy of an underlying asset which may be shares, stocks,
commodities, stock index, etc.
For example, wheat farmers may wish to sell their harvest at a future date to eliminate the risk of
a change in prices by that date. Such a transaction is an example of a derivative. The price of this
derivative is driven by the spot price of wheat which is the "underlying".
Derivatives have become very important in the field finance. They are very important
financial instruments for risk management as they allow risks to be separated and traded.
Derivatives are used to shift risk and act as a form of insurance. This shift of risk means that each
party involved in the contract should be able to identify all the risks involved before the contract
is agreed.
It is also important to remember that derivatives are derived from an underlying asset.
This means that risks in trading derivatives may change depending on what happens to the
underlying asset. The underlying asset can be equity, forex, commodity or any other asset.
For example, if the settlement price of a derivative is based on the stock price of a stock for e.g.
Infosys, which frequently changes on a daily basis, then the derivative risks are also changing on
a daily basis. This means that derivative risks and positions must be monitored constantly.
1) To find the RIGHT SCRIPT to buy and sell at the RIGHT TIME.
2) To understand the basic of equity investment like cost of equity, risk associated and different
strategies involved in that.
3) To understand the concept of the Financial Derivatives such as Futures and Options.
4) To know how derivatives can be use for hedging.
5) To know the outcome of Equity and Derivative.
SCOPE OF THE STUDY
The study is limited to “Equity and Derivative Market” With reference to the Indian context and
the India Infoline has been taken as representative sample for the study.
The study cannot be said as totally perfect, any alteration may come. The study has only made
humble attempt at evaluating the comparison of Equity & Derivatives Markets only in Indian
Context. The study is not based on the International perspective of the stock markets.
Primary method: This method includes the data collected (of the various companies) from the
personal interaction with authorized members of India Infoline limited. Also the method of
analyzing has been explained by them.
Origin:
India infoline Ltd., was founded in 1995 by a group of professional with impeccable
educational qualifications and professional credentials. Its institutional investors include Intel
Capital (world's) leading technology company, CDC (promoted by UK government), ICICI,
TDA and Reeshanar.
India Infoline group offers the entire gamut of investment products including stock
broking, Commodities broking, Mutual Funds, Fixed Deposits, GOI Relief bonds, Post office
savings and life Insurance. India Infoline is the leading corporate agent of ICICI Prudential Life
Insurance Co. Ltd., which is India' No. 1 Private sector life insurance company.
www.indiainfoline.com has been the only India Website to have been listed by none
other than Forbes in it's 'Best of the Web' survey of global website, not just once but three times
in a row and counting... “A must read for investors in south Asia” is how they choose to describe
India Infoline. It has been rated as No.l the category of Business News in Asia by Alexia rating.
Stock and Commodities broking is offered under the trade name 5paisa. India Infoline
Commodities pvt Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of India Infoline Ltd., holds membership of
MCX and NCDEX
1. To engage or undertake software and internet based services, data processing IT enabled
services, software development services, selling advertisement space on the site, web
consulting and related services including web designing and web maintenance, software
product development and marketing, software supply services, computer consultancy
services, E-Commerce of all types including electronic financial intermediation business
and E-broking, market research, business and management consultancy.
2. To undertake, conduct, study, carry on, help, promote any kind of research, probe,
investigation, survey, developmental work on economy, industries, corporate business
houses, agricultural and mineral, financial institutions, foreign financial institutions,
capital market on matters related to investment decisions primary equity market,
secondary equity market, debentures, bond, ventures, capital funding proposals,
competitive analysis, preparations of corporate / industry profile etc. and trade / invest in
researched securities
“Our vision is to be the most respected company in the financial services space In India”.
Products: the India Infoline pvt ltd offers the following products
A. E-broking.
B. Distribution
C. Insurance
D. PMS
E. Mortgages
A. E-Broking:
It refers to Electronic Broking of Equities, Derivatives and Commodities under the brand name
of 5paisa
1. Equities
2. Derivatives
3. Commodities
B.Distribution:
1. Mutual funds
3. Fixed deposits
C.Insurance:
The India Infoline group comprises the holding company, India Infoline Ltd, which has 5
wholly-owned subsidiaries, engaged in distinct yet complementary businesses which together
offer a whole bouquet of products and services to make your money grow.
The corporate structure has evolved to comply with oddities of the regulatory framework
but still beautifully help attain synergy and allow flexibility to adapt to dynamics of different
businesses.
The parent company, India Infoline Ltd owns and managers the web properties
www.Indiainfoline.com and www.5paisa.com. It also undertakes research Customized and off-
the-shelf.
Indian Infoline Securities Pvt. Ltd. is a member of BSE, NSE and DP with NSDL. Its
business encompasses securities broking Portfolio Management services.
India Infoline.com Distribution Co. Ltd., Mobilizes Mutual Funds and other personal
investment products such as bonds, fixed deposits, etc.
India Infoline Insurance Services Ltd. Is the corporate agent of ICICI Prudential Life Insurance,
engaged in selling Life Insurance, General Insurance and Health Insurance products.
India Infoline Commodities Pvt. Ltd. is a registered commodities broker MCX and offers
futures trading in commodities.
India Infoline Investment Services Pvt Ltd., is proving margin funding and NBFC services to the
customers of India Infoline Ltd.,
India Infoline is a professionally managed Company. The promoters who run the
company/s day-to-day affairs as executive directors have impeccable academic professional track
records.
Nirmal Jain, chairman and Managing Director, is a Chartered Accountant, (All India
Rank 2); Cost Account, (All India Rank l) and has a post-graduate management degree from IIM
Ahmedabad. He had a successful career with Hindustan Lever, where he inter alia handled
Commodities trading and export business. Later he was CEO of an equity research organization.
R. Venkataraman, Director, is armed with a post- graduate management degree from IIM
Bangalore, and an Electronics Engineering degree from IIT, Kharagpur. He spent eight fruitful
years in equity research sales and private equity with the cream of financial houses such as ICICI
group, Barclays de Zoette and G.E. Capital
The non-executive directors on the board bring a wealth of experience and expertise.
Satpal khattar -Reeshanar investments, SingaporeThe key management team comprises seasoned
and qualified professionals.
As per the latest results India Infoline limited's Net Sales for the 3 months period ending 31-
Dec-2009 is Rs.2317.53 Mn and its PAT is Rs 647.17 Mn.
All
figures in
Financials Mn QoQ YoY
Current
Component Quarter Previous Quarter Last Year's Quarter
Gross profit
(OPBDIT) 2398.66 766.53 212.92 2398.66 0
Extraordinary
income / exp 0 0 N.A 0 N.A
Prior period
adjustments 0 0 N.A 0 N.A
Growth Margins -
Quarterly (Difference between successive quarters) In %
Quarter
ending
(months 30-Sep-2009 30-Jun-2009 31-Mar-2009 31-Dec-2006
) 31-Dec-2009 (3) (3) (3) (3) (3)
64.3
GPM 103.5 60.83 5 71.04 37.63 71.04 0 71.04 0 71.04
60.0
OPM 102.47 70.61 6 90.59 31.51 90.59 0 90.59 0 90.59
57.3 - - -
NPM 102.47 78.78 1 303.05 -28.23 303.05 0 303.05 0 -303.05
View the line graphs below for the Sales & Pat growth pattern over last 5 quarters:
Figured in Mn
Equity
Total equity capital of a company is divided into equal units of small denominations, each called
a share.
It is a stock or any other security representing an ownership interest.
It proves the ownership interest of stock holders in a company.
For example:-
In a company the total equity capital of Rs 2, 00, 00,000 is divided into 20, 00,000 units of Rs 10
each. Each such unit of Rs 10 is called a Share. Thus, the company then is said to have 20,
00,000 equity shares of Rs 10 each. The holders of such shares are members of the company and
have voting rights.
To expand the business, a company, at some point, needs to raise money. To do this, it can
either borrow by taking a loan or raise funds by offering prospective investors a stake in the
company. which is known as issuing stock. However it can also buy back those shares, if
required. A company usually borrows from banks and/or financial institutions. This is called
‘debt financing’.
On the other hand, issuing stock is called ‘equity financing’. Loans raised are used for
temporary cash requirements (such as borrowing to fund a project), issuing stock is used to raise
funds of a permanent nature.
After taking the financing decision now the company has to decide the investment
decision. Investment and financing decisions are typically separated. When an investment
opportunity or “project” is identified, the project manager first asks whether the project is worth
more than the capital required to undertake it. If the answer is yes, he or she then considers how
the project should be financed.
Value investing means identifying and investing in companies that are believed to be
currently undervalued but whose worth will be recognized by the market eventually. These
companies’ intrinsic or fundamental values are higher than their current market values. This
strategy implies investing in such companies before the markets recognize their true values and
push up their share prices accordingly.
Growth investing means investing in those companies that show steady growth over a
certain time period, whose turnover and profits are expected to grow significantly, which will
result in appreciation in their share prices. Companies, whose potential for growth in sales and
earnings are excellent, are growing faster than other companies in the market are or other stocks
in the same industry are called the Growth Stocks. These companies usually pay little or no
dividends and instead prefer to reinvest their profits in their business for further expansions.
CHARACTERISTICS OF EQUITY
Profit Sharing: Investors can enjoy unlimited participation in the earnings of the firm.
Generally, there is no limit for a particular firm to earn profit and if it wants, it can
distribute a part of that among the shareholders as dividends, because the dividend payment
is not compulsory. Dividend is a percentage of the face value of a share that a company
returns to its shareholders from its annual profits. Of course there is always a risk of non-
functioning or less profitability of the firm, which mainly the equity shareholders have to
bear.
Voting Rights: Equity stocks come with certain rights including the voting rights to which
the investors are entitled.
Limited Liability: Another important feature of equity is its limited liability, which means
that stockholders cannot be held personally responsible for the firm’s debt, unlike
partnerships and sole proprietorships. In case of bankruptcies no one can demand the
shareholders to put up more money to cover the companies’ debts. Stockholders can lose
their entire investment, but no more.
Highly liquid: Equity stocks are generally highly liquid instruments, which can be bought
and sold easily in the equity markets. Ownership stake in the company changes with every
buy and sell. An investor can acquire ownership and sell off his ownership quite easily
whenever he wishes to do so.
Benefits from Equity
1. Monetary Benefits:
A. Dividend: An equity shareholder has a right on the profits generated by the Company. Profits
are distributed in part or in full in the form of dividends. Dividend is an earning on the
investment made in shares, just like interest in case Of bonds or debentures. A company can
issue dividend in two forms:
a) Interim Dividend
b) Final Dividend.
While final dividend is distributed only after closing of financial year; companies at times
declare an interim dividend during a financial year. Hence if X Ltd. earns a profit of Rs 40 crore
and decides to distribute Rs 2 to each shareholder, a holding of 200 shares of X Ltd. Would
entitle you to Rs 400 as dividend. This is a return that you shall earn as a result of the investment
made by you by subscribing to the shares of X Ltd.
B. Capital Appreciation: A shareholder also benefits from capital appreciation. Simply put, this
means an increase in the value of the company usually reflected in its share price. Companies
generally do not distribute all their profits as dividend. As the companies grow, profits are re-
invested in the business. This means an increase in net worth, which results in appreciation in the
value of shares. Hence, if you purchase 200 shares of X Ltd at Rs 20 per share and hold the
same for two years, after which the value of each share is Rs 35. This means that your capital has
appreciated by Rs 3000.
2. Non-Monetary Benefits:
Apart from dividends and capital appreciation, investments in shares also fetch some type of
non-monetary benefits to a shareholder. Bonuses and rights issues are two such noticeable
benefits.
A. Bonus: An issue of bonus shares is the distribution free of cost to the shareholders usually
made when a company capitalizes on profits made over a period of time. Rather than paying
dividends, companies give additional shares in a pre-defined ratio. Prima facie, it does not affect
the wealth of shareholders. However, in practice, bonuses carry certain latent advantages such as
tax benefits, better future growth potential, and an increase in the floating stock of the company,
etc. Hence if X Ltd decides to issue bonus shares in a ration of 1:1, every existing Shareholder of
X Ltd would receive one additional share free for each share held by him. Of course, taking the
bonus into account, the share price would also ideally fall by 50 percent post bonus. However,
depending upon market expectations, the share price may rise or fall on the bonus
announcement.
B. Rights Issue: A rights issue involves selling of ordinary shares to the existing shareholders of
the company. A company wishing to increase its subscribed capital by allotment of further shares
should first offer them to its existing shareholders. The benefit of a rights issue is that existing
shareholders maintain control of the company. Also, this results in an expanded capital base,
after which the company is able to perform better. This gets reflected in the appreciation of share
value.
Most risks associated with investments in shares can be reduced by using the tool of
diversification. Purchasing shares of different companies and creating a diversified portfolio has
proven to be one of the most reliable tools of risk reduction.
The process of Diversification:
When you hold shares in a single company, you run the risk of a large magnitude. As your
portfolio expands to include shares of more companies, the company specific risk reduces. The
benefits of creating a well diversified portfolio can be gauged from the fact that as you add more
shares to your portfolio, the weightage of each company’s share gets reduced. Hence any adverse
event related to any one company would not expose you to immense risk. The same logic can be
extended to a sector or an industry. In fact, diversifying across sectors and industries reaps the
real benefits of diversification. Sector specific risks get minimised when shares of other sectors
are added to the portfolio. This is because a recession or a downtrend is not seen in all sectors
together at the same time.
Selection of Shares:
Proper selections of shares are of two types:-
1. Fundamental analysis:
It involves in –depth study and analysis of the prospective company whose shares we want to
buy, the industry it operates in and the overall market scenario. It can be done by reading and
assessing the company’s annual reports, research reports published by equity research houses,
research analysis published by the media and discussions with the company’s management or the
other experienced investors.
2. Technical analysis :
It involves studying the prices movement of the stock over an extended period of
time in the past to judge the trend of the future price movement. It can be done by
software programs, which generate stock prices charts indicating upward. Downward and
sideways movements of the stock price over the stipulated time period.
When to buy
Three ways by which we can figure that out what it is about this stock that makes it
hot.
EPS is the total earning or profits made by company (during a given period of time) calculated
on per share basis. It aims to give an exact evaluation of the returns that the company can deliver.
Example:
Capital is the amount the owner has in the business. As the business grows and makes profits, it
adds to its capital. This capital is subdivided into shares (or stocks). The capital is divided into
100 million shares of Rs 10 each.
Lesson to be learnt
If a company's EPS has grown over the years, it means the company is doing well, and
the price of the share will go up. If the EPS declines, that's a bad sign, and the stock price
falls.
Companies are required to publish their quarterly results. Keep an eye out for these
results; check for the trend in their EPS.
2 Price earnings ratio (PE ratio): How other investors view this share
An indicator of how highly a share is valued in the market. It arrived at by dividing the closing
price of a share on a particular day by EPS. The ratio tends to be high in the case of highly rated
shares. The average PE ratio for companies in an industry group is often given in investment
journal. Two stocks may have the same EPS. But they may have different market prices. That's
because, for some reason, the market places a greater value on that stock. PE ratio is the market
price of the stock divided by its EPS.
In the above cases, both companies have the same EPS. But because their market price is
different, the PE ratio is different.
Lesson to be learnt
In the case of EPS, it is not so much a high or low EPS that matters as the growth in
the EPS. The company's PE reflects investors' expectations of future growth in the
EPS. A high PE company is one where investors have hopes that earnings will rise,
which is why they buy the share.
The stock market is not nostalgic. It is forward looking. For instance, it sometimes happens that a
sick company, that has made losses for several years, gets a rehabilitation package from its bank
and a new CEO. As a consequence, the company's stock shoots up. Because investors think the
company will do better in the future because of the package and new leadership, and its earnings
will go up. And we think it is a good time to buy the shares of the company now. Suddenly, the
demand for the shares has gone up. Because stock prices are based on expectations of future
earnings, analysts usually estimate the future earnings per share of a company. This is known as
the forward PE. Forward PE is the current market price divided by the estimated EPS, usually for
the next financial year.
Forward PE = Current market price/ estimate EPS for the next financial year.
To illustrate what we have been talking about, let's take the example of Infosys Technologies.
Trailing 12-month EPS = Rs 56.82 (EPS of the last four quarters)
Closing price on January 6 = Rs 2043.15
PE = Price/EPS = 2043.15/ 56.82 = 35.95
Estimated EPS for 2004-05 = Rs 67
Estimated EPS for 2005-06 = Rs 90
Forward PE = current market price/ estimated EPS for next financial year
Forward PE for 2004-05 = 2043.15/ 67 = 30.49
Forward PE for 2005-06 = 2043.15/ 90 = 22.70
With an EPS growth of over 30%, a forward PE of 22.7 is not high, indicating that there is scope
to be optimistic about the stock's price.
Lesson to be learnt
Sometimes, investors look out for a low PE stock, expecting that its price will rise in
the future. But sometimes, low PE stocks may remain low PE stocks for ages,
because the market doesn't fancy them.
Keep tab on the business news to check out the company's prospects in the future
When to sell
The target price can be computed by assessing the company’s estimated financial performance
over the next 3 to 5 years, computing its EPS and using an acceptable P/E ratio to compute the
future market price. Based on this future estimated price and our required return on our
investment, compute our target price.
Takeover news:
When one of your stock holding is getting bought by other companies, it may be time to sell.
Sure, you might like the acquiring company but you still need to figure out the fair value of the
common stock of the acquiring company. If the acquiring company is overvalued, then it is best
to sell.
Example:-
Suppose shares of a company bought by an investor. Its market value today is Rs.50 lakhs but its
market value tomorrow is obviously not known. An investor holding these shares may, based on
VaR methodology, say that 1-day VaR is Rs.4 lakhs at 99% confidence level. This implies that
under normal trading conditions the investor can, with 99% confidence, say that the value of the
shares would not go down by more than Rs.4 lakhs within next 1-day.
In the stock exchange scenario, a VaR Margin is a margin intended to cover the largest
loss (in%) that may be faced by an investor for his / her shares (both purchases and sales) on a
single day with a 99% confidence level. The VaR margin is collected on an upfront basis (at the
time of trade).
To compute, volatility for January 1, 2008, first we need to compute day’s return for Jan 1, 2009
by using LN (close price on Jan 1, 2009 / close price on Dec 31, 2008).
Take volatility computed as on December 31, 2008.
Use the following formula to calculate volatility for January 1, 2009:
Square root of [0.94*(Dec 31, 2008 volatility)*(Dec 31, 2008 volatility)+ 0.06*(January 1, 2009
LN return)*(January 1, 2009 LN return)]
Example:
Share of ABC Ltd
Volatility on December 31, 2008 = 0.0314
Closing price on December 31, 2008 = Rs. 360 Closing price on January 1, 2009 = Rs. 330
January 1, 2009 volatility =
Square root of [(0.94*(0.0314)*(0.0314) + 0.06 (0.08701)* (0.08701)] = 0.037 or 3.7%
Example:
In the Example given at question 10, the VaR margin rate for shares of ABC Ltd. was 13%.
Suppose the 1.5 times standard deviation of daily LN returns is 3.1%. Then 5% (which is higher
than 3.1%) will be taken as the Extreme Loss margin rate.
Therefore, the total margin on the security would be 18% (13% VaR Margin + 5% Extreme Loss
Margin). As such, total margin payable (VaR margin + extreme loss margin) on a trade of Rs.10
lakhs would be 1, 80,000/-
Example:
A buyer purchased 1000 shares @ Rs.100/- at 11 am on January 1, 2008. If close price of the
shares on that day happens to be Rs.75/-, then the buyer faces a notional loss of Rs.25, 000/ - on
his buy position. In technical terms this loss is called as MTM loss and is payable by January 2,
2008 (that is next day of the trade) before the trading begins.
In case price of the share falls further by the end of January 2, 2008 to Rs. 70/-, then buy
position would show a further loss of Rs.5,000/-. This MTM loss is payable.
In case, on a given day, buy and sell quantity in a share are equal, that is net quantity
position is zero, but there could still be a notional loss / gain (due to difference between the buy
and sell values), such notional loss also is considered for calculating the MTM payable.
MTM Profit/Loss = [(Total Buy Qty X Close price)] - Total Buy Value] - [Total Sale Value -
(Total Sale Qty X Close price)]
Choose a company:
Select companies in businesses that you already have an idea of and find interesting. One of the
businesses that could be of interest to you would be the one, which you are affiliated to because
of your employment or so on. For instance, if you are working in a manufacturing company, you
may understand this business well.
Just try to understand and analyze companies past performance and based on that determine the
future growth of the company. Ratio analysis is widely used to assess a company’s past
performance.
The promoters and the management team of a company are the key people who drive
its business. Their integrity dictates whether the business benefits or they benefit
personally. Also, their experience and business competence is crucial for business
growth. Evaluate the company’s promoters and management on the basis of four Cs:
Competence, Credibility, Corporate governance and Concern for shareholders.
Forecast the future prospects of the company
Although a company may have performed really well in the past, it is not necessary that it will
continue performing well in the future. All companies go through business cycles of ups and
downs. It is important that you form a view on the future trends of the business of the company
you have chosen. This can be done by reading views of experts in that business/industry and
forming your own view by reading and understanding economic trends and the impact of these
trends on the company’s business.
As mentioned earlier, the share price of all companies continuously fluctuate on the stock
markets with investors buying and selling the shares. The price at which an investor is willing to
buy or sell a share of a company is the perceived value of the share of the company taking into
consideration the company’s present business and future business growth. In addition to this,
investor sentiment plays a large role in pricing of stocks. It is important that before you buy a
company’s share, you assess whether the price of the share at which it is available for purchase,
is adequately valued i.e. it is not over-priced. Similarly, when you sell, you need to make sure
that you are not selling too cheap. To help you assess this, you could use a popular stock market
ratio called the Price/Earning ratio (P/E ratio).
The P/E ratio helps judge by how many times the company’s share is traded based on its
earnings. In this case, the company’s stock is available at a multiple of 15 times its earnings. The
higher the P/E ratio, the higher is the stock’s valuation. Usually market prices of well-established
companies with a good past track record and reputed promoters command a high P/E ratio.
To use the P/E ratio correctly, keep the following aspects in perspective:
Compare the P/E ratio of a company with that of other companies in the same business.
Compare it with P/E ratios of the benchmark indices such as the P/E ratio of the BSE
Sensex, the NSE Nifty, etc.
Compare the P/E ratio with the growth potential of the company and the industry it is a
part of. There could be a situation that even if the P/E ratio of a company is high, it would be
worthwhile to buy the stock if the growth potential is significant.
It is said that the higher the P/E the more the market is willing to pay for the company’s earnings.
But it doesn’t holds true always as a high P/E ratio can be an indicator of lesser return and a low
P/E ratio can also indicate a higher return which we can understand with the help of an example:
Stock A Stock B *
P/E Ratio 5 10
* Stock B is more expensive than Stock A in terms of earnings. For Stock B, you must pay
Rs20.00 to earn Rs2.00, but for Stock A, you pay only Rs10.00 to earn Rs 2.00.
To conclude, just because a company’s P/E ratio is high, it does not mean that it is over-priced.
Consider this ratio along with other factors such as past performance, business potential,
promoters, the company’s order book position, etc.
Apart from analyzing the P/E ratio of certain companies, there are other fundamental methods
that will help to determine the actual worth of the company. Some of them are:
INTRINSIC VALUE
Intrinsic value means the real worth/ value of the investment, apart from its market price or book
value. The intrinsic value includes other variables such as brand name, trademarks, and
copyrights that are often difficult to calculate and sometimes not accurately reflected in the
market price.
MARGIN OF SAFETY
It is the difference between the companies’ intrinsic value and the stock price. It mainly helps an
investor to take decision regarding his investment. It is basically a principle of investing in
which an investor only purchases shares when the market price is significantly below its intrinsic
value. This difference allows an investor to avoid making inaccurate decision and also minimize
the downside risk of his investment.
For example, you find that the intrinsic value for stock BIOCON is $70 and are currently
traded at $48. After applying 20 per cent discount, the fair value is $56 (20 per cent discount
from $70). So, current price at $48 is still lower than the discounted intrinsic value. In this
case, it is safe to buy the stock today.
EQUITY ANALYSIS
The fundamental analyst believes that securities are priced in a rational manner based on
macroeconomic information, industry news, and the firm's financial statements.
Technical analysis is the technique to forecast the future price of the stock by studying
the past trend such as past price, volume and market data. It only deals with the price movements
in the market with the help of various charts. It generally study the supply and demand of the
market and on the basis of that determine the trend that will continue in the future.
There are two classic market types used to characterize the general direction of the market.
Bull Market
Bear Market
Bull markets are movements in the stock market in which prices are rising and the
consensus is that prices will continue moving upward. During this time, economic production is
high, jobs are plentiful and inflation is low.
Bear markets are the opposite--stock prices are falling, and the view is that they will
continue falling. The economy will slow down, coupled with a rise in unemployment and
inflation.
In technical analysis, price movements are believed to follow trends. This means
that after a trend has been established, the future price movement is more likely to be in the
same direction as the trend than to be against it. Most technical trading strategies are based
on this assumption. Moving Averages and Elliott wave principle are said to be the most
common trend indicators.
History tends to repeat itself:
Another important idea in technical analysis is that history tends to repeat itself,
mainly in terms of price movement. The repetitive nature of price movements is attributed to
market psychology; in other words, market participants tend to provide a consistent reaction
to similar market stimuli over time. Technical analysis uses chart patterns to analyze market
movements and understand trends. Although many of these charts have been used for more
than 100 years, they are still believed to be relevant because they illustrate patterns in price
movements that often repeat themselves.
1) BATA INDIA
2) HDFC
3) ASIAN PAINTS
4) DABUR INDIA LTD
5) MRF TYRES
BATA INDIA:
Present situation:
Net profit of Bata India declined 6.35% to Rs 10.33 crore in the quarter ended March
2009 as against Rs 11.03 crore during the previous quarter ended March 2008. Sales rose 6.80%
to Rs 233.03 crore in the quarter ended March 2009 as against Rs 218.20 crore during the
previous quarter ended March 2008.
The board of Bata India has recommended dividend at the rate of 25%.This was
recommended at the board meeting held on 27 February 2009.
Net profit of Bata India rose 0.05% to Rs 21.11 crore in the quarter ended December
2008 as against Rs 21.10 crore during the previous quarter ended December 2007. Sales rose
9.44% to Rs 255.23 crore in the quarter ended December 2008 as against Rs 233.22 crore during
the previous quarter ended December 2007.
For the full year, net profit rose 28.04% to Rs 60.74 crore in the year ended December 2008 as
against Rs 47.44 crore during the previous year ended December 2007. Sales rose 13.65% to Rs
983.60 crore in the year ended December 2008 as against Rs 865.45 crore during the previous
year ended December 2007.
With the help of candlesticks representation we can analyze that the market of BATA India has
shown a major decline from 150 (and above) to 79.5 in this six months. On the day before the
last day the company has shown a double decline to Rs 76.5. The stock previously moved up
from similar levels in Nov 2008. As per the last day, the company has shown a slight
improvement of Rs.3.5 on the day with an opening at Rs.81- Rs 82 and closing at Rs 84.5. Stop
loss is at Rs.79.5 while upside targets was at Rs.85.5.
The company has shown similar level in the mid of November and then the stock price
moved up to certain level. Once again it came to that level. So Rs 76.5 is said to be the Support
level i.e. from this level the company shows an upward movement and Rs 114- Rs 120 is
considered to be the Level of Resistance. As per the trend goes, it is suggested to buy the stock
with a 1-2 days perspective, as the stock price is expected to move higher. Let’s see whether this
assumption really hold true or not by analyzing the price of next two months i.e. of March- April.
LINE CHART
The Line chart is the simplest type of chart. As shown in the chart the single line represents the
stock’s closing price on each day of the entire year. Dates are displayed along the bottom of the
chart and prices are displayed on the side. Line charts are typically displayed using stocks
closing prices.
BATA INDIA:
As seen in the previous chart that the stock price of the company has shown a decline in
the 28 Feb 2009. But its condition has become somewhat better from March 2009 onwards. On
28 Feb it closes with the price of Rs79.5 and on April it has reached almost Rs 120. And by the
end of the month it has reached to Rs 130.90, thus succeeded to break the resistance level. A
break above the resistance level indicate that buyers have increased their expectations and are
willing to buy at even higher prices.
BATA BSE
With the help of this graph we can say that Rs. 100 invested in the BATA in May 2008 has a
worth of Rs.70 in April 2009, it has almost shown a fall of Rs.30 (approx). During this period,
the benchmark BSE Sensex too recorded a fall with Rs 100 invested in May 2008 declining to
Rs.70 in April 2009. During the time of bearish market both BATA and BSE has shown almost
equal decline in the previous year. But now the share price has started moving in the upward
direction. And as per the technical analysis it is suggested to buy the share of the company.
Now with the help of the fundamental analysis let us analyze whether investing in
this company will be riskier or beneficial.
EPS = 9.1
= 9.1*(1.34)⁵* 14.4
= 566
2008 9.1*1=9.1
2009 9.1*1.34=12.19
2010 9.1*(1.34)²=16.33
2011 9.1*(1.34)³=21.90
2012 9.1*(1.34)⁴=29.34
2013 9.1*(1.34)⁵=39.3
= 128.16*32.6% =41.78
= 566+41.78 =607.78
STEP 3: Calculate Intrinsic Value which is equal to
NPV=608 = 377.64
(1.10)⁵
Since the intrinsic value (377.64) is more than the current stock price (130), the
value of the stock is undervalued
MARGIN OF SAFETY
This is simply discounting the calculated intrinsic value. You can use
any discount rate. In this case, the intrinsic value of BATA is 377.64. Using a
discount rate of 20%, the fair value is 302.11. The current price is Rs130. It is
still lesser than its intrinsic value.
CONCLUSION:
HDFC Bank
HDFC Bank is the second largest private sector bank in the country (after
ICICI Bank) in terms of asset size. At the end of March 2007, it had a franchise of
over 1,600 ATMs and 680 branches. The bank is focusing on loan origination in
the retail, SME (small and medium enterprises) and agriculture segments and on
non-fund based products and services. Its group companies, HDFC Standard Life
(insurance), HDFC AMC (mutual funds) and HDFC Securities (equities) adds
scalability to the bank's offerings.
HDFC Bank Ltd has informed BSE that the Investor Grievance (Share)
Committee of the Bank at its meeting held on May 08, 2009, have approved
allotment of 70,421 equity shares to the employees of the Bank under the
Employees Stock Option Scheme (ESOS).
Price representation by OHLC/ Bar chart
Analyzing the stock movement from May 2008- April 2009:
The stock price of HDFC seems to be highly unstable. The prices are rising
and falling very soon, not giving the time to the investors to decide whether to
stick with their stocks or simply sell them. In May 2008 it has entered with the
price of Rs 1475. And by the end of the same month the price has fallen to Rs.
1050, a fall of approx 28.8%. Again in the month of Sep it has managed to reach
near to Rs 1350. Again within 2 months i.e. in the first week of November itself
the stock price has drastically fall to Rs 825 approx. In April 2009 somehow the
stock price has managed to reach Rs 1075- Rs 1100 and now its current price is
Rs.1379. By analyzing the trend it is suggested not to buy the shares of the
company as previous year the stock price has fallen from this particular level so
there is a chance for the price to follow the same trend again.
With the help of this graph we can say that Rs. 100 invested in the HDFC Bank
in May 2008 has a worth of Rs.94 in April 2009, it has just shown a fall of Rs.6
(approx). During this period, the benchmark BSE Sensex has recorded a fall with
Rs 100 invested in May 2008 declining to Rs.70 in April 2009. During the time of
bearish market HDFC Bank has somehow managed the fall of its stock price
compared to the benchmark BSE. As it is said that equity market is a high risk-
high return market and it holds true as we can see in the case of HDFC Bank. The
investors of the bank haven’t faced much loss as compared to the investors of the
some other companies, as by the end of the year it has managed to reach the
price level of its starting point. The investors of the company are still standing in
the same point where they were standing in the previous year. And as there were
high fluctuations in the price level, so it is suggested not to hurry in investing in
the company.
EPS = 53.0
= 53*(1.06)⁵* 26.0
= 1846.52
2010 53*(1.06)²=59.55
2011 53*(1.06)³=63.12
2012 53*(1.06)⁴=66.90
2013 53*(1.06)⁵=71.02
= 369.77*18.9% =69.88
= 1846.52+69.88 =1916.4
NPV=1916.4 = 1190.3
(1.10)⁵
STEP 4: Compare with current stock price
Since the intrinsic value (1190.3) is less than the current stock price (1379),
the value of the stock is overvalued
MARGIN OF SAFETY
This is simply discounting the calculated intrinsic value. You can use
any discount rate. In this case, the intrinsic value of HDFC Bank is Rs 1190.3,
which is already less than the stock price. Discounting the intrinsic value will
make the value of the company lesser than its stock price. Using a discount rate
of 20%, the fair value is 952.24. The current price is Rs1379. In this case the
stock price is more than the actual worth of the company. So it is advisable, not
to buy the stock.
CONCLUSION
Investing in the company is not that beneficial on the basis of both technical and
fundamental analyses. In case of technical analysis it has been found that the
share price of the company is highly unstable and fundamental analysis showed
that the price is more than the actual worth of the company. From which it can be
concluded that investing in the company includes high risk. So, it is not advisable
to buy the stock.
ASIAN PAINTS
Asian Paints has a market share of around 49% in the decorative paint segment.
The company, through a 50:50 joint venture with PPG Industries US, also has
presence in the automotive paints segment. The company is well focus on its core
business of paints and has posted a Company Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 28%
over the last five years in top line. The other competitors are Berger paint,
Nerolac etc.
The company manufactures and markets paints. The group also
manufactures phthalic anhydride and pentaerythritol. The group operates in
Australia, Fiji, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Vanuatu, Myanmar, China, Thailand,
Malaysia, Singapore, Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bahrain, the UAE, Oman,
Barbados, Jamaica, Trinidad, Tobago, Egypt, Mauritius and Malta.
By analyzing the chart one can easily say that the company has shown a
steady decline over a certain period of time. On May 2008 the stock price of the
company was nearly around Rs1220-Rs 1230. It has even touched the price level
of Rs 1300 once in the mid of the month and then declined to Rs 1175 by the end
of the same month, which means a decline of 9.6% approx within a month itself.
Then again the stock price slightly increased to a level of Rs 1275, in the month of
August but after that it is showing a continuous fall in the price. The major fall in
the price level can be seen in the last week of September, when the share price
has declined from Rs 1180 to Rs 980, a straight Rs 200/ 16.9% fall within a week.
When the price touched the level of Rs 1000/- in the month of October, the
investors believed that there will be an increase in the price level after that and Rs
1000 will act as a support level but all these assumptions proved wrong and there
was further decrease in the price level. Another decline of Rs 145/ 15.7% can be
notice in the end of Dec. Within a year i.e. in April 2009 it has came down to Rs
925 approx, i.e. a decline of 25% approx. and the current market price is Rs 955.
With the help of this graph we can say that Rs. 100 invested in the ASIAN
Paints in May 2008 has a worth of Rs.80 in April 2009, it has almost shown a fall of
Rs.20 (approx). During this period, the benchmark BSE Sensex too recorded a fall
with Rs 100 invested in May 2008 declining to Rs.70 in April 2009. During the time
of bearish market both ASIAN Paints and BSE has shown decline in the previous
year. Although the company has shown a decline but by analyzing the graph one
can say that while the overall market has been bearish, Asian Paints has managed
to stand better than BSE.
By the technical analysis it has been observed that investing in the company
won’t be a good idea, but then let us analyze with the help of the intrinsic value
calculation whether investing in this company will be really beneficial or not.
EPS = 44.8
P/E ratio = 21.3%
= 44.8*(1.37)⁵* 21.3
= 4608.90
2008 44.8*1=44.8
2010 44.8*(1.37)²=84.09
2011 44.8*(1.37)³=115.20
2012 44.8*(1.37)⁴=157.8
2013 44.8*(1.37)⁵=216.23
= 679.5*39.8% =270.44
= 4608.90+270.44 =4879.34
NPV=4879.34 = 3030.6
(1.10)⁵
MARGIN OF SAFETY
This is simply discounting the calculated intrinsic value. You can use
any discount rate. In this case, the intrinsic value of ASIAN Paints is Rs 3030.6,
which is more than the current stock price. Using a discount rate of 20%, the fair
value is 2424.48. The current price is Rs 955. In this case the stock price is less
than the actual worth of the company. So it is advisable to buy the stock.
CONCLUSION
By analyzing this company through both the technical and fundamental ways it
is seen that as the company is worth more than its price but at the same time the
price level do not show a good growth in the short run. Investing in the company
is beneficial for the long term investors. An investment in the company for at
least 5-6 years will prove to be beneficial.
DABUR
Present situation:
Dabur India's net profit rose 16.40% to Rs 91.71 crore on 16.20% rise in
net sales to Rs 620.23 crore in Q4 March 2009 over Q8 March 2008. Early this
month, the company had announced that Ratna Commercial Enterprises, a
promoter group company, revoked 4.50 lakh shares representing 0.05% of the
equity capital of the company out of 1.45 crore shares representing 1.68% of the
equity capital of the company Ratna Commercial Enterprises held 9.44% stake in
the company as on 31 March 2009.
The committee of Dabur India has granted 2,04,144 fresh stock options
under Dabur Employees Stock Option Scheme 2000 to the eligible employees of
the company. The above options have vesting period of 1 year. These options
were granted at the committee meeting held on 29 April 2009.
Price representation by OHLC/ Bar chart
By simply analyzing the graph one can say that stock price has not shown a
good movement in case of this company. It entered with a price of Rs 98 in May
2008 and after a certain highs and lows, it was back to Rs 98 in April 2009. After
reaching this level the investors thought that the price level will further show a
decline, as it has shown in the previous year but the share price has not followed
the previous trend and it has shown some further growth after that. We can
analyze that investing in this company won’t be harmful as there can be seen a
stability in the price level of the company. The current stock price of the company
is Rs.115.9. Now we are going to further compare the company with BSE in order
to identify the actual scenario.
DABUR BSE
Now analyzing this graph gives an entire different picture. With the help
of this graph we can say that Rs. 100 invested in the DABUR in May 2008 has a
worth of Rs.100- Rs 110 in April 2009. During this period, the benchmark BSE
Sensex has recorded a fall with Rs 100 invested in May 2008 declining to Rs.70 in
April 2009. During the time of bearish market both where BSE has shown decline
in the previous year, DABUR has managed to hold its position. One can say that
during this period of not- so- good market condition also the company has
managed to outperformed the market.
With the help of the intrinsic value calculation let us analyze whether
investing in this company will be really beneficial or not.
EPS = 3.9
= 3.9*(1.24)⁵* 30.0
= 343
2008 3.9*1=3.9
2010 3.9*(1.24)²=5.99
2011 3.9*(1.24)³=7.43
2012 3.9*(1.24)⁴=9.21
2013 3.9*(1.24)⁵=11.4
= 42.77*38.8% =16.60
NPV=359.6 = 223.35
(1.10)⁵
Since the intrinsic value (223.35) is more than the current stock price (115.9),
the value of the stock is under valued
MARGIN OF SAFETY
This is simply discounting the calculated intrinsic value. You can use
any discount rate. In this case, the intrinsic value of DABUR is Rs 223.35,
which is more than the current stock price. Now let’s observe after using the
discount rate. Using a discount rate of 20%, the fair value is 178.68. The current
price is Rs 115.9. In this case the stock price is less than the actual worth of the
company. So it is advisable to buy the stock.
CONCLUSION
The company has proved to maintain stability and even its worth more
than its price. The company has the potential of further growth. So investing in
the company seems to be a good investment decision. In the case of this company
also our technical assumption holds equal to the fundamental calculation. So,
investing in the company is advisable.
MRF TYRES
Being remaining at the top position also couldn’t escape the company
from the current market scenario. While entering, the share price of the company
was somewhere around Rs 4400. With small ups and downs the company has
shown a steady decline after the month of Sep, last year. It has faced a major
decline in the month of March, this year, when the share price has almost fallen
to Rs 1550. After that the price has bounced back. Showing a steady increase .In
the month of April 2009 the share price of the company was somewhere around
Rs 2250- Rs 2300. The current share price is Rs 2500.
The graph says that Rs. 100 invested in MRF in May 2008 has a worth of
Rs.53- Rs54 in April 2009, it has shown almost a fall of Rs.47 (approx). And till the
month of May 2009, it has come up to a price level of Rs 56- Rs 57. During this
period, the benchmark BSE Sensex too recorded a fall with Rs 100 invested in May
2008 declining to Rs.70 in April 2009. During the time of bearish market both MRF
and BSE has shown decline in the previous year. It is also noticeable that the in
the starting of the period the company managed to run along with BSE. And from
the mid of October 2008 the price of the company has fallen below BSE and after
that its share price is moving in proportion with the price of BSE, which means a
small fall of BSE makes the company also fall to some extent and with the rise in
BSE, the company also rises. One can say that while the overall market has been
bearish, MRF has underperformed the market, as it has fallen much below the
benchmark. So it is suggested not to invest in the stock in the present scenario, till
it gains somewhat better position.
As its market price fall in the previous year, from that time onwards it has
not shown any kind of improvement. Once it has fallen, it further continues to fall.
So, it is advisable not to purchase the stock of the company. Further let us analyze
with the help of intrinsic value calculation and see that whether our assumptions
hold true or not.
CALCULATION OF THE INTRINSIC VALUE
EPS = 332.1
= 332.1*(1.16)⁵* 7.5
= 5230
2008 332.1*1=332.1
2009 332.1*1.16= 385.2
2010 332.1*(1.16)²=446.8
2011 332.1*(1.16)³=518.4
2012 332.1*(1.16)⁴=601.3
2013 332.1*(1.16)⁵=697.5
= 2981.3*5.9% =175.90
= 5230+175.90=5405.9
NPV=5405.9 = 3358
(1.10)⁵
STEP 4: Compare with current stock price
Since the intrinsic value (3358) is more than the current stock price (2500),
the value of the stock is under valued
MARGIN OF SAFETY
This is simply discounting the calculated intrinsic value. You can use
any discount rate. In this case, the intrinsic value of MRF is Rs 3358, which is
more than the current stock price. Using a discount rate of 20%, the fair value is
2686. The current price is Rs 2500. In this case the stock price is less than the
actual worth of the company but not much. So it is advisable to buy the stock.
CONCLUSION
By analyzing the company it can be concluded that the price of the shares of the
company has shown a continuous decline in the previous year and also the worth
of the company doesn’t differ much than its current price. So it is advisable to
think twice before buying the stock.
Derivatives
The emergence of the market for derivative products, most notably forwards, futures and options,
can be traced back to the willingness of risk-averse economic agents to guard themselves against
uncertainties arising out of fluctuations in asset prices. By their very nature, the financial markets
are marked by a very high degree of volatility. Through of derivatives of products, it is possible
to partially or fully transfer price risks by locking –in asset prices. As instruments of risk
management, these generally do not influence the fluctuations underlying prices. However, by
locking –in asset prices, derivatives products minimize the impact of fluctuations in asset prices
on the profitability and cash flow situation of risk–averse investors.
DEFINITION:
Understanding the word itself, Derivatives is a key to mastery of the topic. The word originates
in mathematics and refers to a variable, which has been derived from another variable. For
example, a measure of weight in pound could be derived from a measure of weight in kilograms
by multiplying by two.
In financial sense, these are contracts that derive their value from some
underlying asset. Without the underlying product and market it would have no independent
existence. Underlying asset can a Stock, Bond, Currency, Index or a Commodity. Some one may
take an interest in the derivative products. Without having an interest in the underlying product
market, but the two are always related and may therefore interact with each other.
The term Derivative has been defined in Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act 1956, as:
IMPORTANCE OF DERIVATIVES
Derivatives are becoming increasingly important in world markets as a tool for risk management.
Derivatives instruments can be used to minimize risk. Derivatives are used to separate risks and
transfer them to parties willing to bear these risks. The kind of hedging that can be obtained by
using derivatives is cheaper and more convenient than what could be obtained by using cash
instruments. It is so because, when we use derivatives for hedging, actual delivery of the
underlying asset is not at all essential for settlement purposes.
More over, derivatives would not create any risk. They simply manipulate the risks and transfer
to those who are willing to bear these risks. For example, Mr. A owns a bike. If does not take
insurance, he runs a big risk. Suppose he buys insurance [a derivative instrument on the bike] he
reduces his risk. Thus, having an insurance policy reduces the risk of owing a bike. Similarly,
hedging through derivatives reduces the risk of owing a specified asset, which may be a share,
currency, etc.
Derivative is a product whose value is derived from the value of one or more basic variables,
called bases (underlying asset, index, or reference rate), in a contractual manner. The underlying
asset can be equity, forex, commodity or any other asset. For example, wheat farmers may wish
to sell their harvest at a future date to eliminate the risk of a change in prices by that date. Such a
transaction is an example of a derivative. The price of this derivative is driven by the spot price
of wheat which is the "underlying".
In the Indian context the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 (SCRA) defines
"derivative" to include-
1. A security derived from a debt instrument, share, loan whether secured or unsecured, risk
instrument or contract for differences or any other form of security.
2. A contract which derives its value from the prices, or index of prices, of underlying securities.
Derivatives are securities under the SC(R)A and hence the trading of derivatives is governed by
the regulatory framework under the SC(R)A.
Over the last three decades, the derivatives market has seen a phenomenal growth. A large
variety of derivative contracts have been launched at exchanges across the world. Some of the
factors driving the growth of financial derivatives are:
1. Today's sophisticated international markets have helped foster the rapid growth in
derivative instruments. In the hands of knowledgeable investors, derivatives can derive
profit from:
Changes in interest rates and equity markets around the world.
Changes in price of assets.
2. Help of hedge against inflation and deflation, and generate returns that are not correlated
with more traditional investments. The two most widely recognized benefits attributed to
derivative instruments are price discovery and risk management and others.
3. Price discovery: -
The kind of information and the way people absorb it constantly changes
the price of a commodity. This process is known as price discovery. the price of all future
contracts serve as prices that can be accepted by those who trade the contracts in lieu of
facing the risk of uncertain future prices.
4. Risk management: -
This could be the most important purpose of the derivatives market.
Risk management is the process of identifying the desired level of risk, identifying the
actual level of risk and altering the latter to equal the former. This process can fall into
the categories of hedging and speculation.
5. Derivatives help in transferring risks from risk-averse people to risk-oriented people.
6. By allowing transfer of unwanted risks, derivatives can promote more efficient allocation
of capital across the economy and thus, increasing productivity in the economy.
These forces are to a large extent controllable and are termed as “Non-systematic Risks”. An
investor can easily manage such non- systematic risks by having a well-diversified portfolio
spread across the companies, industries and groups so that a loss in one may easily be
compensated with a gain in other.
There are other types of influences, which are external to the firm, cannot be controlled, and they
are termed as “systematic risks”. Those are
1. Econonmic
2. Political
3. Sociological changes are sources of Systematic Risk.
For instance inflation interest rate etc. Their effect is to cause the prices of nearly all individual
stocks to move together in the same manner. We therefore quite often find stock prices falling
from time to time in spite of company’s earnings rising and vice –versa.
Rational behind the development of derivatives market is to manage this systematic risk,
liquidity. Liquidity means, being able to buy & sell relatively large amounts quickly without
substantial price concessions.
In debt market, a much larger portion of the total risk of securities is systematic. Debt
instruments are also finite life securities with limited marketability due to their small size
relative to many common stocks. These factors favor for the purpose of both portfolio hedging
and speculation.
India has vibrant securities market with strong retail participation that has evolved over the
years. It was until recently a cash market with facility to carry forward positions in actively
traded “A” group scripts from one settlement to another by paying the required margins and
barrowing money and securities in a separate carry forward sessions held for this purpose.
However, a need was felt to introduce financial products like other financial markets in the
world.
CHARACTERISTICS OF DERIVATIVES
1. Their value is derived from an underlying instrument such as stock index, currency, etc.
2. They are vehicles for transferring risk.
3. They are leveraged instruments.
Types of derivatives:
1. Forward Contract:
A forward contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset on a specified date for a specified
price. One of the parties to the contract assumes a long position and agrees to buy the underlying
asset on a certain specified future date for a certain specified price. The other party assumes
short position and agrees to sell the asset on the same date for the same price. Other contract
details like delivery date, price and quantity are negotiated bilaterally by the parties to the
contract. The forward contracts are normally traded outside the exchanges
In the first two of these, the basic problem is that of too much flexibility and generality. The
forward market is like a real estate market in that any two consenting adults can form contracts
against each other. This often makes them design terms of the deal which are very convenient in
that specific situation, but makes the contracts non-tradable.
Counterparty risk arises from the possibility of default by any one party to the transaction.
Whenone of the two sides to the transaction declares bankruptcy, the other suffers. Even when
forward markets trade standardized contracts, and hence avoid the problem of illiquidity, still the
counterparty risk remains a very serious issue.
2 . Future Contracts:
Futures markets were designed to solve the problems that exist in forward markets. A futures
contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future
at a certain price. But unlike forward contracts, the futures contracts are standardized and
exchange traded. To facilitate liquidity in the futures contracts, the exchange specifies certain
standard features of the contract. It is a standardized contract with standard underlying
instrument, a standard quantity and quality of the underlying instrument that can be delivered, (or
which can be used for reference purposes in settlement) and a standard timing of such settlement.
A futures contract may be offset prior to maturity by entering into an equal and opposite
transaction. More than 99% of futures transactions are offset this way.
For example, let's say the current price of the stock is $80.00 and we entered in forward contract
to buy this stock in 3 months time for $81.00 (that means we hope that price will not fall lower
than $81.00). If after three months price is more than $81.00, let's say $83.00, than we can buy
the same stock for $81.00 (as stated by forward contract) and after reselling it on the market our
payoff will be
P = $83.00 - $81.00 = $2.00
If at forward maturity the stock price falls to $78.00, than our loss will be
P = $81.00 - $78.00 = $3.00
The graphs above illustrate the forward contract payoff patterns for long and short positions.
Distinction between futures and forwards
Futures Forwards
Trade on an organized exchange OTC in nature
Standardized contract terms Customised contract terms
hence more liquid Hence less liquid
Follows daily settlement Settlement happens at end of period
Future terminology
Spot price: The price at which an asset trades in the spot market.
Futures price: The price at which the futures contract trades in the futures market.
Contract cycle: The period over which a contract trades. The index futures contracts on the NSE
have one- month, two-month and three months expiry cycles which expire on the last Thursday
of the month. Thus a January expiration contract expires on the last Thursday of January and a
February expiration contract ceases trading on the last Thursday of February. On the Friday
following the last Thursday, a new contract having a three- month expiry is introduced for
trading.
Expiry date: It is the date specified in the futures contract. This is the last day on which the
contract will be traded, at the end of which it will cease to exist.
Contract size: The amount of asset that has to be delivered less than one contract. Also called as
lot size.
Basis: In the context of financial futures, basis can be defined as the futures price minus the spot
price. There will be a different basis for each delivery month for each contract. In a normal
market, basis will be positive. This reflects that futures prices normally exceed spot prices.
Cost of carry: The relationship between futures prices and spot prices can be summarized in
terms of what is known as the cost of carry. This measures the storage cost plus the interest that
is paid to finance the asset less the income earned on the asset.
Initial margin: The amount that must be deposited in the margin account at the time a futures
contract is first entered into is known as initial margin.
Marking-to-market: In the futures market, at the end of each trading day, the margin account is
adjusted to reflect the investor's gain or loss depending upon the futures closing price. This is
called marking-to-market.
Maintenance margin: This is somewhat lower than the initial margin. This is set to ensure that
the balance in the margin account never becomes negative. If the balance in the margin account
falls below the maintenance margin, the investor receives a margin call and is expected to top up
the margin account to the initial margin level before trading commences on the next day.
3. Option Contracts
Options are fundamentally different from forward and futures contracts. An option gives the
holder of the option the right to do something. The holder does not have to exercise this right. In
contrast, in a forward or futures contract, the two parties have committed themselves to doing
something. Whereas it costs nothing (except margin requirements) to enter into a futures
contract, the purchase of an option requires an up-front payment.
Option Terminology
Index options: These options have the index as the underlying. Some options are European
while others are American. Like index futures contracts, index options contracts are also
cashsettled.
Stock options: Stock options are options on individual stocks. Options currently trade on over
500 stocks in the United States. A contract gives the holder the right to buy or sell shares at the
specified price.
Buyer of an option: The buyer of an option is the one who buy paying the option premium buys
the right but not the obligation to exercise his option on the seller/writer.
Writer of an option: The writer of a call/put option is the one who receives the option premium
and is thereby obliged to sell/buy the asset if the buyer exercises on him.
Option price/premium: Option price is the price which the option buyer pays to the option seller.
It is also referred to as the option premium.
Expiration date: The date specified in the options contract is known as the expiration date, the
exercise date, the strike date or the maturity.
Strike price: The price specified in the options contract is known as the strike price or the
exercise price.
American options: American options are options that can be exercised at any time upto the
expiration date. Most exchange-traded options are American.
European options: European options are options that can be exercised only on the expiration
date itself. European options are easier to analyze than American options, and properties of an
American option are frequently deduced from those of its European counterpart.
In-the-money option: An in-the-money (ITM) option is an option that would lead to a positive
cash flow to the holder if it were exercised immediately. A call option on the index is said to be
in-the-money when the current index stands at a level higher than the strike price (i.e. spot price
>strike price). If the index is much higher than the strike price, the call is said to be deep ITM. In
the case of a put, the put is ITM if the index is below the strike price.
At-the-money option: An at-the-money (ATM) option is an option that would lead to zero cash
flow if it were exercised immediately. An option on the index is at-the-money when the current
index equals the strike price (i.e. spot price = strike price).
Intrinsic value of an option: The option premium can be broken down into two components -
intrinsic value and time value. The intrinsic value of a call is the amount the option is ITM, if it
is ITM. If the call is OTM, its intrinsic value is zero. Putting it another way, the intrinsic value of
a call is Max[0, (St — K)] which means the intrinsic value of a call is the greater of 0 or (St —
K). Similarly, the intrinsic value of a put is Max[0, K — St],i.e. the greater of 0 or (K — St). K is
the strike price and St is the spot price.
Time value of an option: The time value of an option is the difference between its premium and
its intrinsic value. Both calls and puts have time value. An option that is OTM or ATM has only
time value. Usually, the maximum time value exists when the option is ATM. The longer the
time to expiration, the greater is an option's time value, all else equal. At expiration, an option
should have no time value.
There are two basic types of options, call options and put options:
Call option: A call option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to buy an asset by a
certain date for a certain price.
i) Long a call :- person buys the right (a contract) to buy an asset at a certain price. We feel that
the price in the future will exceed the strike price. This is a bullish position.
ii) Short a call :- person sells the right ( a contract) to someone that allows them to buy to buy an
asset at a certain price. The writer feels that asset will devaluate over the time period of the
contract. This person is bearish on that asset.
Put option: A put option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell an asset by a
certain date for a certain price.
i) Long a put :- Buy the right to sell an asset at a pre-determined price. We feel that the asset will
devalue over the time of the contract. Therefore we can sell the asset at a higher price than is the
current market value. This is a bearish position.
ii) Short a put :- sell the right to someone else. This will allow them to sell the asset at a specific
price. We feel the price will go down and we do not. This is a bullish
position.
The payoff to a derivative portfolio is the market value of the portfolio at expiration. (Also
gross payoff).
The profit on a derivative portfolio is the payoff less the cost of acquisition or
assembling the portfolio. (Net profit).
We will be looking at a number of option strategies and combinations.
The (gross) payoff is the value (positive or negative) of the option or portfolio at
maturity.
The payoff does not include the initial cost (or the initial cash inflow) at the time the
portfolio was set up.
Net profit= (gross) Payoff- cost of buying options or other securities+ premium
received for selling options or other securities
If S is a final price of the option underlying security, X is a strike price and OP is an option price,
than the profit is
Long Call: P = S - X - OP
Short Call: P = X - S + OP
Long Put: P = X - S - OP
Short Put: P = S - X + OP
For example, let's say the stock price is $50.00, we bought European call option with strike
$53.00 and paid $2.00 for this option. If option price is less than $53.00, we will not exercise the
option to buy the stock, because it doesn't make sense to buy security for higher price than it
costs on the market. In this case we lose all initial investment equal to the option price $2.00. If
stock price is more than $53.00, we will exercise the option. For example if the stock price is
$56.00, after exercising the option and immediately reselling the acquired stock our profit will
be:
P = $56.00 - $53.00 - $2.00 = $1.00
As we see in latter case we lose money. The reason is that increase of stock price just by $1.00
above the strike ($53.00) doesn't cover our initial investment of $2.00, although we still exercise
the option to recover at least $1.00 of initial investment. If the stock price at exercise time is
$55.00 than we exercise the option to cover our initial expenses(equal to option price):
This latter case corresponds to option graph intersection point with horizontal axis on the
drawing above.
Take an example: A Hedger pay more to the farmer or dealer of a produce if its prices go up.
For protection against higher prices of the produce, he hedges the risk exposure by buying
enough future contracts of the produce to cover the amount of produce he expects to buy. Since
cash and futures prices do tend to move in tandem, the futures position will profit if the price of
the produce raise enough to offset cash loss on the produce.
2. Speculators:
Speculators are somewhat like a middle man. They are never interested in actual owing the
commodity. They will just buy from one end and sell it to the other in anticipation of future price
movements. They actually bet on the future movement in the price of an asset.
They are the second major group of futures players. These participants include
independent floor traders and investors. They handle trades for their personal clients or
brokerage firms
.
Buying a futures contract in anticipation of price increases is known as ‘going long’. Selling a
futures contract in anticipation of a price decrease is known as ‘going short’. Speculative
participation in futures trading has increased with the availability of alternative methods of
participation.
Speculators have certain advantages over other investments they are as follows:
If the trader’s judgment is good, he can make more money in the futures market
faster because prices tend, on average, to change more quickly than real estate or
stock prices.
Futures are highly leveraged investments. The trader puts up a small fraction of the value of
the underlying contract as margin, yet he can ride on the full value of the contract as it moves up
and down. The money he puts up is not a down payment on the underlying contract, but a
performance bond. The actual value of the contract is only exchanged on those rare occasions
when delivery takes place.
3. Arbitrators:
According to dictionary definition, a person who has been officially chosen to make a decision
between two people or groups who do not agree is known as Arbitrator. In commodity market
Arbitrators are the person who takes the advantage of a discrepancy between prices in two
different markets. If he finds future prices of a commodity edging out with the cash price, he will
take offsetting positions in both the markets to lock in a profit. Moreover the commodity future
investor is not charged interest on the difference between margin and the full contract value.
1. Future contracts :- The open positions (gross against clients and net of proprietary/ self
trading) in the futures contracts for each member are marked to market to the daily settlement
price at the end of each day is the weighted average price of the last half an hour of the futures
contract. The profits/losses arising from the different between the trading price and the
settlement price are collected/ given to all clearing members.
2. Option contracts :- the marked o market for option contracts is computed and collected as
part of the Initial Margin in the form of Net Option Values. The Initial Margin is collected on an
online real time basis based on the data feeds given to the system at discrete time intervals.
Therefore, Clearing members are required to report on a daily basis details in respect of such
margin amounts due and collected from their Trading members/ clients clearing and settling
through them. Trading members are also required to report on a daily basis details of the amount
due and collected from their clients. The reporting of the collection of the margins by the clients
is done electronically through the system at the end of each trading day. The reporting of
collection of client level margins plays a crucial role not only in ensuring that members collect
margin from clients but it also provides the clearing corporation with a record of the quantum of
funds it has to keep in trust for the clients.
DERIVATIVE ANALYSIS
FUTURES
Example:
On 7th Jan 2008 REL is trading at 2100 and REL January 2009 Contract is trading @ 2120. We
expect the share price to rise significantly and want to make a profit from the increase.
If an Investor bought 1 REL Future @ 2120 on 7th January 2008 and the closing price of REL
Future on 16th Jan 2008 is 2600. To make profit from this transaction the buyer of the contract
can sell the Future and book profit.
On 16th Jan 2008 REL January Contract is trading @2600, If the investor sold the contract then
he would have gained profit of Rs.264000/-
On 23rd Jan 2008 REL Jan Future closed @ 1600; if the investor holds the future till date. His
Mark to Market loss is as fallows
Mark to Market margin payable/receivable = (Today’s Closing price – Yesterdays Closing Price)
x Lot Size
To make a profit from an expected increase in the price of an underlying share during option’s
life:
Case 1: On 30th Nov 2009, IOC is quoting at Rs.538. and the December Rs.560 (strike price)
Call costs Rs.32 (premium). We expect the share price to rise significantly and want to make a
profit from the increase.
(i) IOC Dec 2009 CA 560 is trading @ 32 (Buying Out of Money Call Option):
Buy 1 IOC call at Rs.32, Market lot for IOC is 600. So, Net outlay is Rs.19200 (32x600). If IOC
shares go up, we can close the position either by selling the option back to the market or
exercising the right to buy the underlying shares at the exercise price.
(Cash
market)
Cost = 19200
27th Dec Rs. 713 560 153 1. Sell 1 Dec contract (expiry)
To establish a maximum cost at which to purchase shares at a lesser date if funds are not
available immediately:
(ii) IOC Dec 2009 CA 520 is trading @ 47 (Buying In the Money Call Option):
Buy 1 Dec 2009 IOC 520 call option at Rs.47 for total outlay of Rs.28200 on 30th Nov.
Situation: On 30th Nov GMRINFRA share is trading at Rs.245. An investor holds 5000 shares of
GMRINFRA. He does not expect its price to move very much in the next few months. So, he
decides to write a call option against this shareholding.
Action: The Dec 260 call is trading at Rs.15 and investor sells 5 contracts (one contract = 1000
shares). He received an option premium of Rs.75000 and takes on the obligation to deliver 5000
shares at Rs.260 each if the holder exercises the option
Possible Outcome at Expiry
Share > Rs.260 The holder will exercise his option.
Date
Share price < 260 Share price The option expires worthless.
Income = Rs.75000
(15x5000).
Buyer
(Option Premium
received)
Option
Situation: Current price of NTPC is @ Rs.280 on 14 th Nov 2009. An investor thinks that NTPC
is overvalued and may fall substantially. He therefore decides to buy Put option to gain exposure
to its anticipated fall.
Action: Buy 1 NTPC NOV Rs.270 Put at Rs.10 for a total consideration of Rs.16250.
Share price
[Rs.35(270-235)x1625]
Share Price is between 260 to 270 Loss of Premium Varies from 1625 to
16250/-
Share Price is > 270 Loss of Premium Paid
Situation: An investor owns 5500 shares of REL and also has cash holding of around
Rs.10000000. In early April he feels that the share price of REL will either remain constant or
slightly rise.
Action: The investor decides to generate some additional income on his portfolio writes 10 REL
Rs.1800 puts at Rs. Thus he received a premium of Rs.220000 (40x5500 shares).
Possible Outcome at Expiry
Share price > (or) = Rs.1800 The investor’s expectation is correct and
the put will expire unexercised.
Share price < Rs.1800 The put option will be exercised and the
stock will have to be purchased for
Rs.7700000 (9900000-220000).
CHAPTER IV
ANALYSIS &
INTERPRETATIONS
Comparative Analysis
Comparative analysis is easy to understand when we are analysis with the example of the real
market situation.
Now I would like to quote a real life example during my internship where I understood the actual
comparison of equity and derivative market
Example:-
There was an investor Mr. Jaichand. He has Rs. 1, 00,000/- and he wants to invest it in
sharemarket. Now he has two options either to invest in equity cash market or equity derivative
market (F&O).
Now suppose if he invest in equity cash market and buy shares of Rs. 1, 00, 000/- and diversified
risk so he buys different scrips. So he purchases 10 RIL shares of Rs. 2350/- each. 10 L&T
shares of Rs 800/- each, 15 Religare Enterprises Shares of Rs. 370/- each, 20 ICICI bank shares
of Rs. 800/- each, 10 Tata power shares of Rs. 1250 each and 10 BHEL shares of Rs. 1595/-
each. So for investing Rs.1,00,000/- in equity cash market he has to pay Rs. 1,00,000/-
and gets the delivery of the shares
Now suppose if he invest in equity derivative market then he will able to purchase the shares
worth Rs. 5,00,000/- though he has capital of Rs. 1,00,00/- only, because of the margin payment.
But he has to purchase the share in a lot size. So he is able to purchase the 1 lot (100 shares) of
RIL at Rs. 2350/-, 1 lot (50 shares) of L&T at 2650/-, 2 lots (100 shares each) of Religare
Enterprises at Rs. 370/- and 1 lot (70 shares) of ICICI bank at Rs. 800/-. Here Mr. Jaichand has
to pay Rs. 1,00,000/- as a margin money and he is able to purchase a shares worth Rs. 5,00,000/-
But he has to pay the full amount of money at T+3 basis. So he has to pay the remaining amount
on the 3rd day of the trading if he wants the delivery.
I. Returns
Mr. Jaichand gets return on equity by two ways. One is when the share price of the
holding shares will increases in futures, called as capital appreciation. Second is by
getting a dividend income from the holding shares.
Mr. Jaichand gets return on equity derivative when the future prices of the shares are
increase in short term called as capital gain through price fluctuation or through options
premium.
II. Risk:
There are four types of risk involved in equity cash market.
1. Company Specified risk :- If company is not performing well than process of the shares will
declining and vice versa.
2. Sector specified risks : - If the sector is not performing well i.e. power sector,
metal sector, oil & gas sector, banking sector then prices of the shares will go
down and vice versa.
3. Global risk :- If global cues are positive then prices will increases but if global
cues are not good than prices of shares will go down.
4. General market risk :- General market risk is also affect the equity cash market
like inflation, banks interest rates etc.
So Mr. Jaichand has to consider all these risk factors while dealing in the equity
cash market.
1. Market risk:- In derivative market we have to calculate the market risk or mark to market risk
involved in the stocks or securities, that is the exposure to potential loss from fluctuations in
market prices (as opposed to changes in credit status). It is calculated on the tradable assets i.e.,
stocks, currencies etc.
2. Credit risk: It may possible in derivative contract that the counterparty may be fail to perform
the contract or say defaulted then it is a risk for us. It is calculated on nontradable assets i.e.,
loans. So generally it is for long term purpose.
3. Liquidity Risk : - If Mr. Jaichand will not able to find a price( or a price within a reasonable
tolerance in terms of the deviation from prevailing or expected prices) for one or more of its
financial contracts in the secondary market. Consider the case of a counterparty who buys a
complex option on European interest rates. He is exposed to liquidity risk because of the
possibility that he cannot find anyone to make him a price in the secondary market and because
of the possibility that the price he obtains is very much against him and the theoretical price for
the product.
So, Mr. Jaichand has to consider all these factors while dealing in the equity derivative market.
Margins:
Now Mr. Jaichand has also seen the margin paid in the equity cash segment.
1. Var Margin: - Now Mr. jaichand bought shares of a company. Its market value today is Rs. 1,
00,000/- Obviously, we do not know what would be the market value of these shares next day.
Now Mr. Jaichand holding these shares may, based on VaR methodology, say that 1-day Var is
Rs. 1, 00,000/- at the 99% confidence level. This implies that under normal trading conditions
the investors can with 99% confidence, say that the value of shares would not go down by more
than Rs. 1,00,000/- within next 1-day.
2. Extreme loss margin: - In the above situation, the VaR margin rate for shares of RIL was
13%. Suppose that SD would be 1.5 x 3.1= 4.65. Then 5% (which is higher than 4.65%) will be
taken as the Extreme Loss margin rate. Therefore, the total margin on the security would be 18%
(13% VaR Margin + 5% Extreme Loss margin). As such, total margin payable( VaR margin +
extreme loss margin) on a trade of Rs. 23, 500/- woud be 4, 230/-
3. Mark to Market Margin :- Now Mr. Jaichand purchased 10 shares of RIL @ Rs. 2350/-, at
11 am on May 12, 2009. If close price of the shares on that happened to be Rs. 2350, then the
buyer faces a notional loss of Rs. 500/- on his buy position. In technical term this loss is called as
MTM loss and is payable by May 13, 2009 (that is next day of the trade) before the trading
begins. In case, price of the shares falls further by the end of May 13 2009 to Rs. 2200/-, then
buy postion would show a further loss of Rs. 1, 000/-. This MTM loss is payable by next day.
Now we will consider the margin payable under the equity derivatives segment.
i) Initial Margin: The initial margin required to be paid by the investor would be equal to
the highest loss the portfolio would suffer in any of the scenarios considered. The margin
is monitored and collected at the time of placing the buy/ sell order. As higher the
volatility, higher the initial margin.
ii) Exposure Margin : - Exposure margins in respect of index futures and index option sell
position are 3% of the notional value.
iii) Premium margin : - If 1000 call option on RIL are purchased at Rs. 20/- and Mr. Jaichand
has no other positions, then the premium margin Rs. 20,000.
iv) Assignment Margin : - Assignment Margin is collected on assignment from the sellers of
the contract.
I. Duration:
Generally equity market is a long term market and people invested in it for more than one year
and then only they get good return on equity. Generally any safe investors can invest in it
because here risk is comparatively low then derivative market. While in derivative market
investors are investing for less than one yea, generally for 2 months or 3 months. Here they get
high returns on it because they are bringing high risk.
II. Participants:
Generally any long term investors can invest in equity or hedgers are investing in the equity, who
wants to reduce their risk. Any person who wants to be safe investors and wanted to earn a good
amount of returns after a period of more than one year is also invested in equity.
In derivative market mostly speculators and arbitragers are invested because they wanted
quick money in short time period and hedgers are also invested in derivative market to reduce
their risk.
Practical situation
During my training internship I had experience of real practical situation in the stock Market and
in an Organization.
End of June 2010 turned out to be favorable for Indian stock markets. The first few sessions saw
optimism in the market on the hope that the government will make policy announcements in the
budget. However, the market corrected soon after the announcement of budget due to absence of
major policy announcements. The sentiments remained negative during following few sessions.
However, the market picked momentum from mid of the month. This was helped by better-than
expected corporate earnings, huge overseas inflows and encouraging global cues. The buoyancy
in the market continued in the second half helping the BSE Sensex to touch highest in more than
a year towards the month end. On the whole, the market closed on a strong note. Global stocks
rallied over the month on encouraging economic data and earnings reports. The MSCI AC World
Index gained 8.70%, where as the MSCI Emerging Markets Index climbed 10.86% during the
month. The performance of Indian markets was in line with the global
counterparts. The Sensex settled the month with a gain of 8.12%, while the Nifty registered a rise
of 8.05%. The BSE Mid and Small caps performance was in line with their larger counterparts,
gaining 9.74% and 8.11% respectively over the month.
Sector Performance
All the BSE Sectoral indices wrapped the month with gains except Capital Goods. Intense
buying spree was seen in Auto, Realty, FMCG and IT indices, which posted gains of over 20%.
Metal, Teck, Health Care and Consumer Durable indices were among other top gainers whereas
Oil & Gas index posted a marginal rise over the month
Institutional Activities
The FIIs flow remained positive in equities with net inflows of Rs 11,625 crores (USD 2.40 bn)
during the month. The domestic MFs were also net buyers with inflows of Rs 1,825.50 crores
(USD 381 mn) during the month.
Reliance Industries reported a drop of 11.53% y-o-y in • net profit for the quarter ended June
2009 to Rs 3,636 crores (USD 758.60 mn). Total income for the quarter slipped 21.64% y-o-y to
Rs 32,757 crores (USD 6.83 bn).
Steel Authority of India earmarked Rs 59,800 crores (USD • 12.48 bn) capex plan. It includes
ongoing modernization and expansion, value addition, technology up-gradation and sustenance.
Of the total capex plan, Rs 10,000 crores (USD 2.10 bn) will be spent during 2009-10.
Punj Lloyd along with its group companies bagged orders • worth Rs 10,250 crores (USD 2.14
bn) during the month. It reported a 27% y-o-y rise in consolidated profit after tax for the quarter
ended June 2009 to Rs 125 crores (USD 26.1 mn). Consolidated revenues for the quarter climbed
12% y-o-y to Rs 2,658 crores (USD 554.56 mn).
Outlook:
On the international front, the markets will track developments and key economic data from US,
China and Japan. The exit strategy of the central banks will also have bearing on the global
markets. On the other hand, the Indian markets will be driven by the progress of monsoon, policy
announcements from the government and key economic data. Overall quarterly corporate
earnings performance was better than the market expectations. The market is now hoping for
better earnings growth prospects for FY2010. The manufacturing growth has also started
showing signs of improvement.
Now, with signs of economic recovery in developed countries and improvement in risk appetite
globally, the funds will flow in the emerging markets like India in search of higher growth. This
coupled with encouraging earnings outlook for FY2010, provides good opportunity for investors
to take active participation in the market and increase the equity allocation from long term
perspective.
Comparative analysis of the traded value in the F & O Segment with the cash segment
From this table we can see that in practical life though equity cash segment is better than the
derivatives because it involves lesser risk more numbers of investors are trading in derivatives
(F& O) segment. It is a major finding of the projects shows that by 60% to 70% investors are
bear more risk and traded in derivatives market because they want to earn more profits by trading
in derivatives.
CONCLUSIONS
This project has covered several areas. Its main conclusions are:
Derivatives market growth continues almost irrespective of equity cash market turnover
growth. Since 2000. Cash equity turnover has fallen in the developed markets, but
derivatives turnover continued to rise steeply and steadily.
Equity derivatives businesses like interest derivatives are highly concentrated. Using
notional value as the measure, the 2 main US markets and the 2 cross-border European
markets accounted for about 75% of the total. This was most apparent in index
derivatives, which make 99% of the notional value of equity derivatives. In single stock
derivatives, other markets have established niches and the dominance of the gig four is
less evident.
Equity market volume and derivative market notional value are strongly correlated- with
a ratio significant differences between individual markets.
A number of cash equity markets- particularly in developing Asia- do not have equity
derivatives markets. Comparison of their cash market volumes with those that do have
derivative exchanges shows that the markets without derivatives are of similar size. I Am
not convinced that market or infrastructure differences explain this, but suspects that
regularity barriers have effectively prevented the development, markets in several
developing Asian countries.
RECOMMENDATIONS
Speculation should be discouraged because it affects the market conditions badly and
new investors are reducing their interest in the market.
There must be more derivatives instruments aimed at individual investors.
There is a need to have a smaller contract size in F & O Market. We can review
the size of the contract from Rs. Two lacs to One lacs. In the FICCI survey, 73%
of the respondents also held the same view.
BIBLIORAPHY
Books:-
✔ Securities Laws and Regulations of Financial Markets
✔ National Securities Depository Limited
✔ Fundamentals of Futures & Options Markets- John C. Hull
✔ Financial Derivatives- S. L. Gupta
Websites:-
✔ www.world-exchange.org
✔ www.nseindia.com
✔ www.bseindia.com
✔ www.religaresecurities.com
✔ www.moneycontrol.com
✔ www.indiamart.com
✔ www.finpipe.com