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Introduction tack may set off a doomsday device that pabilities and resolve, but also on the
will kill all life on the surface of earth.2 adversary’s values and emotional state
John Pike, former director of space The doomsday weapon is unrealistic. (hence, mind). Deterrence rests not only
policy at the Federation of American However, if one views it as analogous to on having missiles, bombers, and the
Scientists, once said to me: “Everything mutually assured destruction (the near willingness to use them, but also on
there is to know about nuclear strategy total destruction of the U.S. and Soviet knowing where to target them so that
can be learned from Dr. Strangelove.” Union inevitable in a real nuclear war), the enemy will fear the retaliatory at-
“Everything” is only a mild overstate- then almost everything that happens in tack. Deterrence is impossible if the en-
ment. I show Dr. Strangelove annually to the movie could have actually happened. emy fears nothing and does not mind
Notre Dame audiences to teach about The most important theme of the film is being dead and destroyed.
nuclear war, and I will continue to do so that it makes fun of the sad, perverse,
until nuclear weapons and war itself are and absurd reality that the U.S. and the
no longer problems. The film offers les- Soviet Union could destroy each other The Necessity of Communication for
sons about war, politics, and history and within 30 minutes. Unlikely and improb- Effective Deterrence
can serve as a teaching aid for classes in able, yes. Possible, yes. Deterrence only works if the threats
introductory international relations, for- Dr. Strangelove also highlights the intended to cause fear are communi-
eign policy, defense policy, causes of range of procedures and strategies in- cated to the adversary. No threats made,
war, organizational politics, and Cold volved in maintaining the nuclear stand- no fear created. This point is made by
War history.1 off. Why did the U.S. have bombers con- Dr. Strangelove when he says: “Yes, but
In this teaching guide I cover three stantly in the air, already well on their the . . . whole point of the doomsday ma-
tasks, all of which highlight concepts and way to their targets? Why might individ- chine . . . is lost . . . if you keep it a se-
themes in Dr. Strangelove. First, I use ual base commanders have had the au- cret! Why didn’t you tell the world, eh?”
the film as a springboard to discuss de- thority to use nuclear weapons at their (56:29).
terrence, mutually assured destruction, own discretion? Why were our forces on
preemption, the security dilemma, arms hair-trigger alert? Why might a dooms-
races, relative versus absolute gains con- day device seem to be a logical step? The Logic and Illogic of Nuclear
cerns, Cold War misperceptions and The single, simple answer to these ques- Deterrence
paranoia, and civil–military relations (in tions is the U.S.’s (and Soviet Union’s)
this order). Second, I put these concepts When mutually assured destruction
quest to make nuclear deterrence credi- (MAD) is achieved, it becomes illogical
into their historical contexts to teach ble. Think about deterrence and the
about Cold War history. Third, I show to use nuclear weapons, no matter the
need for credibility as you read this and scenario. If anyone attacks, all will get
how closely Dr. Strangelove parallels ac- watch the film.
tual events and policies. I conclude with clobbered. If one receives a first strike,
Finally, remember that the U.S. and there is little or nothing to gain from
the story of how an article by Thomas Russians can still easily destroy each
Schelling led to the making of the film. retaliation. Deterrence will have failed
other and that several other countries and retaliation risks further strikes and
have nuclear weapons. The Cold War is more fallout. Ironically, MAD makes
over, but nuclear danger is not. When nuclear weapons so illogical that deter-
Dr. Strangelove, Nuclear Stanley Kubrick made Dr. Strangelove in
Strategy, and the Cold War rence may actually suffer unless the
1963, there were 34,000 nuclear weapons credibility of suicide (or further damage)
Dr. Strangelove is a black comedy on earth. Today, there are 31,500.3 The can be restored. Two ways of making
about a renegade U.S. Air Force Gen- doomsday device is alive and well. retaliation credible involve automating
eral, Jack D. Ripper, who orders his retaliation and introducing illogic and
B-52 bombers to drop their nuclear uncertainty.
weapons on the Soviet Union. This at- The Definition of Deterrence
Automation ensures retaliation by tak-
The eccentric nuclear strategist Dr. ing humans out of the loop. A dooms-
Strangelove4 defines deterrence when he day machine fits the bill. Ruling out “hu-
Dan Lindley is assistant professor in interna-
says: “Deterrence is the art of producing man meddling” is crucial because one
tional relations and security studies at the Uni- in the mind of the enemy . . . the fear to must make credible the incredible threat
versity of Notre Dame. Lindley worked for sev- attack” (55:09).5 of suicide. Dr. Strangelove explains this
eral arms control and research organizations Because deterrence requires the cre- logic:
in Washington, D.C. before receiving a Ph.D. ation of fear, deterrence is arguably
from MIT. Lindley has published and spoken on more an art than a science. The enemy President Merkin Muffley: “But, how is
U.N. peacekeeping, internal conflict, the Cyprus it possible for this thing to be triggered
problem and Greco-Turkish relations, collective
must fear that the costs of attack will automatically, and at the same time
security, the U.S. intervention in Panama, the outweigh the benefits. Whether one can impossible to untrigger?” (54:42)
role of ideas in international politics, and SDI produce enough fear to prevent an at- Strangelove: Mr. President, it is not
contracting. tack depends not just on one’s own ca- only possible, it is essential. That is the
1. Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Wor- newspaper saying that Kahn was never the model. chive chronology of the Cuban Missile Crisis, for
rying and Love the Bomb, screenplay by Stanley Ku- Interview, September 8, 2000. One of Kissinger’s October 22, 1962–2:14P.M. at: ⬍www.gwu.edu/
brick, Peter George, and Terry Southern. Produced main arguments in Nuclear Weapons and Foreign ⬃nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/cmcchron3.html⬎ .
and directed by Stanley Kubrick. Based on the book Policy is that limited nuclear war can be waged and 10. Many in the U.S. did in fact fear that fluorida-
by Peter Bryant (a pseudonym for Peter George), is something for which we should prepare (New tion was a communist conspiracy. The only part of
Red Alert (New York: Ace Books, 1958). The Brit- York: Harper Brothers for Council on Foreign Re- Ripper’s speech that probably could not be cobbled
ish title for Red Alert was Two Hours to Doom. The lations, 1957). Owen Cote, former research assistant together from the New York Times is the bodily flu-
book based on the screenplay is: Peter George, Dr. and driver for Herman Kahn, said that the real role ids reference.
Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and model for Strangelove was a combination of Kahn, 11. JCS is Joint Chiefs of Staff of the U.S. mili-
Love the Bomb (New York: Bantam Books, 1963. Kissinger, and Werner Von Braun, the rocket scien- tary. SAC is Strategic Air Command. IRBMs are
Published January, 1964). The film was scheduled tist. Interview, September 15, 2000. This composite Intermediate Range Ballistic Missiles, including
for release on December 12, 1963, but was not Strangelove seems most plausible. Thors and Jupiters.
shown until January 1964 due to President 5. All times given are DVD time, i.e., the time 12. DEFCON is short for Defense Condition, and
Kennedy’s assassination in November 1963. Ed. indicated on a DVD player as the movie plays, using describes the alert levels for U.S. forces. Sagan de-
note: when talking about Dr. Strangelove, the film, the Stanley Kubrick Collection from Columbia Pic- scribes the DEFCONs in detail on p. 64 and offers
the title is italicized. The character Dr. Strangelove tures, 1997. At 2:45 DVD time, the U.S.A.F. dis- additional scary tales on civil–military relations (and
is not italicized. A longer version of this guide is claimer starts scrolling up on the screen (the new a host of other accidents and “unintentional” poli-
available via: ⬍www.nd.edu/⬃dlindley/⬎. Special Edition, issued in 2001, scrolls the disclaimer cies) during the Cuban Missile Crisis, as do Allison
2. An extensive discussion of doomsday machines at 0:00 DVD time). All quotes from the movie were and Zelikow in Essence of Decision.
(excerpted almost verbatim in Dr. Strangelove) is taken from or verified using the continuity scripts at 13. Except where noted, this section is based on a
found in Herman Kahn, On Thermonuclear War, 2 ⬍http://mach.me.queensu.ca/⬃bakhtiar/kubrick/⬎, telephone interview with Thomas Schelling, Septem-
ed., (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, and at ⬍http://flo.mech.eng.usyd.edu.au/⬃norris/ ber 10, 2000. The Special Edition DVD says that it
1961): 144 –53. docs/strangelove.html⬎. An early version of the was Alastair Buchan, British strategist, who gave
3. Of the 31,535 nuclear weapons existent in the script is available at: ⬍www.lontano.org/FMA/arkiv/ Red Alert to Kubrick (and that Kubrick had become
year 2000, 10,500 belonged to the U.S., 20,000 to strangelove_production.html⬎. obsessed with nuclear war, reading some 50 books
Russia, 185 to the United Kingdom, 450 to France, 6. A theme of Kubrick’s, machines murder again on the subject). See liner notes and extra: “Inside
and 400 to China. Several hundred additional weap- in his 2001: A Space Odyssey when the HAL 9000 the Making of Dr. Strangelove.” See also Brian
ons were in the arsenals of Israel, Pakistan, and In- computer kills most of the crew of the Jupiter mis- Siano, “A Commentary on Dr. Strangelove,”
dia. U.S. weapons are in the active, inactive, reserve, sion. See Jerome Agel, ed., The Making of Kubrick’s ⬍www.visual-memory.co.uk/amk/doc/0017.html⬎.
and hedge categories. Russian weapons are assumed 2001 (New York: Signet Books, 1970). 14. The latter two books are by Nevil Shute (New
to be 50% active and 50% retired/reserve. See 7. The dangers of unplanned interactions of sub- York: William Morrow, 1957) and Pat Frank (Phila-
“Global Nuclear Stockpiles,” Bulletin of the Atomic units or subroutines in complex systems are explored delphia and New York: J.B. Lippincott, 1959), re-
Scientists 56 (March/April 2000). A table in this arti- at length in Sagan, 1993. spectively.
cle shows the yearly nuclear stockpiles of the first 8. Classics on the Cuban Missile Crisis include: 15. The Bulletin article was “Meteors, Mischief,
five nuclear states from 1945–2000. It depicts the Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow, Essence of De- and War,” 16: 7 (September 1960).
incredible “vigor” of the early atomic arms race. cision : Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 2 ed. 16. ⬍www.terrysouthern.com/texts/
The active portion of the U.S. arsenal in the year (New York: Addison-Wesley, 1999); Laurence t_strange.htm⬎.
2000 included 2,000 Intercontinental Ballistic Mis- Chang and Peter Kornbluh, The Cuban Missile Cri- 17. Indeed, Dr. Strangelove was widely criticized
siles (ICBMs), 3,456 Submarine Launched Ballistic sis, 1962, A National Security Archive Reader (New when it was released as giving moral support to the
Missiles (SLBMs), 1,750 bomber-delivered/launched York: The Free Press, 1998); Robert F. Kennedy, Soviets. According to Kubrick: “When Dr. Strange-
missiles and bombs, and 1,670 nonstrategic missiles Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis love came out, a New York paper ran a review un-
and bombs. “U.S. Nuclear Forces 2000,” Bulletin of (New York: W.W. Norton, 1969); Ernest R. May der the head MOSCOW COULD NOT BUY
the Atomic Scientists 56 (May/June 2000). and Philip D. Zelikow, eds., The Kennedy Tapes: In- MORE HARM TO AMERICA.” Interview by Tim
4. There is considerable debate about who was side the White House During the Cuban Missile Crisis Cahill in Rolling Stone magazine, 1987, ⬍http://
the role model for Dr. Strangelove. At some points, (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1997); reynolds.me.queensu.ca/⬃bakhtiar/kubrick/
Dr. Strangelove seems closely modeled after Her- and Sagan, Limits of Safety. stone.html⬎. According to Terry Southern: “Colum-
man Kahn, an early prominent nuclear strategist. 9. Sagan argues against the traditional view that bia was embarrassed by the picture and tried to get
Dr. Strangelove parrots Kahn’s work and worked for the Soviets did not alert their nuclear forces during people to see Carl Foreman’s The Victors instead.
the Bland Corporation, while Kahn worked for the the Cuban Missile Crisis. He acknowledges that the They would steer ticket buyers away from Strange-
Rand Corporation. Thomas Schelling argues that evidence either way remains scanty, but says that love and try to get them to see The Victors. At the
Henry Kissinger may have been the real model for interviews and declassified U.S. documents suggest time we thought we were going to be totally wiped
Dr. Strangelove. He notes that no one who knew that Soviet forces were on partial, if not higher, lev- out. People would call up the box office and be told
Kahn would think of him as the Doctor. Kahn was els of alert. Sagan, Limits of Safety: 142– 45. The So- there were no seats for Strangelove and asked if they
“a great, big, ebullient, roly-poly guy with a great big viets alerted Warsaw Pact Forces. NATO forces, in would like to see The Victors instead. Gradually, the
sense of humor . . . who loved New York delis” and contrast, were purposely not put on very high alert buzz along the rialto built word of mouth in our fa-
who wanted people to think about how to stop a (DEFCON 3) due to allied pressure, presidential vor.” ⬍www.altx.com/interviews/terry.southern.html⬎.
nuclear war in midcourse. Even more convincingly, directive, and fears of the SACEUR, Lauris Nors- 18. Brian Aldiss, “Kubrick—The Writer,” Guard-
Schelling said that Peter George wrote to a London tad, about escalation. See the National Security Ar- ian Unlimited, 14 March 1999.
References
Blainey, Geoffrey. 1988. The Causes of War. Third Robert J. Art and Robert Jervis. New York: Ad- Sagan, Scott D. 1989. Moving Targets: Nuclear Strat-
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Jervis, Robert. 1999. “Hypotheses on Mispercep- Kaplan, Fred. 1983. The Wizards of Armageddon. ton University Press.
tion.” In American Foreign Policy: Theoretical New York: Touchstone Books. ——. 1993. The Limits of Safety: Organizations, Acci-
Essays, Third ed., ed. G. John Ikenberry. New Kohn, Richard H., and Joseph P. Harahan, eds. dents, and Nuclear Weapons. Princeton: Prince-
York: Addison-Wesley. 1988. Strategic Air Warfare: An Interview with ton University Press.
——. 2000. ”Offense, Defense, and the Security Di- Generals Curtis E. LeMay, Leon W. Johnson,
lemma.“ In International Politics, Fifth ed., ed. David A. Burchinal, and Jack J. Catton. Washing-
ton, DC: Office of Air Force History.