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1) The problem:
DMC's potential loss of significant market share in the near and long term, of oil well pumping
motors if DMC doesn't respond quickly and effectively to the expected change in motor specs
for the industry.
Also DMC's perceived late discovery of the study. (Other manufacturers don't seem to know so
DMC may still be ahead of the others in information, but their machine is 3rd choice so timely
information is more critical to DMC)
1000 wells per year over the next 5 years (possibly more) DMC has ~51%=510. per year=2550
over 5yrs ( plus whatever replacements)
510/yr @$1200=$612000.yr
(1200.= price of 7 ½ hp which is 3rd in torque but above 70pf or the price of
the 10hp reduces to the 71/2hp price)
(Potential $loss if reduce price = 94962.yr but losing market would be a bigger problem.)
If DMC loses Hamilton, other than lost dollars, which doesn't seem to be significant, DMC could
lose brand image and reputation as a result of being downgraded in the industry. This could
be worse than lost dollars. In addition it could lose the industry by losing the leader of the
industry. Although this market is a small slice of DMC's revenues, one cannot afford to easily
lose market share. In addition, this could have spill over affects in it's other markets when it
circulates that DMC was a "failure" in one market.
In the end I would say it's an important problem not for the immediate dollars, but for the
future dollars that could be lost with a "tarnished" image as well as losing market share.
The problem is that DMC's largest consumer of oil well pumping motors has ranked them the
#3 supplier, and not only could this impact purchasing from this customer (Hamilton), other
smaller companies follow this large company for their purchasing decisions, so that they get the
benefit of copying their R&D decisions.
Look
at sales potential for DMC in this particular market.
1,000 new wells will enter production over the next 5 years, so that's 5,000 wells. Since DMC
has 50% of this market, that would mean 2,500 potential sales. Per exhibit 2, the total cost to
manufacture a 7.5 HP unit is $714.00, and it is sold to large users for $1,200, for a net profit of
$486.00 per motor (the profit on mfg cost is 536.49 per motor.) Additionally, there DMC sells
about 15% of the control and panel-board applications.
Other than lost dollars, what are the other implications if DMC looses Hamilton?
Other smaller companies that do not have their own engineering staffs follow the purchasing
decisions of the larger companies, so that they can avoid the R&D investment. Therefore, DMC
could stand to lose some of that market as well (This is somewhat analogous to Zoll Medical,
where ambulance companies were highly influenced by hospital buying trends. However, there
is no interdependence here as there was in the Zoll case, only...
c
c
John Bridges, the chief electrical engineer of Hamilton Oil Company, has concluded through
motor testing that DMC competitors Spartan Motors and the Universal Motor Company of
Canada offer the first and second choice motors on the market, respectively. DMC͛s position
as the third choice could prove quite detrimental to its market share because Hamilton is the
largest active oil company in Canada, operating over 30% of producing wells, and Bridges is
extremely influential in Hamilton͛s purchasing policy. The test results will probably carry
significant weight throughout the industry because no other company operating in Canada͛s oil
fields has an electrical engineering department. Thus, DMC will likely lose sales from
companies industry-wide, as many will decide to follow Hamilton͛s purchasing policy.
Alternative 1:
Price of 7 ½-hp motor (P): $1,200
Manufacturing cost of 10-hp motor (k): $816
Unit contribution = P ʹ k
= $1,200 - $816
= $384
Alternative 2:
Price of 7 ½-hp motor (P): $1,200
Manufacturing cost of reengineered
Alternative 3:
Price of definite-purpose motor (P): $1,045
Manufacturing cost (k): $665
Investment (Fixed Cost): $75,000
Unit contribution = P ʹ k
= $1,045 - $665
= $380
Recommendation:
Alternative 4, trying to convince Bridges and Hamilton executives that their test conclusions
overly emphasize the importance of having the maximum starting...