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This study investigated the predicted moderating effect of ings by providing a deeper understanding of the major
satisfaction on the association between the attractiveness antecedents of exit intention. They also provide empirical
of the alternative relationship and exit intention in a mar- support for the long-term buyer-seller relationship frame-
keting channel. The study used a variation of the Kenny work proposed by Dwyer, Schurr, and Oh (1987) and
and Judd structural equation technique proposed by the others by showing an effect predicted by Dwyer, Schurr,
author. The results suggested that for channel customers and Oh (1987): that higher satisfaction attenuates the al-
ternative attractiveness-exit intention association.
with lower satisfaction, alternative attractiveness was
After summarizing the current knowledge about chan-
positively associated with exit intention. When satisfaction
nel relationship exit intention, a satisfaction-alternative
was higher, however, alternative attractiveness had no attractiveness interaction is proposed and tested using a
association with exit intention. The implications of these field survey and the Ping technique. The implications of
results are discussed. the results are then discussed.
clusionary state is that for satisfied firms, increases in the the alternative would be (1) its fairness, (2) its products
attractiveness of alternative relationships would not affect and services, (3) its policies and, (4) in general, how
relationship exit intention. Ping (1993a) observed a posi- satisfied the firm would be with the alternative supplier.
tive association between alternative attractiveness and exit Exit intention, the intention to physically leave the
intention, however; this suggests that the association is relationship, was operationalized as the propensity to ter-
contingent on the level of overall relationship satisfaction. minate the primary supplier relationship (Ping 1993a). The
In particular, if Dwyer, Schurr, and Oh (1987) are correct, conceptualization taps the degree of intention to discon-
when overall satisfaction is lower, changes in alternative tinue the relationship with the economic exchange partner.
attractiveness should be positively associated with exit The six items in the exit intention measure concerned the
intention. At higher levels of satisfaction, however, this buyer firm's thinking of exiting, looking for a replacement
association should not be significant. Accordingly, supplier, considering a replacement (two items), and re-
solving to end the relationship (two items).
HI: Overall relationship satisfaction moderates These measures were combined into a self-administered
the association between alternative attrac- questionnaire that was mailed to a sample of hardware
tiveness and exit intention. retailers. The analysis of the resulting data was conducted
using structural equation analysis with a satisfaction-alternative
Specifically, attractiveness latent variable interaction specified using
the Ping technique. Before describing the study, however,
some background on the estimation of nonlinear effects in
H2a: At higher levels of overall relationship satis- structural equations is appropriate.
faction there is no association between alter-
native attractiveness and exit intention,
NONLINEAR LATENT VARIABLES
and
Kenny and Judd (1984) proposed that interaction and
H2b: At lower levels of overall relationship satis- quadratic latent variables could be specified using indica-
faction alternative attractiveness is positively tors that are products of observed variables. They proposed
associated with exit intention. that products of the indicators for the linear latent variables
X and Z, for example, would specify the latent interaction
The remainder of the article reports a test of these hypothe- variable XZ. Specifically, if X had indicators x~ and x2 and
ses using data provided by a field survey. Z had indicators z~ and z2, respectively, XZ is specified
using the indicators XlZl, XlZ2, X2Zl, and x2z2.
In addition, they showed that under certain conditions,
MEASUREMENT the variance of these indicator products is determined by
their constituent indicators. They showed that, for exam-
Satisfaction, the global evaluation of relationship ful- ple, the variance of the indicator x~zz depends on ~1, ~,,1,
fillment by the firm (Dwyer and Oh 1987), was measured Var(X), Var(Z), 0~xl, and 0~zl, where Var(X) and Var(Z) are
using a modification of the Dwyer and Oh satisfaction the variances of the latent variables X and Z, ~1 and ~1 are
scale inspired by Gaski and Nevin (1985). The domain of the loadings ofxl on X and z~ on Z, and 0~xl and 0~zl are the
satisfaction includes all the characteristics of the buyer-
variances of the error terms exl and ez~. Specifically, assum-
seller relationship that a firm deems "rewarding, profit-
ing the latent variables X and Z are independent of the error
able, or instrumental" (Rukert and Churchill 1984), or
terms exl and ~1; the error terms are independent of each
costly, unfair, or frustrating (Ping 1993a). The five items
in the satisfaction measure assessed the buyer firm's over- other; and x~, Zl, ~1, and e,l are normally distributed, they
all satisfaction with the relationship (two items), fairness showed the variance of XlZl is given by
in the exchange relationship (two items), and the degree to
Var(xlzl) = Var[(k, lX + gxl)(~.zlZ+ ez0]
which the seller firm was a good company with which to
= ~xl2 ~zl2 Var(XZ) + ~xl2 VaF(X)0ez1 (1)
do business.
The attractiveness of the best alternative relationship, a + ~.,12Var(Z)0exl+ 0Exl0c,1.
firm's estimate of the satisfaction available in the best They then specified latent variables such as X Z with
available alternative relationship, was operationalized as indicators such as XlZl by constraining the indicator loading
the buyer firm's perception of the overall fulfillment avail- and error term for XlZl (Xxlzl and 0~xlzl)to be the combina-
able from the best alternative supplier, in addition to the tions of the parameters shown in equation (1), that is,
overall fulfillment available in the existing buyer-seller
relationship (Ping 1993a). The conceptualization encom- ~'xlzl = ~xl~'zl (2)
passes a firm's generalized perceptions of the rewards and
costs available in the most salient available relationship and
alternative. The four items in this measure dealt with the
buyer firm's evaluation of how good a supplier company 0exlzl = ~xl 2 War(X)0ez1 + ~12 Var(Z)0ex 1 + 0exl0ezl. (3)
366 JOURNALOF THE ACADEMYOF MARKETINGSCIENCE FALL1994
They also used COSAN (currently a subprocedure of the of product indicators can be determined using a measure-
SAS procedure CALIS), which is particularly suited to ment model and equations (2) and (3), then specified as
modeling structural equations with nonlinear terms such constants in the structural model.
as those in equations (2) and (3). Ping also pointed out that the sufficient unidimension-
Although the Kenny and Judd technique is an important ality assumption enables the omission of the nonlinear
theoretical contribution, it has proven difficult for re- latent variables from the measurement model with no
searchers to implement (Aiken and West 1991). The num- effect on the parameter estimates for the linear latent
ber of dummy variables required to specify each indicator variables. By the definition of unidimensionality, unidi-
of a nonlinear variable using the Kenny and Judd technique mensional constructs are unaffected by the presence or
(e.g., one for each term in equations [2] and [3]) can absence of other latent variables in the measurement
become tedious for models with many indicators or several model. Similarly, adding or deleting unidimensional con-
nonlinear latent variables (Ping 1993b). 1 structs in the structural model does not affect the measure-
Hayduk (1987) and others have proposed a variation of ment parameter estimates for the added or other latent
the Kenny and Judd (1984) technique that can be imple- variables in the structural model.
mented using LISREL (Jtreskog and Strbom 1989) and The Ping technique involves
EQS (Bentler 1989). The technique is difficult to summa-
rize, however, and the interested reader is directed to 1. verifying indicator normality,3
chapter 7 of Hayduk (1987) for details. Unfortunately, the 2. assuming the latent variables are independent of
technique also requires the specification and estimation of the error terms, and the error terms are inde-
many dummy variables. pendent of each other (a standard structural equa-
As a result, Ping (1993b) proposed an additional vari- tion assumption),
ation of the Kenny and Judd technique that requires no 3. unidimensionalizing each linear latent variable,
dummy variables and can be implemented in LISREL and 4. centering the observed variables at zero by sub-
EQS. The technique is carried out in two steps, paralleling tracting the mean of a variable from each case
the two-step estimation approach for structural equation value for that variable (see Bollen 1989),
suggested by Anderson and Gerbing (1988)--estimate the 5. estimating loadings and error variances for the
measurement model before estimating the structural linear independent variable indicators using a
model. measurement model,
The measurement parameters for the linear latent vari- 6. using these estimates to calculate equation (2)
ables are estimated in a measurement model. These esti- and (3) estimates of the loadings and error vari-
mates are used to calculate the loadings and error variances ances for the nonlinear latent variable indicators,
for the indicators of the interaction variables in equations 7. specifying equation (2) and (3) estimates as fixed
(2) and (3). The interaction variables are added to the values in a structural model, then estimating that
model, and the calculated loadings and error variances for model, and
the indicator products are specified as fixed rather than free 8. repeating steps 6 and 7 as required to obtain
minimal change in the measurement parameters
variables in the structural model.
Under the Kenny and Judd normality assumptions, and between two structural model estimates (fre-
assuming the unidimensionality of each linear latent vari- quently not necessary for strongly unidimen-
able, Ping suggested that the loadings and error variances sional latent variables).
for the Kenny and Judd product indicators of an interaction
The balance of this article describes the field survey.
or quadratic latent variable need not be estimated in the
structural model. 2 Specifically, he proposed that parameter
estimates from the measurement model be used to compute
the loading and error variance for product indicators such
METHOD
as xlz~ using equations (2) and (3). Then a structural model
To test the hypotheses, satisfaction, alternative attrac-
with XZ can be estimated with these calculated interaction
tiveness, and exit intention were measured with balanced
indicator loadings and error variances (e.g., ~1zl and 0~xlzl) 5-point Likert-type scales. The survey population was
specified as fixed values (set equal to the equation [2] and hardware retailers, and the sampling frame was the sub-
[3] values for ~lzl and 0~xl~l).This is possible because with scription list of a popular hardware trade publication.
sufficient unidimensionality, the measurement parameters Sampling involved nth name selections of 100 pretest
for a latent variable's indicators (e.g., ~1, ~,~1, Var[X], names and 600 final test names. The pretest responses were
Var[Z], 0~xl, and 0 ~ ) are trivially variant between the used to verify the psychometric properties of the measures.
measurement and structural models (Anderson and Gerbing The resulting measures appeared to be content valid, uni-
1988). In other words, the measurement parameter esti- dimensional, and internally and externally consistent (see
mates for the indicators of a sufficiently unidimensional Gerbing and Anderson 1984); they each had a coefficient
latent variable change very little between the measurement alpha of .8 or above. The final test mailing yielded 288
and structural models (frequently only in the third decimal responses by firms after two postcard follow-ups. The
place). As a consequence, the loadings and error variances psychometric properties of the measures were reexamined
Ping / ALTERNATIVE ATTRACTIVENESS & EXIT INTENTION 367
FIGURE 1 TABLE 1
Linear-Terms-Only Measurement Model Measurement Model Results
Parameter Estimate Parameter Estimate
FIGURE 2 DISCUSSION
Structural Model
The Ping, Kenny and Judd/COSAN, and regression
results were directionally similar, and the t values for the
Eel ~=2 E.3 ~s4 ~s5 Ping technique and the Kenny and Judd/COSAN approach
generally lead to the same inferences. The maximum like-
~I $2 ~3 $4 ~5 lihood and Robust standard error estimates were also simi-
lar, whereas the chi-square estimates were not. Because the
Robust estimator does not assume multivariate normality
S A T " ...
~ei ! S as the maximum likelihood estimator does, the Robust
el 9 " ~el estimator results will be interpreted.
ALT =- E X I :...r.,,e3 ",,----~.3 Based on the Robust estimator, the model fit the data,
es 9 ' ees
and the hypothesized associations were supported. Satis-
e 6 .,L (~e6 faction moderated the alternative attractiveness-exit inten-
a I a 2 a 3 a~
tion association, as shown by the significant effect
coefficient for the alternative attractiveness-exit intention
~al ~a2 ~a3 ~a4 interaction (see Table 2). In addition, satisfaction attenu-
ated the alternative attractiveness-exit intention associa-
tion as the level of satisfaction increased. Table 3 shows
SAT*ALT
the alternative attractiveness-exit intention effect coeffi-
cient at selected levels of satisfaction. As shown in this
s 1 a I S l a 2. . . sla 4 s 2 a l . . . $5a4
table, at higher levels of measured satisfaction (e.g., above
4, which corresponded to "agree"), the alternative attrac-
/t tf
~slal ~sla2" 9 "~sla4 ~s2al" 9 .~s5a4
t tiveness-exit intention association was not significant. At
lower levels of satisfaction, the alternative attractiveness-
exit intention association was statistically significant.
NOTE: SAT= satisfaction,ALT= alternativeattractiveness,SAT*ALT These results may have implications for practitioners.
= satisfaction-alternativeattractivenessinteraction,EXI = exiting.
The observed lack of association between exit intention
and alternative attractiveness at higher levels of satisfac-
tion in this study suggests that increases in the attractive-
but it is unknown whether the standard errors and chi- ness of alternatives (competition) may not necessarily
square statistics are robust to departures from normality. tempt satisfied customer firms to consider exiting their
The structural model was therefore reestimated using a less current buyer-seller relationship. In other words, an alter-
distributionally dependent estimator, EQS's Robust esti- native's efforts to be more attractive to a target set of firms
mator, to produce more distributionally appropriate may not, by themselves, increase exit intentions in these
standard errors and chi-square statistics (Satorra and firms; decreased satisfaction in the target firms may also
Bentler 1988; see Bentler 1989, p. 217 et seq.; Hu, Bentler, be required. Only for the less satisfied firms in this study
and Kano 1992). were changes in alternative attractiveness associated with
The structural model was then reestimated in two steps changes in exit intentions. For satisfied firms, changes in
to assess the improvement in fit of adding the interaction alternative attractiveness were not associated with exit
term. The result suggested that adding the interaction term intention.
significantly improved model fit (see the incremental fit This finding suggests that less satisfied firms may be
index in Table 2). The Figure 2 model was also estimated vulnerable to competitive moves aimed at increasing com-
using the Kenny and Judd/COSAN approach for compari- petitor attractiveness, whereas more satisfied firms may
son. Because COSAN provides no distribution-free esti- not be so vulnerable. This in turn may provide some insight
mators, only maximum likelihood estimates were into a basic tenet in the customer service literature, that
produced. superior customer service creates satisfaction, which leads
In addition, Table 2 shows OLS regression estimates for to a competitive advantage (see Davidow and Uttal 1989).
the Figure 2 model as a directional point of reference.5 These results suggest not only that satisfaction may reduce
Regression estimates are known to be biased and ineffi- exit intention but also that it may reduce the attractiveness
cient for variables measured with error (Busemeyer and of the competition. Hence superior customer service may
Jones 1983). As a result, they provide only an indication also reduce exit intention and the attractiveness of the
of the direction (positive or negative) of the Figure 2 competition's superior service.
effects. These regression estimates were produced by av- The model explained 65 percent of the variance in exit
eraging the indicators for satisfaction, alternative attrac- intention, which is notable for marketing studies. This
tiveness, and exit intention, and creating the interaction term result suggests that whereas unmodeled antecedents of exit
by forming the product variable satisfaction-alternative intention may remain to be identified, their combined
attractiveness in each case. contribution to explaining variance in exit intention in this
Ping / ALTERNATIVE ATTRACTIVENESS & EXIT INTENTION 369
TABLE 2
Structural Model Estimation Results
Structural Equation Analysis Estimates t Value
Parameter Estimate Parameter Estimate ML a ROBUST b
Fit indices
Chi-square 88,248 380
p value of chi-square value .000 1.000
Bender (1989) comparative fit index .000 1.000
Null model Z 2 25,884 18,831
Chi-square degrees of freedom 555 555
Squared multiple correlation for EXI .65
Total coefficient of determination .65
Incremental fit index: chi-square difference 3.91
p value .04
context may not be large. For the busy channel manager, are less distributionally dependent should be used for the
this in turn suggests that satisfaction maintenance may be chi-square statistic with the Ping technique.
sufficient for relationship maintenance.
The t values for the maximum likelihood coefficient
estimates and those for the Robust option were similar, SUMMARY
whereas the chi-square estimates were not (see Table 2).
This suggests that standard errors produced by the Ping The study investigated a hypothesized moderating ef-
technique may be robust to product indicator nonnormality fect of overall relationship satisfaction on the association
but that the chi-square statistic is not, and estimators that between exit intention and the attractiveness of an alterna-
370 JOURNAL OF THE ACADEMY OF MARKETING SCIENCE FALL 1994
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Interactive Effects of Latent Variables." Psychological Bulletin 96 ABOUT THE AUTHOR
(July): 201-210.
Ping, Robert A., Jr. 1993a. "The Effects of Satisfaction and Structural R o b e r t A. Ping, Jr. is an assistant professor in the Department
Constraints on Retailer Exiting, Voice, Loyalty, Opportunism, and of Marketing at Wright State University, Dayton, OH. He ob-
Neglect." Journal of Retailing 69 (Fail): 320-352. tained his Ph.D. at the University of Cincinnati. His research
9 1993b. "Latent Variable Interaction and Quadratic Effect Estima- interests include the political economy of marketing channels and
tion: A Suggested Approach." Technical Report. Wright State University. nonlinear estimation for latent variables.