Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 22

Armageddon

2014
Confidential Material: Not for public distribution, circulation or sale outside the BrassTacks
authorized end users.

© 2008 BrassTacks. All rights reserved.


By Zaid Hamid
This document is protected by copyright. No part of it may be reproduced, or transmitted, in
any form or by any means, electronic or otherwise, without the written permission of
BrassTacks.

The information in this document is furnished for informational use only. Great care has been
taken to maintain the accuracy of the information contained in this document. However,
neither BrassTacks nor the authors can be held responsible for errors or for any consequences
arising from the use of the information contained herein.

brasstacks@dsl.net.pk

© 2008 BrassTacks. All Rights Reserved

1
Confidential Material: Not for public distribution, circulation or sale outside the BrassTacks
authorized end users.

© 2008 BrassTacks. All rights reserved.

This document is protected by copyright. No part of it may be reproduced, or transmitted, in


any form or by any means, electronic or otherwise, without the written permission of
BrassTacks.

The information in this document is furnished for informational use only. Great care has been
taken to maintain the accuracy of the information contained in this document. However,
neither BrassTacks nor the authors can be held responsible for errors or for any consequences
arising from the use of the information contained herein.

brasstacks@dsl.net.pk

2
Armageddon 2014
Road to Ghazwa-e-Hind -- The real possibility and the
scenario of a major nuclear war between Pakistan and India
involving all major civilizations

Preliminary Note:
The assassination of one man in Bavaria triggered the First World War, which killed
over 10 million people. The rise to power of one dictator in Germany initiated the
Second World War, which killed 30 million more; and those were conventional wars
fought with first generation planes, tanks and machine guns. Ironically, the concept of
'war' is an inherent inevitability of human psyche and therefore, cannot be eliminated
either from the present or from the future. One can only prepare for it.

As history has taught us on numerous occasions, no nation has ever suffered or


regretted preparing for a war. On the contrary, those who have neglected the war
preparations according to the requirements of technology and threats of their time
have suffered terrible consequences. The next war on civilizational axis is inevitable.
Only the time frame can be argued. That will also not be a conventional war and will
not limit itself to war zones or battle lines. There will neither be any neutrals nor any
victors – just survivors. The victors being those who will manage to survive the
holocaust, during and after.

There can be no nuclear doctrine in any nuclear armed country, which does not
account for Survivability: survival of civilian population, survival of strategic food
and fuel assets, survival of strategic military and economic assets, survival of delivery
mechanism for second strike options and above all survival of national will to rise
from the ashes and rebuild again, fending off the scavenger civilizations who will be
pouring in from all directions to take advantage of the national calamity. The nuclear
guidebook without the chapter on survival is flawed, defective and should be
relegated to the trash bin.

Pakistan has yet to take even the first basic steps in the direction of National Survival
Strategy. By not preparing for a nuclear exchange and fallout scenario NOW, our
leaders, military planners and strategists would be making a suicidal mistake which
will not just cost tens of millions of lives but will also revert the country to the stone
age, incapable of surviving the inevitable. It has to be done now when we have the
fiscal space and economic resources to plough back into the national survival strategy
on war footings. Each passing day closes a window for us.

Under the already emerging scenario of Indian 4GW and the Cold Start doctrine, this
paper is a “worst case” analysis and an attempt to predict the possible flow of events

3
in not so distant a future, in near realistic environment, based on current global and
regional conflict development trends and fault lines. It is also intended as a warning
for the national leadership about the future as seen from the prism of today's regional
dynamics. Even if our threat assessment, scenario analysis, or time line is questioned
by other pundits, Pakistan can only benefit and gain by preparing for such a scenario
for which almost all nuclear armed countries (and otherwise nations) are either
already prepared or are preparing expediently.

Under the Cold Start or any future Pak-India high intensity war, which can be
triggered under any pretext, it would be impossible to keep the conflict bilateral or
even conventional. Events can radically get out of control with catastrophic fallouts
for the region as well as the world. The Indian government and military are getting
increasingly radical due to the penetration of “Saffron” ideology of Hindu Zionism.
Fascist groups like RSS, VHP and Bajrang Dal, led by terrorists of the likes of Bal
Thakray have penetrated the mainstream Indian political parties of BJP and Congress
as well as the Indian military establishment. The fascist radicalization of Indian
military and their political leadership has made India the most dangerous nuclear
armed country with declared goals of annihilating Muslims and Pakistan from the
region. Whether we like it or not, a final conflict with India is inevitable. It can be
delayed or postponed but not avoided. As per Muslim history and holy scriptures and
in the sayings of the Holy Prophet (pbuh), this final conflict is called “Ghazwa-e-
Hind”, the final war for India! India will start this war and Pakistan will finish it,
InshaAllah!

The Environment:
The year is 2014.

A patriotic and honorable government is in place in Islamabad, which took over in


2010 after a judicial and military coup, after removing a corrupt and incompetent
regime, which had brought the country to the brink of disaster. Since the last 4 years,
the present government has managed to control the collapse of economy, reduce
corruption radically and contain the wave of terrorism to make Pakistan a reasonably
stable and strong nation within the Muslim world.

The world is in turmoil all around Pakistan but the Pakistani nation has managed to
remain stable and strong. The Kashmir dispute is still simmering and Afghanistan
remains in a delicate state without any strong government and with multiple militias
controlling the country. There is still a strong presence of Western forces in the
Northern regions.

United States and Israel have successfully overrun the entire ME, creating various
headless states and smaller principalities or weak client Satellite States in the Muslim
heartland in place of Iraq, Syria, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Lebanon and Jordan.
Israel has annexed the entire Palestinian lands and has started constructing colonies

4
and settlements in Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Egypt even extending into parts of
Saudi Arabia near Tabuk. The entire Gulf region has become an effective US colony
with major US bases spread across the entire region having force projection
capability into South Asia, Central Asia and South West China. The entire fuel assets
and fuel routes from the Gulf and Central Asia are under US and coalition control.

But there are pockets of fierce resistance in every part of occupied ME. Muslim
resistance groups and militants have launched massive war of resistance against US
presence in the Muslim lands and are proving to be elusive and deadly foes for the
US forces. Afghan resistance remains fierce, still bogging down US and NATO
occupation forces even after 13 years of occupation. Pakistan has cut down the supply
lines of NATO and NATO is forced to find long and expensive routes from Central
Asia and via Iran.

The US economy is collapsing at home. Dollar is being abandoned as a currency and


a new political alliance of North American Union consisting of Mexico, USA and
Canada has come into existence on the pattern of EU with plans for a new currency
“Amero” being floated. In dollar terms, US cost of occupation is a staggering $20bn a
month with hundreds of casualties and wounded every month. The situation is not
stabilizing despite massive injection of US military and economic resources in the
region. The quality of life in occupied Muslim lands is getting hopelessly desperate,
creating an explosive environment for the US forces present amongst hostile
population. Terrorism in the US mainland and Europe has resulted in establishing
radical security measures against the local Muslim population, and a mass migration
of Muslim immigrants back to their native lands has started due to fears of
persecution in America and Europe. Tension between the West and Islam is at all
time high since the crusades of the 10th century.

5
There is also serious friction building between Russia and the United States
particularly over establishment of anti-ballistic missile shield by NATO in Eastern
Europe, distribution of fuel resources of Caspian and for control of vast economic and
military assets in Central Asia. Tension is running high between US backed Georgia
and Russia while the US backed Chechens are also taking advantage of Russian
weaknesses to launch even more daring raids into the Russian mainland. Relations
between Turkish and Russian forces come under a strain when a group of run away
Chechens enter Turkey and Russians enter in hot pursuit. Even though Turkey is
rediscovering its Islamic identity and is drawing away from NATO, yet NATO
threatens to side with Turkey in the standoff and tells the Russians to back off. Thus
skirmishes threaten to brew on the European front.

The US economy and military is under tremendous stress. The domestic budget
deficit has grown to a staggering 14 trillion dollars, inflation is 12 percent and local
jobless figures are at 40 million. The mass migration of millions of skilled Muslims
has created a serious crisis of production and growth in industry and economy.
Industrial produce has gone down by 40% and market shares lost to powerful
emerging economies of China, Far East and India. Global warming, floods,
tornadoes, hurricanes and snowstorms have damaged over 7 trillion dollars worth of
economic infrastructure in just 2 years. The US forces are spread too thin all over the
globe – at an estimate of 3 quarters of a million troops, in 120 countries and lands.

There is nervousness and panic in the US government. The security of fuel assets and
fuel routes has not produced the desired response in the mainland for economic
turnaround. Subsequently, a group of local white Supremacist militia of a doomsday
cult, fed up with the policies of the US government, launches a devastating attack on
the US power and communication infrastructure, crippling the economy to the tune of
many trillion dollars in over a week. The situation becomes desperate for the US
government. The US media, under the influence of AIPAC (American Israel Public
Affairs Committee), the Israeli lobby, starts a massive global propaganda, stating that
the attack on US infrastructure has come from Muslim extremists based in the ME
and Pak-Afghan region.

Meanwhile, during trade talks with China, the US insists that China reduce duties on
US products, strengthen the Yuan and stop influencing economic spheres in the Far
East and Asia. The US threatens to stop the Chinese fuel supplies from the Gulf,
unless China stops giving subsidy to Chinese goods in Asian and European markets,
in order to make way for the Americans products. China threatens to abandon the
dollar in international trade and starts dumping from its reserves of over a trillion
dollar foreign exchange. US economy takes a fatal dive while the dollar collapses in
the international forex market, as all countries start to switch to Gold or other
currencies.

Tensions quickly mount and talks break down. The US intercepts bulk oil cargo ships
from the Gulf carrying oil for China. China threatens to use force and begins war

6
games in the Taiwanese straits. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan feel intimidated and
ask US to interfere after failing to convince China. The situation aggravates around
the Korean Peninsula as well, as a North Korean Destroyer is sunk by a South Korean
mine. The Chinese war games are taken as an act of hostility by the US, and Pacific
fleet is mobilized to counter the rapidly building Chinese military presence in the
region. The Chinese vice Premier visits Uighur autonomous region and is
assassinated by a US backed Uighur separatist group. China demands extradition of
the groups' leader from the US, but is refused and the situation becomes critical
between US and China in Asia.

Pakistan and India maintain their present status quo in bilateral relations in 2014.
Kashmir remains a sore issue and even though militancy in the valley has died down
considerably, the clashes along the LoC and working boundary are a routine. India
has made progress in leaps and bounds in the economic and military spheres and
continues to pose serious challenges to Pakistan in both spheres, but the nuclear
deterrent maintains a credible balance despite very bitter terms between the two
countries.

India remains the main ally and military beneficiary of the US. The US has cultivated
India as a counter balance against China in case of a US-China conflict scenario and
to counter balance Pakistan for fear of an “Islamic” nuclear threat. Though India had
used the US military and economic dependence upon Delhi to build its own military
potential as a regional civilization capable of challenging even US and China
independently, its own desires were not to take sides in any US-China conflict.
Therefore, India has now decided to play a game of 'wait and watch', as to which
civilization survives or weakens to allow the breakout of the Hindu civilization in
Asia. India has given military bases to US for operations in East Asia but has not
committed to fight alongside US against China. The US is deeply concerned at this
arrangement.

Since the past few years, the Naxalite Maoists within India, backed by China, had
become the greatest internal security challenge for the Indian federation, overrunning
almost 40% of India in the “Red Corridor”. Indian army has been fighting a losing
war against the Maoists in the thick jungles of rural India. Concurrently, the Sikh
movement has also gained momentum. In the seven sister states in the East,
rebellions are already simmering at high levels, putting extreme pressure on the
Indian federation.

Despite serious frictions between Pakistan and US/NATO alliance over Afghanistan,
Pakistan has constructively engaged with the US and the West. Pakistan also remains
a close friend of China and cannot be trusted by the US in a US-China conflict
scenario. Even though there is no visible Chinese military presence on Pakistani soil,
the proximity of Pakistan and China and their close ties has always been a matter of
serious concern for the US. Also, China had provided Pakistan with nuclear
technology and long range anti-Ship missiles which gave Pakistan the ability to choke
all the fuel supplies and shipping from the Gulf if a US flotilla decides to take battle

7
station close to the Chinese mainland. The Chinese presence in Gawadar is being
used for spying on the US in the Gulf. Pakistan is indeed an unreliable country from
the US perspective.

The US intelligence sources had predicted in 1998 that China would take at least till
2020 to be able to develop enough force projection capability to match the US
military presence in Asia and to pose any threat to the US mainland in case of a
nuclear exchange. In 1998, the Chinese were extremely inferior to the US in space
and satellite warfare, fighter aircrafts, reconnaissance and surveillance,
communications, missile defense, naval force projection capability and survival
capability in an NBC (nuclear, biological or chemical) warfare environment.

In the year 2002, Russia entered into a strategic defense alliance with China in order
to transfer Russian high technology military knowledge of fighter aircraft, missile
defense and space warfare to China and the collaboration rapidly polished off a
decade of Chinese research and development. The Americans had revised their
estimates in 2004 predicting that the Chinese would have the requisite force
projection and survival capability against a massive US unconventional strike by
2015. The US military commanders had sent a summary to the White House in 2004
that if China reaches the threshold of its capability to not just only strike the US
mainland but also survive a massive counter strike by the US, then it would become
almost impossible to eliminate the Chinese threat to US interests in the 21st century,
within the acceptable cost and collateral damage. The US has already devised a
strategy to hit the Chinese Asian interests before China could cross that red line and
become a serious unmanageable threat for the US.

Provoked by the domestic economic meltdown due to the collapse of the US dollar,
Chinese stubbornness to concede grounds in trade talks, threatened by the radical
development of Chinese capability to strike at US Space assets and the mainland, the
US is already contemplating plans to hit China first with a massive nuclear strike on
the Chinese mainland.

Almost at the same time, the BJP is ruling India with hardliners from RSS virtually
controlling the Indian State through their Prime Minister Narender Modi, the butcher
of Gujarat. Col Prohit, the notorious Indian military intelligence officer responsible
for Samjhauta Express blasts and known for his links with Hindu Saffron brigades,
has been released by the courts for want of evidence and is now serving as the head
of Pakistan Desk in the Indian secret service RAW.

The Indian Cabinet meeting is being held in Delhi. A group of 6 Naxalite Maoists
stealthily sneak into the parliament and open fire, killing over 100 people from the
government, security forces and media. BJP immediately puts the blame on Kashmiri
groups and blame ISI and Pakistan. The Indian cabinet orders mobilization of Indian
forces. Under the Cold Start doctrine, Independent Battle Groups (IBG's) of the
Indian army are secretly told to warm up for an immediate invasion, while India
launches a massive global diplomatic and media campaign to isolate Pakistan. On the

8
surface, the Indians keep the crisis on diplomatic and media plains and send high
level delegations to Islamabad for negotiations, giving the perception to Pakistan that
the crisis can be resolved diplomatically; but on ground, the invasion is ordered
within 24 hours of the Indian delegation's return to Delhi.

The Armageddon is about to begin……

Day 1 minus 1:
In Washington, emergency war council is meeting in the White House headed by the
US President and is attended by, amongst many others, the Commanders of Central
Command (CentCom), USEUCOM and Pacific Command (USPACOM). Certain
crises issues are hotly debated:

The US forces are already spread too thin in the ME and Asia for a concentrated force
projection against China. Carrier battle groups were too vulnerable to Chinese
missiles. With serious crisis also building in Western Europe, substantial US forces
from Europe could not be moved to Asian theatres.

The US does not have any close proximity military base to China in Asia. Diego
Garcia and Australia are too far and so are the ME bases. South Korea is too close for
military significance and survival. Philippines, Taiwan, Pakistan and India are the
closest options.

The thinning of US forces, vulnerability of Carrier battle groups and non-availability


of close proximity military bases, leave the only option of long range ballistic
missiles, with decisive and ruthless strike capability against the Chinese mainland for
swift, total and deadly destruction of the Chinese military and economic potential;
incapacitating China from launching any retaliatory strike against the US mainland or
the US forces present in Asia. The US plans to launch an initial strike of 30 low to
high yield tactical nuclear ballistic missiles in the first wave, and then launching a
second wave of 20 missiles, after initial damage assessment within 12 hours. The
Chinese casualties are estimated to be close to a 100 million in the first wave, with
over 400 million wounded or radiation exposed. The second wave is supposed to take
out any remaining survivors or military infrastructure within the East, Mid and
Northern Chinese region. The total number of Chinese casualties is expected to be
more than almost half the population.

 Once the question of Chinese engagement strategy is resolved, the attention is


turned towards the Chinese allies, especially Russia, North Korea and
Pakistan. Russia is not deemed a nuclear threat and North Korea will already
be taken out in the initial wave; leaving Pakistan as the core issue for US
command in their war against China.

 It is decided in the meeting that the US will ask Pakistan to side against China
in the war. In case Pakistan refuses, neutrality will not be trusted or accepted

9
and Pakistan will be treated as an enemy State, to be taken out on day one to
avoid giving any advantage to the Chinese. However, in very close proximity
of Pakistan lies India, and the US bases in the Gulf and Central Asia create a
dilemma for the US commanders. Any high yield nuclear strike on Pakistan
will create serious blast and fallout effects, which will have very serious
consequences for US interests, assets, troops and war capability in India, the
ME and the Gulf. Pakistan has to be taken out using very low yield nuclear
strikes at selected places, combined with massive conventional strikes against
defense and economic infrastructure, for total incapacitation in order to
prevent any share in defense of China or causing any harm to US interests.

 News of Indian mobilization against Pakistan comes as a surprise for both US


and China. Another nuclear war in the region is now inevitable. China is
already mobilizing against possible US hostile military action. The Indian
military moves against Pakistan threaten Chinese interests gravely. The US
cannot get involved to diffuse tensions between Pakistan and India due to its
own rapidly building crisis with China. Pakistan has also started its
mobilization rapidly as Indian IBGs (independent battle groups) menacingly
lurk around the border. Sensing the hostile intentions of India and the fact that
the US cannot be trusted, Pakistan urgently requests China to get involved.

 An unexpected Chinese warning to India has taken both US and India by


surprise. Sensing the Indian mood to act as a US proxy and to attack Pakistan,
China warns India not to act as a staging post for US strikes on the Chinese
mainland or on Pakistan as any such act, according to the Chinese, will be
taken as being hostile, and India will be ruthlessly targeted by China. Despite
strong US assurances to Delhi over incapability of China to strike India after
US first strikes, India refuses to openly side with the US in the war. It is,
however, agreed that India will maintain an international face of neutrality but
covertly support the US with intelligence, logistics and even bases once China
is totally destroyed. Also, India is tasked to attack and overrun Pakistan after
the initial US strikes to make sure that Pakistan remains excluded in the main
US-China war. It is a win-win situation for India. They could remain neutral
in case of a nuclear exchange, get Pakistan destroyed through US and then
walk over to capture the country, which had been their dream since the past
67 years.

 It is time to talk to the Pakistani President. The US President picks up the


phone and connects the Presidency in Islamabad. “Mr. President, this is the
President of the United States of America. Our country is facing hostile action
from the People's Republic of China. The Whole free world is siding with us
in the war against this hostility. I want to know – Is Pakistan with us in this
war or against us? Neutrality is not an option, have I made myself clear here?”
After a brief pause, the President of Pakistan replies, “Mr. President, Pakistan
is a peace loving country, which is already being threatened by India. Pakistan
has its own wars to fight and wishes to remain neutral in the US-China war.

10
But any act of hostile intent against us will be considered as an act of war and
we shall defend ourselves with all our might. Instead Pakistan will urge the
United States to use their influence on India to refrain from initiating any
hostilities”. “Very well Mr. President”, replies the US President, “We
appreciate your desire to stay neutral in this war. We will just make sure of
that. India is our ally and we shall surely try to influence Indian decision of
threatening Pakistan”….. and the line drops ……………….

 Even before the conversation is over, orders have been given to launch strikes
against Pakistan and China within the next four hours. It is decided that since
India will be available to neutralize Pakistan, the US will target Pakistan,
using conventional weapons only to decapitate and incapacitate the Pakistani
leadership and critical defense and logistic infrastructures. The Indian forces
are given clearance by the US to cross the international border and mop up the
remaining Pakistani forces after the initial US air and missile strike.

 Messages are sent to Moscow to stay neutral in this conflict or else Russia
will also be attacked with nuclear weapons and annihilated. The Russian
President does not see any strategic advantage to join the hostilities, therefore,
assures the US of compliance.

Day 1:
The Central Command and Indian army
are jointly given the task to use massive
conventional means to destroy the entire
military and economic war potential of
Pakistan. While the US and NATO will
use their superior air power and satellite
image processing to locate and detect
possible deployment of Pakistan's
nuclear assets, Indians will be tasked to
secure the ground and cripple the
strategic and conventional forces of
Pakistan. According to plan, the Pakistan
air operation is to be concluded within 24
hours after the first wave of strikes.

Against China, the Pacific Command is


to deploy a massive nuclear barrage
using Air Force and ICBM
(Intercontinental ballistic missile) to
decisively crush any resistance potential
of the Chinese, before the US ground
forces with NBC protective battle dresses
can move in to secure the remains. Due

11
to massive deployment of nuclear forces, the time to eliminate the Chinese resistance
is estimated to be within 24 hours after the second wave, which is to be launched 12
hours after the first. The US troops will move into the Chinese mainland after 48
hours to cater for blast and fallout effects.

The attacks are launched simultaneously against Pakistan and China without warning,
while the UN Security Council was discussing the crisis. The US deploys the doctrine
of pre-emptive strikes and takes China and Pakistan by complete surprise. Indian
(Independent battle groups) IBG's roll into Pakistan simultaneously, through multiple
points from the working boundary near Sialkot to Pannu Aqil in Sindh.

The first wave of 30 nuclear capped, Satellite guided, deep ground penetrating
precision ICBM and cruise missiles are launched against China at 900 hrs. China
takes the hits directly with the most devastating effects. 30 million die instantly,
while another 70 million deaths occur within a couple of hours due to radiation, heat,
earthquake and blast effects. Over 300 million wounded go into a state of shock and
exposure and begin their agonizing wait for death within the next 48 hours due to
radiation over exposure, fallout effects and poisoned air. Deathly silence enshrouds
the entire country, as satellite pictures only show massive cloud and dust cover
reducing visibility to zero. At 930 hrs in the morning, it is pitch darkness over China
as the sun has been totally blocked by black clouds of radioactive dust. The satellite
imagery is being hampered by the dark clouds and battle damage assessment is not
possible. The second strike of ICBM's is delayed by another 8 hours, till proper target
assessment can be done. This delay will prove to be fatal for the Americans later on.

At 900 hrs on the same day, more than 400 American, NATO and Indian Stealth
bombers and fighters launch a massive surprise air attack on Pakistan from the US
and Indian bases in the region. Pakistan is not prepared for such an eventuality and is
caught off guard. Pakistan Air Force is severely handicapped as the latest F-16 block
52 and their BVR(Beyond-visual-range) missiles were programmed by the US so as
not to target Western aircraft, making them almost defenseless and futile under such a
scenario.

12
Since nuclear weapons were not to be deployed, 15,000lbs Daisy Cutters and massive
22,000lbs conventional bombs are used extensively. The attacks last throughout the
day, non-stop in waves backed by precision strikes by cruise missiles. Targets
included critical nerve points of Pakistan's security and economic infrastructure:

 Karachi ports and Naval Shipyards.

 Steel Mills.

 Karachi city itself for chaos and destruction, using daisy cutters.

 National Refinery and oil terminals.

 Naval battle ships and coastal defenses.

 Karachi airport.

 Railway lines in interior Sindh.

 Hub Dam to destroy water supply of the city.

 All Corp HQ's, JS HQ, GHQ, Naval HQ and PAF HQ.

 All fighter bases and airports of the country.

 All Dams including Tarbela and Mangla in order to disrupt power supply in
the country.

 POF installations around Pindi including HIT and other defense industries.

 All railway junctions.

 All strategic bridges over rivers.

 Massive bombardment of cities of Lahore, Faisalabad, Multan, Islamabad,


Pindi, Peshawar and Quetta including the industrial areas.

 All tele-communication centers and grids in cites and countryside.

 All field formations deployed along the Eastern front against India.

 All known strategic force centers and missile batteries.

 Kahuta and NESCOM installations.

13
The damage caused in Pakistan by these massive bombing is catastrophic and results
in:

 Complete destruction of all fighter bases and airports.

 Complete breakup of communication links between various Corps, HQ's and


field formations.

 Complete destruction of all naval forces and bases.

 No power in the entire country.

 No water in major cities, no gas and massive damage.

After day 1 of the attack, the US forces withdraw to evaluate the damage as the
Indian forces begin rolling in, crossing the border on various axes. Their targets
include:

 Penetration from Kashmir, cut off KKH (Karakoram Highway) and try to
capture Murree heights and attack Islamabad.

 Penetration from Lahore and capturing the city.

 Penetration from Narowal-Zafarwal sector and capturing Sialkot.

 Attacking Gujranwala.

 Penetration from the desert and capturing Multan and Bahawalpur.

 Penetration from Sindh, cutting off the national highway and attacking Pannu
Aqil and also penetration from Khokrapar to move on to Hyderabad while the
Indian Navy would blockade and attack Karachi from sea.

 Foil attempts by Pakistan army to link up between various Corps and


eliminate each Corps by surrounding it around various Corp HQ's on
Pakistan's Eastern front.

 Prevent any possible launch of Pakistani missiles which might be deployed by


isolated units. India is using space sensing technology provided by the US.

 Just like China, entire Pakistani state is under severe shock and almost
incapacitated. Mercifully, though the loss is terrible in terms of material and
resources, the human loss is only in tens of thousands and not millions due to
conventional weapons being deployed.

14
 The US and India are aware that they cannot take out all of Pakistan's nuclear
assets and missiles in one strike. They instead focus on taking out the delivery
mechanisms, PAF, command and control systems, military leadership and
nerve points of the country to gain enough time in order to make rapid ground
progress by the Indian forces to physically move in and first isolate and then
capture the entire Pakistani government, armed forces and strategic assets.
They never expect to meet any resistance from the Pakistani forces after the
devastating first day strikes against both China and Pakistan by
US/NATO/Indian air forces. The Indian ground forces cut through the borders
at seven theatres and make rapid advances into the Pakistani territory at the
end of day 1. Small separated detachments of Pakistani forces put up fierce
resistance but are either overrun or have to withdraw under massive pressure.
Victory seems inevitable and close for the invading forces.

Both US and India are dead wrong!!

Day 2
China has survived the initial holocaust. 50 years of preparation for nuclear blast and
fallout protection and investment in civil defense programs has finally begun to pay
off. While the US satellites try to peek through the black radioactive haze over China
to do damage assessment, the Chinese fortified command and control bunkers in
North West and South Central China, prepare to launch their own missile strikes,
spread over the entire world, targeting US interests. The Russian satellite technology
has enabled the Chinese to relay the “code red” message to all their overseas assets
and nuclear submarines in Asia Pacific, to fight independent wars against all enemy
targets.

The Chinese embassy in Islamabad is able to relay the message about joint US-Indian
attack on Pakistan and possible use of Indian bases by US forces. India becomes a
hostile country and is immediately added to the target list by China's strategic missile
command.

In 2008, China, to the horror of US strategists, had acquired the Star Wars capability
by successfully destroying a satellite in space from an earth launched missile. China
had rapidly built on their capability and by 2010 had developed the capability to
locate, target and destroy almost all satellites over their skies. If the US satellites were
to be taken out, the US will be virtually blind over China and its observation and
spying systems, as well as tracking GPS systems will fail to work, making the
missiles and fighter jets inaccurate and unguided over hostile skies.

15
16
Now China launches its first wave of attacks on US satellites, destroying all of them,
making it impossible for the US to observe China anymore for battle damage
assessment or to monitor the Chinese military movement. The US is now virtually
blind to fight a nuclear war. The Chinese have even managed to explode an
electromagnetic bomb or E-bomb device in space, which has destroyed all other
international GPS (Global Positioning System) and tracking satellites over China,
making it impossible for any force to use the satellite guidance and tracking facility.

The Chinese launch a second wave of 23 nuclear- capped ICBM. With all satellites
over China having been destroyed, the US is not able to detect the incoming missiles,
and once over the American skies, it is too late even when the radars pick their trail.
To the horror of the US tracking radars, 18 high yield warheads are heading towards
the US mainland. The US missile defense shield is not capable to knock out all of
them. At best it can only take out 3 incoming missiles, while the rest are sure to make
ground contact all across the United States. The Chinese have been mercilessly
selective in making the hits, as the entire East to West Coast is about to experience an
apocalyptic event! Four low yield, deep penetrating missiles are also launched into
India – hitting Delhi, Bangalore, Calcutta and Madras. One missile is launched
against the US bases in Australia.

A Chinese nuclear submarine, lurking in the Indian Ocean, South of Sri Lanka,
launches another missile into the South China Sea between Taiwan, South Korea and
Philippines, in an innovative use of nuclear power. A huge Tsunami tidal wave of
over 200 meters rises from the sea, moving at 300mph from the epicenter in the
Ocean, taking the entire US Carrier battle group, with 200 war ships and over 40,000
troops to the bottom in less than five minutes. The huge wave then moves on to

17
envelope Taiwan, Japan, South Korea and Philippines in their entirety, as well as
many parts of Indonesia and stretches as far as North of Australia.

Out of the 18 incoming Chinese missiles, 17 make ground contact in the US,
unleashing a devastation even the US is not prepared for. One lands in the deep
Pacific Ocean, 30 miles from San Francisco. The St.Andrews fault line is triggered
due to shock waves, causing the entire West coast to flatten under immeasurable
seismic force, followed by a tidal wave sweeping 150 miles inland, washing the
entire West coast into the sea. The death toll from the first strikes is estimated to be
around 40 million, with over 100 million wounded, incapacitated or radiation
exposed, without any power, water or shelter. The earthquakes, tidal wave and
subsequent fires have destroyed the entire power and communication structure as
well. The US is almost back in the Stone Age, for all practical purposes.

With the destruction of the entire US fleet and forces in the Pacific and Asia, there is
no more launching of the second wave of missiles on China, as the forces in the Gulf
are neither armed with nuclear weapons, nor have any satellite support to launch a
conventional missile or air attack. The war of missiles between China and US comes
to a brisk end on day 2, with both sides counting their losses and trying to evaluate
the holocaust.

18
On the other hand, half a million Indian troops and their armoured divisions and
artillery support, which had entered into Pakistan, have survived the nuclear attack on
Indian cities. However, they have lost all contact with their respective HQ's; the
Indian army is now on its own inside Pakistan, without air cover and even satellite
communication and imagery. India cannot use nuclear missiles against Pakistan for
fear of destroying its own army. It is going to be a bloody battle for survival for the
Indian forces inside Pakistan in a conventional war to be fought on irregular and
asymmetrical patterns, on hostile ground and on exterior lines, with vulnerable
supplies and without the C4I2. After having made early advances into the Pakistani
territory, the Indian army goes battle- blind and panic immediately starts to set in.
The entire Indian command and control system is gone and there is no one to decide
about the target selection or give orders to launch attacks.

The Indian naval forces in the Indian Ocean, off the coast of Bombay, having blocked
Karachi, are now preparing for a landing near the city. But the entire plan is thrown
into complete disarray after the devastating Chinese strikes against the US and Indian
forces. The whole of India is under a devastating radioactive cloud cover, with initial
casualties of over 100 million due to blast effects, and over 30 million dying due to
exposure and radiation. There are no emergency services and the entire State
infrastructure has collapsed. The entire cabinet and government have evaporated in
the strike on Delhi. Effectively, India is a headless State, with half a million of its
troops attacking major Pakistani cities deep inside Pakistan. This is the time for a
Pakistani counter attack. Fortunately, Pakistan had prepared for such a scenario back
in 2010, and has a complete plan to counter attack.

The Pakistani response:


In 2010, Pakistan had launched an ambitious plan to counter such a scenario, which
included:

 Re-writing the war doctrine so that each Corp could fight independent theatre
wars, without being in communication with other sectors of war or without

19
being in contact with the GHQ. Each Corp Commander was authorized to
wage independent wars with even a command and control system at his
disposal for launch of strategic weapons.

 Emphasizing on fortress defenses around major cities with massive survival


capability in order to withstand not just conventional bombings but also great
survival probability under a nuclear fallout scenario. Pakistan had initiated the
biggest civil defense program in Asia in 2010 with underground shelters,
compulsory military training for students and massive defense constructions
around cities for fortress defenses.

 Even the countryside was dug into create massive defense constructions and
underground tunnels, bunkers and shelters for a sustained guerilla war and
survival under nuclear fallout effects.

 Creation of a strategic nuclear proof PAF and missile reserve in the mountains
of Baluchistan, hidden from the rest of the country with 150 fighters safely
tucked away with complete nuclear command and control systems and war
heads. This reserve is now going to be the most invaluable asset for Pakistan
to assure victory and survival.

 Ample food and fuel stocks were protected in under ground silos and
mountain depots for the population and armed forces.

 Acquiring of nuke powered submarine with nuclear armed cruise missiles.


This was deployed in the Indian Ocean off the coast of Yemen for secrecy and
stealth action.

The Indian army detachments are neither in contact with each other nor with their
HQ's and are hopelessly stuck to fight independent wars within Pakistan. The Chinese
nuclear strikes and elimination of the entire Indian government has demoralized it
beyond recovery. But a segment of the Indian army insists upon moving forward to
capture Pakistani cities. In the end, fierce fighting breaks out between the advancing
Indian army and Pakistani defenders. The effects of nuclear fallout and radioactive
clouds are now being felt over Pakistan, as anyone out in the open is dangerously
close to death. The Pakistan army decides to wait out the period in their fortress
defenses, as the Indian advancing army remains exposed in the open trenches and
bunkers. With supply lines cut and heavy exposure to radioactive clouds, the war
fighting capability of Indians is rapidly reduced. But they press on and though they
have made major strides inside Pakistan, even capturing Sialkot and Lahore, and
reaching the gates of Hyderabad, they are being met with fierce resistance by the
Pakistan army which has changed the fighting mode into unconventional, irregular,
asymmetric warfare at these places and has also dug into the fortress defenses in all
other cities. The Indian advance has now come to a halt as their army detachments are
being surrounded.

20
Now Pakistan has to respond. No one in the US, India or Israel is aware of Pakistan's
strategic air reserve. It comes as a total surprise. A squadron of F-16's is launched to
attack the Indian navy at sea using anti-Ship missiles. Pakistani submarines have
already attacked and sunk the Indian aircraft carrier, and have effectively lifted off
the Indian naval blockade. The PAF planes and subs destroy yet another 17 cruisers,
destroyers and frigates.

The escaping US armada from the Gulf is attacked by both Pakistani and Chinese
subs in Indian Ocean, and by the PAF fighters from their secret base in Baluchistan.

After 1 week:
The actual hostilities between China and US continue only for a couple of more days.
Both are totally devastated to continue any further. The US announces a total
withdrawal from Asia and Gulf to the mainland, where civil wars have broken out
between federating States. With no food or electricity for the people, Martial Law is
declared in the US, as riots and anarchy take over, however, even this cannot prevent
the disintegration of the USA. The American civilization has almost ceased to exist.

China suffered terribly too but manages to survive, thanks to decades of investment in
nuclear survival capabilities. The Chinese rapidly begin the task of rebuilding their
country.

India, which had scored major victories in the early days against Pakistan, is
devastated by the Chinese strikes on the mainland with half a million of its army cut
off deep inside Pakistan. Desperate for survival, without supplies and separated from
each other, the Indian commanders are thrown into panic as the Pakistan army, tribal
militants and local population surround and block all escape routes. The entire Indian
army's Independent battle groups (IBG's), which had rolled into Pakistan, are
decimated and most of their IBG equipment is captured, intact, by the Pakistani army.
The fierce fighting has been a bloodbath. No prisoners are taken.

There is chaos and anarchy in India, as the country begins to breakup on ethnic, tribal
and regional lines. The Naxalites take control of the “Red corridor” and declare
independence. Sikhs rebel in East Punjab and declare the State of Khalistan and
Tamils secede as well. The Seven Sister States rebel also and declare their own free
mini States.

The Pakistan army re-deploys the captured Indian equipment and armoured divisions,
along with its own armoured divisions and moves into India. A fierce cavalry battle at
Panipat decides the fate of India. Pakistan army moves on to capture the already
devastated city of Delhi without further resistance. The world hears the
announcement of “Radio Pakistan Delhi”, and India once again comes under the
Muslim rule.

21
On the spiritual plain, the faith in Allah and the belief in the saying of the Prophet
(pbuh) that a Muslim army will once again capture India, the Pakistani nation were
galvanized with the emotional and religious zeal to fight the invading Indian army.
Despite severe losess of men, material and territory, their morale and faith remained
unshakable and a fiercely proud nation gelled together to fight back for its dignity and
honor and reclaimed its glory.

On a more physical level, Pakistan survived this war due to wisdom and foresight of
its leadership which had foreseen such an eventuality back in 2010. The survival
capability of the nation under nuclear environment, the decentralization of the armed
forces into various commands, the revised military doctrine which allowed separate
unconventional asymmetrical wars against multiple nations, creation of strategic PAF
and missile reserves, force projection capability beyond 3000km and security of food
and fuel resources, even under siege, allowed Pakistan to stage a remarkable
comeback when all the enemies had written it off. Pakistan has still paid a heavy
price with 10 million dead and over 20 million wounded and sick, but the country
survives, regroups, re-organizes, re-captures and expands its territory into former
India and then, by 2018, rises to become the global power, leading the Muslim world
into a collective security and political alliance called the United States of Islam!!

********************

22

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi