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Lung & bronchus 30% Men Women 26% Lung & bronchus
292,540 269,800
Prostate 9% 15% Breast
Colon & rectum 9% 9% Colon & rectum
Pancreas 6% 6% Pancreas
Leukemia 4% 5% Ovary
Liver & intrahepatic 4% 4% Non-Hodgkin
bile duct lymphoma
Esophagus 4% 3% Leukemia
Urinary bladder 3% 3% Uterine corpus
Non-Hodgkin 3% 2% Liver & intrahepatic
lymphoma bile duct
Kidney & renal pelvis 3% 2% Brain/ONS
All other sites 25% 25% All other sites
215.1
200.2
200 180.7
100
63.3
43.6 34.8
17.8
0
Heart diseases Cerebrovascular Influenza & Cancer
diseases pneumonia
* Age-adjusted to 2000 US standard population.
Sources: 1950 Mortality Data - CDC/NCHS, NVSS, Mortality Revised.
2006 Mortality Data: US Mortality Data 2006, NCHS, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009.
Cancer Death Rates* by Sex, US, 1975-2005
250
Both Sexes
200
Women
150
100
50
0
1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005
4500 90
Per Capita Cigarette Consumption
Rates*
2500 50
Male lung cancer
2000 death rate 40
1500 30
1000 20
7
We are getting older
8
Obesity, Diet and Cancer
Doll and Peto estimated that 35% (or
as high as 70%) of US cancers were
diet related.
High fat, low fiber diet in Western
societies implicated in early studies.
9
Mortality and Body Mass Index
rB ay - rP oc. NY cad
A ci,
S 891 ref1
10
Obesity and Cancer Mortality
11
Trends in Obesity* Prevalence (%), Children and Adolescents,
by Age Group, US, 1971-2006
20
18
17
16 16
15
12
Prevalence (%)
11 11
10
10
7
7
6
5 5 5
5 4
0
2 to 5 years 6 to 11 years 12 to 19 years
*Body mass index (BMI) at or above the sex-and age-specific 95th percentile BMI cutoff points from the 2000 sex-
specific BMI-for-age CDC Growth Charts. Note: Previous editions of Cancer Statistics used the term “overweight”
to describe youth in this BMI category.
Source: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1971-1974, 1976-1980, 1988-1994, 1999-2002, National
Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2002, 2004. 2003-2006: Ogden CL, et al.
High Body Mass Index for Age among US Children and Adolescents, 2003-2006. JAMA 2008; 299 (20): 2401-05.
Trends in Obesity* Prevalence (%), By Gender, Adults
Aged 20 to 74, US, 1960-2006†
45
40
35 36
33 34 34 35
35 32
31
30 28
Prevalence (%)
26
25 23
21
20 17
16 17
13 15 15
15 12 13
11
10
0
Both sexes Men Women
*Obesity is defined as a body mass index of 30 kg/m2 or greater. † Age adjusted to the 2000 US standard population. Source:
National Health Examination Survey 1960-1962, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1971-1974, 1976-1980,
1988-1994, 1999-2002, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2002, 2004. 2003-
2004, 2005-2006: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Public Use Data Files, 2003-2004, 2005-2006, National
Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2006, 2007.
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1985
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
14
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1986
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
15
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1988
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
16
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1990
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
17
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1992
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
18
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1994
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
19
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1996
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
20
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1998
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
21
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2000
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
22
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 20
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” woman)
198 20
50
Prevalence (%)
30
Women with no health insurance
20
10
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2002 2004 2006
Year
*A mammogram within the past year. Note: Data from participating states and the District of Columbia were
aggregated to represent the United States.
Source: Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance System CD-ROM (1984-1995, 1996-1997, 1998, 1999) and Public Use Data
Tape (2000, 2002, 2004, 2006), National Centers for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention, 1997, 1999, 2000, 2000, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007.
Disparities in Health
The concept that some populations (however
defined) do worse than others
250
Caucasian
Rate
200
150 AI/AN
Hispanic
API
100
'75 '78 '81 '84 '87 '90 '93 '96 '99 '02
Year
Incidence and mortality rates per 100,000 and age-adjusted to 2000 US standard population
SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1975-2004.
My Concern
“Equal treatment yields equal outcome among
equal patients”
60 56
1999 2001 2002 2004 2006
50
50
44 44 45 43
41
37
Prevalence (% )
40 36 36
30 25
22 21 21 22
20
10
0
Total Less than a high school No health insurance
education
*A flexible sigmoidoscopy or colonoscopy within the past ten years. Note: Data from participating states and the
District of Columbia were aggregated to represent the United States.
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System CD-ROM (1996-1997, 1999) and Public Use Data Tape (2001,
2002, 2004, 2006), National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention and Prevention, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2005, 2007.
U.S. Colorectal Cancer Mortality 1975-2005
40.0
35.0
30.0
Rate per 100,000
10.0
5.0
0.0
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
Adjusted Colorectal Cancer Survival by Stages
and Insurance Status, among Patients Diagnosed
in 1999-2000 and Reported to the NCDB
Cancer Survival and Deprivation
in Scotland
5yr survival Affluent Deprived
“If you get cancer, whether you live or die shouldn’t be determined by
your zip code.” Stewart Greenebaum
Race – a neglected biomarker in
cancer