mois J F M A M

ventes 100 201 399 1005 4250

Ventes : yi Yi Xi YiXi
100 2.00 1 2.00
201 2.30 2 4.61
399 2.60 3 7.80
1,005 3.00 4 12.01
4,250 3.63 5 18.14
12,200 4.09 6 24.52
36,500 4.56 7 31.94
100,200 5.00 8 40.01
850,250 5.93 9 53.37
15,520,230 7.19 10 71.91
Moy 1652533.50 4.03 5.50 26.63
Total 18,177,869 44 61 293
a 0.7272663
b 0.0559247
y=
J JT AT S O
12200 36,500 100,200 850250 1 520 230

on conclut que y=1,13*5,24^x

y(12)= 484232447
 exercice 2

annee yi valeurs ajustées xi

100
57
89 100.375 1
N-3 157 101 2
97 103.625 3
65 105 4
102 105.375 5
N-2 155 105.875 6
102 104.5 7
64 102.625 8
92 89.25 9
N-1 150 68.5 10
49 11
18.75 12
13
N
annee yi valeurs ajustées xi
100
57
89 100.375 1
N-3 157 101 2
97 103.625 3
65 105 4
102 105.375 5
N-2 155 105.875 6
102 104.5 7
64 102.625 8
92 VA(9)=105,7 9
N-1 150 VA(10)=106,18 10
131.6 VA(11)=106,66 11
38.24 VA(12)=107,14 12
121.6 13
N 124.24 14
 0.4806547619 A
101.383928571 B